BROOKLYNWORM'S NFL PICKS & PREDICTIONS FOR WEEK #2
KANSAS CITY (45.0) @ DETROIT (-9)
What have we learned after week #1. We know that these two teams are going in opposite directions this season. KC had a poor pre season, and Detroit played well in their exhibition games. Kansas City, lost two key starting players, Safety Eric Berry, and TE Moeaki, and Cassels has played awful since the start of camp, and their passing game is non existent. Detroit also lost players to injury, however, their roster has enough depth and talent to continue to play effectively. In this contest, KC strictly relies on their running game on offense, to open up their passing game. The Chiefs may suffer another blow out on the road, since the results from week #1, can repeat themselves. Detroit has a strong front seven, and they are stout up the middle vs. the run. If Detroit takes away the Chiefs running game, and take a two score lead, this will force the Chiefs to once again abandon their running game to catch up. Keep in mind, last week Cassel threw for only 105 yards, and his receivers only managed 2.9 yards per catch. Detroit's secondary allowed 5.6 y.p.c. vs. Tampa Bay last week. I can't see KC 's passing game to do any better.I also question the Chiefs defense of late, and they will be tested again in Detroit. The Lions offense has shown vast improvement, and they have the talent to exploit KC on the ground and in the air. Kansas City only recorded one sack, and show no signs of a decent pass rush. Lastly, KC on offense was a horrid 3 for 13 on third down conversions. Detroit 29 KC 17.
OAKLAND (42 1/2) @ BUFFALO (-3 1/2)
What have we learned about these two teams after week #1. Oakland showed they are going to be a run-dominate team this season. Their backfield is talented, solid, and the heart of their offense. Their suspect offensive line played well, but weren't tested by Denver's defensive pass rush. Oakland simply doesn't have the playmakers at QB or at wide receiver to really scare an opposing defense. The Raiders committed 15 penalties last week, and showed no discipline in their 3 point victory. On defense, although they took a big hit to free agency, the Raiders front seven allowed only 2.9 YPC on the ground. Their pass defense allowed under 300 yards, and only 5.9 YPC. Oakland sacked Orton 5 times last week, and this could explain why their secondary stood up. Buffalo also is a run-dominate team, and a decent starting QB that can pass the football with efficiency. The Bills rushed for 163 yards for 4.2 yards per carry vs. KC. They also tossed 4 TD passes. Defensively, the Bill secondary played outstanding allowing only 105 yards and only 2.9 YPC. Their front seven had some difficulties vs. the run allowing 6.0 yards per carry. If KC didn't fall to far behind in that game last week, and had to abandon their running game, one has to wonder how many yards they could have racked up ?.Buffalo has a suspect offensive line that wasn't tested by KC's pass rush. In this contest both teams almost resemble each other. Both rely on their running attacks, both have suspect offensive lines. The difference here favors Buffalo. The Bills have the better QB, the Bills are at home, Oakland has to play that dreaded 1PM east coast game on Sunday, Oakland isn't a good road team, Oakland committed 15 penalties , and failure to show discipline in this game will cost them. In addition, Oakland plays it's second consecutive road game. The only edge I see Oakland have going for them in this game, is their pass rush, and their running game. Buffalo on run defense last week played poorly, and will probably have to commit to 8 men in the box to slow the Raider RB's.
Expect a low scoring contest, as both teams attempt to hoard the football on the ground, and establish ball control.
BUFFALO 23 OAKLAND 13.
ARIZONA (45.0) @ WASHINGTON (-4)
What we learned so far about both teams after week #1. The Redskins beat up on a NY Giant team that had a lot of banged up starters , and were out due to injuries. Washington before week #1, looked sluggish on offense in the pre season. Yet they scored 28 points against the Giants. (7 of those points were scored on an interception return for a TD). The Skins look like they found an unexpected weapon at running back, Tim Hightower. Tim faces his old mates this weekend, and should be ready for this contest. Arizona has to travel East and play that dreaded 1 PM start in D.C.. West coast teams don't play well under this scenario, and will struggle. The Cardinals front seven were pretty impressive stopping the run. They allowed only 74 yards rushing for only 2.7 yards per carry. Arizona's Achilles heel is their inept secondary, as everybody found out as Cam Newton broke a record throwing for 422 yards. Veteran Rex Grossman should be able to exploit the Cards pass defense . Arizona on offense doesn't have a good running game. Their offensive line is suspect, and don't run block too well. Besides, the Redskins held the Giants to 75 yards rushing, for only 3.8 yards per carry. In this match up, I expect both teams throwing the football more. The Skins will have a balanced attack, but they will have to test the suspect Cardinal secondary. Arizona is not a ball control type of team, and have to rely more on their passing game. If the Cards fall behind, they will not be able to establish any kind of running game. That will put Kolb into predictable 3rd and long situations to pass the ball, and the Redskin pass rush will pressure him into forced mistakes. Washington sacked Manning four times last week. WASHINGTON 27 ARIZONA 20.
GREEN BAY (47.0) @ CAROLINA (+10)
What have we learned about both teams after week #1?. GB after opening night, showed that they are hungry enough to return to the Super Bowl. GB's offense man handled the Saints defense. So you can expect the Packers to roll up the score in this contest vs. Carolina. Last week, Carolina's defense allowed 295 yards passing for a whopping 10.9 yards per catch, and surrendered 99 yards on the ground for 4.0 yards per carry.The Panther defense is full of holes, and expect Gb to exploit them on both sides of the ball with their explosive offense. Carolina doesn't have a running game, and the stout Packer front seven on defense will force the Panthers on offense into a one dimensional passing game. Carolina doesn't have too many playmakers at wide receiver besides Steve Smith. So expect the Pack's defense to blitz and pass rush often, and force Cam Newton to make rookie mistakes and turnover the football.In this match up, I expect Gb to light up the scoreboard and romp the Panthers. The Panthers will pick up some garbage points at the end when the game is so far out of reach. So expect a high scoring game, with plenty of passing. In addition, both special team defenses allowed kick off or punt returns for TD's. Cobb on special teams looks fabulous, and adds another dimension to the Gb offense. Newton lit up Arizona last week, however, comparing the Cardinals to the Packers, is like comparing apples to oranges. Also don't loose sight of the fact that Carolina is in a rebuilding season, and you can't build high expectations of this team with a rookie starting at quarterback. GREEN BAY 35 CAROLINA 17.
DALLAS (42 1/2) @ SAN FRANCISCO (+3.0)
What have we learned about both teams after week #1 ?. We know that Seattle was no test, or challenge for San Francisco. Seattle hasn't any playmakers on offense, and lack a true NFL starting QB. This is an inept , awful , and probably the worst offense in the league. Tony Romo threw another game away in his NFL career with his poor decision making late into the game. Dallas was on their way to an upset victory until Romo threw the ball away for an INT. So you have a SF team yet to be tested after week #1, and you have a Dallas team coming off an emotional road loss. In this match up, I can see the Cowboys front seven on defense stuffing the 49 er running game. Dallas allowed the Jets only 45 yards and 2.8 ypc. SF rushed the ball 32 times for only 85 yards and only 2.7 ypc. SF will have to count on their inept QB Alex Smith to up the tempo on offense, and must pass the football with efficiency if he wants to beat the Cowboys. The Cowboy secondary is in shambles due to injuries, and lack of depth at that position. They allowed over 300 yards passing to an erratic Jet quarterback.In addition, their offensive line is suspect allowing Romo to be sacked four times. Although SF scored 33 points last week, it wasn't because Alex Smith and company had sustained drives to the end zone. Two of their touchdowns came by way of kick and punt returns. Other concerns is the health of Dez Bryant after suffering a quad injury, and the San Francisco offensive line surrendering 5 sacks to Seattle. The main question I have about this game, is why Dallas is 3 point favorites playing their second consecutive road game to start the season?. I like this game to go over the total, but I think this line is a Vegas trap play. In my opinion, this game will come down to who is the better QB to decide the winner. Regardless, SF hasn't yet been tested, Dallas played a tough Jet team and played well enough to win, and how can you side with Alex Smith to get the job done. I still like Dallas to win in this spot. DALLAS 27 SAN FRANCISCO 23.
