Cnotes 2021-2022 nhl trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

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Armadillo Sports

Friday’s 6-pack
Some Week 1 NFL spreads:
— Kansas City (-3) @ Arizona
— Chicago @ San Francisco (-6.5)
— Pittsburgh @ Cincinnati (-6.5)
— New England @ Miami (-3)
— Tampa Bay (-2) @ Dallas
— Denver (-4) @ Seattle

Quote of the Day
“Love the people who treat you right; pray for the ones that do not. Life is too short to be anything but happy. Falling down is part of life, getting back up is living.”
Anonymous

Friday’s quiz
Which NBA team drafted Kobe Bryant?

Thursday’s quiz
When Pete Rose first came to the major leagues, he played second base. He wound up playing 2nd, 1st, 3rd and all three outfield positions.

Wednesday’s quiz
Manny Ramirez hit 29 postseason home runs, the most in major league history.

********************************

Friday’s Den: Random thoughts with the weekend here…….

13) NBA commissioner Adam Silver is my favorite commissioner; a tall, bald man with glasses- he must be VERY smart!!!

Glad to see him back on TV at the draft Thursday; he missed the last two games of the NBA Finals with COVID.

12) Commissioner Silver sounded like he is in favor of kids going straight from high school to the NBA, which I think is a good idea. Lebron James, Kevin Garnett, Kobe Bryant; none of them played college ball. In the long run, it would help college ball, because the kids who play college ball would stay there longer- the game might have more continuity.

11) ABC’s coverage of the draft is unwatchable; four people on the main panel, only one of them played in the NBA and he (Jalen Rose) speaks the least of the four. You need a host, two guys who played in the league, and an ex-coach. Thats it.

Having Stephen A Smith on the draft coverage is just plain stupid.

Turns out ESPN had far better coverage; Jay Bilas is their Mel Kiper-type person and they actually talk about basketball.

10) I am baffled why people wager on any draft; teams purposely lie/mislead people on who they are interested in taking, yet people still wager on who will get drafted where.

9) John Wall opted in on his $47M deal for next season, pretty good bank for a guy who played zero minutes in two of the last three seasons.

Wall played 40 of 72 games in 2020-21; he hasn’t played more than 41 games in any season since 2017. But by all means, pay the guy $47M.

8) In major league history, there has been only walk-off home run that was an inside-the-park grand slam; Roberto Clemente hit it for the Pirates in 1956, as a 20-year old rookie.

7) Minnesota Twins are 4-12 in games where the game-winning run scored from the 7th inning on; despite that, Twins are 39-32 and tied for first in the AL Central.

6) Pirates 8, Cubs 7 (10)— Cubs lost their replay challenge in the top of the first inning, after the seventh pitch of the game. Replay wasn’t conclusive enough for them to risk their challenge on that play.

5) Archie Manning’s grandson Arch Manning (Cooper Manning’s son) committed to play college football at Texas- he still has one year of high school ball left. He is the Home QB prospect in the 2023 class.

4) Angels sent P Reid Detmers down to AAA; with Tyler Gilbert also in AAA, that means the last two pitchers who threw no-hitters in the major leagues are now both in the minor leagues.

3) Mariners 2, A’s 1— Oakland led 1-0 in ninth inning; Seattle scored twice in ninth inning, both on wild pitches. A’s are 9-31 in their last 40 games; they’re 1-9 in game after their last 10 wins.

2) Sean McVay is the third alumnus of Miami OH to win a Super Bowl as a head coach, joining Weeb Ewbank, Jim Harbaugh on the list.

1) Right now, Deshaun Watson/Baker Mayfield are going to be paid a combined $65M by the Cleveland Browns this season; there is a pretty good chance that neither one will play for Cleveland this year.

Oy.
 

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TAMPA BAY is 11-2 Over (8.8 Units) in road games on Friday nights in the last 3 seasons.




