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SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 28

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
PIT at NYY01:05 PMPIT +110
U 7.0
+500 +500
CHW at DET01:10 PMDET -232
O 7.5
+500 +500
CIN at CHC02:20 PMCHC -125
O 7.0
+500 +500
MIA at TOR03:07 PMTOR -156
O 8.5
+500 +500
STL at SF04:05 PMSF -114
O 7.5
+500 +500
PHI at WAS04:05 PMPHI -196
O 7.5
+500 +500
TB at BOS04:10 PMBOS -116
U 7.5
+500 +500
HOU at CLE06:10 PMCLE -116
U 8.5
+500 +500
NYM at MIL07:15 PMNYM -104
O 8.5
+500 +500
KC at ATL07:20 PMATL -189
U 8.0
+500 +500
SD at AZ08:10 PMAZ -175
U 9.5
+500 +500
LAD at COL08:10 PMLAD -233
U 11.0
+500 +500
TEX at LAA09:38 PMTEX -140
U 8.5
+500 +500
OAK at SEA09:40 PMSEA -144
O 7.5
+500 +500
 

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SEPT. BEST BET RECORD:

09/28/2024................11 - 12 - 0..............................47.82%.................- 24.15
09/27/2024................16 - 10 -1...............................61.53%.................+ 25.95
09/26/2024.................6 - 10 - 0...............................37.50%.................- 23.10
09/25/2024................13 - 12 - 0...............................52.00%.................+ 1.65
09/24/2024................12 - 14 - 1...............................46.15%.................+ 4.45
09/23/2024....................5 - 3 - 0................................62.50%.................+ 6.25
09/22/2024..................11 - 9 - 0................................55.00%................+ 5.50
09/21/2024...................8 - 10 - 3...............................44.44%.................- 11.25
09/20/2024..................16 - 10 - 0..............................61.53%.................+ 24.30
09/19/2024..................10 - 11 - 0..............................47.61%..................- 8.20
09/18/2024..................11 - 12 - 1..............................47.82%..................- 3.25
09/17/2024..................13 - 11 - 1..............................54.16%...................- 1.60
09/16/2024.....................5 - 7 - 1..............................41.66%...................- 18.55
09/15/2024...................13 - 12 - 0.............................52.00%...................- 2.00
09/14/2024...................14 - 9 - 1...............................60.86%....................+ 26.95
09/13/2024...................14 - 12 - 0.............................53.84%....................+ 7.80
09/12/2024.....................4 - 10 - 0.............................28.57%.....................- 39.25
09/11/2024.....................7 - 15 - 1.............................31.81%......................- 53.40
09/10/2024...................11 - 12 - 1.............................47.82%......................- 5.25
09/09/2024......................8 - 4 - 1 .............................66.66%......................+ 25.45
09/08/2024....................13 - 13 - 0............................50.00%...................... - 5.40
09/07/2024......................14 - 8 - 1............................63.63%......................+ 26.35
09/06/2024....................13 - 10 - 1............................56.52%.......................+ 13.15
09/05/2024.........................8 - 7 - 1...........................53.33%......................- 2.25
09/04/2024........................7 - 12 - 0..........................36.84%......................- 40.45
09/03/2024....................... 9 - 11 - 2...........................45.00%.....................- 11.15
09/02/2024........................11 - 9 - 0...........................55.00%.....................+ 1.65
09/01/2024......................12 - 12 - 1...........................50.00%.....................+ 0.90

TOTALS.........................295 287 -14.........................50.68%......................- 79.35

*************************************************************

BEST BET TOTALS:

Mar - April : TOTALS................292 - 260 - 7...............52.98%..................+ 96.45
May.........: TOTALS....................336 - 300 - 18.............52.83%..................+143.50
June..........TOTALS...................289 - 313 - 12..............48.00%................. -186.21
July...........TOTALS.....................275 - 259 - 8...............51.98%..................- 2.98
Aug...........TOTALS....................331 - 301 - 12.............52.37.....................+ 9.96
 

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Sunday’s 6-pack:
Six biggest stadiums in college football:
107,601— Michigan
106,572— Penn State
102,780— Ohio State
102,733— Texas A&M
102,321— LSU
101,915— Tennessee

Thought of the Day
“Don’t regret having a good heart, all good things come back and multiply.”

Sunday’s quiz
Who was the Jets’ quarterback, the last time they played in a playoff game?

Saturday’s quiz
Tony Romo (41) has thrown the most TD passes against the New Jersey Giants.

Friday’s quiz
Catfish Hunter was the pitcher won the most games at the Oakland Coliseum.

************************************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a college football Saturday…….

— Alabama 41, Georgia 34
Alabama led this game 30-7 at halftime.
Georgia threw 67-yard TD pass with 2:31 left to take 34-33 lead.
Alabama threw 75-yard TD pass on first play of next drive, for the win.
Alabama outgained Georgia 547-519.
Dawgs turned ball over four times (minus-3).

— Service academies are doing well this year:
Army 42, Temple 14- Cadets have won eight games in a row, are 4-0 this year.

