CNOTES 2022-2023 NBA TRENDS, NEWS, BEST BETS AND OPINIONS THRU THE PLAYOFFS !

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WASHINGTON is 9-0 Over (9 Units) in home games against Northwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

INDIANA is 39-21 ATS (15.9 Units) after 2 straight games outrebounding opponent by 10 or more since 1996.

GOLDEN STATE is 10-28 ATS (-20.8 Units) in road games after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread in the last 3 se...

MIAMI is 128-92 Under (26.8 Units) in home games playing with 2 days rest since 1996.

MILWAUKEE is 42-70 ATS (-35 Units) in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) - 2nd half of the season si...

ATLANTA is 13-34 ATS (-24.4 Units) in road games after having won 2 of their last 3 games in the last 3 seasons.

CHICAGO is 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) off an upset win as an underdog in the current season.

MEMPHIS are 16-3 ATS (12.7 Units) in home games after 1 or more consecutive unders in the current season.

PORTLAND is 11-2 Over (8.8 Units) after a blowout loss by 15 points or more in the current season.

PHOENIX is 24-9 Under (14.1 Units) off a road loss over the last 2 seasons.
 

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NBA
Dunkel

Wednesday, March 22


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NBA

Wednesday, March 22


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Trend Report
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Denver @ Washington
Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games when playing Washington
Denver is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games

New York @ Miami
New York
New York is 12-4 ATS in its last 16 games
New York is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games
Miami
Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games at home

Indiana @ Toronto
Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indiana's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Golden State @ Dallas
Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Golden State's last 12 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games

Philadelphia @ Chicago
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago
Chicago is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Chicago is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

Houston @ Memphis
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games on the road
Memphis
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Memphis is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Houston

San Antonio @ Milwaukee
San Antonio
San Antonio is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Milwaukee
San Antonio is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games
Milwaukee is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games at home

Atlanta @ Minnesota
Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta

Portland @ Utah
Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Utah
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games
Utah
Utah is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 5 games

Phoenix @ LA Lakers
Phoenix
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
Phoenix is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing LA Lakers
LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of LA Lakers's last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing at home against Phoenix


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WEDNESDAY, MARCH 22​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
POR at UTA09:00 PMUTA -5.0
U 235.0
+500 +500
PHO at LAL10:00 PMPHO +1.0
O 229.0
+500 +500
 

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Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks
DateW-L-T%UnitsRecord
03/22/20231-3-025.00%-1150Detail
03/21/20234-7-137.50%-1850Detail
03/20/20234-8-033.33%-2400Detail
03/19/20237-8-146.88%-900Detail
03/18/20239-7-056.25%+650Detail
03/17/20239-5-064.29%+1750Detail
03/16/20235-5-050.00%-250Detail
03/15/20236-8-042.86%-1400Detail
03/14/202310-6-062.50%+1700Detail
03/13/20236-8-042.86%-1400Detail
03/12/20238-4-066.67%+1800Detail
03/11/202311-9-055.00%+550Detail
03/10/20237-5-058.33%+750Detail
03/09/20238-4-066.67%+1800Detail
03/08/20238-6-057.14%+700Detail
03/07/20237-9-043.75%-1450Detail
03/06/20237-5-058.33%+750Detail
03/05/20236-14-030.00%-4700Detail
03/04/20237-5-058.33%+750Detail
03/03/20238-12-040.00%-2600Detail
03/02/20234-4-050.00%-200Detail
03/01/202311-6-163.89%+2200Detail
 

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Wednesday’s 6-pack
Highest paid college basketball coaches:
$8.1M— John Calipari, Kentucky
$6M— Bill Self, Kansas
$5.7M— Tom Izzo, Michigan State
$5.45M— Rick Barnes, Tennessee
$5.4M— Bruce Pearl, Auburn
$4.83M— Tony Bennett, Virgnia

Quote of the Day
“I’m so underpaid right now as far as my contract and what I contribute to the team, it’s like, I am relentlessly pursuing this. I want to get something long-term done. I want a team that wants me long term. I’m at the peak of my game, right? As long as I’m healthy, I’m gonna score you another 20 touchdowns. I’m gonna have, you know, another 1,600 all-purpose yards. I’m getting half my value of what I could be getting. I am relentlessly pursuing someone who wants me for the long term.”
Chargers’ RB Austin Ekeler

Wednesday’s quiz
What semi-famous actor played Richard Gere’s assistant in the movie, Pretty Woman?

Tuesday’s quiz
Andrew Luck in 2015-2016 was the last quarterback to start consecutive season openers for the Indianapolis Colts.

Monday’s quiz
When Santa Clara upset Arizona in the 1993 NCAA’s, Steve Nash was playing for the Broncos.

****************************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings………

— Thanks to everyone who reached out last week during my absence; things are slowly getting back to normal. Appreciate your thoughts.

Japan 3, USA 2— Ohtani got a save; Japan used seven pitchers and they win the WBC.

From looks of things, the WBC was really lucrative; games were packed, fans were enthused, am guessing they made a boatload of $$$ selling merchandise.

Now, can we get on with the baseball season? Regular season games start in eight days.

