CNOTES 2022-2023 NBA TRENDS, NEWS, BEST BETS AND OPINIONS THRU THE PLAYOFFS !

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Dunkel

Tuesday, November 29


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NEW YORK (9 - 11) at DETROIT (5 - 17) - 11/29/2022, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 249-299 ATS (-79.9 Units) after a division game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 6-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 8-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


GOLDEN STATE (11 - 10) at DALLAS (9 - 10) - 11/29/2022, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 24-38 ATS (-17.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 496-412 ATS (+42.8 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 639-549 ATS (+35.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in all games this season.
DALLAS is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) in November games this season.
DALLAS is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in the first half of the season this season.
DALLAS is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) after a non-conference game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 7-5 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 6-6 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
8 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


LA CLIPPERS (12 - 9) at PORTLAND (11 - 9) - 11/29/2022, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=108 points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 5-2 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 6-1 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 

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TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 29

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
NY at DET07:00 PMDET +4.5
O 226.0
+500 +500
GS at DAL07:30 PMGS -1.5
U 228.0
+500 +500
LAC at POR10:00 PMLAC +3.5
O 211.5
+500 +500
 

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Hoop Trends for Tuesday, November 29
Vince Akins

ATS Trend of the Day
Matchup: Golden State Warriors vs. Dallas Mavericks (TNT, 7:30 p.m. ET)

The Warriors are 0-10 ATS since January when the total is under 239 and they had at least 34 assists last game

OU Trend of the Day
Matchup: New York Knicks vs. Detroit Pistons (NBA League Pass, 7:00 p.m. ET)

The Knicks are 0-7 OU since December 28 as a road favorite.

Choice Trend of the Day
Matchup: Los Angeles Clippers vs. Portland Trail Blazers (TNT, 10:00 p.m. ET)

The Trail Blazers are 6-0 ATS this season when their last game went over by at least 5 points.
 

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NBA NOVEMBER'S OPINION'S AND BEST BETS !

11/29/2022.............3-3-0.....................50.00%................- 1.50
11/28/2022.............9-9-0.....................50.00%................- 4.50
11/27/2022............7-11-0...................38.89%.................- 25.50
11/26/2022.............4-4-0.....................50.00%.................- 2.00
11/25/2022...........16-12-0...................57.14%................+ 14.00
11/23/2022............15-9-0.....................62.50%................+ 25.50
11/22/2022.............3-5-0......................37,50%................- 12.50
11/21/2022.............8-8-0......................50.00%................- 4.00
11/20/2022.............5-7-0......................41.67%................- 13.50
11/19/2022.............4-6-0......................40.00%.................- 13.00
11/18/2022.............9-11-0....................45.00%.................- 15.50
11/17/2022..............4-2-0.....................66.67%.................+ 9.00
11/16/2022............10-9-0.....................52.63%.................+ 0.50
11/15/2022..............4-6-0.....................40.00%.................-13.00
11/14/2022..............7-7-0.....................50.00%.................- 3.50
11/13/2022..............3-9-0.....................25.00%.................-34.50
11/12/2022..............7-9-0.....................43.75%.................- 14.50
11/11/2022............11-5-0....................68.75%.................+ 27.50
11/10/2022.............4-4-0.....................50.00%...................- 2.00
11/09/2022.............9-17-0...................34.61%.................- 48.50
11/07/2022...........15-15-0...................50.00%..................- 7.50
11/06/2022...............2-4-0...................33.33%..................- 12.00
11/05/2022...............8-8-0...................50.00%..................- 4.00
11/04/2022.............14-10-0................58.33%.................+ 15.00
11/02/2022...............11-8-1................57.89%..................+ 11.00
11/01/2022................5-3-0.................62.50%...................+ 8.50

