Cnotes NFL Preseason Week # 3 Best Bets !

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Saturday, 8/27/2011

NY JETS at NY GIANTS, 7:00 PM ET

NY JETS: 13-4 ATS vs. Giants
NY GIANTS: 6-1 Over off home win by 10+ pts

JACKSONVILLE at BUFFALO, 7:00 PM ET
JACKSONVILLE: 8-0 Over off BB ATS losses
BUFFALO: 13-4 ATS after scoring 17 pts or less BB games

ATLANTA at PITTSBURGH, 7:30 PM ET
ATLANTA: 23-9 ATS off SU loss
PITTSBURGH: 6-1 ATS as favorite

MIAMI at TAMPA BAY, 7:30 PM ET
MIAMI: 26-12 ATS as underdog
TAMPA BAY: 7-0 Under at home vs. Miami

NEW ENGLAND at DETROIT, 8:00 PM ET CBS
NEW ENGLAND: 8-2 Over after scoring 30+ pts
DETROIT: 6-0 ATS off non-conf game

CHICAGO at TENNESSEE, 7:00 PM ET
CHICAGO: 0-3 ATS after scoring 14 pts or less
TENNESSEE: 1-5 ATS after allowing 7 pts 1st half BB games

DALLAS at MINNESOTA, 8:00 PM ET
DALLAS: 1-6 ATS as a road favorite
MINNESOTA: 5-1 ATS in dome games

HOUSTON at SAN FRANCISCO, 8:00 PM ET
HOUSTON: 0-7 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better
SAN FRANCISCO: 5-1 ATS as home underdog

SEATTLE at DENVER, TBA ET
SEATTLE: 21-9 ATS off SU loss
DENVER: 22-9 ATS vs. NFC West

SAN DIEGO at ARIZONA, 10:00 PM ET
SAN DIEGO: 20-8 Over off an Under
ARIZONA: 0-3 ATS off an Over


Sunday, 8/28/2011

NEW ORLEANS at OAKLAND, 8:00 PM ET
NBC
NEW ORLEANS: 27-12 ATS in road games
OAKLAND: 25-11 Under off an Under

** (TC) Denotes Time Change
 

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Saturday, 8/27/2011


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NFL preseason odds: Full Saturday primer
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New York Jets at New York Giants (+2.5, 35)

Jets head coach Rex Ryan was adamant this week that he wants to see more out of his running game against the Giants.

"I'd like to see us be able to establish our run game a little more," Ryan said. "Obviously, this will be a huge test for us going against the Giants defense."

Gang Green will welcome RB Shonn Green and RG Brandon Moore back to the field this week. Both will likely be used sparingly, but the rest of the Jets starters are expected to work into the third quarter after playing the entire first half last week.

Tom Coughlin has indicated that his starters will play most of the first half on Saturday. He’s giving them a bit of a break given that it’s a short week after dismantling the Bears this past Monday night.

Don’t be surprised if both teams hold a little back given they’ll face each other for real on Christmas Eve.

Jacksonville Jaguars at Buffalo Bills (-2.5 36)

The Jaguars will be focused on sharpening their offense after a sloppy performance, albeit a winning one, against the Falcons last week.

"I guess I look at that as our team is tuning up, it's not just David Garrard. It's not any one player,” head coach Jack Del Rio said, “I think as a football team we need to begin to play as a team and play better football and have it all come together for us and with an eye on the opener, yes, no question. But I think just like last week we saw some encouraging signs. I think this week we need to see more of them throughout our football team in all three phases."

Jacksonville’s first unit is expected to see action into the third quarter this week. Blaine Gabbert will once again take the majority of the snaps with the second-team offense after starter David Garrard exits.

Bills head coach Chan Gailey has been fairly tight-lipped when it comes to playing time here in the preseason. He has stated that Fred Jackson will be the team’s starter at running back, and has also hinted that his first-unit will see more action than they have in the last two weeks, but that’s it.

Ryan Fitzpatrick and Tyler Thigpen will once again share duties under center after a lackluster effort in Denver last Saturday.

