CFB ***Thursday-Monday***

[lewis]

0-0


I am going to list the games that I am looking at right now. I have not played any of these yet.


Thursday

Northwestern +6- The Wildcats have 8 off and 10 def starters coming back this year and their entire offensive line comes back this year and the Wildcats avg over 200 yds per game last year on the ground. If Coach Walker decides to run the ball in this game I think they will win this game outright. TCU has only 6 starters back from their defense so it should take the D some time to gel before they are hitting on all cylinders. The Wildcat defense was much improved last year giving up 16 points less than they did the year before and having 10 starters back they should be better than that this year. I am going to play the Wildcats but I am hoping this line will jump back to 7 so I will wait.

I am also leaning towards A&M but will wait until Thursday to decide.

Saturday

Rutgers +6 They return 8 off and 7 def starters from last year and they went an incredible 10-1 ATS. The Spartans on the other hand return 5 off and 7 def starters. They ended on a 1-4 stretch last year and they have to replace their QB who was the conferences leading passer last year. Mich St is also 5-13 ATS as a favorite since 2000 and they were 3-3 ATS last year as a favorite. Rutgers was 8-1 ATS as a Underdog last year. I am gong to play this game but again I hope the line goes back up to 7.


Monday

South Florida -1- S Fla is 8-4 ATS at home the last 12 games and 11-4 ATS in non-conference games since 2000. They return 9 off and 6 def starters this year. They are moving to the Big East after this year and I think they will be ready to prove that they are going to belong in the conference. Pitt returns 3 off and 7 def starters from last year. They lose their off weapons in Rutherford and Fitzgerald. Their rush D was very poor last year and I expect it to be poor again this year. I think that the Bulls will be able to control this game by running the ball and they will pull the outright upset over the Panthers. This line will definetley go up by Monday so I will wait and play it then.

That is what I am looking at this weekend but I could add more. I will be back to post actual plays with units before the games kickoff.


any comments are appreciated


lewis

 

[fivedoorsdown]

think your right on.
at least i hope because that is my 3*** play of the weekend
only difference is i got it at -1 it,s not going to matter though

 

[muffinman]

Lewis,
Like the picks, but I'm a little wary of the Rutgers game. Everyone and their mother is on this game. We need to remember that they are still "Rutgers, the Scarlet Knights" playing "Michigan ST., Spartans" IF this line continues to drop, I am all over MSU.
BOL, my friend

 

[lewis]

fivedoorsdown

That was a mistake and it is corrected now. I haven't played it yet because I feel that the line will move in my favor.

Gl

lewis

 

[lewis]

muffinman

You are right. It seems that alot of people are on Rutgers and I usually don't play games that the public is on but I just don't think Mich St is going to be good this year. Rutgers is improving and I think that might keep this game close and possibly win it in the end but I am waiting on this game to see what the line does before I play it. I appreciate the feedback from you and 5 doors.

GL

lewis

 

[miked429]

i got utep early at +26 my only play today.

 

[lewis]

Thursday Plays


2* Northwestern +7 -120


1* Texas A&M +8-


GL


lewis

 

[lewis]

1-1 +0.9 units


lewis

 

[lewis]

1-1 +0.9 units


2* Rutgers +7 -140


a few others I am looking at:
AF +14
Memphis +4
Toledo +11-
Oregon St +17-

Back with more


lewis

 

[lewis]

1* Mich 1H -7

lewis

 

[lewis]

1* Oregon St +17-


lewis

 

[panther]

lewis

on a few with you

good luck

panther

 

[lewis]

2-0 +3 units early
3-1 +3.9 units season


3* Toledo +10- I am not sure why this line has gone down since I haven't seen anyone on Toledo. I thought if anything this line would go up since the MAC has done so poorly early but I think Toledo keeps it close.

I am also looking at BYU for tonight.

Back if I play it


lewis

 

[lewis]

1* BYU +7 -120

lewis

 

[lewis]

5-2 +2.6 units

Toledo sucked it up last night.

Back in few for Sunday plays

lewis

 

Very nice Lewis. You always seem to do solid here.

 

[lewis]

Sunday


3* Purdue -12 Purdue is 10-3 ATS at home the last 2 years and they were 8-2 ATS as a favorite last year. They return 8 off starters and should dominate the Cuse on that side of the ball. The Cuse were 2-3 ATS as a dog overall last year. They return 4 off and 6 def starters from last years team.

Back with more

lewis

 

[lewis]

omaha

thanks and you have been a solid capper for a long time and you are someone that I hope I am not playing the opposite of a game against.


GL


lewis

 

[lewis]

1-0 +3 units early(Purdue up 51-0)
6-2 +5.6 units season


1* UNLV +17- Seven starters return for the Rebels on defense which was ranked 42 nationally last year in points allowed. They also return 6 starters on offense and including QB Kurt Nankes. Tenn on the other hand returns 5 off and 4 def starters. They also lose their QB Claussen who started for 4 years. I think the Rebels defense will keep this game close and their offense will be effecient enough to put a few TD's on the board.



I also liked Fresno St today but this line has gone from +3 to -1- so I will just watch this game and possibly play a 2H play if one looks good. The Bulldogs return 9 off and 8 def starters while the Huskies return 6 starters on both sides of the ball. Fresno St has owned the Pac 10 conference in the past. As you can tell I really like this game but all the value is gone with the huge line move.


lewis

 

[lewis]

6-3 +4.5 units

My goal each week is to be up units at the end of the week and this starts the season out on the right foot winning 4.5 units. I am not playing tomorrow's game and since the Sfla game got postponed this is it for week 1.

Back on Thursday with the start of week 2

lewis