Chick-Fil-A Bowl...UGa & VaTech

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Georgia's struggling offense is going to have a tough time scoring 17 pts vs. a top defense like Virginia Tech. QB Matthew Stafford is forecasted for just 129 yds and is averaging 0.5 TDs per simulation (vs 1.2 INTs). Virginia Tech's Sean Glennon is putting up good numbers with over 70% completion percentage and nearly 200 yds passing. RB Branden Ore is forecasted for close to 5 yds per carry and over 80 yds rushing. Georgia is winning just 30% of simulations while Virginia Tech is winning by 10 or more in 38% of simuations.

vtga.jpg
 

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Vtech -3 -106 58.8%
Ga +3 -104 34.8%

Ovr 38 59.2% -105
Und 38 38.7% -105

Vtech -151 70.6%
Ga +136 29.5%
 

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If you can find a VT -2 1/2, the forecast becomes quite strong:

VTECH -2.5: 65.3%
 

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