BROOKLYNWORM'S PICKS AND PREDICTIONS nfl WEEK 9.

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SAN FRANCISCO (-7.5) @ ARIZONA (43.0)
Last week, San Francisco destroyed the Carolina Panthers, both offensively, and defensively. This was a non-divisional game, and I reasoned that San Francisco would have been thinking ahead to play this divisional foe. So instead, the 49ers went on and beaten Carolina by 38 points. Obviously, SF is steam rolling ahead, and has been hot the past 3 weeks. They’ve faced an incredibly easy slate of opposing offenses, which has made their defense look much better than it actually is. The Cardinals have quietly been very competitive recently, and they’ve won three of their past four games.QB Kyler Murray has started to make strides in his development. The 49ers are riding high off a blowout win over the Panthers. However, that victory last week, will not make SF complacent, but more focused to win this matchup. Although QB Garoppolo has slumped at quarterback, the San Francisco defense has carried this team (only second defensively to New England). Keep in mind that Jimmy G., has plenty of targets to go too. And will spread the football around, to avoid the Cardinals pass rush. The Cardinals won three games in a row. They did so versus a trio of bad teams that can’t rush the QB at all. This was very helpful for QB Murray, who is shielded by a poor offensive line. Now Arizona, will face an explosive SF pass rush that will be relentless throughout this game. Arizona, was only able to score 9 points, last week, against the Saints. PREDICTION: SAN FRANCISCO 30 ARIZONA 16, ATS SAN FRANCISCO -7.5, OVER 43.0.

HOUSTON (-2) @ JACKSONVILLE (46.5) (LONDON)
Houston’s defense is now in shambles, the injuries have surmounted. The Texans traded Clowney to Seattle, traded third round pick for Gareon Conley, Houston has no healthy cornerbacks, and now with JJ Watt gone for the season, where is the pass rush going to come from?. Minshew looked good this past week. Jacksonville’s defense arose to the occasion against the Jets, and sacked Darnold 8 times, and intercepted him 3 times. This type of defensive pressure, should hold QB Watson in check. Jacksonville, also have a lot more experience playing abroad in London, than the Texans do, so this won’t be a shock to their system.QB Watson is going to have plenty of success with his mobility.. This Texans defense was already a mess, Minshew threw for three touchdowns this past week while averaging 8.2 yards per attempt, and he should have no problem picking apart this patchwork Texans secondary. PREDICTION: JACKSONVILLE 24 HOUSTON 23, ATS JACKSONVILLE +2, OVER 46.5.

CHICAGO (43.0) @ PHILADELPHIA (-5)
Philadelphia, faced a must win situation in Buffalo last week, and came away with the needed victory. Chicago, on the other hand, struggled once again with their QB Mitchell Trubisky, and lost their game. Philadelphia, has their health issues, however, week by week, they are slowly getting up to strength, and QB Carson Wentz finally showed improvement. The Bear’s strong defense, cannot maintain their edge, if Trubisky, and the offense doesn’t move the ball, and control the clock. It’s obvious this is a must win for Chicago. A loss here will completely shatter Trubisky’s confidence, and Chicago’s hopes. Things look bleak for the Bears right before the start of this game, when you consider the Philadelphia elite run defense, will shut down the Bears rushing game.The Bears still have a great pass rush. The Bears also have a strong secondary. So I expect the Philadelphia pass catchers to struggle in this game. This is a big revenge game for the Bears for the playoff loss. In addition, this is a must win for Chicago, and it may mean do or die, halfway through the season. PREDICTION: PHILADELPHIA 24 CHICAGO 23, ATS CHICAGO +5, OVER 43.