TOTALS............197-201-1..................49.49%................. - 120.70


*********************************************

BEST BETS

11/29/2022................3-3-0................50.00%................- 1.50
11/28/2022................7-7-0................50.00%................- 3.50
11/27/2022................4-8-0................33.00%................- 24.00
11/26/2022................4-2-0................66.66%.................+ 9.00
11/25/2022...............10-2-0...............83.33%................+ 39.00
11/23/2022................9-6-0.................60.00%................+12.00
11/22/2022................2-4-0.................33.33%................- 12.00
11/21/2022................4-5-0.................44.44%.................- 7.50
11/20/2022................NO BEST BETS............................- 00.00
11/19/2022................1-5-0.................16.66%.................- 22.50
11/18/2022................4-7-0.................36.56%.................- 18.50
11/17/2022................3-1-0.................75.00%.................+ 9.50
11/15/2022................6-4-0.................60.00%.................+ 8.00
11/14/2022................4-4-0.................50.00%.................- 2.00
11/13/2022................2-7-0.................22.22%.................- 28.00
11/12/2022................3-4-0.................42.85%.................- 7.00
11/11/2022................6-4-0.................60.00%.................+ 8.00
11/10/2022................2-4-0.................33.33%................- 11.00
11/09/2022................5-4-0.................55.55%.................+ 3.00
11/07/2022................7-9-0.................43.75%................- 14.50
11/06/2022................3-3-0.................50.00%..................- 1.50
11/05/2022................5-7-0.................41.66%................- 13.50
11/04/2022................5-4-0.................55.55%..................+ 3.00
11/02/3033................6-4-1.................60.00%..................+ 8.00
11/01/2022................4-2-0.................66.66%..................+ 9.00

TOTALS............112-114-1.................49.55%..................- 65.00
 

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Armadillo Sports

Wednesday’s 6-pack

Odds to win the Super Bowl
+400— Kansas City
+450— Buffalo
+600— Philadelphia
+625— San Francisco
+900— Dallas
+1400— Miami

Quote of the Day
“It’s going back to that quarterback fight. I look at it like Manning and Brady. You can’t stop them. It comes down to whoever excels and takes advantage of their opportunities and drives and scores points. These are the types of games that we have to take care of the football and not turn it over.”
Bengals WR Tyler Boyd, talking about the Mahomes-Burrow QB rivalry

Wednesday’s quiz
Kelsey Grammer played Frasier Crane on Cheers and also Frasier; in what city did Frasier take place?

Tuesday’s quiz
Aaron Rodgers played his college football at California.

Monday’s quiz
Ron Jaworski was the Philadelphia Eagles’ QB, the first time they played in a Super Bowl.

***************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..

— If you’re running the Green Bay Packers, what do you do with your 4-8 team?

Do you still play 38-year old Aaron Rodgers, who hurt his oblique Sunday night and is also playing with a broken bone in his hand?

Or do you do play 3rd-year QB Jordan Love, their first round pick in 2020? At some point, they need to decide whether to sign Love to a new contract; this is his third year. The decision has to be made after the 2023 season; the way Love played Sunday night in Philly, his services will be in demand when the time comes.

Interesting decision, when to say goodbye to a legend.

Virginia 70, Michigan 68
Michigan led by 11 early in second half.
Slow-paced game, only 62 possessions.
Virginia was 12-19 on foul line, Michigan 8-10. In Ann Arbor.

Marquette 96, Baylor 70
Impressive performance by the 5.5-point home underdog.
Marquette led 51-25 at halftime. 51-25.
Marquette scored 1.39 points/possession, shooting 12-25 on the arc.

Clemson 101, Penn State 94, 2OT
Penn State led by 10 late in first half.
Clemson led by 10 with 7:22 left in game.
Clemson was 11-21 on the arc, Penn State 11-36.

Missouri 88, Wichita State 84, OT
Wichita led by 10 with 5:15 left; they were 6-14 on foul line.
Shockers turned ball over 20 times, Missouri 8.

Illinois 73, Syracuse 44
Syracuse is 3-4, with losses to Colgate/Bryant. Not good.

