LOS ANGELES CHARGERS (52.0) @ KANSAS CITY (-3.5)
This is a short work week for these teams, and you need to stay on top of the active/inactive injury list up to game time. KC, now with RB Kareem Hunt gone, Andy Reid, will step up its passing game. Problem is, the red hot WR Tyreek Hill, was injured, however, should play even at less than 100% (again, check you’re injury status). WR Sammy Watkins is also injured, and ruled out? QB Mahomes, go to guys, will be TE Kelce, and WR Kelvin Benjamin , who was just cut by the Bills. As for KC’s running back situation, they will start RB Spencer Ware. Ware has the ability to carry the rock, but doesn’t have the hands of a Kareem Hunt, catching short passes. In addition, the Chargers have played better on defense versus the run, ever since Boas returned to the lineup. The Chiefs best safety, Eric Berry, returns after a long bout with the disabled list. His presence, will hopefully will give the Chiefs an upgrade in the secondary (again, check his status). KC during the beginning of the season, was weak versus the pass. Presently, the KC defense has been reversed. KC is playing the pass with more efficiency, and their rush defense has been regressing. So if RB Melvin Gordon, suits up to play, this can pose problems for the Chiefs (again, check Gordon’s health status). Kansas City, comes off an emotional overtime win, in a physical game against Baltimore, this past weekend. The Chiefs, have the jump on the Patriots, for the number one seed. Is KC ready for a letdown? Also, teams coming off overtime games, have terrible track record covering the spread on Thursday nights, (6-26 against the spread since 1989). The positives for KC, (1) Chiefs play at home on a short week (2) Chargers, warm weather team, plays in a cold Arrowhead stadium, with the temperature to be close to Freezing. (3) QB Phillip Rivers, can’t win the big game (shades of Cousins). (4) KC beat the Chargers opening week in LA, 38-28. In conclusion, you really have to stay updated on the players that will be inactive. These are key players on both sides that will determine the victor. Predicted score. Kansas City 31 Los Angeles 27, Kansas City (-3.5), Over (52.0).
HOUSTON TEXANS (-6) @ NEW YORK JETS (41.5)
The New York Jets players, win, or lose, have been playing hard in the second half of the season, for their lame duck head coach. The Jets latest episode, was having an emotional bounce back win over the Buffalo Bills. The NY Jets, are now due for an emotional letdown. Houston, on the other hand, lost last Sunday to Indianapolis, and Andrew Luck. Houston has issues with their offensive line in pass protection. This shouldn’t stop the Texans from making adjustments, and come prepared against the inferior Jets. One of the ways the Texans can improve their passing game, is by first establishing their running game. NY Jets rank 22[SUP]nd[/SUP] against the rush on defense. RB Lamar Miller, will exploit the Jets ground defense, and this will allow QB Deshawn Watson, to buy more time in the pocket, with play action passing. The Jets struggle to cover explosive wide receivers, and Andre Hopkins, is one of those talented receivers that could give the Jet secondary fits. Now, here is how the Texans will win this game. The Texans, in the trenches, will prove too much for the Jets. JJ Watt, and Clowney, will pressure QB Darnold. And force mistakes, and turnovers. (After all, the Jets O-Line isn’t as close talented wise, compared to the outstanding Colts O-line that Houston played last week) The biggest knock on the Jet rookie quarterback is, his inconsistency, with little talent around him. The Jet offense, lacks a running game, and the Texans have an outstanding defensive front seven, to stop the run. Predicted Score. Houston 24 New York Jets 17, Houston (-6), Under (41.5).
CLEVELAND (45.5) @ DENVER (-3)
Denver laid a big egg last week in San Francisco, and Cleveland as a slight dog, upsets Carolina at home. Usually, a team that plays poorly, comes back the following week focused. The question is, what happened to Denver’s stout defense that disappeared in the last 3 weeks? The Broncos, were missing three cornerbacks to due to injuries, last week. Their best corner is out, and inactive. Their second corner looks like he will play this Saturday, and probably won’t be at 100%, and the third corner, missed the last two games, and is practicing this week. (Check on the Denver cornerback status). Since Cleveland’s running game will be checked down by Denver’s best against the run in the NFL. QB Mayfield, may have a busy afternoon passing the football, especially if his wide outs get separation. I expect Denver to bounce back. Cleveland, will feel the pass rush of Von Miller, and Chubb. The key to this game, is how well RB Phillip Linsday, will perform, versus Cleveland’s 26[SUP]th[/SUP] ranked rush defense? Cleveland, against the run, has given up huge amount of yardage to their opponents. Denver, will have to make their living running their ground game. The Broncos have no talented wide receivers. To challenge a decent Cleveland secondary. Here are my reasons why I am siding with the Broncos. (1) Running Back, Phillip Lindsay, a huge game, (2) Denver plays better at home, (3) Cleveland QB Mayfield, is a rookie, and making his first appearance at Denver’s Mile High Stadium. This environment, with the thin mile high air, is tough on any rookie. Denver 24 Cleveland 20, Denver (-3), Under (45.5).
