Cnotes 2022-2023 nhl trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

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SAN JOSE is 11-6 ATS (4.4 Units) in road games after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

BOSTON is 12-0 ATS (12 Units) at home when the total is >=6 in the current season.

PITTSBURGH is 17-21 ATS (-6.1 Units) after 2 or more consecutive unders in the last 3 seasons.

PHILADELPHIA is 8-2 ATS (5.8 Units) in home games when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.

ANAHEIM is 23-54 ATS (-36.4 Units) after playing a home game in the last 3 seasons.

COLORADO is 21-4 ATS (16.6 Units) after 3 straight games with 33 or more shots on goal over the last 2 seasons.

FLORIDA is 9-0 Over (9 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more in the current season.

WASHINGTON is 113-99 ATS (4.1 Units) in road games after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.

SEATTLE is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) on the road when the total is >=6 in the current season.
 

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NHL

Tuesday, November 29


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Tampa Bay @ Boston
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
Tampa Bay is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Boston is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games

San Jose @ Montreal
San Jose
San Jose is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Montreal
San Jose is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Montreal's last 10 games when playing at home against San Jose
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 6 games when playing San Jose

Carolina @ Pittsburgh
Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Carolina's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 6 games on the road
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games

NY Islanders @ Philadelphia
NY Islanders
NY Islanders is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Philadelphia
NY Islanders is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Islanders
Philadelphia is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing NY Islanders

Anaheim @ Nashville
Anaheim
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Anaheim's last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Anaheim's last 6 games on the road
Nashville
Nashville is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Anaheim
Nashville is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Colorado @ Winnipeg
Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Colorado's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Colorado's last 7 games
Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 6 games when playing Colorado

Florida @ Calgary
Florida
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida's last 5 games
Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Calgary's last 8 games when playing at home against Florida
Calgary is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Florida

Washington @ Vancouver
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing on the road against Vancouver
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Vancouver
Vancouver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vancouver's last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
Vancouver is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

Seattle @ Los Angeles
Seattle
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
Los Angeles is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Seattle


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NHL
Dunkel

Tuesday, November 29


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TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 29

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
CAR at PIT07:00 PMCAR +106
O 6.0
+500 +500
TB at BOS07:00 PMBOS -171
O 6.5
+500 +500
SJ at MON07:00 PMSJ -105
U 6.5
+500 +500
NYI at PHI07:30 PMNYI -190
O 5.5
+500 +500
ANA at NAS08:00 PMANA +204
O 6.5
+500 +500
COL at WIN08:00 PMCOL -137
O 6.0
+500 +500
FLA at CAL09:00 PMFLA +130
O 6.5
+500 +500
WAS at VAN10:00 PMWAS +109
O 6.5
+500 +500
SEA at LA10:30 PMSEA +111
U 6.5
+500 +500
 

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NOVEMBER'S NHL OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

11/29/2022................7-11-0....................38.88%....................- 28.75
11/28/2022.................4-7-1.....................37.50%....................- 17.00
11/27/2022.................6-4-0.....................60.00%....................+ 7.20
11/26/2022.................8-8-0.....................50.00%....................- 11.75
11/25/2022...............12-12-0...................50.00%.....................- 3.20
11/23/2022...............17-13-0...................56.66%...................+ 11.65
11/22/2022................3-1-0.......................75.00%................. ..+ 9.50
11/21/2022...............14-6-0......................70.00%................ .+ 42.35
11/20/2022................4-0-0.....................100.00%................. .+26.80
11/19/2022..............16-14-0....................53.33%.................... + 2.85
11/18/2022..................1-1-0....................50.00%....................- 00.00
11/17/2022..............10-16-0....................38.46%.....................-38.10
11/16/2022..................3-3-0....................50.00%......................- 2.80
11/15/2022................10-8-0....................55.56%....................+12 .65
11/14/2022.................2-6-0.....................25.00%.....................- 19.00
11/13/2022.................7-3-0.....................70.00%.....................+ 25.15
11/12/2022.............10-16-0.....................38.46%.....................- 26.50
11/10/2022...............12-8-0....................60.00%.....................+ 24.95
11/09/2022.................5-3-0....................62.50%.....................+ 11.90
11/08/2022...............10-9-3....................52.27%.......................- 5.55
11/07/2022................2-4-0.....................33.33%.....................- 13.30
11/06/2022................4-2-0.....................66.67%....................+ 12.55
11/05/2022...............7-21-0....................25.00%......................-70.95
11/03/2022...............9-16-1....................36.00%......................-37.50
11/02/2022.................3-1-0....................75.00%.....................+1 0.15
11/01/2022.............11-13-0....................45.83%.....................- 14.15

