Bush up to -173 now; it is looking good for him but way too high of a price. The best bet (I've been hollaring this for a few months now) is still the over/under on the number of states. Pinny has over 30 at +116: if he wins the election he will get at least 30. 27 are in the bag. He only needs to win 4 of Florida, Ohio, hawaii, Iowa, New Mexico, Penn, Wisconsin, and Minnesota; I find it hard to believe that he'd win Florida and Ohio (getting over 270 EV) without winning at least two other tossup states.