TAMPA BAY (41 1/2) @ MINNESOTA (-3)
What have we learned about both these team after week #1. Tampa Bay's QB Josh Freeman's poor pre season has carried over to week #1 of the regular season . The Buc's will have to rely more on their running game , and take the pressure off Freeman in week #2. Problem is that even without DT Kevin Williams, Minnesota limited San Diego's rushing attack to 2.9 yards per carry. Tampa Bay doesn't have playmakers on offense to challenge the Viking defense. The amazing thing about the Vikings last week, they faced an explosive offense and played excellent defense and lost by only 7 points on the road. On top of that, the Viking offense was inept, and was only able to control the ball and the clock for only 22:43. That meant that Minnesota's defense was on the field for 37:17 . The defensive stats put the entire game into perspective for the Vikings. They allowed only 6.9 yards per catch passing, and held the Chargers to only 77 yards rushing. Minnesota's passing game was pathetic. McNabb only completed passes for 28 yards at a 1.9 ypc clip.The savior of their offense although still limited by their offensive line, was Adrian Peterson. Minnesota ran for 159 yards for 6.1 yards per carry. On the flip side, Tampa Bay allowed the mediocre Detroit backfield to rush for 126 yards. In this contest, I have to side with Minnesota to win this game for the following reasons. (1) Vikes play at home, (2) TB QB Josh Freeman is in a slump, (3) TB showed no signs of a pass rush, and didn't even record one sack, (4) The Buc's offense doesn't compare to San Diego's, and Minnesota's defense should have no problem stopping them. TB scored 20 points, and Minnesota scored 17 points. 7 of those points for both teams were scored on a TB interception return, and Minnesota's scored on a 105 yard kick off return. The point is if both offenses are limited, and both defenses dominate the game, the results could be a low scoring game. MINNESOTA 17 TAMPA BAY 14.
CHICAGO (47 1/2) @ NEW ORLEANS (-6 1/2)
What we have learned about both teams after week #1 ?. The Saints proven to all of us that they still have that explosive passing game, and scored 34 points in the loss to GB on opening night. On the flip side, their defense allowed GB's high octane offense to score 42 points. The Bears pulled out and upset at home over Atlanta. Falcon QB Matt Ryan didn't look sharp in the pre season, and his poor play carried over into weak one. Chicago basically shut the Falcons and Ryan down. However, the Bears did surrender 110 yards rushing on only 14 attempts for a whopping 7.9 yards per carry.In this match up, QB Drew Brees is a step up in class when it comes to NFL quarterbacks. He shown in week one that he is better, and more confident then Matt Ryan. So Chicago's defense will have a difficult task of containing Brees. However, before I jump on the Saints wagon, Chicago matches up well against them for the following reasons. The Saints high octane passing game may be running on empty, since they lost two of their top wide receivers for this game. The Saints have a poor offensive line that can either run run block or protect Brees in the pocket. New Orleans lacks a bonafide running attack, and Chicago's suspect rush defense should be able hold them under 100 yards rushing.On defense, the saints will be without their top pass rusher due to suspension. Without a playmaker at defensive end, the Saints pass rush will effected. Cutler may be no Rodgers at QB, but he can manage to throw the football. Keep in mind the Saints secondary allowed 312 yards, and 3 passing touchdowns vs. GB. So if Cutler isn't hurried, or pressured inside the pocket, it will enable him to move the Bear's offense.Another issue with the Saints is their front 7 stopping the run on defense. In 2010, the Saints were terrible vs. the run. GB in week #1, without a prolific running game, managed to rush for over 100 yards and score 2 rushing TD's on the Saints. This will bolster the Bears suspect running attack that managed to only rush for 88 yards, and only 3.3 yards per carry vs. Atlanta. New Orleans will also have to be concerned about their special teams play. The saints surrendered a kick off return to GB for a touchdown. The Bears are known for their excellent special teams play.The question I have about this game, is how many points can the Saints score without their core of playmakers at wide receiver, vs. Chicago's efficient secondary?. Brees has the arm, but I suspect he may struggle lighting up the scoreboard without help from his running game, and protection from his offensive line. I have come up with too many reasons why I should consider the Bears. They may not win on the road, but they should certainly keep it close. NEW ORLEANS 24 CHICAGO 23.
BALTIMORE (38.0) @ TENNESSEE (+6)
What we have learned about both teams after week #1 ?. The Titans are a poorly coached, and bad team.Baltimore is off to a succesfull start by beating their divisional foe Steelers to open the season. Tennessee allowed their top playmaker RB Chris Johnson to touch the football for only 9 carries?. The Titans couldn't muster any offense on both sides of their offense. They looked pathetic vs. a Jacksonville team that has an exploitable defense. Baltimore executed their game plan to perfection. They committed no turnovers, they sacked the QB 4 times, their offensive line run blocked, and protected Flacco in the pocket.It also helped the Ravens by the Steelers coughing up the football a total of 7 times. In this match up, you better believe that the Titan head coach is going to utilize Johnson and their running game. Baltimore's rush defense allowed 4.1 yards per carry on only 16 attempts. If Pittsburgh didn't fall behind so early in the game, they wouldn't have abandoned their running game. The Ravens have that reputation of possessing a strong front seven to stop the rush. I can see Baltimore playing 8 in the box, and mapping out a game plan this week in practice to stop Johnson. If the Ravens take away the Titan running game, this will force Tennessee to go to the air. Problem is that QB Hasselbeck is new to the system, and isn't yet in sync with his wide receivers . Baltimore's RB Ray Rice should have a field day against the Titan front seven. Last week Tennessee surrendered 163 tards rushing on 47 carries. Baltimore ran for 170 yards, and averaged 5.5 ypc. Tennessee also lacks a decent pass rush, and Baltimore's QB Flacco will have time in the pocket to connect with his passes.To show you how bad Tennessee is, last week, time of possession was an enemic 20:22, and they ran only 49 plays from scrimmage. This is against a Jacksonville team that has a suspect defense that has a history of surrendering a lot of points to their opponents. I expect that Baltimore will copy Jacksonville's game plan, and will rush the ball over 40 carries. Tennessee has no choice but to establish the run to open up their offense. However, a reality check also tells us that you can't spin straw into gold. BALTIMORE 27 TENNESSEE 9.
CLEVELAND (39 1/2) @ INDIANAPOLIS (+2)
What have we learned about both teams after week #1. The Cleveland Browns offense was punchless, and could matriculate the football up the field vs. the Bengals. The Colts were bashed by Houston, and were embarrased . The Browns on offense managed only 3.2 yards per carry rushing, and only 5.1 yards per catch passing. They were put into too many third and long situations, and didn't have the playmakers at the wide receiver position to make things happen. The Colts Kerry Collins was just awful. I forget how many times he fumbled the ball throughout the game, and I couldn't believe how poorly their offensive line protected him. In this match up, when was the last time the Colts at home, were made the underdogs vs. the likes of a poor NFL team?. I see the Browns Hillis being able to run the football on the Colts. Colts allowed 167 yards/4.1 ypc rushing to Houston. Cleveland doesn't have a passing game, and the Colt secondary is good enough to hold them to 200 yards. So expect the Colts to play 8 in the box, and stay focused vs. the rush. Indianapolis has two veteran pass rushers, and they will be able to compromise the Brown's offensive line in obvious passing situations. Cleveland's defensive front 7 gave up 139 yards rushing, for a 4.2 average ypc. Although the Colts aren't known for their running game, they did average 4.0 yards per carry last week. You can expect the Colts game plan to run the ball more, and throw less, and take the pressure off QB Kerry Collins. In addition, once the Colts establish their running game, Collins will not have to worry about Cleveland's non-existent pass rush. Lastly, just look at who they played last week. The Colts went up against hungry Texan team on the road. The Browns played a lowly ranked Cincinnati team, without a veteran quarterback. Expect a low scoring game, both teams will try to control the football on the ground, and eat the clock. I can't see a team like the Colts not revenging last week's humilation. INDIANAPOLIS 17 CLEVELAND 13.