TOTALS.............199-211-6....................48.53%.....................- 132.75


BEST BETS

11/29/2022...................5-9-0....................35.71%................- 27.70
11/28/2022...................2-6-1....................25.00%................- 31.50
11/27/2022...................4-3-0....................57.14%.................+ 7.20
11/26/2022...................3-5-0....................37.50%................- 10.65
11/25/2022...................4-9-0....................30.76%................- 18.70
11/23/2022...................8-7-0...................53.33%.................+ 17.00
11/22/2022...................3-1-0...................75.00%...................+ 9.50
11/21/2022...................9-2-0...................81.81%..................+39.50
11/20/2022...................4-0-0.................100.00%..................+26.80
11/19/2022.................5-10-0..................33.33%...................- 30.11
11/18/2022...................1-1-0..................50.00%...................- 00.00
11/17/2022...................5-6-0..................45.45%.....................- 4.00
11/16/2022...................2-2-0..................50.00%.....................- 2.80
11/15/2022...................6-6-0..................50.00%....................+ 3.20
11/14/2022...................1-5-0.................16.66%....................- 18.50
11/13/2022...................5-3-0...................62.50%.................+ 15.15
11/12/2022.................3-10-0...................23.07%..................- 35.00
11/11/2022...................2-2-1...................50.00%....................- 0.50
11/10/2022................10-4-0....................71.42%..................+ 36.45
11/09/2022..................3-3-0....................50.00%....................+ 5.90
11/08/2022..................9-6-1....................60.00%..................+ 15.50
11/07/2022..................2-3-0....................40.00%.....................- 5.45
11/06/2022..................3-2-0....................60.00%.....................+ 7.55
11/05/2022................5-10-0....................33.33%.....................-47.70
11/03/2022..................8-9-1....................47.05%......................- 6.25
11/02/2022..................3-1-0....................75.00%.....................+1 015
11/01/2022..................4-9-0....................30.76%....................- 21.95

TOTALS..............119-134-4....................47.03%.....................- 51.75
 

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Wednesday’s 6-pack

Odds to win the Super Bowl
+400— Kansas City
+450— Buffalo
+600— Philadelphia
+625— San Francisco
+900— Dallas
+1400— Miami

Quote of the Day
“It’s going back to that quarterback fight. I look at it like Manning and Brady. You can’t stop them. It comes down to whoever excels and takes advantage of their opportunities and drives and scores points. These are the types of games that we have to take care of the football and not turn it over.”
Bengals WR Tyler Boyd, talking about the Mahomes-Burrow QB rivalry

Wednesday’s quiz
Kelsey Grammer played Frasier Crane on Cheers and also Frasier; in what city did Frasier take place?

Tuesday’s quiz
Aaron Rodgers played his college football at California.

Monday’s quiz
Ron Jaworski was the Philadelphia Eagles’ QB, the first time they played in a Super Bowl.

***************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..

— If you’re running the Green Bay Packers, what do you do with your 4-8 team?

Do you still play 38-year old Aaron Rodgers, who hurt his oblique Sunday night and is also playing with a broken bone in his hand?

Or do you do play 3rd-year QB Jordan Love, their first round pick in 2020? At some point, they need to decide whether to sign Love to a new contract; this is his third year. The decision has to be made after the 2023 season; the way Love played Sunday night in Philly, his services will be in demand when the time comes.

Interesting decision, when to say goodbye to a legend.

Virginia 70, Michigan 68
Michigan led by 11 early in second half.
Slow-paced game, only 62 possessions.
Virginia was 12-19 on foul line, Michigan 8-10. In Ann Arbor.

Marquette 96, Baylor 70
Impressive performance by the 5.5-point home underdog.
Marquette led 51-25 at halftime. 51-25.
Marquette scored 1.39 points/possession, shooting 12-25 on the arc.

