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[CNOTES]

Betting Recap - Week 11


November 15, 2015




Overall Notes


COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 11 RESULTS


Wager Favorites-Underdogs


Straight Up 46-13
Against the Spread 32-26-1


Wager Home-Away
Straight Up 29-30
Against the Spread 24-34-1
Wager Totals (O/U)


Over-Under 26-32-1


The largest underdog to win straight up
New Mexico (+30.5, ML +6700) at Boise State, 31-24


The largest favorite to cover
San Diego State (-23.5) vs. Wyoming, 38-3


Top 25 Notes


-- It was shake-up Saturday, as more national championship contenders experiencing the disgusting taste of defeat, some for the first time, others for a costly second time. ... Oklahoma continued their upward ascension with a 44-34 win at Baylor, handing the Bears their first setback of the season. The Sooners have won and covered five straight since their Red River Rivalry setback, and the 'over' has also hit in five straight and seven of the past eight.


... It was a topsy-turvy day in the Pac-12, with the only legitimate contenders for a spot in the four-team playoff losing outright. Oregon helped Stanford bow out with a 38-36 win in Palo Alto, while Washington State rallied for a touchdown with :03 left to stun UCLA. In the desert, it was Arizona outlasting Utah on Senior Night in double-overtime to dash the Utes' chances of a playoff shot. The Utes are now 1-3 ATS in their past four games, and the 'over' has hit in four of the past five.


-- Texas Christian struggled with winless Kansas, barely winning in a 23-17 home game. The 'over' (71) was never threatened by the Horned Frogs, who slipped to 4-6 ATS with the 'under' coming in three times in the past four outings. ... West Virginia snapped a five-game non-cover skid with a 38-20 win and cover against Texas. The Mountaineers picked up their fifth win of the season, and can become bowl eligible with a win at Kansas next Saturday.


-- Michigan State wasn't pretty in their 24-7 win against Maryland, but they were able to bounce back and cover for the third time in four games. The 'under' was the first one since Oct. 10 after three straight overs. The non-cover was the first for Maryland in the past five games.


-- Despite the fact they clinched a spot in the SEC Championship Game with a win last week, Florida kept their eyes on a bigger prize by pushing aside South Carolina, 24-14. The Gators improved to 7-3 ATS in 10 games, and the 'under' hit for the third straight game, and five of the past six outings.


Big Five Conference Report (ACC, Big 10, Big 12, Pac-12, SEC)


-- In the ACC, No. 1 Clemson had its hands full in Syracuse, holding off the Orange. The Tigers never came close to covering a 30-point number, and they're now just 3-5 ATS over their past eight games. The 'over' is 5-1 in their past six games. For Syracuse, the over improved to an impressive 9-1. ... Duke lost for the third straight game, as they have been unable to recover since their last-second, lateral-filled kickoff loss to Miami (Fla.) on Halloween. After starting out 5-2 ATS in their first seven games, Duke is 0-3 ATS over the past three. ... Florida State ended the dominance of N.C. State in their series, covering for a season-high third straight game. ... Speaking of the Hurricanes, their return to the Triangle didn't go as well as the first trip. North Carolina roughed them up 59-21. The Hurricanes are 1-3 ATS over their past four games after opening 4-2 ATS in their first six.


-- Ohio State clamped down on Illinois in a 28-3 win in Champaign, picking up their third cover in four games after opening 1-5 ATS. The most consistent thing about the Buckeyes is the fact the 'under' has hit in four straight, and eight of the past nine outings. ... Minnesota was unable to upset Iowa, losing for the fourth straight game. However, the Gophers have covered three straight, and four of the past five after opening 1-4 ATS. ... Purdue will travel to Iowa next weekend. While the Boilermakers lost for the seventh time in the past eight games, they covered for the third time in the past four.


-- Oklahoma State rallied to outscore Iowa State 14-0 en route to a 35-31 comeback win in Ames. The non-cover was the first in five games for the Cowboys, who might have been looking ahead to their showdown with Baylor next weekend in Stillwater. The 'over' has connected in four in a row for OSU. ... Kansas State lost for the sixth consecutive game, and they're 1-3 ATS over their past four outings. They will host I-State next weekend.


-- California snapped a four-game losing streak with a 54-24 win against Oregon State. The Bears also covered for the first time in four games. It was a rare 'over' for Cal, too, as their last over was Sept. 19 in a road game at Texas, a span of six straight games. ... Washington State has covered seven in a row dating back to Sept. 19, and the 'under' has hit in three in a row for the Cougs.


-- Alabama kept their hopes alive for the SEC West crowd and a spot in the league's championship game with a 31-6 thrashing at Mississippi State. The Tide have now covered in three of their past four. The 'under' is 3-0 in the past three, and 6-1 in their past seven outings. ... Arkansas continues its resurgence, rolling to a 31-14 win at Louisiana State. The Razorbacks have won four straight games, and they're 5-1 ATS over their past six games after oppening 1-3 SU/ATS. ... The 'under' has connected in a season-high three straight games for Auburn.


Mid-Major Report


-- South Florida has been flying under the radar this season, but they turned heads with a 44-23 win over Temple. The Bulls are now 5-1 SU/ATS over the past six games. The non-cover was the first in four games for Temple, who have now dropped two of the past four after opening the season 7-0. ... Navy blasted visiting Southern Methodist by a 55-14 count, as the Mustangs slipped to 1-9 SU. They have also failed to cover four straight, and six of the past seven. The Middies have covered three straight, and seven of their nine games overall.


-- North Texas continues to surprise. Sure, they were blanked in their road game at Tennessee, but they only lost 24-0 despite being a 41-point underdog. UNT started out 0-5 ATS, but they're now 4-1 ATS over the past five outings. ... Southern Mississippi bombed Rice by a 65-10 count, and the Golden Eagles improved to 8-2 ATS in 10 games overall, while winning for the fourth straight. ... The under has connected in three in a row for Middle Tennessee.


-- Bowling Green blasted Western Michigan Wednesday, winning for the seventh straight game. They have covered five in a row, and eight of the past nine overall. ... Northern Illinois bagged Buffalo Wednesday, improving to 4-0-1 ATS over the past five games. The 'over' is also 4-1 in the past five games for the Huskies. ... Kent State fell to 0-3 SU/ATS over their past three games with a shutout loss at Ohio Tuesday. They're 1-6 ATS over the past seven heading into their game with Central Michigan Wednesday night.


-- For the second straight week it was New Mexico winning outright as the largest underdog. This time they won outright as a 31-point underdog at Boise State. The Broncos slipped to 1-3 ATS in their past four games. ... UNM has covered two straight for the first time since Sept. 18-26, and they have suddenly won three of the past four, and are bowl eligible with their sixth win of the season. ... Hawaii was crushed 42-14 at home against Fresno State, losing for the eighth straight time. They're also 1-8 ATS over the past nine games after covering their first two of the season.


-- Georgia Southern won 45-10 at Troy, and they're now 2-0 ATS in the past two, and 6-2 ATS in the past eight games. The 'under' has hit in three in a row heading into their showdown at Georgia next weekend. ... Arkansas State picked up a 59-21 win at Louisiana-Monroe, covering for the fourth time in the past five games. The 'over' has connected six straight heading into game at New Mexico State next weekend.


Bad Beats


-- The 'over' (49) appears to be headed for an easy win, as Pittsburgh scored a touchdown with 11:25 to lead Duke 31-13. However, there were no more points in the game, leaving 'over' bettors shaking their heads.


-- If you were holding an 'under' (54.5) ticket in Texas-San Antonio vs. Charlotte, a 49ers field goal with 1:11 ruined your plans. Charlotte forced overtime and ended up falling by three in the extra session.


-- Did you have the 'over' (52.5) in Florida International-Marshall? The Golden Panthers were blanked in a 52-0 loss, a maddening loss for those betting the over.


-- Indiana moneyline bettors (ML +450), it was like losing twice Saturday. The Hoosiers allowed the game-tying touchdown to Michigan on the final play of regulation, and then slipped up in the extra session by a 48-41 score.


-- After a total of 31 points in the first half, it appeared Kentucky-Vanderbilt was headed for an 'over' (41.5). However, a third-quarter touchdown with 1:06 to go was the final score of the game to crush 'over' tickets.


-- Appalachian State booted a 31-yard field goal with 3:00 left to make it 47-20 over Idaho. There aren't many people who paid attention to that score, but it pushed the total 'over' (65.5). Tough break.


-- Memphis moneyline bettors looked to be in great shape with the Tigers up 34-14 at 14:56 of the fourth quarter. However, Houston rattled off 21 points in the final quarter to win 35-34, including the game-winning score with 1:27 to go.

 

[CNOTES]

Bowling Green at Toledo

November 16, 2015




-- As of late Monday night, most books had Bowling Green (8-2 straight up, 8-2 against the spread) listed as a seven-point favorite with a total of 69. The Rockets are +230 on the money line (risk $100 to win $230).


-- Bowling Green is fifth in the nation in total offense, averaging 584.8 yards per game. The Falcons rank second in the nation in passing yards and are fourth in scoring offense with a 45.4 points-per-game average. This unit is led by junior quarterback Matt Johnson, who has enjoyed a spectacular season after tearing his ACL in Week 1 of last season. Johnson had a 25/7 touchdown-to-interception ratio in 2013. He has completed 69.1 percent of his passes for 3,955 yards with a sensational 36/4 TD-INT ratio. For his career, Johnson has 63 TD passes compared to just 12 interceptions.


-- Roger Lewis garnered first-team All-MAC honors as true freshman WR last season. He’s avoided the sophomore slump in a huge way, hauling in 69 receptions for 1,310 yards and 14 TDs. Ronnie Moore has 55 catches for 722 yards and five TDs, while Gehrig Dieter has 58 grabs for 698 yards and five TDs. Ryan Burbrink has 48 receptions for 563 yards and four TDs.


