NFL
Week 12
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Trend Report
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Buffalo @ Detroit
Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing Detroit
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games at home
NY Giants @ Dallas
NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Giants's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Giants's last 5 games
Dallas
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Giants
Dallas is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing NY Giants
New England @ Minnesota
New England
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
New England is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Minnesota
Minnesota is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing New England
Cincinnati @ Tennessee
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tennessee
Cincinnati is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Tennessee
Tennessee is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Tennessee's last 9 games at home
Denver @ Carolina
Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games
Denver is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Carolina
Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games at home
Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Tampa Bay @ Cleveland
Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games on the road
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games at home
Baltimore @ Jacksonville
Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baltimore's last 7 games
Baltimore is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Jacksonville
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 6 games
Houston @ Miami
Houston
Houston is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Houston's last 12 games on the road
Miami
Miami is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Chicago @ NY Jets
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games
Chicago is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Jets
NY Jets
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Jets's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Jets's last 5 games at home
Atlanta @ Washington
Atlanta
Atlanta is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Washington
Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington
Washington is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Las Vegas @ Seattle
Las Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Las Vegas's last 9 games when playing on the road against Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Las Vegas's last 9 games on the road
Seattle
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Las Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Seattle's last 9 games when playing at home against Las Vegas
LA Chargers @ Arizona
LA Chargers
LA Chargers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
LA Chargers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Chargers
New Orleans @ San Francisco
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Orleans's last 8 games when playing San Francisco
San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans
San Francisco is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
LA Rams @ Kansas City
LA Rams
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Rams's last 5 games on the road
LA Rams is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Kansas City
Kansas City is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Kansas City is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games at home
Green Bay @ Philadelphia
Green Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Green Bay's last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Green Bay's last 10 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing at home against Green Bay
Philadelphia is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
Pittsburgh @ Indianapolis
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indianapolis
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
Indianapolis
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Indianapolis's last 16 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indianapolis's last 7 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
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Week 12
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Trend Report
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Buffalo @ Detroit
Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing Detroit
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games at home
NY Giants @ Dallas
NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Giants's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Giants's last 5 games
Dallas
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Giants
Dallas is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing NY Giants
New England @ Minnesota
New England
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
New England is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Minnesota
Minnesota is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing New England
Cincinnati @ Tennessee
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tennessee
Cincinnati is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Tennessee
Tennessee is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Tennessee's last 9 games at home
Denver @ Carolina
Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games
Denver is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Carolina
Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games at home
Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Tampa Bay @ Cleveland
Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games on the road
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games at home
Baltimore @ Jacksonville
Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baltimore's last 7 games
Baltimore is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Jacksonville
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 6 games
Houston @ Miami
Houston
Houston is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Houston's last 12 games on the road
Miami
Miami is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Chicago @ NY Jets
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games
Chicago is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Jets
NY Jets
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Jets's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Jets's last 5 games at home
Atlanta @ Washington
Atlanta
Atlanta is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Washington
Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington
Washington is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Las Vegas @ Seattle
Las Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Las Vegas's last 9 games when playing on the road against Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Las Vegas's last 9 games on the road
Seattle
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Las Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Seattle's last 9 games when playing at home against Las Vegas
LA Chargers @ Arizona
LA Chargers
LA Chargers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
LA Chargers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Chargers
New Orleans @ San Francisco
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Orleans's last 8 games when playing San Francisco
San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans
San Francisco is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
LA Rams @ Kansas City
LA Rams
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Rams's last 5 games on the road
LA Rams is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Kansas City
Kansas City is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Kansas City is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games at home
Green Bay @ Philadelphia
Green Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Green Bay's last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Green Bay's last 10 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing at home against Green Bay
Philadelphia is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
Pittsburgh @ Indianapolis
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indianapolis
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
Indianapolis
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Indianapolis's last 16 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indianapolis's last 7 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
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NFL
Armadillo's Write-up
Week 12
Thursday games
Bills (7-3) @ Lions (4-6)
— Bills played in Detroit last week because of a blizzard in Buffalo.
— They went home and came back, didn’t stay the four days in Detroit.
— Buffalo is 3-2 SU on road, with wins by 21-4-3 points (2-3 ATS).
— Last four games, Buffalo was outscored 56-28 in second half.
— Last four games, Bills ran ball for 159.5 yards/game.
— Buffalo is 10-8 ATS last 18 games as a road favorite.
— Bills scored 18 TD’s on their last 61 drives.
— Buffalo has 54 plays of 20+ yards (opponents 42)
— Eight of ten Buffalo games stayed under the total (last tw0 went over).
— Bills are 17-11 ATS in last 21 games coming off a win (3-3 TY).
— Allen is 49-27 as an NFL starter.
— AFC East favorites are 9-6 ATS in non-divisional games.
— Detroit won last three games , scoring 31-31 points in last two.
— Lions are 11-7 ATS in last 18 games coming off a win.
— Detroit scored 12 TD’s on its last 34 drives.
— Last four games, Lions are +7 in turnovers (8-1)
— Last three games, Detroit converted 21-44 third down plays.
— Last three games, Detroit opponents converted 27-51 on 3rd down.
— Under Campbell, Lions are 7-19-1 SU, 17-9-1 ATS.
— Under Campbell, Lions are 8-2-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— Detroit is 2-3 SU at home TY, losing by 3-3-4 points.
— Over is 3-1 in Detroit’s last four games.
— NFC North underdogs are 8-7-1 ATS in non-divisional games.
— Buffalo won four of last five series games.
— All five games stayed under the total.
— Teams split last two meetings played here (17-14 Buff/20-17 Det)
— Other than last week, Bills’ last visit to Detroit was in 2014.
Giants (7-3) @ Cowboys (7-3)
— Giants won/covered seven of first ten games.
— Giants were held to 16-13-18 points in their losses.
— Giants are 7-0 if they score 19+ points.
— They trailed by 10+ points in three of their wins.
— Giants are 21-11 ATS in last 32 games as a road underdog (2-1 TY).
— Last five games, Big Blue converted 37-80 (46.3%) on third down.
— Giants opponents stayed under team total in seven of ten games.
— Under is 7-2-1 in Giant games this season.
— Giants are 13-11 ATS in last 24 games coming off a loss.
— Barkley was held to 22 yards on 15 carries LW; Giants need more.
— Cowboys won/covered seven of their last nine games.
— Last four games, Dallas scored 17 TD’s on 41 drives.
— Last five games, Dallas ran ball for 157.4 yards/game.
— Last seven games, Cowboys outscored foes 109-38 in second half.
— Dallas is 4-1 SU at home TY, 3-0 ATS as a home favorite.
— Cowboys are 13-3 ATS in last 16 NFC East home games.
— Dallas is +10 in turnovers in its wins, minus-3 in losses.
— Under is 7-2-1 in their games this season.
— Cowboys are 10-5 ATS in last 15 games coming off a win.
— Dallas ran for 176 yards, beat Giants 23-16 in New Jersey in Week 3.
— Cowboys won 10 of last 11 series games.
— Giants are 1-4 ATS in last five visits to Dallas.
— Over is 4-2-1 in last seven meetings.
Patriots (6-4) @ Vikings (8-2)
— New England won five of last six games (6-1 ATS last seven).
— Patriots’ last 2 games: 1 TD, 7 FGA’s, 10 3/outs on 24 drives.
— Patriots’ foes last 2 games: no TD’s, 3 FGA’s, 15 3/outs on 25 drives.
— New England is 6-0 giving up 17 or less points, 0-4 giving up 20+.
— Patriots’ last four games were against rookie/2nd year QB’s.
— NE is +7 in turnovers in its wins, minus-6 in losses.
— Last five games, Patriots outscored foes 77-32 in 2nd half.
— Mac Jones is 14-11 as an NFC starter.
— Last three New England games stayed under the total.
— AFC East favorites are 9-6 ATS in non-divisional games.
— Vikings won seven of last eight games (5-2-1 ATS).
— Despite being 8-2, Vikings have been outscored 231-229.
— Last two games, Vikings were outscored 47-13 in first half.
— Vikings are 4-1 SU at home, scoring 23.8 ppg.
— Minnesota is 19-12-1 ATS last 32 games coming off a loss.
— Last nine games, Minnesota has 24 plays of 20+ yards; opponents have 39.
— Jefferson was held to 33 yards on 3 catches LW (check status).
— Cousins is 68-63-2 as an NFL starter.
— Vikings have 11 takeaways in last five games (+6)
— NFC North underdogs are 8-7-1 ATS in non-divisional games.
— Patriots won last five series games, covered last four.
— Four of the five games stayed under the total.
— New England won 30-7/31-7 in last two trips to Minnesota.
Armadillo's Write-up
Week 12
Thursday games
Bills (7-3) @ Lions (4-6)
— Bills played in Detroit last week because of a blizzard in Buffalo.
— They went home and came back, didn’t stay the four days in Detroit.
— Buffalo is 3-2 SU on road, with wins by 21-4-3 points (2-3 ATS).
— Last four games, Buffalo was outscored 56-28 in second half.
— Last four games, Bills ran ball for 159.5 yards/game.
— Buffalo is 10-8 ATS last 18 games as a road favorite.
— Bills scored 18 TD’s on their last 61 drives.
— Buffalo has 54 plays of 20+ yards (opponents 42)
— Eight of ten Buffalo games stayed under the total (last tw0 went over).
— Bills are 17-11 ATS in last 21 games coming off a win (3-3 TY).
— Allen is 49-27 as an NFL starter.
— AFC East favorites are 9-6 ATS in non-divisional games.
— Detroit won last three games , scoring 31-31 points in last two.
— Lions are 11-7 ATS in last 18 games coming off a win.
— Detroit scored 12 TD’s on its last 34 drives.
— Last four games, Lions are +7 in turnovers (8-1)
— Last three games, Detroit converted 21-44 third down plays.
— Last three games, Detroit opponents converted 27-51 on 3rd down.
— Under Campbell, Lions are 7-19-1 SU, 17-9-1 ATS.
— Under Campbell, Lions are 8-2-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— Detroit is 2-3 SU at home TY, losing by 3-3-4 points.
— Over is 3-1 in Detroit’s last four games.
— NFC North underdogs are 8-7-1 ATS in non-divisional games.
— Buffalo won four of last five series games.
— All five games stayed under the total.
— Teams split last two meetings played here (17-14 Buff/20-17 Det)
— Other than last week, Bills’ last visit to Detroit was in 2014.