Clemson 101, Penn State 94, 2OT
Penn State led by 10 late in first half.
Clemson led by 10 with 7:22 left in game.
Clemson was 11-21 on the arc, Penn State 11-36.

Missouri 88, Wichita State 84, OT
Wichita led by 10 with 5:15 left; they were 6-14 on foul line.
Shockers turned ball over 20 times, Missouri 8.

Illinois 73, Syracuse 44
Syracuse is 3-4, with losses to Colgate/Bryant. Not good.

— Was going to post some notes about college quarterbacks transferring, but then I remembered that a lot of backup QB’s transfer. A twist of the old Garry Templeton line: “If I ain’t starting, then I’ll be departing”

Michigan has a shot at the national title this year, but backup QB Cade McNamara is gone to the transfer portal. He has two years of eligibility left; he is from Reno, would Nevada be an option?

— San Diego Toreros are 5-3 this year under new coach Steve Lavin, who went 226-133 in 12 years at UCLA/St John’s. He made the NCAA’s six times in seven years at UCLA, twice in five years at St John’s.

San Diego is a much tougher job; Toreros haven’t been in NCAA’s since 2008, but the weather is really nice. Lavin did a TV gig in between his coaching stops; I enjoyed his work- he seems like a genuinely nice person. Hope the Toreros win lot of games the next few years.

— Detroit Mercy guard Antoine Davis is in his fifth year of college ball; he’s scored 2,897 points in his career, is a lock to become the 11th player ever to score 3,000 points.

Odd fact: when he gets to #11 on the all-time list, it’ll mean that three of the top 11 scorers ever played for their father in college. Mike Davis coaches in Detroit; Pete Maravich and Doug McDermott also played for their dads in college, at LSU/Creighton.

— UAB is expected to hire former NFL QB Trent Dilfer as its new football coach; he spent the last four years coaching high school ball in Tennessee, going 38-8.

Dilfer played 14 years in the NFL for five different teams; he won a Super Bowl with the 2000 Ravens, later made a Pro Bowl with Tampa Bay. He worked as an analyst for ESPN and FOX before he took on the coaching gig in Nashville.

— San Francisco 49ers outscored their last four opponents 54-0 in the second half.

In their last eight games, Dallas Cowboys outscored opponents 130-45 in second half.

— Minnesota Timberwolves’ star Karl Anthony Towns is out 4-6 weeks with a calf injury.

— So far this season, there have been six times where a team played Lakers/Clippers back/back at the Crypto com Arena (Staples Center). Either back/back nights or two games in three nights.

First game, the visiting team is 4-2 ATS; all six games stayed under the total.

Second game, the visiting team is 1-5 ATS; five of the six games went over.

— Washington Nationals signed two free agents:
Jeimer Candelario, a 29-year old 3B who played seven years for Detroit.
Stone Garrett, a 27-year old OF who hit .276 in 27 games for Arizona LY.

— Hugh Freeze’s move to Auburn is vaguely similar to Ed Orgeron’s hiring by LSU.

Orgeron coached Ole Miss from 2005-07, going 10-25, 3-21 in SEC games.
Freeze coached Ole Miss from 2012-16, going 39-25, 19-21 SEC games.

Orgeron moved on to the Saints, Tennessee Vols, USC and finally to LSU; he went 6-2 as interim coach at USC, after Lane Kiffin was fired in 2013.
Freeze went off the grid for two years, then surfaced at Liberty, where he went 34-15 in four years, rehabilitating his career. His QB last year was Malik Willis, who is now a rookie with the Tennessee Titans.

Orgeron went 51-20 at LSU, 31-17 in SEC games; he won the national title in 2019, with Joe Burrow as his QB.
Will Freeze be able to match Orgeron’s success at his second SEC stop?
 

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OTTAWA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games after 2 consecutive non-conference games in the last 3 seasons.

SAN JOSE is 12-6 ATS (5.4 Units) in road games after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

BUFFALO is 14-7 ATS (6.3 Units) off a close home loss by 1 goal in the last 3 seasons.

EDMONTON is 28-12 Over (14.8 Units) off an home win scoring 4 or more goals in the last 3 seasons.