-- Dino Babers’ team had a challenging September schedule, playing three road games and a home game vs. Memphis. Bowling Green lost its opener 59-30 at Tennessee in a game that was much closer than the final score indicated. In Week 2, the Falcons smashed Maryland 48-27 as seven-point road underdogs. Next, they lost a 44-41 decision to Memphis as 3.5-point home underdogs, only to bounce back the next week in a 35-28 win at Purdue as 4.5-point road ‘chalk.’ Since then, Bowling Green has won all six of its MAC games with five of those victories coming by margins of 14 points or more.


-- Bowling Green is off a 41-27 win at Western Michigan last Wednesday as a three-point road favorite. Travis Greene rushed 24 times for 170 yards and three TDs, while Fred Coppet produced 64 rushing yards on six carries. Johnson completed 23-of-41 passes for 269 yards and three TDs. Lewis had five receptions for 86 yards and a pair of TDs, while Dieter pulled down nine balls for 84 yards.


-- Greene has a team-best 866 rushing yards and 10 TDs with a 5.8 yards-per-carry average. Coppet has run for 590 yards and two TDs while averaging 5.7 YPC.


-- Toledo (9-1 SU, 7-1-1 ATS) owns the best ATS record in the country, while Bowling Green is tied for the second-best ATS mark with Washington St., Central Michigan, Oklahoma and Southern Miss. The Rockets are in a three-way tie for first place in the MAC West, but they don’t have the tiebreaker against No. Illinois. They face Western Michigan, the third team in the division with a 5-1 league record, at home next weekend. The Huskies close the season with back-top-back home games vs. Western Michigan and Ohio. Obviously, Toledo needs the Broncos to beat NIU while handling its own business in back-to-back weeks. If it plays out that way, this will be the first of two head-to-head meetings between Toledo and Bowling Green this year.


-- Toledo’s best wins have come at Arkansas (16-12), vs. Iowa St. (30-23), vs. Arkansas St. (37-7) and at Central Michigan (28-23). The Rockets won at CMU last Tuesday as three-point road favorites. They are playing on the proper amount of rest, whereas Bowling Green played last Wednesday. Matt Campbell’s team raced out to a 21-0 lead over the Chippewas, only to see its lead down to 21-17 midway through the third quarter. Toledo would go back in front 28-17 and denied CMU on a two-point conversion with 3:26 remaining to conserve the cover for its betting supporters.


-- Phillip Ely threw for 339 yards and two TDs without an interception at CMU. Kareem Hunt rushed for 113 yards and two TDs on 20 carries. For the season, Ely has completed 54.7 percent of his passes for 2,192 yards with an 18/9 TD-INT ratio. The Alabama transfer played interception-free football last week at CMU, but he was picked off times in the two previous outings. Ely has had four games with 308 passing yards or more.


-- Hunt, a junior RB who was a second-team Freshman All-American in 2013 and a first-team All-MAC selection last year, has rushed for 602 yards and seven TD while averaging 5.3 YPC. However, Hunt missed four of the first five games due to a suspension and an injury, and he had only nine carries in a 63-20 blowout win over Eastern Michigan. Hunt has at least 20 carries in three straight games, but sophomore RB Terry Swanson remains the Rockets’ leading rusher with 749 yards. Swanson has five rushing scores and a 7.0 YCP average.


-- Ely has three main targets. Cody Thompson has 27 receptions for 553 yards and four TDs, while Alonzo Russell has 28 catches for 482 yards and four TDs. Corey Jones has 45 receptions for 426 yards and four TDs.


-- Toledo has been a road underdog 12 times during Campbell’s four-year tenure, posting a 9-3 spread record.


-- Bowling Green owns a 4-0 spread record at home this year.


-- Toledo ranks 20th in the nation in scoring defense, allowing only 18.8 PPG.


-- The ‘under’ is 7-2 overall for the Rockets, 3-1 in their four road assignments. They have seen their games average combined scores of 53.7 points per game.


-- The ‘over’ is 6-4 overall for the Falcons, 4-0 in their home games. They have seen their games average combined scores of 73.3 points per game.


-- According to WeatherReport.com, the forecast calls for cloudy skies but just a 20 percent chance of rain. The low temperatures are expected to be in the low-to-mid 50s, while winds are going to range from 15-25 miles per hour.


-- Kickoff is going to be early on ESPN2 at 6:00 p.m. Eastern.


**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**


-- The nation’s worst ATS teams include Central Florida (2-8), Oregon St. (2-8), Kentucky (2-8), Texas St. (2-7), Old Dominion (2-7-1) and Hawaii (3-8).


-- Coach of the Year Candidates:


1-Jim McElwain (Florida)
2-Mike Gundy (Oklahoma St.)
3-Kirk Ferentz (Iowa)
4-Dabo Swinney (Clemson)
5-Brian Kelly (Notre Dame)
6-Nick Saban (Alabama)
7-Larry Fedora (North Carolina)
8-Mike Leach (Washington St.)
9-Jim Harbaugh (Michigan)
10-Tom Herman (Houston)
11-Matt Rhule (Temple)
12-Justin Fuente (Memphis)
13-Ken Niumatalolo (Navy)
14-Pat Fitzgerald (Northwestern)
15-Matt Campbell (Toledo)


-- Best Coordinator Hires: Offensive: Lincoln Riley (Oklahoma), Defensive: Gene Chizik (North Carolina).


-- UNC gave up 39.0 PPG last season. With Chizik running the show, the Tar Heels rank 21st in the country in scoring defense (18.8 PPG).


-- Washington St. improved to 6-0 ATS when listed as an underdog this season with Saturday’s 31-27 win at UCLA as an 11-point puppy. Luke Falk found Gabe Marks for a 21-yard scoring strike with three seconds remaining to lift the Cougars into the win column.


-- Oregon is 5-0 ATS in five underdog situations since 2011. The Ducks have won outright in four of those games, including last week’s 38-36 win at Stanford as nine-point ‘dogs.


-- Vandy has been a home underdog three times this year, compiling a 2-0-1 spread record. The Commodores are seven-point home ‘dogs Saturday vs. Texas A&M. If Derek Mason’s team can pulled the moderate upset over the Aggies, it can go bowling with a win at Tennessee in the regular-season finale. As a road favorite on Kevin Sumlin’s watch since 2012, Texas A&M owns a 4-3 spread record.


-- Despite getting next-to-zero help from its offense all year long, Mason’s defense at Vandy ranks 11th in the nation in scoring ‘D’ (17.4 PPG).


-- The ‘under’ is 9-0-1 for Vandy this season. No word on a total for the A&M game yet.


-- Three forgotten teams nobody wants to play right now: Arkansas, Washington St. and Oregon.

 

[CNOTES]

College Football Trend Report


TOLEDO (8 - 1) at BOWLING GREEN (8 - 2) - 11/17/2015, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOWLING GREEN is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all games this season.
BOWLING GREEN is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
BOWLING GREEN is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
BOWLING GREEN is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in games played on turf this season.
BOWLING GREEN is 37-20 ATS (+15.0 Units) in November games since 1992.
BOWLING GREEN is 35-18 ATS (+15.2 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
TOLEDO is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all games this season.
TOLEDO is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
TOLEDO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
TOLEDO is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in games played on turf this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
TOLEDO is 1-0 against the spread versus BOWLING GREEN over the last 3 seasons
TOLEDO is 2-0 straight up against BOWLING GREEN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




BALL ST (3 - 7) at OHIO U (6 - 4) - 11/17/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BALL ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO U is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

 

[CNOTES]

Toledo
@
Bowling Green
Game 301-302
November 17, 2015 @ 6:00 pm


Dunkel Rating: Toledo
90.692
Bowling Green
105.543
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Bowling Green
by 15
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Bowling Green
by 7
69 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Bowling Green
(-7); Under




Ball State
@
Ohio
Game 303-304
November 17, 2015 @ 7:00 pm


Dunkel Rating: Ball State
66.969
Ohio
78.035
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Ohio
by 11
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Ohio
by 8 1/2
53
Dunkel Pick: Ohio
(-8 1/2); Under

 

[CNOTES]

Tuesday's six-pack

-- Georgia Tech 69, Tennessee 67-- Much-needed win for coach Gregory.


-- George Washington 73, Virginia 68-- This is why the big-money schools don't go on the road much out of conference.


-- Utah 81, San Diego State 76-- High-level game; two NCAA tourney teams.


-- LIU 71, Loyola Md 68-- Tremendous finish for the NEC's Blackbirds.


-- Southern 76, Mississippi State 72-- Good win for SWAC's power rating.


-- Texans 10, Bengals 6-- Houston is actually tied for first place in AFC South.


Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but..........


13) Today's is ESPN's marathon of college basketball, a great day if you're like me and love basketball. Seeing the students at the morning games is especially fun. Being home all day and watching hoop and eating fast food ain't bad either.


12) Peyton Manning is out this week with plantar fasciatis, a painful foot injury. Broncos are going to Chicago to play John Fox's Bears this week, the same Fox that John Elway fired last winter, with Brock Osweiler making his first NFL start-- a rookie will be his backup, Tracy Siemian from Northwestern.


11) Saints fired DC Rob Ryan; as soon as they brought former Raider coach Dennis Allen in as an assistant, you knew Ryan was in trouble........Rams are switching QBs from Nick Foles to Case Keenum. Foles was 0-12 on throws longer than 10 yards downfield Sunday. Still think St Louis needs better tight ends/receivers, but thats me.


10) I mentioned Saturday night how New Mexico's football team won last two weeks, as underdogs of 20 and 30 points; someone posted on Twitter Sunday that since 1980, Lobos are only team to win consecutive games, when underdog by 17+ points in both of them, so thats quite an accomplishment.