Navy 41, UAB 18
Middies are 3-0 in ACC for first time since 2017.
Navy’s QB threw for 225 yards, ran for 84 more yards.
There is a pretty good chance that this year’s Army-Navy game will feature two unbeaten teams.

— Kentucky 20, Ole Miss 17
Kentucky scored game-winning TD with 2:25 left.
Wildcats were 4-16 on third down, Ole Miss 1-10.
Rebels missed a 48-yard field goal wide left in last minute.

— Oklahoma 27, Auburn 21
Auburn led 21-10 with 9:00 left in the game.
Sooners took 24-21 lead on 63-yard pick-6 with 4:06 left.
Auburn lost despite outgaining Oklahoma, 481-292.

— UNLV 59, Fresno State 14
UNLV players made a statement here, winning big after their QB quit team.
The new #1 QB threw for 182 yards, ran for 119 more.
Rebels had lost their last six games with Fresno State.
UNLV was +4 in turnovers, averaged 11.6 yards/pass attempt.

Upsets of the Week:
Kentucky (+16) 20, Ole Miss 17
Colorado (+14) 48, Central Florida 21
Sam Houston State (+10) 40, Texas State 39
Old Dominion (+10) 30, Bowling Green 27
Arizona (+9.5) 23, Utah 10
UL-Monroe (+6.5) 13, Troy State 9
Charlotte (+5.5) 21, Rice 20

— USC 38, Wisconsin 21
Badgers led 21-10 at halftime.
USC gets its first-ever Big 18 conference win.
Trojans were 11-17 on 3rd down, outgained Wisconsin 469-286.
USC covered spread on a 55-yard pick-6 with 5:10 left.

— Charlotte 21, Rice 20
Rice led 10-0 at halftime.
Charlotte drove 77 yards, scored game-winning TD with 0:47 left.
Owls outgained Charlotte, 463-304.

— Central Michigan 22, San Diego State 21
San Diego State led 21-10 with 2:00 left in 2nd quarter.
Chippewas kicked a 46-yard FG with 0:05 left for the win.
Aztecs lost despite averaging 10.7 yards/pass attempt.

— Sam Houston State 40, Texas State 39
Favored Bobcats led 22-0 in first quarter.
Bobcats led 39-21 with 5:00 left in third quarter.
Sam Houston kicked a 24-yard FG with 0:06 left for the win.

Famous birthdays, September 29th:
Steve Busby, 75
Tim Flannery, 67
Hersey Hawkins, 58
Erika Eleniak, 45
Zachary Levi, 44
Calvin Johnson, 39
Kevin Durant. 36
Luis Campusano, 26
Lucas Havrisik, 25

— Duke 21, North Carolina 20
Tar Heels led 20-0 with 7:00 left in third quarter.
Duke scored game-winning TD on a 20-yard run with 5:42 left.
Duke is 5-0; they had lost six games in a row to Carolina.

— Indiana 42, Maryland 28
Hoosiers are 5-0 for first time since 1967.
Kurtis Rourke threw for 359 yards, three TD’s.
Indiana coach Cignetti was 33-5 at James Madison; he’s a keeper.

— Boston College 21, Western Kentucky 20
Hilltoppers led 20-7 after the third quarter.
BC scored game-winning TD on an 8-yard pass with 3:33 left.
WKU converted 5-16 third down plays, 4-6 on fourth down.
Boston College QB Castellanos didn’t play (undisclosed injury)

— Texas Tech 44, Cincinnati 41
Tech is 2-0 in Big X for first time since 2013.
RB Brooks ran for 172 yards, two TD’s.
Game was 24-24 at halftime.
Cincinnati missed a 51-yard FG on last play of the game.

— SMU 42, Florida State 16
Mustangs had an 82-yard pick-6, outgained Florida State 458-285.
SMU wins its first-ever ACC game.
Seminoles are 1-4; they completed only 12-34 passes.

Baseball stuff…….
— Braves 2, Royals 1
- Travis d’Arnaud hit a walk-off home run.

— Brewers 6, Mets 0- New York had only two hits.

— Padres 5, Diamondbacks 0- San Diego scored five runs in last inning.
Atlanta leads Mets/Diamondbacks by a game for the #2 Wild Card slot.
Mets/Arizona are tied for the last Wild Card slot.
Mets/Atlanta have a Monday doubleheader to play, if necessary.
 