JACKSONVILLE (39 1/2) @ NEW YORK JETS (-9)
What have we learned about both teams after week #1?. The fact is that Jaguars played a lousy Tennessee Titan team that challenge their defense. When you look at the stats real close, I found some glaring concerns about how good the Jags really are. First, the new head coach for the Titans only allowed their top playmaker and rusher , Chris Johnson, to touch the ball 9 times on the ground. Jacksonville ran 73 plays, and had possession of the football for 39:38 minutes, and yet only managed to score a total of 16 points?. Although the Jags ran for 163 yards, it took them 47 carries, and they averaged only 3.5 yards per rush. The Ny Jets had theirhands full vs. Dallas. Tony Romo handed them a gift, and it enabled them to come from behind and win the game. The surprise was that the great Jet secondary allowed 326 yards passing for 9.1 ypc. Beside the Romo blunder, the Jets special teams made the difference at the end. The New York offense didn't show up to play this game. They managed only 7.2 yards passing, and only 45 yards - 2.8 ypc. The Jets did stuff the Cowboys running game, only surrendering 64 yards for an average of 2.5 ypc. In this match up, Jacksonville hasn't been tested, and the Vegas odds makers made them -9 point underdogs for a reason. The Jags will not be able to run the ball against the Jet front seven 47 times like they did last week. The Jets will force McCown into unfaborable passing situations, and will force him to make mistakes. The Jags don't possess a good pass rush on defense. Mark Sanchez will have more time in the pocket to pass to his playmakers. The Jets will have to pass the ball often, considering the fact that they rushed for only 2.8 yards per carry, and Jacksonville's rush defense allowed only 3.3 ypc last week.The Jets committed zero penalties and showed discipline. The Jags managed to covert 3 field goals, and only one TD vs. a suspect Tennessee team. NEW YORK JETS 23 JACKSONVILLE 10.
SEATTLE (40.0) @ PITTSBURGH (-13 1/2)
What have we learned about these two teams after week #1?. Pittsburgh turned the ball over 7 times, and fell behind by too early to catch up and utilize their running game. Seattle lost to a weak San Francisco offense by allowing them to score 33 points, 14 of those 33 points were scored on a punt and kick return for touchdowns. In this match up, Seattle is in for it, and I wouldn't be surprised if the Steelers shut them out. You can imagine how fustrated and humiliated the players, and coaches felt all week in practice preparing for this game. Forget about laying two touchdowns to the Seahawks, the Steelers will be on a mission to establish their presence of authority. Seattle is one of those teams that don't play on the road 13-31 ATS since 2006. In addition, the Seahawks fall under the west coast team, traveling to play an east coast team at 1pm trend. This trend is the kiss of death, and besides, this is Seattle's second consecutive road game. We also learned that Seattle has a terible offensive line, and that Tarvis Jackson isn't an NFL QB that can lead his team. Pittsburgh will not fall behind at all in this game. They will not have to abandon their running game like they did last week. The Steelers should easily establish the run, and will open up the passing game for Roethlisberger. Seattle doesn't have good pass rushers on defense, and failed to record one sack last week. This will allow the weak Pittsburgh offensive line to compensate for their short comings , and will provide better protection for their quarterback. Lastly, Seattle's offense last week was only able to muster up an average of 2.9 yards per carry, and only a dismal 4.2 yards per pass. PITTSBURGH 41 SEATTLE 0.
DALLAS (42 1/2) @ SAN FRANCISCO (+3)
What have we learned about these teams after week #1 ?. Dallas had their game won until Romo's costly interception, and the blocked punt for a touchdown score.Dallas controled the ball the entire game, and time of possession 33:53 minutes. However they commited a total of 3 turnovers , and the offensive line allowed Romo to be sacked four times. SF won their game convincingly, however, Seattle is an awful team, and the Forty Niners weren't tested. The San Francisco offensive line, QB Alex Smith, and their running attack played poorly.If it weren't for their special teams scoring two touchdowns, SF would have struggled in their victory over Seattle.In this match up, let me first state that I don't like this game at all.Everybody is betting on Dallas to win and cover the -3 point spread?. Here's the problem(s) with Dallas in this contest. WR Dez Bryant could be out for this game. Even if he plays, he suffered a severe quad injury, and he will not be at 100%. RB Felix Jones and the Dallas running game showed me nothing. They gained only 64 yards and averaged only 2.9 ypc. SF last week, held Seattle to 64 yards, and 2.9 ypc. The Cowboy offensive line has issues, they allowed Romo to be sacked 4 times, and SF pass rush last week sacked the Seattle QB 5 times. The Dallas secondary, the corner back positions are so banged up, that they had to sign guys during mid week, because they lacked depth at that position. I am not an Alex smith fan. I don't even know why he is still the starting QB for SF. Regardless, I like San Francisco mainly because of their special team play. Dallas is weak in this area, and the Niners can exploit them and make the difference in this game. Lastly, the Boys may come out sluggish due to last week's emotional loss, and they are playing their second consecutive road game. SAN FRANCISCO 24 DALLAS 21.
SAN DIEGO (53 1/2) @ NEW ENGLAND (-7)
What have we learned about both these teams after week #1?. San Diego started the season sluggish, and their terrible special teams play allowed a 105 kick off return for a touchdown. SD's secondary wasn't tested by the washed up Mc Nabb, throwing 28 yards for a horrid 1.9 average per pass?. SD had the ball in their possession for 37:17 minutes, and they had to come from behind and win the game. SD defensive front seven played poorly. They allowed Minnesota to rush for 159 yards for 6.1 yards per carry. New England may have a suspect offensive line, however, Miami recorded only one sack against them. The story was in this game how QB Brady passed for 516 yards and 4 TD's. Their secondary was not impressive, and surrendered big pass plays to a mediocre Dolphin offense. In this match up, look for Head Coach Bellichick to change up on his game plan for Sunday. SD's Phillip Rivers is a big playmaker, and can easily exploit the Patriot secondary. If Henne was able to do it, surely Rivers can. With this in mind, Bellichick will probably utilize his running game often, to establish ball control and the clock. San Diego's defensive front seven is suceptable to the run, since they surrendered 159 yards on the ground at a clip of 6.1 yards per carry. If the Patriots succeed and keep Rivers off the field as much as possible, the Patriots win this game hands down.It is hard to say if this game will be high scoring. The Vegas odds makers set the total at 53 1/2. If Bellichick has his team run the football, will he continue to employ the no huddle offense like he did in Miami?. Lastly, Minnesota's offensive line was considered by many to be a mess. However, SD's pass rushers only sacked the QB twice?. The same has been said about the Patriots offensive line, and yet Miami got to Brady only once. NEW ENGLAND 28 SAN DIEGO 24.
