College Betting Recap - Week 14
November 30, 2014
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Overall Notes
COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 14 RESULTS
Wager Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 44-17
Against the Spread 31-28-2
Wager Home-Away
Straight Up 26-35
Against the Spread 26-33-2
Wager Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 36-25
The largest underdog to cash
Western Kentucky (+23.5, ML +1375) at Marshall, 67-66 in OT
The largest favorite to cash
Kansas State (-26.5) over Kansas, 51-13
Top 25 Notes
-- There was more shake-up in the Top 10 after rivalry Saturday, as three teams bit the dust. Mississippi State was upended by their rivals Mississippi, formerly of the Top 10, by a 31-17 score. The loss not only derailed the Bulldogs' chances for the SEC West crown, but effectively ended any playoff possibilities. ... Georgia also suffered another loss, this time at the hands of rival Georgia Tech in between the hedges in overtime. ... Lastly, it was UCLA getting absolutely creamed at the Rose Bowl by Stanford, 31-10. All-in-all, Top 10 teams finished 7-3 SU and just 4-6 ATS.
-- As mentioned above, Marshall was a big loser, waiting until the final weekend of November before suffering their first loss. They never were really in the consideration for a major bowl or playoff spot anyway, but they had been solid against the spread until lately. The Herd opened 6-1 ATS, but they're just 2-3 ATS over the past five heading into the Conference USA title game.
-- The Marshall game, as well as the Iron Bowl between Alabama and Auburn, and the Rice-Louisiana Tech each featured games with at least 99 total points scored. And overall, the holiday weekend saw at least five games with a total of 94 points scored or more.
Big Five Conference Report (ACC, Big 10, Big 12, Pac-12, SEC)
-- The Atlantic Coast Conference flexed a little muscle against their more heralded brethren from the Southeastern Conference this weekend. Clemson finally ended their curse against South Carolina, 35-17. The Tigers entered 0-5 SU/ATS vs. the 'Cocks. ... As mentioned, Ga. Tech handled UGA in Athens, and Louisville also upended Kentucky by a 44-40 count, although the Wildcats halted a three-game ATS loss streak. ... Duke snapped a two-game mini funk with a 41-21 beating of Wake Forest. Despite some troubles at home recently, the Blue Devils still wrapped up the regular season 9-3 SU and a respectable 7-4-1 ATS.
-- The favorites went 4-0 SU in Big 12 play, and 3-1 ATS, with only Texas Tech earning a backdoor cover once Baylor QB Bryce Petty departed with a concussion. ... Baylor and K-State are on a collision course. The Wildcats swatted the Jayhawks in the Sunflower State battle at Bill Snyder Family Snyder by a 51-13 count, covering the weekend's largest spread. The 'Cats roll into next weekend's showdown with Baylor on an 8-1 ATS run.
-- In the bowl eligibility bowl, Illinois shocked Northwestern by a 47-33 count despite entering as a touchdown dog. The Illini squared up at 6-6 and are likely to go bowling. They're a respectable 4-2 ATS over the second half of the season after opening 1-5 ATS in the first six. ... Rutgers erased a 35-10 Maryland lead to tie the game at 38 early in the fourth quarter before eventually knocking through the game-winning field goal at 6:14. The Scarlet Knights end up 7-5, and eligible for a bowl in their first season in the Big Ten. However, they're still just 3-4 ATS over their final seven after opening 4-1 ATS in the first five.
-- Southern California flexed a little muscle against Notre Dame, polishing off the reeling Irish by a 49-14 count. The high-scoring game ended a four-game under streak for the Trojans. ... Oregon pounded Oregon State in the annual Civil War, 47-19. The Ducks continue to steamroll all comers, covering seven straight since their only setback of the season against Arizona back on Oct. 2. As fate has it, they will face the Wildcats for the Pac-12 Championship next weekend. ... Very quietly, Washington amassed eight wins this season, with their latest a 31-13 triumph at Washington State in the hotly contested Apple Cup. The Cougs weren't much of a match for the Huskies this year, falling 31-13. Washington has covered three in a row, and four of the final five, heading into their bowl game.
