MIAMI (43.0) @ CINCINNATI (-7 ½)
Miami has good chemistry amongst its two receivers, and quarterback. The question will be if the Dolphin’s suspect offensive line, will give Tannehill time in the pocket, to make big plays? They are starting a third string Center. The Center, is the strength of a team’s offensive line, and any type of breakdown at that position, could spell doom. Cincinnati, will get Eifert back from injury, and AJ Green will present a mismatch to the inept Miami secondary. The Bengal offensive line also has struggled, and the Dolphins have the front seven personnel, to pressure QB Andy Dalton. Cincinnati’s secondary has played poorly, and can get beat by Landry, and Parker. This game comes down to who has the better offensive line that can pass block, and run block. With Miami getting 7 ½ points, they match up well enough, to keep this game close. PREDICTED SCORE: CINCINNATI 23 MIAMI 21. TAKE MIAMI +7 ½, PLAY OVER 43.0.
INDIANAPOLIS (46.0) (LONDON) JACKSONVILLE (+2 ½)
I don’t like games played in London, because you can’t predict how a game like this will translate, and which team will benefit more by playing abroad. To start with, automatically, the Colts QB Andrew Luck, is light years ahead of Bortles. Jacksonville hasn’t a pass rush. And the Jags secondary is terrible. The colts will have a huge advantage, with their talented receivers. I expect luck to pass often, since he cannot rely on his running game. Bortles , couldn’t take advantage of Baltimore’s poor secondary last week, and once again this weekend, Bortles faces an inept secondary. However, the difference is, that Baltimore has a pass rush, and Indianapolis does not. This means Bortles won’t choke under pressure, and he should have a better game. The Jags also have a zero running game. I see a high scoring game here. Both teams cannot run the ball, and both teams will exploit each other’s secondaries. Bottom line, the difference is QB Andrew Luck, will put the Colts over the top. PREDICTED SCORE: INDIANAPOLIS 27 JACKSONVILLE 24, TAKE INDIANAPOLIS -2 ½, AND PLAY OVER 46.0.
CAROLINA (46.0) @ ATLANTA (+3 ½)
Okay, thus far, Carolina as a team in 2016, doesn’t look like that same powerhouse squad that went 15-1. The Panthers are facing tougher teams, and not signing Norman, has hurt them. On top of that, Newton, came up lame last week, and is working off a gimpy ankle. Atlanta’s QB Matt Ryan, looks like he is returning to old form, and should be able to move the football in the air, against a suspect Panther secondary. Thus far, Carolina, hasn’t yet faced an elite QB, and this weekend, will put them to the test without Norman in the secondary. Carolina doesn’t have a quality pass rush, and Ryan should have a clean pocket, to look for Julio Jones. I can’t get over Atlanta being 3 ½ point dogs at home? PREDICTED SCORE: CAROLINA 28 ATLANTA 27, TAKE ATLANTA +3 ½, PLAY OVER 52.0.
OAKLAND (44.0) @ BALTIMORE (-3 ½)
Right off, let me begin by indicating, that Baltimore plays better at home, and the Raiders have to make that dreaded East coast trip, with a one o’clock start. Baltimore isn’t a great team. Their offense is nonexistent, without a rushing attack. Flacco, is a peg below an elite QB, and doesn’t bring any to the table, because he lacks consistency. Both teams have lousy secondaries, however, Oakland has the better receiver corps, to exploit Baltimore’s. On the other hand, Baltimore’s front seven have shown, that they can pressure an opposing QB. Oakland, simply doesn’t have a pass rush. After last week’s contest, Oakland didn’t return to California. Instead, they went on from Tennessee, to Baltimore. So consider this a two week road trip. These type of situations, don’t fare well under these conditions. I see Oakland at a disadvantage here. PREDICTED SCORE: BALTIMORE 27 OAKLAND 23, TAKE BALTIMORE -3 1/2, PLAY OVER TOTAL 44.0.
DETROIT (43.0) @ CHICAGO (+2 ½)
Chicago, is the worst team in football. The main reason why they are terrible, they lost several key players to injuries. The starters that now have out there on defense, is inept. QB Brian Hoyer is terrible, and their offensive playmakers are inexperienced. In the trenches, the Bears cannot stop the run. This can only help the Lions struggling offensive line. This game will be a battle between two lousy teams, and the Lions should have the edge. PREDICTED SCORE: DETROIT 27 CHICAGO 23, TAKE DETROIT -2 ½, PLAY OVER 48.0.
