CBB-Monday

[Kapusta]

2 plays today to start off the week! Overall 55-51 +1090. (5*plays 14-8)




4 Units-Niagara-10 over St.Bonnies-Bonnies 0-7 looking for their first win, once they get in their crappy league that will happen! Niagara has way too much offense for the Bonnies. Not enough scoring on the other side. Niagara rolls!

3 Units-Central Michigan+19 over Vandy-Commodores have a long stretch at home and will take care of the young Chippawes but not by the number. Central Michigan playing much better than earlier in the season, and have played some good teams on the road. They'll keep it within the numbers!

Be wary I smell a rat on 2 games, E-Mich getting points against Detroit, when their 6-1, detroit 2-6, and Southern Miss getting 2 against South Alabama. Weird spread and no reason for them to be getting. Be Careful!
Good Luck on all your action!!!!$$$$ :banger: :banger:

 

[DeathEatsaCracker]

I'm relatively new so I was wondering if you or someone else could educate me a bit. If you think the wrong team is favored why don't you jump on it? Is it because of potential inside knowledge from the oddsmakers? Is is possible that it's a mistake on their part?

 

[Kapusta]

Death-They don't make mistakes. I'm surprised there are not a lot of people on E-Mich and Southern Miss. Detroit is very weak this year and E-Mich is pretty loaded and they're getting 4 1/2-5. Usually when that happens they want the action to be played on the dog. What happens is that Detroit will probably win by more than the spread. Seen this happen thousands of times just giving you my 2 cents. I would play Detroit, not gonna, but think they'll cover. Good Luck!

 

[DeathEatsaCracker]

It's hard to resist...but I will. I'll keep a close eye on those games and maybe learn something.

Thanks for the heads up.

 

[Kapusta]

Death-Good Luck on your plays!

 

[Coast2Coast]

Seeing a lot of love here for a Niagara team that IMO has the appearance of a very soft favorite. No question they will score points, but isn't it a fair guess to think Bonnie will score also against a Niagara team that is unquestionably more talented, but which has been a 50% defensive team on the road? And Niagara's road shooting has shown the typical 5-8%% home/away off fg % differential so common to "average" college teams. (Niagara a 42% off shooting team on the road). Niagara was beaten SU in their only previous role as a DD road chalk and are 0-2 ATS as road chalk. Bonnie also has played better opponents than this (Syracuse and WVU) and hung inside the number in those tilts. The Bonnies may be bad offensively, but they did hang 67 against a Cuse team at Cuse that plays defense much better than this Niagara team. Also, a better Niagara team than this beat a worse Bonnie team than this by just 9 at Niagara last year. Hate to be a naysayer here, but bad defensive teams laying doubles on the road don't get my money. On the contrary, the home dog has some appeal to me....not so much because Bonnie is a bet "on" but because Niagara doesn't appear to have the defensive discipline required to cover doubles on the road. Good luck to you.

 

[LowTide]

Kap,
These are the two I liked as well although I elected to play Niagara for the first half.Good perspective from Coast,but I do think Niagara will get it done tonight.Let's bring them in.

 

[Kapusta]

Coast-Niagara really doesn't play Defense your right, but the Bonnies are very young with little offense. This game might be tight early, but Niagara will score at will against the Bonnies.


LowTide Good Luck to you. Start the week off with some winners!

 

[TheATMMachine]

Kap,what you think about Temple? Theyv'e played brutal schedule and lost alot of close games.Princeton on the other hand is completely opposite.Played a bunch of cupcakes and struggled. Thanks!

 

[Kapusta]

ATM-I would play Temple in this game, Chaney's 1000th game on ESPN 2, and they're starting to play much better. Princeton is the cream of the Ivy but it's a very weak conference along with the Atlantic 10. Good Luck if you take the Owls! Very low scoring game probably.

 

[TheATMMachine]

Thanks Kap,keep up the great work!

 

[DeathEatsaCracker]

I can't take it. Those lines look to good to pass up.

What's the best way to learn a lesson? Lose money.

.5 units on Eastern Michigan +4.5 and So. Miss +2.

Let's hope for 2-0 on rats.

oke1:

 

[Kapusta]

Good Luck Death-I hope you squash those rats and cash!

 

[JohnMolson]

Eastern looked bad in that 1st half.down 8.got the makings of a Detroit blowout if Eastern comes out slow in the 2nd:kicking:

 

[BookUm]

Kap

thanks for the cheese tips, hate to be the rat..

 

[DeathEatsaCracker]

Looks like Niagra is barely gonna cover.

 

[DeathEatsaCracker]

Rats 1
Death 0

Missed covering by 1/2 point.

 

[Kapusta]

Death-Good Luck on southern Miss, I hope they come through for you!

 

[Coast2Coast]

nice call on Niagara. I should have known better than to back an ugly dog that you were going against. good job.

 

[Kapusta]

Coast-You had some very good points. Good Luck!