BROOKLYNWORM’S NFL PICKS AND PREDICTIONS WEEK #3
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BEFORE I GET STARTED, I JUST WANT TO SAY A WARM HELLO TO ALL MY FRIENDS. THANKS FOR SUPPORT, AND KIND WORDS.
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WEEK #1 BELONGED TO THE BETTORS, AND THE FAVORITES WENT 10-6 ATS. WEEK#2, VEGAS TOOK IT BACK, AND NOW WE ENTER WEEK #3. WEEK#3 WILL BE MORE OF A CHALLENGE THEN WEEKS 1 AND 2, SO BEWARE OF THE MATCHUPS AND THE LINE. DON’T FORCE YOUR BETS FOR THE SAKE OF JUST BETTING. IT’S LIKE AN ANALOGY IN FOOTBALL, WHEN YOU SEE A QUARTERBACK FORCING A PASS INTO COVERAGE WHEN HE DOESN’T HAVE AN OPEN RECEIVER , THAT RESULTS IN AN INTERCEPTION. THERE AREN’T MANY GOOD PLAYS OUT THERE IN WEEK #3, SO PLAY IT SMART. NEXT WEEK IS ANOTHER DAY, AND ANOTHER DOLLAR.<o></o>
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(36.5) OAKLAND 13<o></o>
(9.5) BUFFALO 20<o></o>
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BILLS ARE TALENTED IN 2008 , HERE ARE THE RESONS. #1 QB TRENT EDWARDS IS COMING INTO HIS OWN AS A GOOD NFL SIGNAL CALLER. #2 BUFFALO ON DEFENSE HAS 7 QB SACKS THUS FAR AND ARE APPLYING PRESSURE ON THE OPPOSSING QUARTERBACK. #3 THE FRONT 7 ON DEFENSE CAN STOP THE RUN. #4 THE BILLS HAVE THE EDGE OVER MOST NFL SQUADS ON SPECIAL TEAMS PLAY. #5 BILLS NOW HAVE A DECENT OFFENSIVE LINE TO PROTECT THEIR QB.PROBLEM FOR THE RAIDERS IN THIS MATCHUP IS THAT THEY TRAVEL EAST FOR THEIR 2<SUP>ND</SUP> CONSECUTIVE ROAD GAME AND PLAY AT AN EARLY START. OAKLAND’S BREAD AND BUTTER ON OFFENSE IS RUNNING THE FOOTBALL. BUFFALO’S FRONT 7 WILL STOP THE RUN AND PLACE THE RAIDERS INTO LONG PASSING SITUATIONS. OAKLAND’S OFFENSIVE LINE IS TERRIBLE WHEN COMES TO PROTECTING THEIR QB IN THE POCKET, AND WILL BE SACKED AND PRESSURED INTO MISTAKES THE ENTIRE GAME. 61% OF THE PUBLIC LIKES BUFFALO TO BEAT THE SPREAD AT –9.5 POINTS.<o></o>
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RECOMMENDATION: BUFFALO SHOULD WIN, BUT COULD THEY COVER THE SPREAD?. I DON’T REALLY LIKE THIS GAME, BUT IF YOU HAD TO PLAY FADE IT INTO A 7 PT TEASER AND TAKE OAKLAND +16.5 POINTS.<o></o>
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MONEY LINE WINNER: BUFFALO<o></o>
ATS WINNER: OAKLAND (+9.5)<o></o>
UNDER/OVER TOTAL; PLAY UNDER 36.5<o></o>
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(36.0) KANSAS CITY 15<o></o>
(-6.5) ATLANTA 20<o></o>
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THE FALCONS AREN’T REALLY THAT GOOD OF FOOTBALL TEAM. HOW CAN THEY BE –6.5 PT FAVS WITH A ROOKIE STARTING QB ?. KC IS 7-2 AS A ROAD DOG. THE CHIEFS REALIZE THEY HAVE TO PLAY HARD AFTER A TERRIBLE 0-2 START, AND LOSING TO THEIR RIVAL OAKLAND LAST WEEK AT HOME. 68 % OF THE PUBLIC LIKES THE FALCONS TO COVER THE ATS. ALTHOUGH ATLANTA IS A BETTER FOOTBALL TEAM THEN KC, KC WILL LOOK TO CONTROL THE CLOCK, KEEP THE BALL ON THE GROUND, AND ATTACK THE FALCON’S RUSH DEFENSE THEIR ACHILLES HEEL.ALSO ATLANTA’S ROOKIE QB LAST WEEK MATT RYAN STARTED THE GAME LAST WEEK VS OAKLAND GOING 0-9 PASSING, WITH 2 INT’S.KC WILL BE ABLE TO PRESSURE ATL’S QB SINCE THE FALCON’S LEFT TACKLE COULD MISS THE GAME DUE TO INJURY. ON THE OTHER HAND, KC CANT STOP THE RUN, THEY RANK 31 ST VS THE RUSH. ATLANTA HAS A GOOD SECONDARY, KC HAS NO DECENT QB.<o></o>
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RECOMMENDATION; LOOKS LIKE BOTH TEAMS WILL CONCENTRATE ON THEIR RUNNING ATTACKS, AND TAKE ADVANTAGE OF BOTH THEIR WEAK RUSH DEFENSES. ATLANTA WILL PLAY IT CONSERVATIVE WITH THEIR ROOKIE QB AND RUN, AND KC WILL DO THE SAME SINCE THEY CAN’T RELY ON THE QB SITUATION, NOR WIDE RECEIVER CORP. PLAY THE DOG TAKE THE +6.5 PTS, CONSIDER IN 7PT TEASER AND BUMP IT UP TO +13.5 AS SAFE PLAY<o></o>
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MONEYLINE WINNER: ATLANTA<o></o>
ATS WINNER: KANSAS CITY +6.5<o></o>
UNDER/OVER TOTAL: UNDER 36.0<o></o>
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(40.0) HOUSTON 17<o></o>
(-4.5) TENNESSEE 21<o></o>
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HOUSTON EQUALS = NO OFFENSE, TENNESSEE EQUALS= NON LETHAL ATTACK. RESULT A STRONG PLAY TO GO UNDER THE TOTAL. TEXANS HAD A BYE WEEK DUE TO THE HURRICANE, AND HAD MORE TIME TO PREPARE. TITANS NOT THE POWER HOUSE TEAM LIKE THE STEELERS, TENNESSEE’S STRONG SUIT IS RUNNING THE FOOTBALL , AND THE TEXANS HAVE TROUBLE STOPPING THE RUN. TITANS ONLY GAVE UP 2 SACKS THIS SEASON, AND HOUSTON IS STRUGGLING WITH THEIR PASS RUSH. TEXANS WERE CRUSHED BY A TOP STEELER DEFENSE IN WEEK #1, AND NOW FACE THE TITANS THAT HAVE 8 SACKS AND RANK 2<SUP>ND</SUP> VS THE RUSH, AND 6<SUP>TH</SUP> VS THE PASS ON DEFENSE, TEXANS HAVE NO RUSHING ATTACK, NOR A GOOD OFFENSIVE LINE THAT COULD PASS BLOCK. HOUSTON’S ONLY OFFENSIVE WEAPON IS WR ANDRE JOHNSON. THIS CAN BECOME A DEFENSIVE STRUGGLE?.<o></o>
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RECOMMENDATION: DON’T LIKE THIS GAME, EVEN PLAYING THE UNDER IS IFFY. 66% OF THE PUBLIC LIKE THE TITANS TO COVER THE ATS, THIS STAT SCARES ME INTO BELEVING THAT ALTHOUGH THE TITANS ARE THE BETTER TEAM, THEY WON’T COVER.<o></o>
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MONEY LINE WINNER: TENNESSEE<o></o>
ATS WINNER: HOUSTON +4.5<o></o>
UNDER/OVER TOTAL; UNDER 40.0<o></o>
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(35.0) TAMPA BAY 14<o></o>
(-3.0) CHICAGO 17<o></o>
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THESE TEAMS ARE VEN MATCHED, AND I BELIEVE VEGAS MADE THE BEARS A 3 POINT FAV SINCE THEY HAVE A HOME TEAM ADVANTAGE.BY COMPARISON BOTH TEAMS RUN THE BALL WELL, AND PLAY A GREAT DEFENSE. HOWEVER , LET ME FOCUS ON WHAT TEAM HAS THE SLIGHT EDGE. TAMPA BAY #1 QB GRIESE BETTER THEN QB ORTON. #2 THEY PASS BLOCK BETTER THEN CHICAGO. #3 THEY ARE RANKED 7<SUP>TH</SUP> VS THE RUN ON DEFENSE. #4 THEY HAVE AN EXCEPTIONAL SECONDARY. #5 THEY HAVE SUPERIOR OFFENSIVE LINE. #6 DEVIN HESTER MAY BE OUT, OR WILL PLAY INJURED. REASONS TO CONSIDER CHICAGO. #1 WR JOEY GALLOWAY TAMPA’S BEST OFFENSIVE PLAYER IS OUT. #2 CHICAGO HAS A SOLID DEFENSE. #3 BEARS HAVE A SOLID PASS RUSH, AND MAYBE ABLE TO PRESSURE A SLOW FOOTED GRIESE. <o></o>
