NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up
Saturday, January 11
5 of Saturday’s best college basketball games:
Florida (-4.5) @ Arkansas
Florida (14-1, 1-1)
KenPom rating: 5
Tempo: 78
Experience: 62
Continuity: 56
Florida’s only loss: 106-100 at Kentucky last Saturday.
Gators are 5-1 against top 100 teams, 2-1 vs top 50 teams.
Florida has #5 eFG% defense in country.
Gators are #3 team in country on offensive boards.
Florida has only one win by less than 13 points.
Arkansas (11-4, 0-2)
KenPom rating: 48
Tempo: 96
Experience: 234
Continuity: 329
Arkansas lost its first two SEC games, by 24-7 points.
Razorbacks are 2-4 against top 100 teams.
Arkansas’ best win: 89-87 over #11 Michigan.
Razorbacks are shooting 59.1% inside the arc (#12)
Arkansas is 8-0 when it allows fewer than 72 points.
Arkansas won three of last four series games.
SEC home underdogs are 2-3 ATS in conference games.
Villanova @ St John’s (-6.5)
Villanova (11-5, 4-1)
KenPom rating: 42
Tempo: 347
Experience: 23
Continuity: 249
Villanova won eight of its last nine games.
Wildcats are 3-3 against top 100 teams.
Villanova has #9 eFG% in country.
Villanova is shooting 41.4% on the arc (#4)
Wildcats are 1-3 in games outside of Philadelphia.
St John’s (13-3, 4-1)
KenPom rating: 22
Tempo: 54
Experience: 71
Continuity: 267
St John’s won eight of its last nine games.
St John’s is 5-3 vs top 100 teams.
Red Storm won its two Big East home tilts, by 28-8 points.
St John’s is shooting 14.9% on the arc in Big East games.
Red Storm is forcing turnovers 21.9% of time (#26)
St John’s beat Villanova twice LW, after Villanova had won previous six meetings.
Big East home favorites are 9-9 ATS in conference games.
San Francisco @ Santa Clara (-3.5)
San Francisco (14-4, 4-1)
KenPom rating: 68
Tempo: 209
Experience: 154
Continuity: 95
USF won nine of its last 11 D-I games.
Dons are 2-4 against top 100 teams.
USF scored 85.5 ppg in its last four games.
Dons have #59 eFG% in country.
USF is 5-3 in games decided by 9 or fewer points.
Santa Clara (11-6, 3-1)
KenPom rating: 75
Tempo: 137
Experience: 107
Continuity: 9
Santa Clara won eight of its last nine games.
Their last three games were decided by total of five points.
Broncos are 4-5 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Santa Clara is 4-5 against top 100 teams.
Broncos are shooting 55.3% inside arc (#71)
USF beat Santa Clara 97-94 in OT at home December 30.
Teams split the last six series games.
WCC home favorites are 7-9 ATS in conference games.
Boise State @ Utah State (-5.5)
Boise State (12-4, 4-1)
KenPom rating: 57
Tempo: 212
Experience: 103
Continuity: 172
Boise State won six of its last seven games.
Broncos are 2-3 vs top 100 teams (schedule #132)
Boise State is #7 team in country on defensive boards.
Broncos are shooting 56.2% inside arc (#54), 29.9% on arc (#309)
Boise State is getting 23.5% of points on foul line (#27)
Utah State (15-1, 5-0)
KenPom rating: 43
Tempo: 89
Experience: 114
Continuity: 166
Utah State is 5-0 in MW (all five wins by 7 or less points)
Aggies are 6-1 vs top 100 teams.
Utah State’s only loss: 75-73 to #60 Cal-San Diego.
Aggies are shooting 57.9% inside arc (#23)
Utah State is forcing turnovers 21.5% of time (#32)
Utah State won last four series games.
Mountain West home favorites are 3-12 ATS in conference games.
Cal-Irvine @Cal-San Diego (-5.5)
Cal-Irvine (14-2, 4-0)
KenPom rating: 63
Tempo: 87
Experience: 160
Continuity: 73
Irvine is 4-0 in Big West, scoring 84.5 ppg.
Anteaters were held to 55-54 points in their two losses.
Irvine lost its only top 100 game, 67-55 at Oregon State
Anteaters’ best win: 80-60 at #102 Northern Iowa.
Irvine has #23 eFG% defense in country.
Cal-San Diego (14-2, 4-0)
KenPom rating: 60
Tempo: 237
Experience: 291
Continuity: 120
Cal-San Diego won its last ten D-I games.
Tritons are 4-0 in Big West, scoring 87.5 ppg.
Cal-San Diego is 1-1 vs top 100 teams.
Cal-San Diego’s best win: 75-73 at #43 Utah State
Tritons are forcing turnovers 24.7% of time (#4)
Irvine won six of last eight series games (2-2 last four).
Big West home favorites are 11-6 ATS in conference games.