— So you own the LA Angels; you pay Mike Trout $37M a year, Sandoval pitched really well for Mexico in the semi-finals and Ohtani is all anyone ever talks about. Pretty good nucleus right there.

So how come they haven’t been in the playoffs since 2014, haven’t won a playoff game since 2009? Ohtani is a free agent after this season; he’s going to get the biggest contract ever— it seems doubtful it’ll be in Anaheim.

So……..do the Angels trade him during the season, and if they do, what do they get back? Do they keep him this season and try to make the playoffs? Thing is, if they let him walk, they get bupkis in return— that is stuff cheap teams like the A’s usually do.

Other than the pennant races, this is going to be the #1 story this baseball season.

North Texas 65, Oklahoma State 59 OT— Cowboys went 15-25 on foul line at home, losing to a North Texas team that plays the slowest tempo games in America. Mean Green moves on to the NIT semi-finals in Las Vegas next week.

Wisconsin 61, Oregon 58— Badgers ended game on a 15-6 run, also move on to Las Vegas; a Wisconsin-North Texas semi-final game? Tempo #341 vs tempo #363, the total is going to be very low.

Eastern Kentucky 108, Southern Utah 106, 2OT— Quite a week for the Colonels, who’ve won three games in a row, all in overtime, and in this case, two overtimes. EKU was down 12 with 9:11 left in this game; they forced 22 turnovers (+13).

— Charlotte 63, Radford 56— Maybe Conference USA needs better TV exposure; Charlotte is still playing, so are UAB and North Texas. Good teams and that is without mentioning the best of the group, Florida Atlantic.

— Wichita State hired Oral Roberts coach Paul Mills, who went 67-28 the last three years, making the Sweet 16 two years ago.

— Arizona State gave Bobby Hurley a 2-year contract extension, bad news for Pac-12 referees. Hurley is the whiniest coach I’ve ever seen; his Sun Devils went 23-13 this year, losing 72-70 to TCU after winning a First Four game.

— FDU coach Tobin Anderson is the new coach at Iona, replacing Rick Pitino; tough act to follow. Iona has been in eight of last 11 NCAA Tournaments.

— Former Notre Dame coach Mike Brey interviewed for the South Florida job, but said he’s going to take a year off and try his hand at TV instead.

— A union representing 30,000 Los Angeles school custodians, cafeteria workers, bus drivers and support staff started a 3-day strike with support from the district’s teachers, effectively stopping classes for more than 500,000 students in the nation’s 2nd-largest school system.

Long time ago, September 1975, when I was a junior in high school, three schools around here had their teachers go on strike at the same time, three of the biggest schools.

First week or two of school, we would pass the teachers picketing by the school, we would wave to them from our bus, then we would go into school, go into class, and have a different teacher in every class every day. Teachers from the other two schools were the subs in our classes, trying to earn back some of the $$$ they were losing by being on strike. It was organized chaos.

Some of the kids we knew organized a walk-out in support of the teachers; they would storm out of school, march to the district offices in protest. Those were the kids who lived near the district offices; they were just skipping school, then walking home. My neighborhood was in the other direction, and it was hot out. No thanks.

Hopefully the situation in LA will get fixed; kids are trying to get ready for college, they need to get smarter. That year our teachers were on strike was a Regents’ year, an important year for grades and all that— the delay put us behind all the other kids that year.

— RIP to former Knicks’ great Willis Reed, who passed away Tuesday at age 80; Reed was an under-sized center with a terrific mid-range lefty jumper. He was the heart of the Knicks’ team that won NBA titles in 1970, 1973.

I was a little kid back then; my dad loved those Knicks, it was fun watching him watch the games. Few years ago in Las Vegas I got to meet Walt Frazier at the NBA Summer League, nicest guy you could meet.

Look up Game 7 of the 1970 NBA Finals on YouTube; Willis Reed was hurt pretty bad, but he hobbled onto the court, hit two jumpers early in the game and the Knicks pounded the Lakers— they were gods in the Big Apple back then. Willis Reed was the heart of that team. RIP, sir.
 

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Thursday’s 6-pack
Highest paid NFL coaches:
$20M— Bill Belichick
$18M— Sean Payton
$15M— Pete Carroll
$14M— Sean McVay
$12.5M— Mike Tomlin
$12M— Andy Reid/John Harbaugh

Quote of the Day
“You get to choose how you respond.”
Virginia coach Tony Bennett, after losing to Furman in the NCAA’s

Thursday’s quiz
The first time Rick Pitino coached in the NCAA Tournament, what team was he coaching?

Wednesday’s quiz
Jason Alexander (George Costanza on Seinfeld) played Richard Gere’s assistant in the movie, Pretty Woman.

Tuesday’s quiz
Andrew Luck in 2015-2016 was the last quarterback to start consecutive season openers for the Indianapolis Colts.

****************************************************

Thursday’s Den: Nine memorable NCAA games, plus my four all-time favorite games

Here are nine of my most memorable NCAA Tournament games, in no particular order, followed by my four all-time favorite tournament games:

Memorable games:
2017 Final Four— I’m in Las Vegas, watching the Final Four with a friend of mine who has a boatload of money on Oregon (+4) vs North Carolina. I’m not going to tell you how much $$$ he had on Oregon, but it was more than $10,000 (I saw the ticket).