#4 THE BEARS HAVE HOME TEAM ADVANTAGE. CONSIDERING ALSO THAT 2/3 THE PUBLIC IS BETTING ON CHICAGO TO COVER THE SPREAD IS MORE OF A NEGATIVE THEN A POSITIVE SINCE THEY ARE LAYING –3 POINTS. SO WHEN YOU ADD ALL THE PROS AND CONS, YOU COME UP WITH 7 REASONS TO SIDE WITH TAMPA BAY, AND ONLY 4 REASONS TO TAKE CHICAGO. <o></o>
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RECOMMENDATION : MATCHUP IS PRETTY EVEN SO I WOULD TAKE +3.0 POINTS WITH TAMPA BAY. TB WILL STEP IT UP A NOTCH TO COMPENSATE FOR THEIR BEST PLAYER GALLOWAY THAT WILL BE OUT FOR THIS GAME. CONSIDER TB IN A 7 PT TEASER PACKAGE.<o></o>
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MONEY LINE WINNER: TAMPA BAY<o></o>
ATS WINNER: TAMPA BAY<o></o>
UNDER/OVER WINNER: PLAY UNDER 35.0<o></o>
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(42.5) ARIZONA 25<o></o>
(-3.0) WASHINGTON 21<o></o>
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THIS MATCHUP HAS THE PUBLIC DIVIDED EVEN MONEY 50/50. LET’S LIST THE PROS AND CONS OF EACH SQUAD AND COME OUT WITH THE WINNER. ARIZONA, #1 HAS 2 BLUE CHIP WIDE RECEIVERS IM BOLDIN, AND FITZGERALD THAT WASHINGTON’S SECONDARY CAN’T COVER. #2 SKINS HAVE NO PASS RUSH AND QB WARNER SHOULD HAVE TIME TO THROW THE FOOTBALL. #3 RB E, JAMES WILL BE ABLE TO RUN THE BALL ON A SKIN DEFENSE THAT IS ALLOWING 5 YARDS PER CARRY. #4 LAST WEEK’S GAME WASH QB CAMPBELL HAD A GOOD PASSING GAME SINCE THE SAINTS WERE MISSING THEIR 3 TOP DEFENSIVE BACKS IN THE SECONDARY, AND ARIZONA’S PASS DEFENSE IS MUCH IMPROVED SINCE THE 2007 SEASON. #5 ARIZONA ALSO IMPROVED PRESSURING THE OPPOSING QB , AND HAVE THE ABILITY TO RUSH QB CAMPBELL INTO MISTAKES BY HURRYING HIM IN THE POCKET. HERE IS THE REASONS TO CONSIDER WASHINGTON. #1 CARDS FACED AN AWFUL MIAMI TEAM LAST WEEK, AND DON’T LET THE BLOW OUT SCORE OR SATISTICS FROM THAT GAME FOOL YOU. #2 WASHINGTON WILL RUN THEIR BEST OFFENSIVE WEAPON PORTIS VS A 19<SUP>TH</SUP> RANKED DEFENSE VS THE RUN. #3 WASHINGTON HAS THE HOME FIELD ADVANTAGE. REASONS TOTALS, ARIZONA 5, WASHINGTON 3.<o></o>
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RECOMMENDATION: THIS SHOULD BE A HIGH SCORING GAME AND I LIKE ARIZONA AS THE DOG GETTING +3.0 POINTS, AGAIN CONSIDER A 7 POINT TEASER PLAY WITH ARIZONA.<o></o>
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MONEY LINE WINNER : ARIZONA<o></o>
ATS WINNER: ARIZONA +3.0<o></o>
UNDER/OVER TOTAL : PLAY THE OVER 42.5<o></o>
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(41.5) CINCINNATI 15<o></o>
(-13.5) NY GIANTS 30<o></o>
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LIKE I HAVE ALREADY STATED IN WEEKS ONE AND TWO, THE BENGALS SHOW NO EFFORT, NO EMOTION, OR HEART WHEN THEY ARE ON THE FIELD. THE RESULTS, AND THEIR ACTIONS HAVE PROVEN THAT. THE QUESTION IN THIS GAME IS NOT IF THE GIANTS WILL WIN, BUT IF THEY ARE ABLE TO COVER A HUGE SPREAD?. LET’S ADD THE REASONS WHY THE GIANTS MAY COVER. #1 THE BENGALS HAVE ONLY 1 QB SACK AND BRING NO PRESSURE, AND WILL GIVE MANNING ALL DAY TO SIT IN THE POCKET AND HOOK UP WITH HIS TOP RECEIVER CORP. #2 CINN QB CARSON PALMER HAS GONE SOUTH WITH TALENT, ONLY A 49% PASS RECENTAGE, AND ONLY 4.5 YPA, NO TOUCHDOWNS, AND 3 INT’S. #3 QB PALMER FACES ANOTHER TOUGH DEFENSE THAT LIKES TO PASS RUSH AND FORCE MISTAKES. GIANTS HAVE 7 SACKS ON THE SEASON. #4 GIANTS RANK 5<SUP>TH</SUP> IN THE NFL ON PASS DEFENSE, AND THE BENGAL’S OFFENSIVE GAME PLAN RELIES MOSTLY ON THEIR PASSING GAME. WITH OCHO CINCO AILING WITH HIS SHOULDER, DON’T EXPECT MUCH . #5 NY GIANTS HAVE THE HOME ADVANTAGE AND A BYE NEXT WEEK, AND WILL BE FOCUSED ON THIS GAME.<o></o>
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RECOMMENDATION: I SEE AT LEAST 6 REASONS (COUNTING THE BENGALS LACK OF EFFORT) WHY THE GIANTS SHOULD WIN AND COVER THE SPREAD. I SEE NO REASONS HOW CINCINNATI CAN KEEP THIS GAME CLOSE.<o></o>
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MONEY LINE WINNER: NY GIANTS<o></o>
ATS WINNER: NY GIANTS –13.5<o></o>
UNDER/OVER TOTAL: PLAY OVER 41.5<o></o>
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(36.5) MIAMI 12<o></o>
(12.5) NEW ENGLAND 24<o></o>
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I DON’T LIKE THIS RIVAL MATCHUP AT ALL, AND ESPECIALLY THE ENEPT, TALENT-LESS MIAMI DOLPHINS WHO WERE BLOWN OUT LAST WEEK IN ARIZONA. SO IT IS HARD FOR ME TO EVEN SUGGEST TAKING THE 12.5 POINTS AND PLAY THE DOG IN THS SPOT. SO LET ME LIST THE PROS AND CONS FOR YOU TO DECIDE. NEW ENGLAND #1 THEIR DEFENSE CAN STOP THE RUN, AND MIAMI’S RB’S WILLIAMS IS AVERAGING 2.5 YARDS PER CARRY, AND BROWN 2.8 YARDS PER CARRY. #2 MIAMI HAS NO PASS RUSH AT ALL, AND THIS WILL ONLY HELP NE QB CASSEL WHEN HE DROPS BACK TO PASS. #3 MIAMI’S SECONDARY IS AWFUL AND CAN GIVE UP THE NIG PASS PLAY. #4 NE HAS HOME TEAM ADVANTAGE. REASONS FOR MIAMI. #1 NE IS OLD AT LINEBACKER AND THEY ARE SLOWING DOWN. #2 NE CORNERBACKS CAN’T COVER . #3 QB PENNINGTON PLAYS WELL AGAINST THEM. #4 NE WILL HAVE TROUBLE RUNNING THE BALL ON THE JETS. #5 NE COMES OFF A BIG EMOTIONAL DIVISIONAL ROAD WIN OVER THE JETS, AND MAY NOT BE FOCUSED.<o></o>
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RECOMMENDATIONS: BELIEVE IT OR NOT , I CAME UP WITH MORE REASONS TO TAKE THE DOLPHINS. THE PATS WILL TRY TO PLAY THIS GAME SAFE AND WILL PUT TOGETHER LONG TIME CONSUMING DRIVES, SLOW THE PACE, PLAY CONSERVATIVE. LOOK FOR A LOW SCORING GAME. DOLPHINS SHOULD SHOW SOME LIFE IN THIS HATED DIVISONAL MATCHUP. CONSIDER A TEASER.<o></o>
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MONEY LINE WINNER: NEW ENGLAND<o></o>
