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Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, August 10

National League
Cincinnati (44-65) @ NY Mets (72-39)

— Zeuch is making his first ‘22 start.
— From 2019-21, he was 2-4, 4.59 in 13 games (7 starts) for Toronto.
— under 0-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-0
— record in first 5 innings: 0-0
— He hasn’t pitched against the Mets.

— Reds are 2-4 in last six games.
— Cincinnati is 20-33 on road.
— under 13-4 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 26-109
— record in first 5 innings: 36-56-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-3.1-2.2

— Walker is 3-1, 4.15 in his last seven starts.
— Mets are 7-3 in his last 10 starts
— over 3-0 last three
— allowed run in first inning: 7-19
— record in first 5 innings: 9-5-5
— He is 1-1, 6.55 in two starts vs Cincinnati

— Mets are 14-2 in their last 16 games.
— Mets are 37-18 at home.
— under 3-1 last four games.
— scored run in first inning: 39-111
— record in first 5 innings: 61-28-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-1-2.1

Washington (37-75) @ Chicago (44-65)
— Gray is 0-2, 8.36 in his last three starts.
— Nationals are 2-7 in his last nine starts.
— under 5-2-2 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 8-20
— record in first 5 innings: 6-10-4
— He hasn’t pitched against Chicago.

— Washington lost 10 of last 13 games.
— Nationals are 20-35 on road.
— over 6-1-1 last eight games.
— scored run in first inning: 32-112
— record in first 5 innings: 29-71-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-3-3

— Steele is 1-1, 3.38 in his last three starts.
— Cubs are 8-12 in his starts.
— under 3-1-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 4-20
— record in first 5 innings: 7-8-5
— He threw 2 scoreless IP in relief vs Washington.

— Cubs lost eight of last 12 games.
— Cubs are 23-34 at home.
— under 21-8-3 last 32 games
— scored run in first inning: 37-109
— record in first 5 innings: 42-50-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-4

San Francisco (54-56) @ San Diego (61-52)
— Junis is 0-2, 3.00 in his last three starts.
— Giants are 6-4 in his starts
— under 3-1 road starts
— allowed run in first inning: 0-10
— record in first 5 innings: 6-3-1
— He is 1-0, 4.85 in two starts vs San Diego.

— Giants won three of last four games.
— San Francisco is 25-29 on road.
— over 6-3-1 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 25-110
— record in first 5 innings: 44-46-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-2-3.1

— Manaea is 1-2, 12.83 in his last three starts.
— Padres are 10-10 in his starts.
— over 14-2-1 last 17 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 8-20
— record in first 5 innings: 5-11-4
— He is 0-1, 4.50 in two starts vs San Francisco TY.

— Padres are 1-5 in last six games.
— San Diego is 32-23 at home.
— over 10-4-1 last 14 games.
— scored run in first inning: 29-111
— record in first 5 innings: 50-36-25
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-5.1-2

Miami (49-60) @ Philadelphia (61-48)
— Alcantara is 3-1, 1.90 in his last seven starts.
— Marlins are 14-8 in his starts.
— under 10-4 last 14
— allowed run in first inning: 4-22
— record in first 5 innings: 9-4-9
— He is 1-1, 2.45 in three starts vs Philly TY.

— Miami is 9-21 in its last 30 games.
— Marlins are 25-33 on road.
— under 8-1 last nine games.
— scored run in first inning: 17-109
— record in first 5 innings: 38-50-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2-3.1

— Syndergaard allowed four runs in 5 IP (79 PT) in his first Philly start.
— Philly is 1-0 in his starts.
— under 6-1-1 last eight starts
— allowed run in first inning: 6-16
— record in first 5 innings: 6-7-3
— He is 7-2, 2.25 in 13 starts vs Miami.

— Phillies are 11-1 in last 12 games.
— Philly is 31-25 at home.
— over 7-4-2 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 30-109
— record in first 5 innings: 45-45-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-3-3

St Louis (60-49) @ Colorado (49-63)
— Quintana allowed a run in 6 IP in his first St Louis start.
— St Louis is 1-0 in his starts.
— under 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 5-21
— record in first 5 innings: 9-8-4
— He is 2-3, 5.66 in six starts vs Colorado.

— Cardinals are 7-1 in their last eight games.
— St Louis is 25-29 on road.
— under 8-4 last 12 games
— scored run in first inning: 37-109
— record in first 5 innings: 50-42-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-x-5.1

— Freeland is 3-0, 2.41 in his last three starts.
— Colorado is 12-9 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four home starts
— allowed run in first inning: 7-21
— record in first 5 innings: 9-9-3
— He is 0-2, 3.12 in three starts vs St Louis.

— Colorado is 6-14 in its last 20 games.
— Rockies are 31-27 at home.
— over 6-1 last seven games.
— scored run in first inning: 32-109
— record in first 5 innings: 31-58-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-x-3.1

Pittsburgh (44-66) @ Arizona (50-59)
— Keller is 0-2, 2.25 in his last four starts.
— Pirates are 6-13 in his starts
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 6-19
— record in first 5 innings: 4-8-7
— He hasn’t pitched against Arizona.

— Pirates is 4-4 in its last eight games.
— Pittsburgh is 20-37 on road.
— over 7-4-1 last 12 games
— scored run in first inning: 20-110
— record in first 5 innings: 34-53-23
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4.1-3.1

— Bumgarner is 1-1, 5.49 in his last three starts.
— Arizona is 10-12 in his starts
— over 4-2 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 13-22
— record in first 5 innings: 7-13-2
— He is 3-6, 3.29 in 11 starts vs Pittsburgh.

— Diamondbacks are 4-1 in last five games.
— Arizona is 31-28 at home.
— over 6-2 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 33-109
— record in first 5 innings: 43-38-28
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-2-2
 

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American League
LA Angels (48-63) @ A’s (41-70)

— Toussaint is making his first ‘22 start.
— He was 3-3, 4.50 in 10 starts for Atlanta LY
— In his career, he is 10-6, 5.40 in 51 games (21 starts)
— allowed run in first inning: 0-0
— record in first 5 innings: 0-0
— He gave up two runs in 4.1 IP, in a relief stint vs Oakland.

— Angels are 6-5 in their last 11 games.
— Angels are 24-31 on road.
— under 12-4 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 33-111
— record in first 5 innings: 52-44-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-2-3

— Blackburn is 1-1, 8.79 in his last three starts.
— A’s are 2-10 in his last 12 starts
— under 10-6 last 16
— allowed run in first inning: 9-21
— record in first 5 innings: 14-7
— He is 1-0, 4.41 in three starts vs Anaheim TY.

— A’s are 2-7 in their last nine games.
— Oakland is 17-37 at home.
— under 32-16-2 last 50 games
— scored run in first inning: 26-111
— record in first 5 innings: 36-59-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-1-4

New York (71-40) @ Seattle (60-52)
— Cortes is 2-0, 1.93 in his last four starts.
— New York is 14-6 in his starts.
— over 5-3-1 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 5-20
— record in first 5 innings: 11-5-4
— He is 0-0, 4.05 in two games (1 start) vs Seattle

— New York is 1-6 in its last seven games.
— New York is 30-25 on road.
— over 21-8-1 last 30 games
— scored run in first inning: 40-111
— record in first 5 innings: 56-32-23
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-2-5.2

— Ray is 0-2, 7.82 in his last three starts.
— Seattle is 12-10 in his starts
— over 3-1 last four starts.
— allowed run in first inning: 5-22
— record in first 5 innings: 7-11-4
— He is 1-3, 4.50 in five starts vs New York.