— Was going to post some notes about college quarterbacks transferring, but then I remembered that a lot of backup QB’s transfer. A twist of the old Garry Templeton line: “If I ain’t starting, then I’ll be departing”

Michigan has a shot at the national title this year, but backup QB Cade McNamara is gone to the transfer portal. He has two years of eligibility left; he is from Reno, would Nevada be an option?

— San Diego Toreros are 5-3 this year under new coach Steve Lavin, who went 226-133 in 12 years at UCLA/St John’s. He made the NCAA’s six times in seven years at UCLA, twice in five years at St John’s.

San Diego is a much tougher job; Toreros haven’t been in NCAA’s since 2008, but the weather is really nice. Lavin did a TV gig in between his coaching stops; I enjoyed his work- he seems like a genuinely nice person. Hope the Toreros win lot of games the next few years.

— Detroit Mercy guard Antoine Davis is in his fifth year of college ball; he’s scored 2,897 points in his career, is a lock to become the 11th player ever to score 3,000 points.

Odd fact: when he gets to #11 on the all-time list, it’ll mean that three of the top 11 scorers ever played for their father in college. Mike Davis coaches in Detroit; Pete Maravich and Doug McDermott also played for their dads in college, at LSU/Creighton.

— UAB is expected to hire former NFL QB Trent Dilfer as its new football coach; he spent the last four years coaching high school ball in Tennessee, going 38-8.

Dilfer played 14 years in the NFL for five different teams; he won a Super Bowl with the 2000 Ravens, later made a Pro Bowl with Tampa Bay. He worked as an analyst for ESPN and FOX before he took on the coaching gig in Nashville.

— San Francisco 49ers outscored their last four opponents 54-0 in the second half.

In their last eight games, Dallas Cowboys outscored opponents 130-45 in second half.

— Minnesota Timberwolves’ star Karl Anthony Towns is out 4-6 weeks with a calf injury.

— So far this season, there have been six times where a team played Lakers/Clippers back/back at the Crypto com Arena (Staples Center). Either back/back nights or two games in three nights.

First game, the visiting team is 4-2 ATS; all six games stayed under the total.

Second game, the visiting team is 1-5 ATS; five of the six games went over.

— Washington Nationals signed two free agents:
Jeimer Candelario, a 29-year old 3B who played seven years for Detroit.
Stone Garrett, a 27-year old OF who hit .276 in 27 games for Arizona LY.

— Hugh Freeze’s move to Auburn is vaguely similar to Ed Orgeron’s hiring by LSU.

Orgeron coached Ole Miss from 2005-07, going 10-25, 3-21 in SEC games.
Freeze coached Ole Miss from 2012-16, going 39-25, 19-21 SEC games.

Orgeron moved on to the Saints, Tennessee Vols, USC and finally to LSU; he went 6-2 as interim coach at USC, after Lane Kiffin was fired in 2013.
Freeze went off the grid for two years, then surfaced at Liberty, where he went 34-15 in four years, rehabilitating his career. His QB last year was Malik Willis, who is now a rookie with the Tennessee Titans.

Orgeron went 51-20 at LSU, 31-17 in SEC games; he won the national title in 2019, with Joe Burrow as his QB.
Will Freeze be able to match Orgeron’s success at his second SEC stop?
 

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CLEVELAND is 13-1 Under (11.9 Units) in home games after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons.

ORLANDO is 182-138 Over (30.2 Units) in home games after scoring 105 points or less 4 straight games since 1996.

BOSTON is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) after playing a home game in the current season.

NEW YORK is 22-8 Under (13.2 Units) in home games revenging a same season loss vs opponent in the last 3 seasons.

WASHINGTON is 5-21 ATS (-18.1 Units) after 2 straight games committing 7+ less turnovers than opponents since 1996.

SAN ANTONIO is 36-18 Over (16.2 Units) in road games after failing to cover the spread in 4 or more consecutive games since 1996.

MEMPHIS are 16-6 ATS (9.4 Units) playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.

TORONTO is 14-1 ATS (12.9 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.

HOUSTON is 60-85 ATS (-33.5 Units) as a dog in the last 3 seasons.