ATS WINNER: MIAMI +12.5<o></o>
UNDER/OVER TOTAL: NO PLAY<o></o>
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(37.0) CAROLINA 19<o></o>
(-3.5) MINNESOTA 23<o></o>
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THIS COULD BE A TRAP GAME, WITH 62 % OF THE MONEY ON CAROLINA TO COVER THE SPREAD. MINNESOTA’S LOSS WAS MAINLY DUE TO THE BAD QUARTERBACK PLAY OF JACKSON WHO ALLOWED THE COLTS TO COME BACK AND WIN. JACKSON IS NOT AN NFL QB, SO THE VIKES DID THE NEXT SMART THING, THEY WILL START QB GUS FREROTTE FOR THIS CONTEST. AT LEAST THIS GIVES THE VIKES A CHANCE TO WIN WITH HIM AT THE HELM. REASONS WHY YOU SHOULD CONSIDER MINNESOTA. #1 THE VIKES NEED THIS GAME, AND CANNOT AFFORD AN 0-3 START. #2 CAROLINA HAS ONLY 2 QB SACKS ON THE SEASON, AND THIS WILL GIVE FREROTTE MORE TIME IN THE POCKET. #3 CAROLINA CANT RUN ON MINNESOTA’S TOP NFL DEFENSE. #4 THE VIKES DEFENSIVE PERSONNEL HAVE THE ABILITY TO PRESSURE QB DELHOMME ALL DAY IN THE POCKET LIKE THEY DID MANNING LAST WEEK. #5 VIKES PLAY THIS ONE HOME. REASONS FOR CAROLINA. #1 VIKES ONLY REAL OFFENSIVE THREAT RB ADRIAN PETERSEN IS GIMPY WITH A HAMSTRING AND MAY EFFECT HIS GAME.#2 STEVE SMITH RETURNS TO THE LINEUP, THEIR BEST OFFENSIVE PLAYER. TOTALS, MINNESOTA 5, CAROLINA 2.<o></o>
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RECOMMENDATION: THE PUBLIC IS WONDERING WHY IS THE VIKES 3.5 FAVS WHEN THEY BLEW A NICE LEAD LAST WEEK, AND ARE NOW 0-2?. CAROLINA HAS BEEN PLAYING GOOD FOOTBALL SINCE THE START OF THE SEASON, AND NOW RETURN STEVE SMITH TO THE FOLD?. PLAY MINNESOTA AND TEASE IT.<o></o>
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MONEY LINE WINNER; MINNESOTA<o></o>
ATS WINNER: MINNESOTA –3.5<o></o>
UNDER/OVER TOTAL: PLAY OVER 37.0<o></o>
WATCH !!!! TRAP GAME.<o></o>
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(46.5) DETROIT 20<o></o>
(-4.5) SAN FRANCISCO 27<o></o>
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LAST TIME DETROIT COVERED A SPREAD ON THE WEST COAST WAS BACK IN 2003 WHEN THEY LOST TO SF 24 – 17 AS A 7.5 UNDERDOG. DETROIT PLAYS LOUSY ON THE ROAD, AND PLAY BETTER AT HOME. BOTH TEAMS HAVE SUSPECT DEFENSES, AND YOU MAY EXPECT 300 YARDS GAMES FROM BOTH QB’S SINCE EITHER OFFENSIVE COORDINATOR BELIEVES IN RUNNING THE BALL. DETROIT HAS NO PASS RUSH, AND SF COMES OFF A BIG DIVISIONAL VICTORY LAST WEEK AWAY IN SEATTLE. THE PUBLIC IS DIVIDED ON THIS DAME BUT LEAN TOWARDS SF. <o></o>
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RECOMMENDATION: THE ONLY VALUE IN THIS GAME WILL BE TO PLAY THE OVER THE TOTAL 46.5.<o></o>
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MONEY LINE WINNER: SF<o></o>
ATS WINNER: SF<o></o>
UNDER/OVER TOTAL: PLAY OVER 46.5<o></o>
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(51) NEW ORLEANS 29<o></o>
(-5.0) DENVER 27<o></o>
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THE SAINTS MAY PULL AN UPSET HERE OR KEEP IT CLOSE ENOUGH. HERE ARE MY REASONS TO CONSIDER THE SAINTS. #1 DENVER RANKS 27<SUP>TH</SUP> VS THE RUSH, AND PASS ON DEFENSE. #2 DENVER COMES OFF AN EMOTIONAL HATED DIVISONAL RIVALRY GAME OVER SAN DIEGO WITH THE HELP OF THE REF’S CALLS, AND MAY NOT BE FOCUSED ON THIS MATCHUP. #3 ALTHOUGH QB CUTLER’S NUMBERS LOOK GOOD ON PAPER, IF THE BRONCOS WOULD HAVE LOST LAST WEEK’S GAME ALL FINGERS WOULD HAVE BEEN POINTED AT HIS DIRECTION AS THE GOAT, BEFORE THAT GAME HE FACED OAKLAND?. #4 NEW ORLEANS CANNOT AFFORD TO GO TO 0-2 ON THIS ROAD TRIP. IF THEY LOSE THERE IS A CHANCE THEY CAN FALL 2 GAMES BEHIND IN THEIR DIVISION. #5 THE SAINTS LOST LAST WEEK TO WASHINGTON MAINLY DUE TO THE FACT THEY DIDN’T HAVE THEIR TOP 3 DEFENSIVE BACKS IN THE GAME DUE TO INJURY, AND NOW ALL SHOULD RETURN FOR THIS GAME. DENVER DOESN’T HAVE A PASS RUSH. REASONS FOR DENVER. #1 NEW ORLEANS IS ALLOWING 5.8 YARDS PER CARRY VS THE RUN ON DEFENSE, AND THE BRONCOS LOVE TO RUN. #2 DENVER HAS A STRONG BALANCED OFFENSIVE ATTACK. #3 THEY HAVE HOME TEAM ADVANTAGE. TOTAL PROS AND CONS SAINTS 5, BRONCOS 3.<o></o>
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RECOMMENDATION: 60 %OF THE PUBLIC IS ON DENVER, AND I LIKE THIS SPOT FOR AN UPSET VICTORY FOR THE SAINTS. TAKE THE +5.0 POINTS ATS, ALSO PLAY AS A MAIN TEAM IN A 7 PT TEASER, AND PLAY OVER THE TOTAL 51.<o></o>
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MONEY LINE WINNER: NEW ORLEANS<o></o>
ATS WINNER: NEW ORLEANS<o></o>
UNDER/OVER TOTAL: OVER 51.0<o></o>
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(43.5) ST LOUIS 13<o></o>
(-9.5) SEATTLE 28<o></o>
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GO FIGURE. LAST WEEK SEATTLE WAS –6.5 FAVS AT HOME AND LOST THE GAME OUTRIGHT TO LOWLY SAN FRANCISCO. NOW THEY ARE 9.5 PT FAVS AT HOME OVER THE RAMS, AND THE PUBLIC IS LEANING TOWARD ST LOUIS BY TAKING THE POINTS AFTER LASTWEEKS RESULT. THIS IS A TRAP, VEGAS WANTS YOU TO JUMP ON THE RAMS. HERE ARE MY RESONS WHY SEATTLE WILL WIN AND COVER. #1 IF SEATTLE LOSSES THEY WILL BE 0-3, AND WILL FALL BACK 3 GAMES IN THEIR DIVISION, THIS IS A MUST WIN !!!. #2 IN 2007 SEATLE PLAYED THE RAMS AT HOME AND WERE A –8 POINT FAVORITE BEFORE A BYE WEEK AND WON 33-6 AND COVERED. SAME SENARIO ALMOST APPLIES HERE. #3 THE RAMS CANNOT WIN ON THE ROAD. THEY COVERED THE SPREAD ONLY 33 % PERCENT OF THEIR GAMES SINCE 2001. #4 ST LOUIS IS PROBABLY THE WORST, OR ONE OF THEWORSE TEAMS IN THE NFL. #5 ST LOUIS OFFENSIVE LINE CANNOT PASS PROTECT AND SEATTLE MAY HAVE A FILED DAY SACKNG QB BULGER. #6 CANNOT SEE SEATTLE LOSING TWO CONSECUTIVE GAMES AT HOME. #7 HOME FIELD ADVANTAGE. 7 PROS FOR SEATTLE, 7 CONS FOR ST LOUIS.<o></o>
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RECOMMENDATION: THIS IS A GREAT PLAY FOR SEATTLE. TAKE SEATTLE –9.5 ATS, ALSO 7 PT TEASE AS A MAIN TEAM IN YOUR TEASER.<o></o>
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MONEY LINE: SEATTLE<o></o>