HOUSTON (48.0) @ MIAMI (+3)
What did we learn from both teams after week #1. Miami established the fact that their secondary is beyond terrible. Allowing Brady 516 yards and 4 TD's doesn't cut it in the NFL. Miami's QB Chad Henne's statistics were also misleading. He might have passed for 400 yards, however, most of those yards came in big chunks on some big pass plays. The Patriots secondary was horrid, yet Henne overall played a subpar game, and failed to convert yardage into touchdowns. Houston took advantage of the Manning-Less Colts. It seemed to me every time Collins was snapped the ball, he was either fumbling it, or pressured and being sacked. Although Houston won the game in a blow out 34-7, I wasn't convinced about their overall play. They gave up 4.0 yards per carry on the ground, and they jumped out to a huge lead, and the Colts weren't a challenge.In this match up, why did Vegas make the Texans only a 3 point favorite?. The inept Miami secondary will face another potent aerial attack led by Schaub. Houston has an excellent offensive line, and Miami only had one sack vs. a suspect Patriot O-Line?. That tells me that Schaub will be able to sit in the pocket, and pick Miami apart. Arian Foster's status is still questionable.and the Texans may hold him back to play New Orleans the following week. Houston has a good defensive pass rush, and Miami 's offensive line is in a total mess. The Colts without any playmaker at running back, was able to rush for 4.0 yards per carry. Reggie Bush is Miami's answer to run the football. However, he is more of a receiver, and his specialty is to run swing passes, and screens to the outside, and make yardage in open spaces. He isn't your typical NFL running back that can physically hit the line of scrimmage.You have to figure that the Dolphins lost all confidence after losing to the Patriots on Monday night. With all that said , why is Houston only a three point favorite?. Is this a trap game?. HOUSTON 27 MIAMI 23.
CINCINNATI (40.0) @ DENVER (-3 1/2)
What have we learned about both team after week #1?. The Bengals won their game by scoring two touchdowns in the 4th quarter vs. Cleveland. The Bengal defense, the strength of their team arose to the occasion, and just allowed Cleveland to score on a field goal in the second half. The Bengals surrendered only 202 yards @ 5.1 ypc passing, and 83 yards @ 3.2 ypc rushing. The Bengals are weak in the passing department, and that is mainly due to their rookie QB situation. However, a new improved Cedric Benson moved the football on the ground and ran for over 100 yards and a TD.Denver, lost to Oakland, and their inept offense was exposed on national tv. The Broncos only averaged 5.9 yards per pass, and 2.9 yards per carry. Their rush defense almost surrendered 200 yards on the ground, at a clip of 4.9 yards per carry. In this match up, Cincinnati plays a good defense as long as they aren't on the field too long. Denver, besides their short comings on offense, looks like they are heading into a quarterback controversy with Orton and Tebow. A quarterback controversy between players, coaches, and fans, can divide a team and their cohesiveness. The other problem that Denver faces is the health and availability of 3 key players, Bailey, Moreno, and Lloyd, for Sunday. If Bailey is out, that would really weaken the strength of their secondary. Both teams in week #1 showed no discipline on the field. The Bengals committed 11 penalties, and Denver 10 penalties and three turnovers. Denver scored 7 or their 20 points on special teams , and their offense only accounted for 13 of those points. Cedric Benson should have a strong game, and will exploit the Broncos rush defense. Denver's offensive line allowed Oakland to sack their QB a total of 5 times, and the Bengals recorded two sacks of their own in week #1. Cincinnati should be able to hurry and pressure Orton in the pocket the entire game. Denver only sacked the oppossing QB once last week vs. an Oakland team with a suspect offensive line. This should come as a relief to the Bengal QB's that were sacked 4 times in week one. I can't see Denver even at home winning this game outright. The match up favors the Bengals all the way. The broncos simply don't have the fire power on offense to challenge the Cincinnati defense , nor the ability to sustain long drives and control the football.CINCINNATI 20 DENVER 17.
PHILADELPHIA (50 1/2) @ ATLANTA (+2 1/2)
What have we learned about both these teams after week #1 ?. Philadelphia, as hyped up to be such a great team, actually had a tough game on their hands until Steven Jackson knocked out of the game. St. Louis was able to rush the ball for over 154 yards, and 5.9 yards per carry. St. Louis throughout the game lost some of their offensive playmakers. The QB connection with their wide outs was terrible, with dropped passes, and inaccurate passing. The Eagles weren't truly tested in their victory. Atlanta, just played awful football in Chicago. Falcon QB Matt Ryan played poorly, and they were only able to generate offensively six points on field goals, the other 6 points resulted by their defense , on a 50 yard interception for a touchdown. Their offensive line had problems pass blocking throughout the game, and their secondary was vaunable to the pass allowing 289 yards at an average of 9.0 yards per pass. In this match up, this is a tough call , and the game could go either way. First. Michael Vick returns home to Atlanta, and his emotions will be riding high to win this game. Both offensive lines stink pass blocking. Vick was hurried and sacked last week 3 times, and Matt Ryan was sacked 5 times. Both teams have excellent pass rushers. The Eagles recorded 5 sacks on defense, and Atlanta sacked the QB 3 times. Offensively, Atlanta's Rb Michael Turner could be a huge factor in this game. Philadelphia's front seven rush defense was exposed by allowing 154 yards. Turner is a playmaker that can take advantage of this situation on offense. Atlanta in this game is a must win for them. The Falcons play solid football in the Georgia Dome, and Matt Ryan is 15-6 against the spread at home. However, I am going to side with the Eagles to win this battle. Vick has proven that he can compensate for his poor offensive line with his ability to avoid the rush by utlizing his speed. Matt Ryan, has been slumping and his confidence is fading away, and doesn't have the feet like Vick to constantly avoid the Philadelphia pass rush. Lastly, that intangible factor comes into play here. Michael Vick's emotional home coming. PHILADELPHIA 20 ATLANTA 17.
ST. LOUIS (44.0) @ NEW YORK GIANTS (-6 1/2)
What have we learned about these two teams after week #1 ?. St. Louis fell to injuries, and couldn't recover against the Eagles. Bradford was sacked 5 times, and banged up. There was no support from his offensive line. They committed 9 penalties, and fumbled the football that allowed Philadelphia to score a 56 yd TD. They could stop the run on defense, and displayed almost no offense. The Giants were upset by Washington, and played poorly. Injuries to their starters mainly came into play in this game, and they didn't have the personnel on the field to win that game. The inept secondary play stood out the most in their defeat by allowing 258 yards passing to a mediocre Redskin QB. In this match up, I like the Giants all the way. St.Louis took some big hits and suffered key injuries in last week's game. Bradford was hobbled, and won't be at 100%. They lost Rb Steve Jackson, the playmaker of their offense, and may have lost WR Amendola for the rest of the season. RB Cadillac Williams is no Steven Jackson when it comes to running the football. The Rams haven't any playmakers on their roster to exploit New York's weak secondary, and lack the fire power to do so. The Giants look like they will get Justin Tuck on defense. That can spell doom for Bradford, whom was sacked 5 times last week. The Giants will take advantage of their running game to generate their offense. St. Louis allowed 237 yards rushing and 7.6 ypc to Philadelphia last week. NY has the backkfield that will exploit the Ram's defensive weakness. This is a must win for the Giants, and the way they play, could dictate their 2011 season. In addition. being in the lime light, and pressure cooker in New York, will motivate them this game. NEW YORK GIANTS 24 ST. LOUIS 17.
BROOKLYNWORM'S BEST BETS FOR WEEK #2.