MIAMI (44.5) @ MINNESOTA (-7)
I”LL bet that Minnesota is happy to be home, after that wacky road trip. They flown from Minnesota to New England. Returned home, and flown out to the west coast to play Seattle. Both road trips resulted in Viking losses, and now one can anticipate a Minnesota victory. Miami, played their super bowl last week against the Patriots that was an emotional, and physical game, and you can expect a letdown on the road. As it stands, Minnesota’s offensive line, isn’t getting it done. Miami has the pass rushers that can pressure QB Cousins. Without pass protection, Cousins will continue to struggle in the pocket. The player to look for, is Miami cornerback Xavierl Howard. He is Miami’s best defensive back, is listed questionable. If he isn’t activated, Cousins, should find open receivers. If Howard is activated, expect the Minnesota offense to be limited. Miami QB Tannehill that was injured in the New England game last week will suit up for Sunday. However, it’s an ankle injury, and I would expect Tannehill will be slowed while trying to escape the Viking pass rush. Minnesota’s front seven is outstanding defending the run. Miami has two good RB’s Drake, and Gore. To date, Drake is listed as questionable. Predicted score. Minnesota 27 Miami 17, Minnesota (-7), Under (44.5).
OAKLAND (46.0) @ CINCINNATI (-3)
The Raiders are another team that won their super bowl, in week 14, against Pittsburgh. Now, Oakland travels on the road to Cincinnati, with a letdown hangover. Sounds like a great idea, to jump on the Bengal bandwagon, however, Cincinnati is really banged up, and you have to wonder why Vegas made Cincinnati -3 point favorites? Let me lay this all out for you, and you make the call. Oakland QB Carr , had an outstanding game against a terrible Pittsburgh secondary last week. This Sunday, he faces a Bengal secondary that is equally bad. So Carr should throw for at least 300 yards, and at least 2-3 touchdowns. Cincinnati’s struggles continue defensively, trying to stop the run. As long as Burfict is out, Oakland can move the chains on the ground. Next, Cincinnati QB backup/replacement, Jeff Driskel, last week, played errorless football. But that’s about it. I expect like most backups, with the same caliber, will miss his open receivers, making mistakes, and creating turnovers. Since losing wide receiver AJ Green, the Bengals have a skeleton receiver corps...Driskel’s only options, will be to hook up with his pass catching tight ends, and running backs. Oakland lacks a pass rush, and without pressure, may keep Cincinnati in the game. Predicted score. Cincinnati 28 Oakland 21, Cincinnati (-3), Over (46.0).
TAMPA BAY (47.0) @ BALTIMORE (-8)
Here is Tampa Bay’s playbook. Run, and go long downfield, and expect a deep vertical pass. That’s how Tampa bay generates all their points. It’s like cooked pasta. Throw a strand of spaghetti against the wall, and eventually a strand will stick. Baltimore, ranks 5[SUP]th[/SUP] on pass defense, and are capable of handling the Bucs talented wide receivers. So don’t expect Tampa to light up the scoreboard. Jameis Winston, is starting to argue with teammates, and show no sense of maturity, or professionalism, in the six years he played as an NFL quarterback. Baltimore, is bringing the heat on Sunday. The Buc’s offensive line is awful, and Winston doesn’t know how to read defenses. I wouldn’t be surprised if Winston gets sacked at least 6 times, and makes costly turnovers. Tampa Bay, ranks 30[SUP]th[/SUP] versus the run. QB Lamar Jackson, has been running with the football, over an average of 100 yards per game, since taking over the starting helm from Flacco. You can expect the Ravens, to call at least 60% running plays. Predicted score. Baltimore 27 Tampa Bay 16, Baltimore (-8), Under (47.0).
DALLAS (47.0) @ INDIANAPOLIS (-2.5)
The key to this game, is Luck’s offensive efficiency, versus a strong Cowboy defense. The Cowboys caught fire, when they traded for WR Amari Cooper. He brought a winning streak, and has Dallas in the playoff picture. By now, the NFL teams, have a book on Amari playing in Dallas. Their opponents will look to take Cooper out of the equation, as the season moves on. Dallas QB Prescott, has slightly improved since the acquisition of Cooper, however, he continues to miss his receivers on big plays. Dallas averages 20-24 ppg like clockwork. The Cowboys RB Elliott, is the bread and butter on offense. If Elliott doesn’t move the ball, the Cowboys struggle. Elliott, goes up against a Colt defense, that ranks 4[SUP]th[/SUP] on rush defense. So in review, the Colts most likely will double team Cooper, the Colts front seven, will limit Elliott from running the ball, and Prescott continues to play inconsistent football. The Colts played against to Texan defense last week. The Houston defense, is similar to the Cowboy’s defense. So you can say, Luck, had a tune up for this upcoming game. The Colts stellar offensive line, will pass protect Luck in the pocket, and I expect the Colts to maybe score 30 points. Don’t forget, Dallas just came off that overtime win over Philly. In actuality, the Colts need to win this game more than the Cowboys. Predicted score. Indianapolis 31 Dallas 23, Indianapolis (-2.5), Over (47.0).
