CNOTES COLLEGE HOOPS OPINIONS BEST BETS AND NEWS !

[CNOTES]

Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks

Date	W-L-T	%	Units	Record
03/23/2023	3-5-0	37.50%	-1250	Detail
03/22/2023	0-2-0	0.00%	-1100	Detail
03/21/2023	5-3-0	62.50%	+850	Detail
03/20/2023	1-1-0	50.00%	-50	Detail
03/19/2023	13-23-0	36.11%	-6150	Detail
03/18/2023	10-18-0	35.71%	-4900	Detail
03/17/2023	15-16-1	48.44%	-1300	Detail
03/16/2023	15-17-0	46.88%	-1850	Detail
03/15/2023	10-10-0	50.00%	-500	Detail
03/14/2023	11-8-1	57.50%	+1100	Detail
03/12/2023	3-7-0	30.00%	-2350	Detail
03/11/2023	25-21-0	54.35%	+950	Detail
03/10/2023	39-33-0	54.17%	+1350	Detail
03/09/2023	54-53-4	50.45%	-2150	Detail
03/08/2023	35-33-2	51.43%	-650	Detail
03/07/2023	21-31-0	40.38%	-6550	Detail
03/06/2023	9-17-2	35.71%	-4850	Detail
03/05/2023	30-30-0	50.00%	-1500	Detail
03/04/2023	84-102-0	45.16%	-14100	Detail
03/03/2023	36-24-2	59.68%	+4800	Detail
03/02/2023	63-44-1	58.80%	+7300	Detail
03/01/2023	31-43-2	42.11%	-8150	Detail

 

[CNOTES]

Friday’s 6-pack
Highest paid NBA coaches:
$11.5M— Gregg Popovich, San Antonio
$9.5M— Steve Kerr, Golden State
$8.5M— Doc Rivers, Philadelphia
$8.5M— Erik Spoelstra, Miami
$8M— Mike Budenholzer, Milwaukee
$8M— Nick Nurse, Toronto

Quote of the Day
“Physically, as I watch him, I think his skill set is very similar to Joe Burrow. OK, I think that would be the guy in the NFL and you know fellow, one-time Buckeye that I would look at and go OK, he moves. He’s about the same size, same frame, same kind of arm talent, and moves the same way physically.”
Carolina Panthers’ assistant Josh McCown, talking about Ohio State QB CJ Stroud

Friday’s quiz
When was the last time a Pac-12 team won the national title in college basketball?

Thursday’s quiz
The first time Rick Pitino coached in the NCAA Tournament, he was coaching Boston University, in 1983.

Wednesday’s quiz
Jason Alexander (George Costanza on Seinfeld) played Richard Gere’s assistant in the movie, Pretty Woman.

*************************************

Friday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here…….

— Gonzaga 79, UCLA 76
UCLA led this game 46-33 at halftime.
Timme scored 36 points, had 13 rebounds for Gonzaga.
Zags blew a 72-62 lead with 2:40 left, hit game-winning shot with 0:07 left.

— Florida Atlantic 62, Tennessee 55
Tennessee’s last 15 games: 0-8 if they allowed 60+ points, 7-0 if they allowed 59 or less.
FAU scored 22 points in first half, outscored Tennessee 40-28 in second half.
Rick Barnes is now 3-18 ATS in his last 21 NCAA tourney games.

— Kansas State 98, Michigan State 93 OT
K-State is 26-9; when Jerome Tang took this job over last spring, he inherited two players from last year’s squad. Two. This is an amazingly great coaching job.

Michigan State made 13-25 on the arc, K-State 11-24. Spartans scored 1.27 points/possession and still lost, which doesn’t happen very much.

— UConn 88, Arkansas 65— Total ass-kicking; UConn scored 1.26 points/possession, led by 17 at the half, was never challenged.

— Michigan State’s loss means that the Big 14 still hasn’t won a national title in college hoop since the Spartans won way back in 2000.

— North Carolina F Armando Bacot is returning to play a fifth season for the Tar Heels next year, which is very good news for a Tar Heel squad that missed the NCAA’s, then declined to play in the NIT. Must be some seriously good NIL money floating around Chapel Hill.

— Providence hired George Mason coach Kim English to replace Ed Cooley as its new coach; English went 34-29 in two seasons coaching George Mason. He is a former Tennessee assistant; long time ago (1988), Tennessee coach Barnes went from coaching George Mason to coaching Providence.

— There have now been 43 coaching changes in college hoop this spring, with another 20 or so openings still pending.

— From 1986-2019, #15-seeds went 8-128 in first round games; the last three years, #15-seeds are 3-9. My thought is that as time goes on, teams at the top of the ratings are getting weaker.

— Longest playoff droughts in the NFL:
12 years- Jets
7 years- Denver
6 years- Detroit
5 years- Atlanta, Carolina

— Over the last five seasons, Christian McCaffrey and Austin Ekeler are the only two NFL players with both 3,000+ rushing yards and 3,000+ passing yards.

— XFL standings halfway thru the regular season:
North:
Defenders 5-0
Battlehawks 3-2
Sea Dragons 3-2
Vipers 1-4

South:
Roughnecks 4-1
Renegades 3-2
Brahmas 1-4
Guardians 0-5

— Phillies 1B Rhys Hoskins tore an ACL Thursday, is out for the year.

— Last two baseball seasons, Seattle Mariners are 67-41 in one-run games, by far the best record in MLB in one-run games. Is that sustainable? Scott Servais is an excellent manager, for sure.

— According to Forbes Magazine, baseball teams with the best 2022, $$$-wise:
Seattle $83.8M profit
SF Giants $74.9M
Red Sox $71.6M
Orioles $64.7M
Oakland A’s $62.2M— WTF????

— Imagine my blood pressure going up when I saw that the Oakland A’s turned a $62.2M profit last year. Would it kill them to try to put a decent team on the field? If not, they should sell the damn team to someone who will try to win. Seriously.

— Was watching a Dodgers spring training game the other night and Rick Monday was doing the analysis; he is 77 years old now, doesn’t look it or sound it. Terrific announcer; he played for the A’s when I first became a fan in the mid-60’s. He played 19 years in the majors, and has been a radio analyst for the Dodgers since then. Quite a career.

— If you live in the Albany area and still have DirecTV, you still can’t watch the FOX channel; it is off the grid. DirecTV has taken the people that own the channel to court now.

I’ve said this before and I’ll say it again; dump DirecTV and get YouTube TV. It is way cheaper, it has basically all the same stuff- they even show the FOX channel.

