Betting Recap - Week 10
November 17, 2015
Overall Notes
NATIONAL FOOTBALL LEAGUE WEEK 10 RESULTS
Wager Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 3-11
Against the Spread 2-12
Wager Home-Away
Straight Up 3-11
Against the Spread 4-10
Wager Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 4-8-2
The largest underdogs to win straight up
Lions (+10.5, +450 ML) at Packers, 18-16
Texans (+10, +400 ML) at Bengals, 10-6
The largest favorite to cover
Steelers (-6.5) vs. Browns, 30-9
Sweet Home Chicago
-- The Chicago Bears hammered the St. Louis Rams to stay red hot. After an ugly 0-3 SU/ATS start to the season, the Bears have come alive to win four of their past six games, and they have covered in five of the past six. In Week 11 they will face the Denver Broncos and new QB Brock Osweiler, who takes over for the injured Peyton Manning (foot). Despite the red-hot run, the Bears opened as a two-point underdog.
No Problems, Houston
-- The Houston Texans dropped the previously unbeaten Cincinnati Bengals on Monday Night Football, 10-6. All of a sudden the Texans have won and covered three of their past four games to vault to the top of the AFC South standings. The Texans have not allowed a touchdown in 10 quarters dating back to Oct. 25, and the 'under' has cashed in each of the past two games as a result. They welcome the New York Jets in Week 11, a team which is 0-3 ATS over the past three, and which has not cashed since Oct. 18.
AFC vs. NFC
-- The AFC and NFC battled on the gridiron four times in Week 10, splitting 2-2 SU while the NFC posted a 3-1 ATS mark. The only AFC team to cover was the Miami Dolphins in their 20-19 road win against the Philadelphia Eagles. The New England Patriots rallied to win on the road against the New York Giants in MetLife Stadium, but the G-Men were able to hang on for the cover as 7 1/2-point 'dogs.
-- The Giants have alternated wins and losses over the past six games, but they are now 3-0-1 ATS over the past four games while the 'over' has cashed in four consecutive outings. So far against the AFC the Giants are 1-1 SU and 2-0 ATS, and they will face the Jets Dec. 6, and on the road against the Dolphins Dec. 13.
-- The 'under' was 2-1-1 in four AFC vs. NFC matchups in Week 10, and the 'under' is still 17-10-1 (62.9%) in the past 28 over the past seven weeks. For the season, the 'under' is 24-13-2 (64.9%) in intraconference matchups this season.
Total Recall
-- Vegas was right on the nose on a couple of totals in Week 10, with the Kansas City Chiefs-Denver Broncos and Minnesota Vikings-Oakland Raiders games resulting in a push at most shops.
-- The 'under' (43.5) looked to be in good shape with a scoreless first quarter in the game between the Arizona Cardinals and Seattle Seahawks. However, things changed in a hurry wth 29 points in the second quarter, and 29 more points in the fourth quarter. It appeared like we were headed for a defensive slog in the rain, but it turned into the highest scoring game of the weekend.
-- Despite the high-scoring Arizona-Seattle game, the primetime action still saw the 'under' go 2-1 in Week 10, with the 'over' just 9-18-1 (33.3%) through 28 games under the lights. In 2014, the over went 33-17 (66%) in primetime games, and the over was 28-22 (56%) in 2013.
Injury Report
-- Broncos WR Emmanuel Sanders (ankle) was forced out of the loss against Kansas City, while QB Peyton Manning (foot) was lifted early. It was determined Manning has a partially-torn plantar fascia, and he will be sidelined for Week 11 in Chicago.
-- Browns WRs Taylor Gabriel (concussion) and Andrew Hawkins (concussion) each left the loss at Pittsburgh due to concussion.
-- Eagles QB Sam Bradford (shoulder) and RB Ryan Mathews (groin) were each forced out of the loss to Miami.
-- Jaguars RB Bernard Pierce (Achilles') left the win in Baltimore due to an injury to his Achilles' tendon.
-- Jets RB Zac Stacy (ankle) left Thursday's game against the Bills, and he is expected to be sidelined for the remainder of the regular season.
-- Packers WR Jared Abbrederis (ribs) left the loss against Detroit, while RB Eddie Lacy (groin) was inactive.
-- Patriots WR Julian Edelman (foot) suffered a cracked bone in his foot and he is likely to miss the remainder of the regular season.
-- Steelers QB Landry Jones (ankle) started the win against the Browns, but checked out early. That forced QB Ben Roethlisberger (foot) into the game and he shined.
-- Texans QB Brian Hoyer (concussion) left Monday's win at Cincinnati due to concussion, paving the way for QB T.J. Yates to pull off more heroics against the Bengals.