Giants (7-3) @ Cowboys (7-3)
— Giants won/covered seven of first ten games.
— Giants were held to 16-13-18 points in their losses.
— Giants are 7-0 if they score 19+ points.
— They trailed by 10+ points in three of their wins.
— Giants are 21-11 ATS in last 32 games as a road underdog (2-1 TY).
— Last five games, Big Blue converted 37-80 (46.3%) on third down.
— Giants opponents stayed under team total in seven of ten games.
— Under is 7-2-1 in Giant games this season.
— Giants are 13-11 ATS in last 24 games coming off a loss.
— Barkley was held to 22 yards on 15 carries LW; Giants need more.
— Cowboys won/covered seven of their last nine games.
— Last four games, Dallas scored 17 TD’s on 41 drives.
— Last five games, Dallas ran ball for 157.4 yards/game.
— Last seven games, Cowboys outscored foes 109-38 in second half.
— Dallas is 4-1 SU at home TY, 3-0 ATS as a home favorite.
— Cowboys are 13-3 ATS in last 16 NFC East home games.
— Dallas is +10 in turnovers in its wins, minus-3 in losses.
— Under is 7-2-1 in their games this season.
— Cowboys are 10-5 ATS in last 15 games coming off a win.
— Dallas ran for 176 yards, beat Giants 23-16 in New Jersey in Week 3.
— Cowboys won 10 of last 11 series games.
— Giants are 1-4 ATS in last five visits to Dallas.
— Over is 4-2-1 in last seven meetings.
Patriots (6-4) @ Vikings (8-2)
— New England won five of last six games (6-1 ATS last seven).
— Patriots’ last 2 games: 1 TD, 7 FGA’s, 10 3/outs on 24 drives.
— Patriots’ foes last 2 games: no TD’s, 3 FGA’s, 15 3/outs on 25 drives.
— New England is 6-0 giving up 17 or less points, 0-4 giving up 20+.
— Patriots’ last four games were against rookie/2nd year QB’s.
— NE is +7 in turnovers in its wins, minus-6 in losses.
— Last five games, Patriots outscored foes 77-32 in 2nd half.
— Mac Jones is 14-11 as an NFC starter.
— Last three New England games stayed under the total.
— AFC East favorites are 9-6 ATS in non-divisional games.
— Vikings won seven of last eight games (5-2-1 ATS).
— Despite being 8-2, Vikings have been outscored 231-229.
— Last two games, Vikings were outscored 47-13 in first half.
— Vikings are 4-1 SU at home, scoring 23.8 ppg.
— Minnesota is 19-12-1 ATS last 32 games coming off a loss.
— Last nine games, Minnesota has 24 plays of 20+ yards; opponents have 39.
— Jefferson was held to 33 yards on 3 catches LW (check status).
— Cousins is 68-63-2 as an NFL starter.
— Vikings have 11 takeaways in last five games (+6)
— NFC North underdogs are 8-7-1 ATS in non-divisional games.
— Patriots won last five series games, covered last four.
— Four of the five games stayed under the total.
— New England won 30-7/31-7 in last two trips to Minnesota.
NFL
Armadillo's Write-up
Week 12
Sunday’s games
Ravens (7-3) @ Jaguars (3-7)
— Baltimore won five of its last six games SU.
— Five of last seven Raven games were decided by 5 or fewer points.
— Ravens led 35-14/20-3/20-10 in their three losses TY.
— Ravens are 3-1 ATS as a road favorite this season.
— Last two games, Ravens allowed one TD on 20 drives.
— QB Jackson leads Ravens with 666 RY; next highest is Drake, with 390.
— Six of Ravens’ last seven games stayed under the total.
— Baltimore is 21-15-1 last 37 games coming off a win.
— Jackson is 45-18 as an NFL starter.
— Baltimore have seven takeaways in last four games (+5)
— Jacksonville lost six of its last seven games (1-6 ATS)
— Jaguars are 1-6 in one-score games.
— Last two games, Jacksonville outscored foes 27-7 in 2nd half.
— Jaguars are 2-0 ATS as a home underdog this year.
— In his career, Pederson is 10-4 ATS as a home dog.
— Jaguars are 6-4-1 ATS in last 11 post-bye games.
— Under is 3-1 in Jacksonville’s last four games.
— Jaguars converted 28 of last 63 third down plays (44.4%)
— 2nd-year QB Lawrence is 6-21 as an NFL starter.
— AFC South underdogs are 11-9 ATS outside the division.
— Teams split last eight meetings.
— Ravens are 1-3 SU/ATS in last four trips to Jacksonville.
— Under is 5-2-1 in last eight series games.
Broncos (3-7) @ Panthers (3-8)
— Denver lost six of last seven games, losing by 9-3-3-7-7-6 points.
— Broncos scored 16 or fewer points in eight of ten games.
— Last five games, Denver was outscored 56-26 in second half.
— Last five games, Broncos have seven TD’s on 69 drives.
— Broncos allowed 9-10-17 points in their three wins.
— Denver held 8 of 10 opponents under 6.0 yards/pass play.
— Last six games, Broncos are 32-127 (25.2%) on third down.
— Denver is 5-7 ATS last 12 games as a road favorite.
— Nine of ten Denver games stayed under the total.
— Broncos are 0-4 SU in true road games TY- they won on a neutral field in London.
— QB Darnold gets his first 2022 start; he is 17-32 as an NFL starter.
— Third different QB to start Carolina’s last three games.
— Panthers covered four of their last five games.
— Carolina is 3-3 SU at home TY, 2-0 since they changed coaches.
— Panthers are 3-1 ATS as a home underdog this year.
— Panthers didn’t allow a TD in first half of their last two games.
— Carolina has converted only 37-132 (28.0%) third down plays.
— Carolina is 5-12 ATS in last 17 games coming off a loss.
— Last 3+ years, Carolina is 18-42 SU.
— Seven of last ten Panther games stayed under the total.
— Carolina is 2-6 ATS in last eight games vs AFC opponents.
— Denver won four of last five series games.
— Broncos won two of last three visits to Charlotte.
— Under is 3-2 in last five meetings.
Falcons (5-6) @ Commanders (6-5)
— Falcons are 1-4 SU on the road, winning at Seattle in Week 3.
— Three of their last four games were decided by 3 or less points.
— Underdogs are 8-2-1 ATS in their games TY.
— Atlanta is 11-7 ATS in last 18 games as a road dog.
— Last two games, Falcons converted 5-20 third down plays.
— Last ten opponents converted 67-136 (49.3%) third down plays.
— Falcons are 5-10 ATS last 15 games coming off a win (2-2 TY).
— Last nine games, Falcons ran ball for 163.1 yards/game.
— Mariota is 35-39 as an NFL starter.
— TE Pitts is out with a leg injury.
— Over is 3-2 in their road games this year.
— Washington won five of last six games (5-0-1 ATS).
— Heinicke is 4-1 as Commanders’ QB this season.
— Last six games, Washington is +7 in turnovers (minus-7 in first five)
— Last seven games, they’re 30-94 on third down (31.9%).
— Washington is 3-0 ATS as a favorite this season.
— Commanders are 13-6-1 ATS last 20 games coming off a win.
— Last three weeks, Washington ran football for 147.7 yards/game.
— Seven of their last nine games stayed under the total.
— Opponents stayed under their team total eight of last nine games.
— Last two games, Washington had 20-20 points at half; in first nine games, they scored total of 54 first half points (6 points/game).
— Atlanta won seven of last eight series games.
— Falcons covered their last three games at Washington.
— Over is 5-3 in last eight meetings.
Buccaneers (5-5) @ Browns (3-7)
— Tampa Bay is 5-1 allowing less than 20 points, 0-4 giving up 20+.
— Buccaneers are 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight games.
— Tampa Bay is 1-4 ATS in last five post-bye games.
— Tampa Bay held last two opponents to 206-283 yards.
— Last six games, Tampa was outscored 85-48 in second half.
— Last two games, Bucs converted 19-36 on third down.
— With Brady, Tampa Bay is 5-7 ATS as a road favorite.
— With Brady, Tampa Bay is 6-5-1 ATS vs AFC teams.
— Eight of ten Tampa Bay games stayed under the total.
— NFC South teams are 10-17-1 ATS in non-divisional games.
— Cleveland lost six of last seven games (3-3 ATS last six).
— Last two weeks, Browns gave up 39-31 points
— Browns lost field position by 10+ yards in four of last five games.
— Browns scored 26-29-32 points in wins; they’re 0-5 scoring less than 26.
— Cleveland outgained eight of its ten opponents, but they’re 3-7.
— Over is 7-3 in their games this season.
— Browns ran ball for 217-171-172 yards in their wins, 135.6 yards/game in losses.
— Browns are 1-6 ATS last seven games as a home underdog.
— Brissett is 17-30 as an NFL starter- Watson comes back next week.
— Browns turned ball over 13 times in last six games (minus-8)
— Buccaneers won four of last five meetings.
— Four of the five games stayed under the total.
— Teams split last two series games in Cleveland.
Bengals (6-4) @ Titans (7-3)
— Cincinnati won six of its last eight games (7-1 ATS).
— Three of Bengals’ four losses are by 3-3-2 points, all on last-second FG’s.
— Bengals are 0-4 scoring 20 or less points, 6-0 if they score more.
— Bengals scored 30+ points in four of last five games.
— Cincy converted 45 of last 89 (50.6%) third down plays.
— Under Taylor, Bengals are 5-4 ATS as a road favorite.
— Cincy scored 17 TD’s on their last 40 drives.
— Four of Bengals’ last five games went over the total.
— Cincy is 3-1 ATS this season coming off a win.
— 3rd-year QB Burrow is 21-18-1 as an NFL starter.
— Tennessee won seven of last eight games (8-0 ATS), allowing 15.8 ppg.
— Titans won/covered three of four home games this year.
— Tennessee has outscored opponents 137-75 in first half.
— Titans have been outscored 110-56 in second half.
— Opponents have converted only 41-136 (30.1%) third down plays.
— Tennessee held last eight opponents under their team total.
— Since 2020, Titans are 5-0 ATS as a home underdog.
— Last four games, Tennessee allowed only 7 TD’s on 55 drives.
— Six of last seven Titan games stayed under the total.
— AFC South underdogs are 11-9 ATS outside the division.
— Cincinnati won six of last eight series games.
— Bengals are 3-0-1 ATS in last four visits to Tennessee.