DETROIT (38.0) @ BUFFALO (-2.5)
This is a tough game to call, and this is a battle of bad teams. Given, Detroit has numerous injuries on offense, and defense. Detroit QB Stafford, is questionable, and has been limited in practice. The other, RB Kerryon Johnson, who is important to the lion offense. Without Johnson, the Lions have no offense. To date, Johnson hasn’t practiced, and is listed as questionable. Stafford’s quarterback numbers have been pathetic, and the running game is nothing to write home about. Buffalo’s rookie QB Josh Allen, is ripping up the turf with a 7.4 yards per carry average. Other than his mobility, he isn’t a good passer, and turns over the football often. Even though Josh Allen, is a better QB runner than Lamar Jackson on Baltimore, he faces a Detroit team that excels at stopping the run. This maybe an obstacle for Allen, to overcome. Detroit plays better against bad teams, and loses to good teams above .500. Looking at these team, Detroit appears to be the better team, and Buffalo, the bad game. Predicted score. Detroit 20 Buffalo 19, Detroit (+2.5), Over (38.0).
GREEN BAY (45.0) @ CHICAGO (-5.5)
The Packers fired their head coach, and had their backs against the wall, when they luckily had to play the injured Atlanta Falcons. Rodgers, and the Packers, beat the Falcons 34-20 in a runaway game. Point I am making is, Chicago, isn’t the Falcons, and Green Bay, isn’t going to play against a 31[SUP]st[/SUP] ranked pass defense this weekend. Instead, Green Bay will face the NFL’s top defense, defending the run, and pass. Rodgers, has struggled going up against the NFL’s higher rated pass defenses. In addition, GB’s offensive line is hurting, and several starters are banged up. The Bears pass rush, will harass Rodgers the entire game, and will force sacks, and turnovers. The packer’s defense, has issues. They provide poor coverage in their secondary, and they are even worse defending against the rush. Chicago has an established running game, which includes QB Trubisky with his set of quick wheels. The honeymoon is over for GB’s newest head coach. Predicted score. Chicago 30 Green Bay 17, Chicago (-5.5), Over (45.0).
TENNESSEE (43.5) @ NEW YORK GIANTS (-2.5)
New York Giants, are 4-1, since their bye week. The reason, their vastly improved offensive line. Barkley, is playing like the rookie of the year. Tennessee, is stout versus the run, and should limit Barkley’s yardage. However, Barkley is a good pass catcher, and with Beckham Jr. likely inactive for Sunday’s game, the Giants will need his hands. Tennessee, is ranked 23 rd. versus the pass defensively, and have bad cornerback play. Tennessee’s RB Derrick Henry, had an outstanding game last week. Henry, should have a repeat performance versus the Giants defense. Ever since New York traded away “Snacks” Harrison, they have been regressing on run defense. The Giants haven’t really played and top rated QB’s during their little streak. However, that will change, once they face Marcos Mariota. Mariota, not the best NFL quarterback, but he is the answer this Sunday against the Giants. NY, has had their struggles on pass defense, which will help Mariota offensively. The biggest weapon the Titans have is Mariota’s mobility. Mariota, has quick feet, to extend plays, avoid sacks, and gain yardage like a running back. Lastly, Without Beckham Jr., Tennessee has the edge. The other factor, the Giants will not be focused, since they thrashed the Redskins last week 40-16. Predicted score. Tennessee 24 NY Giants 23, Tennessee (+2.5), Over (43.5).
WASHINGTON (36.0) @ JACKSONVILLE (-7)
It’s QB Kessler versus Josh Johnson, on the undercard. There isn’t much to add, to the anemic scoring spectacle, that I refuse to watch. Jacksonville, has the advantage in this match up. Jax RB Leonard Fournette, is going up against a Redskin rush defense , that ranks 24[SUP]th[/SUP]. Recall, last week, this same Washington team, was destroyed almost single handedly by NYG RB Barkley. Fournette, should follow with a huge game. Washington, is starting their fourth string quarterback that has about a putrid 50% completion rate. With the Jags defense on the field, Washington, will not have any success offensively. I have a golden rule. “Anytime you have terrible, backup QB’s, starting on both sides, always play under the total, whatever the number may be”. Predicted score. Jacksonville 20 Washington 10, Jacksonville 20 Washington 10, Under (36.0).
ARIZONA (44.0) @ ATLANTA (-8.5)
Atlanta, now a shell of its former self, has very little to offer. All they have is QB Ryan, and a passing game. Their defense is terrible, and they can’t run the football. Arizona has an awful front seven, however, ranks 9[SUP]th[/SUP] on pass defense. Looks like the Cardinals, can take the Falcon’s strength away, especially if their elite cornerback can limit, and cover Julio Jones. Arizona’s weakness is, they can’t stop the rush defensively. Problem with Atlanta, Freeman is lost for the season, and RB Tevin Coleman, isn’t getting the job done. The Cardinals, have a healthy RB David Johnson, who has had a poor season carrying the football. Bottom line. You have to like the QB Rosen versus the Atlanta suspect secondary matchup. Predicted score. Atlanta 21 Arizona 17, Arizona (+8.5), Under (44.0).