Atlanta Falcons at Pittsburgh Steelers (-3.5, 36)

Off to an 0-2 start, Atlanta will give its starters their most extensive action of the preseason on Saturday in Pittsburgh.

“In terms of the amount of snaps that they are going to play, I don’t know that we’ve sat down and decided,” head coach Mike Smith said. “But we want to keep those (starting) units in there and get them as many exposures as possible.”

After not game-planning for either of their first two matchups, the Falcons will be hitting the film room for this week’s game.

Steelers head coach Mike Tomlin isn’t downplaying the importance of the third preseason game, particularly for guys fighting for roster spots. His starters are expected to play into the third quarter, but Tomlin has yet to decide on how his QB rotation will shake down after Ben Roethlisberger and Byron Leftwich. Charlie Batch and Dennis Dixon both remain on the roster.

Miami Dolphins at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-4, 36.5)

The Dolphins offense is off to a fast start, scoring 48 points in back-to-back wins over the Falcons and Panthers.

That doesn’t mean they’ll be easing off the gas on Saturday, however. Miami starters are likely to play into the third quarter against the Bucs. Starting QB Chad Henne threw 24 passes last week, and should see another heavy workload this week.

The Bucs were embarrassed by the Patriots on their own home turf last week, but they remain confident heading into Saturday’s showdown with the Dolphins.

Raheem Morris hasn’t officially stated how long his starters will play, but WR Mike Williams has hinted that they’ll see at least a half of action.

"We get to play more plays this week, at least the whole first half,'' Williams said. “The last game, we knew we were on limited reps. It was hard getting into a rhythm, knowing you only had 12 or 13 plays.''

Houston Texans at San Francisco 49ers (+3, 35.5)

The Texans have been one of the league’s most impressive teams so far this preseason. Their offense lit up Reliant Stadium last Saturday, and they’ll get a chance to do the same in San Francisco this week, as Matt Schaub and the rest of their starters are likely to play into the third quarter.

That leaves the bulk of the second half snaps to backup QB Matt Leinart.

49ers first year head coach Jim Harbaugh isn’t a believer in using the third preseason game as a dress rehearsal for the regular season.

He’ll use his starters sparingly in the first quarter, instead electing to give his backups plenty of time to hone their skills.

New England Patriots at Detroit Lions (+4, 44.5)

New England’s starters will see at least a half of action on Saturday. Even after two blowout wins, don’t count on Bellichick to call off the dogs against the Lions.

Lions WR Calvin Johnson returned to practice on Thursday, but remains a game-time decision for Saturday’s game. RB Jahvid Best has been officially ruled out.

If you consider head coach Jim Schwarz’s track record, the rest of the Lions starting unit will likely play into the third quarter. The focus will be on improving defensively after a poor showing in Cleveland last week.

Chicago Bears at Tennessee Titans (-3, 37)

Playing on a short week, and being on the road for a second consecutive game, Bears head coach Lovie Smith will take a cautious approach when it comes to his starters playing time on Saturday. If the first-unit plays into the second half, it will come as a surprise.

With that being said, there’s obviously plenty of work to be done after back-to-back less than impressive performances against the Bills and Giants. If there’s no improvement, there will be plenty of restless fans in the seats at Soldier Field next week.

Titans QB Matt Hasselbeck took a big hit against the Rams last week, but is expected to start Saturday’s game. He and Jake Locker will handle at least the first three quarters against the Bears, with Hasselbeck taking all of the snaps with the first-team offense.

Dallas Cowboys at Minnesota Vikings (+1, 37)

The Cowboys will begin the road portion of their preseason schedule in Minnesota on Saturday. We can expect to see plenty from the starters, likely playing into the third quarter.

Head coach Jason Garrett puts a lot of stock in preseason results, so he was understandably upset with last week’s sloppy effort against the Chargers.

"We live in reality," Garrett said. "There were some things that happened that exposed us. There were a number of mental mistakes. We need to play better. There were some good things that happened, but there were a lot of things that need to be addressed."