— Mariners are 5-3 in their last eight games.
— Seattle is 30-26 at home.
— over 7-4-1 last 12 games
— scored run in first inning: 33-112
— record in first 5 innings: 44-49-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-5-5

Toronto (60-50) @ Baltimore (58-52)
— Berrios is 3-0, 3.86 in his last seven starts.
— Blue Jays are 10-3 in his last 13 starts
— over 12-5 last 17 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 8-22
— record in first 5 innings: 9-7-6
— He is 6-0, 3.05 in nine starts vs Baltimore

— Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last five games.
— Toronto is 26-29 on road.
— under 8-5 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 38-110
— record in first 5 innings: 44-42-24
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-3

— Kremer is 2-2, 4.68 in his last five starts.
— Orioles are 7-4 in his starts.
— under 7-4
— allowed run in first inning: 2-11
— record in first 5 innings: 3-5-3
— He is 0-1, 11.32 in three starts vs Toronto.

— Orioles are 23-8 in their last 31 games.
— Baltimore is 33-21 at home.
— over 7-2-1 last ten games.
— scored run in first inning: 22-110
— record in first 5 innings: 43-51-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-3.1-3.2

Cleveland (56-52) @ Detroit (43-67)
— Civale is 0-2, 4.00 in his last four starts.
— Guardians are 5-7 in his starts.
— under 3-0 last three
— allowed run in first inning: 4-12
— record in first 5 innings: 2-6-4
— He is 7-0, 1.94 in eight starts vs Detroit TY.

— Guardians are 14-8 in their last 22 games.
— Cleveland is 28-30 on road.
— over 13-8 last 21 games.
— scored run in first inning: 33-109
— record in first 5 innings: 44-44-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-1-2

— Hutchison is 0-1, 5.13 in his last five starts.
— Tigers are 3-5 in his starts
— under 4-4
— allowed run in first inning: 4-8
— record in first 5 innings: 6-2
— He is 1-0, 5.40 in two starts vs Cleveland TY.

— Tigers are 7-21 in their last 28 games.
— Detroit is 26-31 at home.
— under 10-1-1 last 12 games
— scored run in first inning: 22-111
— record in first 5 innings: 36-60-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-2-2

Texas (48-61) @ Houston (71-40)
— Otto is 0-6, 6.69 in his last eight starts.
— Texas is 5-11 in his starts.
— under 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 5-16
— record in first 5 innings: 5-11
— He is 0-1, 3.48 in two starts vs Houston TY.

— Rangers are 12-24 in last 36 games.
— Texas is 25-30 on road.
— over 9-6 last 15 road games
— scored run in first inning: 27-109
— record in first 5 innings: 38-48-23
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-5.2-3

— Verlander is 7-0, 0.94 in his last seven starts.
— Astros are 16-4 in his starts.
— under 16-4
— allowed run in first inning: 1-20
— record in first 5 innings: 13-3-4
— He is 2-0, 0.69 in two starts vs Texas TY.

— Astros are 7-5 in their last 12 games.
— Houston is 35-17 at home.
— under 16-8 last 24 games
— scored run in first inning: 38-111
— record in first 5 innings: 65-32-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-2-4

White Sox (56-54) @ Kansas City (45-66)
— Cueto is 1-1, 3.21 in his last four starts.
— White Sox are 7-7 in his starts.
— under 9-4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 3-14
— record in first 5 innings: 6-7-1
— He is 1-3, 3.82 in five starts vs Kansas City.

— White Sox are 15-9 in their last 24 games.
— Chicago is 31-25 on road.
— under 10-3-1 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 26-110
— record in first 5 innings: 47-50-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-4-5.1

— Bubic is 1-0, 3.12 in his last four starts.
— Royals are 6-11 in his starts.
— over 4-1 last five home starts
— allowed run in first inning: 7-17
— record in first 5 innings: 5-6-6
— He is 0-3, 2.91 in five starts vs Chicago.

— Kansas City won four of last six games.
— Royals are 26-32 at home.
— over 8-5 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 30-111
— record in first 5 innings: 42-51-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-5

Interleague games
Atlanta (65-46) @ Boston (54-56)

— Wright is 4-1, 4.13 in his last five starts.
— Atlanta is 10-2 in his last 12 starts.
— under 10-4 last 14
— allowed run in first inning: 5-21
— record in first 5 innings: 14-5-2
— He is 0-1, 5.40 in two starts vs Boston.

— Braves are 2-5 in their last seven games.
— Atlanta is 28-24 on road.
— over 14-5-1 last 20 games
— scored run in first inning: 33-111
— record in first 5 innings: 60-39-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.1-x-5

— Pivetta is 0-2, 8.10 in his last five starts.
— Red Sox are 11-11 in his starts.
— over 11-3 last 14
— allowed run in first inning: 7-22
— record in first 5 innings: 7-10-5
— He is 6-2, 4.84 in 13 starts vs Atlanta.

— Red Sox are 1-5 in last six games.
— Boston is 26-28 at home.
— over 19-12 last 31 games.
— scored run in first inning: 29-111
— record in first 5 innings: 42-43-26
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-3-7

Tampa Bay (57-51) @ Milwaukee (59-50)
— Springs is 1-1, 4.11 in his last three starts.
— Tampa Bay is 10-4 in his starts.
— under 3-0 last three
— allowed run in first inning: 3-14
— record in first 5 innings: 3-5-6
— He hasn’t pitched against Milwaukee

— Tampa Bay won four of last six games.
— Rays are 25-30 on road.
— under 6-3-2 last 11 games
— scored run in first inning: 31-109
— record in first 5 innings: 48-40-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6-x-4.2

— Woodruff is 4-0, 2.40 in his last seven starts.
— Milwaukee is 10-6 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 2-16
— record in first 5 innings: 10-4-2
— He is 2-0, 0.79 in two starts vs Tampa Bay.

— Brewers lost six of last eight games.
— Milwaukee is 28-22 at home.
— over 11-5-1 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 37-109
— record in first 5 innings: 49-39-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-x-4

Minnesota (57-52) @ Los Angeles (76-33)
— Gray is 2-0, 1.13 in his last three starts.
— Twins are 10-6 in his starts
— over 7-1 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 2-16
— record in first 5 innings: 9-5-2
— He is 1-3, 2.70 in four starts vs Los Angeles.

— Minnesota is 10-15 in its last 25 games.
— Twins are 26-27 on road.
— over 19-8 last 27 games
— scored run in first inning: 36-109
— record in first 5 innings: 56-38-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-x-3

— Pepiot is 1-0, 2.76 in four starts.
— Dodgers are 3-1 in his starts
— under 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Minnesota.