NHL
Dunkel

Friday, June 24


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NHL

Friday, June 24


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Trend Report
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Tampa Bay @ Colorado
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 9 games when playing Colorado
Colorado
Colorado is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Colorado is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay


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Lightning are 11-5 in the past 16 games overall.
Lightning are 1-4 in the past five road games.
Lightning are 13-5 in the past 18 playoff games as an underdog.
Lightning are 4-1 in the past five as a road underdog.
Avalanche are 59-13 in the past 72 home games.
Avalanche are 36-15 in the past 51 as a favorite.
Avalanche are 5-1 in the past six Stanley Cup Final games.
UNDER is 11-4 in the past 15 games for the Lightning.
UNDER is 5-1 in the past six road games for the Lightning.
UNDER is 7-3 in the past 10 as an underdog for the Lightning.
OVER is 4-1 in the past five games for the Avalanche.
OVER is 4-1 in the past five home games for the Avs.
Home team is 4-1 in the past five meetings.
Favorite is 20-8 in the past 28 meetings.
 

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Armadillo Sports

Saturday’s 6-pack
Major league leaders in runs scored:
58— Aaron Judge, NYY
55— Tommy Edman, StL
54— Rafael Devers, Bos
53— Mookie Betts, LA
52— Paul Goldschmidt, StL
50— Kyle Schwarber, Phil

Quote of the Day
“Durant’s got four years (left) on his contract, he’s starting that four-year max deal. This isn’t the transfer portal. You don’t get to say where you want to go.”
Adrian Wojnarowski, ESPN

Saturday’s quiz
Whose picture is on the $5 bill?

Friday’s quiz
Charlotte Hornets drafted Kobe Bryant, then traded him to the Lakers for Vlade Divac

Thursday’s quiz
When Pete Rose first came to the major leagues, he played second base. He wound up playing 2nd, 1st, 3rd and all three outfield positions.

************************************************** ******

Saturday’s Den: USFL playoff previews and other random stuff…….

13) When I was in 10th grade, had a biology teacher, Mr Broland. He had a crew cut and wore thin glasses; he looked just like Michael Douglas’ character in Falling Down. Very unusual for the 70’s. He had five outfits; one for each day of the week. Still remember that his Friday outfit was a gold tie with a gold button down sweater; he was a quirky guy.

This was 1974-75; we still had chalkboards back then. If someone in the class was talking, Mr Broland would throw one of the erasers at the person. Seriously, he would.

One day this kid Nick is chatting away with the girl next to him; we sat two to a cafeteria table in the classroom, not individual desks. Mr Broland glares at Nick, throws his eraser at him and……. he misses, drilling the girl next to him. Laughter ensues, the girl cried a little bit. That was the last of the eraser throwing.

My point is this; Why the BLEEP would we want teachers in schools to all carry a gun? In what way would this be a good idea? Would I want Mr Broland packing heat if someone invaded our classroom? He couldn’t even hit a kid with a freakin’ eraser!!!

Our politicians are largely corrupt morons. Seriously.

12) Jalen Duran had an interesting Thursday night; he was the 13th pick by Charlotte, but the Hornets traded him to the Knicks, who then traded him to Detroit. Lot of activity for an 18-year old kid. Getting traded twice within a half-hour doesn’t happen a lot.

In his one season of college ball at Memphis, Duren averaged 12 ppg, 1.3 assists/game, and 2.1 blocks/game and shot 60% from the floor.

11) I’ll be curious to see Duren play in the Las Vegas Summer League, which starts in a couple of weeks out in the desert. All the games are TV, but if you like the NBA, I highly recommend going out to Las Vegas and watching it in person.

For $30 or so, you can sit there all day and watch 4-5 high-quality games, in air-conditioning in an arena with excellent concessions and there are lot of famous people there.

I’ve gone 4-5 times, enjoyed it every time. Plus, even if you don’t enjoy it, you’re still in Las Vegas, which is never a bad thing.

10) Charlotte Hornets hired Steve Clifford as their new coach; Clifford is 292-345 in eight years as a head coach, 196-214 in a previous stop in Charlotte, 96-131 in Orlando. He made playoffs in four of those eight years, going 5-16 in playoff games.

Last season, Hornets went 43-39 but missed the playoffs for the sixth straight year, so they told the previous coach to take a hike.

9) San Diego 1, Philadelphia 0— Only run of game scored on a 6th inning single by Austin Nola; the pitcher was his brother, Aaron Nola.