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MLB
Weather Report

Sunday, September 29


6qZUH4g.png
 

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MLB

Sunday, September 29


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Tampa Bay vs Boston
Tampa Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
Tampa Bay is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Boston's last 11 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Boston's last 13 games when playing Tampa Bay

Pittsburgh vs NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games
Pittsburgh is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
NY Yankees is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 7 games

St. Louis vs San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing San Francisco
St. Louis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games

Philadelphia vs Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing Philadelphia

Texas vs LA Angels
Texas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing LA Angels
Texas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games
LA Angels is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Texas

Miami vs Toronto
Miami is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Miami is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Miami

Houston vs Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games on the road
Houston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games at home

San Diego vs Arizona
San Diego is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Arizona's last 8 games when playing San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Arizona's last 18 games at home

LA Dodgers vs Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games on the road
LA Dodgers is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Colorado's last 7 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers

Chi White Sox vs Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chi White Sox's last 8 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Detroit's last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Detroit's last 8 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox

NY Mets vs Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Mets's last 7 games when playing Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Mets
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Mets

Baltimore vs Minnesota
Baltimore is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Baltimore is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Minnesota's last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games

Oakland vs Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Oakland is 15-7 ATS in its last 22 games on the road
Seattle is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing at home against Oakland

Kansas City vs Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City's last 7 games on the road
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City

Cincinnati vs Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games at home
Chi Cubs is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Messages
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SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 29

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
TB at BOS03:05 PMTB -110
U 8.0
+500 +500
PIT at NYY03:05 PMNYY -189
O 8.5
+500 +500
STL at SF03:05 PMSF -120
U 8.0
+500 +500
PHI at WAS03:05 PMWAS +130
O 8.0
+500 +500
TEX at LAA03:07 PMTEX -141
O 8.0
+500 +500
MIA at TOR03:07 PMTOR -138
O 8.0
+500 +500
OAK at SEA03:10 PMSEA -170
O 7.5
+500 +500
BAL at MIN03:10 PMBAL +122
O 8.0
+500 +500
NYM at MIL03:10 PMNYM -117
O 8.0
+500 +500
LAD at COL03:10 PMLAD -148
U 11.0
+500 +500
HOU at CLE03:10 PMCLE -150
O 7.5
+500 +500
CHW at DET03:10 PMDET -220
O 7.5
+500 +500
SD at AZ03:10 PMAZ -174
U 8.5
+500 +500
KC at ATL03:20 PMATL -193
U 8.5
+500 +500
CIN at CHC03:20 PMCHC +100
O 7.0
+500 +500
 

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Messages
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SEPT. BEST BET RECORD:

09/29/2024..................9 - 8 - 0................................52.94%.................- 6.55
09/28/2024................11 - 12 - 0..............................47.82%.................- 24.15
09/27/2024................16 - 10 -1...............................61.53%.................+ 25.95
09/26/2024.................6 - 10 - 0...............................37.50%.................- 23.10
09/25/2024................13 - 12 - 0...............................52.00%.................+ 1.65
09/24/2024................12 - 14 - 1...............................46.15%.................+ 4.45
09/23/2024....................5 - 3 - 0................................62.50%.................+ 6.25
09/22/2024..................11 - 9 - 0................................55.00%................+ 5.50
09/21/2024...................8 - 10 - 3...............................44.44%.................- 11.25
09/20/2024..................16 - 10 - 0..............................61.53%.................+ 24.30
09/19/2024..................10 - 11 - 0..............................47.61%..................- 8.20
09/18/2024..................11 - 12 - 1..............................47.82%..................- 3.25
09/17/2024..................13 - 11 - 1..............................54.16%...................- 1.60
09/16/2024.....................5 - 7 - 1..............................41.66%...................- 18.55
09/15/2024...................13 - 12 - 0.............................52.00%...................- 2.00
09/14/2024...................14 - 9 - 1...............................60.86%....................+ 26.95
09/13/2024...................14 - 12 - 0.............................53.84%....................+ 7.80
09/12/2024.....................4 - 10 - 0.............................28.57%.....................- 39.25
09/11/2024.....................7 - 15 - 1.............................31.81%......................- 53.40
09/10/2024...................11 - 12 - 1.............................47.82%......................- 5.25
09/09/2024......................8 - 4 - 1 .............................66.66%......................+ 25.45
09/08/2024....................13 - 13 - 0............................50.00%...................... - 5.40
09/07/2024......................14 - 8 - 1............................63.63%......................+ 26.35
09/06/2024....................13 - 10 - 1............................56.52%.......................+ 13.15
09/05/2024.........................8 - 7 - 1...........................53.33%......................- 2.25
09/04/2024........................7 - 12 - 0..........................36.84%......................- 40.45
09/03/2024....................... 9 - 11 - 2...........................45.00%.....................- 11.15
09/02/2024........................11 - 9 - 0...........................55.00%.....................+ 1.65
09/01/2024......................12 - 12 - 1...........................50.00%.....................+ 0.90

TOTALS.........................304 295 -14.........................50.75%......................- 85.90

*************************************************************

BEST BET TOTALS:

Mar - April : TOTALS................292 - 260 - 7...............52.98%..................+ 96.45
May.........: TOTALS....................336 - 300 - 18.............52.83%..................+143.50
June..........TOTALS...................289 - 313 - 12..............48.00%................. -186.21
July...........TOTALS.....................275 - 259 - 8...............51.98%..................- 2.98
Aug...........TOTALS....................331 - 301 - 12.............52.37.....................+ 9.96
Sept.........TOTALS.....................304 - 295 - 14.............50.75%...................- 85.90
 

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Monday’s 6-pack:
Six biggest stadiums in the NFL:
82,500— MetLife Stadium (Giants/Jets)
81,441— Lambeau Field, Green Bay
80,000— AT&T Stadium, Dallas
76,416— Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City
76,125— Mile High Stadium, Denver
74,867— Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte

Quote of the Day
“There was a lot of hoopla, and stuff. Probably started with me, with my comments, and I apologize for that. Don’t want to be a distraction that way but … we just went to work each and every day. Things came out throughout the week and guys just never flinched [or] blinked.”
Raiders coach Antonio Pierce, after criticizing some players last week

Monday’s quiz
Who was the Chargers’ coach, last time they won a playoff game?