-- As mentioned above, the SEC had some troubles against the ACC, and for a while with 'Bama losing in the Iron Bowl, the possibility existed that the league could be on the outside looking in for the inaugural four-team playoff. That is still a possibility if Missouri can upend Alabama in Atlanta in the SEC Championship Game, especially after UGA and Mississippi State lost, and Ole Miss faltered down the stretch. ... Mizzou pulls into Atlanta having won six straight and covered four in a row, and five of the past six, including the past three as short dogs. ... Florida wound up their season 6-5 with a loss at Tallahassee. They managed a total of 11 games thanks to their opener Aug. 31 against Idaho ending up canceled due to lightning. The Gators were a team to fade early in the series, as they started just 2-4 ATS, but they wrapped up the regular campaign 4-1 ATS over their final five. The 'over' is also a trend to watch with Florida. While it didn't come through Saturday at FSU, the over hit in five of the final seven, and eight of 11 for UF this season.
Mid-Major Report
-- Order was mostly restored in the AAC, as favorites went 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS in the final weekend. Only East Carolina failed to cover Friday night at Tulsa, and just missed 49-32 with an 18.5-point number. The Pirates are 1-6 ATS over the past seven after opening 4-0 ATS in the first four. ... Cincinnati scratched out a 14-6 road win at Temple, and they have now won and covered six straight since their last setback at Miami Oct. 11.
-- In Conference USA, Alabama-Birmingham took the circuitous route to bowl eligibility, entering 1-4 SU in their five previous games before blowing up for 45 points at Southern Mississippi. UAB might not be winning regularly, but they are 3-1 ATS over their final four. The 'over' is also 4-1 over their final five regular season games. ... Louisiana Tech put an emphatic exclamation point on their regular season by hanging 76 on visiting Rice. It's unfathomable that this team lost straight up to FCS foe Northwestern State back on Sept. 20. They have won six of the past seven, and covered four of the past five, and six of the past eight. They ended the regular season 9-3 ATS.
-- Total bettors are going to miss New Mexico State of the Sun Belt, as they didn't come close to bowl eligibility. The over was 8-3 over the final 11 for the Aggies. ... Texas State roughed up Georgia State by a 54-31 count. The Panthers have lost 11 consecutive games since their opening 38-37 win against Abilene Christian back on Aug. 27 in the very first game for any team this season. They ended 1-4 ATS over the final five, too. ... Appalachian State looks good heading into next season. Despite winning its final six games, the Mountaineers aren't eligible for a bowl as they transition into FBS, although it's hard to understand why that makes sense. It's too bad App State isn't playing anymore, either, as they're 6-0 SU/4-1-1 ATS over the final six.
Bad Beats
-- Anyone who laid the three touchdowns with Ohio State was feeling rather euphoric with 3:58 to go after the Buckeyes had a scoop and score. However, Michigan scored an oh-by-the-way touchdown at 1:15 for the sneaky backdoor cover.
-- Sticking in the Big Ten, depending upon when you placed your wager, varying results came in on the total for the Michigan State-Penn State. For instance, if you had 'over' 44.5, a 34-10 final score was torture. Some had it at 43.5, and that was a beautiful final. 'Under' bettors couldn't stand seeing the final touchdown of the game at 2:49, unless they were fortunate to have that 44.5.
-- I wouldn't necessarily call it a bad beat, but if you had Auburn you were feeling good for most of the game. The Tigers were covering all the way up until the halfway point of the fourth quarter when the Tide went up by 12, and never were failing to cover again.
-- 'Over' players in the Tennessee-Vanderbilt game couldn't believe their misfortune. With a total of 49.5, over bettors were feeling good about themselves with 41 total points after three quarters. A scoreless fourth quarter splashed cold water on that positivity, however.