9) Cowboys are 2-7 and Greg Hardy (rightfully or not) gets shredded in media every single day. Vikings are 7-2 and no one mentions Adrian Peterson's troubles anymore (rightfully or not). Funny how that works.


8) NFL does itself a disservice by not allowing each team to dress an emergency #3 QB for every game. Here is why:


Couple years ago, Houston's starting QB got hurt on the first series of the game, and was out- that meant for the rest of the game, they had one QB, with a WR or punter serving as the #3 QB, if it came to that, so they couldn't throw any long passes, since they couldn't subject the #2 QB to any hits, raising his risk of injury. The game sucked because the other defense put nine men in the box and wouldn't let them run the ball.


This is a business where each team is worth around $1B, thats billion, with a B. How much could it possibly cost to have one more guy on the roster every week, just to protect the quality of the league's product?


7) SEC Network has a new basketball analyst; young man named Chris Spatola; he played basketball at West Point, then spent five years in US Army, as all West Point grads do. He worked for CBS Sports Network and now he works for ESPN, but there is one thing here that bothers me just a little.


He is married to Mike Krzyzewski's daughter, so not only does ESPN have Jay Bilas and Jay Williams on their airwaves, they have Coach K's son-in-law. Terrific.


6) NFL double-digit underdogs are now 41-22 vs spread in primetime games since 2003, including 21-9 on Monday Night Football.


5) New Mexico State has 14 players on its hoop team; only five of them were born in this country. Four kids from Canada, the rest come from all over the globe. Wish they were in a better league- Aggies play Sun Belt football but are stuck in the WAC for hoop and thats a terrible league now.


4) Jim Nantz played college golf at Houston, so he is/was very good at golf; he said on TV Sunday he only golfs five times a year; how is this possible? I know the guy is busy, but he is also rich as hell and spends a decent amount of his year covering the freakin' PGA Tour-- how does he only golf five times a year?!?!?!?!?!


3) Before last week's NFL games, teams that were down 10+ points after three quarters were 12-347 in their last 359 games- not lot of late comeback wins.


2) Seattle Seahawks are 4-5 and didn't allow an offensive TD in any of the wins; that means they're 0-5 when their opponent scores an offensive TD, which is weird.


1) If you're a Bengals fan and you booed your 8-0 team at any point Monday night, then shame on you, thats all I can say about that.

 

[CNOTES]

College basketball knowledge


Notes for Tuesday's games..........


Rhode Island lost its best player Matthews (knee) for season last week; Rams have three other starters back from LY's 23-10 team- it will be hard to replace Matthews' scoring. Valparaiso waxed ona by 25 over weekend; they've got all five starters back. A-14 teams are 2-6 vs spread so far this month; Horizon teams are 4-0 on road.


Former NBA coach Avery Johnson coaches his first college game here; Alabama is little short on talent in Johnson's first year, so it is a rebuilding year. Dayton's leading returning scorer Pierre is not in school this semester for off-court reasons; Flyers were a top 25 team before the suspension. A-14 home favorites are 1-5.


Auburn nipped in-state rival UAB 75-74 Friday, winning in the last minute being up 14 in first half; Tigers are in Year Two of Pearl era-- they got to line 31 times against experienced UAB. Colorado lost by 6 to Iowa State in its opener, turning ball over 18 times. Buffs have three starters back from LY, but lost two of best three guys.


Oklahoma hasn't played yet; they've got four starters back from a 24-11 team that made Sweet 16- they're top 10 preseason team. Big X teams are 4-3 vs spread so far this month; AAC teams are 5-3, 1-1 as dogs. Memphis won its opener by 18; Tigers have eight new guys, as seven guys left- their chemistry should be better this season.


DePaul won its opener by 6 over Western Michigan; Blue Demons made 25-36 from line, only 2-15 on line- they've got three starters back from LY-- been years since they were good. Penn State won its opener by 12 over VMI; they've got three starters back from a 18-16 team. Big 14 home favorites are 6-3 vs spread.


Harvard lost its PG for year this summer (knee), lost first D-I game by 12 to Providence Saturday; Crimson made 9-20 from arc, but it had 22 turnovers without its PG. UMass beat Howard 85-79 in its opener after being down 14 with 16:56 left; they were 28-44 on the line- they only used seven players more than 12:00.


Duke won by 3-7 points in only two games with Kentucky since 2002; Blue Devils scored 102.5 ppg in pair of wins over stiffs- they made 19-51 from arc. Kentucky won by 15-30 in its first two games; both teams have so many new players (5 of 10 starters in game are frosh/sophs), hard to know what to expect. Game is in Chicago, which is Krzyzewski's hometown.


Georgetown-Maryland is eagery awaited local matchup; Terps are top 3 pick in country, with Trimble one of best frosh in country. Hoyas lost 82-80 in double OT to Radford in opener, a red flag for their chances. Maryland has three starters back from 28-7 squad that won an NCAA game. Hoyas lost three starters from LY.


Kansas beat Michigan State 61-56 LY on neutral floor in Florida; State shot 31% inside arc in game, Jayhawks took 10 more FTs and was +8 on boards. Kansas has four starters back from 27-9 team that won an NCAA tourney game- they start two juniors, and two seniors. Spartans started two sophs, three seniors in their opener..


Stephen F Austin was 61-8 last two years, but lost by at Baylor by 42 in their opener; Bears are way more athletic than SFA. Northern Iowa won 79-77 in OT at SFA last year, shooting twice as many FTs (30-14) as Lumberjacks, in game SFA led by 8 with 12:50 left to go. Panthers lost their opener at home to Colorado St. Saturday.


Murray State won 68-49 at Middle Tennessee LY, Blue Raiders hit 1-22 from arc at home, but Racers lost four starters and head coach from LY- they beat a stiff by 50 first game. This is MTSU's opener; they've got lot of good players, but no great ones- they compete in practice to see who starts, not always great for chemistry.


Western Illinois was 10-21 LY but upset Wisconsin as underdogs of 26 points Friday; Leathernecks were 7-9 from arc in Madison, start two juniors, two seniors. Ill-Chicago's new coach is McClain, old Wyoming coach; his Flames lost to USF by 3 in opener- Dons shot 39 FTs, UIC 18 at home. Flames started two frosh in opener.


Oregon State has excellent freshman class that includes Stephen Thompson's son and coach Tinkle's son; Beavers hammered stiff in first game- they'll get tested here by Iona team that lost by 25 at very good Valparaiso in opener. Gaels start three seniors, are used to winning and like to play fast- this will be an interesting result. MAAC road underdogs are 3-6 vs spread this season.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA knowledge


Hot teams
-- Bucks won/covered five of their last seven games (3-1AU).
-- Miami won last three games, by 20-1-13 points (4-2HF).
-- Cleveland won eight of its last nine games (0-3AF).
-- New York is 3-2 in last five games, covering last four (1-2HF). Hornets won five of their last seven games (3-2AU).
-- Nuggets won three of last four games (3-2AU).
-- 11-0 Warriors covered three of last four games (3-3HF).


Cold teams
-- Washington lost three of its last four games (1-1HF).
-- Hawks lost three of their last four games (2-1-1AF). Brooklyn lost nine of first ten games, but covered last three.
-- Minnesota lost its last four games (5-0AU).
-- Pistons lost their last four games (1-0HU).
-- Pelicans lost nine of their first ten games (2-8 vs spread).
-- Toronto lost four of its last six games (2-1AU).


Series records
-- Wizards won five of last six games with Milwaukee.
-- Nets lost eight of their last ten games with Atlanta.
-- Heat won eight of its last ten games with Minnesota.
-- Cavaliers won six of last seven games with Detroit.
-- Knicks lost last four games with Charlotte (3-1 vs spread).
-- Pelicans lost four of last five games with Denver.
-- Golden State won/covered eight of last ten with Toronto.


Totals
-- Six of eight Washington games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Brooklyn games stayed under total.
-- Seven of last eight Miami games stayed under.
-- Eight of ten Detroit games stayed under total.
-- Seven of last eight New York games stayed under.
-- Seven of ten New Orleans games stayed under total.
-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Toronto games.

 

[CNOTES]

NHL knowledge


Hot teams
-- Dallas Stars won seven of last eight road games. Sabres won six of last nine overall.
-- Los Angeles won 11 of its last 14 games.
-- San Jose won its last three road games.
-- Blue Jackets are 6-4 in last ten games after an 0-8 start. Blues are 7-3 in last ten games.
-- Colorado won last three games, allowing three goals. Maple Leafs won three of last four.
-- Minnesota won three of its last four games.
-- New Jersey won ten of its last thirteen games.


Cold teams
-- Flyers lost eight of their last ten games.
-- Bruins lost four of their last six games.
-- Penguins lost three of their last four games.
-- Nashville is 4-5 in its last nine games. Anaheim lost three of its last four games.
-- Calgary lost three of its last four games.


Series records
-- Dallas Stars won three of last four games with Buffalo.
-- Kings lost six of last nine games with Philadelphia.
-- Bruins won three of last four games with San Jose.
-- Blues are 6-4 in last ten games with Colorado, 0-2 in last two.
-- Avalanche won four of last five visits to Toronto.
-- Penguins won four of last five games with Minnesota.
-- Ducks won four of last five games with Nashville.
-- Flames won their last five games with New Jersey.


Totals
-- Last six Dallas road games stayed under total.
-- Under is 4-1-2 in Flyers' last seven home games.
-- Six of eight Boston home games went over total.
-- Five of seven Columbus home games went over.
-- Under is 6-2-1 in Colorado's road games.
-- Under is 9-3-2 in last fourteen Penguin games.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last five Anaheim road games.
-- Six of eight Calgary home games went over.