Did I mention that YouTube TV is way cheaper than DirecTV?

 

[Udog]

SAN DIEGO ST is 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers in the current season.

HOUSTON is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) in a neutral court game where the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.

TEXAS are 6-0 ATS (6 Units) in March games in the current season.

CREIGHTON is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in road games in March games over the last 2 seasons.




NCAAB
Dunkel

Friday, March 24

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Friday, March 24

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (27 - 7) vs. HOUSTON (33 - 3) - 3/24/2023, 7:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 44-30 ATS (+11.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 44-30 ATS (+11.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 42-30 ATS (+9.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
HOUSTON is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MIAMI is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

XAVIER (27 - 9) vs. TEXAS (28 - 8) - 3/24/2023, 9:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in March games this season.
XAVIER is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
XAVIER is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
XAVIER is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in a NCAA tournament games since 1997.
XAVIER is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
XAVIER is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season.
TEXAS is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) against Big East conference opponents since 1997.
TEXAS is 26-53 ATS (-32.3 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.
TEXAS is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN DIEGO ST (29 - 6) vs. ALABAMA (31 - 5) - 3/24/2023, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO ST is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PRINCETON (23 - 8) vs. CREIGHTON (23 - 12) - 3/24/2023, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CREIGHTON is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 2 seasons.
CREIGHTON is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
CREIGHTON is 158-121 ATS (+24.9 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
CREIGHTON is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 2 seasons.
CREIGHTON is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
PRINCETON is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) as an underdog this season.
PRINCETON is 92-64 ATS (+21.6 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.
PRINCETON is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, March 24

San Diego State vs Alabama (@ Louisville)
— San Diego State (29-6) ranked #14 by KenPom
— Tempo: #263
— Experience: #21
— Continuity: #39
— San Diego State won six in row, 12 of last 13 games.
— San Diego State is 0-2 in Sweet 16 games.
— Aztecs have #28 eFG% defense in country.
— Aztecs lost 78-74 in OT to Arkansas of SEC in November.
— San Diego State is 11-3 in games decoded by 7 or less points.
— San Diego State’s schedule, to this point: #47
— bench minutes: #31
— San Diego State’s best wins: three wins over #27 Utah State

— Alabama (31-5) ranked #2 by KenPom
— Tempo: #5
— Experience: #257
— Continuity: #280
— Alabama won five in row, nine of last ten games.
— Alabama’s five postseason wins are all by 11+ points.
— Last 25 years, Crimson Tide is 1-1 in Sweet 16 (win was in ’04)
— Alabama has #1 eFG% defense in country.
— 47.5% of Crimson Tide’s shots are 3’s (36.8% of points (#36))
— Alabama’s schedule, to this point: #10
— bench minutes: #52
— Alabama’s best win: 71-65 at #1 Houston

— Last four years, #1-seeds are 5-7 ATS in Sweet 16 games.
— Last 5+ years, favorites are 19-24 ATS in Sweet 16 games.

Miami vs Houston (@ Kansas City)
— Miami (27-7) ranked #33 by KenPom
— Tempo: #99
— Experience: #27
— Continuity: #138
— Miami won 11 of its last 13 games.
— Miami was in the Elite 8 last year.
— Canes have #23 eFG% in country.
— Canes are #60 team in country on offensive boards.
— Miami is 6-3 against top 50 teams.
— Miami’s schedule, to this point: #77
— bench minutes: #319
— Miami’s best win: 81-59 over #17 Duke

— Houston (33-3) ranked #1 by KenPom
— Tempo: #342
— Experience: #260
— Continuity: #203
— Houston won 15 of its last 16 games.
— Cougars were in Elite 8 LY, Final Four the year before.
— Sampson is 4-2 in Sweet 16 games.
— Houston has #2 eFG% defense in country.
— Cougars are #4 team in country on offensive boards.
— Houston’s schedule, to this point: #91
— bench minutes: #270
— Houston’s best win: 53-48 over #13 Saint Mary’s

— Last four years, #1-seeds are 5-7 ATS in Sweet 16 games.
— Last 5+ years, favorites are 19-24 ATS in Sweet 16 games.

Princeton vs Creighton (@ Louisville)
— Princeton (23-8) ranked #91 by KenPom
— Tempo: #193
— Experience: #313
— Continuity: #170
— #15-seeds are 3-0 ATS all-time in Sweet 16 games.
— Princeton won its last six games.
— Tigers are #7 team in country on defensive boards.
— Tigers have #58 eFG% defense in country, #86 eFG% offense
— Princeton is 9-7 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Princeton’s schedule, to this point: #172
— bench minutes: #326
— Princeton’s best win: 59-55 over #11 Arizona

— Creighton (23-12) ranked #12 by KenPom
— Tempo: #142
— Experience: #159
— Continuity: #82
— Creighton won five of its last six games.
— Last 25 years, Creighton is 0-1 in Sweet 16 games (lost in ’21).
— Bluejays have #27 eFG% in country, #39 eFG% defense.
— Bluejays are #13 team in country on defensive boards.
— Creighton is 4-7 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Creighton’s schedule, to this point: #12
— bench minutes: #351
— Creighton’s best win: 56-53 over #3 UConn

— #15-seeds are 3-0 ATS all-time in Sweet 16 games.
— Last 5+ years, favorites are 19-24 ATS in Sweet 16 games.

Xavier vs Texas (@ Kansas City)
— Xavier (27-9) ranked #15 by KenPom
— Tempo: #33
— Experience: #16
— Continuity: #55
— Xavier won seven of its last eight games.
— From 2004-17, Xavier went 3-4 in Sweet 16 games.
— Sean Miller is 4-3 in Sweet 16 games.
— Musketeers have #12 eFG% in country.
— Xavier is 9-6 against top 50 teams.
— Xavier’s schedule, to this point: #24
— bench minutes: #310
— Xavier’s best wins: 83-73/82-79 over #3 UConn

— Texas (28-8) ranked #5 by KenPom
— Tempo: #100
— Experience: #6
— Continuity: #151
— Texas wont its last six games, giving up 58.2 ppg.
— Texas is 3-2 in last five Sweet 16 games (last one in ’08)
— Longhorns force turnovers 22.4% of time (#19)
— Texas is shooting 54% inside arc (#38)
— Longhorns are 14-7 vs top 50 teams.
— Texas’ schedule, to this point: #7
— bench minutes: #122
— Texas’ best win: 93-74 over #6 Gonzaga