LA CLIPPERS are 68-41 Under (22.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% in the last 3 seasons.

PHOENIX is 11-2 Over (8.8 Units) off a win against a division rival over the last 2 seasons.

INDIANA is 39-16 Over (21.4 Units) when the total >=230 in the last 3 seasons.

LA LAKERS are 13-31 ATS (-21.1 Units) in home games after 1 or more consecutive unders in the last 3 seasons.
 

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PHILADELPHIA (12 - 9) at CLEVELAND (13 - 8) - 11/30/2022, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games this season.
CLEVELAND is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games in the first half of the season this season.
CLEVELAND is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in home games against Atlantic division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) after allowing 105 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 31-19 ATS (+10.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 20-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 15-31 ATS (-19.1 Units) after scoring 100 points or less over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 4-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 5-2 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


ATLANTA (11 - 10) at ORLANDO (5 - 16) - 11/30/2022, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 19-36 ATS (-20.6 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 15-31 ATS (-19.1 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 7-1 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 7-1 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


MIAMI (10 - 11) at BOSTON (17 - 4) - 11/30/2022, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 70-53 ATS (+11.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 30-13 ATS (+15.7 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 217-173 ATS (+26.7 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
MIAMI is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) after allowing 100 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 8-6 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 8-6 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
7 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


MILWAUKEE (14 - 5) at NEW YORK (10 - 11) - 11/30/2022, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.
NEW YORK is 18-31 ATS (-16.1 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games in November games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in home games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 5-21 ATS (-18.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 5-3 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 5-3 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


WASHINGTON (11 - 10) at BROOKLYN (11 - 11) - 11/30/2022, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 42-58 ATS (-21.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 21-33 ATS (-15.3 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 18-30 ATS (-15.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 140-184 ATS (-62.4 Units) in November games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 161-206 ATS (-65.6 Units) off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
BROOKLYN is 43-63 ATS (-26.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 30-47 ATS (-21.7 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 23-47 ATS (-28.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 13-40 ATS (-31.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 11-30 ATS (-22.0 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in home games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 4-3 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 4-4 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


SAN ANTONIO (6 - 15) at OKLAHOMA CITY (8 - 13) - 11/30/2022, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 61-40 ATS (+17.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 34-22 ATS (+9.8 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) after allowing 105 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 1213-1082 ATS (+22.8 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 399-336 ATS (+29.4 Units) in the first half of the season since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 490-413 ATS (+35.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-2 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 4-3 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


MEMPHIS (12 - 8) at MINNESOTA (10 - 11) - 11/30/2022, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 66-44 ATS (+17.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 50-31 ATS (+15.9 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 41-28 ATS (+10.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 41-24 ATS (+14.6 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 33-20 ATS (+11.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 482-558 ATS (-131.8 Units) in home games since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 69-98 ATS (-38.8 Units) in home games in November games since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 153-196 ATS (-62.6 Units) in home games in the first half of the season since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 25-44 ATS (-23.4 Units) after allowing 130 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 9-5 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 10-4 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
8 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


TORONTO (11 - 9) at NEW ORLEANS (12 - 8) - 11/30/2022, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 371-307 ATS (+33.3 Units) in road games after allowing 105 points or less since 1996.
TORONTO is 37-19 ATS (+16.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 4-0 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 3-1 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


HOUSTON (5 - 15) at DENVER (13 - 7) - 11/30/2022, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 42-55 ATS (-18.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 55-74 ATS (-26.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 37-53 ATS (-21.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 34-51 ATS (-22.1 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 52-73 ATS (-28.3 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 5-2 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 7-0 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


LA CLIPPERS (13 - 9) at UTAH (12 - 11) - 11/30/2022, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 33-47 ATS (-18.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 7-6 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 7-7 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
8 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


CHICAGO (9 - 11) at PHOENIX (14 - 6) - 11/30/2022, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 118-88 ATS (+21.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 71-50 ATS (+16.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 96-74 ATS (+14.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 202-247 ATS (-69.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 2-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 4-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