There’s a heated battle for the number two quarterback spot ongoing in Minnesota. Christian Ponder and Joe Webb are competing, and should see the bulk of the action under center again on Saturday.

Leslie Frazier has been one the conservative side when it comes to starters playing time this preseason. He has indicated that his first-team offenses and defenses will play at least the first quarter on Saturday.

Seattle Seahawks at Denver Broncos (-4.5, 37.5)

Pete Carroll says there’s no QB controversy in Seattle.

He continues to back up the play of Tarvaris Jackson, who once again struggled last week, completing 11-of-21 passes for 75 yards. Jackson, along with the rest of the Seahawks starters, will once again play the majority of the first half, and possibly even into the third quarter on Saturday.

The big news out of Broncos camp this week was that Tim Tebow had been dropped to third on the QB depth chart behind Kyle Orton and Brady Quinn.

With that being said, John Fox stated this week that Tebow would see more playing time in at least one of the Broncos final two preseason games.

"Kyle has had 19 passes, Brady's had 30 and Tim's had nine," Fox said. "So in fairness to Tim, we need to get that total up whether that's this week or next week."

San Diego Chargers at Arizona Cardinals (+3, 40.5)

Philip Rivers and the rest of the Chargers starters played into the second quarter last week, and should see more extensive action here in Week 3.

Norv Turner has traditionally used his first-unit into the third quarter in the third preseason game, and while he hasn’t made it official this week, that remains the expectation.

Billy Volek will spend the majority of the second half under center, with Scott Tolzien possibly getting only a series in mop-up duty.

The Cardinals continue to work on getting Kevin Kolb acclimated with the offense, so no surprise that he’s expected to play the entire first half and a series or two in the third quarter on Saturday.

Playing for only the third time in 17 days, the Cardinals can afford to give their starters a fairly heavy workload.

Arizona signed QB Brodie Croyle this week, waiving former BYU standout Max Hall. That still leaves four quarterbacks on the roster, with Richard Bartel and John Skelton rounding out the quartet.
 

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Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
08/26/11 2-*2-*0 50.00% -*100 Detail
08/25/11 4-*2-*0 66.67% +*900 Detail
08/22/11 1-*1-*0 50.00% -*50 Detail
08/21/11 3-*1-*0 75.00% +*950 Detail
08/20/11 3-*7-*0 30.00% -*2350 Detail
08/19/11 7-*5-*0 58.33% +*750 Detail
08/18/11 3-*1-*0 75.00% +*950 Detail
08/15/11 2-*0-*0 100.00% +*1000 Detail
08/13/11 4-*6-*0 40.00% -*1300 Detail
08/12/11 6-*4-*0 60.00% +*800 Detail
08/11/11 5-*5-*0 50.00% -*250 Detail
Totals 40-*34-*0 54.05% +1300

Saturday, August 27

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Jacksonville - 7:00 PM ET Jacksonville +2.5 500
Buffalo - Under 36 500

Atlanta - 7:30 PM ET Atlanta +3 500
Pittsburgh - Under 36 500

Miami - 7:30 PM ET Miami +3.5 500
Tampa Bay - Under 36.5 500

Houston - 8:00 PM ET San Francisco +4 500
San Francisco - Under 36 500

New England - 8:00 PM ET Detroit +3.5 500
Detroit - Over 44.5 500

Chicago - 8:00 PM ET Tennessee -3 500
Tennessee - Under 37 500

Dallas - 8:00 PM ET Dallas -1 500
Minnesota - Under 37 500

Seattle - 9:00 PM ET Seattle +5 500
Denver - Over 37 500

San Diego - 10:00 PM ET Arizona +3 500
Arizona - Over 40.5 500
 

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Saints Meet Raiders On Sunday Night Football