WASHINGTON (36.5) @ BUFFALO (-10)
Washington has been having trouble scoring in their last six games. The Redskins, hasn’t scored over 20 points during this span, and their opponent, has allowed an average of just 17.4 points per game on defense. Overall. Washington, doesn’t have that starting quarterback to lead them, especially once Keenum left their last game with a concussion.QB Haskins was no help as a replacement, and now Washington faces another tough defensive team, the Buffalo Bills. Buffalo at home, wants to avenge last week’s loss to the Eagles at home, and stay pace with the Patriots. The Bills are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game as well as 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Give me the Bills in a huge bounce-back win. PREDICTION: BUFFALO 23 WASHINGTON 10, ATS BUFFALO -10, UNDER 36.5.


NEW YORK JETS (-3) @ MIAMI (40.5)
The Miami Dolphins are doing everything possible to not win a game this season. The Jets may put their best foot forward to win this game. However, Sam Darnold is dealing with a thumb injury, and his offensive line could be missing three starters. The defense, meanwhile, will be down C.J. Mosley, as well as Leonard Williams, who was just traded to the Giants. The Jets are dreadful now, but at least they're not intentionally losing. If the Jets do win this game, I don’t think they will win it by more of a field goal.The New York Jets have the WORST road offense this season, getting just 11.7 points per game. Fitzpatrick trumps Darnold at quarterback, who has lost a lot of confidence in the past few weeks. The Dolphins offense is also anemic scoring points. Miami, just traded away their RB Drake, to make matters worse for their offense. Expect a lot of long drives and turnovers. The Under is 4-1 in the Dolphins’ last 5 games overall as well as 4-1 in the Dolphins last 5 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. PREDICTION: THIS GAME IS A TOSS UP. NEW YORK JETS 20 MIAMI 17, NY JETS -3, UNDER 40.5.

INDIANAPOLIS (-1) PITTSBURGH (43.0)
The Pittsburgh Steelers come into this matchup off a short week. Monday Night Football. The Colts, have a three-game winning streak, and Indianapolis has a half-game lead over the Houston Texans heading into Week 9. The Steelers’ offense is unpredictable since losing quarterback Big Ben .and Pittsburgh has no choice but start Mason Randolph, who is a complete stiff. Pittsburgh is stopping the Colts running game. Indianapolis is currently averaging 183.3 rushing yards per game on the road and the Steelers are allowing 110 rushing yards per game and 120 at home. Pittsburgh is even better versus the run than the pass, so Marlon Mack shouldn't be able to do much either. Mack scored last week, but didn't run very well otherwise. This is an even tougher matchup for him. Another factor is that the Steelers need to win this game much more than the Colts do. The Steelers also have an excellent pass rush. The defensive line is also stout. The Colts have one of the better offensive lines in the NFL, but even they had some issues with the Broncos last week, so that should bode well for Pittsburgh in this matchup. PREDICTION: PITTSBURGH 28 INDIANAPOLIS 27, ATS PITTSBURGH +1, OVER 43.0.


TENNESSEE (44.5) @ CAROLINA (-4)
The Tennessee Titans, have won two straight games, due to the turnovers made by the opposition. The Titans didn’t deserve to win those games, and so far, the Titans have played below par this season. Now they run into a Carolina Panthers team, who returns home, after being demolished last week in SF by 38 points. Carolina, will be hungry, and ready to win their next contest with QB Kyle Allen over center. This is the perfect time for the Panthers to bounce back hard, especially against a Titans team that had less than 250 total yards against the Buccaneers. Give me the Panthers as they are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 9 as well as 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Tennessee, struggling on offense switched QB’s hoping their back up Ryan Tannehill can help his team. Thus far, Tannehill, hasn’t made that much of a difference in those games he started. Offensive output, but not as much to help this team score more than 20 points a game. On the flip side, the Panthers got pushed around in Week 8 and will look to attack the run game once again as it totaled 130 yards against the Niners. Do not expect Allen to throw a lot as he is coming off a three-interception performance. PREDICTION: CAROLINA 23 TENNESSEE 17, ATS CAROLINA -4, UNDER 44.5.