STRAIGHT UP
DETROIT
BUFFALO
WASHINGTON
GREEN BAY
BALTIMORE
INDIANAPOLIS
PITTSBURGH
NEW YORK GIANTS
AGAINST THE SPREAD
BUFFALO -3 1/2
WASHINGTON -4
CHICAGO +6 1/2
BALTIMORE -6
INDIANAPOLIS +2
PITTSBURGH -13 1/2
CINCINNATI +3 1/2
NEW YORK GIANTS -6 1/2
OVER/UNDER TOTALS
KANSAS CITY/DETROIT OVER 45
GREEN BAY/CAROLINA OVER 47
TAMPA BAY/ MINNESOTA UNDER 41 1/2
BALTIMORE/TENNESSEE UNDER 38
CINCINNATI/ DENVER UNDER 39 1/2
PHILADELPHIA/ATLANTA UNDER 50 1/2
GOOD LUCK TO ALL;
BROOKLYNWORM
KANSAS CITY (45.0) @ DETROIT (-9)
What have we learned after week #1. We know that these two teams are going in opposite directions this season. KC had a poor pre season, and Detroit played well in their exhibition games. Kansas City, lost two key starting players, Safety Eric Berry, and TE Moeaki, and Cassels has played awful since the start of camp, and their passing game is non existent. Detroit also lost players to injury, however, their roster has enough depth and talent to continue to play effectively. In this contest, KC strictly relies on their running game on offense, to open up their passing game. The Chiefs may suffer another blow out on the road, since the results from week #1, can repeat themselves. Detroit has a strong front seven, and they are stout up the middle vs. the run. If Detroit takes away the Chiefs running game, and take a two score lead, this will force the Chiefs to once again abandon their running game to catch up. Keep in mind, last week Cassel threw for only 105 yards, and his receivers only managed 2.9 yards per catch. Detroit's secondary allowed 5.6 y.p.c. vs. Tampa Bay last week. I can't see KC 's passing game to do any better.I also question the Chiefs defense of late, and they will be tested again in Detroit. The Lions offense has shown vast improvement, and they have the talent to exploit KC on the ground and in the air. Kansas City only recorded one sack, and show no signs of a decent pass rush. Lastly, KC on offense was a horrid 3 for 13 on third down conversions. Detroit 29 KC 17.
OAKLAND (42 1/2) @ BUFFALO (-3 1/2)
What have we learned about these two teams after week #1. Oakland showed they are going to be a run-dominate team this season. Their backfield is talented, solid, and the heart of their offense. Their suspect offensive line played well, but weren't tested by Denver's defensive pass rush. Oakland simply doesn't have the playmakers at QB or at wide receiver to really scare an opposing defense. The Raiders committed 15 penalties last week, and showed no discipline in their 3 point victory. On defense, although they took a big hit to free agency, the Raiders front seven allowed only 2.9 YPC on the ground. Their pass defense allowed under 300 yards, and only 5.9 YPC. Oakland sacked Orton 5 times last week, and this could explain why their secondary stood up. Buffalo also is a run-dominate team, and a decent starting QB that can pass the football with efficiency. The Bills rushed for 163 yards for 4.2 yards per carry vs. KC. They also tossed 4 TD passes. Defensively, the Bill secondary played outstanding allowing only 105 yards and only 2.9 YPC. Their front seven had some difficulties vs. the run allowing 6.0 yards per carry. If KC didn't fall to far behind in that game last week, and had to abandon their running game, one has to wonder how many yards they could have racked up ?.Buffalo has a suspect offensive line that wasn't tested by KC's pass rush. In this contest both teams almost resemble each other. Both rely on their running attacks, both have suspect offensive lines. The difference here favors Buffalo. The Bills have the better QB, the Bills are at home, Oakland has to play that dreaded 1PM east coast game on Sunday, Oakland isn't a good road team, Oakland committed 15 penalties , and failure to show discipline in this game will cost them. In addition, Oakland plays it's second consecutive road game. The only edge I see Oakland have going for them in this game, is their pass rush, and their running game. Buffalo on run defense last week played poorly, and will probably have to commit to 8 men in the box to slow the Raider RB's.
Expect a low scoring contest, as both teams attempt to hoard the football on the ground, and establish ball control.
BUFFALO 23 OAKLAND 13.
ARIZONA (45.0) @ WASHINGTON (-4)
What we learned so far about both teams after week #1. The Redskins beat up on a NY Giant team that had a lot of banged up starters , and were out due to injuries. Washington before week #1, looked sluggish on offense in the pre season. Yet they scored 28 points against the Giants. (7 of those points were scored on an interception return for a TD). The Skins look like they found an unexpected weapon at running back, Tim Hightower. Tim faces his old mates this weekend, and should be ready for this contest. Arizona has to travel East and play that dreaded 1 PM start in D.C.. West coast teams don't play well under this scenario, and will struggle. The Cardinals front seven were pretty impressive stopping the run. They allowed only 74 yards rushing for only 2.7 yards per carry. Arizona's Achilles heel is their inept secondary, as everybody found out as Cam Newton broke a record throwing for 422 yards. Veteran Rex Grossman should be able to exploit the Cards pass defense . Arizona on offense doesn't have a good running game. Their offensive line is suspect, and don't run block too well. Besides, the Redskins held the Giants to 75 yards rushing, for only 3.8 yards per carry. In this match up, I expect both teams throwing the football more. The Skins will have a balanced attack, but they will have to test the suspect Cardinal secondary. Arizona is not a ball control type of team, and have to rely more on their passing game. If the Cards fall behind, they will not be able to establish any kind of running game. That will put Kolb into predictable 3rd and long situations to pass the ball, and the Redskin pass rush will pressure him into forced mistakes. Washington sacked Manning four times last week. WASHINGTON 27 ARIZONA 20.
GREEN BAY (47.0) @ CAROLINA (+10)
What have we learned about both teams after week #1?. GB after opening night, showed that they are hungry enough to return to the Super Bowl. GB's offense man handled the Saints defense. So you can expect the Packers to roll up the score in this contest vs. Carolina. Last week, Carolina's defense allowed 295 yards passing for a whopping 10.9 yards per catch, and surrendered 99 yards on the ground for 4.0 yards per carry.The Panther defense is full of holes, and expect Gb to exploit them on both sides of the ball with their explosive offense. Carolina doesn't have a running game, and the stout Packer front seven on defense will force the Panthers on offense into a one dimensional passing game. Carolina doesn't have too many playmakers at wide receiver besides Steve Smith. So expect the Pack's defense to blitz and pass rush often, and force Cam Newton to make rookie mistakes and turnover the football.In this match up, I expect Gb to light up the scoreboard and romp the Panthers. The Panthers will pick up some garbage points at the end when the game is so far out of reach. So expect a high scoring game, with plenty of passing. In addition, both special team defenses allowed kick off or punt returns for TD's. Cobb on special teams looks fabulous, and adds another dimension to the Gb offense. Newton lit up Arizona last week, however, comparing the Cardinals to the Packers, is like comparing apples to oranges. Also don't loose sight of the fact that Carolina is in a rebuilding season, and you can't build high expectations of this team with a rookie starting at quarterback. GREEN BAY 35 CAROLINA 17.
DALLAS (42 1/2) @ SAN FRANCISCO (+3.0)
What have we learned about both teams after week #1 ?. We know that Seattle was no test, or challenge for San Francisco. Seattle hasn't any playmakers on offense, and lack a true NFL starting QB. This is an inept , awful , and probably the worst offense in the league. Tony Romo threw another game away in his NFL career with his poor decision making late into the game. Dallas was on their way to an upset victory until Romo threw the ball away for an INT. So you have a SF team yet to be tested after week #1, and you have a Dallas team coming off an emotional road loss. In this match up, I can see the Cowboys front seven on defense stuffing the 49 er running game. Dallas allowed the Jets only 45 yards and 2.8 ypc. SF rushed the ball 32 times for only 85 yards and only 2.7 ypc. SF will have to count on their inept QB Alex Smith to up the tempo on offense, and must pass the football with efficiency if he wants to beat the Cowboys. The Cowboy secondary is in shambles due to injuries, and lack of depth at that position. They allowed over 300 yards passing to an erratic Jet quarterback.In addition, their offensive line is suspect allowing Romo to be sacked four times. Although SF scored 33 points last week, it wasn't because Alex Smith and company had sustained drives to the end zone. Two of their touchdowns came by way of kick and punt returns. Other concerns is the health of Dez Bryant after suffering a quad injury, and the San Francisco offensive line surrendering 5 sacks to Seattle. The main question I have about this game, is why Dallas is 3 point favorites playing their second consecutive road game to start the season?. I like this game to go over the total, but I think this line is a Vegas trap play. In my opinion, this game will come down to who is the better QB to decide the winner. Regardless, SF hasn't yet been tested, Dallas played a tough Jet team and played well enough to win, and how can you side with Alex Smith to get the job done. I still like Dallas to win in this spot. DALLAS 27 SAN FRANCISCO 23.