ATS WINNER: SEATLLE –9.5<o></o>
UNDER/OVER TOTAL: UNDER 43.5<o></o>
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(38) CLEVELAND 16<o></o>
(-1) BALTIMORE 17<o></o>
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THIS IS A FIERCE RIVAL, AND BALTIMORE SEEKS REVENGE FROM LAST SEASONS TWO LOSSES, HERE ARE THE REASONS WHY YOU SHOULD PLAY THE RAVENS. #1 RAVENS COME OFF A BYE WEEK DUE TO THE STORM IN TEXAS, AND ARE RESTED AND WELL PREPARED. #2 THE BROWNS CANNOT RUN ON BALTIMORES DOMINATE DEFENSIVE LINE. #3 CLEVELAND QB ANDERSON HAS NOT PLAYED WELL SINCE THE SECOND HALF OF LAST SEASON. THIS INCLUDES THE 2008 PRE SEASON, AND WEKS 1 AND 2 OF THE REGULAR SEASON. #4 QB ANDERSON WILL FACE AN ACE TOP DEFENDING NFL SECONDARY THAT FORCES TURNOVERS. #5 CLEVELAND IS 23<SUP>RD</SUP> VS THE RUSH ON DEFENSE, AND BALTIMORE CAN RUN ON THEM SINCE THEY ALLOW 4.7 YARDS PER CARRY. #6 CLEVELAND RANKS 30<SUP>TH</SUP> VS THE PASS DEFENSIVELY, THEIR SECONDARY IS INJURED, AND HAVE NO PASS RUSH. #7 THE RAVENS PLAY AT HOME. PROS AND CONS TOTAL. BALTIMORE 7, CLEVELAND 0.<o></o>
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RECOMMENDATION: HAVE TO LIKE BALTIMORE IN THIS SPOT.<o></o>
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MONEY LINE WINNER : BALTIMORE<o></o>
ATS WINNER: BALTIMORE –1.0<o></o>
UNDER/OVER TOTAL: UNDER 38.0<o></o>
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(41.5) JACKSONVILLE 20<o></o>
(-4.5) INDIANAPOLIS 21<o></o>
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DON’T LIKE THIS GAME, BUT LET ME GIVE MY RESONS FOR BOTH SIDES. REASONS TO PLAY THE JAGS. #1 THE KEY TO THE COLTS RUSH DEFENSE IS BOB SANDERS WHO IS OUT FOR THIS GAME. WITHOUT HIM IN THE LINEUP THE COLTS RANK 24<SUP>TH</SUP> ON DEFENSE VS THE RUN. #2 JAGS PLAYED 2 TOP NFL RUSH DEFENSES (TENN 2<SUP>ND</SUP> AND BUFFALO 9<SUP>TH</SUP>) AND THEIR BREAD AND BUTTER IS TO RUN THE BALL WITH TAYLOR AND JONES-DREW AND WILL HAVE A HUGE GAME. #3 JAGS BY ESTABLISHING THE RUN WILL ONLY HELP THEIR ENEPT QB GERRARD WHEN HE LOOKS TO THROW THE BALL OF PLAY ACTION. #4 JAGS NEED A DESPERATE WIN AT 0-2. REASONS FOR THE COLTS. #1 COLTS ALL PRO CENTER SATURDAY RETURNS. #2 COLTS CAN RUN ON THE JAGS DEFENSE, THE JAGS ARE NOT AS STRONG ANYMORE UP FRONT, AND THE COLTS JUST FACED 2 TOP RUSH DEFENSES IN WEEK ONE AND TWO (MINNESOTA AND CHICAGO). #3 JAGS HAVING PROBLEMS WITH THEIR PASS RUSH. #4 THE GAME IS AT HOME FOR THE COLTS.<o></o>
PROS AND CONS , A TIE COLTS 4, JAGS 4.<o></o>
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RECOMMENDATION: THE RESON WHY I SAY NO PLAY IS THAT IN THEIR LAST 10 OUT OF 12 MEETINGS THESE GAMES HAVE BEEN DECIDED BY 8 POINTS OR LESS. BOTH TEAMS MAY PLAY CONSERVATIVE, USE THE CLOCK BY RUNNING THE FOOTBALL.<o></o>
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MONEY LINE WINNER: NO PLAY<o></o>
ATS WINNER: +4.5 JACKSONVILLE<o></o>
UNDER/OVER TOTAL: NO PLAY<o></o>
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(44) PITTSBURGH 24<o></o>
(-3.5) PHILADELPHIA 23<o></o>
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THIS COULD BE A TRAP GAME. YOU MEAN TO TELL ME THE EAGLES ALLOW 41 PTS TO DALLAS ON MON NITE, AND NOW FACE THE BEST NFL TEAM IN THE AFC?. PITTSBURGH’S OFFENSE IS RUNNING ON HIGH OCTANE, AND HERE IS MY REASONS FOR TAKING THE STEELERS. #1 AS GOOD AS PHILLY’S OFFENSE HAS LOOKED THUS FAR, THEY NOW FACE THE STEELERS 3<SUP>RD</SUP> RANKED RUN DEFENSE, AND THE 7<SUP>TH</SUP> RANKED PASS DEFENSE WITH 7 SACKS. #2 PITT HAS FAST 3-4 PASS RUSHERS, AND THEIR SPEED CAN GIVE THE EAGLES HUGE OFFENSIVE LINE PROBLEMS. #3 PHILLY HAS NO PASS RUSH ON DEFENSE. #4 EAGLES SAFTIES CAN BE EXPLOITED ESPECIALLY GIVING UP THE BIG PLAY.EAGLES COME OFF A TOUGH EMOTIONAL LOSS TO DALLAS. I SEE NO PROS IN THIS MATCHUP FOR PHILADELPHIA ?. <o></o>
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RECOMMEDATION; TAKE THE STEELERS ALL THE WAY SINCE 60 % OF THE MONEY IS ON PHILADELPHIA GIVING UP POINTS.<o></o>
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MONEY LINE; PITTSBURGH<o></o>
ATS WINNER: PITTSBURGH +3.5<o></o>
UNDER/OVER TOTAL: PLAY OVER 44.0<o></o>
WATCH!!! COULD BE A TRAP.<o></o>
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(51) DALLAS 29<o></o>
(+3.0) GREEN BAY 28<o></o>
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I LIKE DALLAS PLUS THE POINTS BUT 61 % OF THE PUBLIC IS ON THEM. HERE ARE THE REASONS TO TAKE DALLAS. #1 THIS WILL BE GREEN BAY’S FIRST TEST OF THE SEASON AND QB RODGERS. #2 DALLAS BEAT GB 37 –27 LAST SEASON WITH FARVE AT QB,AND HOW WILL THEY FARE WITH FARVE NOW GONE?. #3 DALLAS QB HASN’T BEEN SACKED THIS SEASON. #4 GB HAS TROUBLE STOPPING THE RUN RANKED 22<SUP>ND</SUP> ALLOWING 4.7 YARDS PER GAME. #5 GB’S RB GRANT HAS A HAMSTRING, AND WITHOUT HIM HEALTHY ON OFFENSE, THE PACKERS BECOME ONE DIMENSIONAL . REASONS FOR GREEN BAY. #1 DALLAS SECONDARY WAS KILLED BY PHILA LAST WEEK. #2 GB OFFENSIVE LINE WAS ALLOWED ONLY 1 SACK AND HAVE BETTER WIDE OUTS THEN THE EAGLES. #3 HOME FIELD ADVANTAGE.<o></o>
PROS AND CONS SCOREBOARD DALLAS 5, GREEN BAY 3.<o></o>
<o></o>
RECOMMENDATION: LIKE DALLAS PLUS THE POINTS, AND LIKE THE OVER TOTAL.<o></o>
<o></o>
MONEY LINE: DALLAS<o></o>
ATS WINNER: DALLAS +3.0<o></o>
UNDER/OVER TOTAL: PLAY THEOVER 51.0
BEST PLAYS WEEK #3
ATS PICKS
NEW ORLEANS +5.0
SEATTLE-9.5
BALTIMORE -1.0
PITTSBURGH +3.5
7 POINT TEASER
SEATTLE -2.5
PITTSBURGH +10.5
NEW ORLEANS +12.0
DETROIT/SAN FRANCISCO OVER TOTAL 39.5
MONEYLINE
SEATTLE
<o></o>
<o></o>
THAT’S IT MY FRIENDS, I WILL HAVE MY MONDAY NIGHT SELECTION TOMMORROW. MEANTIME GOOD LUCK, AND BE WISE WITH YOUR PLAYS THIS WEEK.<o></o>
<o></o>
YOURS TRULY;<o></o>
BROOKLYNWORM<o></o>
<o></o>
<o></o>
<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com
fficeffice" /><o></o>BEFORE I GET STARTED, I JUST WANT TO SAY A WARM HELLO TO ALL MY FRIENDS. THANKS FOR SUPPORT, AND KIND WORDS.