— Xavier star Boum played for Rodney Terry at UTEP
— Last 5+ years, favorites are 19-24 ATS in Sweet 16 games.
— Last 10+ years, #2-seeds are 7-5 SU vs #3-seeds in this round




NCAAB

Friday, March 24

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

All matchups showing "No trends to report"


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[CNOTES]

FRIDAY, MARCH 24​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
SDSU at ALA	06:30 PM	SDSU +7.5 U 137.0	+500 +500
MIA at HOU	07:15 PM	HOU -7.5 U 138.5	+500 +500
PRIN at CREI	09:00 PM	PRIN +10.0 O 140.5	+500 +500
XAV at TEX	09:45 PM	TEX -4.5 U 149.0	+500 +500

 

[indiana]

C/Note.........thank you for all your info and thought's during the basket season....
look forward to all your thought's this Baseball season........indy

 

[CNOTES]

Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks

Date	W-L-T	%	Units	Record
03/24/2023	4-4-0	50.00%	-200	Detail
03/23/2023	3-5-0	37.50%	-1250	Detail
03/22/2023	0-2-0	0.00%	-1100	Detail
03/21/2023	5-3-0	62.50%	+850	Detail
03/20/2023	1-1-0	50.00%	-50	Detail
03/19/2023	13-23-0	36.11%	-6150	Detail
03/18/2023	10-18-0	35.71%	-4900	Detail
03/17/2023	15-16-1	48.44%	-1300	Detail
03/16/2023	15-17-0	46.88%	-1850	Detail
03/15/2023	10-10-0	50.00%	-500	Detail
03/14/2023	11-8-1	57.50%	+1100	Detail
03/12/2023	3-7-0	30.00%	-2350	Detail
03/11/2023	25-21-0	54.35%	+950	Detail
03/10/2023	39-33-0	54.17%	+1350	Detail
03/09/2023	54-53-4	50.45%	-2150	Detail
03/08/2023	35-33-2	51.43%	-650	Detail
03/07/2023	21-31-0	40.38%	-6550	Detail
03/06/2023	9-17-2	35.71%	-4850	Detail
03/05/2023	30-30-0	50.00%	-1500	Detail
03/04/2023	84-102-0	45.16%	-14100	Detail
03/03/2023	36-24-2	59.68%	+4800	Detail
03/02/2023	63-44-1	58.80%	+7300	Detail
03/01/2023	31-43-2	42.11%	-8150	Detail

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Saturday’s 6-pack
Leading scorers in the NBA:
33.2— Joel Embiid, Phil
32.9— Luka Doncic, Dal
32.2— Damian Lillard, Port
31.4— Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, OKC
31.2— Giannis Antetokounmpo, Milw
30.1— Jayson Tatum, Box

Quote of the Day
“I’m using Muhammad Ali quotes because we’re in Louisville, and we talked about confidence and the key to confidence is being fearless. I thought we were fearless tonight.”
San Diego State coach Brian Dutcher

Saturday’s quiz
When was the last time a Big East team won a national title in college basketball?

Friday’s quiz
1997 was the last time a Pac-12 team won the national title in college basketball, when Arizona beat Kentucky in overtime to win the championship.

Thursday’s quiz
The first time Rick Pitino coached in the NCAA Tournament, he was coaching Boston University, in 1983.

***********************************************************

Saturday’s Den: Talking about basketball and gameshows

Before we get into the basketball, I watching The Price is Right the other day— I love game shows, think daytime TV should be all game shows, the way it was when I was a kid. These contrived debate/argument shows on ESPN/FS1 are stupid. Our country needs to be less stupid.

Anyway, the final Showcase is on, and a guy missed the price of his Showcase by $73, just an amazing guess. Showcase was over $42,000 and he missed by only $73; tremendous.

One problem; his bid was $73 OVER the actual retail price; you can’t go over the price, or you lose— both contestants lost this one. Never saw that happen before.

Price Is Right, Hollywood Squares, Match Game, I grew up watching that stuff (Jeopardy a little bit, too). Stuff like that is a hell of a lot better than watching overpaid morons argue with each other.

On to the basketball………
— My records go back to 1985; this is the first Elite 8 since then with no #1-seeds still alive.

Fun to watch, very difficult to predict.

— San Diego State 71, Alabama 64
MVP was 5-10 PG Trammell, who played the last two years in the WAC at Seattle.
Alabama led 48-39 with 11:40 left in the game.
Alabama star Miller shot 3-19 from the floor.

— Miami 89, Houston 75
Miami made 11-25 on the arc, scored 1.27 points/possession.
Nijel Pack was 7-10 on the arc; Houston’s whole team was 9-31.
Miami tied for first in ACC; their uniforms don’t say Duke, so people overlook them.

— Creighton 86, Princeton 75
Creighton shot 74.2% inside the arc, scored 1.23 points/possession.
Bluejays lost six games in a row in early December; they’re 6-1 in last seven games.
Princeton was just 4th-ever #15-seed to get to this point.

— Texas 83, Xavier 71
Texas never trailed, led 42-25 at halftime; total butt-kicking.
Longhorns’ 6-9 big man Disu got hurt early on; check status for Sunday
Texas is 16-7 against top 50 teams this season.

— What is the Texas administration doing? How is Rodney Terry still an interim coach? Longhorns are 22-7 since Chris Beard got fired, and Terry replaced him; it is inconceivable they could hire another coach after this run, where they’ve won the Big X Tournament, and now are in the Elite 8.

— Over the last three years, Big 14 teams are:
17-7 in NCAA first round games
4-13 in NCAA second round games
1-3 in Sweet 16 games.

24 teams, four got to the Sweet 16, one got to the Elite 8. No bueno.

— Kansas State PG Markquis Nowell is in his 5th year of college basketball:
2019— Little Rock went 10-21
2020— Little Rock went 21-10, but there was no Sun Belt/NCAA tournament
2021— Little Rock went 11-15
2022— Kansas State went 14-17, lost their last six games, fired their coach.
2023— Kansas State is 26-9 and Nowell is a big star.

He had 20 points, 19 assists in an overtime win Thursday, the most assists ever in an NCAA Tournament game. People are comparing him to Kemba Walker.

Stories like this are why the tournament has been so unpredictable. K-State has two players who played on the team last year, but the new group has bonded and are having a great season.

— Conference USA needs better TV exposure; I watch some of their games on ESPN+, but they have several good teams, teams that play all different styles.