INDIANA (12 - 8) at SACRAMENTO (10 - 9) - 11/30/2022, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 3-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 3-1 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


PORTLAND (11 - 10) at LA LAKERS (7 - 12) - 11/30/2022, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 44-58 ATS (-19.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 43-57 ATS (-19.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 36-54 ATS (-23.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 4-4 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 5-3 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 

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NBA

Wednesday, November 30


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Trend Report
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Philadelphia @ Cleveland
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Philadelphia is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Cleveland
Cleveland is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

Atlanta @ Orlando
Atlanta
Atlanta is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Orlando
Atlanta is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Orlando
Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 7 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Orlando's last 10 games

Miami @ Boston
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Boston
Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Boston is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games

Milwaukee @ New York
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 7 games on the road
Milwaukee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New York
New York
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

Washington @ Brooklyn
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games
Washington is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 6 games at home

San Antonio @ Oklahoma City
San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Antonio's last 7 games when playing Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of San Antonio's last 24 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Oklahoma City's last 11 games

Toronto @ New Orleans
Toronto
Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Toronto is 16-4 ATS in its last 20 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New Orleans's last 8 games at home
New Orleans is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Memphis @ Minnesota
Memphis
Memphis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Minnesota's last 12 games when playing at home against Memphis

Houston @ Denver
Houston
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 8 games when playing Denver
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games when playing on the road against Denver
Denver
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Houston

LA Clippers @ Utah
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 18 of LA Clippers's last 24 games
Utah
Utah is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
Utah is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games at home

Chicago @ Phoenix
Chicago
Chicago is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Phoenix
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Indiana @ Sacramento
Indiana
Indiana is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games on the road
Sacramento
Sacramento is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Sacramento's last 7 games at home

Portland @ LA Lakers
Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Portland's last 8 games when playing LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Lakers's last 8 games when playing Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games


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WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 30

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
ATL at ORL07:00 PMATL -6.0
U 227.5
+500 +500
PHI at CLE07:00 PMCLE -3.0
U 210.5
+500 +500
WAS at BK07:30 PMWAS +5.5
O 229.5
+500 +500
MIA at BOS07:30 PMBOS -9.0
O 223.5
+500 +500
MIL at NY07:30 PMMIL -6.0
O 227.5
+500 +500
SA at OKC08:00 PMSA +3.0
O 230.5
+500 +500
MEM at MIN08:00 PMMEM -3.0
U 231.5
+500 +500
TOR at NO08:00 PMNO +3.0
U 222.0
+500 +500
LAC at UTA09:00 PMLAC +7.5
U 221.5
+500 +500
HOU at DEN09:00 PMHOU +11.5
O 230.5
+500 +500
CHI at PHO09:00 PMCHI +5.5
O 227.5
+500 +500
IND at SAC10:00 PMSAC -4.5
U 242.0
+500 +500
POR at LAL10:30 PMPOR +6.0
O 224.0
+500 +500
 

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Messages
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NBA NOVEMBER'S OPINION'S AND BEST BETS !

11/30/2022.........10-15-1....................40.00%................-32.50
11/29/2022.............3-3-0.....................50.00%................- 1.50
11/28/2022.............9-9-0.....................50.00%................- 4.50
11/27/2022............7-11-0...................38.89%.................- 25.50
11/26/2022.............4-4-0.....................50.00%.................- 2.00
11/25/2022...........16-12-0...................57.14%................+ 14.00
11/23/2022............15-9-0.....................62.50%................+ 25.50
11/22/2022.............3-5-0......................37,50%................- 12.50
11/21/2022.............8-8-0......................50.00%................- 4.00
11/20/2022.............5-7-0......................41.67%................- 13.50
11/19/2022.............4-6-0......................40.00%.................- 13.00
11/18/2022.............9-11-0....................45.00%.................- 15.50
11/17/2022..............4-2-0.....................66.67%.................+ 9.00
11/16/2022............10-9-0.....................52.63%.................+ 0.50
11/15/2022..............4-6-0.....................40.00%.................-13.00
11/14/2022..............7-7-0.....................50.00%.................- 3.50
11/13/2022..............3-9-0.....................25.00%.................-34.50
11/12/2022..............7-9-0.....................43.75%.................- 14.50
11/11/2022............11-5-0....................68.75%.................+ 27.50
11/10/2022.............4-4-0.....................50.00%...................- 2.00
11/09/2022.............9-17-0...................34.61%.................- 48.50
11/07/2022...........15-15-0...................50.00%..................- 7.50
11/06/2022...............2-4-0...................33.33%..................- 12.00
11/05/2022...............8-8-0...................50.00%..................- 4.00
11/04/2022.............14-10-0................58.33%.................+ 15.00
11/02/2022...............11-8-1................57.89%..................+ 11.00
11/01/2022................5-3-0.................62.50%...................+ 8.50