By: Adam Markowitz | Saturday, August 27, 2011


NBC's Sunday Night Football betting action returns this weekend with a stand-alone game on the NFL slate. The Oakland Raiders (0-2) will play host to the New Orleans Saints (1-1). Kickoff from O.co Coliseum is slated for 8:00 p.m. (ET).
The Raiders have a whole heck of a lot of wounds to lick in this game. Over the course of the first two weeks of the preseason, the starting offense has yet to find the end zone, and as a result, the team is just good for 10.5 PPG. Needless to say, even in the preseason, those numbers aren't good enough to lead the team to victories, and Oakland is 0-2 SU and ATS to show for it.
On top of that, the Raiders are going to be looking for a measure of revenge from the last time that these two teams met in the preseason. New Orleans came here to O.co Coliseum (then known as McAfee Coliseum) and dropped a 45-7 beat down on the hosts.
Things are a little puzzling for Head Coach Hue Jackson right now, as his offense is being executed very poorly. Quarterbacks combined to go an efficient 23-of-36 for 248 yards and a score against the Arizona Cardinals in the first week of the preseason, but they only went 14-of-24 for 166 yards with two picks last week against the San Francisco 49ers.
The running game has been dull without RB Darren McFadden. There hasn't been a single carry of more than 13 yards in the entire preseason and running backs have only had a total of three carries for double digit yards in two games.
Meanwhile, it will be the defense that has to step up against this potent New Orleans offense. This unit, which is now trying to operate without its former superstar Nnamdi Asomugha, really didn't fare well against a similar Arizona offense. The Cards dropped 24 points and 290 passing yards against the Oakland defense.
However, it's not like the Saints are going to have a full roster at their disposal. Head Coach Sean Payton is probably a heck of a lot more concerned about getting through this third preseason game healthy than he is about winning it. There are already a boatload of injuries, and some key ones at that, that could hamper the team's efforts when the games start to count in two weeks.
The big problem could be at running back. With Reggie Bush being traded in the offseason, there was an immense amount of pressure put on the shoulders of rookie Mark Ingram. However, Ingram was banged up this week in practice with a groin injury, but he was back in the fold on Thursday and could be in the lineup on Sunday. Chris Ivory is already out with a long term injury that will cost him some time in the regular season as well.
Carl Nicks, one of the best offensive linemen on the team, has a knee injury too, and though he will likely not play on Sunday, he should be fine for the regular season.
Still, the New Orleans offense, without having the starters on the field for all that long over the course of the preseason, has still managed to score a respectable 38 points. Things should only improve this week against a potentially porous Oakland 'D'.
It should be a nice night in Oakland on Sunday. Temperatures should start in the high-70s and dip into the low-60s by the time the game is over with. Winds will be relatively light out of the West.
The Saints are 4 1/2-point favorites on the NFL betting odds on Sunday night, while the 'total' has been set at 38 1/2.
 

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Dunkel


SUNDAY, AUGUST 28

Game 281-282: New Orleans at Oakland (8:00 p.m. EST)

Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 124.178; Oakland 121.042
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 3; 42
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 4 1/2; 38 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+4 1/2); Over




NFLX
Long Sheet


Sunday, August 28

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NEW ORLEANS (1 - 1) at OAKLAND (0 - 2) - 8/28/2011, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1993.
NEW ORLEANS is 27-12 ATS (+13.8 Units) in road games since 1993.
NEW ORLEANS is 27-12 ATS (+13.8 Units) in road lined games since 1993.
NEW ORLEANS is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) in a road game where the total is between 35.5 and 38 points since 1993.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 1-0 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 1-0 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NFLX
Short Sheet


Sunday, 8/28/2011

NEW ORLEANS at OAKLAND, 8:00 PM ET
NBC
NEW ORLEANS: 27-12 ATS in road games
OAKLAND: 25-11 Under off an Under

** (TC) Denotes Time Change




NFLX

Sunday, August 28


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Saints at Raiders: What bettors need to know
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STARTER REPORT

Raiders: Oakland coach Hue Jackson wouldn’t say how long he’ll play his starters on Sunday against the Saints, but, judging by the general rule of thumb, bettors should count on the Raiders’ first-string offense playing the entire first half and maybe a drive or two in the third quarter.

Newly signed rookie quarterback Terrelle Pryor is not expected to play against New Orleans but Jackson did say he’d give Pryor a few snaps in the Raiders’ exhibition finale.