I’m a nickel/dime bettor, total small-timer; this was a different world. I remember sitting there munching on Doritos watching the game, I seemed more nervous than he was. Oregon loses but covers, losing 77-76. My friend was very casual about the whole thing.

He also bet the underdog in the other game, but a lot less $$, South Carolina vs Gonzaga and he won that bet too. If I won that much money I’d be strutting around like Gene, Gene, the Dancing Machine but serious gamblers are smart and take things in stride.

Funny thing about that night: it was the only time in the last 35 years that both favorites won at the Final Four, but neither one covered the spread.

2016— Yale 79, Baylor 75— It is fun seeing people you know coaching on TV; Yale coach James Jones went to college at Albany, couple of years behind me. He was a good ballplayer, but he is a great coach. Other than Pete Carril, he is the best coach in Ivy League history, and it was a lot of fun to see his team pull a big upset against a basketball blue blood.

2023— Marquette 78, Vermont 61— Same deal here; friend of mine is an assistant coach with Marquette- they had a great season this year. I’m hoping that some D-I program comes to its senses in the next few weeks and gives him a head coaching job. He’s earned it.

1989— Georgetown 50, Princeton 49— This was back when ESPN had the tournament; Bob Ley was the studio host and Dick Vitale did the analysis. Georgetown was a power back then; they were a 22-point favorite in this game, but they were life-and-death against Princeton.

At halftime, Dickie V says that if Princeton wins, he’ll stand on his head on the ESPN set; it was classic TV, totally unscripted. It was hilarious, but Georgetown escaped by a point, and America took a great sign of relief that no one was standing on his head on live TV.

1998— Valparaiso 70, Ole Miss 69— Scott Drew is the Baylor coach; brother Bruce is the coach at Grand Canyon- their father Homer Drew coached Valparaiso for a long time.

His full-court out of bounds play (to Bryce Drew, I think) got Valpo a walk-off win in this game. To this day, that play is still used all over America. One of the best-ever endings to a tournament game.

2023— Furman 68, Virginia 67— Furman hadn’t made the NCAA’s since 1980, hadn’t won a tournament game since 1974; they made couple foul shots with 0:12 left to pull within 67-65, then the Virginia player tries a full-court pass to kill the clock, but it gets picked off, and Furman sticks a 3 from the right-wing with 0:02 left to pull a very unlikely upset.

The camera shot of CBS’ play-by-play guy Kevin Harlan calling all this, then holding his arms out after the game-winning shot, so neither of his analysts says anything to ruin the moment, was just great to see.

2019— Murray State 83, Marquette 64— Back when I was still picking games on this blog, I took the over in this game, Ja Morant against a Big East team. Game was 42-35 at halftime, a good pace, but then Marquette scored 9 freakin’ points in the first 10:00 of second half and when they fell behind, they refused to press Murray State, and lost meekly to a freakin’ OVC team and the game fell several points under. Had they pressed, Murray State would have hung 90-100 points on them.

I laugh about it now, but that night in my living room, I was NOT HAPPY; probably lucky I didn’t have a damn stroke. How could a Big East team quit against an OVC team? To this day, when I see that fraud Steve Wojciechowski in ESPN”s studio stealing money, it makes my blood boil. Anyway, that night is a big part of why I don’t pick games much anymore.

2016— National title game, Villanova-North Carolina, I’m sitting in the Westgate SuperBook having a Cherry Coke and some pizza. The guy next to me is a younger guy who says he has a lot of money on Villanova and the under. We strike up a conversation but he is very nervous as the game comes down the stretch. Things get quiet.

Kid of North Carolina makes a tough shot to put UNC ahead and puts the game over the total; the guy next to me ain’t happy, but then Villanova hits a shot at the buzzer to win the national title and get the guy a split on his bets.

Never seen someone so happy to break even.

2010— I’m at the MGM Grand sportsbook for the first Saturday of the tournament; me and apparently every Kansas fan west of the Rockies. Jayhawks were a #1-seed, a big favorite over Northern Iowa. Ton of people wearing blue/red in the MGM Grand.

Game is early on, some kid makes a shot— the three young guys next to me start hugging each other. I ask one of them “Is that your brother? Why are you so happy?”

I had no idea you could bet on which team got to 15 points first; that obscure basket won the guys their bet and they were celebrating.

Anyway the game goes on and go figure, Northern Iowa hits a shot from the corner at the end and upsets Kansas, big upset. Lot of sad people were walking around, wearing blue/red.

My four all-time favorite NCAA Tournament games:
2006— When the brackets came out, I went on a local radio show here in Albany and gave my quick thoughts on what would happen. I had decided that Northwestern State would upset Iowa in a #3-14 game and I said so on the radio. Fairly bold prediction.

As luck would have it, Northwestern State does pull the upset, winning 64-63. Now that was a fun day.

1990— Loyola Marymount 111, New Mexico State 90— During the WCC tournament, LMU’s star Hank Gathers collapsed and died on the court during a game. It was horrible; they called off the tournament, and LMU got the automatic bid because they finished first.

When the brackets came out 8-9 days later, LMU had the very last time slot in the first round, the midnight Friday game on CBS. Their opponent was New Mexico State, a team that would run with the hyper-fast breaking Lions, coached by Paul Westhead.