8) Minnesota Twins’ last three games:
— Lost 11-10 at home to the Guardians Wednesday
— Beat Cleveland 1-0 at home Thursday.
— Lost 1-0 at home to Colorado Friday.

USFL playoff games:
Philadelphia vs New Jersey (-4.5, 47.5), in Canton, OH
Philadelphia Stars (6-4)

— Stars are 0-2 vs New Jersey, 6-2 vs everyone else.
— Won five of last seven games.
— Last seven weeks, they’re +10 in turnovers.
— Gave up 23+ points in nine of ten games (over 6-1 last seven).
— Have been outgained in eight of ten games (3-6-1 ATS).
— 1-3 ATS as an underdog.
— 5-1 if they score more than 17 points.

New Jersey Generals (9-1)
— Won last nine games (6-3 ATS), scoring 24.8 ppg in last eight.
— Last four games, Generals are +6 in turnovers (8-2)
— Outscored last four foes 70-34 in first half.
— 4-3 ATS as a favorite
— Six of their last seven games went over the total.

First meeting:
— Generals (+1) won 24-16 back in Week 3.
— New Jersey outrushed the Stars, 269-31.
— Philadelphia led 10-3 at halftime, was outgained 458-259.

Second meeting:
— Generals (-2.5) won 26-23 last week.
— New Jersey ran ball for 178 yards, outgained Stars 410-328.
— Philly ran ball only 17 times for 84 yards.

New Orleans vs Birmingham (-5.5, 44.5) @ Canton, OH
New Orleans Breakers (6-4)

— 5-0 when they score more than 17 points.
— Scored 9-17-3 points in last three games.
— Last three games stayed under the total
— Have nine takeaways in last three games (+2)
— 2-0 ATS this season as an underdog.

Birmingham Stallions (9-1)
— First game this season without home fans.
— Trailed at halftime in half of their ten games
— Outscored opponents 133-76 in second half.
— 0-4 vs spread the last three weeks (6-0 first six weeks)
— Scored 10-15-21 points last three games (26.9 ppg first seven)
— Stallions are favored for 10th time in 11 games (5-4 ATS as a favorite)

First meeting:
— Stallions (+3.5) won 22-13 in Week 3.
— Breakers outgained Birmingham, 316-313.
— Stallions were +2 in turnovers; they led 10-6 at the half.

Second meeting:
— Stallions (-3.5) won 10-9 two weeks ago.
— Breakers outgained Birmingham, 313-301
— Stallions led 7-3 at half; both team had three turnovers.

5) Xander Schauffele leads the PGA Tour event in Hartford by five strokes. Over the last 15 years, guys who led a PGA Tour event by 5+ strokes after the second round won that tournament 15 of 23 times.

4) White Sox are 0-3 in Johnny Cueto’s home starts, scoring 1-1-0 runs in those games.

3) Baseball injuries:
— Royals put C Salvador Perez (thumb) on the IL
— Rays put OF Manuel Margot (knee) on the IL
— White Sox put OF Adam Engel (hamstring) and Adam Mednick (knee) on the IL

2) Toronto Blue Jays hitting coach Guillermo Martínez was suspended five games after a confrontation with an umpire this week; he was suspended for making contact with umpire Doug Eddings during the exchange of lineup cards before Wednesday’s game in Chicago.

Apparently the Blue Jays had a beef with Eddings Tuesday night and it carried over.

1) I have the spreads for all the NFL games this season; somehow, the Cleveland Browns are favored in three of their first four games, even though no one, not even the Browns, know who their quarterback will be in those games.
 

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Armadillo Sports

Sunday’s 6-pack
— Houston 3, New York 0— Three pitchers combined on a no-hitter.
— Rays 6, Pirates 5— Tampa Bay scored twice in bottom of 9th.
— Orioles 6, White Sox 2— Disappointing Pale Hose are 15-21 at home.
— Texas 3, Washington 2— Adolis Garcia with a walk-off homer.
— A’s 9, Royals 7— Tony Kemp scored three runs, knocked in two others.
— Mets 5, Marlins 3— Pete Alonso hit two home runs.

Quote of the Day

“Completely overwhelmed. I have so many thoughts I want to share but can’t find the words, so I’ll just say this: I’m thankful.”
Pitcher Mark Appel, called up to the majors for the first time, nine years after being the first pick in the 2013 draft.