Sunday’s quiz
Mark Sanchez was the Jets’ quarterback, last time they played in a playoff game, in 2010

Saturday’s quiz
Tony Romo (41) has thrown the most TD passes against the New Jersey Giants.

************************************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday……..

Falcons 26, Saints 24
Younghoe Koo kicked 58-yard FG with 0:07 left for the win.
Falcons didn’t score an offensive TD; Koo kicked four FG’s.
Atlanta’s two TD’s were a pick-6 and a fumble recovery on special teams.
Falcons are 10-38 on third down this year.
Saints’ first two drives: 20 plays, 118 yards, 14 points.
New Orleans was 7-13 on third down, Falcons 4-11.
Saints scored 47-44 points in wins, 12-24 in losses.
Saints are 16-5-1 ATS last 22 games as a road underdog.

Texans 24, Jaguars 20
Texans drove 64 yards, scored game-winning TD with 0:18 left.
Houston in first half: 36 plays, 261 yards, 17 points.
Houston in second half: 33 plays, 174 yards, 7 points.
Texans won 11 of last 13 games with Jacksonville.
Jacksonville led 20-17 after three quarters.
Jaguars lost first four games, scoring six TD’s on 39 drives.
In four games, Jaguars are 11-44 on third down.
Jacksonville has been outscored 32-3 in last 2:00 of each half.

Broncos 10, Jets 9
Denver was outgained 248-186, gained only 2.4 yards/pass attempt.
Broncos kicked 47-yard FG with 8:59 left for the win.
Denver held last three opponents to 251/223/248 yards.
Denver is 3-0 ATS as a road dog TY; visitor is 4-0 ATS in their games.
Jets’ first four drives: 12 plays, 6 yards, no first downs.
Jets averaged only 3.9 yards/pass attempt.
Jets last three opponents were 10-37 on third down.
Under Saleh, Jets are 12-16 ATS at home.

Vikings 31, Packers 29
Vikings led 28-0 with 2:00 left in first half.
Vikings have outscored opponents 69-17 in first half.
Minnesota had short TD drives of 4-46 yards.
Darnold was 20-28/275 passing, with three TD’s.
QB Love returned, was 32-54/389 passing, with 4 TD’s, 3 INT’s.
Packers ran ball for only 86 yards (204 yards/game Weeks 1-3).
Packers’ first four drives: two INT’s, two missed FG’s.
Green Bay’s last five drives: three TD’s, two more turnovers.

Buccaneers 33, Eagles 16
Tampa Bay outgained the Eagles, 445-227.
Buccaneers led 24-7 at halftime.
Philly averaged only 3.2 yards/pass attempt.
Under Sirianni, Eagles are 7-11-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Bucs’ first five drives: 36 plays, 255 yards, 24 points.
Mayfield threw for 347 yards, two TD’s.
WR Evans caught eight passes for 94 yards and a TD.
Tampa Bay is 11-8-2 in last 21 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.

Bengals 34, Panthers 24
Bengals’ first five drives: 33 plays, 247 yards, 28 points.
Bengals scored 25-33-34 points in last three games.
Cincinnati averaged 7.5 yards/pass attempt.
Bengals are 8-2-2 ATS last 12 games vs NFC opponents.
Carolina scored 36-24 points last two games, after scoring 10-3 points in weeks 1-2.
Panthers gained 437-375 yards in two games with Dalton at QB (over 2-0).
Last 3+ years, Carolina is 6-12 ATS vs AFC opponents.
On their first drive, Panthers were stopped on downs on the 2-yard line.

Colts 27, Steelers 24
39-year old QB Flacco came off bench, threw for 168 yards, two TD’s.
Colts’ first three drives: 26 plays, 181 yards, 17 points.
Indy converted 8-15 third down plays.
Under Steichen, Colts are 10-5 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less points.
Steelers were minus-2 in turnovers; they were +4 in first three games.
QB Fields threw for 312 yards, ran for 55 more.
Pittsburgh had three TD’s in this game; they had total of three in Weeks 1-3.
Steelers trailed 17-3 at halftime; they had ball with chance to win at the end.