<o
></o>WEEK #1 BELONGED TO THE BETTORS, AND THE FAVORITES WENT 10-6 ATS. WEEK#2, VEGAS TOOK IT BACK, AND NOW WE ENTER WEEK #3. WEEK#3 WILL BE MORE OF A CHALLENGE THEN WEEKS 1 AND 2, SO BEWARE OF THE MATCHUPS AND THE LINE. DON’T FORCE YOUR BETS FOR THE SAKE OF JUST BETTING. IT’S LIKE AN ANALOGY IN FOOTBALL, WHEN YOU SEE A QUARTERBACK FORCING A PASS INTO COVERAGE WHEN HE DOESN’T HAVE AN OPEN RECEIVER , THAT RESULTS IN AN INTERCEPTION. THERE AREN’T MANY GOOD PLAYS OUT THERE IN WEEK #3, SO PLAY IT SMART. NEXT WEEK IS ANOTHER DAY, AND ANOTHER DOLLAR.<o
></o><o
></o>(36.5) OAKLAND 13<o
></o>(9.5) BUFFALO 20<o
></o><o
></o>BILLS ARE TALENTED IN 2008 , HERE ARE THE RESONS. #1 QB TRENT EDWARDS IS COMING INTO HIS OWN AS A GOOD NFL SIGNAL CALLER. #2 BUFFALO ON DEFENSE HAS 7 QB SACKS THUS FAR AND ARE APPLYING PRESSURE ON THE OPPOSSING QUARTERBACK. #3 THE FRONT 7 ON DEFENSE CAN STOP THE RUN. #4 THE BILLS HAVE THE EDGE OVER MOST NFL SQUADS ON SPECIAL TEAMS PLAY. #5 BILLS NOW HAVE A DECENT OFFENSIVE LINE TO PROTECT THEIR QB.PROBLEM FOR THE RAIDERS IN THIS MATCHUP IS THAT THEY TRAVEL EAST FOR THEIR 2<SUP>ND</SUP> CONSECUTIVE ROAD GAME AND PLAY AT AN EARLY START. OAKLAND’S BREAD AND BUTTER ON OFFENSE IS RUNNING THE FOOTBALL. BUFFALO’S FRONT 7 WILL STOP THE RUN AND PLACE THE RAIDERS INTO LONG PASSING SITUATIONS. OAKLAND’S OFFENSIVE LINE IS TERRIBLE WHEN COMES TO PROTECTING THEIR QB IN THE POCKET, AND WILL BE SACKED AND PRESSURED INTO MISTAKES THE ENTIRE GAME. 61% OF THE PUBLIC LIKES BUFFALO TO BEAT THE SPREAD AT –9.5 POINTS.<o
></o><o
></o>RECOMMENDATION: BUFFALO SHOULD WIN, BUT COULD THEY COVER THE SPREAD?. I DON’T REALLY LIKE THIS GAME, BUT IF YOU HAD TO PLAY FADE IT INTO A 7 PT TEASER AND TAKE OAKLAND +16.5 POINTS.<o
></o><o
></o>MONEY LINE WINNER: BUFFALO<o
></o>ATS WINNER: OAKLAND (+9.5)<o
></o>UNDER/OVER TOTAL; PLAY UNDER 36.5<o
></o><o
></o><o
></o><o
></o>(36.0) KANSAS CITY 15<o
></o>(-6.5) ATLANTA 20<o
></o><o
></o>THE FALCONS AREN’T REALLY THAT GOOD OF FOOTBALL TEAM. HOW CAN THEY BE –6.5 PT FAVS WITH A ROOKIE STARTING QB ?. KC IS 7-2 AS A ROAD DOG. THE CHIEFS REALIZE THEY HAVE TO PLAY HARD AFTER A TERRIBLE 0-2 START, AND LOSING TO THEIR RIVAL OAKLAND LAST WEEK AT HOME. 68 % OF THE PUBLIC LIKES THE FALCONS TO COVER THE ATS. ALTHOUGH ATLANTA IS A BETTER FOOTBALL TEAM THEN KC, KC WILL LOOK TO CONTROL THE CLOCK, KEEP THE BALL ON THE GROUND, AND ATTACK THE FALCON’S RUSH DEFENSE THEIR ACHILLES HEEL.ALSO ATLANTA’S ROOKIE QB LAST WEEK MATT RYAN STARTED THE GAME LAST WEEK VS OAKLAND GOING 0-9 PASSING, WITH 2 INT’S.KC WILL BE ABLE TO PRESSURE ATL’S QB SINCE THE FALCON’S LEFT TACKLE COULD MISS THE GAME DUE TO INJURY. ON THE OTHER HAND, KC CANT STOP THE RUN, THEY RANK 31 ST VS THE RUSH. ATLANTA HAS A GOOD SECONDARY, KC HAS NO DECENT QB.<o
></o><o
></o>RECOMMENDATION; LOOKS LIKE BOTH TEAMS WILL CONCENTRATE ON THEIR RUNNING ATTACKS, AND TAKE ADVANTAGE OF BOTH THEIR WEAK RUSH DEFENSES. ATLANTA WILL PLAY IT CONSERVATIVE WITH THEIR ROOKIE QB AND RUN, AND KC WILL DO THE SAME SINCE THEY CAN’T RELY ON THE QB SITUATION, NOR WIDE RECEIVER CORP. PLAY THE DOG TAKE THE +6.5 PTS, CONSIDER IN 7PT TEASER AND BUMP IT UP TO +13.5 AS SAFE PLAY<o
></o><o
></o>MONEYLINE WINNER: ATLANTA<o
></o>ATS WINNER: KANSAS CITY +6.5<o
></o>UNDER/OVER TOTAL: UNDER 36.0<o
></o><o
></o><o
></o>(40.0) HOUSTON 17<o
></o>(-4.5) TENNESSEE 21<o
></o><o
></o>HOUSTON EQUALS = NO OFFENSE, TENNESSEE EQUALS= NON LETHAL ATTACK. RESULT A STRONG PLAY TO GO UNDER THE TOTAL. TEXANS HAD A BYE WEEK DUE TO THE HURRICANE, AND HAD MORE TIME TO PREPARE. TITANS NOT THE POWER HOUSE TEAM LIKE THE STEELERS, TENNESSEE’S STRONG SUIT IS RUNNING THE FOOTBALL , AND THE TEXANS HAVE TROUBLE STOPPING THE RUN. TITANS ONLY GAVE UP 2 SACKS THIS SEASON, AND HOUSTON IS STRUGGLING WITH THEIR PASS RUSH. TEXANS WERE CRUSHED BY A TOP STEELER DEFENSE IN WEEK #1, AND NOW FACE THE TITANS THAT HAVE 8 SACKS AND RANK 2<SUP>ND</SUP> VS THE RUSH, AND 6<SUP>TH</SUP> VS THE PASS ON DEFENSE, TEXANS HAVE NO RUSHING ATTACK, NOR A GOOD OFFENSIVE LINE THAT COULD PASS BLOCK. HOUSTON’S ONLY OFFENSIVE WEAPON IS WR ANDRE JOHNSON. THIS CAN BECOME A DEFENSIVE STRUGGLE?.<o
></o><o
></o>RECOMMENDATION: DON’T LIKE THIS GAME, EVEN PLAYING THE UNDER IS IFFY. 66% OF THE PUBLIC LIKE THE TITANS TO COVER THE ATS, THIS STAT SCARES ME INTO BELEVING THAT ALTHOUGH THE TITANS ARE THE BETTER TEAM, THEY WON’T COVER.<o
></o><o
></o>MONEY LINE WINNER: TENNESSEE<o
></o>ATS WINNER: HOUSTON +4.5<o
></o>UNDER/OVER TOTAL; UNDER 40.0<o
></o><o
></o><o
></o>(35.0) TAMPA BAY 14<o
></o>(-3.0) CHICAGO 17<o
></o><o
></o>THESE TEAMS ARE VEN MATCHED, AND I BELIEVE VEGAS MADE THE BEARS A 3 POINT FAV SINCE THEY HAVE A HOME TEAM ADVANTAGE.BY COMPARISON BOTH TEAMS RUN THE BALL WELL, AND PLAY A GREAT DEFENSE. HOWEVER , LET ME FOCUS ON WHAT TEAM HAS THE SLIGHT EDGE. TAMPA BAY #1 QB GRIESE BETTER THEN QB ORTON. #2 THEY PASS BLOCK BETTER THEN CHICAGO. #3 THEY ARE RANKED 7<SUP>TH</SUP> VS THE RUN ON DEFENSE. #4 THEY HAVE AN EXCEPTIONAL SECONDARY. #5 THEY HAVE SUPERIOR OFFENSIVE LINE. #6 DEVIN HESTER MAY BE OUT, OR WILL PLAY INJURED. REASONS TO CONSIDER CHICAGO. #1 WR JOEY GALLOWAY TAMPA’S BEST OFFENSIVE PLAYER IS OUT. #2 CHICAGO HAS A SOLID DEFENSE. #3 BEARS HAVE A SOLID PASS RUSH, AND MAYBE ABLE TO PRESSURE A SLOW FOOTED GRIESE. <o