November 30, 2014
.
Overall Notes
COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 14 RESULTS
Wager Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 44-17
Against the Spread 31-28-2
Wager Home-Away
Straight Up 26-35
Against the Spread 26-33-2
Wager Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 36-25
The largest underdog to cash
Western Kentucky (+23.5, ML +1375) at Marshall, 67-66 in OT
The largest favorite to cash
Kansas State (-26.5) over Kansas, 51-13
Top 25 Notes
-- There was more shake-up in the Top 10 after rivalry Saturday, as three teams bit the dust. Mississippi State was upended by their rivals Mississippi, formerly of the Top 10, by a 31-17 score. The loss not only derailed the Bulldogs' chances for the SEC West crown, but effectively ended any playoff possibilities. ... Georgia also suffered another loss, this time at the hands of rival Georgia Tech in between the hedges in overtime. ... Lastly, it was UCLA getting absolutely creamed at the Rose Bowl by Stanford, 31-10. All-in-all, Top 10 teams finished 7-3 SU and just 4-6 ATS.
-- As mentioned above, Marshall was a big loser, waiting until the final weekend of November before suffering their first loss. They never were really in the consideration for a major bowl or playoff spot anyway, but they had been solid against the spread until lately. The Herd opened 6-1 ATS, but they're just 2-3 ATS over the past five heading into the Conference USA title game.
-- The Marshall game, as well as the Iron Bowl between Alabama and Auburn, and the Rice-Louisiana Tech each featured games with at least 99 total points scored. And overall, the holiday weekend saw at least five games with a total of 94 points scored or more.
Big Five Conference Report (ACC, Big 10, Big 12, Pac-12, SEC)
-- The Atlantic Coast Conference flexed a little muscle against their more heralded brethren from the Southeastern Conference this weekend. Clemson finally ended their curse against South Carolina, 35-17. The Tigers entered 0-5 SU/ATS vs. the 'Cocks. ... As mentioned, Ga. Tech handled UGA in Athens, and Louisville also upended Kentucky by a 44-40 count, although the Wildcats halted a three-game ATS loss streak. ... Duke snapped a two-game mini funk with a 41-21 beating of Wake Forest. Despite some troubles at home recently, the Blue Devils still wrapped up the regular season 9-3 SU and a respectable 7-4-1 ATS.
-- The favorites went 4-0 SU in Big 12 play, and 3-1 ATS, with only Texas Tech earning a backdoor cover once Baylor QB Bryce Petty departed with a concussion. ... Baylor and K-State are on a collision course. The Wildcats swatted the Jayhawks in the Sunflower State battle at Bill Snyder Family Snyder by a 51-13 count, covering the weekend's largest spread. The 'Cats roll into next weekend's showdown with Baylor on an 8-1 ATS run.
-- In the bowl eligibility bowl, Illinois shocked Northwestern by a 47-33 count despite entering as a touchdown dog. The Illini squared up at 6-6 and are likely to go bowling. They're a respectable 4-2 ATS over the second half of the season after opening 1-5 ATS in the first six. ... Rutgers erased a 35-10 Maryland lead to tie the game at 38 early in the fourth quarter before eventually knocking through the game-winning field goal at 6:14. The Scarlet Knights end up 7-5, and eligible for a bowl in their first season in the Big Ten. However, they're still just 3-4 ATS over their final seven after opening 4-1 ATS in the first five.
-- Southern California flexed a little muscle against Notre Dame, polishing off the reeling Irish by a 49-14 count. The high-scoring game ended a four-game under streak for the Trojans. ... Oregon pounded Oregon State in the annual Civil War, 47-19. The Ducks continue to steamroll all comers, covering seven straight since their only setback of the season against Arizona back on Oct. 2. As fate has it, they will face the Wildcats for the Pac-12 Championship next weekend. ... Very quietly, Washington amassed eight wins this season, with their latest a 31-13 triumph at Washington State in the hotly contested Apple Cup. The Cougs weren't much of a match for the Huskies this year, falling 31-13. Washington has covered three in a row, and four of the final five, heading into their bowl game.