That means Oakland will stick to its regular QB rotation, with Jason Campbell leading the first team offense and Trent Edwards and Kyle Boller backing up the former Redskin.

Campbell had to leave last week’s 17-3 loss to the Niners after getting knocked in the head, but he was back in practice on Tuesday and has been playing with Oakland’s starters all week.

Saints: New Orleans head coach Sean Payton told reporters his primary starters would play the first half “and then we’ll see where we are at halftime to see what we’re going to do in the third quarter.”

INJURY REPORT

The Saints will be without starters Lance Moore (WR), Roman Harper (S) and Sedrick Ellis (DT). The Raiders, meanwhile, won’t have newly signed CB Lito Sheppard or starting LB Rolando McClain suiting up Sunday.

Running back Darren McFadden has been the star of the Raiders' camp but it’s unclear whether the Pro Bowler will see any preseason action because of how important he is to the offense. He broke his orbital bone at the start of August and only recently returned to full practices.

PRESEASON PERFORMANCE

Silver and Black backers hope the club’s play in the preseason isn’t a sign of things to come. The Raiders have been uneven on offense and defense, losing to the Niners and Cardinals so far.

Oakland’s biggest weakness so far is its run defense. The unit gave up 239 yards on the ground last week to San Fran and allowed over four yards per carry against Arizona, too.

The Saints looked great in Week 1 but not as sharp last weekend against the Texans. Houston gained over 400 yards, most of which came against New Orleans’ first-string defense.

THING TO REMEMBER

New Orleans is 4-0 SU and ATS in its last four Week 3 preseason games. The third week of the preseason is generally when starters play the most and coaches actually do a bit of game planning.

The Raiders, on the other hand, are 0-3 SU and ATS in their last three Week 3 preseason games and were outscored 97-31 in the process, including a 45-7 beatdown at the hands of the Saints two years ago.
 

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Saints visit Oakland on Sunday night

NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (1-1)

at OAKLAND RAIDERS (0-2)


Kickoff: Sunday, 8:00 p.m. EDT
Line: New Orleans -4.5, Total: 38

Oakland is looking to bounce back from an ugly cross-town rivalry loss when they host New Orleans on Monday night.

The Raiders struggled badly in a 17-3 defeat at San Francisco last week. With just one touchdown through two preseason games, they should have a sense of urgency as they look for their first win of 2011. The Saints, meanwhile, pounded San Francisco to open the preseason but didn’t look good in a 27-14 loss in Houston last week. More importantly, New Orleans hasn’t won a preseason game SU since 2009, so OAKLAND is the pick on Sunday.

The Saints have gotten some solid play out of second-string QB Chase Daniel, who’s averaging 7.3 yards per attempt on 35 throws so far. They’ve also made more of a commitment to the run, gaining 125.5 rushing yards per game so far. Defending the run has been more of an issue. They’re allowing 172.0 rush yards per game and 5.5 yards per carry. The Saints could be without WR Lance Moore (groin) and S Roman Harper (finger) on Sunday night.

The Raiders could work in star RB Darren McFadden, who returned to practice this week after missing time with a fractured orbital bone. They’ve gotten little out of the running game so far, averaging 79.0 yards per game and 3.2 per carry. Starting QB Jason Campbell has been their best quarterback in the preseason, posting a 95.8 passer rating through 16 attempts. Kyle Boller has been dumping everything off, and Trent Edwards has completed just 13-of-25 passes. Oakland will likely play without WR Louis Murphy again, leaving few desirable targets in the passing game. The team is also having issues across the board on defense, giving up 401.0 yards per game in the preseason.
 