Back then, I picked games in the Albany newspaper and I had done very well that year; I really wanted to risk my entire (fictional) bankroll on LMU in his game— there was no way they were losing this game. I didn’t risk my bankroll, just made the normal pick, but I tried to impress that upon the readers. LMU was going to win.

LMU’s Bo Kimble shot his first free throw lefty, in honor of his fallen friend, but Kimble also had four fouls at halftime, and the game was tied. I was queasy about my pick, but LMU exploded in the second half, won by 21, then won two more games in one of the most famous runs in NCAA history. That team was so much fun to watch.

1990— Jerry Tarkanian’s Rebels dispatched LMU in the West Region final, then they played Duke in the national title game, and they crushed Duke, 103-73. Then the weasel from the NCAA had to hand Tarkanian the national championship trophy, after they had harassed the guy for years (NCAA later wrote Tarkanian a $2.5M check to settle a dispute).

Sweet 16 of the West Region is being played in Las Vegas tonight, 33 years after that great night. The NCAA embraces Las Vegas now because more than anything, they love making money.

1974—NC State 80, UCLA 77, 2OT— When Michael Jordan was growing up, his favorite player was David Thompson, a great player for NC State. I was a big Wolfpack fan; friend of my parents lived in Raleigh, and he told me all about Thompson. I used to listen to their games on the radio on WBT in Charlotte.

UCLA beat the Wolfpack in December; this was when Bill Walton was a senior- they had won seven national titles in a row. Every kid in my school who liked basketball was a UCLA fan, except for me; the rematch in the Final Four.

UCLA led by 7 in overtime, but State rallied and won, then beat Marquette in the national title game and I was hooked for life on college basketball.

Dunking was illegal back then in college ball, which is a tribute to how great a player Kareem Abdul-Jabbar was. Had Thompson been able to dunk, we would have some amazing highlights to watch on YouTube these days.
 

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ORLANDO is 40-24 Over (13.6 Units) in home games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots in the last 3 seasons.

CLEVELAND is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) in road games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the last 3 seasons.

NEW ORLEANS are 38-19 Over (17.1 Units) in home games after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half since ...

LA CLIPPERS are 7-0 Over (7 Units) revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite in the current season.




NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, March 23


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NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, March 23


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NEW YORK (42 - 32) at ORLANDO (30 - 43) - 3/23/2023, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 34-25 ATS (+6.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
ORLANDO is 33-23 ATS (+7.7 Units) as an underdog this season.
NEW YORK is 40-31 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all games this season.
NEW YORK is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games this season.
NEW YORK is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
NEW YORK is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
ORLANDO is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 5-4 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 6-3 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEVELAND (46 - 28) at BROOKLYN (39 - 33) - 3/23/2023, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 45-65 ATS (-26.5 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 39-56 ATS (-22.6 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 40-32 ATS (+4.8 Units) in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 35-21 ATS (+11.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
BROOKLYN is 70-85 ATS (-23.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 25-51 ATS (-31.1 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home games in March games over the last 3 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) against Central division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in home games revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 31-53 ATS (-27.3 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
BROOKLYN is 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 6-22 ATS (-18.2 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=108 points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 6-3 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 6-4 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHARLOTTE (23 - 50) at NEW ORLEANS (35 - 37) - 3/23/2023, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 31-40 ATS (-13.0 Units) in all games this season.
CHARLOTTE is 23-32 ATS (-12.2 Units) as an underdog this season.
CHARLOTTE is 72-101 ATS (-39.1 Units) against Southwest division opponents since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 241-292 ATS (-80.2 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 36-24 ATS (+9.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 3-2 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 3-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (36 - 36) at LA CLIPPERS (38 - 35) - 3/23/2023, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 44-27 ATS (+14.3 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 39-24 ATS (+12.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) as an underdog this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 48-27 ATS (+18.3 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) after allowing 100 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 28-11 ATS (+15.9 Units) after allowing 105 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 46-30 ATS (+13.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) against Northwest division opponents this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 31-44 ATS (-17.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-1 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-4 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA

Thursday, March 23


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Trend Report
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New York @ Orlando
New York
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 5 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 5 games when playing on the road against Orlando
Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Orlando's last 5 games at home
Orlando is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

Cleveland @ Brooklyn
Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Cleveland's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games at home

Charlotte @ New Orleans
Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Charlotte's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Charlotte's last 9 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 8 of New Orleans's last 9 games when playing at home against Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of New Orleans's last 11 games

Oklahoma City @ LA Clippers
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing LA Clippers
Oklahoma City is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 6 games


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THURSDAY, MARCH 23​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
NY at ORL07:00 PMNY -2.5
U 227.5
+500 +500
CLE at BK07:30 PMCLE -4.0
O 219.0
+500 +500
CHA at NO08:00 PMCHA +9.0
O 225.0
+500 +500
OKC at LAC10:30 PMOKC +4.0
O 231.5
+500 +500
 

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Messages
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Tokens

Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks
DateW-L-T%UnitsRecord
03/23/20233-5-037.50%-1250Detail
03/22/20231-3-025.00%-1150Detail
03/21/20234-7-137.50%-1850Detail
03/20/20234-8-033.33%-2400Detail
03/19/20237-8-146.88%-900Detail
03/18/20239-7-056.25%+650Detail
03/17/20239-5-064.29%+1750Detail
03/16/20235-5-050.00%-250Detail
03/15/20236-8-042.86%-1400Detail
03/14/202310-6-062.50%+1700Detail
03/13/20236-8-042.86%-1400Detail
03/12/20238-4-066.67%+1800Detail
03/11/202311-9-055.00%+550Detail
03/10/20237-5-058.33%+750Detail
03/09/20238-4-066.67%+1800Detail
03/08/20238-6-057.14%+700Detail
03/07/20237-9-043.75%-1450Detail
03/06/20237-5-058.33%+750Detail
03/05/20236-14-030.00%-4700Detail
03/04/20237-5-058.33%+750Detail
03/03/20238-12-040.00%-2600Detail
03/02/20234-4-050.00%-200Detail
03/01/202311-6-163.89%+2200Detail
 

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Friday’s 6-pack
Highest paid NBA coaches:
$11.5M— Gregg Popovich, San Antonio
$9.5M— Steve Kerr, Golden State
$8.5M— Doc Rivers, Philadelphia
$8.5M— Erik Spoelstra, Miami
$8M— Mike Budenholzer, Milwaukee
$8M— Nick Nurse, Toronto

Quote of the Day
“Physically, as I watch him, I think his skill set is very similar to Joe Burrow. OK, I think that would be the guy in the NFL and you know fellow, one-time Buckeye that I would look at and go OK, he moves. He’s about the same size, same frame, same kind of arm talent, and moves the same way physically.”
Carolina Panthers’ assistant Josh McCown, talking about Ohio State QB CJ Stroud

Friday’s quiz
When was the last time a Pac-12 team won the national title in college basketball?

Thursday’s quiz
The first time Rick Pitino coached in the NCAA Tournament, he was coaching Boston University, in 1983.

Wednesday’s quiz
Jason Alexander (George Costanza on Seinfeld) played Richard Gere’s assistant in the movie, Pretty Woman.

*************************************

Friday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here…….

— Gonzaga 79, UCLA 76
UCLA led this game 46-33 at halftime.
Timme scored 36 points, had 13 rebounds for Gonzaga.
Zags blew a 72-62 lead with 2:40 left, hit game-winning shot with 0:07 left.

— Florida Atlantic 62, Tennessee 55
Tennessee’s last 15 games: 0-8 if they allowed 60+ points, 7-0 if they allowed 59 or less.
FAU scored 22 points in first half, outscored Tennessee 40-28 in second half.
Rick Barnes is now 3-18 ATS in his last 21 NCAA tourney games.

— Kansas State 98, Michigan State 93 OT
K-State is 26-9; when Jerome Tang took this job over last spring, he inherited two players from last year’s squad. Two. This is an amazingly great coaching job.

Michigan State made 13-25 on the arc, K-State 11-24. Spartans scored 1.27 points/possession and still lost, which doesn’t happen very much.

— UConn 88, Arkansas 65— Total ass-kicking; UConn scored 1.26 points/possession, led by 17 at the half, was never challenged.

— Michigan State’s loss means that the Big 14 still hasn’t won a national title in college hoop since the Spartans won way back in 2000.

— North Carolina F Armando Bacot is returning to play a fifth season for the Tar Heels next year, which is very good news for a Tar Heel squad that missed the NCAA’s, then declined to play in the NIT. Must be some seriously good NIL money floating around Chapel Hill.

— Providence hired George Mason coach Kim English to replace Ed Cooley as its new coach; English went 34-29 in two seasons coaching George Mason. He is a former Tennessee assistant; long time ago (1988), Tennessee coach Barnes went from coaching George Mason to coaching Providence.

— There have now been 43 coaching changes in college hoop this spring, with another 20 or so openings still pending.

— From 1986-2019, #15-seeds went 8-128 in first round games; the last three years, #15-seeds are 3-9. My thought is that as time goes on, teams at the top of the ratings are getting weaker.

— Longest playoff droughts in the NFL:
12 years- Jets
7 years- Denver
6 years- Detroit
5 years- Atlanta, Carolina

— Over the last five seasons, Christian McCaffrey and Austin Ekeler are the only two NFL players with both 3,000+ rushing yards and 3,000+ passing yards.

— XFL standings halfway thru the regular season:
North:
Defenders 5-0
Battlehawks 3-2
Sea Dragons 3-2
Vipers 1-4

South:
Roughnecks 4-1
Renegades 3-2
Brahmas 1-4
Guardians 0-5

— Phillies 1B Rhys Hoskins tore an ACL Thursday, is out for the year.

— Last two baseball seasons, Seattle Mariners are 67-41 in one-run games, by far the best record in MLB in one-run games. Is that sustainable? Scott Servais is an excellent manager, for sure.

— According to Forbes Magazine, baseball teams with the best 2022, $$$-wise:
Seattle $83.8M profit
SF Giants $74.9M
Red Sox $71.6M
Orioles $64.7M
Oakland A’s $62.2M— WTF????