— Dodgers are 37-9 in their last 46 games.
— Los Angeles is 39-15 at home.
— over 5-2-1 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 41-109
— record in first 5 innings: 68-25-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4.1-2-2
 

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MLB

Wednesday, August 10


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Trend Report
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Cincinnati @ NY Mets
Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Cincinnati's last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 8 games on the road
NY Mets
NY Mets is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
NY Mets is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Tampa Bay @ Milwaukee
Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 9 games when playing Milwaukee
Tampa Bay is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Milwaukee is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay

Washington @ Chi Cubs
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Washington
Chi Cubs is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Washington

LA Angels @ Oakland
LA Angels
LA Angels is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Oakland
LA Angels is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing LA Angels
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oakland's last 8 games when playing at home against LA Angels

San Francisco @ San Diego
San Francisco
San Francisco is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games on the road
San Diego
San Diego is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego's last 7 games

NY Yankees @ Seattle
NY Yankees
NY Yankees is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games when playing on the road against Seattle
NY Yankees is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing Seattle
Seattle
Seattle is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing NY Yankees
Seattle is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games at home

Toronto @ Baltimore
Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Baltimore
Baltimore is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing Toronto

Miami @ Philadelphia
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games on the road
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Atlanta @ Boston
Atlanta
Atlanta is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Boston
Atlanta is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta

Cleveland @ Detroit
Cleveland
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Cleveland is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Detroit
Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Detroit is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland

Texas @ Houston
Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Texas's last 7 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Texas's last 12 games when playing Houston
Houston
Houston is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games when playing at home against Texas

Chi White Sox @ Kansas City
Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Chi White Sox's last 14 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Kansas City
Kansas City is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Kansas City is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

St. Louis @ Colorado
St. Louis
St. Louis is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing Colorado
Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games

Pittsburgh @ Arizona
Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Pittsburgh's last 12 games when playing on the road against Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing Arizona
Arizona
Arizona is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
Arizona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

Minnesota @ LA Dodgers
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Minnesota's last 13 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota


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Armadillo Sports

Thursday’s 6-pack

Odds to win the Fed Ex St Jude golf tournament
11-1— Rory McIlroy
16-1— Cantlay, Scheffler, Cam Smith, Thomas
18-1— Xander Schauffele
20-1— Jon Rahm
22-1— Tony Finau, Matthew Fitzpatrick
26-1— Jordan Spieth, Cameron Young, Will Zalatoris

Quote of the Day
“Your work is going to fill a large part of your life, and the only way to be truly satisfied is to do what you believe is great work. And the only way to do great work is to love what you do. If you haven’t found it yet, keep looking. Don’t settle. As with all matters of the heart, you’ll know when you find it.”
Steve Jobs

Thursday’s quiz
Brett Favre was a 2nd-round draft pick who played 20 years in the NFL; which NFL team drafted Favre?

Wednesday’s quiz
On the old Batman TV series, Burgess Meredith played the Penguin; he later played Mick, the boxing trainer in Rocky.

Tuesday’s quiz
When Kevin Durant was an NBA rookie, he played for the Seattle SuperSonics, the year before the franchise moved to Oklahoma City.

******************************

Thursday’s Den: Random facts on a summer day…….

13) St Louis Cardinals are on their 8th road trip this season (road TRIPS, not road SERIES)
— They’re 0-8 in first game of a road trip.
— They’re 8-0 in second game of a road trip.
— They’re 18-21 in all their other road games.

12) HBO’s Hard Knocks is most always fun to watch; lot of it depends on the team they’re covering, if they give good access to their more interesting personalities.

This year’s Lions’ coaching staff has over 80 years of NFL playing experience, which is kind of unusual. Playing/coaching take different skill sets; am looking forward to the rest of the shows, to see how much they focus on the current players, as opposed to coaches/front office.

11) Los Angeles Chargers haven’t won the AFC West since 2009; they’ve had five winning seasons the last nine years, but haven’t made the playoffs since 2018.

10) Odds to win the NFC East this year:
+140— Dallas
+150— Philadelphia
+525— Washington
+900— NJ Giants

9) Detroit’s Miguel Cabrera holds a major league record; he has 48 games with 4+ hits.

8) There are 299 major league ballplayers with 1,000+ RBI’s.

7) Miami Marlins scored 3 or fewer runs their last 10 games in a row.

6) breakdown on Minnesota Twins’ pitcher Joe Ryan:
— last 5 road starts, allowed 24 runs in 23.1 IP
— last 5 home starts, he has a 2.83 ERA.

5) Random fact: Andre Dawson was a Hall of Fame ballplayer; he hit 438 home runs playing for four teams, mostly Expos/Cubs. Despite batting righty and throwing righty, Dawson writes left-handed. These days, he owns a funeral home in Richmond Heights, FL.

4) Washington Commanders haven’t won a playoff game since 2005, when Joe Gibbs was their coach; they’ve lost their last five playoff games.

3) In two years with Tom Brady at QB, Buccaneers are +18 in turnovers; the two years before he got to Tampa Bay, the Bucs were minus-31 in turnovers.

2) San Francisco 49ers have four winning season the last 10 years; they made the playoffs in all four winning years- they went WWL in the playoffs all four of those years.

1) If the baseball playoffs started today (they do not):
NL: Mets, Cardinals, Dodgers. Wild Cards: Atlanta-Philly-San Diego
AL: New York, Guardians, Astros. Wild Cards: Toronto-Seattle-Balt/TB
 

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CINCINNATI is 27-49 SU (-26.9 Units) after scoring 4 runs or less 3 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

MIAMI is 140-105 Over (24.5 Units) after a one run loss since 1996.

CLEVELAND is 13-0 Under (13 Units) in road games when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.

TEXAS are 36-21 Over (12.9 Units) in road games in day games in the last 3 seasons.

KANSAS CITY is 7-0 Over (7 Units) off an upset win vs. a division rival as an underdog of +130 or higher in the current season.

COLORADO is 17-6 SU (10.4 Units) in home games after 2 straight games where they committed no errors in the current season.

ARIZONA is 17-9 SU (12.2 Units) in home games vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse in the current season.

BALTIMORE is 9-1 Over (7.9 Units) in road games after a win by 2 runs or less in the current season.
 

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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, August 11

National League
Miami (49-61) @ Philadelphia (62-48)

— Cabrera is 2-1, 2.61 in four starts.
— Marlins are 2-2 in his starts.
— over 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Philly.

— Miami is 9-22 in its last 31 games.
— Marlins are 25-34 on road.
— under 9-1 last ten games.
— scored run in first inning: 17-110
— record in first 5 innings: 39-50-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3.1-1.1

— Gibson is 2-0, 1.93 in his last two starts.
— Philly is 8-3 in his last 11 starts.
— over 2-0-2 last four home starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-21
— record in first 5 innings: 8-12-1
— He is 1-2, 5.25 in four starts vs Miami.

— Phillies are 12-1 in last 13 games.
— Philly is 32-25 at home.
— over 7-5-2 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 30-110
— record in first 5 innings: 45-46-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-3

St Louis (61-49) @ Colorado (49-64)
— Hudson is 0-2, 5.40 in his last five starts.
— St Louis is 9-11 in his starts.
— under 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 6-20
— record in first 5 innings: 7-8-5
— He is 2-2, 3.14 in five games (2 starts) vs Colorado.