TENNESSEE (40.0) @ HOUSTON (-5 ½)
The Titans, don’t play well against the Texans. The Texans lost JJ Watt to IR. The quarterback’s performances on both side, are about even. The Titans have a solid front seven vs. the run. Tennessee, has an excellent offensive line, that blocks well in pass protection. A key player returns to the Titan offense, Delanie Walker. Texas can’t stop the run, and DeMarco Murray coming off a big game, faces a Houston unit that surrenders 4.8 yards per carry. Although the Texans want to rebound off last week’s loss, I don’t think it will be a slam dunk. PREDICTED SCORE HOUSTON 17 TENNESSEE 14, TAKE TENNESSEE +5 ½, PLAY THE UNDER 40.0.
BUFFALO (44.0) @ NEW ENGLAND (-4 ½)
At the time of this posting, Vegas, didn’t have a set line on this game, due to the injury ordeal affecting the New England starting QB situation. As of now, you can expect Edelman at starting QB, with a line of -4 ½. However, this is subject to change. If Edleman, or even if one of the other signal callers start, they can expect a Bills team that doesn’t have a pass rush. The only way they can pressure an opposing QB, is by blitzing, using a safety, or a linebacker. Rex Ryan’s blitz packages are so predictable, and you better believe Coach Belichick done his homework during these extra days to prepare. Buffalo has injury problems on offense, and their best receiver Sammy Watkins, isn’t 100 %. Last week, Le Sean McCoy carried his team, and was the offense. New England can counter with their steady defense, both on the ground, and in the air. So Belichick , will come up with a game plan to stop McCoy. The Patriots on offense, will focus on their running game, with RB Blount. Buffalo’s front seven is banged up, and Blount can run on them. Belichick, with 10 days rest is 16 -8 overall. PREDICTED SCORE: NEW ENGLAND 27 BUFFALO 17, TAKE NEW ENGLAND -4 ½, PLAY UNDER 45.0.
SEATTLE (41.0) @ NY JETS (+1 ½)
Another game up in the air with Vegas. No line, as of this post. 1 ½ was the last number, that will most likely change, once we learn the status on the Russell Wilson injury. We already witnessed how limited Wilson is with an ankle sprain, when he played the Rams. Now it’s his MCL, from last week. Seattle, has one of the worst offensive lines in football, and the Jets counter with an elite front seven. The jets issues are in their secondary, and if Wilson doesn’t play, or isn’t 100 %, he will not be able to make that connection. Seattle’s game plan will have to be to pound the football on the ground. The jets need to revenge last week’s horrible loss to KC. Fitzpatrick fired 6 interceptions, and the team never had a chance to rebound. Look for the Jets, to have a good showing on Sunday, and not play with reckless abandon. Seattle has a solid defense, and the Jets cannot afford to commit turnovers. The dreaded west coast, 1pm East coast stop, is in order, and that can spell doom for the Seahawks. NEW YORK JETS 17 SEATTLE 16, TAKE NY JETS +1 ½, PLAY UNDER 41.0.
CLEVELAND (43.0) @ WASHINGTON (-7 ½)
Washington is dealing with key injuries. Their offensive line is banged up. They lost their Strong Safety for the season, they cannot handle a decent pass rush, and above all, their offense sputters in the Red Zone. Cleveland’s WR Terelle Pryor, may have another huge game, like he did in Miami last week. What should help QB Kessler, is that Washington has trouble rushing the passer. So if Kessler gets time in the pocket, he should have another strong showing. Lastly, the Redskins are coming off an emotional win over the NY Giants last week, and may be in for a letdown. PREDICTED SCORE: WASHINGTON 24 CLEVELAND 21, TAKE CLEVELAND +7 ½, PLAY OVER 43.0.
