I'm back for one last game. Had a terrible 2023 betting year...football, NBA playoffs, even some light MLB plays. Didn't want to subject anyone else to the losing advice during bowl season.
Michigan/ UW- over 55 (-113) Part of this play is that I thnk the Michigan offense will just bully the Husky defense. I saw enough UW games this season to see how their front 7 can get pushed around. And the secondary and LBs gives up a lot of yards after catches. On the other hand, Penix and that offense are sort of in a different zone right now. They can play up to the level of whatever defense is playing them..and beat them. Penix is more accurate now, and in recent games, than he was earlier in the season. Really hard to sack with that quick release. Incomplete passes stop the clock, and I expect UW to keep the ball in the air. Great play-calling by the OC too. Michigan is facing different type offense than what they saw vs. Alabama, PSU or Ohio State. It is a great UM D, but Penix and Co. are the perfect "keep up" with the scoring offense. They also can get those back-door cover TDs late if needed. I pegged this total at 60-65.
A little on the 1H - over 27 (-140)
Michigan/ UW- over 55 (-113) Part of this play is that I thnk the Michigan offense will just bully the Husky defense. I saw enough UW games this season to see how their front 7 can get pushed around. And the secondary and LBs gives up a lot of yards after catches. On the other hand, Penix and that offense are sort of in a different zone right now. They can play up to the level of whatever defense is playing them..and beat them. Penix is more accurate now, and in recent games, than he was earlier in the season. Really hard to sack with that quick release. Incomplete passes stop the clock, and I expect UW to keep the ball in the air. Great play-calling by the OC too. Michigan is facing different type offense than what they saw vs. Alabama, PSU or Ohio State. It is a great UM D, but Penix and Co. are the perfect "keep up" with the scoring offense. They also can get those back-door cover TDs late if needed. I pegged this total at 60-65.
A little on the 1H - over 27 (-140)