 

[CNOTES]

Pro Basketball Trend Report


MILWAUKEE (5 - 5) at WASHINGTON (4 - 4) - 11/17/2015, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 67-43 ATS (+19.7 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 20-6 ATS (+13.4 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 344-415 ATS (-112.5 Units) in home games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 96-137 ATS (-54.7 Units) in November games since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-3 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 6-2 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




ATLANTA (8 - 4) at BROOKLYN (1 - 9) - 11/17/2015, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 60-46 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 7-7 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 10-4 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
8 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




MINNESOTA (4 - 6) at MIAMI (6 - 3) - 11/17/2015, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 41-66 ATS (-31.6 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 35-52 ATS (-22.2 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 25-41 ATS (-20.1 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 31-52 ATS (-26.2 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=91 points/game since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 109-142 ATS (-47.2 Units) in November games since 1996.
MIAMI is 114-150 ATS (-51.0 Units) in home games first half of the season since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 4-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 3-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




CLEVELAND (8 - 2) at DETROIT (5 - 5) - 11/17/2015, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in November games this season.
CLEVELAND is 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 5-3 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 6-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




CHARLOTTE (5 - 5) at NEW YORK (5 - 6) - 11/17/2015, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 35-53 ATS (-23.3 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW YORK is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW YORK is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 5-4 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 6-3 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




DENVER (5 - 5) at NEW ORLEANS (1 - 9) - 11/17/2015, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) after scoring 85 points or less over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 5-3 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 5-3 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




TORONTO (7 - 4) at GOLDEN STATE (11 - 0) - 11/17/2015, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 64-46 ATS (+13.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 59-40 ATS (+15.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 34-22 ATS (+9.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 66-39 ATS (+23.1 Units) in home games against Atlantic division opponents since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 38-22 ATS (+13.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 38-25 ATS (+10.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 3-1 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 3-1 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[CNOTES]

Pro Hockey Trend Report


DALLAS (14-4-0-0, 28 pts.) at BUFFALO (8-8-0-1, 17 pts.) - 11/17/2015, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 14-4 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all games this season.
DALLAS is 29-15 ATS (+46.7 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 14-4 ATS (+8.7 Units) first half of the season this season.
DALLAS is 7-1 ATS (+8.2 Units) in road games when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games in non-conference games this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 3-1 (+0.9 Units) against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 3-1-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)




LOS ANGELES (11-6-0-0, 22 pts.) at PHILADELPHIA (6-8-0-3, 15 pts.) - 11/17/2015, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOS ANGELES is 51-48 ATS (-19.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 3-9 ATS (-7.3 Units) in road games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 17-10 ATS (+5.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 64-56 ATS (+129.4 Units) in road games when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 39-60 ATS (-72.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 68-74 ATS (-60.4 Units) in home games when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 11-22 ATS (-12.2 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 3-1 (+3.2 Units) against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 3-1-0 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.1 Units)




SAN JOSE (9-8-0-0, 18 pts.) at BOSTON (8-7-0-1, 17 pts.) - 11/17/2015, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 14-20 ATS (-16.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 3-1 (+2.3 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 3-1-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)




ST LOUIS (12-5-0-1, 25 pts.) at COLUMBUS (6-12-0-0, 12 pts.) - 11/17/2015, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLUMBUS is 21-15 ATS (+38.0 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 128-121 ATS (+295.7 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
COLUMBUS is 14-7 ATS (+22.5 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 19-9 ATS (+28.7 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 103-75 ATS (+27.8 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
COLUMBUS is 2-2 (+1.7 Units) against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
COLUMBUS is 2-2-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+4.2 Units)




COLORADO (7-9-0-1, 15 pts.) at TORONTO (5-9-0-4, 14 pts.) - 11/17/2015, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 101-87 ATS (+11.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 42-31 ATS (+74.1 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 22-16 ATS (+41.2 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 51-30 ATS (+13.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 35-65 ATS (-51.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 13-26 ATS (+43.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 2-2 (+0.3 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 2-2-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.0 Units)




MINNESOTA (10-3-0-3, 23 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (10-7-0-0, 20 pts.) - 11/17/2015, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 10-19 ATS (-10.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 54-50 ATS (+0.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 74-97 ATS (-41.7 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5 or less since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 3-1 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 3-1-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.0 Units)




ANAHEIM (6-8-0-4, 16 pts.) at NASHVILLE (10-3-0-3, 23 pts.) - 11/17/2015, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ANAHEIM is 6-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all games this season.
ANAHEIM is 6-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) first half of the season this season.
NASHVILLE is 15-3 ATS (+10.9 Units) in home games on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 10-1 ATS (+8.5 Units) in home games when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 194-150 ATS (+37.1 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
ANAHEIM is 22-13 ATS (+35.7 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5 or less over the last 3 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 20-9 ATS (+29.1 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 25-13 ATS (+10.4 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 39-17 ATS (+13.6 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 28-11 ATS (+12.3 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 8-15 ATS (-11.0 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 8-20 ATS (-12.7 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
ANAHEIM is 6-2 (+3.3 Units) against the spread versus NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
ANAHEIM is 6-2-0 straight up against NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
8 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+8.8 Units)




NEW JERSEY (10-6-0-1, 21 pts.) at CALGARY (6-12-0-1, 13 pts.) - 11/17/2015, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW JERSEY is 21-43 ATS (+71.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
CALGARY is 18-11 ATS (+31.8 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 17-10 ATS (+29.0 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 4-0 (+4.5 Units) against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 4-0-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.3 Units)

 

[CNOTES]

College Basketball Trend Report


VALPARAISO (2 - 0) at RHODE ISLAND (1 - 0) - 11/17/2015, 10:00 AM
Top Trends for this game.
VALPARAISO is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
RHODE ISLAND is 88-125 ATS (-49.5 Units) in all home games since 1997.
RHODE ISLAND is 88-125 ATS (-49.5 Units) in home lined games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


ALABAMA (1 - 0) at DAYTON (1 - 0) - 11/17/2015, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ALABAMA is 78-105 ATS (-37.5 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
DAYTON is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
ALABAMA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




COLORADO (0 - 1) at AUBURN (1 - 0) - 11/17/2015, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
AUBURN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 1-0 against the spread versus AUBURN over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO is 1-0 straight up against AUBURN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




OKLAHOMA (0 - 0) at MEMPHIS (1 - 0) - 11/17/2015, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




DEPAUL (1 - 0) at PENN ST (1 - 0) - 11/17/2015, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DEPAUL is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
DEPAUL is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




MISSOURI (2 - 0) at XAVIER (1 - 0) - 11/17/2015, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MISSOURI is 24-40 ATS (-20.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MISSOURI is 24-40 ATS (-20.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MISSOURI is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 3 seasons.
MISSOURI is 73-104 ATS (-41.4 Units) in road games since 1997.
MISSOURI is 73-104 ATS (-41.4 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
MISSOURI is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
XAVIER is 194-150 ATS (+29.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
XAVIER is 1-0 against the spread versus MISSOURI over the last 3 seasons
XAVIER is 1-0 straight up against MISSOURI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




WI-MILWAUKEE (3 - 0) at NOTRE DAME (1 - 0) - 11/17/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NOTRE DAME is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
NOTRE DAME is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
NOTRE DAME is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NOTRE DAME is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




SAN DIEGO (0 - 1) at W MICHIGAN (0 - 1) - 11/17/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1997.
W MICHIGAN is 53-76 ATS (-30.6 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
W MICHIGAN is 1-1 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
W MICHIGAN is 1-1 straight up against SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




ST BONAVENTURE (1 - 0) at SYRACUSE (1 - 0) - 11/17/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SYRACUSE is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




MASSACHUSETTS (1 - 0) at HARVARD (1 - 1) - 11/17/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MASSACHUSETTS is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
MASSACHUSETTS is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.




Head-to-Head Series History
MASSACHUSETTS is 1-0 against the spread versus HARVARD over the last 3 seasons
HARVARD is 1-0 straight up against MASSACHUSETTS over the last 3 seasons




DUKE (2 - 0) vs. KENTUCKY (2 - 0) - 11/17/2015, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DUKE is 25-15 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 25-15 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1997.
DUKE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
DUKE is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




WICHITA ST (1 - 0) at TULSA (1 - 0) - 11/17/2015, 8:00 PM


There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
WICHITA ST is 2-0 against the spread versus TULSA over the last 3 seasons
WICHITA ST is 2-0 straight up against TULSA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




TX-ARLINGTON (1 - 0) at LOUISIANA TECH (1 - 0) - 11/17/2015, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISIANA TECH is 60-39 ATS (+17.1 Units) after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.
TX-ARLINGTON is 36-18 ATS (+16.2 Units) as an underdog since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




TX-SAN ANTONIO (0 - 2) at CREIGHTON (1 - 0) - 11/17/2015, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TX-SAN ANTONIO is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




NEBRASKA (1 - 0) at VILLANOVA (1 - 0) - 11/17/2015, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEBRASKA is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEBRASKA is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NEBRASKA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
NEBRASKA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
NEBRASKA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NEBRASKA is 68-96 ATS (-37.6 Units) after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
NEBRASKA is 8-26 ATS (-20.6 Units) in road games after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.
NEBRASKA is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 3 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points over the last 3 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) in November games since 1997.
VILLANOVA is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




GEORGETOWN (0 - 1) at MARYLAND (1 - 0) - 11/17/2015, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGETOWN is 94-58 ATS (+30.2 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




MICHIGAN ST (1 - 0) vs. KANSAS (1 - 0) - 11/17/2015, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN ST is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS is 1-0 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS is 1-0 straight up against MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




CS-FULLERTON (0 - 1) at PACIFIC (0 - 1) - 11/17/2015, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CS-FULLERTON is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CS-FULLERTON is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CS-FULLERTON is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
CS-FULLERTON is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
CS-FULLERTON is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
PACIFIC is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


WI-GREEN BAY (0 - 1) at E TENN ST (1 - 0) - 11/17/2015, 6:00 AM
Top Trends for this game.
WI-GREEN BAY is 3-16 ATS (-14.6 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights since 1997.
E TENN ST is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
E TENN ST is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
E TENN ST is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