-- As mentioned above, the SEC had some troubles against the ACC, and for a while with 'Bama losing in the Iron Bowl, the possibility existed that the league could be on the outside looking in for the inaugural four-team playoff. That is still a possibility if Missouri can upend Alabama in Atlanta in the SEC Championship Game, especially after UGA and Mississippi State lost, and Ole Miss faltered down the stretch. ... Mizzou pulls into Atlanta having won six straight and covered four in a row, and five of the past six, including the past three as short dogs. ... Florida wound up their season 6-5 with a loss at Tallahassee. They managed a total of 11 games thanks to their opener Aug. 31 against Idaho ending up canceled due to lightning. The Gators were a team to fade early in the series, as they started just 2-4 ATS, but they wrapped up the regular campaign 4-1 ATS over their final five. The 'over' is also a trend to watch with Florida. While it didn't come through Saturday at FSU, the over hit in five of the final seven, and eight of 11 for UF this season.
Mid-Major Report
-- Order was mostly restored in the AAC, as favorites went 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS in the final weekend. Only East Carolina failed to cover Friday night at Tulsa, and just missed 49-32 with an 18.5-point number. The Pirates are 1-6 ATS over the past seven after opening 4-0 ATS in the first four. ... Cincinnati scratched out a 14-6 road win at Temple, and they have now won and covered six straight since their last setback at Miami Oct. 11.
-- In Conference USA, Alabama-Birmingham took the circuitous route to bowl eligibility, entering 1-4 SU in their five previous games before blowing up for 45 points at Southern Mississippi. UAB might not be winning regularly, but they are 3-1 ATS over their final four. The 'over' is also 4-1 over their final five regular season games. ... Louisiana Tech put an emphatic exclamation point on their regular season by hanging 76 on visiting Rice. It's unfathomable that this team lost straight up to FCS foe Northwestern State back on Sept. 20. They have won six of the past seven, and covered four of the past five, and six of the past eight. They ended the regular season 9-3 ATS.
-- Total bettors are going to miss New Mexico State of the Sun Belt, as they didn't come close to bowl eligibility. The over was 8-3 over the final 11 for the Aggies. ... Texas State roughed up Georgia State by a 54-31 count. The Panthers have lost 11 consecutive games since their opening 38-37 win against Abilene Christian back on Aug. 27 in the very first game for any team this season. They ended 1-4 ATS over the final five, too. ... Appalachian State looks good heading into next season. Despite winning its final six games, the Mountaineers aren't eligible for a bowl as they transition into FBS, although it's hard to understand why that makes sense. It's too bad App State isn't playing anymore, either, as they're 6-0 SU/4-1-1 ATS over the final six.
Bad Beats
-- Anyone who laid the three touchdowns with Ohio State was feeling rather euphoric with 3:58 to go after the Buckeyes had a scoop and score. However, Michigan scored an oh-by-the-way touchdown at 1:15 for the sneaky backdoor cover.
-- Sticking in the Big Ten, depending upon when you placed your wager, varying results came in on the total for the Michigan State-Penn State. For instance, if you had 'over' 44.5, a 34-10 final score was torture. Some had it at 43.5, and that was a beautiful final. 'Under' bettors couldn't stand seeing the final touchdown of the game at 2:49, unless they were fortunate to have that 44.5.
-- I wouldn't necessarily call it a bad beat, but if you had Auburn you were feeling good for most of the game. The Tigers were covering all the way up until the halfway point of the fourth quarter when the Tide went up by 12, and never were failing to cover again.
-- 'Over' players in the Tennessee-Vanderbilt game couldn't believe their misfortune. With a total of 49.5, over bettors were feeling good about themselves with 41 total points after three quarters. A scoreless fourth quarter splashed cold water on that positivity, however.