Last eight years, Conference USA teams are 6-2 SU in first round NCAA Tournament games, and they were an underdog in seven of those eight games.

— Which big $$$ school is going to go after Florida Atlantic coach Dusty May? In five years at FAU, with a pandemic in the middle of it, Owls are 100-59, 52-34 in conference games. This is a Florida Atlantic program that is only in its 30th year as a Division I program.

Teams with current coach openings:
California, Temple, South Florida, Penn State, Texas Tech and technically, Texas, but if I was a prospective coach, I wouldn’t go anywhere near Texas- that should be Rodney Terry’s job.

All the other current job openings are below FAU’s level. Valparaiso just fired their coach; May went to college at Indiana, which is close to Valpo, but he can do better than a low-level Missouri Valley job.

— When they started the Big East Conference in 1979, they invited Holy Cross to join; Crusaders had a pretty good team back then, but the Holy Cross administration turned them down, citing the college’s commitment to academic excellence.

Could you imagine that happening today? How much $$$ you think they squandered by joining the freakin’ Patriot League? Holy Cross won four Patriot League titles under Ralph Willard 15-20 years ago, but come on, these big-time hoop schools make some serious cash— rich alumni like it when the alma mater is in the top 25.

— Loved listening to Stan Van Gundy/Kevin Harlan on TV this week; Van Gundy is all ball— I learn a lot every time I hear him describe a game. Harlan is a great play/play guy who sets his analysts up the right way. Van Gundy offers opinions; you may not agree with him all the time, but he’s coached in college and the NBA— he knows his stuff.

— Micah Shrewsberry bolts Penn State to be the new coach at Notre Dame; Nittany Lions were 23-14 this year, but they started four seniors, were the most experienced team in the country. They’re going to regress next year, no matter who the new coach is- it was time for him to jump.

 

[Udog]

KANSAS ST is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) when playing only their 3rd game in a week over the last 2 seasons.

CONNECTICUT is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) after 3 consecutive non-conference games in the current season.




NCAAB
Dunkel

Saturday, March 25

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Saturday, March 25

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLA ATLANTIC (34 - 3) vs. KANSAS ST (26 - 9) - 3/25/2023, 6:09 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS ST is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in all games this season.
KANSAS ST is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
KANSAS ST is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) as a favorite this season.
KANSAS ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS ST is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS ST is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) in non-conference games this season.
KANSAS ST is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
KANSAS ST is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
FLA ATLANTIC is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all games this season.
FLA ATLANTIC is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
FLA ATLANTIC is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
FLA ATLANTIC is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in non-conference games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CONNECTICUT (28 - 8) vs. GONZAGA (31 - 5) - 3/25/2023, 8:49 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GONZAGA is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) against Big East conference opponents since 1997.
CONNECTICUT is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) in all games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
CONNECTICUT is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all neutral court games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 13-1 ATS (+11.9 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
CONNECTICUT is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing on a neutral court this season.
CONNECTICUT is 13-1 ATS (+11.9 Units) in non-conference games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after scoring 80 points or more this season.
CONNECTICUT is 17-9 ATS (+7.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
GONZAGA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in a neutral court game where the total is 150 to 154.5 over the last 2 seasons.
GONZAGA is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in road games when playing with one or less days rest this season.
GONZAGA is 5-12 ATS (-8.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, March 25

Florida Atlantic vs Kansas State (@ MSG)
— Florida Atlantic (34-3) ranked #17 by KenPom
— Tempo: #158
— Experience: #148
— Continuity: #24
— FAU won its last ten games.
— FAU gave up 80-86-74 points in its three losses.
— Owls have #13 eFG% defense, #26 eFG% offense
— Owls are 12-1 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— FAU is 8-1 against top 100 teams.
— FAU’s schedule, to this point: #118
— bench minutes: #14
— FAU’s best win: 62-55 over #7 Tennessee

— Kansas State (26-9) ranked #20 by KenPom
— Tempo: #43
— Experience: #30
— Continuity: #316
— K-State won seven of its last nine games.
— K-State allowed 76+ points in seven of its nine losses.
— PG Nowell had 20 points, 19 assists in Thursday’s win
— K-State played four starters 35:00+ in their OT win.
— Wildcats force turnovers 20.7% of time (#53)
— K-State’s schedule, to this point: #19
— bench minutes: #325
— K-State’s best win: 116-103 at #5 Texas.

— Last eight years, underdogs are 19-13 ATS in Elite 8 games.

Gonzaga vs UConn (@ T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas)
— Gonzaga (31-5) ranked #6 by KenPom
— Tempo: #39
— Experience: #43
— Continuity: #20
— Gonzaga won its last 12 games.
— Gonzaga played three starters 36:00+ in Thursday’s win.
— Since 2015, Zags are 2-2 in Elite 8 games.
— Zags are shooting 58.5% inside arc (#2), 38.3% on arc (#10)
— Gonzaga is 16-4 against top 100 teams.
— Gonzaga’s schedule, to this point: #48
— bench minutes: #313
— Gonzaga’s best win: 79-76 over #3 UCLA

— UConn (28-8) ranked #1 by KenPom
— Tempo: #211
— Experience: #115
— Continuity: #248
— UConn won 12 of its last 14 games.
— Huskies won its three NCAA games by 24-15-23 points.
— UConn is 1-5 in games decided by 6 or less points.
— UConn is in Elite 8 for first time since 2014; Kevin Ollie was coach.
— Huskies are 10-6 vs top 50 teams.
— UConn’s schedule, to this point: #29
— bench minutes: #221
— UConn’s best win: 82-67 over #2 Alabama

— Last eight years, underdogs are 19-13 ATS in Elite 8 games.