SF AUSTIN ST (0 - 1) at N IOWA (0 - 1) - 11/17/2015, 8:00 AM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
N IOWA is 1-0 against the spread versus SF AUSTIN ST over the last 3 seasons
N IOWA is 1-0 straight up against SF AUSTIN ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




RIDER (0 - 1) at LASALLE (1 - 0) - 11/17/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
RIDER is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
RIDER is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
LASALLE is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 3 seasons.
LASALLE is 16-34 ATS (-21.4 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




FURMAN (1 - 0) at APPALACHIAN ST (1 - 0) - 11/17/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
APPALACHIAN ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games in November games since 1997.
FURMAN is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
FURMAN is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
FURMAN is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
APPALACHIAN ST is 34-57 ATS (-28.7 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
FURMAN is 2-0 against the spread versus APPALACHIAN ST over the last 3 seasons
FURMAN is 2-0 straight up against APPALACHIAN ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




DARTMOUTH (0 - 1) at MARIST (0 - 1) - 11/17/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DARTMOUTH is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DARTMOUTH is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DARTMOUTH is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




N DAKOTA (1 - 0) at WISCONSIN (1 - 1) - 11/17/2015, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WISCONSIN is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in home games after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
N DAKOTA is 1-0 against the spread versus WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN is 1-0 straight up against N DAKOTA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


MIDDLE TENN ST (0 - 0) at MURRAY ST (1 - 0) - 11/17/2015, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIDDLE TENN ST is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
MIDDLE TENN ST is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
MURRAY ST is 1-1 against the spread versus MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
MURRAY ST is 1-1 straight up against MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons




IL-CHICAGO (0 - 1) at W ILLINOIS (2 - 0) - 11/17/2015, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IL-CHICAGO is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 3 seasons.
IL-CHICAGO is 111-82 ATS (+20.8 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
IL-CHICAGO is 111-79 ATS (+24.1 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
W ILLINOIS is 1-0 against the spread versus IL-CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
IL-CHICAGO is 1-0 straight up against W ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons




IONA (0 - 1) at OREGON ST (1 - 0) - 11/17/2015, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IONA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
IONA is 37-59 ATS (-27.9 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1997.
OREGON ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON ST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON ST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




GRAMBLING (1 - 1) at OHIO ST (1 - 0) - 11/17/2015, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

 

[CNOTES]

Tuesday's Tip Sheet


November 17, 2015


Bucks at Wizards – 7:05 PM EST


Milwaukee (5-5 SU, 5-5 ATS) snapped a two-game skid by knocking off Cleveland in double-overtime on Saturday, 108-105 as five-point underdogs. The Bucks spread out the scoring with seven players putting up double-figures, as the backcourt duo of Michael Carter-Williams and Jerryd Bayless each scored 17 points. It’s been a roller-coaster ride for Jason Kidd’s squad so far this month, starting 0-3, followed by a four-game winning streak, then consecutive losses to the Celtics and Nuggets before the OT triumph over Cleveland. The Bucks are playing with revenge after blowing a double-digit fourth quarter lead to the Wizards in late October, 118-113 as two-point home underdogs.


The expectations were raised for the Wizards (4-4 SU, 3-5 ATS) this season following their appearance in the second round of the playoffs last season. Washington looked good with a 2-0 start, but have dropped four of its last six games, including three losses by double-digits. The Wizards snapped a three-game skid by holding off the Magic on Saturday, 108-99 to cash as 5 ½-point favorites, but Bradley Beal missed his second straight game with a shoulder injury. Beal is questionable for tonight for the Wizards, who are riding a 6-0-1 run to the ‘over’ the last seven games.


Cavaliers at Pistons – 7:35 PM EST


It was a tough finish to a seven-game road trip for Detroit (5-5 SU, 5-5 ATS) following wins at Phoenix and Portland, as the Pistons lost the final four games, including a 97-85 setback to the Lakers as 4 ½-point favorites on Sunday. In all four defeats, Stan Van Gundy’s team didn’t bust the 100-point mark, while giving up at least 100 points in four of the past five games after not allowing triple-digits in the first five contests of the season. The Pistons have won and covered in each of their two opportunities as a home underdog this season, while posting a 5-2 ATS mark in the ‘dog role overall.


The Cavaliers (8-2 SU, 3-7 ATS) continue to own the top record in the Eastern Conference in spite of Saturday’s double-overtime setback at Milwaukee. Cleveland covered its first three games of the season, but have turned into pointspread poison by failing to cash in seven consecutive contests, all as a favorite of five points or more. The Cavs have cashed the ‘over’ in four of the last five games, while beating the Pistons in three of four attempts last season.


Hornets at Knicks – 7:35 PM EST


What a difference a year makes for New York (5-6 SU, 7-4 ATS), who didn’t win its fifth game last season until mid-December. The Knicks snapped a two-game skid by knocking off the struggling Pelicans on Sunday afternoon, 95-87 to cash as 1 ½-point home favorites, the fourth straight cover for Derek Fisher’s squad. The defense has stepped up by holding seven of their past eight opponents to below 100 points, resulting in a 7-1 run to the ‘under.’ New York looks to avenge a 95-93 defeat at Charlotte last week, even though the Knicks covered as 6 ½-point road underdogs as rookie Kristaps Porzingas’ potential game-winning three-pointer came just after the final buzzer sounded.


An 0-3 start is in the rear-view mirror for the Hornets (5-5 SU, 6-3-1 ATS), who knocked off the Blazers on Sunday, 106-94 to reach the .500 mark. Charlotte scorched Portland for 71 first-half points before Portland made things interesting in the second half, as Nicolas Batum burned his former team for 33 points. The Hornets have struggled a bit on the road by posting a 2-4 SU record, but have covered four times in six tries.


Nuggets at Pelicans – 8:05 PM EST


Things have been anything but easy for New Orleans (1-9 SU, 2-8 ATS), who qualified for the playoffs last season before getting swept by the eventual champion Warriors. The Pelicans have suffered several key injuries so far, as Tyreke Evans has yet to suit up following knee surgery and star Anthony Davis missed a pair of games with a hip injury. Davis returned Sunday after the two-game absence to put up 36 points in an eight-point loss at New York, dropping the Pelicans to 0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS on the road. The only positive to come out of the loss to the Knicks is Alvin Gentry’s squad allowed less than 100 points for the first time this season, but the Pelicans are 7-3 to the ‘under’ in spite of their defensive woes.


There weren’t many expectations in the Mile High City for the Nuggets (5-5 SU, 5-5 ATS) to be extremely competitive this season, but Mike Malone’s team is sitting at .500 through 10 games. Denver’s three-game winning streak came to a halt in Saturday’s 105-81 blowout loss at Phoenix as 7 ½-point underdogs, falling behind 60-28 at halftime. All three losses on the road for the Nuggets have come by 15 points or more, while both away victories at the Rockets and Lakers have come by double-digits, so none of Denver’s road games have been competitive either way. The Nuggets grabbed three of four meetings from the Pelicans last season, including a pair of victories at Smoothie King Center.


Raptors at Warriors – 10:35 PM EST


The biggest question surrounding Golden State (11-0 SU, 7-4 ATS) remains the same. When will the Warriors lose a game? The defending champions continue to win after surviving a scare against 1-8 Brooklyn in overtime, topping the Nets, 107-99, but failing to cover as hefty 16-point favorites. The Warriors own a 3-3 ATS record at Oracle Arena this season, as two of the three ATS losses have come as favorites of 13 ½ or more. Golden State had scored at least 100 points in regulation in its first 10 games prior to scoring 97 in regulation against Brooklyn, as the Warriors are 4-0 to the ‘under’ in contests with totals of 209 or less.


The Raptors (7-4 SU, 7-4 ATS) jumped out to a 5-0 record, but have lost four of their last six games, including a late meltdown at Sacramento in Sunday’s 107-101 setback as two-point favorites. Toronto continues its five-game Western Conference road swing in Oakland, while starting back-to-back set that moves to Utah on Wednesday. The Raptors were blown out twice by the Warriors last season, including a 126-105 defeat at Oracle Arena, even though DeMar DeRozan missed the game due to injury. Toronto is listed as an underdog for the fourth time this season, posting a 2-1 SU/ATS mark so far, including a victory as eight-point ‘dogs at Oklahoma City.

 

[CNOTES]

Tuesday's Top Action


November 17, 2015




KENTUCKY WILDCATS (2-0) vs. DUKE BLUE DEVILS (2-0)


United Center – Chicago, IL
Tip-off: Tuesday, 7:30 p.m. ET
Sportsbook.ag Line: Kentucky -4.5


No. 2 Kentucky and No. 5, defending national champion Duke add another chapter in their limited, but storied history, as they square off Tuesday for the second time in the Champions Classic since 2012.


Two of the biggest heavyweights in modern college basketball tip off in the fifth cycle of the Champions Classic -- they also met in 2012 in this same venue -- when Coach Mike Krzyzewski’s Blue Devils face Coach John Calipari’s Wildcats.


This matchup of two blue-blood programs features one of the most memorable moments in college sports: Christian Laettner’s buzzer beater in the 1992 Elite Eight. Krzyzewski is 2-0 versus Calipari, most recently winning 75-68 as a 4.5-point favorite over Kentucky in 2012 after defeating Calipari’s Memphis squad in 2005.


Overall, Duke holds a 3-1 edge (2-2 ATS) since 1998 over the Wildcats. As is the norm, both coaches reloaded through recruiting after losing three top-6 draft picks in Karl-Anthony Towns and Willie Cauley Stein for Kentucky and Jahlil Okafor for Duke. These Tuesday combatants are on a short list of programs who can stay in the top-five of preseason polls while relying on the successes of “one-and-done” freshmen. The defending national champion Blue Devils will look to repeat their sterling non-conference performance from last season (19-0 SU, 14-5 ATS). The Wildcats famously went undefeated SU last season until succumbing to a relentless Wisconsin squad in the Final Four.