TOTALS...............207-216-1..................48.93%................. - 153.20


*********************************************

BEST BETS

11/30/2022................7-9-0................43.75%................- 14.50
11/29/2022................3-3-0................50.00%................- 1.50
11/28/2022................7-7-0................50.00%................- 3.50
11/27/2022................4-8-0................33.00%................- 24.00
11/26/2022................4-2-0................66.66%.................+ 9.00
11/25/2022...............10-2-0...............83.33%................+ 39.00
11/23/2022................9-6-0.................60.00%................+12.00
11/22/2022................2-4-0.................33.33%................- 12.00
11/21/2022................4-5-0.................44.44%.................- 7.50
11/20/2022................NO BEST BETS............................- 00.00
11/19/2022................1-5-0.................16.66%.................- 22.50
11/18/2022................4-7-0.................36.56%.................- 18.50
11/17/2022................3-1-0.................75.00%.................+ 9.50
11/15/2022................6-4-0.................60.00%.................+ 8.00
11/14/2022................4-4-0.................50.00%.................- 2.00
11/13/2022................2-7-0.................22.22%.................- 28.00
11/12/2022................3-4-0.................42.85%.................- 7.00
11/11/2022................6-4-0.................60.00%.................+ 8.00
11/10/2022................2-4-0.................33.33%................- 11.00
11/09/2022................5-4-0.................55.55%.................+ 3.00
11/07/2022................7-9-0.................43.75%................- 14.50
11/06/2022................3-3-0.................50.00%..................- 1.50
11/05/2022................5-7-0.................41.66%................- 13.50
11/04/2022................5-4-0.................55.55%..................+ 3.00
11/02/3033................6-4-1.................60.00%..................+ 8.00
11/01/2022................4-2-0.................66.66%..................+ 9.00

TOTALS...............119-123-2.................49.17%..................- 79.50
 

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Armadillo Sports

Thursday’s 6-pack

Indiana 77, North Carolina 65— Tar Heels lost their last three games.
Purdue 79, Florida State 69— Seminoles are off to a 1-8 start.
Indiana State 75, Drake 73— ISU outscored Drake 11-4 over final 3:11.
VCU 70, Vanderbilt 75— Vandy coach Stackhouse got ejected.
Notre Dame 70, Michigan State 52— Game was 42-24 at halftime.
Nebraska 88, Boston College 67— Cornhuskers shot 12-23 on the arc.

RIP to former NFL QB John Hadl, who passed away this week at age 82. Hadl played 11 years for the Chargers, then got traded to the Rams, where he finished 2nd in the MVP voting in 1973, sparking the Rams to a 12-2 record.

Hadl wore #21, odd for a QB; he wound up with an 82-75-9 career record, then coached for a while. He was Steve Young’s coach in the USFL, with the LA Express.

It was great fun to watch him play. RIP, sir.

Quote of the Day
“Look, I’d love to finish the season out, but I understand this is a business and there’s a lot of us kind of older guys who play a decent amount and they might want to see some younger guys play.Hopefully we don’t have to have that conversation. But if that conversation comes up, I’ll approach that with an open mind and without any bitterness or resentment.”
Aaron Rodgers

Thursday’s quiz
Who replaced Bob Knight as basketball coach at Indiana?
(Hint: He is still a Division I head coach)

Wednesday’s quiz
Kelsey Grammer played Frasier Crane on Cheers and also Frasier; Frasier took place in Seattle.