></o>#4 THE BEARS HAVE HOME TEAM ADVANTAGE. CONSIDERING ALSO THAT 2/3 THE PUBLIC IS BETTING ON CHICAGO TO COVER THE SPREAD IS MORE OF A NEGATIVE THEN A POSITIVE SINCE THEY ARE LAYING –3 POINTS. SO WHEN YOU ADD ALL THE PROS AND CONS, YOU COME UP WITH 7 REASONS TO SIDE WITH TAMPA BAY, AND ONLY 4 REASONS TO TAKE CHICAGO. <o
></o><o
></o>RECOMMENDATION : MATCHUP IS PRETTY EVEN SO I WOULD TAKE +3.0 POINTS WITH TAMPA BAY. TB WILL STEP IT UP A NOTCH TO COMPENSATE FOR THEIR BEST PLAYER GALLOWAY THAT WILL BE OUT FOR THIS GAME. CONSIDER TB IN A 7 PT TEASER PACKAGE.<o
></o><o
></o>MONEY LINE WINNER: TAMPA BAY<o
></o>ATS WINNER: TAMPA BAY<o
></o>UNDER/OVER WINNER: PLAY UNDER 35.0<o
></o><o
></o><o
></o><o
></o><o
></o>(42.5) ARIZONA 25<o
></o>(-3.0) WASHINGTON 21<o
></o><o
></o>THIS MATCHUP HAS THE PUBLIC DIVIDED EVEN MONEY 50/50. LET’S LIST THE PROS AND CONS OF EACH SQUAD AND COME OUT WITH THE WINNER. ARIZONA, #1 HAS 2 BLUE CHIP WIDE RECEIVERS IM BOLDIN, AND FITZGERALD THAT WASHINGTON’S SECONDARY CAN’T COVER. #2 SKINS HAVE NO PASS RUSH AND QB WARNER SHOULD HAVE TIME TO THROW THE FOOTBALL. #3 RB E, JAMES WILL BE ABLE TO RUN THE BALL ON A SKIN DEFENSE THAT IS ALLOWING 5 YARDS PER CARRY. #4 LAST WEEK’S GAME WASH QB CAMPBELL HAD A GOOD PASSING GAME SINCE THE SAINTS WERE MISSING THEIR 3 TOP DEFENSIVE BACKS IN THE SECONDARY, AND ARIZONA’S PASS DEFENSE IS MUCH IMPROVED SINCE THE 2007 SEASON. #5 ARIZONA ALSO IMPROVED PRESSURING THE OPPOSING QB , AND HAVE THE ABILITY TO RUSH QB CAMPBELL INTO MISTAKES BY HURRYING HIM IN THE POCKET. HERE IS THE REASONS TO CONSIDER WASHINGTON. #1 CARDS FACED AN AWFUL MIAMI TEAM LAST WEEK, AND DON’T LET THE BLOW OUT SCORE OR SATISTICS FROM THAT GAME FOOL YOU. #2 WASHINGTON WILL RUN THEIR BEST OFFENSIVE WEAPON PORTIS VS A 19<SUP>TH</SUP> RANKED DEFENSE VS THE RUN. #3 WASHINGTON HAS THE HOME FIELD ADVANTAGE. REASONS TOTALS, ARIZONA 5, WASHINGTON 3.<o
></o><o
></o>RECOMMENDATION: THIS SHOULD BE A HIGH SCORING GAME AND I LIKE ARIZONA AS THE DOG GETTING +3.0 POINTS, AGAIN CONSIDER A 7 POINT TEASER PLAY WITH ARIZONA.<o
></o><o
></o>MONEY LINE WINNER : ARIZONA<o
></o>ATS WINNER: ARIZONA +3.0<o
></o>UNDER/OVER TOTAL : PLAY THE OVER 42.5<o
></o><o
></o><o
></o>(41.5) CINCINNATI 15<o
></o>(-13.5) NY GIANTS 30<o
></o><o
></o>LIKE I HAVE ALREADY STATED IN WEEKS ONE AND TWO, THE BENGALS SHOW NO EFFORT, NO EMOTION, OR HEART WHEN THEY ARE ON THE FIELD. THE RESULTS, AND THEIR ACTIONS HAVE PROVEN THAT. THE QUESTION IN THIS GAME IS NOT IF THE GIANTS WILL WIN, BUT IF THEY ARE ABLE TO COVER A HUGE SPREAD?. LET’S ADD THE REASONS WHY THE GIANTS MAY COVER. #1 THE BENGALS HAVE ONLY 1 QB SACK AND BRING NO PRESSURE, AND WILL GIVE MANNING ALL DAY TO SIT IN THE POCKET AND HOOK UP WITH HIS TOP RECEIVER CORP. #2 CINN QB CARSON PALMER HAS GONE SOUTH WITH TALENT, ONLY A 49% PASS RECENTAGE, AND ONLY 4.5 YPA, NO TOUCHDOWNS, AND 3 INT’S. #3 QB PALMER FACES ANOTHER TOUGH DEFENSE THAT LIKES TO PASS RUSH AND FORCE MISTAKES. GIANTS HAVE 7 SACKS ON THE SEASON. #4 GIANTS RANK 5<SUP>TH</SUP> IN THE NFL ON PASS DEFENSE, AND THE BENGAL’S OFFENSIVE GAME PLAN RELIES MOSTLY ON THEIR PASSING GAME. WITH OCHO CINCO AILING WITH HIS SHOULDER, DON’T EXPECT MUCH . #5 NY GIANTS HAVE THE HOME ADVANTAGE AND A BYE NEXT WEEK, AND WILL BE FOCUSED ON THIS GAME.<o
></o><o
></o>RECOMMENDATION: I SEE AT LEAST 6 REASONS (COUNTING THE BENGALS LACK OF EFFORT) WHY THE GIANTS SHOULD WIN AND COVER THE SPREAD. I SEE NO REASONS HOW CINCINNATI CAN KEEP THIS GAME CLOSE.<o
></o><o
></o>MONEY LINE WINNER: NY GIANTS<o
></o>ATS WINNER: NY GIANTS –13.5<o
></o>UNDER/OVER TOTAL: PLAY OVER 41.5<o
></o><o
></o><o
></o>(36.5) MIAMI 12<o
></o>(12.5) NEW ENGLAND 24<o
></o><o
></o>I DON’T LIKE THIS RIVAL MATCHUP AT ALL, AND ESPECIALLY THE ENEPT, TALENT-LESS MIAMI DOLPHINS WHO WERE BLOWN OUT LAST WEEK IN ARIZONA. SO IT IS HARD FOR ME TO EVEN SUGGEST TAKING THE 12.5 POINTS AND PLAY THE DOG IN THS SPOT. SO LET ME LIST THE PROS AND CONS FOR YOU TO DECIDE. NEW ENGLAND #1 THEIR DEFENSE CAN STOP THE RUN, AND MIAMI’S RB’S WILLIAMS IS AVERAGING 2.5 YARDS PER CARRY, AND BROWN 2.8 YARDS PER CARRY. #2 MIAMI HAS NO PASS RUSH AT ALL, AND THIS WILL ONLY HELP NE QB CASSEL WHEN HE DROPS BACK TO PASS. #3 MIAMI’S SECONDARY IS AWFUL AND CAN GIVE UP THE NIG PASS PLAY. #4 NE HAS HOME TEAM ADVANTAGE. REASONS FOR MIAMI. #1 NE IS OLD AT LINEBACKER AND THEY ARE SLOWING DOWN. #2 NE CORNERBACKS CAN’T COVER . #3 QB PENNINGTON PLAYS WELL AGAINST THEM. #4 NE WILL HAVE TROUBLE RUNNING THE BALL ON THE JETS. #5 NE COMES OFF A BIG EMOTIONAL DIVISIONAL ROAD WIN OVER THE JETS, AND MAY NOT BE FOCUSED.<o
></o><o
></o>RECOMMENDATIONS: BELIEVE IT OR NOT , I CAME UP WITH MORE REASONS TO TAKE THE DOLPHINS. THE PATS WILL TRY TO PLAY THIS GAME SAFE AND WILL PUT TOGETHER LONG TIME CONSUMING DRIVES, SLOW THE PACE, PLAY CONSERVATIVE. LOOK FOR A LOW SCORING GAME. DOLPHINS SHOULD SHOW SOME LIFE IN THIS HATED DIVISONAL MATCHUP. CONSIDER A TEASER.<o
></o><o
></o><o
></o>MONEY LINE WINNER: NEW ENGLAND<o