— Under is 5-2 in last seven meetings.
Texans (1-8-1) @ Dolphins (6-3)
— Texans lost eight of their last nine games SU (2-6 ATS last eight).
— Texans are 0-5 SU/1-4 ATS since their bye week, giving up 26.2 ppg.
— Houston has allowed 178.7 rushing yards/game this season.
— Texans are 7-11 ATS in last 18 games as a road underdog.
— Texans are 10-19-1 ATS last 30 games coming off a loss.
— Last four games, Houston is 35-113 (19.6%) on 3rd down.
— Texans averaged less than 6.0 yards/pass attempt in 7 of 10 games.
— Houston was outgained 344-148 in LW’s home loss to Washington.
— 2nd-year QB Mills is 3-17-1 as an NFL starter.
— AFC South road underdogs are 6-7 ATS outside the division.
— Dolphins won last four games, scoring 31-35-39 points in last three.
— Miami is 5-0 this season in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
— Dolphins are 6-0 if they score more than 17 points.
— Miami is 12-4-1 ATS last 17 games as a home favorite (3-1 TY).
— Dolphins converted 19 of last 33 third down plays.
— Miami is +5 in turnovers in its wins, minus-7 in losses.
— Last 5 games, Miami averaged 7.3/7.5/9.2/10.1/8.7 yards/pass attempt.
— Last three Dolphin games went over the total.
— Dolphins won last two post-bye games, 24-0/20-9.
— Tagovailoa is 20-9 as an NFL starter.
— AFC East non-divisional favorites are 9-6-1 ATS TY.
— Houston won eight of last ten series games.
— Texans are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Miami (0-2 last two0
— Under is 4-4 in last eight meetings.
Bears (3-8) @ Jets (6-4)
— Chicago lost four in row, seven of its last eight games SU (2-5-1 ATS).
— Bears’ last three losses were by 3-1-3 points.
— Last four games, Chicago gave up 49-35-31-27 points
— Opponents scored TD’s on 15 of last 33 drives.
— Bears scored 29.6 ppg in last five games (1-4 SU)
— Last week was first time in six games Bears were held under 200 rushing yards.
— Chicago is 4-9-1 ATS in last 14 games as a road underdog (1-4-1 TY).
— Bears led at halftime once this season (1-8-2).
— Last five games, Bears converted 42-76 third down plays.
— Chicago is 12-18-2 ATS last 32 games coming off a loss.
— Six of their last seven games went over the total.
— QB Fields is 5-16 as an NFL starter; check status on his left shoulder.
— Jets didn’t score TD last week, lost 10-3 on 84-yard punt return with 0:05 left.
— Last four games, Jets scored five TD’s on 43 drives.
— Check status on whether Wilson/White starts at QB.
— Despite that, Jets won/covered five of their last seven games.
— Jets are 5-0 scoring 20+ points, 1-4 scoring less than 20.
— Under Saleh, Jets are 3-0 ATS as a favorite.
— Last four weeks, opponents converted 23-77 (29.9%) third down plays.
— Last five Jet games stayed under the total.
— Jets held six of last seven opponents under their team total.
— 2nd-year QB Wilson is 9-12 as an NFL starter.
— Chicago won last five series games.
— Bears won 27-19/10-0 in last two visits here.
— Under is 4-2 in last six meetings.
Raiders (3-7) @ Seahawks (6-4)
— Las Vegas lost three of their last four games SU.
— Raiders are 1-5 SU/2-4 ATS on the road this year.
— Raiders are 1-5 SU in games decided by 5 or less points, or in OT.
— Las Vegas led 17-0 in three of their seven losses.
— Last nine games, Las Vegas’ opponent is 7-1-1 against its team total.
— Raiders are 13-7 ATS last 20 games as a road underdog.
— Las Vegas won field position last two games (won once in first eight games)
— Las Vegas is 10-8 ATS in last 18 games coming off a win.
— Three of last four Raider games stayed under the total.
— Derek Carr is 60-78 as an NFL starter.
— Raiders are 10-19-2 ATS in last 31 games vs NFC teams.
— Seahawks won/covered five of their last seven games.
— Seattle is 5-1 when it allows less than 27 points.
— Seattle’s last five opponents stayed under their team total.
— Last six weeks, Seattle is 24-69 (34.8%) on 3rd down conversions.
— Seattle trailed at halftime twice this year, in Weeks 2/10.
— Seahawks won field position last three games, by 4-9-12 yards.
— Seahawks are 9-6 ATS last 15 games as a home favorite.
— Seahawks are 9-2 ATS last 11 games vs AFC teams.
— Geno Smith is 19-24 as an NFL starter.
— Seattle is 3-4 ATS in last seven post-bye games.
— Seahawks won four of last six series games.
— Chargers are 2-4 ATS in last six visits to Seattle.
— Five of last six meetings stayed under the total.
Chargers (5-5) @ Cardinals (4-7)
— Chargers lost three of their last four games.
— Bolts are 6-8-1 ATS last 15 games as a road favorite.
— Chargers are 4-1 giving up less than 27 points, 1-4 if they give up 27+.
— Chargers have been outscored 134-75 in second half.
— Bolts ran ball for 91 or fewer yards in eight of ten games.
— Last four games, Chargers allowed 214-201-157-163 rushing yards
— Chargers are +5 in turnovers in their wins, minus-4 in losses.
— Chargers are 7-3-1 ATS last 11 games vs NFC teams.
— Over is 5-3 in Bolts’ last eight games.
— Herbert is 20-22 as an NFL starter.
— Short week for Arizona after Monday’s game in Mexico City.
— Check status as to who plays QB for the Cardinals.
— Cardinals lost five of their last seven games SU.
— Arizona gave up 20+ 2nd half points in four of last five games.
— Arizona is 2-7 when it scores less than 29 points.
— Cardinals trailed at halftime in nine of their 11 games.
— Last three games, Arizona converted 19-45 third down plays (42.2%).
— Arizona is 12-11-1 ATS last 24 games as a home underdog.
— Cardinals outscored opponents 56-25 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Last five Arizona games went over the total.
— Cardinals are 7-5 ATS in last 12 games coming off a loss.
— Chargers won four of last five series games.
— Bolts split last two visits to Arizona (under 2-0)
— Under is 3-3 in last six meetings overall.
Rams (3-7) @ Chiefs (8-2)
— Check status as to who plays QB for the Rams.
— Rams lost four in row, six of last seven games.
— Rams are 3-1 scoring 20+ points, 0-6 when they score less.
— In their losses, LA was outscored 95-29 in second half.
— Last three games, Rams converted 12-40 on third down.
— Rams stayed under their team total seven of last eight weeks.
— Under McVay, Rams are 7-5-2 ATS as a road underdog.
— Rams have one takeaway in their last eight games (minus-7).
— Three of Rams’ last four games went over the total.
— WR Cooper Kupp (ankle) is out for the next month.
— Rams are 2-8-1 ATS last 11 games vs AFC teams.
— Chiefs won four in row, six of last seven games (4-3 ATS).
— Chiefs were held to 17-20 points in their two losses.
— KC is 11-20-1 ATS last 31 games coming off a win.
— Last five weeks, Chiefs converted 49-78 (62.8%) third down plays.
— Kansas City is 8-12 ATS last 20 games as a home favorite.
— Under is 5-1 in their home games.
— Last three games, Chiefs are minus-3 in turnovers (2-5)
— Chiefs have 57 plays of 20+ yards; opponents have 38.
— Chiefs are 6-2 ATS last eight games vs NFC teams.
— Mahomes is 67-17 as an NFL starter.
— Chiefs won five of last seven series games.
— Rams won last meeting 54-51 in LA Coliseum in 2018.
— LA is 0-3 SU/ATS in last three visits to Arrowhead.
— Under is 3-1-1 in last five meetings.
Saints (4-7) @ 49ers (6-4)
— Saints split last four games, after a 2-5 start.
— NO is 0-2 ATS as a road dog TY, after going 10-2 from 2018-21.
— Saints are 4-3 scoring 24+ points, 0-4 when they score less.
— Saints have one takeaway last five games; their turnover ratio: minus-13.
— Last 3 games, Saints have 3 plays of 20+ yards (opponents have 12).
— New Orleans is 3-8 ATS last 11 games coming off a win.
— Saints have been outscored 63-25 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Three of last four New Orleans games stayed under the total.
— Dalton is 80-78-2 SU as an NFL starter, 3-5 with the Saints.
— NFC South underdogs are 6-12 ATS outside the division.
— Short week for 49ers after Monday’s game in Mexico City.
— 49ers outscored last three opponents 54-0 in second half.
— 49ers are 5-0 when they score 24+ points, 1-4 when they don’t.
— Last three games, 49er opponents were 37-68 on third down.
— Last three games, 49ers converted 28-51 on third down.
— 49ers ran ball for 157-159 in their two post-bye games.
— 49ers trailed four of last five games at halftime.
— Three of last four 49er games went over the total.
— 49ers are +7 in turnovers in their wins, minus-8 in losses.
— 49ers are 10-9 ATS in last 19 games coming off a win.
— QB Garoppolo is 42-19 as an NFL starter.
— Teams split last eight series games.
— Saints are 4-2 ATS in last six visits to Santa Clara.
— Over is 5-2 in last seven meetings.
Packers (4-7) @ Eagles (9-1)
— Packers lost six of their last seven games SU.
— Packers are 10-2 ATS last 12 games as a road underdog.
— Green Bay went under its team total in nine of 11 games.
— Last three weeks, Green Bay was outscored 60-27 in first half.
— Packers converted 27 of last 54 third down plays.
— Last seven weeks, Green Bay gave up 143.9 rushing yards/game.
— Under is 4-1 in Packers’ true road games this season.
— Green Bay is 1-6 when they run ball for less than 190 yards.
— Packers are 12-3 ATS in last 15 games coming off a loss.
— NFC North underdogs are 8-7-1 ATS outside the division.
— Eagles are 0-3 ATS the last three weeks.
— Under Sirianni, Philly is 7-1 ATS as a home favorite (3-1 TY)
— Eagles turned ball over six times in last two games (3 in first 8 games)
— Eagles have 33 touchdowns on 97 drives this season.
— Philly has converted 60-120 3rd down plays.
— Eagles outscored first seven foes 178-102 in first half.
— Philly is 9-11 ATS last 20 games coming off a win.
— NFC East home favorites are 9-1 ATS outside division.