NCAAB

Saturday, March 25

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Florida Atlantic @ Kansas State
No trends to report

Connecticut @ Gonzaga
Connecticut
Connecticut is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Gonzaga
Gonzaga
No trends to report


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[CNOTES]

SATURDAY, MARCH 25​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
FAU at KSU	06:09 PM	FAU +2.0 O 144.5	+500 +500
CONN at GONZ	08:49 PM	GONZ +2.0 O 153.5	+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks

Date	W-L-T	%	Units	Record
03/25/2023	2-2-0	50.00%	-100	Detail
03/24/2023	4-4-0	50.00%	-200	Detail
03/23/2023	3-5-0	37.50%	-1250	Detail
03/22/2023	0-2-0	0.00%	-1100	Detail
03/21/2023	5-3-0	62.50%	+850	Detail
03/20/2023	1-1-0	50.00%	-50	Detail
03/19/2023	13-23-0	36.11%	-6150	Detail
03/18/2023	10-18-0	35.71%	-4900	Detail
03/17/2023	15-16-1	48.44%	-1300	Detail
03/16/2023	15-17-0	46.88%	-1850	Detail
03/15/2023	10-10-0	50.00%	-500	Detail
03/14/2023	11-8-1	57.50%	+1100	Detail
03/12/2023	3-7-0	30.00%	-2350	Detail
03/11/2023	25-21-0	54.35%	+950	Detail
03/10/2023	39-33-0	54.17%	+1350	Detail
03/09/2023	54-53-4	50.45%	-2150	Detail
03/08/2023	35-33-2	51.43%	-650	Detail
03/07/2023	21-31-0	40.38%	-6550	Detail
03/06/2023	9-17-2	35.71%	-4850	Detail
03/05/2023	30-30-0	50.00%	-1500	Detail
03/04/2023	84-102-0	45.16%	-14100	Detail
03/03/2023	36-24-2	59.68%	+4800	Detail
03/02/2023	63-44-1	58.80%	+7300	Detail
03/01/2023	31-43-2	42.11%	-8150	Detail

 

[CNOTES]

Sunday’s 6-pack
Leading rebounders in the NBA:
12.5— Domantas Sabonis, Sac
11.9— Nikola Jokic, Den
11.8— Giannis Antetokounmpo, Milw
11.5— Rudy Gobert, Minn
11.3— Nikola Vucevic, Chi
11.1— Clint Capela, Atl

Quote of the Day
“Even though [our flight] was a charter, I thought, my goodness, those guys have to do this every other week to play a basketball game? It would be exhausting. It’s going to be a real challenge to be at their best with that kind of travel. I’m wishing them all the best, but that’s more travel than I would ever wish on anybody.”
San Diego State coach Brian Dutcher, talking about USC/UCLA joining the Big 14

Saturday’s quiz
Which college basketball team is known as the Gauchos?

Saturday’s quiz
2018 was the last time a Big East team won a national title in college basketball, when Villanova beat Michigan for the title.

Friday’s quiz
1997 was the last time a Pac-12 team won the national title in college basketball, when Arizona beat Kentucky in overtime to win the championship.



************************************************** *********


Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday……..

Florida Atlantic is in the Final Four; let that sink in for a minute.

— Florida Atlantic 79, Kansas State 76
K-State led 57-50 with 12:00 left in game.
#9-seed Owls survived being minus-10 in turnovers (22-12)
UCLA made Final Four two years ago as an #11-seed, but this was only the second time ever that FAU was even in the freakin’ tournament. Totally amazing achievement.

— UConn 82, Gonzaga 54
Huskies won their four NCAA Tournament games, by 24-15-23-28 points.
UConn is 29-8; they’re 1-5 in games decided by 6 or less points.
Gonzaga shot 33% from the floor, an ugly end to an excellent 31-6 season.

— Did some work Saturday, trying to identify which stats work best to identify teams that are going to prosper in the NCAA Tournament. There are no absolutes, but some things stand out:

Things that seem not to matter too much:
— Deep benches— longer TV timeouts in the tournament
— Reliance on 3-point shooting— hard to shoot it well six games in a row
— Continuity

Different teams succeed for different reasons; some teams just get cobbled together in the summer and they click, like Kansas State. K-State was an older team, #30 in experience, but #316 in continuity, but they defended well, their 5th-year PG had a monster year and they did great. No one would have predicted that back in November.

Defensive eFG%— Four of the top 10 in the country made the Sweet 16; the two worst teams in this category that made the Sweet 16 are Miami/Gonzaga- they were both in the top 25 in eFG% offense. So, teams that score easy baskets and/or prevent their opponents from getting easy baskets.

Forcing turnovers— UCLA, Texas, Tennessee were strong in this category; Creighton is terrible, but they’re still playing.

— Teams that rank high in eFG%, both offense and defense, those are the teams we need to focus on. That is what I’ll be searching for next March.

— Charlotte Hornets (+16) won in Dallas Friday night, the biggest upset in NBA this season.

— Ben Simmons is hurt again; he is making $35,448,672 this season, will make $88M combined over the next two seasons, talk about a guy who is stealing money.

In six NBA seasons (he sat one out completely), Simmons has played in 317 games; he is a career 56% shooter on the foul line, 5-36 on the arc. Great passer, very good defender, but over the last four seasons, he has played in only 157 out of a possible 300 games.

Not sure why you would want this guy on your team, in a sport with a salary cap.

— Baseball season starts on Thursday, some quick thoughts:

— In Japan, teams play six games a week, most teams use six starting pitchers, so one start per week. Oakland A’s signed a pitcher Shintaro Fujinami; word is that he will pitch every Saturday this season, that’s it, once a week. They’ll fill in with other guys around him.

I’ve seen Fujinami pitch couple times; he’s good. Has control lapses, but didn’t give up many hits in the Cactus League. Think he’ll help the A’s a lot; not sure he’ll be a great fantasy pitcher, not a lot of strikeout in his game.

Angels are also likely to wind up using six starting pitchers, letting Ohtani get extra rest between his starts. Could be a new trend, six-man starting rotations.

— Wonder what interpreters earn who work for major league teams? Pretty important job; Fujinami comes out of the game Saturday, he huddles with his catcher and the interpreter. Pitching coach goes to the mound, interpreter is right there.

— St Louis Cardinals used 14 starting pitchers last year, the most they’ve used in any one season since 2002.

Cardinals signed P Miles Mikolas to a 2-year, $40M contract extension.

— OF Jurickson Profar has visa issues, hasn’t joined his new team (Colorado Rockies) yet.

— LB Bobby Wagner went back to the Seahawks, after a year with the Rams; Wagner played 10 years in Seattle, before bolting to LA last season.

— NFC East is the only NFL division, where all four teams have won a Super Bowl.

 

[Udog]

CREIGHTON is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in road games in March games over the last 2 seasons.

TEXAS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in March games in the current season.