></o>ATS WINNER: MIAMI +12.5<o
></o>UNDER/OVER TOTAL: NO PLAY<o
></o><o
></o><o
></o>(37.0) CAROLINA 19<o
></o>(-3.5) MINNESOTA 23<o
></o><o
></o>THIS COULD BE A TRAP GAME, WITH 62 % OF THE MONEY ON CAROLINA TO COVER THE SPREAD. MINNESOTA’S LOSS WAS MAINLY DUE TO THE BAD QUARTERBACK PLAY OF JACKSON WHO ALLOWED THE COLTS TO COME BACK AND WIN. JACKSON IS NOT AN NFL QB, SO THE VIKES DID THE NEXT SMART THING, THEY WILL START QB GUS FREROTTE FOR THIS CONTEST. AT LEAST THIS GIVES THE VIKES A CHANCE TO WIN WITH HIM AT THE HELM. REASONS WHY YOU SHOULD CONSIDER MINNESOTA. #1 THE VIKES NEED THIS GAME, AND CANNOT AFFORD AN 0-3 START. #2 CAROLINA HAS ONLY 2 QB SACKS ON THE SEASON, AND THIS WILL GIVE FREROTTE MORE TIME IN THE POCKET. #3 CAROLINA CANT RUN ON MINNESOTA’S TOP NFL DEFENSE. #4 THE VIKES DEFENSIVE PERSONNEL HAVE THE ABILITY TO PRESSURE QB DELHOMME ALL DAY IN THE POCKET LIKE THEY DID MANNING LAST WEEK. #5 VIKES PLAY THIS ONE HOME. REASONS FOR CAROLINA. #1 VIKES ONLY REAL OFFENSIVE THREAT RB ADRIAN PETERSEN IS GIMPY WITH A HAMSTRING AND MAY EFFECT HIS GAME.#2 STEVE SMITH RETURNS TO THE LINEUP, THEIR BEST OFFENSIVE PLAYER. TOTALS, MINNESOTA 5, CAROLINA 2.<o
></o><o
></o>RECOMMENDATION: THE PUBLIC IS WONDERING WHY IS THE VIKES 3.5 FAVS WHEN THEY BLEW A NICE LEAD LAST WEEK, AND ARE NOW 0-2?. CAROLINA HAS BEEN PLAYING GOOD FOOTBALL SINCE THE START OF THE SEASON, AND NOW RETURN STEVE SMITH TO THE FOLD?. PLAY MINNESOTA AND TEASE IT.<o
></o><o
></o>MONEY LINE WINNER; MINNESOTA<o
></o>ATS WINNER: MINNESOTA –3.5<o
></o>UNDER/OVER TOTAL: PLAY OVER 37.0<o
></o>WATCH !!!! TRAP GAME.<o
></o><o
></o><o
></o>(46.5) DETROIT 20<o
></o>(-4.5) SAN FRANCISCO 27<o
></o><o
></o>LAST TIME DETROIT COVERED A SPREAD ON THE WEST COAST WAS BACK IN 2003 WHEN THEY LOST TO SF 24 – 17 AS A 7.5 UNDERDOG. DETROIT PLAYS LOUSY ON THE ROAD, AND PLAY BETTER AT HOME. BOTH TEAMS HAVE SUSPECT DEFENSES, AND YOU MAY EXPECT 300 YARDS GAMES FROM BOTH QB’S SINCE EITHER OFFENSIVE COORDINATOR BELIEVES IN RUNNING THE BALL. DETROIT HAS NO PASS RUSH, AND SF COMES OFF A BIG DIVISIONAL VICTORY LAST WEEK AWAY IN SEATTLE. THE PUBLIC IS DIVIDED ON THIS DAME BUT LEAN TOWARDS SF. <o
></o><o
></o>RECOMMENDATION: THE ONLY VALUE IN THIS GAME WILL BE TO PLAY THE OVER THE TOTAL 46.5.<o
></o><o
></o>MONEY LINE WINNER: SF<o
></o>ATS WINNER: SF<o
></o>UNDER/OVER TOTAL: PLAY OVER 46.5<o
></o><o
></o><o
></o>(51) NEW ORLEANS 29<o
></o>(-5.0) DENVER 27<o
></o><o
></o>THE SAINTS MAY PULL AN UPSET HERE OR KEEP IT CLOSE ENOUGH. HERE ARE MY REASONS TO CONSIDER THE SAINTS. #1 DENVER RANKS 27<SUP>TH</SUP> VS THE RUSH, AND PASS ON DEFENSE. #2 DENVER COMES OFF AN EMOTIONAL HATED DIVISONAL RIVALRY GAME OVER SAN DIEGO WITH THE HELP OF THE REF’S CALLS, AND MAY NOT BE FOCUSED ON THIS MATCHUP. #3 ALTHOUGH QB CUTLER’S NUMBERS LOOK GOOD ON PAPER, IF THE BRONCOS WOULD HAVE LOST LAST WEEK’S GAME ALL FINGERS WOULD HAVE BEEN POINTED AT HIS DIRECTION AS THE GOAT, BEFORE THAT GAME HE FACED OAKLAND?. #4 NEW ORLEANS CANNOT AFFORD TO GO TO 0-2 ON THIS ROAD TRIP. IF THEY LOSE THERE IS A CHANCE THEY CAN FALL 2 GAMES BEHIND IN THEIR DIVISION. #5 THE SAINTS LOST LAST WEEK TO WASHINGTON MAINLY DUE TO THE FACT THEY DIDN’T HAVE THEIR TOP 3 DEFENSIVE BACKS IN THE GAME DUE TO INJURY, AND NOW ALL SHOULD RETURN FOR THIS GAME. DENVER DOESN’T HAVE A PASS RUSH. REASONS FOR DENVER. #1 NEW ORLEANS IS ALLOWING 5.8 YARDS PER CARRY VS THE RUN ON DEFENSE, AND THE BRONCOS LOVE TO RUN. #2 DENVER HAS A STRONG BALANCED OFFENSIVE ATTACK. #3 THEY HAVE HOME TEAM ADVANTAGE. TOTAL PROS AND CONS SAINTS 5, BRONCOS 3.<o
></o><o
></o>RECOMMENDATION: 60 %OF THE PUBLIC IS ON DENVER, AND I LIKE THIS SPOT FOR AN UPSET VICTORY FOR THE SAINTS. TAKE THE +5.0 POINTS ATS, ALSO PLAY AS A MAIN TEAM IN A 7 PT TEASER, AND PLAY OVER THE TOTAL 51.<o
></o><o
></o>MONEY LINE WINNER: NEW ORLEANS<o
></o>ATS WINNER: NEW ORLEANS<o
></o>UNDER/OVER TOTAL: OVER 51.0<o
></o><o
></o><o
></o>(43.5) ST LOUIS 13<o
></o>(-9.5) SEATTLE 28<o
></o><o
></o>GO FIGURE. LAST WEEK SEATTLE WAS –6.5 FAVS AT HOME AND LOST THE GAME OUTRIGHT TO LOWLY SAN FRANCISCO. NOW THEY ARE 9.5 PT FAVS AT HOME OVER THE RAMS, AND THE PUBLIC IS LEANING TOWARD ST LOUIS BY TAKING THE POINTS AFTER LASTWEEKS RESULT. THIS IS A TRAP, VEGAS WANTS YOU TO JUMP ON THE RAMS. HERE ARE MY RESONS WHY SEATTLE WILL WIN AND COVER. #1 IF SEATTLE LOSSES THEY WILL BE 0-3, AND WILL FALL BACK 3 GAMES IN THEIR DIVISION, THIS IS A MUST WIN !!!. #2 IN 2007 SEATLE PLAYED THE RAMS AT HOME AND WERE A –8 POINT FAVORITE BEFORE A BYE WEEK AND WON 33-6 AND COVERED. SAME SENARIO ALMOST APPLIES HERE. #3 THE RAMS CANNOT WIN ON THE ROAD. THEY COVERED THE SPREAD ONLY 33 % PERCENT OF THEIR GAMES SINCE 2001. #4 ST LOUIS IS PROBABLY THE WORST, OR ONE OF THEWORSE TEAMS IN THE NFL. #5 ST LOUIS OFFENSIVE LINE CANNOT PASS PROTECT AND SEATTLE MAY HAVE A FILED DAY SACKNG QB BULGER. #6 CANNOT SEE SEATTLE LOSING TWO CONSECUTIVE GAMES AT HOME. #7 HOME FIELD ADVANTAGE. 7 PROS FOR SEATTLE, 7 CONS FOR ST LOUIS.<o
></o><o
></o>RECOMMENDATION: THIS IS A GREAT PLAY FOR SEATTLE. TAKE SEATTLE –9.5 ATS, ALSO 7 PT TEASE AS A MAIN TEAM IN YOUR TEASER.<o