Sunday’s quiz
When Michael Jordan played minor league baseball for the AA Birmingham Barons, what number did he wear?

Saturday’s quiz
Abraham Lincoln’s picture is on the $5 bill.

Friday’s quiz
Charlotte Hornets drafted Kobe Bryant, then traded him to the Lakers for Vlade Divac

*****************************************

Sunday’s Den: College football knowledge

13) Six quarterbacks who transferred to new schools:
— Caleb Williams, Oklahoma to USC
— Spencer Rattler, Oklahoma to South Carolina
— Dillon Gabriel, Central Florida to Oklahoma
— JT Daniels, Georgia to West Virginia
— Bo Nix, Auburn to Oregon
— Kedon Slovis, USC to Pittsburgh

12) Clemson went 10-3 LY, which is a bad year for them; QB DT Uiagalelei completed only 55.6% of his passes LY, with nine TD passes, 10 INT’s. If Clemson is going to continue to dominate the ACC, their passing game has to be better than that. Having a new offensive coordinator complicates things some.

11) Baylor went 12-2 last year; they went for it on 4th down 33 times, which seems like a lot for such a good team- it was the 6th-most of any team in country. Bears converted 19 of those 33 fourth down plays.

This season, Baylor opens with I-AA Albany, where I went to school. My work study job back then was doing stats for football/basketball games. We didn’t have any good road trips like Baylor— the Great Danes were Division III back then.

10) Houston Cougars’ defense allowed opponents to convert only 29.7% of third down plays last year, the best %age in the country.

9) Indiana went 2-10 last year; they fired five assistant coaches, added 12 transfers. Hoosiers ranked 107th in red zone offense, 116th in red zone defense. Obviously, their Home priority is being better in the red zone.

8) Stanford was an unusually-bad 3-9 last year, losing their last seven games while scoring only 14.3 ppg. Cardinal was 0-8 last year when they scored fewer than 31 points- they bring back 10 starters on offense this season.

7) Last year, Charlotte’s defense was 129th in pass defense; there are 131 I-A teams. In their last three games, 49ers gave up 42-49-56 points. Charlotte gave up 73 plays of 20+ yards.

6) Florida State went 5-7 last year; six of their 12 games were decided by exactly 3 points, with Seminoles splitting those six games.

5) Iowa State was a disappointing 7-6 last year, 2-5 in games decided by 7 or less points, and one of the wins was 16-10 over I-AA Northern Iowa.

4) Temple lost its last seven games last year, outscored by an average of 43-8; they hired a new coach, Stan Drayton, a long-time assistant who was a great running back in his playing days.

3) Boise State was a disappointing 7-5 last year; they ranked 110th in country running the ball. Broncos have 15 of 22 starters back this season, have a QB with 25 career starts— improvement is expected.

2) Bowling Green QB Matt McDonald is in his sixth year of college football; he was at Boston College for two years, then transferred to Bowling Green, where he has started 17 games.

1) Michigan has only three starters back on defense; they’re on their third defensive coordinator in three seasons. LY’s DC jumped to the Baltimore Ravens, going from Jim Harbaugh’s team to John Harbaugh’s team. Wolverines don’t have any road games in September.
 

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COLORADO is 14-4 Over (9.6 Units) in road games after 3 straight games with 33 or more shots on goal over the last 2 seasons.




NHL
Dunkel

Sunday, June 26


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NHL

Sunday, June 26


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Trend Report
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Colorado @ Tampa Bay
Colorado
Colorado is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games at home


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Avalanche are 8-1 in the past nine road games.
Lightning are 13-5 in the past 18 games overall.
Lightning are 41-16 in the past 57 home games.
Lightning are 10-4 in the past 14 Stanley Cup Final games.
OVER is 6-2 in the past eight road games for the Avalanche.
UNDER is 13-4 in the past 17 games overall for the Lightning.
UNDER is 6-1 in the past seven home games for the Lightning.
UNDER is 10-1 in the past 11 games on a day of rest for the Lightning.
Favorite is 18-7 in the past 25 meetings.
OVER is 5-1 in the past six meetings in Tampa.
 

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