NHL

Wednesday, November 30


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Buffalo @ Detroit
Buffalo
Buffalo is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Detroit
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

NY Rangers @ Ottawa
NY Rangers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Rangers's last 5 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Rangers's last 5 games on the road
Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Rangers
Ottawa is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against NY Rangers

San Jose @ Toronto
San Jose
San Jose is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
San Jose is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Toronto
Toronto is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

Edmonton @ Chicago
Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games
Chicago
Chicago is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Edmonton
Chicago is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Edmonton


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 30

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
NYR at OTT07:00 PMNYR -102
O 6.5
+500 +500
BUF at DET07:00 PMBUF +116
O 6.5
+500 +500
SJ at TOR07:00 PMSJ +244
U 6.5
+500 +500
EDM at CHI09:30 PMEDM -212
U 6.5
+500 +500
 

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NOVEMBER'S NHL OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

11/30/2022................3-3-0......................50.00%....................- 1.50
11/29/2022................7-11-0....................38.88%....................- 28.75
11/28/2022.................4-7-1.....................37.50%....................- 17.00
11/27/2022.................6-4-0.....................60.00%....................+ 7.20
11/26/2022.................8-8-0.....................50.00%....................- 11.75
11/25/2022...............12-12-0...................50.00%.....................- 3.20
11/23/2022...............17-13-0...................56.66%...................+ 11.65
11/22/2022................3-1-0.......................75.00%................. ..+ 9.50
11/21/2022...............14-6-0......................70.00%................ .+ 42.35
11/20/2022................4-0-0.....................100.00%................. .+26.80
11/19/2022..............16-14-0....................53.33%.................... + 2.85
11/18/2022..................1-1-0....................50.00%....................- 00.00
11/17/2022..............10-16-0....................38.46%.....................-38.10
11/16/2022..................3-3-0....................50.00%......................- 2.80
11/15/2022................10-8-0....................55.56%....................+12 .65
11/14/2022.................2-6-0.....................25.00%.....................- 19.00
11/13/2022.................7-3-0.....................70.00%.....................+ 25.15
11/12/2022.............10-16-0.....................38.46%.....................- 26.50
11/10/2022...............12-8-0....................60.00%.....................+ 24.95
11/09/2022.................5-3-0....................62.50%.....................+ 11.90
11/08/2022...............10-9-3....................52.27%.......................- 5.55
11/07/2022................2-4-0.....................33.33%.....................- 13.30
11/06/2022................4-2-0.....................66.67%....................+ 12.55
11/05/2022...............7-21-0....................25.00%......................-70.95
11/03/2022...............9-16-1....................36.00%......................-37.50
11/02/2022.................3-1-0....................75.00%.....................+1 0.15
11/01/2022.............11-13-0....................45.83%.....................- 14.15

TOTALS................204-214-6....................48.55%.....................- 122.95


BEST BETS

11/30/2022...................5-3-0....................62.50%................+ 9.80
11/29/2022...................5-9-0....................35.71%................- 27.70
11/28/2022...................2-6-1....................25.00%................- 31.50
11/27/2022...................4-3-0....................57.14%.................+ 7.20
11/26/2022...................3-5-0....................37.50%................- 10.65
11/25/2022...................4-9-0....................30.76%................- 18.70
11/23/2022...................8-7-0...................53.33%.................+ 17.00
11/22/2022...................3-1-0...................75.00%...................+ 9.50
11/21/2022...................9-2-0...................81.81%..................+39.50
11/20/2022...................4-0-0.................100.00%..................+26.80
11/19/2022.................5-10-0..................33.33%...................- 30.11
11/18/2022...................1-1-0..................50.00%...................- 00.00
11/17/2022...................5-6-0..................45.45%.....................- 4.00
11/16/2022...................2-2-0..................50.00%.....................- 2.80
11/15/2022...................6-6-0..................50.00%....................+ 3.20
11/14/2022...................1-5-0.................16.66%....................- 18.50
11/13/2022...................5-3-0...................62.50%.................+ 15.15
11/12/2022.................3-10-0...................23.07%..................- 35.00
11/11/2022...................2-2-1...................50.00%....................- 0.50
11/10/2022................10-4-0....................71.42%..................+ 36.45
11/09/2022..................3-3-0....................50.00%....................+ 5.90
11/08/2022..................9-6-1....................60.00%..................+ 15.50
11/07/2022..................2-3-0....................40.00%.....................- 5.45
11/06/2022..................3-2-0....................60.00%.....................+ 7.55
11/05/2022................5-10-0....................33.33%.....................-47.70
11/03/2022..................8-9-1....................47.05%......................- 6.25
11/02/2022..................3-1-0....................75.00%.....................+1 015
11/01/2022..................4-9-0....................30.76%....................- 21.95