Tuesday’s quiz
Aaron Rodgers played his college football at California.

****************************

Thursday’s Den: How NFL offenses do on long drives

Points per possession, on drives starting 75 yards from the goal line:

Chiefs 191 points on 72 drives— 2.65 ppp
Browns 2.51
Bills 2.38
Bengals 2.37
Cowboys 2.36
Ravens 2.30
Seahawks 2.28
Vikings 2.26
Eagles 2.19

Dolphins 1.99
Raiders 1.94
49ers 1.88
Falcons 1.84
Packers 1.79
Saints 1.68
Giants 1.67
Jaguars/Chargers 1.64
Buccaneers 1.62

Lions 1.59
Patriots 1.58
Bears 1.51
Cardinals 1.49
Titans 1.46
Commanders 1.45
Texans 1.34
Jets 1.27

Broncos 1.23
Panthers 1.19
Steelers 1.10
Rams 1.03
Colts 0.81

If a team gives up a defensive/special teams TD on one of these drives, they lose 7 points, which hurt the Rams’/Colts’ ppp.

Why is this important? Sometimes, teams score lot of points because takeaways/special teams create short fields for the offense. This metric measures an offense’s ability to drive the length of the field, and score on its own.

New England has only 57 of these drives, seven less than any other team; they generally win the field position battle, and have good special teams, not necessarily good offense.
 

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DETROIT is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in non-conference games in the current season.




NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, December 1


3qT0g3Y.png





NBA

Thursday, December 1


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Trend Report
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Dallas @ Detroit
Dallas
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas


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DALLAS (10 - 10) at DETROIT (5 - 18) - 12/1/2022, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in all games this season.
DALLAS is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) as a favorite this season.
DALLAS is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in the first half of the season this season.
DETROIT is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in non-conference games this season.
DETROIT is 37-19 ATS (+16.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=108 points/game over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 600-499 ATS (+51.1 Units) in road games since 1996.
DALLAS is 100-64 ATS (+29.6 Units) in road games in December games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 3-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 4-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 

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THURSDAY, DECEMBER 1

DAL at DET07:00 PMDET +8.0
O 221.0
+500 +500
 

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BEST BETS FOR THE MONTH OF DECEMBER !

DATE....................................W - L..................................%....................................UNITS

12/01/2022........................2 - 0............................100.00%............................+ 10.00

TOTALS................................2 - 0.............................100.00%............................+ 10.00
 

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Armadillo Sports

Friday’s 6-pack
Top six teams in country in eFG%
.625— Arizona
.605— Utah State
.602— Indiana
.598— Baylor
.589— Gonzaga
.586— Colgate
eFG% is same as FG%, except a made 3-pointer counts as 1.5 made baskets.

Quote of the Day
“I was coachable. I was a sponge and aggressive to learn.”
Michael Jordan

Friday’s quiz
In the movie Last Vegas, Morgan Freeman’s character wins $87,000 playing blackjack at which Las Vegas casino?

Thursday’s quiz
Mike Davis replaced Bob Knight as basketball coach at Indiana; he is currently the coach at Detroit Mercy.

Wednesday’s quiz
Kelsey Grammer played Frasier Crane on Cheers and also Frasier; Frasier took place in Seattle.

*******************************

Friday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here…….

Bills 24, Patriots 10

— Bills’ first three drives: 32 plays, 175 yards, 17 points.
— Buffalo converted 9-15 on third down, Patriots 3-12.
— Bills outgained New England 355-242.
— 10 of 12 Buffalo games stayed under the total.
— Buffalo has now won five of last six games.vs New England.