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Sunday, August 28

Game Score Status Pick Amount

New Orleans - 8:00 PM ET New Orleans -4.5 500

Oakland - Over 38.5 500
 

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2-0 Last Nite ! Good call CNOTE
 

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Las Vegas Betting Notes

August 29, 2011


After a horrendous July and August in baseball, things look like their turning around for the Las Vegas sports books based on the results from this past weekend. They only lost on one of the days (Saturday) in baseball while seeing the full effect of football’s overall power to absorb that one losing day.
Three scheduled MLB games were wiped out because of Hurricane Irene, but the volume on the games compared to previous weeks was less due to the casual bettor dividing their daily bankroll up a little differently to include the night of football. Popular teams like the Brewers, Red Sox, Diamondbacks and Tigers all won on the run-line making the baseball day a loser, but big wins on the preseason football games kept the overall losses to a minimum, or in some cases absorbed all the losses and showed some profit.

The two most heavily bet public games were the Patriots at Detroit and Denver at home against the Seahawks. Sharp money showed up on the Lions and Broncos dictating where most books went with their number. In the case of the Patriots, the ticket counts were almost 5-to-1 in favor of them, yet the line went the other way from the opener of them being minus-4 to closing at -3 or -3 ½ because sharp money was on the Lions. Despite having all kinds of risk on the Patriots, most sports books felt more comfortable being on the side of the sharps and won handsomely in Detroit’s 34-10 victory because of the tactic.

The sharps also bet the Broncos laying -3 ½ all the way up to -6 ½, a game the public also liked at a 4-to-1 ratio in ticket counts thanks to Denver looking improved and Seattle quarterback Tavaris Jackson looking lost in his first two preseason games. The Broncos jumped out to a 17-3 lead through three quarters and when Denver’s first string defense came out, the Seahawks scored 17 points in the fourth-quarter. Denver eventually won the game 23-20 on a last second field goal, but in the end, the sports books scooped up almost all the chips from the sharps and public.

When Sunday’s results were posted, roles were reversed as baseball saved the sports books day thanks in part to the Brewers winning by only one run and the Yankees losing as big favorites to the Orioles in the first game of their double-header. The win was large enough on the day to absorb the losses from the Saints crushing the Raiders 40-20 , a game that had every bettor in sports book across town cheering in unison as the Saints scored 21 unanswered points to close the game out and get the cover.

With college football taking center stage this week, along with it being the final week of preseason NFL games, baseball will see even a larger drop off in action as most of the betting public will prioritize their money even more with baseball being third on the priority list.

This week will also mark the debut of parlay cards at most sports books. The cards always present an opportunity to get better numbers than posted on the boards because the sports books have to post the numbers for print on Wednesday’s. We may not see drastic movement this week because the games have already been bet into -- having been up at places for over a month, but next week there should be great opportunities.

Even if you don’t like to play parlays, it’s worth taking a look at the differences where sometimes games run three to four points. If you multiply the value on some of those moves in increments of just say .10 cents per half point, the value of a three-team parlay with those old lines is worth far more than 5½-to-1 offered on a three-team parlay. You also get the comfort in knowing you’re playing sides that sharps like which was the cause of the games moving on the board.

One of the things I’d love to see changed at sports books across state is the deception of verbiage on the parlay cards. On the cards, a three-team parlay payout offers 6 ½-for-1, with the key word being ’for’ which means your bet is included in the payout. Off-the-board three-team parlays offer odds at 6-to-1, with the key word being ‘to’, which means you get the initial bet back.

It’s almost like some carnie tactic and has gone on long enough and it is quite confusing to some of the visitors. More importantly, Las Vegas is better than those type of tactics and it’s kind of embarrassing that we have duped unsuspecting guests for so many years that the parlay cards appear to have better payouts than the board. If getting favorable lines that have moved, yes, the card is better, but it would be the same with proper verbiage.

Next week we’ll talk about one of the best values in town as we get ready for Week 1 of the NFL, the two-team 6-point teaser.
 

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Monday, August 29


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Jets at Giants: What bettors need to know
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New York Jets at New York Giants (+2.5, 35)

Weather Permitting


This game was originally scheduled for Saturday but was bumped to Monday because of Hurricane Irene. There was talk about moving the game time up on Saturday to try and squeeze play in before Irene hit, but the all parties involved thought moving the game to Monday was the best option.