SEATTLE (44.0) @ SAN FRANCISCO (-5.5)
Why is Seattle only -5 ½ point favorites over SF? Recall, just a couple of weeks ago, these two teams met, and Seattle steamed rolled the Forty Inners 43-16. The Seahawks are the better team, and they have the edge in the passing game. So, is this a trap play? A big cog in the Seattle offense, is Doug Baldwin. He has an injured hip, and is a game time decision. Rashaad Penny, bad knee, and questionable, he wasn’t at Thursday’s practice. Without these guys on the field, and 100% healthy, this will limit the Seahawk offensive attack. SF, quarterback, back up Mullens, has been steadily starting to put up impressive numbers. In that blowout to Seattle a couple of weeks ago, Mullen’s threw for 414 yards, and two TD’s. Then last week against Denver, that has a decent pass defense, surrendered to Mullens 332 yards, and 2 TD’s. So one could expect a better game, with both these divisional rivals. SF, has a couple of key injuries on offense. Breida is limited, and questionable, Marquise Goodwin, is questionable, and also limited in practice. If these two starters don’t suit up for this game, this may affect the SF offensive scoring abilities. Bottom line, Seattle, may be looking ahead to next week, when they play Kansas City. Seattle, may show up in San Francisco, flat, not focused, and not motivated. Predicted score. Seattle 27 San Francisco 23, San Francisco (+5 ½), Over (44.5).
NEW ENGLAND (52.0) @ PITTSBURGH (+1.5)
So this is the big game. Both teams are licking their wounds from last week’s losses. Given, coach Belichick doesn’t like losing a game in that kind of fashion, and you better believe he has feverishly prepared for the Steelers this Sunday. I made my own observations regarding the Patriot season. The media is once again questioning Belichick, Brady, and the Patriot dynasty. I hope this clears this up. Take all the New England losses this season. Jacksonville, Lost to the Pats in the AFC Championship, played their super bowl and defeated the Pats in the heat and humidity in Florida. Detroit Lions, a bad team, beat the Patriots handily. The Detroit head coach, (ex-defensive coordinator Patricia) knew the Pats playbook, and tendencies. Tennessee, Another ex-Patriot coach, and ex-players, won because they also knew the Pats playbook and tendencies. Miami Dolphins, a hated divisional rival, played their super bowl, after another season of failure. The Miami heat, and humidity did the Pats in, as well as a miracle. There isn’t any ex Pat coaches, or hot weather conditions, to stand in the way of the players focus. Belichick, is the proven, and better head coach in this matchup. Pittsburgh, likes to blitz often, and Brady’s quick release beats them. Last week, the Patriot defense wore down in Miami, when they were constantly pounded by two bruising running backs, Gore, and Drake, in the high 90 heat. I point this out, because Pittsburgh’s RB Connor was injured, and if he plays, he will not be at 100%. The Pats front seven should control the line of scrimmage, and defend the run. This will Force QB Roethlisberger, (with injured ribs, not at 100%), to take to the air. Big Ben will challenge the suspect Patriot secondary, with his offensive weapons at wide receiver. The Patriots will counter, with the same offensive weapons, and look for Brady to throw at least 30-40 times, to exploit the Steeler secondary. As you can see, all arrows point to a high scoring game. Do you realize, that if the Pats win out, and KC loses one game, NE will become the number one seed? Predicted score. New England 31 Pittsburgh 26, New England (-1.5), Over (52.0).
PHILADELPHIA (53.5) @ LA RAMS (-11.5)
The LA Rams, should bounce back this week. They played against the top NFL defensive team, and lost. LA Ram QB Goff, played like a deer in headlights, and RB Todd Gurley, couldn’t do anything on the ground. However, this Sunday, the Rams won’t have to face that same defensive dilemma, like they did in Chicago. Philadelphia, doesn’t have a pass rush nowhere like the Bears. So Goff, should be able to stand in a clean pocket, and torch the Eagle’s depleted secondary. In addition, the Eagles can’t stop the run effectively. Expect RB Gurley, to chew them up, and have a huge game. Starting QB Wentz, has been ruled out with a bad back. His backup is Nick Foles, the 2018 super bowl winning quarterback. This season, the Eagle offensive line is weak, and will offer little protection, with the Aaron Donald, breathing down his throat. On paper, this looks like a runaway game for the Rams. The line has shot up to 11 ½ points, due to the Wentz injury. You need to be careful in this spot, and believe me it could be a trap play against the spread. Teams, when they lose their starting QB, sometimes rally, and get behind their backup 120% (love that metaphor), and play much better than expected. The LA Rams, may become relaxed at game time, and look past this game. Predicted score. Los Angeles 31 Philadelphia 23, Philadelphia (+11.5), Over (53.5).
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (51.5) @ CAROLINA (+6.5)
Carolina is blitz happy, especially when they play Drew Brees. Brees excels when blitzed, and has one of the quickest releases in the NFL. Carolina’s defensive scheme, plays right into Drew’s hands. Carolina, better think twice before blitzing, with a weak secondary behind them. The Panthers, ranked 28[SUP]th[/SUP] in pass defense. The Saints offensive line is outstanding, and there is little chance that Brees, will be hurried, and sacked. The biggest issue at the moment, is the heath of Cam Newton. Cam, has been playing with an injured shoulder, and may need surgery. I guess Carolina feels he can still quarterback. I just wonder if he can throw. Their only offensive outlet for the Panthers, is to heavily rely on their running game. However, the saints own one of the best ground defenses, in the NFL.Predicted score. New Orleans 34 Carolina 23, New Orleans (-6.5), OVER (51.5).