NCAAB
Dunkel

Sunday, March 26

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Sunday, March 26

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (28 - 7) vs. TEXAS (29 - 8) - 3/26/2023, 5:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in March games this season.
MIAMI is 42-30 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 42-30 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
MIAMI is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games in March games over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games after scoring 80 points or more this season.
MIAMI is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MIAMI is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CREIGHTON (24 - 12) vs. SAN DIEGO ST (30 - 6) - 3/26/2023, 2:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO ST is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
SAN DIEGO ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.
CREIGHTON is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 2 seasons.
CREIGHTON is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) as a neutral court favorite of 3 points or less or pick since 1997.
CREIGHTON is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
CREIGHTON is 159-121 ATS (+25.9 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
CREIGHTON is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 2 seasons.
CREIGHTON is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
CREIGHTON is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all tournament games over the last 2 seasons.
CREIGHTON is 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CREIGHTON is 1-0 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO ST over the last 3 seasons
CREIGHTON is 1-0 straight up against SAN DIEGO ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, March 26

San Diego State vs Creighton (@ Louisville)
— San Diego State (30-6) ranked #14 by KenPom
— Tempo: #255
— Experience: #21
— Continuity: #39
— San Diego State won seven in row, 13 of last 14 games.
— San Diego State allowed 55.7 ppg in its last seven games.
— Aztecs have #20 eFG% defense in country.
— Aztecs are 16-6 against top 100 teams.
— San Diego State is 12-3 in games decoded by 7 or less points.
— San Diego State’s schedule, to this point: #42
— bench minutes: #31
— San Diego State’s best win: 71-64 over #4 Alabama

— Creighton (24-12) ranked #12 by KenPom
— Tempo: #139
— Experience: #158
— Continuity: #82
— Creighton won six of its last six games.
— Creighton scored 80.3 ppg in its first three tourney games.
— Bluejays have #24 eFG% in country, #44 eFG% defense.
— Bluejays are #11 team in country on defensive boards.
— Creighton is 4-7 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Creighton’s schedule, to this point: #12
— bench minutes: #351
— Creighton’s best win: 56-53 over #3 UConn

— Last 8+ years, underdogs are 20-14 ATS in Elite 8 games.

Miami vs Houston (@ Kansas City)
— Miami (28-7) ranked #26 by KenPom
— Tempo: #92
— Experience: #27
— Continuity: #138
— Miami won 12 of its last 14 games.
— Miami lost to Kansas in the Elite 8 last year.
— Canes have #23 eFG% in country.
— Canes are #71 team in country on offensive boards.
— Miami is 7-3 against top 50 teams.
— Miami’s schedule, to this point: #71
— bench minutes: #323
— Miami’s best win: 89-75 over #2 Houston

— Texas (29-8) ranked #5 by KenPom
— Tempo: #100
— Experience: #6
— Continuity: #148
— Texas wont its last seven games, giving up 60 ppg.
— Texas was last in Elite 8 in ’08/’06 (last Final 4 was ’03)
— Longhorns force turnovers 22.3% of time (#19)
— Texas is shooting 53.9% inside arc (#39)
— Longhorns are 15-7 vs top 50 teams.
— Texas’ schedule, to this point: #7
— bench minutes: #120
— Texas’ best win: 93-74 over #6 Gonzaga

— Last 8+ years, underdogs are 20-14 ATS in Elite 8 games.

 

[CNOTES]

SUNDAY, MARCH 26​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
CREI at SDSU	02:20 PM	SDSU +2.5 U 134.5	+500 +500
MIA at TEX	05:05 PM	MIA +4.0 O 148.0	+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks

Date	W-L-T	%	Units	Record
03/26/2023	4-0-0	100.00%	+2000	Detail
03/25/2023	2-2-0	50.00%	-100	Detail
03/24/2023	4-4-0	50.00%	-200	Detail
03/23/2023	3-5-0	37.50%	-1250	Detail
03/22/2023	0-2-0	0.00%	-1100	Detail
03/21/2023	5-3-0	62.50%	+850	Detail
03/20/2023	1-1-0	50.00%	-50	Detail
03/19/2023	13-23-0	36.11%	-6150	Detail
03/18/2023	10-18-0	35.71%	-4900	Detail
03/17/2023	15-16-1	48.44%	-1300	Detail
03/16/2023	15-17-0	46.88%	-1850	Detail
03/15/2023	10-10-0	50.00%	-500	Detail
03/14/2023	11-8-1	57.50%	+1100	Detail
03/12/2023	3-7-0	30.00%	-2350	Detail
03/11/2023	25-21-0	54.35%	+950	Detail
03/10/2023	39-33-0	54.17%	+1350	Detail
03/09/2023	54-53-4	50.45%	-2150	Detail
03/08/2023	35-33-2	51.43%	-650	Detail
03/07/2023	21-31-0	40.38%	-6550	Detail
03/06/2023	9-17-2	35.71%	-4850	Detail
03/05/2023	30-30-0	50.00%	-1500	Detail
03/04/2023	84-102-0	45.16%	-14100	Detail
03/03/2023	36-24-2	59.68%	+4800	Detail
03/02/2023	63-44-1	58.80%	+7300	Detail
03/01/2023	31-43-2	42.11%	-8150	Detail

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Monday’s 6-pack
Jets’ QB’s and their records during their 12-year playoff drought:
14-17— Mark Sanchez
13-14— Ryan Fitzpatrick
13-25— Sam Darnold
12-18— Geno Smith
8-14— Zach Wilson
5-11— Josh McCown
2-5— Mike White
1-2— Michael Vick
1-6— Bryce Petty
1-8— Joe Flacco
0-2— Luke Falk
0-1— Greg McElroy, Trevor Siemian

Quote of the Day
“My best skill was that I was coachable. I was a sponge and aggressive to learn.”
Michael Jordan

Monday’s quiz
In the movie Rounders, what famous actor played Russian mobster Teddy KGB?

Sunday’s quiz
Cal-Santa Barbara’s basketball team is known as the Gauchos.

Saturday’s quiz
2018 was the last time a Big East team won a national title in college basketball, when Villanova beat Michigan for the title.

*****************************

Monday’s Den: Random thoughts with the Final Four set

— 18 years ago, 11-seed George Mason (+8) upset #1-seed UConn 86-84 to get to an unlikely Final Four; coach of that team was Jim Larranaga. Then yesterday………

— Miami 88, Texas 81— Larranaga is back in the Final Four, in his 12th season at Miami; his Hurricanes tied for first place in the ACC this season, still only got a #5-seed.

Texas led 64-51 with 12:51 left in the game.
Miami’s Jordan Miller was 7-7 from floor, 11-11 on foul line.
Miami was 28-32 on foul line, Longhorns 11-15.

Larranaga is 73 years old; he was an assistant to Terry Holland at Virginia during the Ralph Sampson era in the early 80’s. This is the cherry on top of a freakin’ great career.