— Cardinals are 8-1 in their last nine games.
— St Louis is 26-29 on road.
— under 8-5 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 38-110
— record in first 5 innings: 51-42-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-5.1-3

— Marquez is 0-2, 4.00 in his last three starts.
— Colorado is 10-11 in his starts.
— under 7-3 last 10 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 6-21
— record in first 5 innings: 6-11-4
— He is 2-1, 2.52 in six starts vs St Louis.

— Colorado is 6-15 in its last 21 games.
— Rockies are 31-28 at home.
— over 7-1 last eight games.
— scored run in first inning: 32-110
— record in first 5 innings: 31-59-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3.1-4.2

Pittsburgh (45-66) @ Arizona (50-60)
— Brubaker is 0-3, 5.13 in his last five starts.
— Pirates are 3-8 in his last 11 starts
— over 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 6-21
— record in first 5 innings: 5-13-3
— He is 1-1, 5.00 in two starts vs Arizona.

— Pirates are 5-4 in their last nine games.
— Pittsburgh is 21-37 on road.
— over 8-4-1 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 20-111
— record in first 5 innings: 35-53-23
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-3.1-3.2

— Kelly is 4-0, 1.66 in his last seven starts.
— Arizona is 11-11 in his starts
— under 5-0 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 5-22
— record in first 5 innings: 10-6-6
— He is 2-0, 3.00 in two starts vs Pittsburgh.

— Diamondbacks are 4-2 in last six games.
— Arizona is 31-29 at home.
— over 7-2 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 33-110
— record in first 5 innings: 43-39-28
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-2-3

Chicago (45-65) vs Cincinnati (44-65) (@ Field of Dreams, Iowa)
— Smyly is 2-1, 3.78 in his last three starts.
— Cubs are 5-9 in his starts.
— under 11-3
— allowed run in first inning: 2-14
— record in first 5 innings: 5-8-1
— He is 4-0, 3.41 in five starts vs Cincinnati.

— Cubs are 5-8 in their last 13 games.
— Cubs are 21-31 on road.
— under 22-8-3 last 33 games
— scored run in first inning: 37-110
— record in first 5 innings: 42-51-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4-3

— Lodolo is 1-0, 3.24 in his last three starts.
— Reds are 5-4 in his starts.
— over 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 3-9
— record in first 5 innings: 4-3-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Chicago.

— Reds are 2-5 in last seven games.
— Cincinnati is 20-34 on road.
— under 13-5 last 18 games
— scored run in first inning: 26-110
— record in first 5 innings: 36-57-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-2.2-4

American League
Cleveland (57-52) @ Detroit (43-68)

— Plesac is 0-4, 8.22 in his last five starts.
— Guardians are 7-13 in his starts.
— under 9-3 last 12
— allowed run in first inning: 6-20
— record in first 5 innings: 5-10-5
— He is 4-2, 2.25 in nine starts vs Detroit.

— Guardians are 15-8 in their last 23 games.
— Cleveland is 29-30 on road.
— over 13-9 last 22 games.
— scored run in first inning: 34-110
— record in first 5 innings: 45-44-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1-2-5

— Hill is 2-3, 5.12 in six starts.
— Tigers are 2-4 in his starts
— under 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3-1
— He gave up a run in 6 IP, in a July 4 start vs vs Cleveland.

— Tigers are 7-22 in their last 29 games.
— Detroit is 26-32 at home.
— under 11-1-1 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 22-112
— record in first 5 innings: 36-61-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-2-4

White Sox (56-55) @ Kansas City (46-66)
— Cease is 5-0, 0.59 in his last five starts.
— White Sox are 17-5 in his starts.
— under 4-2 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 5-22
— record in first 5 innings: 14-7-1
— He is 4-2, 2.69 in 11 starts vs Kansas City.

— White Sox are 15-10 in their last 25 games.
— Chicago is 31-26 on road.
— under 10-4-1 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 26-111
— record in first 5 innings: 47-51-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-5.1-2

— Greinke is 0-2, 5.30 in his last four starts.
— Royals are 5-3 in his last eight starts.
— over 8-4-1 last 13 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 2-18
— record in first 5 innings: 6-8-4
— He is 9-10, 3.94 in 27 starts vs Chicago.

— Kansas City won five of last seven games.
— Royals are 27-32 at home.
— over 9-5 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 30-112
— record in first 5 innings: 43-51-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-5-3.1

Texas (49-61) @ Houston (71-41)
— Ragans allowed an unearned run in 5 IP, in his first MLB start.
— Texas is 1-0 in his starts.
— under 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Houston.

— Rangers are 13-24 in last 37 games.
— Texas is 26-30 on road.
— over 10-6 last 16 road games
— scored run in first inning: 27-110
— record in first 5 innings: 38-48-24
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.2-3-5

— Valdez is 1-1, 4.74 in his last three starts.
— Astros are 13-9 in his starts.
— over 4-0 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 5-22
— record in first 5 innings: 10-7-5
— He is 4-2, 2.78 in seven starts vs Texas.

— Astros are 7-6 in their last 13 games.
— Houston is 35-18 at home.
— under 16-9 last 25 games
— scored run in first inning: 38-112
— record in first 5 innings: 65-32-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-4-4

Baltimore (58-52) @ Boston (54-58)
— Kremer is 2-2, 4.68 in his last five starts.
— Orioles are 7-4 in his starts.
— under 7-4
— allowed run in first inning: 2-11
— record in first 5 innings: 3-5-3
— He is 0-2, 11.74 in two starts vs Boston.

— Orioles are 23-8 in their last 31 games.
— Baltimore is 25-31 on road.
— over 7-2-1 last ten games.
— scored run in first inning: 22-110
— record in first 5 innings: 43-51-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-3.2-x

— Winckowski is 2-0, 2.70 in his last two starts.
— Red Sox are 5-5 in his starts.
— under 6-4
— allowed run in first inning: 1-10
— record in first 5 innings: 4-6
— He gave up four runs in 3 IP, in a May 28 start vs Baltimore.

— Red Sox are 1-6 in last seven games.
— Boston is 26-29 at home.
— over 20-12 last 32 games.
— scored run in first inning: 29-112
— record in first 5 innings: 42-44-26
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-7-3
 

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MLB

Thursday, August 11


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Miami @ Philadelphia
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Cleveland @ Detroit
Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Detroit
Detroit is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Detroit is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Cleveland

Texas @ Houston
Texas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Texas's last 13 games when playing Houston
Houston
Houston is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Houston's last 13 games when playing Texas

Chi White Sox @ Kansas City
Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Chi White Sox's last 15 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Chi White Sox's last 25 games when playing Kansas City
Kansas City
Kansas City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Kansas City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home

St. Louis @ Colorado
St. Louis
St. Louis is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
St. Louis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Colorado's last 7 games
Colorado is 13-4 ATS in its last 17 games at home

Pittsburgh @ Arizona
Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 10 games
Arizona
Arizona is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
Arizona is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

Baltimore @ Boston
Baltimore
Baltimore is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Baltimore is 12-2 ATS in its last 14 games on the road
Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games
Boston is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against Baltimore

Chi Cubs @ Cincinnati
Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Chi Cubs is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Cincinnati
Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Cincinnati's last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 7 games when playing Chi Cubs


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Armadillo Sports

Friday’s 6-pack
Major league leaders in RBI:
99— Aaron Judge, NYY
96— Pete Alonso, NYM
88— Jose Ramirez, Clev
87— Paul Goldschmidt, StL
81— Francisco Lindor/Trea Turner
80— CJ Cron, Colo

Stat of the Day
Ravens 23, Titans 10— Baltimore has now won 21 preseason games in a row, going 19-2 ATS in those games.