TAMPA BAY (41 1/2) @ MINNESOTA (-3)
What have we learned about both these team after week #1. Tampa Bay's QB Josh Freeman's poor pre season has carried over to week #1 of the regular season . The Buc's will have to rely more on their running game , and take the pressure off Freeman in week #2. Problem is that even without DT Kevin Williams, Minnesota limited San Diego's rushing attack to 2.9 yards per carry. Tampa Bay doesn't have playmakers on offense to challenge the Viking defense. The amazing thing about the Vikings last week, they faced an explosive offense and played excellent defense and lost by only 7 points on the road. On top of that, the Viking offense was inept, and was only able to control the ball and the clock for only 22:43. That meant that Minnesota's defense was on the field for 37:17 . The defensive stats put the entire game into perspective for the Vikings. They allowed only 6.9 yards per catch passing, and held the Chargers to only 77 yards rushing. Minnesota's passing game was pathetic. McNabb only completed passes for 28 yards at a 1.9 ypc clip.The savior of their offense although still limited by their offensive line, was Adrian Peterson. Minnesota ran for 159 yards for 6.1 yards per carry. On the flip side, Tampa Bay allowed the mediocre Detroit backfield to rush for 126 yards. In this contest, I have to side with Minnesota to win this game for the following reasons. (1) Vikes play at home, (2) TB QB Josh Freeman is in a slump, (3) TB showed no signs of a pass rush, and didn't even record one sack, (4) The Buc's offense doesn't compare to San Diego's, and Minnesota's defense should have no problem stopping them. TB scored 20 points, and Minnesota scored 17 points. 7 of those points for both teams were scored on a TB interception return, and Minnesota's scored on a 105 yard kick off return. The point is if both offenses are limited, and both defenses dominate the game, the results could be a low scoring game. MINNESOTA 17 TAMPA BAY 14.
CHICAGO (47 1/2) @ NEW ORLEANS (-6 1/2)
What we have learned about both teams after week #1 ?. The Saints proven to all of us that they still have that explosive passing game, and scored 34 points in the loss to GB on opening night. On the flip side, their defense allowed GB's high octane offense to score 42 points. The Bears pulled out and upset at home over Atlanta. Falcon QB Matt Ryan didn't look sharp in the pre season, and his poor play carried over into weak one. Chicago basically shut the Falcons and Ryan down. However, the Bears did surrender 110 yards rushing on only 14 attempts for a whopping 7.9 yards per carry.In this match up, QB Drew Brees is a step up in class when it comes to NFL quarterbacks. He shown in week one that he is better, and more confident then Matt Ryan. So Chicago's defense will have a difficult task of containing Brees. However, before I jump on the Saints wagon, Chicago matches up well against them for the following reasons. The Saints high octane passing game may be running on empty, since they lost two of their top wide receivers for this game. The Saints have a poor offensive line that can either run run block or protect Brees in the pocket. New Orleans lacks a bonafide running attack, and Chicago's suspect rush defense should be able hold them under 100 yards rushing.On defense, the saints will be without their top pass rusher due to suspension. Without a playmaker at defensive end, the Saints pass rush will effected. Cutler may be no Rodgers at QB, but he can manage to throw the football. Keep in mind the Saints secondary allowed 312 yards, and 3 passing touchdowns vs. GB. So if Cutler isn't hurried, or pressured inside the pocket, it will enable him to move the Bear's offense.Another issue with the Saints is their front 7 stopping the run on defense. In 2010, the Saints were terrible vs. the run. GB in week #1, without a prolific running game, managed to rush for over 100 yards and score 2 rushing TD's on the Saints. This will bolster the Bears suspect running attack that managed to only rush for 88 yards, and only 3.3 yards per carry vs. Atlanta. New Orleans will also have to be concerned about their special teams play. The saints surrendered a kick off return to GB for a touchdown. The Bears are known for their excellent special teams play.The question I have about this game, is how many points can the Saints score without their core of playmakers at wide receiver, vs. Chicago's efficient secondary?. Brees has the arm, but I suspect he may struggle lighting up the scoreboard without help from his running game, and protection from his offensive line. I have come up with too many reasons why I should consider the Bears. They may not win on the road, but they should certainly keep it close. NEW ORLEANS 24 CHICAGO 23.
BALTIMORE (38.0) @ TENNESSEE (+6)
What we have learned about both teams after week #1 ?. The Titans are a poorly coached, and bad team.Baltimore is off to a succesfull start by beating their divisional foe Steelers to open the season. Tennessee allowed their top playmaker RB Chris Johnson to touch the football for only 9 carries?. The Titans couldn't muster any offense on both sides of their offense. They looked pathetic vs. a Jacksonville team that has an exploitable defense. Baltimore executed their game plan to perfection. They committed no turnovers, they sacked the QB 4 times, their offensive line run blocked, and protected Flacco in the pocket.It also helped the Ravens by the Steelers coughing up the football a total of 7 times. In this match up, you better believe that the Titan head coach is going to utilize Johnson and their running game. Baltimore's rush defense allowed 4.1 yards per carry on only 16 attempts. If Pittsburgh didn't fall behind so early in the game, they wouldn't have abandoned their running game. The Ravens have that reputation of possessing a strong front seven to stop the rush. I can see Baltimore playing 8 in the box, and mapping out a game plan this week in practice to stop Johnson. If the Ravens take away the Titan running game, this will force Tennessee to go to the air. Problem is that QB Hasselbeck is new to the system, and isn't yet in sync with his wide receivers . Baltimore's RB Ray Rice should have a field day against the Titan front seven. Last week Tennessee surrendered 163 tards rushing on 47 carries. Baltimore ran for 170 yards, and averaged 5.5 ypc. Tennessee also lacks a decent pass rush, and Baltimore's QB Flacco will have time in the pocket to connect with his passes.To show you how bad Tennessee is, last week, time of possession was an enemic 20:22, and they ran only 49 plays from scrimmage. This is against a Jacksonville team that has a suspect defense that has a history of surrendering a lot of points to their opponents. I expect that Baltimore will copy Jacksonville's game plan, and will rush the ball over 40 carries. Tennessee has no choice but to establish the run to open up their offense. However, a reality check also tells us that you can't spin straw into gold. BALTIMORE 27 TENNESSEE 9.
CLEVELAND (39 1/2) @ INDIANAPOLIS (+2)
What have we learned about both teams after week #1. The Cleveland Browns offense was punchless, and could matriculate the football up the field vs. the Bengals. The Colts were bashed by Houston, and were embarrased . The Browns on offense managed only 3.2 yards per carry rushing, and only 5.1 yards per catch passing. They were put into too many third and long situations, and didn't have the playmakers at the wide receiver position to make things happen. The Colts Kerry Collins was just awful. I forget how many times he fumbled the ball throughout the game, and I couldn't believe how poorly their offensive line protected him. In this match up, when was the last time the Colts at home, were made the underdogs vs. the likes of a poor NFL team?. I see the Browns Hillis being able to run the football on the Colts. Colts allowed 167 yards/4.1 ypc rushing to Houston. Cleveland doesn't have a passing game, and the Colt secondary is good enough to hold them to 200 yards. So expect the Colts to play 8 in the box, and stay focused vs. the rush. Indianapolis has two veteran pass rushers, and they will be able to compromise the Brown's offensive line in obvious passing situations. Cleveland's defensive front 7 gave up 139 yards rushing, for a 4.2 average ypc. Although the Colts aren't known for their running game, they did average 4.0 yards per carry last week. You can expect the Colts game plan to run the ball more, and throw less, and take the pressure off QB Kerry Collins. In addition, once the Colts establish their running game, Collins will not have to worry about Cleveland's non-existent pass rush. Lastly, just look at who they played last week. The Colts went up against hungry Texan team on the road. The Browns played a lowly ranked Cincinnati team, without a veteran quarterback. Expect a low scoring game, both teams will try to control the football on the ground, and eat the clock. I can't see a team like the Colts not revenging last week's humilation. INDIANAPOLIS 17 CLEVELAND 13.