Bears 24, Rams 18
Bears in first half: 27 plays, 97 yards, 10 points.
Bears 1st two drives of 2nd half: 17 plays, 149 yards, 14 points.
RB Swift had 93 rushing yards, 72 receiving yards.
Chicago’s first TD drive was only 16 yards, after a turnover.
Rams have been outscored 58-19 in first half of games.
LA is 4-9-2 ATS in its last 15 games as a road dog.
Rams are 2-6-2 ATS in last 10 games with spread of 3 or less points.
Last three games, first drive of 2nd half, LA foes had TD drives of 70-91-74 yards.

Famous birthdays, September 30th:
Angie Dickinson, 93
Fran Drescher, 67
Eric Stoltz, 63
Dave Magadan, 62
Eric Piatkowski, 53
Jamal Anderson, 52
Kenley Jansen, 37
Equanimeous St. Brown, 28
Jesus Luzardo, 27

Commanders 42, Cardinals 14
First two drives, Washington ran 22 plays for 163 yards, 14 points.
In second half, Washington ran 34 plays for 257 yards, 25 points.
Last three games, Commanders scored 10 TD’s, kicked 10 FG’s on 22 drives.
Washington converted 21 of last 35 third down plays (9-12 this game).
Washington OC Kingsbury was Cardinals’ head coach from 2019-22.
Last time Commanders scored 38+ points in consecutive games? 1991.
Last two games, Arizona converted 5-20 on third down.
QB Murray is 29-40-1 SU as an NFL starter.

49ers 30, Patriots 13
49ers’ first five drives: 37 plays, 257 yards, 20 points.
Patriots turned ball over on two of first three drives.
Down 6-0 in 2nd quarter, Brissett threw pick-6 that broke game open.
San Francisco is 12-6 ATS last 18 games as a home favorite.
49ers outgained New England, 431-216.
Patriots have scored only four TD’s on their first 40 drives.
NE has averaged 4.8/4.2/1.8/3.8 yards/pass attempt.
Patriots are 30-42 since Tom Brady left town.

Raiders 20, Browns 16
Browns’ first two drives: 21 plays, 87 yards, 10 points.
Browns rest of game: 36 plays, 154 yards, no points.
Cleveland scored defensive TD to get within 20-16, then missed PAT.
Browns are 11-53 on 3rd down this year, 3-10 in this game.
Raiders ran for 152 yards (averaged only 51 yards/game Weeks 1-3).
Last 2+ years, Raiders are 10-4 ATS as a home favorite.
Las Vegas is 11-6-1 ATS in their last 18 home games.
Las Vegas won both games where they were even in turnovers.

Chiefs 17, Chargers 10
Chiefs’ first five drives: 20 plays, 65 yards, 2 turnovers, no points.
Last three games, Chiefs were down 16-10/14-13/10-7 at half.
Chiefs won their first four games, by 7-1-5-7 points.
Kansas City is 4-0 despite being minus-6 in turnovers.
Chargers ran ball 24 times for only 55 yards.
Chiefs outgained Bolts, 329-224.
Last two games, Chargers were outscored 23-0 in second half.
Chiefs won 18 of their last 21 games against the Chargers.

Ravens 35, Bills 10
RB Henry ran 87 yards for a TD on Baltimore’s first play.
Ravens’ first three drives: 20 plays, 238 yards, 21 points.
Baltimore ran ball for 271 yards (8.0 yards/carry).
Ravens are 18-4 ATS in last 22 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Baltimore outgained the Bills, 427-236.
Ravens were 5-9 on third down, Buffalo 3-13.
Over/under in Week 4 games so far: over 8-6
Over/under team totals in Week 4 games so far: over 15-13

— In baseball, Mets-Braves-Arizona are all tied for the last two NL Wild Cards; Mets-Braves are playing a doubleheader in Atlanta Monday, a makeup from last week.
If either team sweeps, that team and Arizona both make the playoffs.
If Mets/Braves split, they both get in and Diamondbacks are out of luck.
In the American League:
Tigers-Astros is a first round matchup; winner plays Cleveland.
Royals-Orioles is a first round matchup; winner plays New York.
 

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MLB
Weather Report

Monday, September 30


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MLB

Monday, September 30


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Trend Report
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NY Mets vs Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games
Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Atlanta's last 21 games at home


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Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Interesting Week 5 spreads in the NFL:
— Buccaneers @ Atlanta (-1.5)
— Jets vs Vikings (-2.5) (@ London)
— Ravens (-2.5) @ Cincinnati
— Colts @ Jaguars (-3)
— Dolphins (-1) @ New England
— Browns @ Washington (-3)

Quote of the Day
“I don’t know (what the plan is), but I’d say there’s a number of issues there. One is (they) can’t move the ball and can’t score.”
Bill Belichick, talking about the Patriots

Tuesday’s quiz
Cubs won World Series over Cleveland in 2016; who was the Cubs’ starting pitcher in Game 7?

Monday’s quiz
Anthony Lynn was the Chargers’ coach, last time they won a playoff game.

