i agree. but im not sure bama will win this game straight up - although they have MORE than "a chance". Bama is very, very, very good and gets no respect because their style of game isnt to score 50 points and people that watch college football think if you dont score at will ...then you suck. ball control and running will definitely work and get them some points vs. florida, and florida will certainly not be scoring their 40+ points, but they will score and at some point bama will need to get away from smashmouth and throw it around for some big plays, and I dont think JPW has it in him to do it big when it counts.
florida's defense is very underrated bc of their defense last year
nonetheless, 10.5 points is ridiculous, and i only see this covered by florida after a very very late score to put the game away
i would set the line florida -4 if i was setting it for sharp bettors only and not the national hoopla