Looking Ahead
-- In Thursday's game, the Jaguars host the Titans in a key AFC South battle. Tennessee has posted an awful 4-20-2 ATS in their past 26 AFC South Division battles, while going 2-12-2 ATS in their past 16 games against teams with a losing record, and 1-6-1 ATS in their past eight road games against a team with a losing home mark. The Titans are 0-3-1 ATS in the past four meetings, and 0-3-1 ATS in their past four trips to Jacksonville. The 'under' has hit in five straight in Jacksonville, and is 8-2-1 in the past 11 meetings in this series.
-- The Chiefs and Chargers square off in SoCal in an AFC West Division tussle. While the Chiefs are 6-2 ATS in their past eight against a team with a losing record, and 7-3 ATS in their past 10 AFC West battles, they are just 2-6 ATS in their past eight road games. The Bolts are 5-15 ATS in their past 20 games overall, and 1-7 ATS in their past eight against teams with a losing record and 0-7 ATS in their past seven divisional games.
-- The Packers have struggled mightily, losing three straight, while failing to cover in each of their past four outings. They are just 2-5 ATS in their past seven road games against a team with a winning home record. The Vikings have been hot against the number, going 4-0 ATS in their past four against a team with a winning record and 5-1 ATS in their past six divisional games. They're 23-8 ATS in their past 31 games overall, and 19-7-1 ATS in their past 27 home games. The home team has cashed in seven of the past nine meetings. Total bettors will be interested to know the over is 11-3-1 in the past 15 in Minnesota, and 11-4 in the past 15 meetings overall between these rivals.
-- The 49ers head to Seattle with a 1-4 ATS mark in their past five against teams with a losing record. They're 1-4-1 ATS in their past six road games, while going 0-6-1 ATS in their past seven NFC West battles. The Seahawks lost at home last week, but they're still 5-2 ATS in their past seven against teams with a losing record. They're 5-2-1 ATS in their past eight divisional games. However, the Seahawks have cashed in five of the past six. Seattle has dominated this series against the number, going 7-0-1 ATS in the past eight meetings and 3-0-1 ATS in their past four at home.
-- The Patriots host the Bills on Monday Night Football. New England is 5-1 ATS in their past six AFC East battles, and they're 4-1 ATS in their past five road games. New England is 3-0-1 ATS in their past four home games, and 12-3-1 ATS in their past 16 home games against a team with a winning road record. In this series, the Bills are just 10-22-1 ATS in the past 33 meetings, with the over going 7-2 in the past nine meetings.
November 17, 2015
Overall Notes
NATIONAL FOOTBALL LEAGUE WEEK 10 RESULTS
Wager Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 3-11
Against the Spread 2-12
Wager Home-Away
Straight Up 3-11
Against the Spread 4-10
Wager Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 4-8-2
The largest underdogs to win straight up
Lions (+10.5, +450 ML) at Packers, 18-16
Texans (+10, +400 ML) at Bengals, 10-6
The largest favorite to cover
Steelers (-6.5) vs. Browns, 30-9
Sweet Home Chicago
-- The Chicago Bears hammered the St. Louis Rams to stay red hot. After an ugly 0-3 SU/ATS start to the season, the Bears have come alive to win four of their past six games, and they have covered in five of the past six. In Week 11 they will face the Denver Broncos and new QB Brock Osweiler, who takes over for the injured Peyton Manning (foot). Despite the red-hot run, the Bears opened as a two-point underdog.
No Problems, Houston
-- The Houston Texans dropped the previously unbeaten Cincinnati Bengals on Monday Night Football, 10-6. All of a sudden the Texans have won and covered three of their past four games to vault to the top of the AFC South standings. The Texans have not allowed a touchdown in 10 quarters dating back to Oct. 25, and the 'under' has cashed in each of the past two games as a result. They welcome the New York Jets in Week 11, a team which is 0-3 ATS over the past three, and which has not cashed since Oct. 18.
AFC vs. NFC
-- The AFC and NFC battled on the gridiron four times in Week 10, splitting 2-2 SU while the NFC posted a 3-1 ATS mark. The only AFC team to cover was the Miami Dolphins in their 20-19 road win against the Philadelphia Eagles. The New England Patriots rallied to win on the road against the New York Giants in MetLife Stadium, but the G-Men were able to hang on for the cover as 7 1/2-point 'dogs.
-- The Giants have alternated wins and losses over the past six games, but they are now 3-0-1 ATS over the past four games while the 'over' has cashed in four consecutive outings. So far against the AFC the Giants are 1-1 SU and 2-0 ATS, and they will face the Jets Dec. 6, and on the road against the Dolphins Dec. 13.
-- The 'under' was 2-1-1 in four AFC vs. NFC matchups in Week 10, and the 'under' is still 17-10-1 (62.9%) in the past 28 over the past seven weeks. For the season, the 'under' is 24-13-2 (64.9%) in intraconference matchups this season.