While that was their only non-conference loss of the season, they did struggle to cover consistently against non-SEC opponents (9-9 ATS) albeit against spreads that predominantly had Kentucky as overwhelming favorites.


Current NBA-ers Nerlens Noel, Willie Cauley-Stein and Archie Goodwin were key names for Kentucky the last time they played the Blue Devils in 2012, but the leading scorer for the Wildcats that night was then-freshman, now-senior PF Alex Poythress (5.5. PPG, 3.8 RPG), who scored 20 points. The player once talked about as a lottery pick, Poythress has a large leadership role, but has only 5.5 PPG and 5.0 RPG in 16.0 MPG in two games this season.


The Wildcats in the headlines will, unsurprisingly, be three universally lauded freshmen (F Skal Labissiere, G Jamal Murray, and G Isaiah Briscoe). Labissiere (17.5 PPG, 77% FG, 5.0 RPG, 3.0 BPG) is mentioned as a lock for a lottery pick and possibly the top pick overall. Murray (13.5 PPG, 5.0 APG, 4.0 RPG, 2.0 SPG) has the innate scoring skills and size of an NBA-ready off-guard. Briscoe (11 points, 12 rebounds on Saturday) is a fearless metro New York product built like an NFL running back at 6-foot-3, 202 pounds.


That said, Kentucky's most indispensable player and on-floor leader will be diminutive sophomore G Tyler Ulis (8.5 PPG, 4.5 RPG, 3.5 APG). Ulis is a natural pass-first guard who dented a star-studded roster for 24 minutes per game last season, but has already logged 68 minutes over two lopsided wins. As Calipari’s rotations were famous for finding playing time for 10 players in 2014-15, Ulis will most definitely get all the work he can handle this time around.


Flying under the radar is junior F Marcus Lee (11.0 PPG, 8.0 RPG, 3.0 BPG), who will need to fill big shoes around the rim for the departed Towns and Cauley-Stein. Calipari doesn’t expect Lee to make a huge dent in the scoring column, but does expect Lee to prevent Kentucky’s dominant defense from 2014-15 from dropping off too steeply. There’s not much doubt that the Wildcats will still be able to score, but their ability to maintain their suffocating defense will determine how effective Duke will be Tuesday evening.


While Jahlil Okafor, Justise Winslow, and Tyus Jones are indeed gone, and the Blue Devils aren’t quite as well-versed in replacing “one-and-done’s” as Kentucky is, Duke has done well to re-stock the cupboard and prime itself for a title defense. It will be tough for the Blue Devils to regain the offensive wizardry they exhibited for large stretches last season (79.3 PPG, 6th NCAA; 50.2% FG, 3rd in nation). As good as lottery picks Okafor and Winslow were, the lack of a true point guard to fill Jones’ spot in the lineup might be the biggest hurdle to this current team. Duke was 13th in the nation in assist-to-turnover ratio, and Jones also was extremely clutch late in close games.


Looking to take over for Jones is another promising sophomore, G Grayson Allen (27.0 PPG, 4.0 RPG, 4.0 APG), who is a player widely expect to flourish (like Ulis) with a bigger role. Allen famously exploded in the national title game with 16 points against Wisconsin and has made 16-of-31 FG (5-of-12 threes) and 17-of-18 FT so far this season. While not a natural point guard, Krzyzewski knows he has to create more opportunities for the explosive Allen to put his talents to use.


Flanking Allen in the starting lineup will be highly-touted freshman F Brandon Ingram (18.0 PPG, 4.0 RPG), a lanky and smooth scoring forward in a Kevin Durant-esque mold. Ingram, along with returnees, C Marshall Plumlee (6.0 PPG, 8.5 RPG) and F Amile Jefferson (15.0 PPG, 11.5 RPG) provide for a promising frontcourt. Jefferson has made 12-of-18 FG (67%) this season and has more offensive rebounds (13) than defensive boards (10).


Steady junior G Matt Jones (14.5 PPG, 65% FG) looks ahead to consistent starting minutes for the Blue Devils as well, but will be pushed by freshmen sharpshooting lefty, G Luke Kennard (10.0 PPG, 53% FG), and freshman G Derryck Thornton (4.5 PPG, 4.0 RPG, 3.5 APG), who is the only “true point guard” on the roster. Thornton is about the only player on the team struggling with his shot, as Duke is knocking down 50% FG and 37% threes despite Thornton making only 18% FG (3-of-17) and 1-of-6 threes.


MICHIGAN ST SPARTANS (1-0) vs. KANSAS JAYHAWKS (1-0)


United Center – Chicago, IL
Tip-off: Tuesday, 10:00 p.m. ET
Sportsbook.ag Line: Kansas -6, Total: 149


No. 4 Kansas and No. 13 Michigan State play for the third time in four seasons on Tuesday night when they meet in the Champions Classic in Chicago.


While the Jayhawks and Spartans aren’t conference rivals, there’s a sense of familiarity around this matchup. Part of this is due to Kansas coach Bill Self being an old rival of Spartans coach Tom Izzo from Self’s time at Illinois. Part of this is also due to Kansas and Michigan State having played each other in 2012 (in the second edition of the Champions Classic) and also 2014.


The teams split those games, with Kansas the most recent victor, 61-56, last season in the championship of the Orlando Classic and Michigan State winning 67-64 in the second edition of the Champions Classic (Atlanta, 2012). Senior team leaders F Perry Ellis (13.8 PPG, 6.9 RPG) and G Denzel Valentine (14.5 PPG, 6.3 RPG) have played in both of these games for Kansas and Michigan State, respectively. Historically, Michigan State is 4-2 SU and 5-1 ATS versus Kansas since 1999.


The Spartans reached yet another Final Four under Izzo in 2014-15, but fell woefully short against the eventual National Champions, Duke. Kansas also fell short in the NCAA Tournament, albeit much earlier, upset by in-state darling Wichita State in the Round of 32 after a 27-9 season. Both Michigan State and Kansas won their opening games of 2015-16 in convincing fashion, by 27 and 37 points respectively.


For Michigan State, F Marvin Clark Jr. (4.5 PPG) and F Gavin Schilling (5.1 PPG) are out with injuries. Highly touted freshman F Cheick Diallo is still dealing with eligibility issues and looks to be out for Kansas on Tuesday evening.


Gone from Michigan State’s Final Four team of a year ago are Branden Dawson and Travis Trice, and while replacing them with just two players would be impossible, coach Tom Izzo always seems to have a quiet confidence about the guys coming back. The main cog of those that return is Denzel Valentine, the senior leader and loudest voice outside of Izzo. The 6-foot-5 burly guard can impose his will on the game even without scoring, filling the box score with rebounds, assists, and getting the crowd pumped up with hustle plays. In the Spartans’ 82-55 opening-night win over FAU, Valentine had 13 points, eight rebounds and nine assists.


The cast behind Valentine is less proven, and will most likely be much better in March, as most Izzo teams are. Sharp-shooting G Bryn Forbes (8.5 PPG, 43% threes) returns for his second season after transferring to East Lansing, and provides a great complement for Valentine to kick the ball to and punish the defense from behind the arc. Six-foot-9 senior F Matt Costello (7.0 PPG, 5.2 RPG) also returns and should have added scoring responsibility, as judged by his 15 points in 19 minutes in the win over FAU.


Izzo is hoping for big things from West Virginia transfer G Eron Harris (17.4 PPG in 2013-14), but Harris will have to buy in to Izzo’s defense-first philosophy if he wants to play more than the 17 minutes he got on Friday night. The Spartans are also encouraged by the play of McDonald’s All-American freshman F Deyonta Davis, who put up a double-double of 13 points and 11 rebounds on Friday night.


With all the buzz around “will he” or “won’t he” in regards to the eligibility status if Diallo, the Jayhawks that are on the floor did a pretty good job of selling themselves as the No. 4 team in the nation on Friday night, pummeling Northern Colorado 109-72.


Five Kansas players finished in double-figures in that contest, including the aforementioned Ellis, who’s one of those guys who feels like he’s been on campus for seven years. Ellis led all scorers with 17 points in last November’s win over Michigan State, going 7-for-15 from the field. Looking to rebound from an 0-for-10 performance from the field last season versus the Spartans will be junior G Wayne Selden Jr. (9.4 PPG, 2.6 APG).


Selden, who was recruited alongside former No. 1 overall pick Andrew Wiggins, has had possibly unreasonably high expectations for production during his time in Lawrence. He may never be the star that takes over Wiggins’ place, but consistent production will be needed from Selden for the Jayhawks to fulfill their championship aspirations this season. Selden’s junior classmate, G Frank Mason III (12.6 PPG, 3.9 APG) is the floor leader for the Jayhawks and the guy coach Bill Self goes to in the clutch. Mason III is arguably Kansas’ best outside shooter at 43% from three and can ice a game at the charity stripe, too (79% FT).


Adding another dimension to the Jayhawks backcourt (that the Spartans haven’t seen from last season), will be sophomore G Devonte’ Graham (5.7 PPG). Graham gives Kansas an extra gear when it opts for a smaller lineup, as Self realizes that even though Mason is the starting point guard, Graham is one of the team's most talented players and needs consistent minutes. Graham responded with 13 points and eight assists in the opener, while cracking the starting lineup. Keep an eye out for junior G Brennan Greene (5.7 PPG, 40% threes), as the lanky wing dropped 18 points in 14 minutes without a miss (6-of-6 FG, 5-of-5 threes) on Friday night.

