Bud's Bangs 10/21-23

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Last week 12-9, you can see it here http://forum.therx.com/showthread.php?t=232672
Ok Guy's, the Lines are up, after 5 minutes I've pounded 9 Games
Syracuse @ WVU -12.5
USF @ Louisville -21.5
USF @ Louisville OVER 57
Iowa +1.5 @ Penn State
Virginia -17.5 @ Duke
Maryland @ Clemson -3
Florida -21 @ Miss State
Colorado @ Texas A&M -12.5
Texas -3 @ T Tech
Georgia -6.5 @ Arkansas

All my other pinnacle cash is tied up in the Denver Broncos right now, when I get it I will pound:
Miami -6.5
Ok State +2.5 (Bidding to +1 @ 2.61-1)
Navy -7
UAB -14!

I'd like opinions on these leans please.
Boston College +7
Minnesota -20

Bud
 

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minny's season is done save your money
and bc didnt you learn your lesson against pitt (-iful)
 

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Card as of 7:30.

Ok Guys Here's my Card, and a few that I plan to bet. Comments and insight are always accepted and appreciated.

Syracuse @ WVU -12.5
USF @ Louisville -21.5
USF @ Louisville OVER 57
Iowa +1.5 @ Penn State
Virginia -17.5 @ Duke
Maryland @ Clemson -3
Florida -21 @ Miss State
Colorado @ Texas A&M -12.5
Texas -3 @ T Tech
Georgia -6.5 @ Arkansas
Memphis -6.5 @ Cincinatti
Miami (FL) -6.5 @ NC State
UAB -14 @ Tulane

I am planning to bet these soon, but will refrain right now to observe line movement.
OK State +2.5 @ Missouri
Rice @ Navy -7
Iowa State @ Baylor +10

Possible leans on:
Illinois @ Minnesota -20
Boston College +7 @ Notre Dame
Kansas +26 @ Oklahoma
Rutgers +5 @ Pitt
FSU -15 @ Wake Forest (I'm gambling that this line ends at 12.5 ish)
Houston +3.5 @ TCU (I'll probably just take this moneyline).
Washington @ USC -29
Idaho @ Middle Tenessee State -8.5

I'd really like to hear your ideas on these games, especially the leans and soon2bets.
GL and Bank it Baby,
Bud
 

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agree with baylor over iowa state. cyclones have terrible special teams and
haven't won outside of iowa forever. penn state and iowa should be close, but
expect iowa defense too shut down lions and win narrowly.
 

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Thanks Hawkeye

People overlook a team like Baylor. Nobody goes 0-11 ATS. It's in baylow and they should keep it close. Thats a bad defense for Iowa State.
In my evolution as a gambler, I've seen myself start to cap fewer and fewer games per week, and go with stronger plays. Hopefully we will have an even better week this week.
Bud
 

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Been busy with work this week, bud. I'm on TX Tech, and Kansas for sure. Card looks solid. GL!
 

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Bud,

Right now, like your Rutgers, Minnesota, Oklahoma St. and Boston College plays...
 

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Baylor probably win outright. Iowa St. terrible on road. But you know what they say about crappy team vs. crappy team


I am probably on other side w/ TCU. UofH aint very good. Granted, TCU not much better, but they are at home, and Houston has a poor road-game track record.
 

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Hou @ Tcu

I don't think TCU is better than Houston. We all saw Houston's offense, against Miami. They are very funky. I think TCU gives up 50 points here. They are very efficient. TCU can't play defense, and Houston can play some defense.

I like Baylor to win outright, but I'll gladly take the 10 points here. Overtime is a winner too.

By the way, I have developed a baseball system that allowed me to triple up this year, using a formula with independent pitching statistics. Houston tommowow -1.5 at +340 is a serious value wager. Matt Morriss is the 3rd most ovverated pitcher in the bigs (Zito, and Russ Ortiz), and with the weather being sub-50, he can't throw the curve effectively. I put 2% of my account on it, and then I took Houston on the ML at 1% of my account at +210. Just some thoughts about it.
 

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My Teaser of the week.

Ok, this is a Thurs/Friday Bankrool Booster. On Pinnacle, and I assume other books also, 3 Team 10 point Teaser.
WVU -6.5
Louisville -19.5
Louisville Over 47.
It pays +135, and I put 6% of my account on it.

My FSU update- Players are healthier than last week. Travis Johnson and Sims are my players of the week on defense. Sexton who was 24-26 (4 horrible drops), is my offensive. He made only 3 incorect reads, completing 2 of them.

Bud
 

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Bud, OTS of football, but I love the Astros tomorrow as well. Good points.
 

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Louisville -21.5,, Texas A&M -12.5 ???. Who are you trying B.S.
 

