I like the CGY/MON under because although Calvillo and the Als offense have exploded in both games so far this year I don't put too much into it because they first played the Ti-Cats at their worst, and when Hamilton is playing bad football it is ugly. Then they played a good team with a good defense and tore them apart early on, but really struggled in the second half after the Bombers regrouped. If not for a absolutely clutch run by Calvillo the Als could have lost that game. The Als rely more on speed on defense than size and power which I think works when defending Calgary because they are a more of a run and gun team that likes to spread the field and take their chances downfield. Calgary doesn't have a great defense, but it doesn't have a terrible one either IMO. Their defense is a mixture of what we saw last week in giving up 34 to Edmonton and what we saw week 1 when holding the Lions to 18. Their defense has improved from last year and the more time they spend together the better it will become. Coming off a bad performance when Ray did what he wanted on them I'm sure they'll be pumped up and play better this week. I'm still on sold on the Als having a great offense. People underestimated Calvillo and his WR's heading into the year, but now I think people are going to get carried away with his success thus far. Still gotta remember it's only been two weeks. That's why so many got burned in week 2. They based their picks too much off of what had happened in the previous week and forgot to remember that it was way too small of a sample to really form a strong opinion about a team one way or another. I will say one thing about the Als though. Their WR's have been absolutely terrific so far.
As for Hamilton, if they play like last week they will have no problems beating the Riders. I haven't been impressed with the Riders yet even if they're 2-0. BC handed them that game, they didn't really earn it, and the Edmonton game was close until the Riders exploded for one good quarter of football. It's going to take more than that for me to pick them to win a game on the road in the CFL, especially against on the East.
Hope this helps. GL this week.