Byron Nelson 2022

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May as well do some golf! Guy tells me Will Z gets 1st win. Great spot. Texas Guy in great form outside a leaky putter at times. Plus very familiar with this course.

Long and wide open. Spray and pray bombers may have an edge especially if wind plays a factor. Not much trouble here off the tee. Par 5’s all reachable for big hitters. Scoring and birdie fest type course here. Low -20 Under type score possible. Much much deeper field than last year. 2nd year at TPC Ranch.

2 super short par 4’s
4 scoring par 5’s
Little to none Hazards come in olay
Zoysia fairways (prey much ball is teed up fairway)
Bent Greens (somewhat fast very smooth)

Bent greens should help bad putters as most neutral greens. And these greens roll smoothly. Solid approach guys should feast. Texas guys always seem to play well in Texas. South Africa guys also. May as well grab a mix of bombers, Texas guys and some Asian always pops off in Texas . Grab several positions on T5-T10 guys for little insurance into weekend if we got a pulse. Then see what to win value is out there.

Will take a position on few to win and evaluate some value after day 1.2,3. For win odds. Pretty solid field up top. I’d imagine it’s under 30-1 odds player who wins on pretty easy course (minus wind)

1 unit $10

To Win T5 T10 10 units $600
J Thomas 12-1 3-1 2-1
W Zalatoris 22-1 5-1 3-1

To Win T20 5 units $200
H Nasty Yams 25-1 1.4-1
T Gucci Gang 40-1 2-1

Top 5 2 unit $200
C Champ 14-1
B Watson 16-1
M Wolff 16-1
K Mitchell 16-1
D Fritelli 20-1
H Swafford 25-1
S Stallings 25-1
A Smotherman 35-1
P Barjon 55-1
B Hagy 75-1

Top 10 2 unit $200
K Mitchell 9-1
K Kitiyama 9-1
T Hoge 10-1
C Pan 10-1
A Rai 10-1
D Fritelli 12-1
H Swafford 12-1
A Smotherman 16-1
B Houssler 16-1
P Barjon 22-1
B Hagy 25-1


Not going to list all stats. But in a nutshell (Distance, Iron and Birdie better) guys who rank Top 10 in about 5 of 7 categories which rank well here.

No specific order. FWIW
H Nasty Yams
S Bermuda Burns
J Thomas
W Zalatoris
 

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