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Hey thank's for ading something positive or giving insight into my thread

Louisville -21.5,, Texas A&M -12.5 ???. Who are you trying B.S.
If you would look at this link http://lines.therx.com/livelines/lines.html?sport=ncaafb&refresh=45 , and view collumn "pinnacle open", you will see that I was dlligent and locked these lines in on sunday afternoon. I also let you guy's know about it right away (Posted this thread on sunday afternoon at 6:49 pm, about 10 minutes after the lines broke). It's not my fault you waited until tonight to take Louisville, and now have to give an extra touchdown and 2-pt conversion. Why not use some common sense there twjd. Some of the lines I locked in have gone that other way, like Texas, Iowa, Navy, and Baylor. STFU.
Have a nice day,
Bud.

P.S., I don't post on here to get recognition or to trick you, I do it to share thoughts with other (sometimes) knowledgeable gamblers. Let's all work together. If everyone is split on a game, Let's figure out why. When everyone is on a team, look for what they may not be seeing. This bullshit needs to end. Horn does this too, why not go blast him. I let you guys know early sunday night, and your gunna come on a wednesday and jump me. I don't think so.
 

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Bud did post those lines 10 minutes after they opened so he shouldn't be blasted for being an early line jumper. His lines are accurate for the time that he posted them. Might want to be on here Sunday night if you want to get some good lines. I pounded A&M at 12.5 Sunday night as well, but since I didn't start my thread untill Tuesday I posted the current line.

Good job Bud on those early pounders! A&M was the only one I could pound because I had family over for most of the night! Aaargh!!
 

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Hey Bud, Don't worry about the idiots that rag on the line. Anyone who bets enough knows the line changes by the minute. I take everyones line into account and by sat. my local may have a way different line. It's up to me to to take it or not. Keep up the good work and don't reply to critics. GL vegasjunkie
 

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WVU -12.5 Writeup

Ok, since this game is first on this week's dockett, I'll go ahead and write it up first. As usual, we'll go O Vs D, and O vs D, then Intangibles, and other thoughts, along with possible parlay/ teaser options, and by confidence in it.

WVA Offense VS SYRACUSE Defense
West Virginia likes to run the ball and run it often. They have a stud running qb in Marshall, and of course feature Kay-Jay Harris. They boast a big physical offensive line, who wears down opponents as the game goes on. Syracuse has a terrible time stopping the run. 3 Times this year they have allowed 200+ yards rushing (260 by FSU, 240 by Virginia, and 244 by Purdue). This team is 5-1 ATS this year, and they are due for a serious letdown. They don't stop the run, and on the road that can mean trouble. They covered Virginia because that spread was 27, but remember a SYRACUSE personal foul on their own 3 that allowed UVA to run out the clock instead of scoring (My biggest loss of the year I'll never forget that). FSU sleepwakled in the carrier dome, because they were so banged up.. This defense isn't fast and they arent very big. That could spell serious trouble. 300 yards on the ground is reasonable to expect for the Mountianeers. Syracuse won't ever be in this one, because......................

SYRACUSE Offense Vs. WVA Defense.
Talk about inetp. This offense is putrid. Ridiculously bad. Outright God Awful horrible. A 3/5 TD/INT ratio? Are you kidding me? I watched them on espn versus my seminoles. After 1 half, I dumped my entire account, everything I own on FSU -10 in the second half. I hate total confidence that they are terrible. West Virginia can stop the run, and that is about the only thing that the Cuse can do decently. The only team to run on them in their last 10 games is Va Tech. The Cuse is no Va Tech. Go back to last week's column, where I touted both the WVA offensive and their defensive fron 7, which remains dominant. They will force Syracuse to pass, keeping them in 3rd in long, which they won't be able to convert.

I'd rather have Syracuse coming off a bye, because It gives Pascaloni more time to think of ways to screw up. He's an absolutely horrible coach. He's stayed at this job because he has McNabb, Bullick, and Harrison. I can't wait to see Paul Pascoloni come out in something crazy and get destroyed even more. On the other side Rodriguez is an excellent coach, who doesnt take ridiculous chances, runs the ball in Blank and short situations and on the goal line. He plays the percentages and is safe. Not to mention 4 layers are doubtful for the Cuse, 2 wr's, a linebacker, and a corner. My Projection: WVA 34- Cuse 9.

Bud
 

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good stuff bud. May lean toward the Cuse at 17 though. GL! Here's to a WVU 14 point victory.:aktion033
 

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Fair enough Horn,

But you don't pick a game without reasoning. If your gunna take the points, do you like Syracuse's defense to stop WV, or their O to score on WV. Curious here.
GL This week. I'd love a WV 14 pt victory.
Bud
 

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