This is a short work week for these teams, and you need to stay on top of the active/inactive injury list up to game time. KC, now with RB Kareem Hunt gone, Andy Reid, will step up its passing game. Problem is, the red hot WR Tyreek Hill, was injured, however, should play even at less than 100% (again, check you’re injury status). WR Sammy Watkins is also injured, and ruled out? QB Mahomes, go to guys, will be TE Kelce, and WR Kelvin Benjamin , who was just cut by the Bills. As for KC’s running back situation, they will start RB Spencer Ware. Ware has the ability to carry the rock, but doesn’t have the hands of a Kareem Hunt, catching short passes. In addition, the Chargers have played better on defense versus the run, ever since Boas returned to the lineup. The Chiefs best safety, Eric Berry, returns after a long bout with the disabled list. His presence, will hopefully will give the Chiefs an upgrade in the secondary (again, check his status). KC during the beginning of the season, was weak versus the pass. Presently, the KC defense has been reversed. KC is playing the pass with more efficiency, and their rush defense has been regressing. So if RB Melvin Gordon, suits up to play, this can pose problems for the Chiefs (again, check Gordon’s health status). Kansas City, comes off an emotional overtime win, in a physical game against Baltimore, this past weekend. The Chiefs, have the jump on the Patriots, for the number one seed. Is KC ready for a letdown? Also, teams coming off overtime games, have terrible track record covering the spread on Thursday nights, (6-26 against the spread since 1989). The positives for KC, (1) Chiefs play at home on a short week (2) Chargers, warm weather team, plays in a cold Arrowhead stadium, with the temperature to be close to Freezing. (3) QB Phillip Rivers, can’t win the big game (shades of Cousins). (4) KC beat the Chargers opening week in LA, 38-28. In conclusion, you really have to stay updated on the players that will be inactive. These are key players on both sides that will determine the victor. Predicted score. Kansas City 31 Los Angeles 27, Kansas City (-3.5), Over (52.0).
HOUSTON TEXANS (-6) @ NEW YORK JETS (41.5)
The New York Jets players, win, or lose, have been playing hard in the second half of the season, for their lame duck head coach. The Jets latest episode, was having an emotional bounce back win over the Buffalo Bills. The NY Jets, are now due for an emotional letdown. Houston, on the other hand, lost last Sunday to Indianapolis, and Andrew Luck. Houston has issues with their offensive line in pass protection. This shouldn’t stop the Texans from making adjustments, and come prepared against the inferior Jets. One of the ways the Texans can improve their passing game, is by first establishing their running game. NY Jets rank 22[SUP]nd[/SUP] against the rush on defense. RB Lamar Miller, will exploit the Jets ground defense, and this will allow QB Deshawn Watson, to buy more time in the pocket, with play action passing. The Jets struggle to cover explosive wide receivers, and Andre Hopkins, is one of those talented receivers that could give the Jet secondary fits. Now, here is how the Texans will win this game. The Texans, in the trenches, will prove too much for the Jets. JJ Watt, and Clowney, will pressure QB Darnold. And force mistakes, and turnovers. (After all, the Jets O-Line isn’t as close talented wise, compared to the outstanding Colts O-line that Houston played last week) The biggest knock on the Jet rookie quarterback is, his inconsistency, with little talent around him. The Jet offense, lacks a running game, and the Texans have an outstanding defensive front seven, to stop the run. Predicted Score. Houston 24 New York Jets 17, Houston (-6), Under (41.5).
CLEVELAND (45.5) @ DENVER (-3)
Denver laid a big egg last week in San Francisco, and Cleveland as a slight dog, upsets Carolina at home. Usually, a team that plays poorly, comes back the following week focused. The question is, what happened to Denver’s stout defense that disappeared in the last 3 weeks? The Broncos, were missing three cornerbacks to due to injuries, last week. Their best corner is out, and inactive. Their second corner looks like he will play this Saturday, and probably won’t be at 100%, and the third corner, missed the last two games, and is practicing this week. (Check on the Denver cornerback status). Since Cleveland’s running game will be checked down by Denver’s best against the run in the NFL. QB Mayfield, may have a busy afternoon passing the football, especially if his wide outs get separation. I expect Denver to bounce back. Cleveland, will feel the pass rush of Von Miller, and Chubb. The key to this game, is how well RB Phillip Linsday, will perform, versus Cleveland’s 26[SUP]th[/SUP] ranked rush defense? Cleveland, against the run, has given up huge amount of yardage to their opponents. Denver, will have to make their living running their ground game. The Broncos have no talented wide receivers. To challenge a decent Cleveland secondary. Here are my reasons why I am siding with the Broncos. (1) Running Back, Phillip Lindsay, a huge game, (2) Denver plays better at home, (3) Cleveland QB Mayfield, is a rookie, and making his first appearance at Denver’s Mile High Stadium. This environment, with the thin mile high air, is tough on any rookie. Denver 24 Cleveland 20, Denver (-3), Under (45.5).
