Brooklynworm's 2018 nfl projection scoring probability

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Welcome to the Brooklynworm’s 2018 NFL Handicapper group. I have been handicapping the NFL, for over 21 years, and have been very successful with my pick selections. To start, I have compiled computer data information, covering all positions, players, and projections. Below, you will witness a chart , with this information. Here how it works. You will see a 3-4 digit number next to each individual team. This is their Away Power Ranking (APWR). To the far right of Away Power Ranking , is the Home Power Ranking (HPWR) (EXAMPLE) Week one. Tennessee plays Miami . Tennessee's (APWR) is 98.9. Miami’s (HPWR) is 94.8. subtract 94.8 from 98.9 , equals Tennessee -4.1 points, or Tennessee favorite by 4.

NFL TEAMAWAY – (APWR) POWER RATINGHOME-(HPWR) POWER RATING
PHILADELPHIA EAGLES111.2113.2
NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS108.6110.8
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS109.2111.4
LOS ANGELES RAMS108.5110.4
MINNESOTA VIKINGS107.8111.7
JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS104.0107.1
ATLANTA FALCONS105.2106.9
PITTSBURGH STEELERS105.4108.7
CAROLINA PANTHERS104.1105.8
LOS ANGELES CHARGERS104.2105.2
KANSAS CITY CHIEFS101.0101.3
BALTIMORE RAVENS100.9105.6
DETROIT LIONS99.7102.5
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS99.0102.3
DALLAS COWBOYS102.1101.7
WASHINGTON REDSKINS97.297.2
TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS96.097.7
CHICAGO BEARS97.4101.6
GREEN BAY PACKERS101.1105.8
SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS99.4103.9
BUFFALO BILLS92.594.5
TENNESSEE TITANS99.7102.2
ARIZONA CARDINALS95.896.2
OAKLAN RAIDERS99.3100.3
NEW YORK JETS93.996.1
CINCINNATI BENGALS94.195.4
MIAMI DOLPHINS91.894.1
DENVER BRONCOS96.098.2
HOUSTON TEXANS94.396.3
NEW YORK GIANTS95.297.3
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS92.294.1
CLEVELAND BROWNS91.392.3


 

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Looking forward to another prosperous season Brooklyn! One of the best!

Curious to know how much of this takes into account such things as injuries and free agency. I could see Seattle and Houston flipping in those rankings. Seattle has been dismantled due to free agency / holdouts and Houston’s record and stats last season imo is very misleading due to injuries. Is this based on straight stats or have you adjusted due to qualitative insights?
 
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Ca$hmoney. Thanks. To answer your question. Don't rely simply by my projections. You have to take into account weekly injuries Free agents, hold outs, etc..Look at the lines in Vegas. Compare those lines with my game projection. If you see a game favorable, that can cover the spread, or win the game, that pick should be considered, after you do your weekly homework. When I post my picks, I don't rely just on my Projection numbers.
 
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As for those teams you question Seattle, and Houston, let's take a closer look. My chart indicates Seattle to win by -1 point. Houston, versus NE, Ne is 10.5 favorites. Watch the lines when they come out, and compare. Do you're homework, up to game time, and cover every angle.
 

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