Cincinnati vs Navy 10/23/2021

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Cincinnati is a heavy favorite winning 99% of simulations over Navy. Desmond Ridder is averaging 181 passing yards and 1.74 TDs per simulation and Jerome Ford is projected for 180 rushing yards and a 98% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 1% of simulations where Navy wins, Xavier Arline averages 0.28 TD passes vs 0.23 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.11 TDs to 0.36 interceptions. Xavier Arline averages 136 rushing yards and 1.25 rushing TDs when Navy wins and 117 yards and 0.44 TDs in losses. Cincinnati has a 20% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 99% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is NAVY +27 --- Over/Under line is 51.5
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