DENVER (44.0) @ TAMPA BAY (+3.0)
Right off, Jameis Winston struggles reading elite defenses, and their key weapon on offense, that makes the Bucs go, is RB Doug Martin, who will not suit up for this game. So look for Winston , to hook up with his top receiver Mike Evans. Denver, is one of those elite defenses, which can give Winston trouble. Denver will rely on QB Sieman to win this game, however, the jury is out, and I am not sure if he is NFL starting material. PREDICTED SCORE: DENVER 28 TAMPA BAY 20. TAKE DENVER -3, PLAY OVER 44.0.
LOS ANGELES (40.0) @ ARIZONA (-8)
I expect Arizona, to rebound off that awful loss in Buffalo last week. Both the Rams, and the Cardinals, have top defenses, and scoring will be at a premium. The Rams play stout defense versus the run, and should slow RB David Johnson. The Rams have RB Gurley, and Arizona’s front seven, doesn’t play well against the run. Cards advantage comes in their secondary, versus a poor Ram’s receiver corp. Palmer and their offense have been inconsistent. However, I will give the edge to Arizona, since LA doesn’t have an offense. PREDICTED SCORE: ARIZONA 24 LOS ANGELES 14, TAKE ARIZONA -8, and PLAY UNDER 40.
NEW ORLEANS (48.0) @ SAN DIEGO (-3 ½)
This looks like another high octane scoring game. San Diego’s injuries, have crippled this team again, and missing key players. The Sd defense is terrible, they can’t pass rush the QB, the secondary is awful, and can’t stop the run.SD allows 4, 4 yards per carry. New Orleans has its own woes on defense. Expect big games from Brees, and Rivers. PREDICTED SCORE: SAN DIEGO 28 NEW ORLEANS 24, TAKE SAN DIEGO -3 ½, PLAY OVER 48.0.
DALLAS (41.0) @ SAN FRANCISCO (+2 ½)
Dallas has an awful defense, and don’t pass rush. The Cowboys lack depth on defense, and are a poor tackling team. San Francisco, has no pass rush, and Dallas has a top offensive NFL line.QB Prescott, appears to be handling his roll, as the Dallas starting QB. RB Elliott, showed signs of life last week, and should have another good game against a defense that can’t stop the run. The same can be said about the 49ers. They Have Carlos Hyde to run the ball. Dallas allows 4.8 yards per carry. PREDICTED SCORE: DALLAS 23 SAN FRANCISCO 21, TAKE SAN FRANCISCO +2 ½, AND PLAY OVER 41.O.
KANSAS CITY (42.0) @ PITTSBURGH (-5 ½)
KC, goes on the road, after a big win at home versus the Jets, and Pittsburgh returns home, after being trounced in Philadelphia. That 34 -3 loss that the Steelers took, was unexpected, and you know they are a better team. We all have our bad days, and Pittsburgh got that bad game out of their system. The good news for Pittsburgh, the return of Leveon Bell from suspension. Kansas City’s front seven is weak against the run, and Bell will exploit it. Keep in mind, this year’s KC team isn’t the same high caliber team that they fielded in 2015. I see a high scoring game between Roethlisberger, and Alex Smith. Smith has Kelce, and Maclin, and Roethlisberger has Antonio Brown, and company. PREDICTED SCORE: PITTSBURGH 23 KANSAS CITY 20, TAKE KANSAS CITY + 5 ½, PLAY OVER 42.0.
NEW YORK GIANTS (44.O) @ MINNESOTA (-4 ½)
The problem with the Giants moving forward, is QB Eli Manning. Eli, continues to struggle, and single handedly have cost his team’s games. Manning cannot handle pressure in the pocket, when pass rushed or blitzed. Now, Eli goes against one of the best NFL defenses on the road. A complete mismatch favoring the Viking front seven, versus the suspect Giant offensive line. On top of that, the Giants will not have the services of their RB Vereen. Vereen is their safety valve, third and short back, that catches passes out of the backfield. Besides Vereen’s absence, there is nobody else in the Giant Backfield that can run the football. Minnesota, offensively, also has their short comings. No Peterson, no running game, and has an offensive line that can’t run block. PREDICTED SCORE: MINNESOTA 24 NEW YORK GIANTS 14, TAKE MINNESOTA -4 ½, AND PLAY UNDER 44.0.
Last week's results: Straight Up 7-9-0 Against The Spread 9-7-0 Over/Under 6-10-0.
Overall to date Straight Up:31-17-0, Against The Spread 32-16-0, Over/Under 27-20-1.