Friday’s quiz
In the movie Field of Dreams, what famous actor played Moonlight Graham?

Thursday’s quiz
Brett Favre was a 2nd-round draft pick who played 20 years in the NFL; Atlanta Falcons drafted Favre, traded him to Green Bay a year later,

Wednesday’s quiz
On the old Batman TV series, Burgess Meredith played the Penguin; he later played Mick, the boxing trainer in Rocky.

******************************

Friday’s Den: MAC football knowledge

Akron

— 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 96 starts back on offensive line; junior QB has 3 starts
— Last four years, they’re 7-35 SU
— Since 2019, they’re 5-21 ATS as an underdog.
— Last 10 years, they’re 3-9-1 ATS as a road favorite.
— 1-2 in bowls; lost last bowl 50-3, in 2017

Ball State
— 6 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 57 starts back on offensive line; junior QB has no starts, has thrown 34 passes
— Under coach Neu, Cardinals are 10-21 ATS at home.
— Since 2014, they’re 8-18 ATS as a home favorite.
— Last three years, they’re 18-15 SU, with +23 turnover ratio.
— 1-4 SU/ATS last five bowls, giving up 34 ppg.

Bowling Green
— 9 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 79 starts back on offensive line; senior QB has 17 starts
— have had six straight losing seasons (16-49 SU)
— since 2014, they’re 6-11 ATS as home favorites.
— since 2017, they’re 6-13 ATS as home underdogs.
— since 2016, they’re 17-28 ATS coming off a loss.
— lost four of last five bowls; their last bowl was in 2015.

Buffalo
— 3 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 51 starts back on offensive line; soph QB had 6 starts at Rutgers
— 1-6-1 ATS in MAC LY (22-8-1 from 2017-20)
— Last three years, Buffalo is 0-5 ATS as a road underdog.
— favorites covered four of their last five bowls
— won last two bowls, 31-9/17-10

Central Michigan
— 7 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
— 69 starts back on offensive line; soph QB has 13 starts
— 20-13 SU last three years, after going 1-11 in ’18.
— McElwain is 35-19 ATS as a favorite
— Under McElwain, Chippewas are 10-3 ATS as an underdog.
— 1-4 SU/ATS in last five bowls (underdog in all five)

Eastern Michigan
— 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 123 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB has 6 starts; one at Missouri, 5 at Troy
— last 10 years, EMU is 7-14 ATS as a home favorite.
— since 2016, they’re 20-5 ATS as a road underdog.
— lost last 4 bowls (3 of 4 by four or less points)
— EMU’s last bowl win: 1987.

Kent State
— 4 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 24 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB has no starts; he threw 24 passes LY
— Last three years, they’re 17-14 SU; were 16-55 from ’13-‘18
— since 2012, they’re 9-2 ATS as a road favorite.
— last two years, they’re 0-6 ATS as a road underdog.
— lost three of last four bowls SU
— last two bowls: won 51-41, lost 52-38

Miami OH
— 9 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 72 starts back on offensive line; junior QB 25 starts
— under coach Martin, they’re 8-4-1 ATS as a home dog.
— Last five years, they’re 4-14 ATS in non-conference games
— once 2014, they’re 29-12-1 ATS coming off a loss
— split last four bowls SU, but covered all four ATS

Northern Illinois
— 9 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 90 starts back on offensive line
— senior QB has 22 starts, 13 of them at Michigan State
— 2-5 ATS last seven games as a home underdog.
— 9-4 ATS last 13 games as a road underdog.
— 10-6 ATS last 16 games coming off a loss.
— Lost last five bowls (1-4 ATS) giving up 45.4 ppg.

Ohio U
— 5 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— have 69 starts back on offensive line; soph QB has 11 starts.
— last three years, they’re 1-7 ATS as a home favorite.
— Since 2015, they’re 12-5 ATS as a road underdog.
— 5-10 ATS last 15 games coming off a loss.
— won last three bowls, by combined score of 98-27
— favorites covered their last four bowls.

Toledo
— 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 79 starts back on offensive line; soph QB has 7 starts
— 12-6 ATS last 18 games as a road favorite.
— last three years, they’re 4-9 ATS as a home favorite.
— 4-9 ATS last 13 games as a road underdog.
— lost last four bowls SU (were favored in last three)
— gave up 32.8 ppg in those four bowl games.

Western Michigan
— 4 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 75 starts back on offensive line; new QB this year
— one of their QB’s was a walk-on at Alabama LY
— since 2017, they’re 4-9 ATS as an underdog.
— since 2017, they’re 4-8-2 ATS as a road favorite
— since 2018, they’re 8-16-1 ATS coming off a win
— 1-3 SU last four bowls (3-2 ATS last five)
 

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MIAMI is 8-0 Under (8 Units) in August games in the current season.

WASHINGTON is 51-68 SU (-23.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive road games in the last 3 seasons.

TORONTO is 12-1 Over (10.9 Units) revenging a one run loss to opponent in the current season.

NY METS are 7-1 SU (5.9 Units) in home games in August games in the current season.

TAMPA BAY is 8-1 SU (6.9 Units) in home games after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games in the current season.

DETROIT is 15-3 Under (11.7 Units) as a road underdog of +150 to +200 in the current season.

BOSTON is 16-7 SU (8.3 Units) in home games when playing with a day off in the last 3 seasons.

TEXAS are 14-27 SU (-15.7 Units) when playing with a day off in the last 3 seasons.

OAKLAND is 11-1 Over (9.9 Units) off 3 straight losses against division rivals over the last 2 seasons.

LA DODGERS are 9-0 SU (9 Units) in August games in the current season.

MILWAUKEE is 29-48 SU (-23.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive unders in the last 3 seasons.

COLORADO is 17-6 SU (10.4 Units) in home games against division opponents in the current season.

MINNESOTA is 16-38 SU (-25.8 Units) against AL West opponents in the last 3 seasons.

SAN FRANCISCO is 12-4 Over (7.6 Units) revenging a one run loss to opponent in the current season.
 

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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, August 12

National League
Atlanta (66-46) @ Miami (49-61)

— Odorizzi allowed three runs in 4.2 IP in his first start for Atlanta.
— Atlanta is 0-1 in his starts.
— under 8-3 last 11
— allowed run in first inning: 5-13
— record in first 5 innings: 7-6
— He is 3-1, 3.41 in six starts vs Miami.