DETROIT (50.5) @ OAKLAND (-2)
The Raiders have played a string of tough opponents in the month of October. Oakland played well offensively, but their defense let them down. The same truth can be told about the Detroit Lions. The Lions allowed 139 yards rushing average per game, and Oakland comes in gaining 139 yards per game. Rookie running back Josh Jacobs, makes the difference In addition, QB Carr should also have a good day passing the ball. Detroit’s secondary has been suspect in recent games, and just gave up four touchdowns to the NYG QB David Jones. Expect Oakland to beat out the Lions here in a close one. The home team is 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. PREDICTION: OAKLAND 27 DETRIOT 24, ATS OAKLAND +2, OVER 50.0.

TAMPA BAY (51.5) @ SEATTLE (-6.5)
The Buccaneers once again, lost a game they should have won, due to the inept play of their QB Jameis Winston. The Titans barely managed over 250 total yards of offense and still managed to drop 27 points in the win. Even though the defense has been inconsistent all season, the offense, even with turnovers, has improved. On the road this season, the Bucs are averaging 33 points per game. As for the Seahawks’ defense they have allowed 28 points per game at home with 6.22 yards per play. This game is going to be closer than anticipated. If Winston doesn’t give up multiple turnovers to Seattle, Tampa Bay actually has a chance to upset the Seahawks. Tampa Bay is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against Seattle. PREDICTED SCORE: SEATTLE 30 TAMPA BAY 28, ATS TAMPA BAY +6.5, OVER 51.5.

CLEVELAND (-3) @ DENVER (39.0)
It was announced, that Denver QB Joe Flacco will be out for 6-8 weeks due to a neck injury. This changes everything, since both teams need a win, and Denver’s backup QB will get his first career start, without any NFL experience. If the Bronco offense struggled with Flacco, imagine their offense in the hands of a rookie? His replacement, has been on two NFL preseason rosters, and wasn’t impressive when he was at quarterback. Cleveland’s struggles are well-documented, but they’ve played a very tough schedule, and they are a lot better than their record would suggest. Denver’s locker room seems to be falling apart once again, and they have effectively thrown in the towel on this season. The Browns were actually able to move the ball fairly well last week against the Patriots and their league-best defense, they just shot themselves in the foot too many times. Cleveland is going to win this one. PREDICTED SCORE: CLEVELAND 20 DENVER 6, ATS CLEVELAND -3, UNDER 39.0.

GREEN BAY (-3) @ LA CHARGERS (47.0)
The Green Bay Packers, and QB Steve Rodgers is HOT! , and the Chargers have struggled, and haven’t played well as a unit this season. Injuries have a lot to do with it, but there is something else missing? So the Chargers front office, fired their offensive coordinator this week, as part of the remedy to get better. With the Packers walking on air, and Rodgers playing his best football in recent years, the Chargers will struggle once again. The Chargers have had less than 40 rushing yards in four straight games, and they’re running into a rock solid Green Bay defense. Los Angeles’ defense is still very banged up, and Rodgers should be able to pick apart their weakened secondary. The Chargers have also struggled to stop the run at times, and the Packers have one of the best 1-2 running back punches in the league in Aaron Jones and Jamaal Williams. PREDICTED SCORE: GREEN BAY 30 LA CHARGERS 20. ATS GREEN BAY -3, OVER 47.