— Imagine my blood pressure going up when I saw that the Oakland A’s turned a $62.2M profit last year. Would it kill them to try to put a decent team on the field? If not, they should sell the damn team to someone who will try to win. Seriously.

— Was watching a Dodgers spring training game the other night and Rick Monday was doing the analysis; he is 77 years old now, doesn’t look it or sound it. Terrific announcer; he played for the A’s when I first became a fan in the mid-60’s. He played 19 years in the majors, and has been a radio analyst for the Dodgers since then. Quite a career.

— If you live in the Albany area and still have DirecTV, you still can’t watch the FOX channel; it is off the grid. DirecTV has taken the people that own the channel to court now.

I’ve said this before and I’ll say it again; dump DirecTV and get YouTube TV. It is way cheaper, it has basically all the same stuff- they even show the FOX channel.

Did I mention that YouTube TV is way cheaper than DirecTV?
 

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WASHINGTON is 11-2 Over (8.8 Units) in home games in non-conference games in the current season.

BOSTON is 28-50 ATS (-27 Units) in home games after 3 straight games where they made 47% of their shots or better since 1996.

DETROIT is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) in road games when playing with triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. opponent in the last 3 seasons.

HOUSTON is 12-29 ATS (-19.9 Units) after a division game in the last 3 seasons.

DALLAS are 15-4 Over (10.6 Units) in home games after a loss in the current season.

UTAH is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) as a home underdog in the current season.

Steve Kerr is 101-64 ATS (30.6 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent (Coach of GOLDEN STATE)

CHICAGO is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) off a home blowout loss of 20 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

SACRAMENTO is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games in the current season.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in road games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 3 seasons.
 

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NBA
Long Sheet

Friday, March 24


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SAN ANTONIO (19 - 54) at WASHINGTON (32 - 41) - 3/24/2023, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 30-43 ATS (-17.3 Units) in all games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 28-43 ATS (-19.3 Units) as an underdog this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) in road games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 209-165 ATS (+27.5 Units) on Friday nights since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 114-81 ATS (+24.9 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 427-343 ATS (+49.7 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 423-356 ATS (+31.4 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 625-532 ATS (+39.8 Units) after scoring 100 points or less since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 65-86 ATS (-29.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 21-33 ATS (-15.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 21-34 ATS (-16.4 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) on Friday nights this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 4-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 4-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

INDIANA (33 - 40) at BOSTON (50 - 23) - 3/24/2023, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 94-79 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 33-20 ATS (+11.0 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 259-197 ATS (+42.3 Units) on Friday nights since 1996.
INDIANA is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 6-3 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 6-3 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (16 - 57) at TORONTO (35 - 38) - 3/24/2023, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 30-40 ATS (-14.0 Units) in all games this season.
DETROIT is 28-39 ATS (-14.9 Units) as an underdog this season.
DETROIT is 18-34 ATS (-19.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
DETROIT is 47-29 ATS (+15.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) on Friday nights this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 9-0 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 6-3 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (18 - 55) at MEMPHIS (45 - 27) - 3/24/2023, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 29-40 ATS (-15.0 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 27-38 ATS (-14.8 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
HOUSTON is 15-24 ATS (-11.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.
HOUSTON is 27-38 ATS (-14.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
HOUSTON is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
HOUSTON is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.
HOUSTON is 39-60 ATS (-27.0 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 68-91 ATS (-32.1 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 6-21 ATS (-17.1 Units) after allowing 130 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 29-43 ATS (-18.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game this season.
MEMPHIS is 92-69 ATS (+16.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 74-55 ATS (+13.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 63-46 ATS (+12.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 22-13 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games this season.
MEMPHIS is 42-23 ATS (+16.7 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.
MEMPHIS is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) in home games in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in home games in March games over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games on Friday nights this season.
MEMPHIS is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 5-4 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 8-2 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHARLOTTE (23 - 51) at DALLAS (36 - 37) - 3/24/2023, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 31-41 ATS (-14.1 Units) in all games this season.
CHARLOTTE is 23-33 ATS (-13.3 Units) as an underdog this season.
CHARLOTTE is 72-102 ATS (-40.2 Units) against Southwest division opponents since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 241-293 ATS (-81.3 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
DALLAS is 35-21 ATS (+11.9 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 28-41 ATS (-17.1 Units) in all games this season.
DALLAS is 15-30 ATS (-18.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
DALLAS is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in non-conference games this season.
DALLAS is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 2-2 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 2-2 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MILWAUKEE (52 - 20) at UTAH (35 - 37) - 3/24/2023, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 39-30 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all games this season.
UTAH is 27-10 ATS (+16.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
UTAH is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MILWAUKEE is 40-28 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 36-19 ATS (+15.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
MILWAUKEE is 45-32 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games in the second half of the season this season.
MILWAUKEE is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in non-conference games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) after allowing 105 points or less this season.
MILWAUKEE is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 39-26 ATS (+10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 3-2 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 3-2 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA (49 - 23) at GOLDEN STATE (38 - 36) - 3/24/2023, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) in home games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) on Friday nights this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 29-12 ATS (+15.8 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 33-13 ATS (+18.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 43-29 ATS (+11.1 Units) in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) after allowing 105 points or less this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 3-2 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 3-2 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO (34 - 38) at PORTLAND (32 - 40) - 3/24/2023, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) after scoring 100 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
PORTLAND is 66-86 ATS (-28.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 35-59 ATS (-29.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 19-34 ATS (-18.4 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 34-53 ATS (-24.3 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 3-2 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 3-2 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHOENIX (38 - 34) at SACRAMENTO (43 - 29) - 3/24/2023, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 41-31 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 142-115 ATS (+15.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in home games on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 77-108 ATS (-41.8 Units) in home games when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 6-4 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 6-4 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OKLAHOMA CITY (36 - 37) at LA LAKERS (36 - 37) - 3/24/2023, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 44-28 ATS (+13.2 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 31-19 ATS (+10.1 Units) as an underdog this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 48-28 ATS (+17.2 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 61-42 ATS (+14.8 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 37-23 ATS (+11.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 173-217 ATS (-65.7 Units) in March games since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 16-32 ATS (-19.2 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 200-251 ATS (-76.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-4 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 6-3 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Jun 22, 2009
Messages
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NBA