MIAMI (44.5) @ MINNESOTA (-7)
I”LL bet that Minnesota is happy to be home, after that wacky road trip. They flown from Minnesota to New England. Returned home, and flown out to the west coast to play Seattle. Both road trips resulted in Viking losses, and now one can anticipate a Minnesota victory. Miami, played their super bowl last week against the Patriots that was an emotional, and physical game, and you can expect a letdown on the road. As it stands, Minnesota’s offensive line, isn’t getting it done. Miami has the pass rushers that can pressure QB Cousins. Without pass protection, Cousins will continue to struggle in the pocket. The player to look for, is Miami cornerback Xavierl Howard. He is Miami’s best defensive back, is listed questionable. If he isn’t activated, Cousins, should find open receivers. If Howard is activated, expect the Minnesota offense to be limited. Miami QB Tannehill that was injured in the New England game last week will suit up for Sunday. However, it’s an ankle injury, and I would expect Tannehill will be slowed while trying to escape the Viking pass rush. Minnesota’s front seven is outstanding defending the run. Miami has two good RB’s Drake, and Gore. To date, Drake is listed as questionable. Predicted score. Minnesota 27 Miami 17, Minnesota (-7), Under (44.5).
OAKLAND (46.0) @ CINCINNATI (-3)
The Raiders are another team that won their super bowl, in week 14, against Pittsburgh. Now, Oakland travels on the road to Cincinnati, with a letdown hangover. Sounds like a great idea, to jump on the Bengal bandwagon, however, Cincinnati is really banged up, and you have to wonder why Vegas made Cincinnati -3 point favorites? Let me lay this all out for you, and you make the call. Oakland QB Carr , had an outstanding game against a terrible Pittsburgh secondary last week. This Sunday, he faces a Bengal secondary that is equally bad. So Carr should throw for at least 300 yards, and at least 2-3 touchdowns. Cincinnati’s struggles continue defensively, trying to stop the run. As long as Burfict is out, Oakland can move the chains on the ground. Next, Cincinnati QB backup/replacement, Jeff Driskel, last week, played errorless football. But that’s about it. I expect like most backups, with the same caliber, will miss his open receivers, making mistakes, and creating turnovers. Since losing wide receiver AJ Green, the Bengals have a skeleton receiver corps...Driskel’s only options, will be to hook up with his pass catching tight ends, and running backs. Oakland lacks a pass rush, and without pressure, may keep Cincinnati in the game. Predicted score. Cincinnati 28 Oakland 21, Cincinnati (-3), Over (46.0).
TAMPA BAY (47.0) @ BALTIMORE (-8)
Here is Tampa Bay’s playbook. Run, and go long downfield, and expect a deep vertical pass. That’s how Tampa bay generates all their points. It’s like cooked pasta. Throw a strand of spaghetti against the wall, and eventually a strand will stick. Baltimore, ranks 5[SUP]th[/SUP] on pass defense, and are capable of handling the Bucs talented wide receivers. So don’t expect Tampa to light up the scoreboard. Jameis Winston, is starting to argue with teammates, and show no sense of maturity, or professionalism, in the six years he played as an NFL quarterback. Baltimore, is bringing the heat on Sunday. The Buc’s offensive line is awful, and Winston doesn’t know how to read defenses. I wouldn’t be surprised if Winston gets sacked at least 6 times, and makes costly turnovers. Tampa Bay, ranks 30[SUP]th[/SUP] versus the run. QB Lamar Jackson, has been running with the football, over an average of 100 yards per game, since taking over the starting helm from Flacco. You can expect the Ravens, to call at least 60% running plays. Predicted score. Baltimore 27 Tampa Bay 16, Baltimore (-8), Under (47.0).
DALLAS (47.0) @ INDIANAPOLIS (-2.5)
The key to this game, is Luck’s offensive efficiency, versus a strong Cowboy defense. The Cowboys caught fire, when they traded for WR Amari Cooper. He brought a winning streak, and has Dallas in the playoff picture. By now, the NFL teams, have a book on Amari playing in Dallas. Their opponents will look to take Cooper out of the equation, as the season moves on. Dallas QB Prescott, has slightly improved since the acquisition of Cooper, however, he continues to miss his receivers on big plays. Dallas averages 20-24 ppg like clockwork. The Cowboys RB Elliott, is the bread and butter on offense. If Elliott doesn’t move the ball, the Cowboys struggle. Elliott, goes up against a Colt defense, that ranks 4[SUP]th[/SUP] on rush defense. So in review, the Colts most likely will double team Cooper, the Colts front seven, will limit Elliott from running the ball, and Prescott continues to play inconsistent football. The Colts played against to Texan defense last week. The Houston defense, is similar to the Cowboy’s defense. So you can say, Luck, had a tune up for this upcoming game. The Colts stellar offensive line, will pass protect Luck in the pocket, and I expect the Colts to maybe score 30 points. Don’t forget, Dallas just came off that overtime win over Philly. In actuality, the Colts need to win this game more than the Cowboys. Predicted score. Indianapolis 31 Dallas 23, Indianapolis (-2.5), Over (47.0).