— Braves are 3-5 in their last eight games.
— Atlanta is 29-24 on road.
— over 15-5-1 last 21 games
— scored run in first inning: 33-112
— record in first 5 innings: 61-39-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-3-x

— Lopez is 1-3, 7.32 in his last four starts.
— Marlins are 12-10 in his starts.
— over 9-3 last 12
— allowed run in first inning: 9-22
— record in first 5 innings: 10-8-4
— He is 3-6, 5.70 in 12 starts vs Atlanta.

— Miami is 10-22 in its last 32 games.
— Marlins are 23-28 at home.
— under 10-1 last eleven games.
— scored run in first inning: 17-111
— record in first 5 innings: 40-50-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-1.1-3.1

San Diego (62-52) @ Washington (37-76)
— Clevinger is 1-2, 3.28 in his last four starts.
— Padres are 8-4 in his starts.
— over 7-5
— allowed run in first inning: 1-12
— record in first 5 innings: 6-2-4
— He is 0-1, 9.53 in one start vs Washington.

— Padres are 2-5 in last seven games.
— San Diego is 30-27 on road.
— over 11-4-1 last 16 games.
— scored run in first inning: 29-112
— record in first 5 innings: 51-36-25
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-4-x

— Abbott is 0-1, 7.27 in two starts.
— Nationals are 1-1 in his starts.
— under 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He gave up 3 runs (1 earned) in 1.1 IP in relief vs San Diego.

— Washington lost 11 of last 14 games.
— Nationals are 17-40 at home.
— over 6-2-1 last nine games.
— scored run in first inning: 32-113
— record in first 5 innings: 30-71-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-1.2-x

Philadelphia (62-49) @ NY Mets (73-39)
— Suarez is 2-0, 2.53 in his last four starts.
— Philly is 7-2 in his last nine starts.
— over 12-4 last 16 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 6-19
— record in first 5 innings: 6-7-6
— He is 1-2, 5.09 in 10 games (3 starts) vs New York.

— Phillies are 12-2 in last 14 games.
— Philly is 30-23 on road.
— under 3-0 last three games
— scored run in first inning: 30-111
— record in first 5 innings: 45-47-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-3

— Scherzer is 2-0, 1.31 in his last three starts.
— Mets are 11-4 in his starts
— under 6-3-1 last 10 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 2-15
— record in first 5 innings: 9-2-4
— He is 2-1, 4.24 in three starts vs Philly TY

— Mets are 15-2 in their last 17 games.
— Mets are 38-18 at home.
— under 3-2 last five games.
— scored run in first inning: 40-112
— record in first 5 innings: 62-28-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-3-x

Milwaukee (60-50) @ St Louis (61-50)
— Lauer is 2-0, 1.50 in his last two starts.
— Milwaukee is 13-7 in his starts.
— over 9-6-2 last 17
— allowed run in first inning: 3-20
— record in first 5 innings: 10-4-6
— He is 1-1, 5.73 in two starts vs St Louis TY.

— Brewers lost six of last nine games.
— Milwaukee is 31-28 on road.
— over 11-6-1 last 18 games
— scored run in first inning: 38-110
— record in first 5 innings: 49-39-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-x

— Montgomery threw 5 shutout IP in his first start for St Louis.
— St Louis is 1-0 in his starts.
— over 11-4 last 15
— allowed run in first inning: 5-22
— record in first 5 innings: 8-9-5
— He is 0-0, 4.15 in one start vs Milwaukee.

— Cardinals are 8-2 in their last ten games.
— St Louis is 35-20 at home.
— over 4-0 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 38-111
— record in first 5 innings: 51-42-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.1-3-3

Arizona (51-60) @ Colorado (50-64)
— Davies is 0-2, 5.50 in his last four starts.
— Arizona is 6-11 in his starts
— over 3-0 last three
— allowed run in first inning: 6-17
— record in first 5 innings: 5-6-6
— He is 0-0, 0.00 in two starts (11.1 IP) vs Colorado TY.

— Diamondbacks are 5-2 in last seven games.
— Arizona is 19-31 on road.
— over 8-2 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 33-111
— record in first 5 innings: 43-40-28
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3-4

— Senzatela is 0-3, 5.12 in his last six starts.
— Colorado is 3-9 in his last 12 starts.
— under 6-3 last nine starts
— allowed run in first inning: 6-17
— record in first 5 innings: 6-10-1
— He is 0-1, 5.00 in two starts vs Arizona TY.

— Colorado is 7-15 in its last 22 games.
— Rockies are 32-28 at home.
— over 8-1 last nine games.
— scored run in first inning: 32-111
— record in first 5 innings: 31-59-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-4.2-3

Pittsburgh (45-67) @ San Francisco (54-57)
— Wilson is 1-1, 4.05 in his last four starts.
— Pirates are 7-5 in his starts
— over 5-2-1 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 8-12
— record in first 5 innings: 6-4-2
— He hasn’t pitched against San Francisco.

— Pirates are 5-5 in their last ten games.
— Pittsburgh is 21-38 on road.
— over 9-4-1 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 20-112
— record in first 5 innings: 36-53-23
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-3.2-3

— Rodon is 2-0, 0.73 in his last two starts.
— Giants are 10-12 in his starts
— over 3-1 last four starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-22
— record in first 5 innings: 12-8-2
— He is 2-1, 4.32 in three starts vs Pittsburgh.

— Giants won three of last five games.
— San Francisco is 29-27 at home.
— over 7-3-1 last 11 games
— scored run in first inning: 25-111
— record in first 5 innings: 44-47-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3.1-5.2

American League
Cleveland (58-52) @ Toronto (60-50)

— Quantrill is 4-0, 4.19 in his last six starts.
— Guardians are 7-13 in his starts.
— over 11-1-1 last 13
— allowed run in first inning: 3-20
— record in first 5 innings: 10-6-4
— He is 1-0, 4.50 in one start vs Toronto.

— Guardians are 16-8 in their last 24 games.
— Cleveland is 30-30 on road.
— under 4-0-1 last five games.
— scored run in first inning: 34-111
— record in first 5 innings: 46-44-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-5-3.2

— Berrios is 3-0, 3.86 in his last seven starts.
— Blue Jays are 10-3 in his last 13 starts
— over 12-5 last 17 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 8-22
— record in first 5 innings: 9-7-6
— He is 5-4, 4.13 in 16 starts vs Cleveland.

— Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last five games.
— Toronto is 34-21 at home.
— under 8-5 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 38-110
— record in first 5 innings: 44-42-24
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-x

Baltimore (58-53) @ Tampa Bay (58-52)
— Voth is 2-0, 3.00 in his last four starts (18 IP).
— Orioles are 6-2 in his starts.
— under 4-4
— allowed run in first inning: 0-8
— record in first 5 innings: 6-1-1
— He is 0-0, 1.69 in two starts vs Tampa Bay TY.

— Orioles are 23-9 in their last 32 games.
— Baltimore is 25-32 on road.
— over 7-3-1 last eleven games.
— scored run in first inning: 22-111
— record in first 5 innings: 43-52-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-x-2.1

— Kluber is 4-1, 4.63 in his last six starts.
— Tampa Bay is 5-1 in his last six starts.
— over 5-2-1 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 4-21
— record in first 5 innings: 9-11-1
— He is 1-2, 4.81 in five starts vs Baltimore TY.