Sunday’s quiz
Mark Sanchez was the Jets’ quarterback, last time they played in a playoff game, in 2010

*************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but……..

— Mets 8-0, Braves 7-3
Teams split their twinbill, both make the playoffs.
Rough day for the Diamondbacks, who get nosed out of the playoffs.
September 22, Arizona led 8-0 in 3rd inning in Milwaukee, lost 10-9. That one will sting all winter long.
Mets’ 8-7 win in Game 1 Monday was an epic ballgame, fun to watch.

— Neither team that played in last year’s World Series made the playoffs this year.

Titans 31, Dolphins 12
Titans’ backup QB Rudolph was 9-17/85 passing, with NO TURNOVERS.
Pollard carried ball 22 times for 88 yards and a TD.
Both teams were 2-12 on third down.
Titans are 1-3, but outgained three of four opponents, led 3 games at halftime.
Miami has already played four different QB’s in five games.
Miami has been outscored 67-23 in first half of games.
Last two weeks, Dolphins were 3-24 on third down.
Last three games, Dolphins have two touchdowns on 33 drives.

Lions 42, Seahawks 27
Detroit scored six touchdowns on ten drives.
Goff was 18-18 passing, averaging 12.4 yards/attempt.
Goff also caught a 7-yard TD pass from WR St Brown.
Under Campbell, Detroit is 15-8 ATS in games coming off a win.
Smith was 38-56/395 passing, career highs.
Detroit led 21-7 at halftime.
Seahawks in first half: 31 plays, 172 yards, 7 points.
Seattle has gone over its team total in all four games.

— Purdue’s football team is 1-3, losing its three I-A games by a combined 132-38, so they fired the offensive coordinator Graham Harrell, who is making $950,000 this year and was going to make $1M next year. Purdue is heading towards its 10th losing season in 13 years; they did well in 2021-22 under Jeff Brohm, but then he bolted to Louisville.

— Miami Marlins/manager Skip Schumaker parted ways, which was expected. Schumaker was last year’s Manager of the Year when the Marlins went 84-78 and the playoffs, but the GM from last year quit during the off-season when the new owners inserted someone above her in the team hierarchy. Schumaker will be a coveted free agent this winter.

— Tough few days for celebrities: Kris Kristofferson, Dikembe Mutombo, Pete Rose all passed away in the last few days. RIP, guys.

— You hear Pete Rose’s name and you think Hall of Fame; I’ve got a name of someone who needs to be inducted into Cooperstown.
Dr Frank Jobe was the first doctor to perform Tommy John Surgery on pitchers’ elbows; who has contributed more to baseball than he has?
They put Marvin Miller in the Hall of Fame; he made players a lot wealthier but screwed the small market teams- what value did he provide the game?
Frank Jobe definitely belongs in the Hall of Fame.

Famous birthdays, October 1st:
Rod Carew, 79
Mark McGwire, 61
Zach Galifianakis, 55
Matt Cain, 40
Brie Larson, 35
Robbie Ray, 33
Xander Bogaerts, 32
Cedric Mullins, 30
Jordan Whittington, 24

— College basketball season starts in five weeks; Gonzaga-Baylor will play on on Opening Night, November 4 in Spokane, the first of a 3-year series between the two teams.

Random trivia: Only two players ever have appeared in all 162 games of a baseball season, being the team’s DH in every game:
Rusty Staub, 1978 with Detroit
Willie Horton, 1979 with Seattle

— Forgot to mention this last week; it was pretty cool that before the A’s last game in Oakland Thursday, Barry Zito sang the national anthem. Zito was a really good pitcher; he was 102-63 in eight years with the A’s during the Moneyball era, later pitched seven more years with the Giants.

— This was the first baseball season in ten years where no team won 100+ games.

— Padres’ 1B Luis Arraez won his third consecutive batting title, playing for a different team all three years.

— Some early season college football conference trends:
AAC- Favorites are 5-1 ATS in conference games.
ACC- Non-conference home favorites are 3-10 ATS.
Big X- Favorites were 2-4-1 ATS in conference games this past week.
Big 18- Home teams are 6-9 ATS in conference games.
C-USA- Non-conference road underdogs are 5-8 ATS.
MAC- MAC teams are 13-21 ATS in non-conference games.
Mountain West- 7-4 ATS in non-conference home games.
SEC- Conference home favorites are 0-6 ATS, home dogs are 3-2.
Sun Belt- Non-conference road underdogs are 10-6 ATS

— Imagine what a day Sunday was for Charlie Blackmon; after 14 years in the major leagues, four All-Star teams, 1,805 hits and $138M in career earnings, Sunday was the last day in his career, all of which was spent with the Rockies.
When the Rockies took the field for the start of the game Sunday, Blackmon ran out, but his teammates stayed in the dugout, while Blackmon stood in the outfield and got a huge ovation from the home crowd. Pretty cool.
 