Miami has good chemistry amongst its two receivers, and quarterback. The question will be if the Dolphin’s suspect offensive line, will give Tannehill time in the pocket, to make big plays? They are starting a third string Center. The Center, is the strength of a team’s offensive line, and any type of breakdown at that position, could spell doom. Cincinnati, will get Eifert back from injury, and AJ Green will present a mismatch to the inept Miami secondary. The Bengal offensive line also has struggled, and the Dolphins have the front seven personnel, to pressure QB Andy Dalton. Cincinnati’s secondary has played poorly, and can get beat by Landry, and Parker. This game comes down to who has the better offensive line that can pass block, and run block. With Miami getting 7 ½ points, they match up well enough, to keep this game close. PREDICTED SCORE: CINCINNATI 23 MIAMI 21. TAKE MIAMI +7 ½, PLAY OVER 43.0.
INDIANAPOLIS (46.0) (LONDON) JACKSONVILLE (+2 ½)
I don’t like games played in London, because you can’t predict how a game like this will translate, and which team will benefit more by playing abroad. To start with, automatically, the Colts QB Andrew Luck, is light years ahead of Bortles. Jacksonville hasn’t a pass rush. And the Jags secondary is terrible. The colts will have a huge advantage, with their talented receivers. I expect luck to pass often, since he cannot rely on his running game. Bortles , couldn’t take advantage of Baltimore’s poor secondary last week, and once again this weekend, Bortles faces an inept secondary. However, the difference is, that Baltimore has a pass rush, and Indianapolis does not. This means Bortles won’t choke under pressure, and he should have a better game. The Jags also have a zero running game. I see a high scoring game here. Both teams cannot run the ball, and both teams will exploit each other’s secondaries. Bottom line, the difference is QB Andrew Luck, will put the Colts over the top. PREDICTED SCORE: INDIANAPOLIS 27 JACKSONVILLE 24, TAKE INDIANAPOLIS -2 ½, AND PLAY OVER 46.0.
CAROLINA (46.0) @ ATLANTA (+3 ½)
Okay, thus far, Carolina as a team in 2016, doesn’t look like that same powerhouse squad that went 15-1. The Panthers are facing tougher teams, and not signing Norman, has hurt them. On top of that, Newton, came up lame last week, and is working off a gimpy ankle. Atlanta’s QB Matt Ryan, looks like he is returning to old form, and should be able to move the football in the air, against a suspect Panther secondary. Thus far, Carolina, hasn’t yet faced an elite QB, and this weekend, will put them to the test without Norman in the secondary. Carolina doesn’t have a quality pass rush, and Ryan should have a clean pocket, to look for Julio Jones. I can’t get over Atlanta being 3 ½ point dogs at home? PREDICTED SCORE: CAROLINA 28 ATLANTA 27, TAKE ATLANTA +3 ½, PLAY OVER 52.0.
OAKLAND (44.0) @ BALTIMORE (-3 ½)
Right off, let me begin by indicating, that Baltimore plays better at home, and the Raiders have to make that dreaded East coast trip, with a one o’clock start. Baltimore isn’t a great team. Their offense is nonexistent, without a rushing attack. Flacco, is a peg below an elite QB, and doesn’t bring any to the table, because he lacks consistency. Both teams have lousy secondaries, however, Oakland has the better receiver corps, to exploit Baltimore’s. On the other hand, Baltimore’s front seven have shown, that they can pressure an opposing QB. Oakland, simply doesn’t have a pass rush. After last week’s contest, Oakland didn’t return to California. Instead, they went on from Tennessee, to Baltimore. So consider this a two week road trip. These type of situations, don’t fare well under these conditions. I see Oakland at a disadvantage here. PREDICTED SCORE: BALTIMORE 27 OAKLAND 23, TAKE BALTIMORE -3 1/2, PLAY OVER TOTAL 44.0.
DETROIT (43.0) @ CHICAGO (+2 ½)
Chicago, is the worst team in football. The main reason why they are terrible, they lost several key players to injuries. The starters that now have out there on defense, is inept. QB Brian Hoyer is terrible, and their offensive playmakers are inexperienced. In the trenches, the Bears cannot stop the run. This can only help the Lions struggling offensive line. This game will be a battle between two lousy teams, and the Lions should have the edge. PREDICTED SCORE: DETROIT 27 CHICAGO 23, TAKE DETROIT -2 ½, PLAY OVER 48.0.