TOTALS................124-133-4....................48.24%.....................- 41.95
 

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Thursday’s 6-pack

Indiana 77, North Carolina 65— Tar Heels lost their last three games.
Purdue 79, Florida State 69— Seminoles are off to a 1-8 start.
Indiana State 75, Drake 73— ISU outscored Drake 11-4 over final 3:11.
VCU 70, Vanderbilt 75— Vandy coach Stackhouse got ejected.
Notre Dame 70, Michigan State 52— Game was 42-24 at halftime.
Nebraska 88, Boston College 67— Cornhuskers shot 12-23 on the arc.

RIP to former NFL QB John Hadl, who passed away this week at age 82. Hadl played 11 years for the Chargers, then got traded to the Rams, where he finished 2nd in the MVP voting in 1973, sparking the Rams to a 12-2 record.

Hadl wore #21, odd for a QB; he wound up with an 82-75-9 career record, then coached for a while. He was Steve Young’s coach in the USFL, with the LA Express.

It was great fun to watch him play. RIP, sir.

Quote of the Day
“Look, I’d love to finish the season out, but I understand this is a business and there’s a lot of us kind of older guys who play a decent amount and they might want to see some younger guys play.Hopefully we don’t have to have that conversation. But if that conversation comes up, I’ll approach that with an open mind and without any bitterness or resentment.”
Aaron Rodgers

Thursday’s quiz
Who replaced Bob Knight as basketball coach at Indiana?
(Hint: He is still a Division I head coach)

Wednesday’s quiz
Kelsey Grammer played Frasier Crane on Cheers and also Frasier; Frasier took place in Seattle.

Tuesday’s quiz
Aaron Rodgers played his college football at California.

****************************

Thursday’s Den: How NFL offenses do on long drives

Points per possession, on drives starting 75 yards from the goal line:

Chiefs 191 points on 72 drives— 2.65 ppp
Browns 2.51
Bills 2.38
Bengals 2.37
Cowboys 2.36
Ravens 2.30
Seahawks 2.28
Vikings 2.26
Eagles 2.19

Dolphins 1.99
Raiders 1.94
49ers 1.88
Falcons 1.84
Packers 1.79
Saints 1.68
Giants 1.67
Jaguars/Chargers 1.64
Buccaneers 1.62

Lions 1.59
Patriots 1.58
Bears 1.51
Cardinals 1.49
Titans 1.46
Commanders 1.45
Texans 1.34
Jets 1.27

Broncos 1.23
Panthers 1.19
Steelers 1.10
Rams 1.03
Colts 0.81

If a team gives up a defensive/special teams TD on one of these drives, they lose 7 points, which hurt the Rams’/Colts’ ppp.

Why is this important? Sometimes, teams score lot of points because takeaways/special teams create short fields for the offense. This metric measures an offense’s ability to drive the length of the field, and score on its own.

New England has only 57 of these drives, seven less than any other team; they generally win the field position battle, and have good special teams, not necessarily good offense.
 

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VEGAS are 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in non-conference games in the current season.

BUFFALO is 0-13 ATS (-14.3 Units) after playing 2 straight games where 8 or more total goals were scored in the last 3 seasons.

PHILADELPHIA is 8-25 ATS (-19.5 Units) off a win against a division rival in the last 3 seasons.

NEW JERSEY is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days in the current season.

MINNESOTA is 15-2 Over (12.8 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.

CAROLINA is 16-24 ATS (-13.8 Units) in road games against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp over the las...

DALLAS are 17-4 ATS (12.6 Units) in home games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.

MONTREAL is 45-30 ATS (12 Units) off an embarrassing home loss where they were shut out since 1996.
-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after one or more consecutive overs in the current season.

FLORIDA is 7-0 Over (7 Units) in road games after a non-conference game in the current season.

LOS ANGELES are 31-21 ATS (7.9 Units) after allowing 3 goals or more 2 straight games in the last 3 seasons.
 