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Jun 22, 2009
Messages
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MLB
Weather Report

Monday, September 30


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MLB
Dunkel

Tuesday, October 1


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MLB

Tuesday, October 1


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Trend Report
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Detroit vs Houston
Detroit is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Detroit is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Houston is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Detroit
Houston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Detroit

Kansas City vs Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Kansas City's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City's last 7 games
Baltimore is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Kansas City
Baltimore is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

NY Mets vs Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Mets's last 8 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Mets's last 7 games
Milwaukee is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing NY Mets
Milwaukee is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing NY Mets

Atlanta vs San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games
Atlanta is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 games when playing on the road against San Diego
San Diego is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 6 games at home


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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, October 1


Trends for all 30 MLB teams…….


— Arizona was 26-20 in one-run games, but 5-8 in extra innings.
Diamondbacks were 61-44 vs righty starters, 28-29 vs lefties.


— Atlanta is in playoffs for 7th year in row; they made World Series in only one of those years, when they won the Fall Classic in 2021.
Braves are 29-17 vs lefty starters, 60-56 vs righties.


— Cubs finished 83-79 for second year in row, but missed playoffs.
Manager Craig Counsell makes $8M a year, more than any other manager.


— Cincinnati missed playoffs for 4th year in row, 10th time in 11 years.
Reds were 15-28 in one-run games, big part of why they fired their manager.


— Colorado was 61-101, second year in row they lost 100+ games.
Last time the Rockies made the playoffs was in 2018.


— Dodgers are 98-64, making playoffs for 12th year in a row.
Dodgers are 36-17 vs lefty starters, 62-477 vs righties.


— Miami made playoffs LY but went 62-100 this year.
Marlins are 10-45 against lefty starting pitchers, 52-55 vs righties.


— Brewers won AL Central, is in playoffs for sixth time in seven years.
Milwaukee has been in one World Series; they won the series in 1982.


— Mets went 17-9 in September to make playoffs, with a payroll of $336,005,016
Mets are in playoffs for only second time in last eight years.


— Phillies are in playoffs for third year in a row, after a 10-year drought.
Phillies are 27-27 in day games, 68-40 in night games.


— Pirates were 76-86, their sixth consecutive losing season.
Their payroll was $86,495,129, 2nd-lowest in the majors.


— Cardinals were 83-79, but missed playoffs for second year in a row.
St Louis was 29-22 in one-run games (17-26 last year).


— San Diego is 93-69, in playoffs for third time in five years.
Padres are 10-2 in extra-inning games, only 22-19 in one-run games.


— Giants were 80-82, missing playoffs for third year in a row.
San Francisco fired their GM Monday, hired Buster Posey as president of baseball ops


— Washington went 71-91, 5th straight losing year since winning ’19 World Series.
Nationals were 14-23 in one-run games, 5-12 in extra innings.


— Orioles are 91-71, in playoffs for second year in row; they were 52-110 in 2021.
Orioles were 58-38 at the All-Star break, 33-33 after the All-Star break.


— Red Sox were 81-81 (78-84/78-84 previous two years).
Boston’s payroll this year was $176,458,748, #12 in MLB.


— White Sox were 41-121 this year, after 61-101 last year.
Chicago actually won five of its last six games.


— Guardians are 92-69, in playoffs for 6th time in nine years.
Cleveland is 29-12 vs lefty starting pitchers; LY, they were 24-35.


— Detroit went 15-5 in its last 20 games.
Tigers are in playoffs for first time in ten years.


— Houston 88-73, in playoffs for 8th year in a row.
Astros are 31-18 in their last 49 games.


— Royals are 86-76, made playoffs; LY, they were 56-106.
Kansas City is 4-9 in its last thirteen games.


— Angels were 63-99, missing playoffs for 10th year in a row.
Rendon makes $38,571,429, Trout makes $37,116,667. Oy.


— Minnesota went 82-80, missed Wild Card slot by four games.
Twins were 4-12 in their last 16 games.


— New York is 94-68, in playoffs for 8th time in ten years.
New York hasn’t won a World Series since 2009.


— A’s were 69-93, missing playoffs for fourth year in a row.
A’s were 32-32 after All-Star break, in their last season in Oakland.


— Mariners went 85-77, missed playoffs by one game.
In 2001, Seattle was 116-46; they’ve made playoffs once since then.


— Tampa Bay was 80-82, missed playoffs for first time in six years.
Rays were 30-22 in one-run games.


— Texas went 78-84 this year, after winning World Series LY.
15 different pitchers started a game for Texas this year.


— Toronto went 74-88, after going 89-73/92-70 the last two years.
Blue Jays were 19-30 in one-run games.
 

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Messages
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TUESDAY, OCTOBER 1

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
DET at HOU02:32 PMDET +127
U 6.0
+500 +500
KC at BAL04:08 PMKC +135
O 6.5
+500 +500
NYM at MIL05:32 PMNYM +131
O 7.5
+500 +500
ATL at SD08:38 PMATL +153
U 7.5
+500 +500
 

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2024 MLB PLAYOFF BEST BETS TO THE WORLD SERIES !