"Along with the NFL office and the Jets, we have closely monitored the hurricane and the forecast and its potential impact on our area for the past several days," Giants owner John Mara said in a statement. "After conferring with (New Jersey) Governor (Chris) Christie, (Jets owner) Woody Johnson and (NFL) commissioner (Roger) Goodell, we have determined the best course of action for the safety and well-being of all is to move the game to Monday night."

A change on the fly like this isn’t new to the Giants. They had their Week 14 contest against the Vikings moved to a Monday night and a different field because of a severe snowstorm that damaged the Metrodome’s roof. Coughlin’s club won and covered that game 21-3 at Ford Field.

"We're getting good at mid-streak adjustments," Giants coach Tom Coughlin told reporters on Saturday. "I don't know if that is something you necessarily want to perfect, but I think we're close."

Starter Report

Giants: Coughlin said his starters would play the entire first half with the backups getting all the action in the second half. Top tailback Ahmad Bradshaw didn’t practice on Thursday and is iffy for Monday’s game against the Jets because of a sore back.

Jets: Gang Green coach Rex Ryan says he’ll play his starters in the first half and the first drive in the second half before turning to his depth players. Ryan also said he and his coaching staff will roll out a vanilla scheme against Giants.

“We always hold back in the preseason, but we still blitz and we still get after it,” Ryan told the Newark Star-Ledger. “But we don’t game plan… We never game plan defensively, anyway, in a preseason game.”

Backup QB Mark Brunell didn’t practice on Thursday and is doubtful to play Monday as well. That means rookie Greg McElroy should see the majority of action in the second half.

Plaxico Burress plays former teammates

Burress was the leading receiver for the Giants' Super Bowl team but now plays for the other New York football team. Burress, who spent the better part of two years behind bars on a gun case, is now catching passes for the Jets.

“Personally, I think I just needed a fresh start,” he told the New York Daily News. “If I wanted to go somewhere and make money, I could have went a couple other places and got a two- or three-year deal, different things like that. But I just wanted an opportunity to go somewhere fresh and have an opportunity to play for a great organization and a great coach in Rex and a great team.”

Ryan is singing praises about Burress this camp even though the often-injured wideout has missed several practices. Plaxico looked good last week against the Bengals and the Jets are hoping he can be a go-to target for QB Mark Sanchez in the red zone
 

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NY Jets at NY Giants
The Jets look to follow up their 27-7 win over Cincinnati in Week 2 as they take on the crosstown rival Giants tonight. The Jets are the pick (-2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Jets favored by 4 1/2. Dunkel Pick: NY Jets (-2 1/2). Here are all of this week's picks.

MONDAY, AUGUST 29

Game 283-284: NY Jets at NY Giants (7:00 p.m. EST)

Dunkel Ratings: NY Jets 123.375; NY Giants 118.706
Dunkel Line: NY Jets by 4 1/2; 40
Vegas Line: NY Jets by 2 1/2; 37
Dunkel Pick: NY Jets (-2 1/2); Over




NFLX
Short Sheet


Monday, August 29


NY JETS at NY GIANTS, 7:00 PM ET Changed From Saturday
NY JETS: 13-4 ATS vs. Giants
NY GIANTS: 6-1 Over off home win by 10+ pts
 

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Long Sheet


Monday, August 29


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY JETS (1 - 1) at NY GIANTS (1 - 1) - 8/29/2011, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY JETS are 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 since 1993.
NY JETS are 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in road games since 1993.
NY JETS are 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in road lined games since 1993.
NY JETS are 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in a road game where the total is between 32.5 and 35 points since 1993.
NY JETS are 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) against NFC East division opponents since 1993.
NY JETS are 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1993.
NY GIANTS are 12-29 ATS (-19.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1993.
NY GIANTS are 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) against AFC East division opponents since 1993.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY GIANTS is 1-1 against the spread versus NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
NY GIANTS is 1-1 straight up against NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 

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Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