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NHL

Thursday, December 1


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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Colorado @ Buffalo
Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games on the road
Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games
Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Nashville @ New Jersey
Nashville
Nashville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New Jersey
Nashville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Jersey
New Jersey
New Jersey is 16-1 SU in its last 17 games
New Jersey is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games

Tampa Bay @ Philadelphia
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games at home

Vegas @ Pittsburgh
Vegas
Vegas is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Vegas's last 7 games on the road
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing Vegas

Edmonton @ Minnesota
Edmonton
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Edmonton's last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 6 games
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Edmonton
Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Edmonton

Carolina @ St. Louis
Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Carolina's last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Carolina's last 7 games on the road
St. Louis
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of St. Louis's last 8 games

Anaheim @ Dallas
Anaheim
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Anaheim's last 5 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Anaheim's last 5 games
Dallas
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Anaheim
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Anaheim

Montreal @ Calgary
Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing Calgary
Calgary
Calgary is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games when playing Montreal

Washington @ Seattle
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games
Washington is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Seattle
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games at home

Florida @ Vancouver
Florida
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida's last 5 games on the road
Vancouver
Vancouver is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Florida
Vancouver is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games

Arizona @ Los Angeles
Arizona
Arizona is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Los Angeles's last 8 games when playing at home against Arizona


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VEGAS (17-6-0-1, 35 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (11-8-0-4, 26 pts.) - 12/1/2022, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VEGAS is 21-7 ATS (+11.8 Units) in road games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
VEGAS is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in non-conference games this season.
VEGAS is 12-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 2-0-0 straight up against VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.0 Units)


COLORADO (12-7-0-1, 25 pts.) at BUFFALO (10-12-0-1, 21 pts.) - 12/1/2022, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 19-17 ATS (+51.1 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 20-21 ATS (+56.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 157-120 ATS (+22.2 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more since 1996.
COLORADO is 157-125 ATS (+283.6 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1996.
BUFFALO is 54-82 ATS (-51.8 Units) in home games when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.
BUFFALO is 3-19 ATS (+38.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO is 2-0-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)


TAMPA BAY (13-8-0-1, 27 pts.) at PHILADELPHIA (8-10-0-5, 21 pts.) - 12/1/2022, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 24-5 ATS (+14.8 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 6-28 ATS (+44.8 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 288-306 ATS (-91.0 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 10-30 ATS (+41.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 13-35 ATS (+68.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 3-1 (+0.2 Units) against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 3-1-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)


NASHVILLE (10-9-0-2, 22 pts.) at NEW JERSEY (19-4-0-0, 38 pts.) - 12/1/2022, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW JERSEY is 19-4 ATS (+14.9 Units) in all games this season.
NEW JERSEY is 19-4 ATS (+19.0 Units) first half of the season this season.
NEW JERSEY is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in non-conference games this season.
NEW JERSEY is 10-1 ATS (+8.6 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more this season.
NEW JERSEY is 12-1 ATS (+10.7 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
NEW JERSEY is 10-2 ATS (+7.4 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak this season.
NEW JERSEY is 11-0 ATS (+11.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
NEW JERSEY is 11-0 ATS (+11.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season this season.
NASHVILLE is 201-204 ATS (+436.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.
NEW JERSEY is 8-23 ATS (+31.6 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NASHVILLE is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
NASHVILLE is 2-0-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.0 Units)


EDMONTON (13-10-0-0, 26 pts.) at MINNESOTA (10-9-0-2, 22 pts.) - 12/1/2022, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 123-182 ATS (+308.7 Units) in December games since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 189-177 ATS (+401.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 126-126 ATS (-51.9 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-0 (+3.1 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 3-0-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.1 Units)


CAROLINA (12-6-0-5, 29 pts.) at ST LOUIS (11-11-0-0, 22 pts.) - 12/1/2022, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 2-0-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.1 Units)


ANAHEIM (6-15-0-2, 14 pts.) at DALLAS (13-6-0-4, 30 pts.) - 12/1/2022, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ANAHEIM is 4-20 ATS (+38.2 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 9-41 ATS (+81.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 10-37 ATS (+71.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 17-4 ATS (+10.3 Units) in home games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against the spread versus ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 3-0-0 straight up against ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.0 Units)


