Buying Points during 67 Madness games-Tracking side and total

[TimmyRules]

Buying 1.5 points generally costs-140 so for a $10 bettor that is an extra $3 for every loss.

I'm curious how many of the 67 games the side or Total end within 1.5 points of Final odds (per scoresandodds).

Tues 3-19

Sides 0-2
Totals 0-2

 

[TimmyRules]

Tuesday 0-4 -$12

Wed
Side 1-1
Total 0-2

1-3 +$1

ytd
1-7 -$11

 

[TimmyRules]

Thursday first 8

Side 0-7-1
Total 0-8

0-15. -$45

 

[TimmyRules]

Thursday Last 8

2-6 Sides StM and ODU
1-7 Total Mich

3-13 -$9

YTD 4-35-1. -$65

 

[TimmyRules]

Friday first 8

Side 0-8
Total 2-6 Virg/TN

2-14 -$22

ytd 6-49-1. -$87

 

[TimmyRules]

Friday late 8

Side 0-8
Total 0-8

0-16 -$48

ytd 6-65-1. -$135

 

[JimmyVegas]

I think with basketball it isn’t worth it. Football might work

 

[TimmyRules]

I think with basketball it isn’t worth it. Football might work

You hear how tight the lines are, but so far the results don't support that statement.

I'm doing this as much for myself as others as I am guilty of laying the 140 but I'm a small player. BUT, I also have smaller bankroll so in reality it is all the same. It has made me play Reduced lines so that helps even more on losses.

 

[TimmyRules]

Saturday's 8

Side 2-6 (LSU, KY)
Total 0-8

2-14 -$22

ytd 8-79-1. -$157

 

[TimmyRules]

Sunday's 8

Side 1-6-1 (VT, Vir)
Total 2-6. (Hou, OR)

3-12-1 -$6

ytd 11-91-2 -$163

 

[TimmyRules]

Let's see how close these Thursday games play out.

 

[TimmyRules]

Thursday's 4

Side 0-4
Total 0-4

0-8 -$24

ytd 11-99-2 -$187

 

[TimmyRules]

Friday's 4

Side 0-4
Total 0-4

0-8 -$24

ytd 11-123-2 -$211

 

[TimmyRules]

Saturday's 2

Side 1-1. (Purdue-the most recent one hurts) face)(*^%
Total 0-2

1-3 +1

ytd 12-126-2 -$210

 

[TimmyRules]

Sunday's 2

Side 0-2
Total 0-2

0-4 -$12

ytd 12-114-2 -$222. (Made a mistake on Friday and Saturday ytd losses but this is correct)

 

[TimmyRules]

1 game down 0-2 results - 1 more tonight then Monday night.

Clearly, on what should have been the tightest lines, buying 1.5 points only impacted 14 of 130 outcomes so far.

This experiment supports not buying points.

 

[TimmyRules]

Saturday's 2

Side 0-2
Total 0-2

0-4 -$12

ytd 12-118-2 -$234

 

[NorthernStar]

1 game down 0-2 results - 1 more tonight then Monday night.

Clearly, on what should have been the tightest lines, buying 1.5 points only impacted 14 of 130 outcomes so far.

This experiment supports not buying points.

I think you studied the wrong approach. You looked at buying points for favorites. I think the NCAA tournament is filled with good teams that can win on any given night. Thus buying points on the dogs would give much different results.

Not sure what you did on totals but I would tend to think more low scoring games. Not a big fan of buying points on totals...actually like to sell points when possible but books are wimpy about selling points.