— Last four games, Eagles were outscored 29-7 in last 2:00 of each half.
— 3rd-year QB Hurts is 18-12 as an NFL starter.
— Green Bay won six of last eight series games.
— Packers covered their last three visits to Philadelphia.
— Under is 8-2 in last ten meetings.
Monday’s game
Steelers (3-7) @ Colts (4-6-1)
— Steelers lost seven of their last nine games.
— Steelers have no turnovers (+11) in their wins, 14 (-8) in losses.
— Pittsburgh has 5 TD’s on last 22 drives (4 on previous 40).
— Pittsburgh is 2-3 ATS as a road underdog TY.
— Steelers are 9-13 ATS last 22 games coming off a loss.
— Last three games, Steelers ran ball for 154.3 yards/game.
— Under is 7-3 in their games this season.
— Last two games, Steelers have 11 plays of 20+ yards (21 in first 8 games).
— Pittsburgh has been outscored 106-67 in 2nd half of games.
— Pickett is 2-4 as a starter in his rookie season.
— Colts split their first two games under interim HC Saturday.
— Colts lost four of their last five games SU.
— Last three games, Colts were outscored 40-21 in second half.
— Underdogs covered eight of their eleven games.
— Colts went under their team total in nine of 11 games TY.
— Nine of their eleven games stayed under the total.
— Colts are 7-8-1 ATS last 16 games as a home favorite.
— Indy is 11-5-1 ATS last 17 games coming off a loss.
— In Ryan’s last four starts, Colts converted 25-54 third down plays.
— Ryan is 128-112-1 as an NFL starter, 4-4-1 with the Colts
— Pittsburgh won last seven series games (5-1 ATS last six)
— Steelers are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Indianapolis.
— Over is 6-2 in last eight series games.
Armadillo's Write-up
Week 12
Sunday’s games
Ravens (7-3) @ Jaguars (3-7)
— Baltimore won five of its last six games SU.
— Five of last seven Raven games were decided by 5 or fewer points.
— Ravens led 35-14/20-3/20-10 in their three losses TY.
— Ravens are 3-1 ATS as a road favorite this season.
— Last two games, Ravens allowed one TD on 20 drives.
— QB Jackson leads Ravens with 666 RY; next highest is Drake, with 390.
— Six of Ravens’ last seven games stayed under the total.
— Baltimore is 21-15-1 last 37 games coming off a win.
— Jackson is 45-18 as an NFL starter.
— Baltimore have seven takeaways in last four games (+5)
— Jacksonville lost six of its last seven games (1-6 ATS)
— Jaguars are 1-6 in one-score games.
— Last two games, Jacksonville outscored foes 27-7 in 2nd half.
— Jaguars are 2-0 ATS as a home underdog this year.
— In his career, Pederson is 10-4 ATS as a home dog.
— Jaguars are 6-4-1 ATS in last 11 post-bye games.
— Under is 3-1 in Jacksonville’s last four games.
— Jaguars converted 28 of last 63 third down plays (44.4%)
— 2nd-year QB Lawrence is 6-21 as an NFL starter.
— AFC South underdogs are 11-9 ATS outside the division.
— Teams split last eight meetings.
— Ravens are 1-3 SU/ATS in last four trips to Jacksonville.
— Under is 5-2-1 in last eight series games.
Broncos (3-7) @ Panthers (3-8)
— Denver lost six of last seven games, losing by 9-3-3-7-7-6 points.
— Broncos scored 16 or fewer points in eight of ten games.
— Last five games, Denver was outscored 56-26 in second half.
— Last five games, Broncos have seven TD’s on 69 drives.
— Broncos allowed 9-10-17 points in their three wins.
— Denver held 8 of 10 opponents under 6.0 yards/pass play.
— Last six games, Broncos are 32-127 (25.2%) on third down.
— Denver is 5-7 ATS last 12 games as a road favorite.
— Nine of ten Denver games stayed under the total.
— Broncos are 0-4 SU in true road games TY- they won on a neutral field in London.
— QB Darnold gets his first 2022 start; he is 17-32 as an NFL starter.
— Third different QB to start Carolina’s last three games.
— Panthers covered four of their last five games.
— Carolina is 3-3 SU at home TY, 2-0 since they changed coaches.
— Panthers are 3-1 ATS as a home underdog this year.
— Panthers didn’t allow a TD in first half of their last two games.
— Carolina has converted only 37-132 (28.0%) third down plays.
— Carolina is 5-12 ATS in last 17 games coming off a loss.
— Last 3+ years, Carolina is 18-42 SU.
— Seven of last ten Panther games stayed under the total.
— Carolina is 2-6 ATS in last eight games vs AFC opponents.
— Denver won four of last five series games.
— Broncos won two of last three visits to Charlotte.
— Under is 3-2 in last five meetings.
Falcons (5-6) @ Commanders (6-5)
— Falcons are 1-4 SU on the road, winning at Seattle in Week 3.
— Three of their last four games were decided by 3 or less points.
— Underdogs are 8-2-1 ATS in their games TY.
— Atlanta is 11-7 ATS in last 18 games as a road dog.
— Last two games, Falcons converted 5-20 third down plays.
— Last ten opponents converted 67-136 (49.3%) third down plays.
— Falcons are 5-10 ATS last 15 games coming off a win (2-2 TY).
— Last nine games, Falcons ran ball for 163.1 yards/game.
— Mariota is 35-39 as an NFL starter.
— TE Pitts is out with a leg injury.
— Over is 3-2 in their road games this year.
— Washington won five of last six games (5-0-1 ATS).
— Heinicke is 4-1 as Commanders’ QB this season.
— Last six games, Washington is +7 in turnovers (minus-7 in first five)
— Last seven games, they’re 30-94 on third down (31.9%).
— Washington is 3-0 ATS as a favorite this season.
— Commanders are 13-6-1 ATS last 20 games coming off a win.
— Last three weeks, Washington ran football for 147.7 yards/game.
— Seven of their last nine games stayed under the total.
— Opponents stayed under their team total eight of last nine games.
— Last two games, Washington had 20-20 points at half; in first nine games, they scored total of 54 first half points (6 points/game).
— Atlanta won seven of last eight series games.
— Falcons covered their last three games at Washington.
— Over is 5-3 in last eight meetings.
Buccaneers (5-5) @ Browns (3-7)
— Tampa Bay is 5-1 allowing less than 20 points, 0-4 giving up 20+.
— Buccaneers are 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight games.
— Tampa Bay is 1-4 ATS in last five post-bye games.
— Tampa Bay held last two opponents to 206-283 yards.
— Last six games, Tampa was outscored 85-48 in second half.
— Last two games, Bucs converted 19-36 on third down.
— With Brady, Tampa Bay is 5-7 ATS as a road favorite.
— With Brady, Tampa Bay is 6-5-1 ATS vs AFC teams.
— Eight of ten Tampa Bay games stayed under the total.
— NFC South teams are 10-17-1 ATS in non-divisional games.
— Cleveland lost six of last seven games (3-3 ATS last six).
— Last two weeks, Browns gave up 39-31 points
— Browns lost field position by 10+ yards in four of last five games.
— Browns scored 26-29-32 points in wins; they’re 0-5 scoring less than 26.
— Cleveland outgained eight of its ten opponents, but they’re 3-7.
— Over is 7-3 in their games this season.
— Browns ran ball for 217-171-172 yards in their wins, 135.6 yards/game in losses.
— Browns are 1-6 ATS last seven games as a home underdog.
— Brissett is 17-30 as an NFL starter- Watson comes back next week.
— Browns turned ball over 13 times in last six games (minus-8)
— Buccaneers won four of last five meetings.
— Four of the five games stayed under the total.
— Teams split last two series games in Cleveland.
Bengals (6-4) @ Titans (7-3)
— Cincinnati won six of its last eight games (7-1 ATS).
— Three of Bengals’ four losses are by 3-3-2 points, all on last-second FG’s.
— Bengals are 0-4 scoring 20 or less points, 6-0 if they score more.
— Bengals scored 30+ points in four of last five games.
— Cincy converted 45 of last 89 (50.6%) third down plays.
— Under Taylor, Bengals are 5-4 ATS as a road favorite.
— Cincy scored 17 TD’s on their last 40 drives.
— Four of Bengals’ last five games went over the total.
— Cincy is 3-1 ATS this season coming off a win.
— 3rd-year QB Burrow is 21-18-1 as an NFL starter.
— Tennessee won seven of last eight games (8-0 ATS), allowing 15.8 ppg.
— Titans won/covered three of four home games this year.
— Tennessee has outscored opponents 137-75 in first half.
— Titans have been outscored 110-56 in second half.
— Opponents have converted only 41-136 (30.1%) third down plays.
— Tennessee held last eight opponents under their team total.
— Since 2020, Titans are 5-0 ATS as a home underdog.
— Last four games, Tennessee allowed only 7 TD’s on 55 drives.
— Six of last seven Titan games stayed under the total.
— AFC South underdogs are 11-9 ATS outside the division.
— Cincinnati won six of last eight series games.
— Bengals are 3-0-1 ATS in last four visits to Tennessee.
— Under is 5-2 in last seven meetings.
Texans (1-8-1) @ Dolphins (6-3)
— Texans lost eight of their last nine games SU (2-6 ATS last eight).
— Texans are 0-5 SU/1-4 ATS since their bye week, giving up 26.2 ppg.
— Houston has allowed 178.7 rushing yards/game this season.
— Texans are 7-11 ATS in last 18 games as a road underdog.
— Texans are 10-19-1 ATS last 30 games coming off a loss.
— Last four games, Houston is 35-113 (19.6%) on 3rd down.
— Texans averaged less than 6.0 yards/pass attempt in 7 of 10 games.
— Houston was outgained 344-148 in LW’s home loss to Washington.
— 2nd-year QB Mills is 3-17-1 as an NFL starter.
— AFC South road underdogs are 6-7 ATS outside the division.
— Dolphins won last four games, scoring 31-35-39 points in last three.
— Miami is 5-0 this season in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
— Dolphins are 6-0 if they score more than 17 points.
— Miami is 12-4-1 ATS last 17 games as a home favorite (3-1 TY).
— Dolphins converted 19 of last 33 third down plays.
— Miami is +5 in turnovers in its wins, minus-7 in losses.
— Last 5 games, Miami averaged 7.3/7.5/9.2/10.1/8.7 yards/pass attempt.