— Tampa Bay are 4-3 in their last seven games.
— Rays are 33-21 at home.
— under 7-3-2 last 12 games
— scored run in first inning: 31-110
— record in first 5 innings: 48-40-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-4-x

Detroit (43-70) @ White Sox (56-56)
— bullpen game

— Tigers are 7-23 in their last 30 games.
— Detroit is 17-37 on road.
— under 12-1-1 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 22-113
— record in first 5 innings: 36-62-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-4-5

— Kopech is 0-2, 5.06 in his last two starts.
— White Sox are 8-12 in his starts.
— under 7-1-1 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 9-19
— record in first 5 innings: 7-11-1
— He is 0-0, 2.89 in two starts vs Detroit TY.

— White Sox are 15-11 in their last 26 games.
— Chicago is 25-29 at home.
— under 10-5-1 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 26-112
— record in first 5 innings: 47-52-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.1-2-2

New York (71-41) @ Boston (55-58)
— German is 1-1, 2.70 in his last two starts.
— New York is 1-3 in his starts.
— under 2-1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3
— He is 2-2, 4.04 in eight starts vs Boston

— New York is 1-7 in its last eight games.
— New York is 30-26 on road.
— over 21-9-1 last 31 games
— scored run in first inning: 40-112
— record in first 5 innings: 56-32-24
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-5.2-2

— Eovaldi is 1-1, 8.17 in his last five starts.
— Red Sox are 8-9 in his starts.
— over 4-1 last five home starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-17
— record in first 5 innings: 5-6-6
— He is 0-0, 5.59 in two starts vs New York TY.

— Red Sox are 2-6 in last eight games.
— Boston is 27-29 at home.
— over 20-13 last 33 games.
— scored run in first inning: 30-113
— record in first 5 innings: 43-44-26
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 7-3-3.1

Seattle (61-52) @ Texas (49-62)
— Kirby is 1-0, 2.05 in his last five starts.
— Seattle is 9-6 in his starts
— under 4-1 last five starts.
— allowed run in first inning: 6-15
— record in first 5 innings: 5-6-4
— He is 0-0, 1.64 in two starts vs Texas TY.

— Mariners are 6-3 in their last nine games.
— Seattle is 30-26 on road.
— over 4-1-1 last six road games
— scored run in first inning: 33-113
— record in first 5 innings: 44-49-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-5-2.2

— Texas hasn’t named a starter.

— Rangers are 13-25 in last 38 games.
— Texas is 23-31 at home.
— over 4-0 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 27-111
— record in first 5 innings: 38-49-24
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-5-3.2

A’s (41-71) @ Houston (72-41)
— Oller is 1-5, 9.08 in eight starts.
— A’s are 2-6 in his starts
— over 5-3
— allowed run in first inning: 5-8
— record in first 5 innings: 1-7
— He is 1-0, 6.75 in two starts vs Houston TY.

— A’s are 2-8 in their last ten games.
— Oakland is 24-33 on road.
— under 32-17-2 last 51 games
— scored run in first inning: 26-112
— record in first 5 innings: 36-59-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1-4-4.2

— Garcia is 0-3, 5.30 in his last three starts.
— Astros are 12-8 in his starts.
— over 6-3-1 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 7-20
— record in first 5 innings: 12-7-1
— He is 1-1, 3.05 in four starts vs Oakland.

— Astros are 8-6 in their last 14 games.
— Houston is 36-18 at home.
— under 16-10 last 26 games
— scored run in first inning: 38-113
— record in first 5 innings: 66-32-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4-2

Minnesota (57-53) @ LA Angels (49-63)
— Mahle gave up four runs in six IP in his first Minnesota start.
— Twins are 1-0 in his starts
— over 4-2 last six starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-20
— record in first 5 innings: 10-8-2
— He is 0-1, 7.20 in one start vs Anaheim.

— Minnesota is 10-16 in its last 26 games.
— Twins are 26-28 on road.
— over 20-8 last 28 games
— scored run in first inning: 36-110
— record in first 5 innings: 56-38-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3-3.1

— Sandoval is 0-1, 1.59 in his last two starts.
— Angels are 2-9 in his last 11 starts
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 5-18
— record in first 5 innings: 9-7-2
— He is 1-0, 1.04 in one start vs Minnesota.

— Angels are 7-5 in their last 12 games.
— Angels are 24-32 at home.
— under 12-5 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 33-112
— record in first 5 innings: 52-44-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3-5

Interleague games
Los Angeles (77-33) @ Kansas City (47-66)

— Gonsolin is 2-0, 2.70 in his last two starts.
— Dodgers are 16-4 in his starts
— under 8-3-1 last 12
— allowed run in first inning: 2-20
— record in first 5 innings: 14-2-4
— He hasn’t pitched against Kansas City.

— Dodgers are 38-9 in their last 47 games.
— Los Angeles is 37-18 on road.
— over 6-2-1 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 41-110
— record in first 5 innings: 68-25-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-2-4.2

— Lynch is 1-1, 4.24 in his last five starts.
— Royals are 4-2 in his last six starts.
— under 7-3 last 10 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 6-17
— record in first 5 innings: 9-7-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Los Angeles.

— Kansas City won six of last eight games.
— Royals are 28-32 at home.
— over 10-5 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 30-113
— record in first 5 innings: 44-51-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-3.1-2.1
 

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Messages
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MLB

Friday, August 12


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Trend Report
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Atlanta @ Miami
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games at home

San Diego @ Washington
San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing Washington
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing at home against San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing San Diego

Cleveland @ Toronto
Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games

Detroit @ Chi White Sox
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Detroit's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games at home

Baltimore @ Tampa Bay
Baltimore
Baltimore is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Baltimore is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Tampa Bay is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games

NY Yankees @ Boston
NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 5 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
Boston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Yankees

Philadelphia @ NY Mets
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Philadelphia is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
NY Mets
NY Mets is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
NY Mets is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Seattle @ Texas
Seattle
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Texas
Texas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games when playing Seattle

Oakland @ Houston
Oakland
Oakland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Houston
Oakland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Houston
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 8 games when playing Oakland
Houston is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games at home

LA Dodgers @ Kansas City
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
LA Dodgers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Kansas City
Kansas City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Kansas City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games

Milwaukee @ St. Louis
Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games on the road
Milwaukee is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
St. Louis
St. Louis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
St. Louis is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home

Arizona @ Colorado
Arizona
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Arizona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Colorado's last 8 games
Colorado is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Arizona

Minnesota @ LA Angels
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Minnesota's last 14 games on the road
LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Angels's last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
LA Angels is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games

Pittsburgh @ San Francisco
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games
San Francisco is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games when playing Pittsburgh


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Messages
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Armadillo Sports

Saturday’s 6-pack

Over/under win totals for SEC football:
2.5— Vanderbilt (under -140)
5.5— Missouri (under -130)
6— South Carolina (over -150)
6— Auburn (over -120)
6.5— LSU (over -120)
6.5— Mississippi State (over -120)

Quote of the Day
“It felt like a college atmosphere. Definitely not normal. I could visibly see a horse from shortstop pretty easily.”
Nico Hoerner, on playing in the Field of Dreams game Thursday

Saturday’s quiz
Other than Bill Belichick, which NFL head coach has been in his current job the longest?

