34-33 +12.2 units season
3-0 +13 units last week with my pow's
3-1 +11.9 units last week overall (lost Va)
Since last week worked so well I am going to play the same again this week.
*game of the week*
Mich -7 Mich is 8-3 ATS as a favorite, 5-1 ATS at home as a favorite, and they are 6-0 SU at home this year. Throw in revenge from last year and I believe the Wolverines win this by 14. More importantly to me is I think Ohio St is very overrated this year. Their defense is awesome but their offense is pretty pathetic and will only be worse with the injury to their WR Carter. Unless their defense scores for them then I believe that the Buckeyes will be in for a long day. I'm sure this line will drop since those points look so good so I will wait till it gets below 7 and then I will play it. I played Iowa last week vs Minn and the points looked real good then too but you know what happened Iowa in a rout.
*Strange Line Play*
5* S Miss -3 +100 TCU's BCS hopes will burst this Thursday night. The G-Eagles who are 6-0 vs the conf, 6-0 as a favorite, and 4-0 as a home favorite will beat TCU Thursday night. What is up with line? 67% of the people are on TCU but the line goes to 3. I had Louisville a couple of weeks ago vs TCU and they would have won if they had a FG kicker that could make a kick but this looks even better. #9 team playing a nobody and getting 3 points this game is a gimme.....I don't think so!!! Somehow S Miss pulls the upset. I played Wisconsin last week with this play and they blew out Mich St. I don't think this will be a blowout but I can see a 28-14 win. This play has already been played for 5 units!
*upset of the week*
Syracuse +2- Syr coming off a tough loss to Miami and WVA coming off a win vs Pitt. I used WVA last week as my upset of the week. I think with the line at +2- that they want you to take the favorite. Everyone saw how WVA beat Pitt last week and will look for them to do the same thing this week. I just think they will have a big letdown after their emotional win vs Pitt and the Orangemen will get a victory at home. Some stats for those that like them:
SYR 4-1 ATS at home, 1-0 as a home dog, covered 3 of the last 4 in the series
WVA 1-3 ATS as a favorite
Here are 2 games that almost made the cut:
Wisconsin -2 This almost made my strange line play but this line is probably about right after the big win last week at home and their win vs Ohio St at home but their unranked and a favorite over a ranked team. This is usually a profitable play but I have a feeling that this is a setup with the -2 after their thrashing of the Spartans. I think more people will be on Wis this week than Iowa and that is what the bookmakers are wanting but I guess will find out Saturday.
Maryland +1 This almost made my upset of the week. They have won the last 3 SU in this series and their defense is definetly better than NC ST's. I might play this Saturday as a smaller play since I have a feeling that the Terps will pull the upset but their road record has been so bad that you can't play a bunch on them and you don't know which Wolfpack team will show up either.
Back later with exact lines that I will be playing.
Hopefully another 3-0 with the plays of the week
good luck
lewis
[This message was edited by lewis on November 19, 2003 at 12:21 AM.]
3-0 +13 units last week with my pow's
3-1 +11.9 units last week overall (lost Va)
Since last week worked so well I am going to play the same again this week.
*game of the week*
Mich -7 Mich is 8-3 ATS as a favorite, 5-1 ATS at home as a favorite, and they are 6-0 SU at home this year. Throw in revenge from last year and I believe the Wolverines win this by 14. More importantly to me is I think Ohio St is very overrated this year. Their defense is awesome but their offense is pretty pathetic and will only be worse with the injury to their WR Carter. Unless their defense scores for them then I believe that the Buckeyes will be in for a long day. I'm sure this line will drop since those points look so good so I will wait till it gets below 7 and then I will play it. I played Iowa last week vs Minn and the points looked real good then too but you know what happened Iowa in a rout.
*Strange Line Play*
5* S Miss -3 +100 TCU's BCS hopes will burst this Thursday night. The G-Eagles who are 6-0 vs the conf, 6-0 as a favorite, and 4-0 as a home favorite will beat TCU Thursday night. What is up with line? 67% of the people are on TCU but the line goes to 3. I had Louisville a couple of weeks ago vs TCU and they would have won if they had a FG kicker that could make a kick but this looks even better. #9 team playing a nobody and getting 3 points this game is a gimme.....I don't think so!!! Somehow S Miss pulls the upset. I played Wisconsin last week with this play and they blew out Mich St. I don't think this will be a blowout but I can see a 28-14 win. This play has already been played for 5 units!
*upset of the week*
Syracuse +2- Syr coming off a tough loss to Miami and WVA coming off a win vs Pitt. I used WVA last week as my upset of the week. I think with the line at +2- that they want you to take the favorite. Everyone saw how WVA beat Pitt last week and will look for them to do the same thing this week. I just think they will have a big letdown after their emotional win vs Pitt and the Orangemen will get a victory at home. Some stats for those that like them:
SYR 4-1 ATS at home, 1-0 as a home dog, covered 3 of the last 4 in the series
WVA 1-3 ATS as a favorite
Here are 2 games that almost made the cut:
Wisconsin -2 This almost made my strange line play but this line is probably about right after the big win last week at home and their win vs Ohio St at home but their unranked and a favorite over a ranked team. This is usually a profitable play but I have a feeling that this is a setup with the -2 after their thrashing of the Spartans. I think more people will be on Wis this week than Iowa and that is what the bookmakers are wanting but I guess will find out Saturday.
Maryland +1 This almost made my upset of the week. They have won the last 3 SU in this series and their defense is definetly better than NC ST's. I might play this Saturday as a smaller play since I have a feeling that the Terps will pull the upset but their road record has been so bad that you can't play a bunch on them and you don't know which Wolfpack team will show up either.
Back later with exact lines that I will be playing.
Hopefully another 3-0 with the plays of the week
good luck
lewis
[This message was edited by lewis on November 19, 2003 at 12:21 AM.]