— Last three Dolphin games went over the total.
— Dolphins won last two post-bye games, 24-0/20-9.
— Tagovailoa is 20-9 as an NFL starter.
— AFC East non-divisional favorites are 9-6-1 ATS TY.
— Houston won eight of last ten series games.
— Texans are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Miami (0-2 last two0
— Under is 4-4 in last eight meetings.
Bears (3-8) @ Jets (6-4)
— Chicago lost four in row, seven of its last eight games SU (2-5-1 ATS).
— Bears’ last three losses were by 3-1-3 points.
— Last four games, Chicago gave up 49-35-31-27 points
— Opponents scored TD’s on 15 of last 33 drives.
— Bears scored 29.6 ppg in last five games (1-4 SU)
— Last week was first time in six games Bears were held under 200 rushing yards.
— Chicago is 4-9-1 ATS in last 14 games as a road underdog (1-4-1 TY).
— Bears led at halftime once this season (1-8-2).
— Last five games, Bears converted 42-76 third down plays.
— Chicago is 12-18-2 ATS last 32 games coming off a loss.
— Six of their last seven games went over the total.
— QB Fields is 5-16 as an NFL starter; check status on his left shoulder.
— Jets didn’t score TD last week, lost 10-3 on 84-yard punt return with 0:05 left.
— Last four games, Jets scored five TD’s on 43 drives.
— Check status on whether Wilson/White starts at QB.
— Despite that, Jets won/covered five of their last seven games.
— Jets are 5-0 scoring 20+ points, 1-4 scoring less than 20.
— Under Saleh, Jets are 3-0 ATS as a favorite.
— Last four weeks, opponents converted 23-77 (29.9%) third down plays.
— Last five Jet games stayed under the total.
— Jets held six of last seven opponents under their team total.
— 2nd-year QB Wilson is 9-12 as an NFL starter.
— Chicago won last five series games.
— Bears won 27-19/10-0 in last two visits here.
— Under is 4-2 in last six meetings.
Raiders (3-7) @ Seahawks (6-4)
— Las Vegas lost three of their last four games SU.
— Raiders are 1-5 SU/2-4 ATS on the road this year.
— Raiders are 1-5 SU in games decided by 5 or less points, or in OT.
— Las Vegas led 17-0 in three of their seven losses.
— Last nine games, Las Vegas’ opponent is 7-1-1 against its team total.
— Raiders are 13-7 ATS last 20 games as a road underdog.
— Las Vegas won field position last two games (won once in first eight games)
— Las Vegas is 10-8 ATS in last 18 games coming off a win.
— Three of last four Raider games stayed under the total.
— Derek Carr is 60-78 as an NFL starter.
— Raiders are 10-19-2 ATS in last 31 games vs NFC teams.
— Seahawks won/covered five of their last seven games.
— Seattle is 5-1 when it allows less than 27 points.
— Seattle’s last five opponents stayed under their team total.
— Last six weeks, Seattle is 24-69 (34.8%) on 3rd down conversions.
— Seattle trailed at halftime twice this year, in Weeks 2/10.
— Seahawks won field position last three games, by 4-9-12 yards.
— Seahawks are 9-6 ATS last 15 games as a home favorite.
— Seahawks are 9-2 ATS last 11 games vs AFC teams.
— Geno Smith is 19-24 as an NFL starter.
— Seattle is 3-4 ATS in last seven post-bye games.
— Seahawks won four of last six series games.
— Chargers are 2-4 ATS in last six visits to Seattle.
— Five of last six meetings stayed under the total.
Chargers (5-5) @ Cardinals (4-7)
— Chargers lost three of their last four games.
— Bolts are 6-8-1 ATS last 15 games as a road favorite.
— Chargers are 4-1 giving up less than 27 points, 1-4 if they give up 27+.
— Chargers have been outscored 134-75 in second half.
— Bolts ran ball for 91 or fewer yards in eight of ten games.
— Last four games, Chargers allowed 214-201-157-163 rushing yards
— Chargers are +5 in turnovers in their wins, minus-4 in losses.
— Chargers are 7-3-1 ATS last 11 games vs NFC teams.
— Over is 5-3 in Bolts’ last eight games.
— Herbert is 20-22 as an NFL starter.
— Short week for Arizona after Monday’s game in Mexico City.
— Check status as to who plays QB for the Cardinals.
— Cardinals lost five of their last seven games SU.
— Arizona gave up 20+ 2nd half points in four of last five games.
— Arizona is 2-7 when it scores less than 29 points.
— Cardinals trailed at halftime in nine of their 11 games.
— Last three games, Arizona converted 19-45 third down plays (42.2%).
— Arizona is 12-11-1 ATS last 24 games as a home underdog.
— Cardinals outscored opponents 56-25 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Last five Arizona games went over the total.
— Cardinals are 7-5 ATS in last 12 games coming off a loss.
— Chargers won four of last five series games.
— Bolts split last two visits to Arizona (under 2-0)
— Under is 3-3 in last six meetings overall.
Rams (3-7) @ Chiefs (8-2)
— Check status as to who plays QB for the Rams.
— Rams lost four in row, six of last seven games.
— Rams are 3-1 scoring 20+ points, 0-6 when they score less.
— In their losses, LA was outscored 95-29 in second half.
— Last three games, Rams converted 12-40 on third down.
— Rams stayed under their team total seven of last eight weeks.
— Under McVay, Rams are 7-5-2 ATS as a road underdog.
— Rams have one takeaway in their last eight games (minus-7).
— Three of Rams’ last four games went over the total.
— WR Cooper Kupp (ankle) is out for the next month.
— Rams are 2-8-1 ATS last 11 games vs AFC teams.
— Chiefs won four in row, six of last seven games (4-3 ATS).
— Chiefs were held to 17-20 points in their two losses.
— KC is 11-20-1 ATS last 31 games coming off a win.
— Last five weeks, Chiefs converted 49-78 (62.8%) third down plays.
— Kansas City is 8-12 ATS last 20 games as a home favorite.
— Under is 5-1 in their home games.
— Last three games, Chiefs are minus-3 in turnovers (2-5)
— Chiefs have 57 plays of 20+ yards; opponents have 38.
— Chiefs are 6-2 ATS last eight games vs NFC teams.
— Mahomes is 67-17 as an NFL starter.
— Chiefs won five of last seven series games.
— Rams won last meeting 54-51 in LA Coliseum in 2018.
— LA is 0-3 SU/ATS in last three visits to Arrowhead.
— Under is 3-1-1 in last five meetings.
Saints (4-7) @ 49ers (6-4)
— Saints split last four games, after a 2-5 start.
— NO is 0-2 ATS as a road dog TY, after going 10-2 from 2018-21.
— Saints are 4-3 scoring 24+ points, 0-4 when they score less.
— Saints have one takeaway last five games; their turnover ratio: minus-13.
— Last 3 games, Saints have 3 plays of 20+ yards (opponents have 12).
— New Orleans is 3-8 ATS last 11 games coming off a win.
— Saints have been outscored 63-25 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Three of last four New Orleans games stayed under the total.
— Dalton is 80-78-2 SU as an NFL starter, 3-5 with the Saints.
— NFC South underdogs are 6-12 ATS outside the division.
— Short week for 49ers after Monday’s game in Mexico City.
— 49ers outscored last three opponents 54-0 in second half.
— 49ers are 5-0 when they score 24+ points, 1-4 when they don’t.
— Last three games, 49er opponents were 37-68 on third down.
— Last three games, 49ers converted 28-51 on third down.
— 49ers ran ball for 157-159 in their two post-bye games.
— 49ers trailed four of last five games at halftime.
— Three of last four 49er games went over the total.
— 49ers are +7 in turnovers in their wins, minus-8 in losses.
— 49ers are 10-9 ATS in last 19 games coming off a win.
— QB Garoppolo is 42-19 as an NFL starter.
— Teams split last eight series games.
— Saints are 4-2 ATS in last six visits to Santa Clara.
— Over is 5-2 in last seven meetings.
Packers (4-7) @ Eagles (9-1)
— Packers lost six of their last seven games SU.
— Packers are 10-2 ATS last 12 games as a road underdog.
— Green Bay went under its team total in nine of 11 games.
— Last three weeks, Green Bay was outscored 60-27 in first half.
— Packers converted 27 of last 54 third down plays.
— Last seven weeks, Green Bay gave up 143.9 rushing yards/game.
— Under is 4-1 in Packers’ true road games this season.
— Green Bay is 1-6 when they run ball for less than 190 yards.
— Packers are 12-3 ATS in last 15 games coming off a loss.
— NFC North underdogs are 8-7-1 ATS outside the division.
— Eagles are 0-3 ATS the last three weeks.
— Under Sirianni, Philly is 7-1 ATS as a home favorite (3-1 TY)
— Eagles turned ball over six times in last two games (3 in first 8 games)
— Eagles have 33 touchdowns on 97 drives this season.
— Philly has converted 60-120 3rd down plays.
— Eagles outscored first seven foes 178-102 in first half.
— Philly is 9-11 ATS last 20 games coming off a win.
— NFC East home favorites are 9-1 ATS outside division.
— Last four games, Eagles were outscored 29-7 in last 2:00 of each half.
— 3rd-year QB Hurts is 18-12 as an NFL starter.
— Green Bay won six of last eight series games.
— Packers covered their last three visits to Philadelphia.
— Under is 8-2 in last ten meetings.
Monday’s game
Steelers (3-7) @ Colts (4-6-1)
— Steelers lost seven of their last nine games.
— Steelers have no turnovers (+11) in their wins, 14 (-8) in losses.
— Pittsburgh has 5 TD’s on last 22 drives (4 on previous 40).
— Pittsburgh is 2-3 ATS as a road underdog TY.
— Steelers are 9-13 ATS last 22 games coming off a loss.
— Last three games, Steelers ran ball for 154.3 yards/game.
— Under is 7-3 in their games this season.
— Last two games, Steelers have 11 plays of 20+ yards (21 in first 8 games).
— Pittsburgh has been outscored 106-67 in 2nd half of games.
— Pickett is 2-4 as a starter in his rookie season.
— Colts split their first two games under interim HC Saturday.
— Colts lost four of their last five games SU.
— Last three games, Colts were outscored 40-21 in second half.
— Underdogs covered eight of their eleven games.
— Colts went under their team total in nine of 11 games TY.
— Nine of their eleven games stayed under the total.