— Patriots ran ball 14 times for only 60 yards.
— Last three games, Patriots converted 10-37 third down plays.
— Patriots’ last 5 games: 5 TD’s, 18 FGA’s, 20 3/outs on 55 drives.
— New England is 6-0 giving up 17 or less points, 0-6 giving up 20+.
— Buffalo had a 7-yard advantage in field position.

— Over the last three years, 19,217 college football players entered the transfer portal; of those players, 7,695 (40%) found their way to a different school.

— Kansas State-TCU play in the Big X title game Saturday at noon here in the east, but 11am in Texas, where the game is being played. Why play a game at 11am? Because TV wants them too; would make more sense for the ACC game to be on at noon, but the powers-that-be must think they’ll get better TV ratings with Clemson-North Carolina in primetime.

Can’t be much fun for the K-State/TCU kids to have their pregame meal at 7am, then play four hours later.

Remember, if you don’t know the reason for something, the reason is usually money.

— Lot of money in college football and in 2024, that $$$ will get bigger; the college playoff will expand from four teams to 12, which will make for fewer useless bowl games and more fun for fans/bettors/players. Maybe less fun for coaches, whose jobs will be scrutinized more now when they miss that expanded playoff.

— By the way, the guy West Virginia just hired as its new athletic director will be making $1.1M a year. Athletic directors are mostly big-time fund raisers, cowering to the big-$$$ boosters.

— In his career, LSU football coach Brian Kelly is 35-17-2 ATS as an underdog.

— Sunday afternoon, Kentucky-Michigan are playing a basketball game in London.

— Buffalo Bills put LB Von Miller on the IL; he is out for at least the next four games.

Seattle 9, Los Angeles 8 OT— 12 Kings recorded a point, seven of them 2+ points. It was the 12th NHL game in the last 35 years with 17+ goals. It was the first 9-8 game in the NHL since Winnipeg beat the Flyers back in 2011.

— Random trivia: Sidney Crosby holds the all-time record with 14 goals scored in the first minute of a game. Mark Messier had 13.

— Former Dodgers/Marlins manager Don Mattingly surfaced as the new bench coach for the Toronto Blue Jays.

— Tampa Bay Rays gave P Zach Eflin a 3-year, $40M deal. Eflin was 3-5, 4.04 in 20 games (13 starts) for the Phillies LY- they used him as a reliever in the playoffs.

Texas 72, Creighton 67— Bluejays were 4-27 on arc, still lost by only five. High-level game.

Northern Kentucky 77, Youngstown State 73, 2OT
Visiting Penguins led by 5 with 1:15 left.
Youngstown was minus-10 in turnovers (24-14).

Robert Morris 80, Wright State 59
RMC was a 12-point underdog; they made 9-17 on the arc.
Robert Morris was also +10 on boards.

Oregon State 66, Washington 65— Beavers scored layup/FT with 0:08 left to win its Pac-12 opener. Oregon State led 27-9 early, but had to outscore Washington 5-1 over last 0:41 to pull the game out.

Utah 81, Arizona 66— Upset out west; Arizona was 4-28 on arc. Carlson made 5-9 on arc, scored 22 points for 6-2 Utah.

Arizona State 60, Colorado 59
Buffs led 38-23 at half, 56-44 with 6:07 left in game.
Colorado was 9-17 on the foul line.
 

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WASHINGTON is 180-237 ATS (-80.7 Units) on Friday nights since 1996.

BOSTON is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in home games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the current season.

LA LAKERS are 33-57 ATS (-29.7 Units) after playing a home game in the last 3 seasons.

DENVER is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

BROOKLYN is 26-49 ATS (-27.9 Units) in home games as a favorite in the last 3 seasons.

CLEVELAND is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) in home games off a home win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

MEMPHIS are 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.

SAN ANTONIO is 9-1 Under (7.9 Units) in home games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons.

HOUSTON is 19-43 ATS (-28.3 Units) after having lost 2 of their last 3 games in the last 3 seasons.

INDIANA is 12-3 Over (8.7 Units) off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

GOLDEN STATE is 10-1 Under (8.9 Units) in home games playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
 

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