JACKSONVILLE (39 1/2) @ NEW YORK JETS (-9)
What have we learned about both teams after week #1?. The fact is that Jaguars played a lousy Tennessee Titan team that challenge their defense. When you look at the stats real close, I found some glaring concerns about how good the Jags really are. First, the new head coach for the Titans only allowed their top playmaker and rusher , Chris Johnson, to touch the ball 9 times on the ground. Jacksonville ran 73 plays, and had possession of the football for 39:38 minutes, and yet only managed to score a total of 16 points?. Although the Jags ran for 163 yards, it took them 47 carries, and they averaged only 3.5 yards per rush. The Ny Jets had theirhands full vs. Dallas. Tony Romo handed them a gift, and it enabled them to come from behind and win the game. The surprise was that the great Jet secondary allowed 326 yards passing for 9.1 ypc. Beside the Romo blunder, the Jets special teams made the difference at the end. The New York offense didn't show up to play this game. They managed only 7.2 yards passing, and only 45 yards - 2.8 ypc. The Jets did stuff the Cowboys running game, only surrendering 64 yards for an average of 2.5 ypc. In this match up, Jacksonville hasn't been tested, and the Vegas odds makers made them -9 point underdogs for a reason. The Jags will not be able to run the ball against the Jet front seven 47 times like they did last week. The Jets will force McCown into unfaborable passing situations, and will force him to make mistakes. The Jags don't possess a good pass rush on defense. Mark Sanchez will have more time in the pocket to pass to his playmakers. The Jets will have to pass the ball often, considering the fact that they rushed for only 2.8 yards per carry, and Jacksonville's rush defense allowed only 3.3 ypc last week.The Jets committed zero penalties and showed discipline. The Jags managed to covert 3 field goals, and only one TD vs. a suspect Tennessee team. NEW YORK JETS 23 JACKSONVILLE 10.
SEATTLE (40.0) @ PITTSBURGH (-13 1/2)
What have we learned about these two teams after week #1?. Pittsburgh turned the ball over 7 times, and fell behind by too early to catch up and utilize their running game. Seattle lost to a weak San Francisco offense by allowing them to score 33 points, 14 of those 33 points were scored on a punt and kick return for touchdowns. In this match up, Seattle is in for it, and I wouldn't be surprised if the Steelers shut them out. You can imagine how fustrated and humiliated the players, and coaches felt all week in practice preparing for this game. Forget about laying two touchdowns to the Seahawks, the Steelers will be on a mission to establish their presence of authority. Seattle is one of those teams that don't play on the road 13-31 ATS since 2006. In addition, the Seahawks fall under the west coast team, traveling to play an east coast team at 1pm trend. This trend is the kiss of death, and besides, this is Seattle's second consecutive road game. We also learned that Seattle has a terible offensive line, and that Tarvis Jackson isn't an NFL QB that can lead his team. Pittsburgh will not fall behind at all in this game. They will not have to abandon their running game like they did last week. The Steelers should easily establish the run, and will open up the passing game for Roethlisberger. Seattle doesn't have good pass rushers on defense, and failed to record one sack last week. This will allow the weak Pittsburgh offensive line to compensate for their short comings , and will provide better protection for their quarterback. Lastly, Seattle's offense last week was only able to muster up an average of 2.9 yards per carry, and only a dismal 4.2 yards per pass. PITTSBURGH 41 SEATTLE 0.
DALLAS (42 1/2) @ SAN FRANCISCO (+3)
What have we learned about these teams after week #1 ?. Dallas had their game won until Romo's costly interception, and the blocked punt for a touchdown score.Dallas controled the ball the entire game, and time of possession 33:53 minutes. However they commited a total of 3 turnovers , and the offensive line allowed Romo to be sacked four times. SF won their game convincingly, however, Seattle is an awful team, and the Forty Niners weren't tested. The San Francisco offensive line, QB Alex Smith, and their running attack played poorly.If it weren't for their special teams scoring two touchdowns, SF would have struggled in their victory over Seattle.In this match up, let me first state that I don't like this game at all.Everybody is betting on Dallas to win and cover the -3 point spread?. Here's the problem(s) with Dallas in this contest. WR Dez Bryant could be out for this game. Even if he plays, he suffered a severe quad injury, and he will not be at 100%. RB Felix Jones and the Dallas running game showed me nothing. They gained only 64 yards and averaged only 2.9 ypc. SF last week, held Seattle to 64 yards, and 2.9 ypc. The Cowboy offensive line has issues, they allowed Romo to be sacked 4 times, and SF pass rush last week sacked the Seattle QB 5 times. The Dallas secondary, the corner back positions are so banged up, that they had to sign guys during mid week, because they lacked depth at that position. I am not an Alex smith fan. I don't even know why he is still the starting QB for SF. Regardless, I like San Francisco mainly because of their special team play. Dallas is weak in this area, and the Niners can exploit them and make the difference in this game. Lastly, the Boys may come out sluggish due to last week's emotional loss, and they are playing their second consecutive road game. SAN FRANCISCO 24 DALLAS 21.
SAN DIEGO (53 1/2) @ NEW ENGLAND (-7)
What have we learned about both these teams after week #1?. San Diego started the season sluggish, and their terrible special teams play allowed a 105 kick off return for a touchdown. SD's secondary wasn't tested by the washed up Mc Nabb, throwing 28 yards for a horrid 1.9 average per pass?. SD had the ball in their possession for 37:17 minutes, and they had to come from behind and win the game. SD defensive front seven played poorly. They allowed Minnesota to rush for 159 yards for 6.1 yards per carry. New England may have a suspect offensive line, however, Miami recorded only one sack against them. The story was in this game how QB Brady passed for 516 yards and 4 TD's. Their secondary was not impressive, and surrendered big pass plays to a mediocre Dolphin offense. In this match up, look for Head Coach Bellichick to change up on his game plan for Sunday. SD's Phillip Rivers is a big playmaker, and can easily exploit the Patriot secondary. If Henne was able to do it, surely Rivers can. With this in mind, Bellichick will probably utilize his running game often, to establish ball control and the clock. San Diego's defensive front seven is suceptable to the run, since they surrendered 159 yards on the ground at a clip of 6.1 yards per carry. If the Patriots succeed and keep Rivers off the field as much as possible, the Patriots win this game hands down.It is hard to say if this game will be high scoring. The Vegas odds makers set the total at 53 1/2. If Bellichick has his team run the football, will he continue to employ the no huddle offense like he did in Miami?. Lastly, Minnesota's offensive line was considered by many to be a mess. However, SD's pass rushers only sacked the QB twice?. The same has been said about the Patriots offensive line, and yet Miami got to Brady only once. NEW ENGLAND 28 SAN DIEGO 24.