— Colts are 7-8-1 ATS last 16 games as a home favorite.
— Indy is 11-5-1 ATS last 17 games coming off a loss.
— In Ryan’s last four starts, Colts converted 25-54 third down plays.
— Ryan is 128-112-1 as an NFL starter, 4-4-1 with the Colts
— Pittsburgh won last seven series games (5-1 ATS last six)
— Steelers are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Indianapolis.
— Over is 6-2 in last eight series games.
The total has gone UNDER in six of Buffalo's last eight games.
The Bills are 12-4 SU in their last 16 games.
The Lions are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games.
The total has gone OVER in nine of Detroit's last 12 games.
The total has gone UNDER in six straight matchups between the Lions and Bills.
The total has gone OVER in five of Detroit's last six home games.
The Bills are 5-1 SU in their last six games against Detroit.
The total has gone UNDER in five straight Bills' road games.
The Giants are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games.
The total has gone UNDER in four of the Giants' last five games.
The Giants are 5-2 SU in their last seven games.
The Cowboys are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games.
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Dallas' last 20 games.
The Cowboys are 7-2 SU in their last nine games.
The total has gone OVER in six of Dallas' last eight games against the Giants.
The total has gone UNDER in six of Dallas' last seven home games.
The Giants are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games against Dallas.
The Giants are 1-10 SU in their last 11 games against Dallas.
The Giants are 3-8 SU in their last 11 road games.
The Giants are 0-5 SU in their last five road games against Dallas.
The Patriots are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games.
The total has gone UNDER in four of New England's last six games.
The Patriots are 5-1 SU in their last six games.
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Minnesota's last 18 games.
The Vikings are 7-1 SU in their last eight games.
The total has gone UNDER in six of Minnesota's last seven games against New England.
The Vikings are 5-1 SU in their last six home games.
The Patriots are 4-1 ATS in their last five games against Minnesota.
The Patriots are 5-0 SU in their last five games against Minnesota.
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of New England's last 18 road games.
The Bills are 12-4 SU in their last 16 games.
The Lions are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games.
The total has gone OVER in nine of Detroit's last 12 games.
The total has gone UNDER in six straight matchups between the Lions and Bills.
The total has gone OVER in five of Detroit's last six home games.
The Bills are 5-1 SU in their last six games against Detroit.
The total has gone UNDER in five straight Bills' road games.
The Giants are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games.
The total has gone UNDER in four of the Giants' last five games.
The Giants are 5-2 SU in their last seven games.
The Cowboys are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games.
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Dallas' last 20 games.
The Cowboys are 7-2 SU in their last nine games.
The total has gone OVER in six of Dallas' last eight games against the Giants.
The total has gone UNDER in six of Dallas' last seven home games.
The Giants are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games against Dallas.
The Giants are 1-10 SU in their last 11 games against Dallas.
The Giants are 3-8 SU in their last 11 road games.
The Giants are 0-5 SU in their last five road games against Dallas.
The Patriots are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games.
The total has gone UNDER in four of New England's last six games.
The Patriots are 5-1 SU in their last six games.
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Minnesota's last 18 games.
The Vikings are 7-1 SU in their last eight games.
The total has gone UNDER in six of Minnesota's last seven games against New England.
The Vikings are 5-1 SU in their last six home games.
The Patriots are 4-1 ATS in their last five games against Minnesota.
The Patriots are 5-0 SU in their last five games against Minnesota.
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of New England's last 18 road games.
Week 12 NFL Gridiron Betting Angles
Vince Akins
Play ON ATS Trend
Matchup: Cincinnati Bengals vs. Tennessee Titans (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
The Bengals are 11-0 ATS since November 21, 2021 when they ran for less than 90 yards last game and did not win by more than 17 points.
Play AGAINST ATS Trend
Matchup: Green Bay Packers vs. Philadelphia Eagles (NBC, 8:20 p.m. ET)
The Packers are 0-8 ATS since December 19 when they allowed at least 24 points last game.
OU Trend
Matchup: Denver Broncos vs. Carolina Panthers (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
The Broncos are 0-24 OU since October 2017 when they were at least a two-point favorite last game.
Choice Trend
Matchup: Atlanta Falcons vs. Washington Commanders (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
The Commanders are 0-9 OU since 2019 on a 2+ game winning streak.
FACTOID of the Week
Matchup: Los Angeles Rams vs. Kansas City Chiefs (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET)
The Rams have only been a 4+ point dog twice since 2018. They have never been more than a 7-point dog. The Rams are 16-point underdogs this week.
Vince Akins
Play ON ATS Trend
Matchup: Cincinnati Bengals vs. Tennessee Titans (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
The Bengals are 11-0 ATS since November 21, 2021 when they ran for less than 90 yards last game and did not win by more than 17 points.
Play AGAINST ATS Trend
Matchup: Green Bay Packers vs. Philadelphia Eagles (NBC, 8:20 p.m. ET)
The Packers are 0-8 ATS since December 19 when they allowed at least 24 points last game.
OU Trend
Matchup: Denver Broncos vs. Carolina Panthers (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
The Broncos are 0-24 OU since October 2017 when they were at least a two-point favorite last game.
Choice Trend
Matchup: Atlanta Falcons vs. Washington Commanders (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
The Commanders are 0-9 OU since 2019 on a 2+ game winning streak.
FACTOID of the Week
Matchup: Los Angeles Rams vs. Kansas City Chiefs (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET)
The Rams have only been a 4+ point dog twice since 2018. They have never been more than a 7-point dog. The Rams are 16-point underdogs this week.
The Bengals are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games.
The total has gone OVER in four of Cincinnati's last five games.
The Bengals are 4-1 SU in their last five games.
The Titans are 8-0 ATS in their last eight games.
The total has gone UNDER in six of Tennessee's last seven games.
The Titans are 7-1 SU in their last eight games.
The total has gone UNDER in eight of Tennessee's last nine home games.
The Bengals are 5-0 ATS in their last five games against Tennessee.
The Bengals are 4-1 SU in their last five games against Tennessee.
The Bengals are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games.
The Bengals are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games against Tennessee.
The Chargers are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games.
The total has gone OVER in 11 of the Chargers' last 16 games.
The Chargers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games against Arizona.
The Cardinals are 2-4 ATS in their last six games.
The total has gone OVER in five straight Cardinals' games.
The Cardinals are 2-5 SU in their last seven games.
The Cardinals are 1-10 SU in their last 11 home games.
The Chargers are 4-1 SU in their last five games against Arizona.
The Chargers are 5-0 ATS in their last five road games.
The Chargers are 5-0 ATS in their last five road games against Arizona.
The Packers are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games.
The Packers are 1-6 SU in their last seven games.
The Packers are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games against Philadelphia.
The Eagles are 2-4 ATS in their last six games.
The total has gone OVER in four of Philadelphia's last five games.
The Eagles are 9-1 SU in their last 10 games.
The total has gone UNDER in eight of Philadelphia's last ten games against Green Bay.
The total has gone OVER in nine of Philadelphia's last ten home games.
The Packers are 6-2 SU in their last eight games against Philadelphia.
The Packers are 1-5 SU in their last six road games.
The total has gone OVER in four of Cincinnati's last five games.
The Bengals are 4-1 SU in their last five games.
The Titans are 8-0 ATS in their last eight games.
The total has gone UNDER in six of Tennessee's last seven games.
The Titans are 7-1 SU in their last eight games.
The total has gone UNDER in eight of Tennessee's last nine home games.
The Bengals are 5-0 ATS in their last five games against Tennessee.
The Bengals are 4-1 SU in their last five games against Tennessee.
The Bengals are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games.
The Bengals are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games against Tennessee.
The Chargers are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games.
The total has gone OVER in 11 of the Chargers' last 16 games.
The Chargers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games against Arizona.
The Cardinals are 2-4 ATS in their last six games.
The total has gone OVER in five straight Cardinals' games.
The Cardinals are 2-5 SU in their last seven games.
The Cardinals are 1-10 SU in their last 11 home games.
The Chargers are 4-1 SU in their last five games against Arizona.
The Chargers are 5-0 ATS in their last five road games.
The Chargers are 5-0 ATS in their last five road games against Arizona.
The Packers are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games.
The Packers are 1-6 SU in their last seven games.
The Packers are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games against Philadelphia.
The Eagles are 2-4 ATS in their last six games.
The total has gone OVER in four of Philadelphia's last five games.
The Eagles are 9-1 SU in their last 10 games.
The total has gone UNDER in eight of Philadelphia's last ten games against Green Bay.
The total has gone OVER in nine of Philadelphia's last ten home games.
The Packers are 6-2 SU in their last eight games against Philadelphia.
The Packers are 1-5 SU in their last six road games.
SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 27
| Game | Time(ET) | Pick | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| ATL at WAS | 01:00 PM | WAS -3.5 U 40.5 | +500 +500 |
| TB at CLE | 01:00 PM | CLE +3.0 U 42.0 | +500 +500 |
| BAL at JAC | 01:00 PM | BAL -3.5 O 43.0 | +500 +500 |
| CHI at NYJ | 01:00 PM | CHI +7.5 U 36.5 | +500 +500 |
| CIN at TEN | 01:00 PM | TEN +1.0 U 43.0 | +500 +500 |
| HOU at MIA | 01:00 PM | HOU +14.0 O 47.0 | +500 +500 |
| DEN at CAR | 01:00 PM | CAR +1.0 O 36.5 | +500 +500 |
| LV at SEA | 04:05 PM | LV +4.0 O 47.5 | +500 +500 |
| LAC at ARI | 04:05 PM | LAC -3.0 O 48.5 | +500 +500 |
| NO at SF | 04:25 PM | SF -9.5 U 44.0 | +500 +500 |
| LAR at KC | 04:25 PM | LAR +16.5 O 42.0 | +500 +500 |
| GB at PHI | 08:20 PM | GB +6.5 U 45.5 | +500 +500 |
NOVEMBER'S OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !
11/27/2022............13-11-0................54.17%.................+ 4.50
11/24/2022................4-1-1.................75.00%..................+ 14.50
11/21/2022................1-1-0.................50.00%...................- 0.50
11/20/2022..............14-9-1.................60.42%...................+ 20.50
11/17/2022................1-1-0.................50.00%...................- 0.50
11/13/2022..............13-8-1.................61.90%...................+ 21.00
11/10/2022................0-2-0.................00.00%....................- 11.00
11/06/2022..............13-8-1................61.36%....................+ 21.00
11/03/2022................0-2-0.................00.00%....................- 11.00
Totals.......................59-43-3.................57.84%....................+ 34.00
*****************************************
BEST BETS
11/27/2022...............11-6-0.................64.70%..................+ 22.00
11/24/2022.................4-1-1.................75.00%...................+ 14.50
11/21/2022.................1-1-0.................50.00%....................- 0.50
11/20/2022.................7-5-1.................58.33%....................+ 7.50
11/17/2022.................1-1-0.................50.00%....................- 0.50
11/13/2022...............10-4-1.................71.42%....................+ 28.00
11/10/2022.................0-2-0..................00.00%....................- 11.00
11/05/2022.................8-5-1..................61.53%...................+ 12.50
11/03/2022.................0-2-0..................00.00%....................- 11.00
Totals........................42-27-4..................60.86%..................+ 47.00
************************************************** ********
SEPT.'S NFL OPINIONS AND BEST BET
TOTALS................44-36-3................55.00%.................+22.00
OCT'S RECORD:
Totals...................62-58-2.................51.66%....................-9.00
************************************************** *****************
SEPT'S BEST BETS
TOTALS..............35-20-0..................63.63%...............+ 65.00
OCT'S BEST BETS
Totals..................40-42-1.................48.78%.................- 30.50
11/27/2022............13-11-0................54.17%.................+ 4.50
11/24/2022................4-1-1.................75.00%..................+ 14.50
11/21/2022................1-1-0.................50.00%...................- 0.50
11/20/2022..............14-9-1.................60.42%...................+ 20.50
11/17/2022................1-1-0.................50.00%...................- 0.50
11/13/2022..............13-8-1.................61.90%...................+ 21.00
11/10/2022................0-2-0.................00.00%....................- 11.00
11/06/2022..............13-8-1................61.36%....................+ 21.00
11/03/2022................0-2-0.................00.00%....................- 11.00
Totals.......................59-43-3.................57.84%....................+ 34.00
*****************************************
BEST BETS
11/27/2022...............11-6-0.................64.70%..................+ 22.00
11/24/2022.................4-1-1.................75.00%...................+ 14.50
11/21/2022.................1-1-0.................50.00%....................- 0.50
11/20/2022.................7-5-1.................58.33%....................+ 7.50
11/17/2022.................1-1-0.................50.00%....................- 0.50
11/13/2022...............10-4-1.................71.42%....................+ 28.00
11/10/2022.................0-2-0..................00.00%....................- 11.00
11/05/2022.................8-5-1..................61.53%...................+ 12.50
11/03/2022.................0-2-0..................00.00%....................- 11.00
Totals........................42-27-4..................60.86%..................+ 47.00
************************************************** ********
SEPT.'S NFL OPINIONS AND BEST BET
TOTALS................44-36-3................55.00%.................+22.00
OCT'S RECORD:
Totals...................62-58-2.................51.66%....................-9.00
************************************************** *****************
SEPT'S BEST BETS
TOTALS..............35-20-0..................63.63%...............+ 65.00
OCT'S BEST BETS
Totals..................40-42-1.................48.78%.................- 30.50
Where can I find your picks in the thread
Armadillo Sports
Armadillo Sports
Wrapping up an NFL Sunday
Browns 23, Buccaneers 17 OT
— Bucs’ last seven drives: 32 plays, 95 yards, no points.
— With Brady, Tampa Bay is 5-8 ATS as a road favorite.
— Nine of eleven Tampa Bay games stayed under the total.
— Buccaneers are 1-7-1 ATS in their last nine games.
— Tampa Bay is 5-1 allowing less than 20 points, 0-5 giving up 20+.
— Browns drove 46 yards, tied game on TD with 0:32 left in regulation.
— Browns drove 71 yards, scored TD to win game with 0:24 left in OT.
— Cleveland ran ball for 189 yards (5.6 yards/carry).
— Browns averaged only 4.3 yards/pass play.
— Cleveland has outgained nine of 11 opponents, but they’re 4-7.
Jaguars 28, Ravens 27
— Baltimore led 19-10 with 7:00 left in game.
— Ravens led by 9+ points in all four of their losses TY.
— Ravens kicked FG’s of 24-27-29 yards; poor in red zone.
— Jackson threw for 254 yards, ran for 89 more.
— Six of last eight Raven games were decided by 5 or fewer points.
— Down 27-20, Jaguars scored TD, got 2-point conversion with 0:14 left.
— Jaguars are 3-0 ATS as a home underdog this year.
— Jaguars averaged 7.2 yards/pass attempt, their 3rd-best average this year.
— Zay Jones caught 11 passes for 145 yards.
— Last three games, Jacksonville outscored foes 45-25 in 2nd half.
Panthers 23, Broncos 10
— Broncos averaged 3.3 yards/pass attempt.
— Denver lost seven of its last eight games SU.
— Broncos scored 16 or fewer points in nine of 11 games.
— Ten of eleven Denver games stayed under the total.
— Last five games, Denver was outscored 69-33 in second half.
— Panthers haven’t allowed a TD in first half of last three games.
— Carolina ran ball for 185 yards, averaged 8.6 yards/pass attempt.
— Panthers are 4-1 ATS as a home underdog this year.
— Carolina has converted only 39-144 (27.1%) third down plays.
— Panthers covered five of their last six games.
Commanders 19, Falcons 13
— Falcons had ball on 4-yard line in last minute, but threw INT in end zone.
— Atlanta is 5-11 ATS last 16 games coming off a win (2-3 TY).
— Last three games, Falcons converted 9-30 third down plays.
— Commanders had 10-yard edge in field position.
— Falcons are 1-4 SU on the road, winning at Seattle in Week 3.
— Washington won six of last seven games (6-0-1 ATS).
— Heinicke is 5-1 as Commanders’ QB this season.
— Washington is 4-0 ATS as a favorite this season.
— Eight of their last ten games stayed under the total.
— Commanders are 14-6-1 ATS last 21 games coming off a win.
Bengals 20, Titans 16
— Bengals’ first three drives: 13 plays, 21 yards, 2 first downs.
— Bengals rest of game: 54 plays, 339 yards, 20 points.
— Bengals are 7-1 when they score 20+ points.
— Cincinnati won seven of its last nine games (8-1 ATS).
— Cincy is 4-1 ATS this season coming off a win.
— Bengals held Derrick Henry to 38 yards on 17 carries.
— Titans’ three red zone drives: 2 FG’s, one missed FG (35 yards)
— Tennessee held last nine opponents under their team total.
— Seven of last eight Titan games stayed under the total.
— Titans have been outscored 120-62 in second half.
Dolphins 30, Texans 15
— Houston ran ball 14 times for 36 yards. Not good.
— Texans converted 2-13 on 3rd down (29.4% last five games)
— Texans are 7-12 ATS in last 19 games as a road underdog.
— Texans lost nine of their last ten games SU (2-7 ATS last nine).
— Texans are 0-6 SU/1-5 ATS since their bye week, giving up 27.1 ppg.
— Dolphins led this game 30-0 at halftime.
— Miami scored defensive TD, had a 3-yard TD drive set up by an INT.
— Dolphins in first half: 46 plays, 284 yards, 23 points.
— Dolphins in first half: 29 plays, 69 yards, no points.
— Dolphins are 7-0 if they score more than 17 points.
Jets 31, Bears 10
— Bears’ first two drives: 18 plays, 142 yards, 10 points.
— Bears rest of game: 38 plays, 212 yards, no points.
— Chicago is 4-10-1 ATS in last 15 games as a road underdog (1-5-1 TY).
— Last five games, Bears allowed 34.6 ppg.
— Chicago lost five in row, eight of its last nine games SU (2-6-1 ATS).
— With Fields hurt, backup QB Siemian played whole game.
— Mike White was 22-28/315 with 315 passing yards in first ’22 start.
— Jets outgained Chicago 466-292.
— Jets won/covered six of their last eight games.
— Jets held seven of last eight opponents under their team total.
— Jets are 6-0 scoring 20+ points, 1-4 scoring less than 20.
Raiders 40, Seahawks 34 OT
— Jacobs ran 86 yards for the game-winning TD in OT.
— Las Vegas drove 75 yards for game-tying TD with 1:54 left.
— Raiders outgained Seattle, 576-372.
— Last 10 games, Raiders’ opponent is 8-1-1 against its team total.
— Raiders are 14-7 ATS last 21 games as a road underdog.
— Geno Smith was 27-37/328 passing, with two TD’s.
— Seahawks had an 11-yard edge in field position.
— Las Vegas converted 8-14 on 3rd down, Seahawks 3-9.
— Last seven weeks, Seattle is 27-78 (34.6%) on 3rd down conversions.
— Seattle is 1-4 when it allows 27+ points, 5-1 when it allows less than 27.
Chargers 25, Cardinals 24
— Down 24-17, Chargers scored TD, got 2-point conversion with 0:15 left.
— Chargers averaged only 4.8 yards/pass attempt.
— Bolts had an 11-yard edge in field position.
— Chargers are +7 in turnovers in their wins, minus-4 in losses.
— Chargers are 5-1 giving up less than 27 points, 1-4 if they give up 27+.
— Arizona lost 10 of its last 11 home games SU.
— Cardinals lost six of their last eight games overall.
— Arizona’s last four drives: 11 plays, 16 yards, no first downs.
— Last six Arizona games went over the total.
— Arizona is 2-8 when it scores less than 29 points.
Chiefs 26, Rams 10
— Last two years, Rams are 0-7 SU in November.
— LA’s longest play of the game was 16 yards.
— Rams averaged 3.0 yards/pass attempt.
— Rams lost four in row, six of last seven games.
— Rams are 3-1 scoring 20+ points, 0-7 when they score less.
— Score is misleading; Chiefs outgained LA, 437-198.
— Chiefs won five in row, seven of last eight games (5-3 ATS).
— Chiefs were in red zone on six drives, only scored 19 points.
— Under is 6-1 in their home games.
— Last six weeks, Chiefs converted 54-89 (60.7%) third down plays.
49ers 13, Saints 0
— Saints were shut out for first time since 2001.
— Saints in first half: 21 plays, 104 yards, 4 first downs, no points.
— Last 4 games, Saints have 5 plays of 20+ yards (opponents have 16).
— Saints are 4-3 scoring 24+ points, 0-5 when they score less.
— NO is 0-3 ATS as a road dog TY, after going 10-2 from 2018-21.