 

[CNOTES]

November Tourney Odds


November 17, 2015


The next two weeks of college basketball will be a busy time for plenty of teams that are traveling to tournaments prior to, during, or after the Thanksgiving holiday. Six major tournaments take place, starting with the Charleston Classic in Charleston, South Carolina and the Puerto Rico Tip-Off. A pair of ACC teams are listed as the favorites with Virginia at -300 (Bet $300 to win $100) to capture the Charleston Classic title and Miami, FL the chalk to win the Puerto Rico Tip-Off.


During the Thanksgiving holiday weekend, there will be a bunch of terrific matchups taking place in college basketball tournaments, including the DirecTV Wooden Legacy in Anaheim, California, the Battle 4 Atlantis, and the AdvoCare Invitational in Orlando, Florida. The Wooden Legacy is a strong at the top with Arizona and Michigan State as the favorites, while Gonzaga, Michigan, and Syracuse are among the clubs participating in the Battle 4 Atlantis.


Below are the latest odds for each of the six major tournaments coming up this month, courtesy of Sportsbook.ag.


Charleston Classic - Odds to Win - November 19-22, 2015


Virginia 1/3
Ole Miss 11/2
Oklahoma St 6/1
Long Beach State 20/1
Seton Hall 20/1
George Mason 40/1
Towson 60/1
Bradley 100/1


Puerto Rico Tip-Off - Odds to Win - November 19-22, 2015


Miami, FL 9/5
Butler 2/1
Utah 13/4
Minnesota 10/1
Temple 12/1
Mississippi St 14/1
Texas Tech 30/1
Missouri State 100/1


Maui Invitational - Odds to Win - November 23-25, 2015


Kansas 10/11
Indiana 5/2
Vanderbilt 4/1
UCLA 10/1
UNLV 25/1
Wake Forest 30/1
St John's 150/1
Chaminade 300/1


DirecTV Wooden Legacy - Odds to Win - November 26-29, 2015


Arizona 8/5
Michigan State 9/5
Boise State 9/2
Providence 10/1
Evansville 12/1
UC Irvine 15/1
Boston College 100/1
Santa Clara 100/1


Battle 4 Atlantis - Odds to Win - November 25-27, 2015


Gonzaga 2/1
Michigan 4/1
Texas A&M 9/2
UConn 9/2
Texas 11/2
Syracuse 8/1
Washington 40/1
Charlotte 300/1


AdvoCare Invitational - Odds to Win - November 26-29, 2015


Notre Dame 2/1
Wichita State 2/1
Iowa 5/1 Dayton 6/1
Xavier 6/1
USC 20/1
Alabama 60/1
Monmouth 100/1

 

[CNOTES]

Preview: Kings (11-6) at Flyers (5-8)


Date: November 17, 2015 7:00 PM EDT

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Los Angeles Kings twice last season while totaling four regulation goals, and it'll likely have to happen in similar modest fashion if another win is in order.


The teams meet for the first time in 2015-16 on Tuesday night in Philadelphia with the low-scoring Flyers trying to derail the first-place Kings for the third straight time.


The Flyers are coming off Saturday's 3-2 overtime win in Carolina, failing to score three regulation goals for the eighth time in nine games, and their 1.88 per game ranks near the bottom of the league.


Jakub Voracek at least finally found the net, scoring his first goal 37 seconds into overtime.


"I almost forgot how that feels," said Voracek, who entered 2015-16 with three straight seasons of at least 22 goals.


The Flyers lost forward Ryan White to an upper-body injury that's expected to keep him out as much as four weeks, and coach Dave Hakstol has responded to injury and a lack of production by retooling his lines.


He's moving Brayden Schenn from a healthy scratch to the first line with Claude Giroux and Voracek. Michael Raffl took White's spot with Chris VandeVelde and Pierre-Edouard Bellemare.


"We've got Whitey out of the lineup, so that changes things throughout our lineup," Hakstol told the team's official website. "I think Raff can go and do a good job with the other two guys on that line, and looking at Brayden with Giroux and Voracek, he's played there in the past, and certainly it's a good opportunity for him."


The win over the Hurricanes moved Philadelphia to 2-6-2 after a 4-2-1 start, while Los Angeles has gone the other way. The Kings opened 0-3-0 but are 11-3-0 since while limiting opponents to 1.71 goals per game.


Los Angeles is 4-1-0 on the road, and the Flyers are suffering through an 0-3-1 span at home with 17 goals allowed.


The Kings, who lost 3-2 in overtime and 2-1 to the Flyers last season, have won consecutive games after Saturday's 4-3 home victory over Edmonton. They've posted a 20-for-21 penalty kill in the last seven heading into a five-game road trip against the Eastern Conference.


Marian Gaborik had a goal and an assist Saturday after managing a goal and an assist in the first 16 games. Tanner Pearson had a goal and two assists, giving him seven points in his last six. Milan Lucic has scored in three of his last four games after managing two in his first 13 with his new team.


"(Gaborik) was good early," coach Darryl Sutter told the Kings' official website. "Tanner's been good. Isn't that what (Gaborik's) supposed to do? So how important is it? Pretty important ... it's not really any magic or some recipe there. He's supposed to produce."


The same goes for Jonathan Quick, but Los Angeles' No. 1 goaltender has been a little shaky lately. He's posted a 2.84 goals-against average over a 2-3-0 span despite never facing more than 26 shots. Backup Jhonas Enroth is 3-0-0 with a 0.67 GAA.


Quick is 4-3-1 with a 1.88 GAA in eight career games against the Flyers, who could use more from Steve Mason.


Mason beat Carolina but has a 3.42 GAA over a 1-3-1 span. He's won his last two against Los Angeles with one goal allowed and a .986 save percentage.

 

[CNOTES]

Preview: Sharks (8-8) at Bruins (8-7)


Date: November 17, 2015 7:00 PM EDT

Among the worst home teams in the NHL, the Boston Bruins are trying to turn things around. A matchup with the San Jose Sharks will make that tougher.


The Bruins attempt to build on just their second home win of the season Tuesday night when they face the Sharks, one of the league's best on the road.


Boston (8-7-1) has won six of eight road games but has failed to carry that success back to TD Garden, where it's 2-5-1 after going 24-10-7 to tie for third-best home record in the Eastern Conference last season.


"It was kind of one of those things where we were playing not to lose," defenseman Torey Krug said. "I know it's a cliche that you have to play to win."


The Bruins are hoping Saturday's 3-1 win over Detroit is the start of a turnaround after opening this five-game homestand with a 3-2 loss to Colorado two days earlier.


"It's huge," said defenseman Kevan Miller, who assisted on Krug's first goal of the season Saturday. "We have three more games at home before we head back on the road. I think it's important that we build on this."


The issues at home haven't been much of a problem for David Krejci. The center has 10 of his team-leading 18 points there after opening the scoring in Boston's three-goal second period against the Red Wings.


Krejci has one goal and one assist in each of the last two home matchups against San Jose (9-8-0) with the Bruins winning both.


The Sharks, though, are 6-3-0 on the road, winning three straight after taking the first two of this season-high six-game trip. They won 2-1 at Buffalo on Saturday on Patrick Marleau's overtime tally.


"It's nice to get two wins, but you've got to keep it going because if you lose your next two games, you're back to where you started," defenseman Marc-Edouard Vlasic told the team's official website after getting one goal and one assist. "In this league you've got to get wins together in order to create separation with the teams behind you."


Joe Pavelski assisted on Vlasic's power-play goal against the Sabres, giving him nine points on the road. The center leads the Sharks with nine goals and 15 points, and he has seven points in his last six meetings with the Bruins.


Pavelski scored twice and assisted on a goal by Tomas Hertl in a 7-4 home win over Boston on Dec. 4.


Martin Jones is likely to face the Bruins for the first time. He's stopped 56 of 59 shots while winning the first two games of this trip after being pulled for giving up two goals on three shots in the first 3:30 of a 4-2 loss to the New York Islanders.


"That's as well as I've seen him play," coach Peter DeBoer said after Jones made 30 saves against the Sabres. "I thought he was excellent. We needed him to be our best player."


The Bruins will likely turn to Tuukka Rask, who had 22 saves Saturday after giving up eight goals on 49 shots while losing his previous two at home.


"I look good when the team looks good," said Rask, who made 37 saves while giving up a career high in goals at San Jose in December.

 

[CNOTES]

Preview: Stars (14-4) at Sabres (7-8)


Date: November 17, 2015 7:00 PM EDT

John Klingberg is the NHL's highest-scoring defenseman and playing a vital role in the Dallas Stars' climb to the top of the Western Conference.


Coming off a pair of multipoint efforts, Klingberg tries to help the visiting Stars continue their success against the Eastern Conference on Tuesday night against the Buffalo Sabres.


Klingberg's 20 points are half his total as a rookie last season and put him in the lead among defensemen. He's ahead of Ottawa's Erik Karlsson and P.K. Subban of Montreal - with three Norris Trophies between them - by two and three points, respectively.


The Stars (14-4-0) have never had a Norris winner, but Klingberg might be able to change that. He's collected 19 of his points in victories, including two goals and three assists in the last two games.


He had a season-high three points after scoring in overtime of Saturday's 3-2 win over Minnesota.


One of Klingberg's assists set up a power-play tally by Jamie Benn, giving him 10 points on the man advantage to tie Boston's Patrice Bergeron for the league lead.


"I'm happy about it. I'm a player that should put up those points," Klingberg told the team's official website. "I get to play those minutes on the power play, and there are lots of scoring opportunities."


Dallas is 8-3-0 against the East, winning seven of eight matchups on the road.


Benn is second in the league with 12 goals and third with 25 points, and he's scored eight of those goals against Eastern clubs. The left wing has four goals and five assists in seven career matchups with the Sabres.


The Stars, though, are 1-6-1 with a tie in their last nine visits to Buffalo (8-8-1).


The Sabres are 5-1-1 after opening the season with losses in seven of their first 10 games. They picked up another point Saturday, falling 2-1 in overtime to San Jose as their three-game winning streak ended.