Friday, March 24


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Indiana @ Boston
Indiana
Indiana is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing Boston
Boston
Boston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Indiana

San Antonio @ Washington
San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
San Antonio is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing at home against San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games

Detroit @ Toronto
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
Toronto
Toronto is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
Toronto is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Houston @ Memphis
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games on the road
Memphis
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Memphis is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Houston

Charlotte @ Dallas
Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Charlotte's last 15 games
Dallas
Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing at home against Charlotte

Milwaukee @ Utah
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Milwaukee is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games
Utah
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 5 games
Utah is 19-1 SU in its last 20 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

Philadelphia @ Golden State
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Golden State
Golden State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Phoenix @ Sacramento
Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Phoenix's last 9 games
Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Sacramento's last 9 games at home
Sacramento is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games

Chicago @ Portland
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Portland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 6 games
Portland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago

Oklahoma City @ LA Lakers
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
Oklahoma City is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of LA Lakers's last 11 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of LA Lakers's last 15 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Messages
104,059
Tokens

FRIDAY, MARCH 24​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
SA at WAS07:00 PMSA +7.0
O 228.0
+500 +500
IND at BOS07:00 PMIND +11.5
U 236.5
+500 +500
DET at TOR07:30 PMTOR -12.5
U 224.0
+500 +500
HOU at MEM08:00 PMHOU +13.0
O 233.5
+500 +500
CHA at DAL08:30 PMCHA +15.0
O 227.0
+500 +500
MIL at UTA09:00 PMUTA +8.5
U 236.5
+500 +500
PHO at SAC10:00 PMSAC -4.5
U 239.5
+500 +500
CHI at POR10:00 PMPOR +2.0
O 222.0
+500 +500
PHI at GS10:00 PMGS -5.0
O 234.0
+500 +500
OKC at LAL10:30 PMOKC +5.0
U 231.5
+500 +500
 

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Messages
104,059
Tokens

Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks
DateW-L-T%UnitsRecord
03/24/20239-10-147.50%-1000Detail
03/23/20233-5-037.50%-1250Detail
03/22/20231-3-025.00%-1150Detail
03/21/20234-7-137.50%-1850Detail
03/20/20234-8-033.33%-2400Detail
03/19/20237-8-146.88%-900Detail
03/18/20239-7-056.25%+650Detail
03/17/20239-5-064.29%+1750Detail
03/16/20235-5-050.00%-250Detail
03/15/20236-8-042.86%-1400Detail
03/14/202310-6-062.50%+1700Detail
03/13/20236-8-042.86%-1400Detail
03/12/20238-4-066.67%+1800Detail
03/11/202311-9-055.00%+550Detail
03/10/20237-5-058.33%+750Detail
03/09/20238-4-066.67%+1800Detail
03/08/20238-6-057.14%+700Detail
03/07/20237-9-043.75%-1450Detail
03/06/20237-5-058.33%+750Detail
03/05/20236-14-030.00%-4700Detail
03/04/20237-5-058.33%+750Detail
03/03/20238-12-040.00%-2600Detail
03/02/20234-4-050.00%-200Detail
03/01/202311-6-163.89%+2200Detail
 

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Armadillo Sports

Saturday’s 6-pack

Leading scorers in the NBA:
33.2— Joel Embiid, Phil
32.9— Luka Doncic, Dal
32.2— Damian Lillard, Port
31.4— Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, OKC
31.2— Giannis Antetokounmpo, Milw
30.1— Jayson Tatum, Box

Quote of the Day
“I’m using Muhammad Ali quotes because we’re in Louisville, and we talked about confidence and the key to confidence is being fearless. I thought we were fearless tonight.”
San Diego State coach Brian Dutcher

Saturday’s quiz
When was the last time a Big East team won a national title in college basketball?

Friday’s quiz
1997 was the last time a Pac-12 team won the national title in college basketball, when Arizona beat Kentucky in overtime to win the championship.

Thursday’s quiz
The first time Rick Pitino coached in the NCAA Tournament, he was coaching Boston University, in 1983.

***********************************************************

Saturday’s Den: Talking about basketball and gameshows

Before we get into the basketball, I watching The Price is Right the other day— I love game shows, think daytime TV should be all game shows, the way it was when I was a kid. These contrived debate/argument shows on ESPN/FS1 are stupid. Our country needs to be less stupid.