></o><o
></o>MONEY LINE: SEATTLE<o
></o>ATS WINNER: SEATLLE –9.5<o
></o>UNDER/OVER TOTAL: UNDER 43.5<o
></o><o
></o><o
></o>(38) CLEVELAND 16<o
></o>(-1) BALTIMORE 17<o
></o><o
></o>THIS IS A FIERCE RIVAL, AND BALTIMORE SEEKS REVENGE FROM LAST SEASONS TWO LOSSES, HERE ARE THE REASONS WHY YOU SHOULD PLAY THE RAVENS. #1 RAVENS COME OFF A BYE WEEK DUE TO THE STORM IN TEXAS, AND ARE RESTED AND WELL PREPARED. #2 THE BROWNS CANNOT RUN ON BALTIMORES DOMINATE DEFENSIVE LINE. #3 CLEVELAND QB ANDERSON HAS NOT PLAYED WELL SINCE THE SECOND HALF OF LAST SEASON. THIS INCLUDES THE 2008 PRE SEASON, AND WEKS 1 AND 2 OF THE REGULAR SEASON. #4 QB ANDERSON WILL FACE AN ACE TOP DEFENDING NFL SECONDARY THAT FORCES TURNOVERS. #5 CLEVELAND IS 23<SUP>RD</SUP> VS THE RUSH ON DEFENSE, AND BALTIMORE CAN RUN ON THEM SINCE THEY ALLOW 4.7 YARDS PER CARRY. #6 CLEVELAND RANKS 30<SUP>TH</SUP> VS THE PASS DEFENSIVELY, THEIR SECONDARY IS INJURED, AND HAVE NO PASS RUSH. #7 THE RAVENS PLAY AT HOME. PROS AND CONS TOTAL. BALTIMORE 7, CLEVELAND 0.<o
></o><o
></o>RECOMMENDATION: HAVE TO LIKE BALTIMORE IN THIS SPOT.<o
></o><o
></o>MONEY LINE WINNER : BALTIMORE<o
></o>ATS WINNER: BALTIMORE –1.0<o
></o>UNDER/OVER TOTAL: UNDER 38.0<o
></o><o
></o><o
></o>(41.5) JACKSONVILLE 20<o
></o>(-4.5) INDIANAPOLIS 21<o
></o><o
></o>DON’T LIKE THIS GAME, BUT LET ME GIVE MY RESONS FOR BOTH SIDES. REASONS TO PLAY THE JAGS. #1 THE KEY TO THE COLTS RUSH DEFENSE IS BOB SANDERS WHO IS OUT FOR THIS GAME. WITHOUT HIM IN THE LINEUP THE COLTS RANK 24<SUP>TH</SUP> ON DEFENSE VS THE RUN. #2 JAGS PLAYED 2 TOP NFL RUSH DEFENSES (TENN 2<SUP>ND</SUP> AND BUFFALO 9<SUP>TH</SUP>) AND THEIR BREAD AND BUTTER IS TO RUN THE BALL WITH TAYLOR AND JONES-DREW AND WILL HAVE A HUGE GAME. #3 JAGS BY ESTABLISHING THE RUN WILL ONLY HELP THEIR ENEPT QB GERRARD WHEN HE LOOKS TO THROW THE BALL OF PLAY ACTION. #4 JAGS NEED A DESPERATE WIN AT 0-2. REASONS FOR THE COLTS. #1 COLTS ALL PRO CENTER SATURDAY RETURNS. #2 COLTS CAN RUN ON THE JAGS DEFENSE, THE JAGS ARE NOT AS STRONG ANYMORE UP FRONT, AND THE COLTS JUST FACED 2 TOP RUSH DEFENSES IN WEEK ONE AND TWO (MINNESOTA AND CHICAGO). #3 JAGS HAVING PROBLEMS WITH THEIR PASS RUSH. #4 THE GAME IS AT HOME FOR THE COLTS.<o
></o>PROS AND CONS , A TIE COLTS 4, JAGS 4.<o
></o><o
></o>RECOMMENDATION: THE RESON WHY I SAY NO PLAY IS THAT IN THEIR LAST 10 OUT OF 12 MEETINGS THESE GAMES HAVE BEEN DECIDED BY 8 POINTS OR LESS. BOTH TEAMS MAY PLAY CONSERVATIVE, USE THE CLOCK BY RUNNING THE FOOTBALL.<o
></o><o
></o>MONEY LINE WINNER: NO PLAY<o
></o>ATS WINNER: +4.5 JACKSONVILLE<o
></o>UNDER/OVER TOTAL: NO PLAY<o
></o><o
></o><o
></o>(44) PITTSBURGH 24<o
></o>(-3.5) PHILADELPHIA 23<o
></o><o
></o>THIS COULD BE A TRAP GAME. YOU MEAN TO TELL ME THE EAGLES ALLOW 41 PTS TO DALLAS ON MON NITE, AND NOW FACE THE BEST NFL TEAM IN THE AFC?. PITTSBURGH’S OFFENSE IS RUNNING ON HIGH OCTANE, AND HERE IS MY REASONS FOR TAKING THE STEELERS. #1 AS GOOD AS PHILLY’S OFFENSE HAS LOOKED THUS FAR, THEY NOW FACE THE STEELERS 3<SUP>RD</SUP> RANKED RUN DEFENSE, AND THE 7<SUP>TH</SUP> RANKED PASS DEFENSE WITH 7 SACKS. #2 PITT HAS FAST 3-4 PASS RUSHERS, AND THEIR SPEED CAN GIVE THE EAGLES HUGE OFFENSIVE LINE PROBLEMS. #3 PHILLY HAS NO PASS RUSH ON DEFENSE. #4 EAGLES SAFTIES CAN BE EXPLOITED ESPECIALLY GIVING UP THE BIG PLAY.EAGLES COME OFF A TOUGH EMOTIONAL LOSS TO DALLAS. I SEE NO PROS IN THIS MATCHUP FOR PHILADELPHIA ?. <o
></o><o
></o>RECOMMEDATION; TAKE THE STEELERS ALL THE WAY SINCE 60 % OF THE MONEY IS ON PHILADELPHIA GIVING UP POINTS.<o
></o><o
></o>MONEY LINE; PITTSBURGH<o
></o>ATS WINNER: PITTSBURGH +3.5<o
></o>UNDER/OVER TOTAL: PLAY OVER 44.0<o
></o>WATCH!!! COULD BE A TRAP.<o
></o><o
></o><o
></o>(51) DALLAS 29<o
></o>(+3.0) GREEN BAY 28<o
></o><o
></o>I LIKE DALLAS PLUS THE POINTS BUT 61 % OF THE PUBLIC IS ON THEM. HERE ARE THE REASONS TO TAKE DALLAS. #1 THIS WILL BE GREEN BAY’S FIRST TEST OF THE SEASON AND QB RODGERS. #2 DALLAS BEAT GB 37 –27 LAST SEASON WITH FARVE AT QB,AND HOW WILL THEY FARE WITH FARVE NOW GONE?. #3 DALLAS QB HASN’T BEEN SACKED THIS SEASON. #4 GB HAS TROUBLE STOPPING THE RUN RANKED 22<SUP>ND</SUP> ALLOWING 4.7 YARDS PER GAME. #5 GB’S RB GRANT HAS A HAMSTRING, AND WITHOUT HIM HEALTHY ON OFFENSE, THE PACKERS BECOME ONE DIMENSIONAL . REASONS FOR GREEN BAY. #1 DALLAS SECONDARY WAS KILLED BY PHILA LAST WEEK. #2 GB OFFENSIVE LINE WAS ALLOWED ONLY 1 SACK AND HAVE BETTER WIDE OUTS THEN THE EAGLES. #3 HOME FIELD ADVANTAGE.<o
></o>PROS AND CONS SCOREBOARD DALLAS 5, GREEN BAY 3.<o
></o><o
></o>RECOMMENDATION: LIKE DALLAS PLUS THE POINTS, AND LIKE THE OVER TOTAL.<o
></o><o
></o>MONEY LINE: DALLAS<o
></o>ATS WINNER: DALLAS +3.0<o
></o>UNDER/OVER TOTAL: PLAY THEOVER 51.0
BEST PLAYS WEEK #3
ATS PICKS
NEW ORLEANS +5.0
SEATTLE-9.5
BALTIMORE -1.0
PITTSBURGH +3.5
7 POINT TEASER
SEATTLE -2.5
PITTSBURGH +10.5
NEW ORLEANS +12.0
DETROIT/SAN FRANCISCO OVER TOTAL 39.5
MONEYLINE
SEATTLE
<o
></o><o
></o>THAT’S IT MY FRIENDS, I WILL HAVE MY MONDAY NIGHT SELECTION TOMMORROW. MEANTIME GOOD LUCK, AND BE WISE WITH YOUR PLAYS THIS WEEK.<o
></o><o
></o>YOURS TRULY;<o
></o>BROOKLYNWORM<o
></o><o
></o><o
></o>