DETROIT (38.0) @ BUFFALO (-2.5)
This is a tough game to call, and this is a battle of bad teams. Given, Detroit has numerous injuries on offense, and defense. Detroit QB Stafford, is questionable, and has been limited in practice. The other, RB Kerryon Johnson, who is important to the lion offense. Without Johnson, the Lions have no offense. To date, Johnson hasn’t practiced, and is listed as questionable. Stafford’s quarterback numbers have been pathetic, and the running game is nothing to write home about. Buffalo’s rookie QB Josh Allen, is ripping up the turf with a 7.4 yards per carry average. Other than his mobility, he isn’t a good passer, and turns over the football often. Even though Josh Allen, is a better QB runner than Lamar Jackson on Baltimore, he faces a Detroit team that excels at stopping the run. This maybe an obstacle for Allen, to overcome. Detroit plays better against bad teams, and loses to good teams above .500. Looking at these team, Detroit appears to be the better team, and Buffalo, the bad game. Predicted score. Detroit 20 Buffalo 19, Detroit (+2.5), Over (38.0).
GREEN BAY (45.0) @ CHICAGO (-5.5)
The Packers fired their head coach, and had their backs against the wall, when they luckily had to play the injured Atlanta Falcons. Rodgers, and the Packers, beat the Falcons 34-20 in a runaway game. Point I am making is, Chicago, isn’t the Falcons, and Green Bay, isn’t going to play against a 31[SUP]st[/SUP] ranked pass defense this weekend. Instead, Green Bay will face the NFL’s top defense, defending the run, and pass. Rodgers, has struggled going up against the NFL’s higher rated pass defenses. In addition, GB’s offensive line is hurting, and several starters are banged up. The Bears pass rush, will harass Rodgers the entire game, and will force sacks, and turnovers. The packer’s defense, has issues. They provide poor coverage in their secondary, and they are even worse defending against the rush. Chicago has an established running game, which includes QB Trubisky with his set of quick wheels. The honeymoon is over for GB’s newest head coach. Predicted score. Chicago 30 Green Bay 17, Chicago (-5.5), Over (45.0).
TENNESSEE (43.5) @ NEW YORK GIANTS (-2.5)
New York Giants, are 4-1, since their bye week. The reason, their vastly improved offensive line. Barkley, is playing like the rookie of the year. Tennessee, is stout versus the run, and should limit Barkley’s yardage. However, Barkley is a good pass catcher, and with Beckham Jr. likely inactive for Sunday’s game, the Giants will need his hands. Tennessee, is ranked 23 rd. versus the pass defensively, and have bad cornerback play. Tennessee’s RB Derrick Henry, had an outstanding game last week. Henry, should have a repeat performance versus the Giants defense. Ever since New York traded away “Snacks” Harrison, they have been regressing on run defense. The Giants haven’t really played and top rated QB’s during their little streak. However, that will change, once they face Marcos Mariota. Mariota, not the best NFL quarterback, but he is the answer this Sunday against the Giants. NY, has had their struggles on pass defense, which will help Mariota offensively. The biggest weapon the Titans have is Mariota’s mobility. Mariota, has quick feet, to extend plays, avoid sacks, and gain yardage like a running back. Lastly, Without Beckham Jr., Tennessee has the edge. The other factor, the Giants will not be focused, since they thrashed the Redskins last week 40-16. Predicted score. Tennessee 24 NY Giants 23, Tennessee (+2.5), Over (43.5).
WASHINGTON (36.0) @ JACKSONVILLE (-7)
It’s QB Kessler versus Josh Johnson, on the undercard. There isn’t much to add, to the anemic scoring spectacle, that I refuse to watch. Jacksonville, has the advantage in this match up. Jax RB Leonard Fournette, is going up against a Redskin rush defense , that ranks 24[SUP]th[/SUP]. Recall, last week, this same Washington team, was destroyed almost single handedly by NYG RB Barkley. Fournette, should follow with a huge game. Washington, is starting their fourth string quarterback that has about a putrid 50% completion rate. With the Jags defense on the field, Washington, will not have any success offensively. I have a golden rule. “Anytime you have terrible, backup QB’s, starting on both sides, always play under the total, whatever the number may be”. Predicted score. Jacksonville 20 Washington 10, Jacksonville 20 Washington 10, Under (36.0).
ARIZONA (44.0) @ ATLANTA (-8.5)
Atlanta, now a shell of its former self, has very little to offer. All they have is QB Ryan, and a passing game. Their defense is terrible, and they can’t run the football. Arizona has an awful front seven, however, ranks 9[SUP]th[/SUP] on pass defense. Looks like the Cardinals, can take the Falcon’s strength away, especially if their elite cornerback can limit, and cover Julio Jones. Arizona’s weakness is, they can’t stop the rush defensively. Problem with Atlanta, Freeman is lost for the season, and RB Tevin Coleman, isn’t getting the job done. The Cardinals, have a healthy RB David Johnson, who has had a poor season carrying the football. Bottom line. You have to like the QB Rosen versus the Atlanta suspect secondary matchup. Predicted score. Atlanta 21 Arizona 17, Arizona (+8.5), Under (44.0).