Anyway, the final Showcase is on, and a guy missed the price of his Showcase by $73, just an amazing guess. Showcase was over $42,000 and he missed by only $73; tremendous.

One problem; his bid was $73 OVER the actual retail price; you can’t go over the price, or you lose— both contestants lost this one. Never saw that happen before.

Price Is Right, Hollywood Squares, Match Game, I grew up watching that stuff (Jeopardy a little bit, too). Stuff like that is a hell of a lot better than watching overpaid morons argue with each other.

On to the basketball………
— My records go back to 1985; this is the first Elite 8 since then with no #1-seeds still alive.

Fun to watch, very difficult to predict.

San Diego State 71, Alabama 64
MVP was 5-10 PG Trammell, who played the last two years in the WAC at Seattle.
Alabama led 48-39 with 11:40 left in the game.
Alabama star Miller shot 3-19 from the floor.

Miami 89, Houston 75
Miami made 11-25 on the arc, scored 1.27 points/possession.
Nijel Pack was 7-10 on the arc; Houston’s whole team was 9-31.
Miami tied for first in ACC; their uniforms don’t say Duke, so people overlook them.

Creighton 86, Princeton 75
Creighton shot 74.2% inside the arc, scored 1.23 points/possession.
Bluejays lost six games in a row in early December; they’re 6-1 in last seven games.
Princeton was just 4th-ever #15-seed to get to this point.

Texas 83, Xavier 71
Texas never trailed, led 42-25 at halftime; total butt-kicking.
Longhorns’ 6-9 big man Disu got hurt early on; check status for Sunday
Texas is 16-7 against top 50 teams this season.

— What is the Texas administration doing? How is Rodney Terry still an interim coach? Longhorns are 22-7 since Chris Beard got fired, and Terry replaced him; it is inconceivable they could hire another coach after this run, where they’ve won the Big X Tournament, and now are in the Elite 8.

— Over the last three years, Big 14 teams are:
17-7 in NCAA first round games
4-13 in NCAA second round games
1-3 in Sweet 16 games.

24 teams, four got to the Sweet 16, one got to the Elite 8. No bueno.

— Kansas State PG Markquis Nowell is in his 5th year of college basketball:
2019— Little Rock went 10-21
2020— Little Rock went 21-10, but there was no Sun Belt/NCAA tournament
2021— Little Rock went 11-15
2022— Kansas State went 14-17, lost their last six games, fired their coach.
2023— Kansas State is 26-9 and Nowell is a big star.

He had 20 points, 19 assists in an overtime win Thursday, the most assists ever in an NCAA Tournament game. People are comparing him to Kemba Walker.

Stories like this are why the tournament has been so unpredictable. K-State has two players who played on the team last year, but the new group has bonded and are having a great season.

— Conference USA needs better TV exposure; I watch some of their games on ESPN+, but they have several good teams, teams that play all different styles.

Last eight years, Conference USA teams are 6-2 SU in first round NCAA Tournament games, and they were an underdog in seven of those eight games.

— Which big $$$ school is going to go after Florida Atlantic coach Dusty May? In five years at FAU, with a pandemic in the middle of it, Owls are 100-59, 52-34 in conference games. This is a Florida Atlantic program that is only in its 30th year as a Division I program.

Teams with current coach openings:
California, Temple, South Florida, Penn State, Texas Tech and technically, Texas, but if I was a prospective coach, I wouldn’t go anywhere near Texas- that should be Rodney Terry’s job.

All the other current job openings are below FAU’s level. Valparaiso just fired their coach; May went to college at Indiana, which is close to Valpo, but he can do better than a low-level Missouri Valley job.

— When they started the Big East Conference in 1979, they invited Holy Cross to join; Crusaders had a pretty good team back then, but the Holy Cross administration turned them down, citing the college’s commitment to academic excellence.

Could you imagine that happening today? How much $$$ you think they squandered by joining the freakin’ Patriot League? Holy Cross won four Patriot League titles under Ralph Willard 15-20 years ago, but come on, these big-time hoop schools make some serious cash— rich alumni like it when the alma mater is in the top 25.

— Loved listening to Stan Van Gundy/Kevin Harlan on TV this week; Van Gundy is all ball— I learn a lot every time I hear him describe a game. Harlan is a great play/play guy who sets his analysts up the right way. Van Gundy offers opinions; you may not agree with him all the time, but he’s coached in college and the NBA— he knows his stuff.

— Micah Shrewsberry bolts Penn State to be the new coach at Notre Dame; Nittany Lions were 23-14 this year, but they started four seniors, were the most experienced team in the country. They’re going to regress next year, no matter who the new coach is- it was time for him to jump.
 

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INDIANA is 17-5 ATS (11.5 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days in the current season.

BROOKLYN is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in road games on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.

DENVER is 16-2 ATS (13.8 Units) in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games in the current season.

PHOENIX is 10-2 Under (7.8 Units) in home games revenging a same season loss vs opponent in the current season.

UTAH is 27-10 ATS (16 Units) as a dog in the current season.

NEW ORLEANS are 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in road games on Saturday games in the last 3 seasons.
 

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