— Texas needs to do the right thing now and make interim coach Rodney Terry the full-time coach. Terry did a great job this year; I’m trying to remember why he left Fresno State for UTEP five years ago, after going 66-34 his last three years in Fresno.

Terry went 37-48 in three years at UTEP, then signed on to be Chris Beard’s assistant at Texas. When Beard got fired in November for off-court reasons, Terry took over and now he deserves to be the full-time coach. This is a no brainer.

— San Diego State 57, Creighton 56
Creighton shot 35.4% on the arc this year;; they were 2-17 in this game
Bluejays led 41-34 with 13:14 left to play.
Coming into this month, Mountain West teams were 0-8 in the last three NCAA Tournaments; now they have a team in the Final Four.

— Early lines for the Final Four games:
UConn -5 vs Miami
San Diego State -1.5 vs Florida Atlantic

— This is the first time ever the Final Four won’t have any #1, #2 or #3 seeds in it.

— Final Four teams have earned $8,330,000; the teams get half that amount, their leagues split the rest of the money. FAU gets $4,165,000; other ten teams in Conference USA get $416,500 apiece. Big payday for those schools, especially the mid-major teams.

This past season, Florida Atlantic’s entire operating budget for basketball was $1,627,839.

— Back in December, a gutsy gambler wagered $500 on Florida Atlantic to get to the Final Four, at 400-1 odds; dude cashed the ticket for $200,000 Saturday.

— VCU’s Mike Rhoades is expected to bolt for the Penn State job, at $3.5M a year; I’m really doubting if Penn State is a better basketball job than VCU. Penn State is obviously a football school; they had the most experienced team in the country this year. VCU is a basketball school, close to an East Coast version of Gonzaga.

— New Mexico State hired Sam Houston coach Jason Hooten this weekend; Aggies had an awful season, cancelling it after starting 2-10 in the WAC- there were numerous off-court issues with a first-year coach, but New Mexico State also has a winning tradition— they’ve been in eight of the last 11 NCAA Tournaments.

Hooten was at Sam Houston State for 13 years, going 26-8 this past season.

— In case you were wondering, Boise State has the most appearances in an NCAA Tournament without ever winning a game (0-9).

— Cincinnati Reds are paying 53-year old Ken Griffey Jr $3.59M this season, a deferred payment on a contract he signed in 2000. Only three Reds this season will earn more than Griffey.

— 49ers acquired kicker Zane Gonzalez from Carolina; their last kicker Robbie Gould is a free agent. Gonzalez was hurt last year, didn’t kick; he is 91-113 one field goals in a six-year career with the Browns, Cardinals and Panthers.

 

[CNOTES]

Tuesday’s 6-pack
Since 2010-11, college hoop teams with the best winning %age:
.865 — Gonzaga
.811 — Kansas
.786 — Duke
.768 — Arizona
.762 — Kentucky
.761 — San Diego State

Quote of the Day
“It’s an ongoing process. I’m following it very closely, just like everybody else is here and looking forward to a resolution. I’m excited. Thinking about Lamar all the time. Thinking about him as our quarterback. We’re building our offense around that idea. I’m just looking forward to getting back to football and I’m confident that’s going to happen.”
Ravens’ coach John Harbaugh

Tuesday’s quiz
Which baseball Hall of Famer once played point guard for San Diego State’s basketball team?

Monday’s quiz
In the movie Rounders, John Malkovich played Russian mobster Teddy KGB.

Sunday’s quiz
Cal-Santa Barbara’s basketball team is known as the Gauchos.

************************************************

Tuesday’s Den: XFL trends, and other football stuff in March……..

— Opening Day of baseball season is Thursday, so of course the NFL owns the headlines today, because the NFL doesn’t have much of an offseason anymore.

— I’m told that quarterback is an important position in football; right now the Baltimore Ravens have a QB who wants a boatload of guaranteed $$$, the Ravens don’t want to guarantee a whole lot of that money and since the QB is acting as his own agent, things have gotten personal.

Lamar Jackson has a career W-L record of 45-16 in the regular season, which is really good; in the playoffs, he is 1-3, with Baltimore scoring 13.5 ppg in those games. Not so good.

Here’s the thing: Jackson didn’t play in the Ravens’ last six games last year, he didn’t play in their last four games the year before. Leg injuries for a running QB aren’t good. Ravens are 18-17 the last two years; expectations are higher than that.

One of the best abilities is availability/dependability; good QB’s make $35-$40M a year in the NFL, with the expectation that he is your leader, the face of your franchise. He is expected to play and play very well, not to mention being a leader.

Schedule comes out in a few weeks; would be a lot easier to sell those season tickets if your quarterback/leader isn’t at odds with the team.

So there is a standoff; this is bad for the NFL, bad for the Ravens, bad for Jackson.

Ravens can come out of this smelling like a rose if they trade Jackson for a couple of first round picks and then land another QB (Carson Wentz, Teddy Bridgewater, Matt Ryan???) to back up Tyler Huntley, who has a 3-6 record in nine NFL starts.

If the Ravens trade Jackson to the Colts, they could use the Colts’ draft pick they’ll get back to draft their QB of the future, which buys them time with their fans.

What happens if Jackson refuses to budge on his contract demands? Does he simply not play? How is this good for him? Who is advising him? Do you want to put your entire franchise in the hands of someone who may be being advised by sketchy people?

— NFL schedule comes out in a month or so; there is a lot of $$$ involved with which games are on in primetime. Would be nice to know who each team’s quarterback is going to be.

Indianapolis Colts, who used to call Baltimore home, visit the Ravens this season; if Jackson is traded to the Colts, guaranteed that is either a Monday night game or a Thursday Amazon game.

— Jets/Packers are still at odds over the Aaron Rodgers trade. Just let me know when they make a decision. This whole debacle has become exhausting.

Jets by the way, have nine home games this year (all AFC teams have 9, NFC teams 8) plus one of their “road” games is against the Giants in the stadium they share, so the Jets really only have seven road games this coming season.

If/when Rodgers becomes a Jet, Jets will gain 2-3 more primetime slots, you can bet on that.

— Detroit Lions’ over/under win total this season is 9.5, the highest it has been in the last 30 years.

Let me say right here that I think it is foolish to bet on season win totals before the schedules come out. As the great Bud Grant used to say, “Its not who you play, it is when you play them”

— Texas Longhorns did the right thing Monday and signed basketball coach Rodney Terry to a 5-year, $15.3M contract. Good for everyone; for once, sanity prevails.