— Saints were in red zone on last two drives (lost fumble/stopped on downs)
— 49ers’ only TD came on a 57-yard drive in second quarter.
— San Francisco won its last four games (3-1 ATS).
— 49ers outscored last four opponents 57-0 in second half.
— Last four games, 49ers converted 33-64 on third down.
Eagles 40, Packers 33
— Eagles scored TD’s on three of first four drives.
— Philly ran ball 49 times for 363 yards. 363 freakin’ yards.
— Eagles have 38 touchdowns on 107 drives this season.
— Eagles converted 8-15 on third down, Packers 1-7.
— Under Sirianni, Philly is 8-1 ATS as a home favorite (4-1 TY)
— Packers lost seven of their last eight games SU.
— Eagles led 27-20 at halftime.
— Last eight weeks, Green Bay gave up 171.3 rushing yards/game.
— Rodgers left in third quarter with an oblique injury.
— Jordan Love’s two drives: 11 plays, 113 yards, 10 points. Hmmmm…..
Armadillo Sports
Wrapping up an NFL Sunday
Browns 23, Buccaneers 17 OT
— Bucs’ last seven drives: 32 plays, 95 yards, no points.
— With Brady, Tampa Bay is 5-8 ATS as a road favorite.
— Nine of eleven Tampa Bay games stayed under the total.
— Buccaneers are 1-7-1 ATS in their last nine games.
— Tampa Bay is 5-1 allowing less than 20 points, 0-5 giving up 20+.
— Browns drove 46 yards, tied game on TD with 0:32 left in regulation.
— Browns drove 71 yards, scored TD to win game with 0:24 left in OT.
— Cleveland ran ball for 189 yards (5.6 yards/carry).
— Browns averaged only 4.3 yards/pass play.
— Cleveland has outgained nine of 11 opponents, but they’re 4-7.
Jaguars 28, Ravens 27
— Baltimore led 19-10 with 7:00 left in game.
— Ravens led by 9+ points in all four of their losses TY.
— Ravens kicked FG’s of 24-27-29 yards; poor in red zone.
— Jackson threw for 254 yards, ran for 89 more.
— Six of last eight Raven games were decided by 5 or fewer points.
— Down 27-20, Jaguars scored TD, got 2-point conversion with 0:14 left.
— Jaguars are 3-0 ATS as a home underdog this year.
— Jaguars averaged 7.2 yards/pass attempt, their 3rd-best average this year.
— Zay Jones caught 11 passes for 145 yards.
— Last three games, Jacksonville outscored foes 45-25 in 2nd half.
Panthers 23, Broncos 10
— Broncos averaged 3.3 yards/pass attempt.
— Denver lost seven of its last eight games SU.
— Broncos scored 16 or fewer points in nine of 11 games.
— Ten of eleven Denver games stayed under the total.
— Last five games, Denver was outscored 69-33 in second half.
— Panthers haven’t allowed a TD in first half of last three games.
— Carolina ran ball for 185 yards, averaged 8.6 yards/pass attempt.
— Panthers are 4-1 ATS as a home underdog this year.
— Carolina has converted only 39-144 (27.1%) third down plays.
— Panthers covered five of their last six games.
Commanders 19, Falcons 13
— Falcons had ball on 4-yard line in last minute, but threw INT in end zone.
— Atlanta is 5-11 ATS last 16 games coming off a win (2-3 TY).
— Last three games, Falcons converted 9-30 third down plays.
— Commanders had 10-yard edge in field position.
— Falcons are 1-4 SU on the road, winning at Seattle in Week 3.
— Washington won six of last seven games (6-0-1 ATS).
— Heinicke is 5-1 as Commanders’ QB this season.
— Washington is 4-0 ATS as a favorite this season.
— Eight of their last ten games stayed under the total.
— Commanders are 14-6-1 ATS last 21 games coming off a win.
Bengals 20, Titans 16
— Bengals’ first three drives: 13 plays, 21 yards, 2 first downs.
— Bengals rest of game: 54 plays, 339 yards, 20 points.
— Bengals are 7-1 when they score 20+ points.
— Cincinnati won seven of its last nine games (8-1 ATS).
— Cincy is 4-1 ATS this season coming off a win.
— Bengals held Derrick Henry to 38 yards on 17 carries.
— Titans’ three red zone drives: 2 FG’s, one missed FG (35 yards)
— Tennessee held last nine opponents under their team total.
— Seven of last eight Titan games stayed under the total.
— Titans have been outscored 120-62 in second half.
Dolphins 30, Texans 15
— Houston ran ball 14 times for 36 yards. Not good.
— Texans converted 2-13 on 3rd down (29.4% last five games)
— Texans are 7-12 ATS in last 19 games as a road underdog.
— Texans lost nine of their last ten games SU (2-7 ATS last nine).
— Texans are 0-6 SU/1-5 ATS since their bye week, giving up 27.1 ppg.
— Dolphins led this game 30-0 at halftime.
— Miami scored defensive TD, had a 3-yard TD drive set up by an INT.
— Dolphins in first half: 46 plays, 284 yards, 23 points.
— Dolphins in first half: 29 plays, 69 yards, no points.
— Dolphins are 7-0 if they score more than 17 points.
Jets 31, Bears 10
— Bears’ first two drives: 18 plays, 142 yards, 10 points.
— Bears rest of game: 38 plays, 212 yards, no points.
— Chicago is 4-10-1 ATS in last 15 games as a road underdog (1-5-1 TY).
— Last five games, Bears allowed 34.6 ppg.
— Chicago lost five in row, eight of its last nine games SU (2-6-1 ATS).
— With Fields hurt, backup QB Siemian played whole game.
— Mike White was 22-28/315 with 315 passing yards in first ’22 start.
— Jets outgained Chicago 466-292.
— Jets won/covered six of their last eight games.
— Jets held seven of last eight opponents under their team total.
— Jets are 6-0 scoring 20+ points, 1-4 scoring less than 20.
Raiders 40, Seahawks 34 OT
— Jacobs ran 86 yards for the game-winning TD in OT.
— Las Vegas drove 75 yards for game-tying TD with 1:54 left.
— Raiders outgained Seattle, 576-372.
— Last 10 games, Raiders’ opponent is 8-1-1 against its team total.
— Raiders are 14-7 ATS last 21 games as a road underdog.
— Geno Smith was 27-37/328 passing, with two TD’s.
— Seahawks had an 11-yard edge in field position.
— Las Vegas converted 8-14 on 3rd down, Seahawks 3-9.
— Last seven weeks, Seattle is 27-78 (34.6%) on 3rd down conversions.
— Seattle is 1-4 when it allows 27+ points, 5-1 when it allows less than 27.
Chargers 25, Cardinals 24
— Down 24-17, Chargers scored TD, got 2-point conversion with 0:15 left.
— Chargers averaged only 4.8 yards/pass attempt.
— Bolts had an 11-yard edge in field position.
— Chargers are +7 in turnovers in their wins, minus-4 in losses.
— Chargers are 5-1 giving up less than 27 points, 1-4 if they give up 27+.
— Arizona lost 10 of its last 11 home games SU.
— Cardinals lost six of their last eight games overall.
— Arizona’s last four drives: 11 plays, 16 yards, no first downs.
— Last six Arizona games went over the total.
— Arizona is 2-8 when it scores less than 29 points.
Chiefs 26, Rams 10
— Last two years, Rams are 0-7 SU in November.
— LA’s longest play of the game was 16 yards.
— Rams averaged 3.0 yards/pass attempt.
— Rams lost four in row, six of last seven games.
— Rams are 3-1 scoring 20+ points, 0-7 when they score less.
— Score is misleading; Chiefs outgained LA, 437-198.
— Chiefs won five in row, seven of last eight games (5-3 ATS).
— Chiefs were in red zone on six drives, only scored 19 points.
— Under is 6-1 in their home games.
— Last six weeks, Chiefs converted 54-89 (60.7%) third down plays.
49ers 13, Saints 0
— Saints were shut out for first time since 2001.
— Saints in first half: 21 plays, 104 yards, 4 first downs, no points.
— Last 4 games, Saints have 5 plays of 20+ yards (opponents have 16).
— Saints are 4-3 scoring 24+ points, 0-5 when they score less.
— NO is 0-3 ATS as a road dog TY, after going 10-2 from 2018-21.
— Saints were in red zone on last two drives (lost fumble/stopped on downs)
— 49ers’ only TD came on a 57-yard drive in second quarter.
— San Francisco won its last four games (3-1 ATS).
— 49ers outscored last four opponents 57-0 in second half.
— Last four games, 49ers converted 33-64 on third down.
Eagles 40, Packers 33
— Eagles scored TD’s on three of first four drives.
— Philly ran ball 49 times for 363 yards. 363 freakin’ yards.
— Eagles have 38 touchdowns on 107 drives this season.
— Eagles converted 8-15 on third down, Packers 1-7.
— Under Sirianni, Philly is 8-1 ATS as a home favorite (4-1 TY)
— Packers lost seven of their last eight games SU.
— Eagles led 27-20 at halftime.
— Last eight weeks, Green Bay gave up 171.3 rushing yards/game.
— Rodgers left in third quarter with an oblique injury.
— Jordan Love’s two drives: 11 plays, 113 yards, 10 points. Hmmmm…..
NFL
Weather Report
Week 11
The total has gone UNDER in four of Pittsburgh's last six games.
The Steelers are 2-7 SU in their last nine games.
The Steelers are 5-1 ATS in their last six games against Indianapolis.
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Indianapolis' last 16 games.
The Colts are 1-4 SU in their last five games.
The total has gone OVER in six of Indianapolis' last eight games against Pittsburgh.
The total has gone UNDER in six of Indianapolis' last seven home games.
The Steelers are 7-0 SU in their last seven games against Indianapolis.
The Steelers are 1-5 SU in their last six road games.
Weather Report
Week 11
The total has gone UNDER in four of Pittsburgh's last six games.
The Steelers are 2-7 SU in their last nine games.
The Steelers are 5-1 ATS in their last six games against Indianapolis.
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Indianapolis' last 16 games.
The Colts are 1-4 SU in their last five games.
The total has gone OVER in six of Indianapolis' last eight games against Pittsburgh.
The total has gone UNDER in six of Indianapolis' last seven home games.
The Steelers are 7-0 SU in their last seven games against Indianapolis.
The Steelers are 1-5 SU in their last six road games.