MONTREAL (11-10-0-1, 23 pts.) at CALGARY (10-9-0-3, 23 pts.) - 12/1/2022, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 14-34 ATS (-23.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 17-28 ATS (-16.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MONTREAL is 70-64 ATS (+147.8 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 5-6 (+0.2 Units) against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 6-5-0 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.5 Units)


WASHINGTON (10-11-0-3, 23 pts.) at SEATTLE (14-5-0-3, 31 pts.) - 12/1/2022, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 14-8 ATS (+25.0 Units) in all games this season.
SEATTLE is 14-8 ATS (+14.0 Units) first half of the season this season.
SEATTLE is 7-2 ATS (+9.2 Units) after a division game this season.
SEATTLE is 7-2 ATS (+7.0 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
SEATTLE is 8-3 ATS (+12.0 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
WASHINGTON is 235-277 ATS (+594.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 1-1 (+0.0 Units) against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 1-1-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.0 Units)


FLORIDA (10-9-0-4, 24 pts.) at VANCOUVER (9-11-0-3, 21 pts.) - 12/1/2022, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 10-13 ATS (-13.5 Units) in all games this season.
FLORIDA is 4-8 ATS (-10.8 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more this season.
FLORIDA is 10-13 ATS (-13.5 Units) first half of the season this season.
FLORIDA is 2-9 ATS (-14.0 Units) in non-conference games this season.
FLORIDA is 4-9 ATS (-9.6 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 127-131 ATS (+286.5 Units) in road games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 11-21 ATS (+34.7 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 3-10 ATS (+13.4 Units) in non-conference games this season.
VANCOUVER is 447-429 ATS (+16.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 2-0-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)


ARIZONA (7-10-0-3, 17 pts.) at LOS ANGELES (12-9-0-4, 28 pts.) - 12/1/2022, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOS ANGELES is 24-15 ATS (+42.9 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 15-22 ATS (+73.3 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 6-5 ATS (+15.1 Units) in road games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 18-15 ATS (+41.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 8-19 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 7-4 (+2.7 Units) against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 7-4-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.8 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)
 

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THURSDAY, DECEMBER 1​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
VEG at PIT07:00 PMPIT -114
U 6.5
+500 +500
NAS at NJ07:00 PMNJ -195
U 6.0
+500 +500
COL at BUF07:00 PMCOL -173+500
TB at PHI07:00 PMTB -218
O 6.0
+500 +500
EDM at MIN08:00 PMMIN -160
O 6.5
+500 +500
CAR at STL08:00 PMSTL +121
O 5.5
+500 +500
ANA at DAL08:30 PMANA +269
O 6.5
+500 +500
MON at CAL09:00 PMMON +252
U 6.0
+500 +500
FLA at VAN10:00 PMFLA -121
U 6.5
+500 +500
WAS at SEA10:00 PMSEA -115
U 6.0
+500 +500
ARI at LA10:30 PMARI +214
U 6.0
+500 +500
 

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Messages
104,168
Tokens
DECEMBER'S NHL BEST BETS !

DATE.................................... W - L................................... %....................................UNITS

12/01/2022,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,.,,,,,,,,8-6-0.................................57.14%............................+ 12.35

TOTALS................................8-6-0..................................57.14%............................+ 12.35
 

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Messages
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Armadillo Sports

Friday’s 6-pack

Top six teams in country in eFG%
.625— Arizona
.605— Utah State
.602— Indiana
.598— Baylor
.589— Gonzaga
.586— Colgate
eFG% is same as FG%, except a made 3-pointer counts as 1.5 made baskets.

Quote of the Day
“I was coachable. I was a sponge and aggressive to learn.”
Michael Jordan

Friday’s quiz
In the movie Last Vegas, Morgan Freeman’s character wins $87,000 playing blackjack at which Las Vegas casino?

Thursday’s quiz
Mike Davis replaced Bob Knight as basketball coach at Indiana; he is currently the coach at Detroit Mercy.

Wednesday’s quiz
Kelsey Grammer played Frasier Crane on Cheers and also Frasier; Frasier took place in Seattle.

*******************************

Friday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here…….

Bills 24, Patriots 10

— Bills’ first three drives: 32 plays, 175 yards, 17 points.
— Buffalo converted 9-15 on third down, Patriots 3-12.
— Bills outgained New England 355-242.
— 10 of 12 Buffalo games stayed under the total.
— Buffalo has now won five of last six games.vs New England.

