Christmas Eve Service Plays 12/24/08

[chicago1bears]

<table border="0" cellpadding="3" cellspacing="0" width="100%"><tbody><tr bgcolor="#dddddd"><td valign="top">The Consensus Group</td> <td align="right" valign="top">Guaranteed Selections</td> </tr> </tbody></table> <table border="0" cellpadding="3" cellspacing="0" width="100%"><tbody><tr> <td valign="top">Date: Wednesday, December 24, 2008
$25.00 Guaranteed: We are on a 36-21 run in all of our guaranteed slections! Today ALL FIVE of our College Football Handiacppers are making this BOWL SELECTION a BEST BET and the Computer Game Simulator gives our play a 91% chance of covering for us! You can get our PERFECT 9000* HAWAII BOWL WINNER for just $25 and you must win or you will not pay!</td> <td align="right" valign="top" nowrap="nowrap">12/24/2008</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2">PERFECT 9000* HAWAII BOWL WINNER
213 Notre Dame -2 8:00 EST</td></tr></tbody></table>

 

[bobygaleana]

Sunday game of the year

To all of you, too much peace and Merry Chritsmas.

Gift: Miami

 

[Leatherman]

The Booooj is now 5-1 in Bowl games after last night's loss.

Sheraton Hawaii Bowl
Aloha Stadium, Honolulu, Hawaii
5 Units on Notre Dame (-2) over Hawaii
Hawaii (7-6) vs. Notre Dame (6-6)- This is a critical game for Notre Dame’s program. This is a team that can’t afford another embarrassment, and I believe they will play like they know it. Notre Dame started off the season looking like a very promising young team, but really stumbled down the stretch, losing four of their last five. Look for Notre Dame to really try and establish the run early in the game. If they can do that, it will go a long way to opening up the passing game for Jimmy Clausen and his talented receiving core. Hawaii linebacker Solomon Elimimian will look to stuff the run and force the Notre Dame offense into 3rd and long situations, which they struggle with. Defensively Notre Dame matches up very well with the Hawaii offense and should be able to hold them down enough to win the game. Notre Dame by 10-14.

 

[B.S.S.]

all right i'm sold.
any ethan law college bowl? 14-1 last year 5-0 this year,

 

[logan1981]

Ethan Law....ND

 

[logan1981]

apeche

12* hawaii
18* under

 

[nr12]

Merry Christmas Everyone

 

[Hap]

Seabass

20 Hawaii
Comp under

 

[nr12]

Ethan Law....ND

Thanks logan

 

[Cheddar]

No Stan Sharp today, NBA play tomorrow. Merry Christmas

 

[B.S.S.]

coglye west says he has a total today, going for 14 straight but there are no nhl games til friday.
:think2:

 

[SteveMcQueen]

anyone have ragingbull? thx

Haven't seen them yet. Do you follow them? I usually find them on another forum as well.

 

[SteveMcQueen]

Las Vegas Sport Picks

2* ND/Haw o48

 

[chuba]

adam meyer

hawaii +2

gl and happy profitable holidays

 

[SteveMcQueen]

Beat Your Bookie
Daily Premium Football Winners for Wednesday

Wednesday NCAA Football Winner

100* Play Hawaii (+1.5) over Notre Dame
(8:00 P.M. EST Kick-Off)

Notre Dame is 2-9 SU & ATS in all Bowl Games since 1992
Notre Dame is 1-8 SU & ATS coming off a loss by 28 points or more
Notre Dame is 2-7 SU & ATS coming off an UNDER the total

 

[SteveMcQueen]

Dr Bob
Opinion
Hawaii 26 Notre Dame (-2.0) 23 (at Hawaii Bowl)
05:00 PM Pacific, 24-Dec-08
The line on this game opened with the home team Hawaii being favored by 2 points and now Notre Dame is a 2 point favorite. I think the oddsmakers had this one correct when they opened Hawaii as the small favorite and the Warriors are the percentage side in this game against the perennially overrated Irish. Notre Dame wasn’t as overrated this season as they are in most years due to how bad they were last season, but the Irish are not much better than an average team. Notre Dame averaged a modest 5.1 yards per play this season against teams that would allow 5.4 yppl to an average team, but I decided to take their pathetic effort against USC (91 total yards at 1.9 yppl) out of the equation for this game since USC was extremely dominating this year. Even so, the Irish are still 0.2 yppl worse than average offensively and they’ll be up against a Hawaii stop unit that yielded a decent 5.4 yppl to teams that would combine to average 5.4 yppl against an average defensive team. So, Hawaii has a 0.2 yppl advantage when Notre Dame has the ball and Irish quarterback Jimmy Clausen is interception prone (17 interceptions in 12 games).

Notre Dame does have a solid defense that gave up just 5.1 yppl to teams that would combine to average 5.4 yppl against an average team and Hawaii has a negative offensive rating for the season (5.4 yppl against teams that would allow 5.6 yppl to an average attack). However, Hawaii’s offense got much better when Greg Alexander was installed as the Warriors’ quarterback midway through their week 9 win over Nevada. In those final 5 ½ games Alexander averaged 7.1 yards per pass play (against teams that would allow 6.6 yppp to an average quarterback) and Hawaii is 0.3 yppl better than average with Alexander at quarterback. Alexander also remedied Hawaii’s biggest problem, which was interceptions. Hawaii quarterbacks threw a combined 19 interceptions in the first 7 ½ games of the season, but Alexander threw just 2 picks in the final 5 ½ games. Hawaii’s offense with Alexander at quarterback is just as good as Notre Dame’s defense.

Not only does Hawaii have a slight 0.2 yppl overall advantage from the line of scrimmage over Notre Dame, but the Warriors are much less likely to turn the ball over than the Irish now that Alexander is at quarterback. Notre Dame does have a significant edge in special teams, which will help with field position, but my math model favors Hawaii by 1 ½ points at home – which is about what the oddsmakers had the line at. Notre Dame must have a lot of alumni that love to gamble, because the line on the Irish in bowl games is always off. Notre Dame has lost 9 consecutive bowl games straight up (1-8 ATS) and they’ve dropped 6 straight to the number due to bad lines. In addition to the line value, bowl teams playing in their home stadium are 14-5 ATS as long as they’re not favored by 7 points or more and teams that end the regular season by scoring less than 7 points (the Irish scored 3 points against USC) are just 3-15 ATS in bowl games as a favorite or small dog of less than 3 points. I’ve had Best Bets against the Irish in a few of those games, but I’ll resist making this one a Best Bet. I’ll lean with Hawaii at -1 or better and I’d consider Hawaii a Strong Opinion at +3 points and a 2-Star Best Bet at +3 ½ points (at -1.15 odds or better). I have no opinion on the total.

 

[roadreeler57]

COLOR="Red"]Merry Christmas[/COLOR]

 

[bcizzle20]

coglye west says he has a total today, going for 14 straight but there are no nhl games til friday.
:think2:

I just checked and it says friday they must have had a typo and fixed it or something
sucks i would've bet him tonight too

 

[B.S.S.]

I just checked and it says friday they must have had a typo and fixed it or something
sucks i would've bet him tonight too

yeah. nice to have a one per day solid nhl totals. i combine that with consensus nhl and that will hopefull carry me to mlb. I HATE HOOPS!

 

[mazinkaiser]

yeah. nice to have a one per day solid nhl totals. i combine that with consensus nhl and that will hopefull carry me to mlb. I HATE HOOPS!

I hate hoops too. Hoops only eats back my hockey profits.