TENNESSEE (40.0) @ HOUSTON (-5 ½)
The Titans, don’t play well against the Texans. The Texans lost JJ Watt to IR. The quarterback’s performances on both side, are about even. The Titans have a solid front seven vs. the run. Tennessee, has an excellent offensive line, that blocks well in pass protection. A key player returns to the Titan offense, Delanie Walker. Texas can’t stop the run, and DeMarco Murray coming off a big game, faces a Houston unit that surrenders 4.8 yards per carry. Although the Texans want to rebound off last week’s loss, I don’t think it will be a slam dunk. PREDICTED SCORE HOUSTON 17 TENNESSEE 14, TAKE TENNESSEE +5 ½, PLAY THE UNDER 40.0.
BUFFALO (44.0) @ NEW ENGLAND (-4 ½)
At the time of this posting, Vegas, didn’t have a set line on this game, due to the injury ordeal affecting the New England starting QB situation. As of now, you can expect Edelman at starting QB, with a line of -4 ½. However, this is subject to change. If Edleman, or even if one of the other signal callers start, they can expect a Bills team that doesn’t have a pass rush. The only way they can pressure an opposing QB, is by blitzing, using a safety, or a linebacker. Rex Ryan’s blitz packages are so predictable, and you better believe Coach Belichick done his homework during these extra days to prepare. Buffalo has injury problems on offense, and their best receiver Sammy Watkins, isn’t 100 %. Last week, Le Sean McCoy carried his team, and was the offense. New England can counter with their steady defense, both on the ground, and in the air. So Belichick , will come up with a game plan to stop McCoy. The Patriots on offense, will focus on their running game, with RB Blount. Buffalo’s front seven is banged up, and Blount can run on them. Belichick, with 10 days rest is 16 -8 overall. PREDICTED SCORE: NEW ENGLAND 27 BUFFALO 17, TAKE NEW ENGLAND -4 ½, PLAY UNDER 45.0.
SEATTLE (41.0) @ NY JETS (+1 ½)
Another game up in the air with Vegas. No line, as of this post. 1 ½ was the last number, that will most likely change, once we learn the status on the Russell Wilson injury. We already witnessed how limited Wilson is with an ankle sprain, when he played the Rams. Now it’s his MCL, from last week. Seattle, has one of the worst offensive lines in football, and the Jets counter with an elite front seven. The jets issues are in their secondary, and if Wilson doesn’t play, or isn’t 100 %, he will not be able to make that connection. Seattle’s game plan will have to be to pound the football on the ground. The jets need to revenge last week’s horrible loss to KC. Fitzpatrick fired 6 interceptions, and the team never had a chance to rebound. Look for the Jets, to have a good showing on Sunday, and not play with reckless abandon. Seattle has a solid defense, and the Jets cannot afford to commit turnovers. The dreaded west coast, 1pm East coast stop, is in order, and that can spell doom for the Seahawks. NEW YORK JETS 17 SEATTLE 16, TAKE NY JETS +1 ½, PLAY UNDER 41.0.
CLEVELAND (43.0) @ WASHINGTON (-7 ½)
Washington is dealing with key injuries. Their offensive line is banged up. They lost their Strong Safety for the season, they cannot handle a decent pass rush, and above all, their offense sputters in the Red Zone. Cleveland’s WR Terelle Pryor, may have another huge game, like he did in Miami last week. What should help QB Kessler, is that Washington has trouble rushing the passer. So if Kessler gets time in the pocket, he should have another strong showing. Lastly, the Redskins are coming off an emotional win over the NY Giants last week, and may be in for a letdown. PREDICTED SCORE: WASHINGTON 24 CLEVELAND 21, TAKE CLEVELAND +7 ½, PLAY OVER 43.0.
DENVER (44.0) @ TAMPA BAY (+3.0)
Right off, Jameis Winston struggles reading elite defenses, and their key weapon on offense, that makes the Bucs go, is RB Doug Martin, who will not suit up for this game. So look for Winston , to hook up with his top receiver Mike Evans. Denver, is one of those elite defenses, which can give Winston trouble. Denver will rely on QB Sieman to win this game, however, the jury is out, and I am not sure if he is NFL starting material. PREDICTED SCORE: DENVER 28 TAMPA BAY 20. TAKE DENVER -3, PLAY OVER 44.0.