— Patriots ran ball 14 times for only 60 yards.
— Last three games, Patriots converted 10-37 third down plays.
— Patriots’ last 5 games: 5 TD’s, 18 FGA’s, 20 3/outs on 55 drives.
— New England is 6-0 giving up 17 or less points, 0-6 giving up 20+.
— Buffalo had a 7-yard advantage in field position.

— Over the last three years, 19,217 college football players entered the transfer portal; of those players, 7,695 (40%) found their way to a different school.

— Kansas State-TCU play in the Big X title game Saturday at noon here in the east, but 11am in Texas, where the game is being played. Why play a game at 11am? Because TV wants them too; would make more sense for the ACC game to be on at noon, but the powers-that-be must think they’ll get better TV ratings with Clemson-North Carolina in primetime.

Can’t be much fun for the K-State/TCU kids to have their pregame meal at 7am, then play four hours later.

Remember, if you don’t know the reason for something, the reason is usually money.

— Lot of money in college football and in 2024, that $$$ will get bigger; the college playoff will expand from four teams to 12, which will make for fewer useless bowl games and more fun for fans/bettors/players. Maybe less fun for coaches, whose jobs will be scrutinized more now when they miss that expanded playoff.

— By the way, the guy West Virginia just hired as its new athletic director will be making $1.1M a year. Athletic directors are mostly big-time fund raisers, cowering to the big-$$$ boosters.

— In his career, LSU football coach Brian Kelly is 35-17-2 ATS as an underdog.

— Sunday afternoon, Kentucky-Michigan are playing a basketball game in London.

— Buffalo Bills put LB Von Miller on the IL; he is out for at least the next four games.

Seattle 9, Los Angeles 8 OT— 12 Kings recorded a point, seven of them 2+ points. It was the 12th NHL game in the last 35 years with 17+ goals. It was the first 9-8 game in the NHL since Winnipeg beat the Flyers back in 2011.

— Random trivia: Sidney Crosby holds the all-time record with 14 goals scored in the first minute of a game. Mark Messier had 13.

— Former Dodgers/Marlins manager Don Mattingly surfaced as the new bench coach for the Toronto Blue Jays.

— Tampa Bay Rays gave P Zach Eflin a 3-year, $40M deal. Eflin was 3-5, 4.04 in 20 games (13 starts) for the Phillies LY- they used him as a reliever in the playoffs.

Texas 72, Creighton 67— Bluejays were 4-27 on arc, still lost by only five. High-level game.

Northern Kentucky 77, Youngstown State 73, 2OT
Visiting Penguins led by 5 with 1:15 left.
Youngstown was minus-10 in turnovers (24-14).

Robert Morris 80, Wright State 59
RMC was a 12-point underdog; they made 9-17 on the arc.
Robert Morris was also +10 on boards.

Oregon State 66, Washington 65— Beavers scored layup/FT with 0:08 left to win its Pac-12 opener. Oregon State led 27-9 early, but had to outscore Washington 5-1 over last 0:41 to pull the game out.

Utah 81, Arizona 66— Upset out west; Arizona was 4-28 on arc. Carlson made 5-9 on arc, scored 22 points for 6-2 Utah.

Arizona State 60, Colorado 59
Buffs led 38-23 at half, 56-44 with 6:07 left in game.
Colorado was 9-17 on the foul line.
 

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Messages
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OTTAWA is 12-3 Over (8.7 Units) in road games after playing a game where 4 or fewer total goals were scored in the last 3 seasons.

NY ISLANDERS are 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) after 1 or more consecutive unders in the current season.

COLUMBUS are 4-22 ATS (-20.2 Units) in road games after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games in the last 3 seasons.




NHL

Friday, December 2


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Ottawa @ NY Rangers
Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Ottawa's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing NY Rangers
NY Rangers
NY Rangers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Rangers's last 5 games when playing Ottawa

Nashville @ NY Islanders
Nashville
Nashville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Islanders
Nashville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Islanders
NY Islanders
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Islanders's last 7 games when playing at home against Nashville
NY Islanders is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

Columbus @ Winnipeg
Columbus
Columbus is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Columbus's last 5 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing at home against Columbus
Winnipeg is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home


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