Total Recall
-- Vegas was right on the nose on a couple of totals in Week 10, with the Kansas City Chiefs-Denver Broncos and Minnesota Vikings-Oakland Raiders games resulting in a push at most shops.
-- The 'under' (43.5) looked to be in good shape with a scoreless first quarter in the game between the Arizona Cardinals and Seattle Seahawks. However, things changed in a hurry wth 29 points in the second quarter, and 29 more points in the fourth quarter. It appeared like we were headed for a defensive slog in the rain, but it turned into the highest scoring game of the weekend.
-- Despite the high-scoring Arizona-Seattle game, the primetime action still saw the 'under' go 2-1 in Week 10, with the 'over' just 9-18-1 (33.3%) through 28 games under the lights. In 2014, the over went 33-17 (66%) in primetime games, and the over was 28-22 (56%) in 2013.
Injury Report
-- Broncos WR Emmanuel Sanders (ankle) was forced out of the loss against Kansas City, while QB Peyton Manning (foot) was lifted early. It was determined Manning has a partially-torn plantar fascia, and he will be sidelined for Week 11 in Chicago.
-- Browns WRs Taylor Gabriel (concussion) and Andrew Hawkins (concussion) each left the loss at Pittsburgh due to concussion.
-- Eagles QB Sam Bradford (shoulder) and RB Ryan Mathews (groin) were each forced out of the loss to Miami.
-- Jaguars RB Bernard Pierce (Achilles') left the win in Baltimore due to an injury to his Achilles' tendon.
-- Jets RB Zac Stacy (ankle) left Thursday's game against the Bills, and he is expected to be sidelined for the remainder of the regular season.
-- Packers WR Jared Abbrederis (ribs) left the loss against Detroit, while RB Eddie Lacy (groin) was inactive.
-- Patriots WR Julian Edelman (foot) suffered a cracked bone in his foot and he is likely to miss the remainder of the regular season.
-- Steelers QB Landry Jones (ankle) started the win against the Browns, but checked out early. That forced QB Ben Roethlisberger (foot) into the game and he shined.
-- Texans QB Brian Hoyer (concussion) left Monday's win at Cincinnati due to concussion, paving the way for QB T.J. Yates to pull off more heroics against the Bengals.
Looking Ahead
-- In Thursday's game, the Jaguars host the Titans in a key AFC South battle. Tennessee has posted an awful 4-20-2 ATS in their past 26 AFC South Division battles, while going 2-12-2 ATS in their past 16 games against teams with a losing record, and 1-6-1 ATS in their past eight road games against a team with a losing home mark. The Titans are 0-3-1 ATS in the past four meetings, and 0-3-1 ATS in their past four trips to Jacksonville. The 'under' has hit in five straight in Jacksonville, and is 8-2-1 in the past 11 meetings in this series.
-- The Chiefs and Chargers square off in SoCal in an AFC West Division tussle. While the Chiefs are 6-2 ATS in their past eight against a team with a losing record, and 7-3 ATS in their past 10 AFC West battles, they are just 2-6 ATS in their past eight road games. The Bolts are 5-15 ATS in their past 20 games overall, and 1-7 ATS in their past eight against teams with a losing record and 0-7 ATS in their past seven divisional games.
-- The Packers have struggled mightily, losing three straight, while failing to cover in each of their past four outings. They are just 2-5 ATS in their past seven road games against a team with a winning home record. The Vikings have been hot against the number, going 4-0 ATS in their past four against a team with a winning record and 5-1 ATS in their past six divisional games. They're 23-8 ATS in their past 31 games overall, and 19-7-1 ATS in their past 27 home games. The home team has cashed in seven of the past nine meetings. Total bettors will be interested to know the over is 11-3-1 in the past 15 in Minnesota, and 11-4 in the past 15 meetings overall between these rivals.
-- The 49ers head to Seattle with a 1-4 ATS mark in their past five against teams with a losing record. They're 1-4-1 ATS in their past six road games, while going 0-6-1 ATS in their past seven NFC West battles. The Seahawks lost at home last week, but they're still 5-2 ATS in their past seven against teams with a losing record. They're 5-2-1 ATS in their past eight divisional games. However, the Seahawks have cashed in five of the past six. Seattle has dominated this series against the number, going 7-0-1 ATS in the past eight meetings and 3-0-1 ATS in their past four at home.
-- The Patriots host the Bills on Monday Night Football. New England is 5-1 ATS in their past six AFC East battles, and they're 4-1 ATS in their past five road games. New England is 3-0-1 ATS in their past four home games, and 12-3-1 ATS in their past 16 home games against a team with a winning road record. In this series, the Bills are just 10-22-1 ATS in the past 33 meetings, with the over going 7-2 in the past nine meetings.