10/01/2024.............................5 - 2 - 0...........................71.42%...........................+ 19.15
 

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Messages
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Wednesday’s 6-pack:
Interesting Week 5 spreads in the NFL:
— Bills (-1) @ Houston
— Panthers @ Chicago (-4)
— Raiders @ Denver (-3)
— Cardinals @ 49ers (-7.5)
— Giants @ Seattle (-6)
— Cowboys @ Pittsburgh (-2.5)

Quote of the Day
“Let me say it the best way I can say it: If anyone wants to blame anyone for Jordan Montgomery being a Diamondback, you’re talking to the guy who should be blamed. Because I brought it to their attention. I pushed for it. They agreed to it.”
Arizona Diamondbacks owner Ken Kendrick

Wednesday’s quiz
Who was the last pitcher to win 25+ games in a season?

Tuesday’s quiz
Cubs won World Series over Cleveland in 2016; Kyle Hendricks was the Cubs’ starting pitcher in Game 7.

Monday’s quiz
Anthony Lynn was the Chargers’ coach, last time they won a playoff game.

************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings…….

— Tigers 3, Astros 1
Tarik Skubal tossed six shutout IP in his playoff debut.
Detroit scored three runs in 2nd inning; that was enough.
Loss ends Astros’ 10-game win streak in playoff series openers.
— Detroit had 41 games this season where their starting pitcher threw 3 or fewer innings, which is highly unusual for a playoff team.

— Royals 1, Orioles 0
Cole Ragans allowed four baserunners in six shutout IP.
Bobby Witt knocked in only run with a 6th-inning single.
Baltimore is 33-34 since the All-Stsr break.

— Mets 8, Brewers 4
Mets scored five runs in fifth inning to break game open.
Mark Vientos was 2-4 with two runs scored, two RBI
Milwaukee has lost 10 of its last 11 playoff games.

— Last Friday in Toronto, Marlins SS Xavier Edwards hit three triples in Miami’s 15-5 win over the Blue Jays. He is the first player to hit three triples in a game since Yasiel Puig in 2014.

— Imagine having CJ Abrams as the shortstop on your fantasy team? Season is coming to an end, Abrams was hot (8 for his last 17) but then on September 20, five hours before a day game at Wrigley Field, Abrams was spotted in a casino very late at night before the day game.
Washington front office didn’t take this well; they sent Abrams to the minor leagues, ending his season, costing him $30,000 in salary, and totally screwing people who had him on their fantasy squads (I wasn’t one of them).

Famous birthdays, October 2
Dick Barnett, 88
Bob Robertson, 78
Gordon Sumner, 73 (Sting)
Lorraine Bracco, 70
Dave Beard, 65
Mark Rypien, 62
Aaron McKie, 52
Joe Ingles, 37
Aaron Hicks, 35
Missed this one yesterday; President Jimmy Carter turned 100 on Monday.

— NFL games were 10-6 to the over in Week 4; under is 33-31 for the season.
Team totals were 18-14 over; under is 68-57-3 this season.

— People are fickle; best to stay off social media after your favorite team loses, since every nitwit on Twitter thinks he knows more than the team’s coach/GM.

— Gonzaga is jumping to the Pac-12 starting in 2026-27, which helps the Pac-12 more than it will help Gonzaga. We preach about this every year; best to be a very big fish in a small pond.
Think back to UNLV in the Tarkanian days in the late 80’s; they dominated the Big West, were a national power, just like Gonzaga is now, but then they moved up to the Mountain West and haven’t been the same since.
Gonzaga isn’t a football school; the Pac-12 has to add a football school to get to eight teams and will probably also add either Grand Canyon or Saint Mary’s to giver them a 10-team basketball league.

— Texas-El Paso is jumping to the Mountain West two years from now; Miners bolted from the WAC to Conference USA in 2005, now they’re moving again.
UNLV/Air Force are staying in the Mountain West.

— Must be nice to be really, really rich; Tom Gores, owner of the Detroit Pistons, is buying a 27% stake in the LA Chargers, who are valued at being worth $5.1B (#20 in NFL).
Gores is buying out the part of the Chargers owned by one of the four Spanos siblings, who was at odds with her three siblings.

— San Francisco Giants fired president of baseball ops Farhan Zaidi, replaced him with Buster Posey, the great Giants catcher who retired as a player three years ago.
Giants went 107-55 three years ago, in Zaidi’s third season in charge, but lost to the Dodgers 3-2 in a five-game playoff series; since then, they’ve gone 81-81/79-83/80-82, and Zaidi was told to take a hike. Bob Melvin is expected to stay on as San Francisco’s manager.
 

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MLB
Weather Report

Wednesday, October 2


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MLB

Wednesday, October 2


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Detroit vs Houston
Detroit is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Detroit is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Houston is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Houston's last 15 games at home

Kansas City vs Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Kansas City's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Kansas City's last 8 games
Baltimore is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Kansas City
Baltimore is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing Kansas City

NY Mets vs Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 8 of NY Mets's last 11 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Mets's last 9 games when playing Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against NY Mets
Milwaukee is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games when playing NY Mets

Atlanta vs San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Diego
San Diego is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Diego's last 7 games at home


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