— North Carolina’s leading scorer Caleb Love is in the transfer portal, will bolt Chapel Hill after UNC went 20-13 this season, turning down a chance to play in the NIT. When you see a team choose to end their season like that, you can assume they had internal issues, and Love’s going into the transfer portal seems to confirm that.

— Here are trends for all eight XFL teams, six weeks into a 10-game regular season.

Arlington Renegades (3-3)
Last five games stayed under the total.
All three wins were by 6 or less points.
Allowed 15 or fewer points in three of last four games.
0-3 ATS as a favorite.

DC Defenders (6-0)
Won/covered all six games.
Five of those six games went over the total.
Last four games, Defenders scored 32.8 ppg.

Houston Renegades (4-2)
Lost last two games, after a 4-0 start.
3-0 SU/ATS at home, winning by 21-9-9 points.
Favorite covered five of their six games.

Las Vegas Vipers (1-5)
Only win was 35-32 over 0-6 Orlando.
Vipers are 0-5 ATS in their last five games.
Last four games, Las Vegas allowed 30.8 ppg.
Three of their last four games went over total.

Orlando Guardians (0-6)
Orlando beat spread in three of last four games.
Five of their six games went over total.
Guardians are giving up 29.7 ppg.

St Louis Battlehawks (4-2)
Both their losses are to 6-0 Defenders (34-28/28-20)
St Louis allowed 18 or less points in its wins
Battlehawks covered both times they were favored.

San Antonio Brahmas (2-4)
Brahmas were held to 15 or less points in five of six games.
Five of their six games stayed under the total.
Average total in their last three games: 22.3.

Seattle Sea Dragons (4-2)
Seattle won its last four games, after an 0-2 start.
Their three road games all went over the total.
Last three games, they allowed only 13 ppg.

 

[Udog]

N TEXAS are 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in road games after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers over the last...

UAB is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) after allowing 60 points or less in the current season.




NCAAB
Dunkel

Tuesday, March 28

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Tuesday, March 28

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WISCONSIN (20 - 14) vs. N TEXAS (29 - 7) - 3/28/2023, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N TEXAS is 37-26 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
N TEXAS is 37-26 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
N TEXAS is 34-20 ATS (+12.0 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
N TEXAS is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
N TEXAS is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games after a non-conference game this season.
WISCONSIN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games in non-conference games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTAH VALLEY ST (28 - 8) vs. UAB (28 - 9) - 3/28/2023, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UAB is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
UAB is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
UAB is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.
UAB is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH VALLEY ST is 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) in all games this season.
UTAH VALLEY ST is 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
UTAH VALLEY ST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH VALLEY ST is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH VALLEY ST is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
UTAH VALLEY ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, March 28

North Texas vs Wisconsin
— North Texas (29-7) ranked #33 by KenPom
— Tempo: #363
— Experience: #166
— Continuity: #139
— North Texas won 14 of its last 16 games.
— Mean Green won in OT at #47 Oklahoma State to get here.
— North Texas is 12-2 outside Conference USA.
— Mean Green has #7 eFG% defense in country.
— North Texas is #36 team in country on offensive boards.
— North Texas schedule, to this point: #109
— bench minutes: #222
— North Texas best wins: 63-52/82-79 2OT over #44 UAB

— Wisconsin (20-14) ranked #62 by KenPom
— Tempo: #342
— Experience: #239
— Continuity: #127
— Wisconsin won four of its last five games
— Badgers won 61-58 at #42 Oregon to get here.
— Wisconsin has #288 eFG% offense in country.
— Badgers are getting 36.1% of their points on arc (#43)
— Wisconsin is 11-2 outside the Big 14.
— Wisconsin’s schedule, to this point: #14
— bench minutes: #331
— Wisconsin’s best win: 80-77 in OT at #10 Marquette

— Total is 115.5; both teams in bottom 25 in country in pace.

UAB vs Utah Valley
— UAB (28-9) ranked #44 by KenPom
— Tempo: #32
— Experience: #5
— Continuity: #110
— UAB won 15 of its last 17 games.
— Blazers won 67-59 at #81 Vanderbilt to get here.
— UAB is 12-2 outside Conference USA.
— Blazers have #43 eFG% defense in country.
— UAB is #8 team in country on offensive boards.
— UAB’s schedule, to this point: #126
— bench minutes: #73
— UAB’s best win: 86-77 over #17 Florida Atlantic

— Utah Valley (28-8) ranked #64 by KenPom
— Tempo: #42
— Experience: #142
— Continuity: #136
— Utah Valley won 12 of its last 14 games
— Wolverines won at New Mexico/Colorado in this tournament.
— Utah Valley has #4 eFG% defense in country.
— Wolverines are 6-3 against top 100 teams.
— UVSU split two games in WAC tourney on this floor 3 weeks ago.
— Utah Valley’s schedule, to this point: #108
— bench minutes: #270
— Utah Valley’s best win: 77-72 at #42 Oregon

— Total of 150.5; both teams are in top 50 in pace.

 

[CNOTES]

TUESDAY, MARCH 28​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
UNT at WIS	07:00 PM	UNT -1.5 U 114.5	+500 +500
UVU at UAB	09:30 PM	UAB -5.0 U 151.5	+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

Pending Picks​

Date	League	Game	Score	Status	Pick
Mar 28, 2023	NCAAB	North Texas Wisconsin	- -	07:00 PM	UNT -1.5

Completed Picks​

Date	League	Game	Score	Pick	Outcome
Mar 26, 2023	NCAAB	Creighton San Diego St.	56 57	SDSU +1.5	Win
Mar 25, 2023	NCAAB	Florida Atlantic Kansas State	79 76	Over 144.5	Win
Mar 24, 2023	NCAAB	San Diego St. Alabama	71 64	SDSU +7.5	Win
Mar 23, 2023	NCAAB	Michigan St. Kansas State	93 98	Over 138.5	Win
Mar 22, 2023	NCAAB	Cincinnati Utah Valley	68 74	Over 148.5	Loss
Mar 21, 2023	NCAAB	North Texas Oklahoma State	65 59	UNT +4.5	Win
Mar 20, 2023	NCAAB	Charlotte Milwaukee	76 65	Over 139.5	Win
Mar 19, 2023	NCAAB	Michigan St. Marquette	69 60	Under 140.0	Win
Mar 18, 2023	NCAAB	Penn St. Texas	66 71	PSU +5.5	Win

 

[indiana]

C/Note......appreciate your daily info and thought's buddy....
BOL tonight ..........indy