NEW ENGLAND (-3.5) @ BALTIMORE (44.5)
This game should reveal how good the New England patriots really are. The public claims that the Patriots easy schedule, has kept them undefeated. This is a nationally televised game, and you can expect both teams, to put their best effort forward. The Patriots usually struggle against a highly talented opposing quarterbacks, such as Lamar Jackson. However, there is enough film on him now to be fully scouted in the NFL, and coach Belichick, is a Brainiac, when it comes to dissecting quarterbacks with his defensive schemes. The Ravens are coming off their bye week, which means Baltimore’s coaching staff has had an extra week to prepare for this tough New England defense and formulate a game plan. Tom Brady quietly hasn’t looked that good this season, and he is getting carried by the defense. The Ravens traditionally have good defenses, but that is not the case this year. They’ve had one of the worst secondaries in the league all season long, and Josh McDaniels should be able to exploit it. If the Patriots can prevent QB Jackson from going off as a scrambler, the Patriots have a good chance of completely disrupting the Ravens scoring attack.Baltimore this year, isn’t the same team defense, like they had for years. They were a pass rushing defense, that gave Tom Brady all sought of fits. Now, the Ravens have trouble just pressuring an opposing quarterback consistently. I expect a high scoring game. PREDICTED SCORE: NEW ENGLAND 30 BALTIMORE 24, ATS NEW ENGLAND -3.5, OVER 44.5.

DALLAS (-7) @ NY GIANTS (48.0)
The Cowboys are coming off their bye week, The Giants managed to cover the spread on the road against the Lions last week, and Daniel Jones looked the best that he had in weeks. New York might be 2-6, but by trading away draft picks for defensive lineman Leonard Williams they just showed that they aren’t giving up on the season. The Giants will have no problem getting up for this rivalry game on national television, so you don’t have to worry about their motivation Saquon Barkley should have a field day against this overrated Dallas defense. Dak Prescott has made major strides this season, and he should have no problem picking apart this weak Giants secondary. The Dallas defense is overrated and recently gave up 24 points to the lowly New York Jets. QB Jones is coming off a strong start, and I think he should be able to carry that momentum over here. I see a shootout coming. This is a revenge game for the Giants, after losing to Dallas in week one. PREDICTED SCORE: DALLAS 28 NY GIANTS 27, ATS NEW YORK GIANTS +7, OVER 48.

MINNESOTA (-1.5) @ KANSAS CITY (48.5)
Patrick Mahomes expected to play, and Las Vegas set the line at -3 Kansas City, as the favorite. I have delayed my post on this matchup, until I can acquire more information. Hopefully, we will get the official heads up if Mahomes plays, and what the actual point spread will be. Four straight wins and are looking like the playoff-caliber squad we were expecting. Cousins has put together maybe the best four-game stretch of his career, completing over 75% of his attempts with ten touchdowns and only one interception. Cousins will be looking for Stefon Diggs and Adam Thielen two elite wide receivers KC’s secondary will be tested. Last week, the KC pass rush sacked Aaron Rodgers 5 times, behind a good offensive line. Keep in mind, Minnesota’s offense isn’t as good as Green Bay’s. Dalvin Cook, rushing success, could be the big difference of winning this game. Cook is the league’s leading rusher, and the Minnesota offense runs through him. The Vikings are running the ball 30 times per game, which is producing 160 yards of offense. Their ability to run has helped them to convert 44% of their 3rd downs, and they have possessed the ball for over 33 minutes the last three games. Kansas City’s rush defense may not be up to this challenge. They have four times allowed over 180 rushing yards. Mahomes, has been hampered by a sprained ankle most of the year and two weeks ago, dislocated his kneecap. Mahomes didn’t play at 100% and is still hobbled Mahomes was held under 300 yards passing in consecutive weeks against mediocre pass defenses from Indy and Houston. Now Mahomes will face the best pass defense he has seen this year, with the Vikings. Bottom line. If Mahomes plays, or not plays, I am convinced that either way, Minnesota is the play. PREDICTED SCORE: MINNESOTA 27 KANSAS CITY 24, MINNESOTA-1.5, UNDER 48.5. (Note: Vegas as of Saturday morning, has yet to post the latest line on this game. Pending the status of QB Pat Mahomes.)
 

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I'm assuming you have the OVER in KC (based on score prediction)? Thanks BW.
 
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Thanks Varkeyboy; you are the only one that chimed in on my picks this morning. Good Luck Buddy. BROOKLYNWORM.
 

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my bad BW .. i was in on all of them ,, heavy .. win or lose im appreciative .. betting with both hands on your analysis as usual
 

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