08/28/11 2-*0-*0 100.00% +*1000 Detail
08/27/11 7-*10-*1 41.18% -*2000 Detail
08/26/11 2-*2-*0 50.00% -*100 Detail
08/25/11 4-*2-*0 66.67% +*900 Detail
08/22/11 1-*1-*0 50.00% -*50 Detail
08/21/11 3-*1-*0 75.00% +*950 Detail
08/20/11 3-*7-*0 30.00% -*2350 Detail
08/19/11 7-*5-*0 58.33% +*750 Detail
08/18/11 3-*1-*0 75.00% +*950 Detail
08/15/11 2-*0-*0 100.00% +*1000 Detail
08/13/11 4-*6-*0 40.00% -*1300 Detail
08/12/11 6-*4-*0 60.00% +*800 Detail
08/11/11 5-*5-*0 50.00% -*250 Detail
Totals 49-*44-*1 52.69% +300


Monday, August 29

Game Score Status Pick Amount

N.Y. Jets - 7:00 PM ET N.Y. Jets -3 500

N.Y. Giants - Over 35.5 500
 

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NFL Preseason Betting Slate Winds Down

Once again, betting favorites ruled the preseason in Week 3 with the Monday Night Football contest between the Jets and Giants still to play. Teams favored in Week 3 were 14-1 straight up and 10-5 against the spread, with the Detroit Lions topping the New England Patriots at home for the week’s only outright upset.

The ‘total’ trended ‘over’ at 9-5-1 in Week 3.

All but one game in Week 4 will be played on Thursday to give teams the chance to rest up for the regular season the following week. The NFL Network will televise two games Thursday night and then the preseason’s final game Friday night.

Thursday night’s first televised game starts at 7:00 p.m. (ET) between the Indianapolis Colts (0-3) and the Cincinnati Bengals (1-2) at Paul Brown Stadium in Cincinnati.

Indianapolis managed to cover the spread as an 8 ½-point underdog last week against Green Bay, but fell short of winning the game outright as Green Bay scored 11 points in the final minute of the game to seal the 24-21 victory.

Curtis Painter responded to the signing of Kerry Collins with a great game, passing for 171 yards and two touchdowns. Collins didn’t play last week, but should get significant playing time this week to prepare for a start in case Peyton Manning (neck) isn’t ready to go.

Andy Dalton finally put together a strong preseason game in Cincinnati’s 24-13 win over Carolina last week. Dalton was 11-for-17 with 130 yards and a touchdown, leading the Bengals to 24 points in the second quarter. Dalton will look to build on that momentum this week against the Colts.

Cincinnati has been made a 6-point favorite as Indianapolis’s quarterback situation remains in flux.

The late-night game on NFL Network pits the Denver Broncos against the Arizona Cardinals at the University of Phoenix Stadium. The game is set to start at 10:00 p.m. (ET).

What was once considered to be a quarterback controversy in Denver has become anything but, with Kyle Orton taking a stranglehold on the position in camp and doing nothing to relinquish it this preseason. Backup Tim Tebow will likely see a good amount of action this week as Orton rests up for the start of the regular season.

Kevin Kolb and Larry Fitzgerald have already shown some chemistry, which is a good sign for the regular season. Kolb was 11-for-20 with 205 passing yards in last week’s 34-31 loss to San Diego, with Fitzgerald grabbing three passes for 108 yards and a touchdown.

Arizona is a 3-point favorite at home.

The preseason wraps up with the Oakland Raiders heading to Seattle to face the Seahawks Friday night at 10:30 p.m. (ET).

Oakland is looking for its first win of the preseason, but also any semblance of an NFL defense. The Raiders have been gashed for 81 points and 1,316 yards through their first three games, including Sunday night's embarrassing 40-20 loss at home to the Saints.

The Seahawks are counting on Tarvaris Jackson to lead the offense this season, and will probably give him some solid playing time against this struggling Oakland defense. Jackson was 13-for-22 with 92 yards in last week’s 23-20 loss to Denver.

In other Week 4 action, the Houston Texans, St. Louis Rams and Detroit Lions will hit the road to try and finish their preseasons undefeated. Houston is a 2½-point underdog at Minnesota, St. Louis is a 3-point underdog at Jacksonville, and Detroit is a 1-point underdog at Buffalo.
 

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