LOS ANGELES (40.0) @ ARIZONA (-8)
I expect Arizona, to rebound off that awful loss in Buffalo last week. Both the Rams, and the Cardinals, have top defenses, and scoring will be at a premium. The Rams play stout defense versus the run, and should slow RB David Johnson. The Rams have RB Gurley, and Arizona’s front seven, doesn’t play well against the run. Cards advantage comes in their secondary, versus a poor Ram’s receiver corp. Palmer and their offense have been inconsistent. However, I will give the edge to Arizona, since LA doesn’t have an offense. PREDICTED SCORE: ARIZONA 24 LOS ANGELES 14, TAKE ARIZONA -8, and PLAY UNDER 40.
NEW ORLEANS (48.0) @ SAN DIEGO (-3 ½)
This looks like another high octane scoring game. San Diego’s injuries, have crippled this team again, and missing key players. The Sd defense is terrible, they can’t pass rush the QB, the secondary is awful, and can’t stop the run.SD allows 4, 4 yards per carry. New Orleans has its own woes on defense. Expect big games from Brees, and Rivers. PREDICTED SCORE: SAN DIEGO 28 NEW ORLEANS 24, TAKE SAN DIEGO -3 ½, PLAY OVER 48.0.
DALLAS (41.0) @ SAN FRANCISCO (+2 ½)
Dallas has an awful defense, and don’t pass rush. The Cowboys lack depth on defense, and are a poor tackling team. San Francisco, has no pass rush, and Dallas has a top offensive NFL line.QB Prescott, appears to be handling his roll, as the Dallas starting QB. RB Elliott, showed signs of life last week, and should have another good game against a defense that can’t stop the run. The same can be said about the 49ers. They Have Carlos Hyde to run the ball. Dallas allows 4.8 yards per carry. PREDICTED SCORE: DALLAS 23 SAN FRANCISCO 21, TAKE SAN FRANCISCO +2 ½, AND PLAY OVER 41.O.
KANSAS CITY (42.0) @ PITTSBURGH (-5 ½)
KC, goes on the road, after a big win at home versus the Jets, and Pittsburgh returns home, after being trounced in Philadelphia. That 34 -3 loss that the Steelers took, was unexpected, and you know they are a better team. We all have our bad days, and Pittsburgh got that bad game out of their system. The good news for Pittsburgh, the return of Leveon Bell from suspension. Kansas City’s front seven is weak against the run, and Bell will exploit it. Keep in mind, this year’s KC team isn’t the same high caliber team that they fielded in 2015. I see a high scoring game between Roethlisberger, and Alex Smith. Smith has Kelce, and Maclin, and Roethlisberger has Antonio Brown, and company. PREDICTED SCORE: PITTSBURGH 23 KANSAS CITY 20, TAKE KANSAS CITY + 5 ½, PLAY OVER 42.0.
NEW YORK GIANTS (44.O) @ MINNESOTA (-4 ½)
The problem with the Giants moving forward, is QB Eli Manning. Eli, continues to struggle, and single handedly have cost his team’s games. Manning cannot handle pressure in the pocket, when pass rushed or blitzed. Now, Eli goes against one of the best NFL defenses on the road. A complete mismatch favoring the Viking front seven, versus the suspect Giant offensive line. On top of that, the Giants will not have the services of their RB Vereen. Vereen is their safety valve, third and short back, that catches passes out of the backfield. Besides Vereen’s absence, there is nobody else in the Giant Backfield that can run the football. Minnesota, offensively, also has their short comings. No Peterson, no running game, and has an offensive line that can’t run block. PREDICTED SCORE: MINNESOTA 24 NEW YORK GIANTS 14, TAKE MINNESOTA -4 ½, AND PLAY UNDER 44.0.
Last week's results: Straight Up 7-9-0 Against The Spread 9-7-0 Over/Under 6-10-0.
Overall to date Straight Up:31-17-0, Against The Spread 32-16-0, Over/Under 27-20-1.