Friday’s quiz
In the movie Field of Dreams, Burt Lancaster played Moonlight Graham.

Thursday’s quiz
Brett Favre was a 2nd-round draft pick who played 20 years in the NFL; Atlanta Falcons drafted Favre, traded him to Green Bay a year later.

******************************

Saturday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here……..

— Wynton Bernard played CF for the Colorado Rockies Friday, his major league debut after playing in the minor leagues for 11 years, 863 games for four different organizations. He was playing in an independent league two years ago. Can you imagine how freakin’ excited he was to actually be in a major league game?

Bernard went 1-3 in his first MLB game, with a stolen base and a run scored.

— More good news; this week, a friend of mine’s mom had an interview to become an American citizen. She passed the test and next month she will be sworn in as an American citizen, after living here since 1965.

There are lot of people in our country now who seem to want to ruin it; here is a person who can’t wait to become a citizen, so she can vote in November. Congratulations, Doris!!!

— NFL preseason games are fun to watch and all, but if you think teams really want to win those games, that’s not always true.

Thursday night in Foxboro, Patriots lead the Giants 21-20 with 1:55 left; Giants had the ball on New England’s 12-yard line, 1st-and-10.

In a game that mattered, the Giants would run the ball three times, Patriots would call three timeouts, Giants would kick a field goal and New England would have 1:30 or so to rally.

In this game, Giants ran the ball three times, Patriots called no timeouts, Giants kicked a field goal at the gun, and everyone went home.

Preseason games are played for two reasons:
1) make $$$ from ticket sales
2) evaluate players further down the roster

— Exception here seems to be the Baltimore Ravens, who have won 21 preseason games in a row, are 19-2 ATS in those games.

Does it translate to the regular season? Ravens are 5-1 ATS in their last six season openers, 5-1 ATS in last six home openers.

— San Diego Padres’ star Fernando Tatis was suspended 80 games for PED’s, which ends his season; he will also miss the first 32 games next season. Tatis hasn’t played at all this season because of a broken wrist.

By my calculations, the suspension will cost Tatis $3,214,814 in salary— he was supposed to make $5.71M this year, $7.71M next year.

— One of more underrated aspects of NFL offenses is which voice is in the quarterback’s ear; the QB has an earpiece in his helmet, which turns off when the :40 second clock hits :15. Maybe this is why younger QB’s can play sooner in their career than they used to- they can be coached for :25 after every play.

As a Rams’ fan, I’ll never say anything bad about Jared Goff; he won an NFC title game on the road in New Orleans, was 44-23 as a quarterback when Sean McVay was the voice in his ear.

Goff is 3-17-1 otherwise; 0-7 in his rookie year, 3-10-1 with Detroit LY. They were saying on the Lions’ preseason game Friday that they haven’t decided who is calling plays this year, which is odd. Ben Johnson is the 36-year old rookie offensive coordinator for Detroit.

— We mentioned this a few weeks ago, and it still holds; Los Angeles Dodgers are 78-33 this year, with only eight one-run wins (8-9). So if you bet the Dodgers, is it smart to lay 1.5 runs instead of just playing the money line?

— Detroit Tigers fired GM Al Avila, with Detroit 43-71 this season, despite having a payroll of $113M- they’re paying Javier Baez $20M, Eduardo Rodriguez $14M. Aging star Miguel Cabrera is making $32M this year and next; lot of $$ for not a lot of production.

In 2017, Avila traded Detroit’s catcher to the Cubs; the catcher was Alex Avila, his son. Wonder what Mrs Avila had to say about that.

— Speaking of the Tigers, in their game with Cleveland Thursday, the base umpires had a rough time. In the first 3.5 innings, teams challenged three calls on the bases; all three calls were overturned. The dugout reporter on TV said the first base ump was getting hammered by fans near the first base dugout.

— Minnesota Vikings QB Kirk Cousins tested positive for COVID, didn’t make the trip to Las Vegas for the Vikings’ first preseason game. Cousins is unvaccinated, which complicates things a little bit.

— NBA is retiring #6 from now on for all teams, to honor the late Bill Russell; players who currently wear #6 can still wear it, but teams can no longer issue #6 to a player. Last year, 25 NBA players wore number 6, including Lebron James.

— NIT basketball tournament has most always had its Final Four in Madison Square Garden, but this winter the semis/finals will be in Las Vegas— they’ll be in Hinkle Fieldhouse in 2024, where the climactic scenes of Hoosiers were filmed, in Indianapolis.

— Michigan State basketball coach Tom Izzo signed a 5-year, $31M contract extension.

— I’m not a huge fan of the movie Field of Dreams; much prefer Kevin Costner’s other baseball movies, but MLB has gone all-in on promoting games in the Iowa cornfield.

I’m curious if MLB would consider playing an All-Star Game in Iowa; the Home Run Derby would be tremendous!!! Even if they had two All-Star Games in one season- they actually did that from 1959-62.

Maybe the Futures Game would work in Iowa; having regular season games there seems like a lot of work for not much return.

— Angels are 9-52 this season when they allow 4+ runs, 40-12 when they do not.

— Astros’ OF Michael Brantley had shoulder surgery, is out for the season.

— Jets QB Zach Wilson hurt his right knee Friday; his backups are Joe Flacco, Mike White. If Wilson’s injury is severe, would the Jets deal for Jimmy Garoppolo? Jets’ coach Saleh came to New Jersey from the 49ers, as did OC LaFleur.
 

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Messages
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MIAMI is 9-0 Under (9 Units) in August games in the current season.

CLEVELAND is 20-8 Under (11.2 Units) after allowing 4 runs or less 5 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

KEVIN CASH is 49-29 SU (17.1 Units) in home games after batting .200 or worse over a 5 game span (Manager of TAMPA BAY)

CINCINNATI is 27-50 SU (-28 Units) after scoring 4 runs or less 3 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

WASHINGTON is 148-188 SU (-58.8 Units) in all games in the last 3 seasons.

PHILADELPHIA is 10-1 SU (8.9 Units) in road games after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better in the current seas...

ATLANTA is 10-21 SU (-13.1 Units) in road games when playing on Saturday in the last 3 seasons.

DETROIT is 15-3 Under (11.7 Units) as a road underdog of +150 to +200 in the current season.

HOUSTON is 22-39 SU (-20.9 Units) when playing on Saturday in the last 3 seasons.

LA DODGERS are 9-0 SU (9 Units) in August games in the current season.

ST LOUIS are 204-114 SU (78.6 Units) in home games as an underdog of +100 or higher since 1996.

NY YANKEES are 41-63 SU (-28.3 Units) as a road favorite of -125 or more in the last 3 seasons.

TEXAS are 14-27 SU (-15.7 Units) when playing with a day off in the last 3 seasons.

ARIZONA is 29-46 SU (-21.6 Units) in road games against division opponents in the last 3 seasons.

PITTSBURGH is 82-89 SU (-15.9 Units) in road games in all games in the last 3 seasons.

MINNESOTA is 16-38 SU (-25.8 Units) against AL West opponents in the last 3 seasons.
 

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