Like Dallas, Buffalo is getting an unexpected increase in production from a defenseman. Rasmus Ristolainen has 11 points after totaling 20 all of last season. He's accumulated three goals and three assists during a four-game point streak after setting up Ryan O'Reilly's third-period tally Saturday.


"I think I've been doing a better job than last year defensively and offensively," Ristolainen told the team's official website. "I think I can still be better and better and I try to be better and better.


"I try to help the team offensively, lately I have some points. But I don't think that way; I try to take care first in the defensive zone and then try to get something started on offense too."


Buffalo might have some defensive help coming as Zach Bogosian is nearing a return from a lower-body injury that's kept him out all season.


"He looks like he should be ready to play sometime this week," coach Dan Bylsma said.


The Sabres could be without center Zemgus Girgensons, who is reportedly still feeling the effects of a hit against the Sharks. However, Bylsma claims it's not concussion related.


Jack Eichel has no points in his last two games, but he remains the team's leaders with six goals. The rookie has five goals and two assists in 10 home games compared to two points in seven on the road.

 

[CNOTES]

Preview: Blues (12-5) at Blue Jackets (6-12)


Date: November 17, 2015 7:00 PM EDT

Ken Hitchcock felt the only way to inspire the St. Louis Blues after back-to-back defeats was to completely rearrange his line combinations.


Now he has to decide if he wants to stick with the new look.


It seems wise to keep intact the new top line of David Backes, Vladimir Tarasenko and Alexander Steen heading into Tuesday night's road game against the Columbus Blue Jackets after a solid performance from the trio.


Backes scored twice - including the tiebreaking goal in the second period - and added an assist in Monday's 3-2 win over Winnipeg. Tarasenko scored for the third straight game and had an assist, and Steen assisted on Backes' winner.


The Blues (12-5-1) came in off consecutive games in regulation for the first time this season, prompting Hitchcock's makeover. Backes replaced Jori Lehtera, who had centered the top line for 12 games after Paul Stastny was injured but moved down to the second line with Dmitrij Jaskin and Troy Brouwer.


With Jaskin's promotion, Robby Fabbri played with Scott Gomez and Magnus Paajarvi on the third unit, and Jeremy Welsh made his team debut in place of Ryan Reaves, who was scratched.


Hitchcock also split up the defensive pairing of Jay Bouwmeester and Alex Pietrangelo.


'You don't know what that's going to be like, and then you're out there (and Tarasenko) makes a lot of time and space," Backes said. "(Steen) was fantastic, creating plays and making plays happen and I was the beneficiary of a few of them."


It remains to be seen if the lineup will look the same against the Blue Jackets (6-12-0), who are trying to win three straight for the first time this season.


Columbus earned its first home victory Saturday by beating Arizona 5-2, ending a franchise-worst 0-6-0 home start. William Karlsson scored twice, Boone Jenner had a goal and two assists and Ryan Johansen had one of each.


The Blue Jackets played their straight game without Brandon Dubinsky, who was placed in injured reserve earlier Saturday with an elbow injury that's expected to keep him out for at least a couple weeks.


'It's a monkey off the back,' Karlsson said. 'Now we know we can win (at home)."


With Dubinsky out, coach John Tortorella had settled on moving Nick Foligno to center for at least this contest. Foligno mostly has played on the wing in his career and had career highs of 31 goals and 73 points there last season.


He has only one goal this year, while Jenner leads the club with nine.


"We talked about a number of different people," Tortorella told the team's official website after practice Monday. "I think Nick can handle the change. I just don't want to screw around with Jenner's game. Nick volunteered. He felt comfortable and that's what we went with."


The Blue Jackets now look to keep rolling. Foligno had two goals and an assist in a 7-1 victory over the Blues on Feb. 6 before Jenner scored and added an assist in a 4-2 victory March 28 to sweep the season series.


"It's going to be a competitive game," Tortorella said. "If we're not ready to compete, it could get ugly really quickly."


Sergei Bobrovsky has stopped 55 of 58 shots while winning the last two. He started both meetings with the Blues last season and could be in net again for this matchup.


Brian Elliott could get the call for St. Louis after Jake Allen won Monday. Elliott hasn't started since giving up four goals on 15 shots in a loss to Chicago on Nov. 4.

 

[CNOTES]

Preview: Wild (10-3) at Penguins (9-7)


Date: November 17, 2015 7:30 PM EDT

The scoring woes that plagued the Pittsburgh Penguins at the start of the season have resurfaced, leading to a players-only meeting to hash out the issues.


Whatever discussions the Minnesota Wild had about replacing Zach Parise's production have seemed to work.


Pittsburgh looks to avoid a fourth defeat in five games Tuesday night when it hosts a Wild team seeking at least a point in five straight without one of its top scorers.


The Penguins (10-7-0) scored three goals while dropping its first three of the season and still had trouble finding the back of the net consistently at the start of the 9-1-0 run that followed.


They've dropped three of four since after falling 2-1 to Columbus on Friday and 4-0 at New Jersey the following night.


The loss to the Devils marked the first time Pittsburgh had been shut out since its season opener, and that didn't sit well with anyone in the locker room.


"Some stuff had to be said," forward Pascal Dupuis told the team's official website after Monday's practice. "That will stay between the players obviously. That's why it's a closed-door meeting. That's between the players. What comes out of it, it's unacceptable to lose the way we did. We have to make sure it doesn't happen again."


Evgeni Malkin, who hasn't scored while posting two assists over his last seven, spoke candidly about the frustration mounting within the team, but was quick to note they're all still on the same page.


Sidney Crosby has only two goals, and Pittsburgh ranks near the bottom of the league with 35. The low number sticks out even more considering all the scoring talent the Penguins possess, including Phil Kessel, who has a team-high six goals but none in the last three.


"The expectations are high, but a lot of teams would love to be in our position and still feel like we can do better," Crosby said. "I think it says a lot about the guys. We expect more. We still have a winning record and we've done some good things."


Parise led the Wild (10-3-3) with seven goals when he sprained his MCL early in a loss to Nashville on Nov. 5, but his teammates have stepped up with him expected to sit out at least two more games.


Minnesota won its first three without Parise before falling 3-2 in overtime Saturday at Dallas, the second stop on a four-game trip. Nino Niederreiter and Marco Scandella scored after Thomas Vanek had three goals over the previous two to tie Parise atop the team's leaderboard.


The Wild, though, allowed a man-advantage goal for the third straight contest and are preparing to face a Penguins team with an imposing power-play unit - even if it's 0 for 13 over its last three.


"It's understanding that you're playing against some of the highest skilled players in the game today," coach Mike Yeo said. "Being ready for that challenge every time you go on the ice, understanding and recognizing who you're on the ice against."


Devan Dubnyk had 33 saves against New Jersey and has a 1.94 goals-against average while starting each game during the Wild's 3-0-1 run. He joined Minnesota one day after the last meeting with the Penguins, when David Perron scored twice and Crosby had three assists in Pittsburgh's 7-2 win Jan. 13.


Marc-Andre Fleury made 30 saves in that contest and likely will be in net again after getting Saturday off. He had a 3.76 GAA while losing his first five starts against the Wild before winning the last matchup.

 

[CNOTES]

Preview: Avalanche (7-9) at Maple Leafs (4-9)


Date: November 17, 2015 7:30 PM EDT

The Colorado Avalanche are on a win streak thanks to strong goaltending, while the Toronto Maple Leafs' longest run of the season came to an end in part because of shaky play in net.


Colorado seeks its fourth straight victory when it visits Toronto on Tuesday night.


The Avalanche (7-9-1) have won the first three of their season-high seven-game trip, with Reto Berra surrendering three total goals while starting each game. Colorado had been 25th in the NHL with 3.00 goals allowed per game prior to the trip.


Semyon Varlamov is on injured reserve with a groin injury. He's struggled with a 3.26 goals-against average in 10 starts, though, so his absence has been a blessing in disguise, allowing Berra to shine. Berra's 1.50 GAA leads the league and he made 39 saves in Saturday's 6-1 win over Atlantic Division-leading Montreal.


Colorado has also been more productive offensively, scoring 13 goals in the last three games after totaling 11 in its first six road contests. Nathan MacKinnon pushed his team-leading point total to 19 with two goals and one assist against the Canadiens, while Matt Duchene and Mikhail Grigorenko each had a goal and two assists.


Grigorenko was filling in on the top line for Gabriel Landeskog, who served the first of his two-game suspension for an illegal check in Thursday's win over Boston.


"Three straight for us is huge," MacKinnon said. "I don't know about (calling it) a measuring stick.


"I don't think we're in the elite category in the league yet. We want to earn that. But whether they had a good night or not, we played very well. We stuck to our system and Reto Berra played great."


Duchene has four goals and four assists to start the trip, and seven goals and five assists in his last seven games overall after opening with two points in his first 10.


"I'm excited," said Duchene, a native of Dysart et al, Ontario. "Hopefully it continues (in Toronto on Tuesday). ... I have a lot of friends and family coming, so it'd be great to have a big night there, and most importantly get another win."


The Maple Leafs (5-9-4) had also won three in a row before losing 4-3 to the New York Rangers on Sunday. Jonathan Bernier surrendered a rebound that set up Mats Zuccarello's winner with 58.3 seconds left, and said he "cost us two points."


Bernier has lost all eight of his starts while posting a 3.17 GAA.


"We win as a team and lose as a team," coach Mike Babcock said. "Maybe (Bernier is) trying too hard."


James Reimer will get the nod Tuesday. He has won three straight starts and owns a 2.30 GAA this season.


Toronto fell to 2-3-4 in one-goal games. The Avalanche have also struggled in those contests, going 2-6-1.


Colorado had won four straight trips to Toronto before losing 3-2 in overtime Oct. 14, 2014.


A fourth straight road win for the Avalanche would match last season's best such streak from Feb. 27-March 19.