SEATTLE (44.0) @ SAN FRANCISCO (-5.5)
Why is Seattle only -5 ½ point favorites over SF? Recall, just a couple of weeks ago, these two teams met, and Seattle steamed rolled the Forty Inners 43-16. The Seahawks are the better team, and they have the edge in the passing game. So, is this a trap play? A big cog in the Seattle offense, is Doug Baldwin. He has an injured hip, and is a game time decision. Rashaad Penny, bad knee, and questionable, he wasn’t at Thursday’s practice. Without these guys on the field, and 100% healthy, this will limit the Seahawk offensive attack. SF, quarterback, back up Mullens, has been steadily starting to put up impressive numbers. In that blowout to Seattle a couple of weeks ago, Mullen’s threw for 414 yards, and two TD’s. Then last week against Denver, that has a decent pass defense, surrendered to Mullens 332 yards, and 2 TD’s. So one could expect a better game, with both these divisional rivals. SF, has a couple of key injuries on offense. Breida is limited, and questionable, Marquise Goodwin, is questionable, and also limited in practice. If these two starters don’t suit up for this game, this may affect the SF offensive scoring abilities. Bottom line, Seattle, may be looking ahead to next week, when they play Kansas City. Seattle, may show up in San Francisco, flat, not focused, and not motivated. Predicted score. Seattle 27 San Francisco 23, San Francisco (+5 ½), Over (44.5).
NEW ENGLAND (52.0) @ PITTSBURGH (+1.5)
So this is the big game. Both teams are licking their wounds from last week’s losses. Given, coach Belichick doesn’t like losing a game in that kind of fashion, and you better believe he has feverishly prepared for the Steelers this Sunday. I made my own observations regarding the Patriot season. The media is once again questioning Belichick, Brady, and the Patriot dynasty. I hope this clears this up. Take all the New England losses this season. Jacksonville, Lost to the Pats in the AFC Championship, played their super bowl and defeated the Pats in the heat and humidity in Florida. Detroit Lions, a bad team, beat the Patriots handily. The Detroit head coach, (ex-defensive coordinator Patricia) knew the Pats playbook, and tendencies. Tennessee, Another ex-Patriot coach, and ex-players, won because they also knew the Pats playbook and tendencies. Miami Dolphins, a hated divisional rival, played their super bowl, after another season of failure. The Miami heat, and humidity did the Pats in, as well as a miracle. There isn’t any ex Pat coaches, or hot weather conditions, to stand in the way of the players focus. Belichick, is the proven, and better head coach in this matchup. Pittsburgh, likes to blitz often, and Brady’s quick release beats them. Last week, the Patriot defense wore down in Miami, when they were constantly pounded by two bruising running backs, Gore, and Drake, in the high 90 heat. I point this out, because Pittsburgh’s RB Connor was injured, and if he plays, he will not be at 100%. The Pats front seven should control the line of scrimmage, and defend the run. This will Force QB Roethlisberger, (with injured ribs, not at 100%), to take to the air. Big Ben will challenge the suspect Patriot secondary, with his offensive weapons at wide receiver. The Patriots will counter, with the same offensive weapons, and look for Brady to throw at least 30-40 times, to exploit the Steeler secondary. As you can see, all arrows point to a high scoring game. Do you realize, that if the Pats win out, and KC loses one game, NE will become the number one seed? Predicted score. New England 31 Pittsburgh 26, New England (-1.5), Over (52.0).
PHILADELPHIA (53.5) @ LA RAMS (-11.5)
The LA Rams, should bounce back this week. They played against the top NFL defensive team, and lost. LA Ram QB Goff, played like a deer in headlights, and RB Todd Gurley, couldn’t do anything on the ground. However, this Sunday, the Rams won’t have to face that same defensive dilemma, like they did in Chicago. Philadelphia, doesn’t have a pass rush nowhere like the Bears. So Goff, should be able to stand in a clean pocket, and torch the Eagle’s depleted secondary. In addition, the Eagles can’t stop the run effectively. Expect RB Gurley, to chew them up, and have a huge game. Starting QB Wentz, has been ruled out with a bad back. His backup is Nick Foles, the 2018 super bowl winning quarterback. This season, the Eagle offensive line is weak, and will offer little protection, with the Aaron Donald, breathing down his throat. On paper, this looks like a runaway game for the Rams. The line has shot up to 11 ½ points, due to the Wentz injury. You need to be careful in this spot, and believe me it could be a trap play against the spread. Teams, when they lose their starting QB, sometimes rally, and get behind their backup 120% (love that metaphor), and play much better than expected. The LA Rams, may become relaxed at game time, and look past this game. Predicted score. Los Angeles 31 Philadelphia 23, Philadelphia (+11.5), Over (53.5).
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (51.5) @ CAROLINA (+6.5)
Carolina is blitz happy, especially when they play Drew Brees. Brees excels when blitzed, and has one of the quickest releases in the NFL. Carolina’s defensive scheme, plays right into Drew’s hands. Carolina, better think twice before blitzing, with a weak secondary behind them. The Panthers, ranked 28[SUP]th[/SUP] in pass defense. The Saints offensive line is outstanding, and there is little chance that Brees, will be hurried, and sacked. The biggest issue at the moment, is the heath of Cam Newton. Cam, has been playing with an injured shoulder, and may need surgery. I guess Carolina feels he can still quarterback. I just wonder if he can throw. Their only offensive outlet for the Panthers, is to heavily rely on their running game. However, the saints own one of the best ground defenses, in the NFL.Predicted score. New Orleans 34 Carolina 23, New Orleans (-6.5), OVER (51.5).