HOUSTON (48.0) @ MIAMI (+3)
What did we learn from both teams after week #1. Miami established the fact that their secondary is beyond terrible. Allowing Brady 516 yards and 4 TD's doesn't cut it in the NFL. Miami's QB Chad Henne's statistics were also misleading. He might have passed for 400 yards, however, most of those yards came in big chunks on some big pass plays. The Patriots secondary was horrid, yet Henne overall played a subpar game, and failed to convert yardage into touchdowns. Houston took advantage of the Manning-Less Colts. It seemed to me every time Collins was snapped the ball, he was either fumbling it, or pressured and being sacked. Although Houston won the game in a blow out 34-7, I wasn't convinced about their overall play. They gave up 4.0 yards per carry on the ground, and they jumped out to a huge lead, and the Colts weren't a challenge.In this match up, why did Vegas make the Texans only a 3 point favorite?. The inept Miami secondary will face another potent aerial attack led by Schaub. Houston has an excellent offensive line, and Miami only had one sack vs. a suspect Patriot O-Line?. That tells me that Schaub will be able to sit in the pocket, and pick Miami apart. Arian Foster's status is still questionable.and the Texans may hold him back to play New Orleans the following week. Houston has a good defensive pass rush, and Miami 's offensive line is in a total mess. The Colts without any playmaker at running back, was able to rush for 4.0 yards per carry. Reggie Bush is Miami's answer to run the football. However, he is more of a receiver, and his specialty is to run swing passes, and screens to the outside, and make yardage in open spaces. He isn't your typical NFL running back that can physically hit the line of scrimmage.You have to figure that the Dolphins lost all confidence after losing to the Patriots on Monday night. With all that said , why is Houston only a three point favorite?. Is this a trap game?. HOUSTON 27 MIAMI 23.
CINCINNATI (40.0) @ DENVER (-3 1/2)
What have we learned about both team after week #1?. The Bengals won their game by scoring two touchdowns in the 4th quarter vs. Cleveland. The Bengal defense, the strength of their team arose to the occasion, and just allowed Cleveland to score on a field goal in the second half. The Bengals surrendered only 202 yards @ 5.1 ypc passing, and 83 yards @ 3.2 ypc rushing. The Bengals are weak in the passing department, and that is mainly due to their rookie QB situation. However, a new improved Cedric Benson moved the football on the ground and ran for over 100 yards and a TD.Denver, lost to Oakland, and their inept offense was exposed on national tv. The Broncos only averaged 5.9 yards per pass, and 2.9 yards per carry. Their rush defense almost surrendered 200 yards on the ground, at a clip of 4.9 yards per carry. In this match up, Cincinnati plays a good defense as long as they aren't on the field too long. Denver, besides their short comings on offense, looks like they are heading into a quarterback controversy with Orton and Tebow. A quarterback controversy between players, coaches, and fans, can divide a team and their cohesiveness. The other problem that Denver faces is the health and availability of 3 key players, Bailey, Moreno, and Lloyd, for Sunday. If Bailey is out, that would really weaken the strength of their secondary. Both teams in week #1 showed no discipline on the field. The Bengals committed 11 penalties, and Denver 10 penalties and three turnovers. Denver scored 7 or their 20 points on special teams , and their offense only accounted for 13 of those points. Cedric Benson should have a strong game, and will exploit the Broncos rush defense. Denver's offensive line allowed Oakland to sack their QB a total of 5 times, and the Bengals recorded two sacks of their own in week #1. Cincinnati should be able to hurry and pressure Orton in the pocket the entire game. Denver only sacked the oppossing QB once last week vs. an Oakland team with a suspect offensive line. This should come as a relief to the Bengal QB's that were sacked 4 times in week one. I can't see Denver even at home winning this game outright. The match up favors the Bengals all the way. The broncos simply don't have the fire power on offense to challenge the Cincinnati defense , nor the ability to sustain long drives and control the football.CINCINNATI 20 DENVER 17.
PHILADELPHIA (50 1/2) @ ATLANTA (+2 1/2)
What have we learned about both these teams after week #1 ?. Philadelphia, as hyped up to be such a great team, actually had a tough game on their hands until Steven Jackson knocked out of the game. St. Louis was able to rush the ball for over 154 yards, and 5.9 yards per carry. St. Louis throughout the game lost some of their offensive playmakers. The QB connection with their wide outs was terrible, with dropped passes, and inaccurate passing. The Eagles weren't truly tested in their victory. Atlanta, just played awful football in Chicago. Falcon QB Matt Ryan played poorly, and they were only able to generate offensively six points on field goals, the other 6 points resulted by their defense , on a 50 yard interception for a touchdown. Their offensive line had problems pass blocking throughout the game, and their secondary was vaunable to the pass allowing 289 yards at an average of 9.0 yards per pass. In this match up, this is a tough call , and the game could go either way. First. Michael Vick returns home to Atlanta, and his emotions will be riding high to win this game. Both offensive lines stink pass blocking. Vick was hurried and sacked last week 3 times, and Matt Ryan was sacked 5 times. Both teams have excellent pass rushers. The Eagles recorded 5 sacks on defense, and Atlanta sacked the QB 3 times. Offensively, Atlanta's Rb Michael Turner could be a huge factor in this game. Philadelphia's front seven rush defense was exposed by allowing 154 yards. Turner is a playmaker that can take advantage of this situation on offense. Atlanta in this game is a must win for them. The Falcons play solid football in the Georgia Dome, and Matt Ryan is 15-6 against the spread at home. However, I am going to side with the Eagles to win this battle. Vick has proven that he can compensate for his poor offensive line with his ability to avoid the rush by utlizing his speed. Matt Ryan, has been slumping and his confidence is fading away, and doesn't have the feet like Vick to constantly avoid the Philadelphia pass rush. Lastly, that intangible factor comes into play here. Michael Vick's emotional home coming. PHILADELPHIA 20 ATLANTA 17.
ST. LOUIS (44.0) @ NEW YORK GIANTS (-6 1/2)
What have we learned about these two teams after week #1 ?. St. Louis fell to injuries, and couldn't recover against the Eagles. Bradford was sacked 5 times, and banged up. There was no support from his offensive line. They committed 9 penalties, and fumbled the football that allowed Philadelphia to score a 56 yd TD. They could stop the run on defense, and displayed almost no offense. The Giants were upset by Washington, and played poorly. Injuries to their starters mainly came into play in this game, and they didn't have the personnel on the field to win that game. The inept secondary play stood out the most in their defeat by allowing 258 yards passing to a mediocre Redskin QB. In this match up, I like the Giants all the way. St.Louis took some big hits and suffered key injuries in last week's game. Bradford was hobbled, and won't be at 100%. They lost Rb Steve Jackson, the playmaker of their offense, and may have lost WR Amendola for the rest of the season. RB Cadillac Williams is no Steven Jackson when it comes to running the football. The Rams haven't any playmakers on their roster to exploit New York's weak secondary, and lack the fire power to do so. The Giants look like they will get Justin Tuck on defense. That can spell doom for Bradford, whom was sacked 5 times last week. The Giants will take advantage of their running game to generate their offense. St. Louis allowed 237 yards rushing and 7.6 ypc to Philadelphia last week. NY has the backkfield that will exploit the Ram's defensive weakness. This is a must win for the Giants, and the way they play, could dictate their 2011 season. In addition. being in the lime light, and pressure cooker in New York, will motivate them this game. NEW YORK GIANTS 24 ST. LOUIS 17.
BROOKLYNWORM'S BEST BETS FOR WEEK #2.
STRAIGHT UP
DETROIT
BUFFALO
WASHINGTON
GREEN BAY
BALTIMORE
INDIANAPOLIS
PITTSBURGH
NEW YORK GIANTS
AGAINST THE SPREAD
BUFFALO -3 1/2
WASHINGTON -4
CHICAGO +6 1/2
BALTIMORE -6
INDIANAPOLIS +2
PITTSBURGH -13 1/2
CINCINNATI +3 1/2
NEW YORK GIANTS -6 1/2
OVER/UNDER TOTALS
KANSAS CITY/DETROIT OVER 45
GREEN BAY/CAROLINA OVER 47
TAMPA BAY/ MINNESOTA UNDER 41 1/2
BALTIMORE/TENNESSEE UNDER 38
CINCINNATI/ DENVER UNDER 39 1/2
PHILADELPHIA/ATLANTA UNDER 50 1/2
GOOD LUCK TO ALL;
BROOKLYNWORM
