What's up guys! Yesterday I went 4-3. One game I got a bad number with UIC @ +1.5. It closed at +3. If I get the closing number, I win!! I also added Stanford +8 and they lost by one possession. I am starting to feel good about how I am looking at games. I feel that College Hoops has the biggest home court/field advantage in all the sports. Especially in conference play. When I see a short home dog, I really look at that game. Also, I read that when there is a ranked team on the road in conference giving double digits, take the home team. It covers at a high rate. So, I also look at conference games where the road team isn't ranked but still giving double digits. If I like what I see, I will take the home double digit dog. Well, enough of my rambling.
Rider +3.5 FH - Rider was leading in the first half of their last 6 road games. If they have any chance in this game against Canisius, they will need to come out strong in the first half.
Boston +8 -120 b .5 point - Boston and Lehigh are both 6-3 in conference and both are a little over +4 points differential in scoring. They seem to be a very similar team statistically. Lehigh has played a little tougher schedule. Boston has only played in one lined game tis season and Lehigh has no lined game this season. I feel that 8 points is too many and I will take the road team and buy a .5 point.
Western Carolina +13 - Mercer is definitely the statistically superior team but, both teams have played a tough schedule this year. As a matter of fact, W. Carolina played the 20th toughest Non Conference schedule per Kenpom. I don't see W. Carolina winning the game but, they just lost to Mercer by 20 points two games ago and I think they play hard for revenge. This is more of a play against Mercer giving too many points.
Troy -4 -120 b .5 point - This is more of a home court advantage play. Troy lost at Ga Southern earlier this season and I feel that these teams are close enough statistically that they should split their home/home series. Troy plays well in conference play and is tough at home.
La Monroe +2.5 - La Monroe hasn't won a conference game this season. Little Rock holds a nearly +10 point differential in conference play. It seems a little too easy to take Little Rock as a short fav on the road. Looking at the strength of schedule on Kenpom you see that Little Rock has played a cupcake schedule. La Monroe's SOS is much tougher and I think they will fight hard at home as a short dog.
For some reason, Oklahoma/Ok State game is off the board for me. I am leaning Oklahoma but, I think one of their starters, Woodard, has an illness. He must be a game time decision. I may stay away from this game unless I hear some good news about Woodard.
Good Luck tonight!!
Rider +3.5 FH - Rider was leading in the first half of their last 6 road games. If they have any chance in this game against Canisius, they will need to come out strong in the first half.
Boston +8 -120 b .5 point - Boston and Lehigh are both 6-3 in conference and both are a little over +4 points differential in scoring. They seem to be a very similar team statistically. Lehigh has played a little tougher schedule. Boston has only played in one lined game tis season and Lehigh has no lined game this season. I feel that 8 points is too many and I will take the road team and buy a .5 point.
Western Carolina +13 - Mercer is definitely the statistically superior team but, both teams have played a tough schedule this year. As a matter of fact, W. Carolina played the 20th toughest Non Conference schedule per Kenpom. I don't see W. Carolina winning the game but, they just lost to Mercer by 20 points two games ago and I think they play hard for revenge. This is more of a play against Mercer giving too many points.
Troy -4 -120 b .5 point - This is more of a home court advantage play. Troy lost at Ga Southern earlier this season and I feel that these teams are close enough statistically that they should split their home/home series. Troy plays well in conference play and is tough at home.
La Monroe +2.5 - La Monroe hasn't won a conference game this season. Little Rock holds a nearly +10 point differential in conference play. It seems a little too easy to take Little Rock as a short fav on the road. Looking at the strength of schedule on Kenpom you see that Little Rock has played a cupcake schedule. La Monroe's SOS is much tougher and I think they will fight hard at home as a short dog.
For some reason, Oklahoma/Ok State game is off the board for me. I am leaning Oklahoma but, I think one of their starters, Woodard, has an illness. He must be a game time decision. I may stay away from this game unless I hear some good news about Woodard.
Good Luck tonight!!
