BROOKLYNWORM
Member
- Joined
- Oct 1, 2005
- Messages
- 3,148
- Reaction score
- 17
GREETING FROM THE WORM. THE WORM IS NEW TO THIS BOARD, AND TO THIS WEBSITE. THE WORM IS A NOTED TOUT OVER AT SUPERSPORTBETS.COM , AND HIS REPUTATION AS A HANDICAPPER IS OUTSTANDING. THE WORM'S STRAIGHT UP PICKS ARE 76% PERCENT WINNERS, AND AGAINST THE SPREAD 65% PERCENT AGAINST THE NUMBER. LAST WEEKEND ON THIS BOARD THE WORM CALLED THE DALLAS OVER PHI UPSET, AND THE NE OVER ATLANTA. THE WORM'S PICKS ARE ABSOLUTELY FREE, SO ENJOY, GOOD LUCK.
"BROOKLYNWORM"
HERE IS THE WORM'S NFL SELECTIONS FOR WEEK #6.
HOW TO READ THE WORM'S PICKS. THE UPPER LEFT NEXT TO THE VISITING OPPONENT IS THE ACTUAL VEGAS OVER/UNDER LINE. BELOW THAT NUMBER, NEXT TO THE HOME TEAM IS THE ACTUAL VEGAS POINT SPREAD OF THE GAME. TO THE RIGHT OF EACH TEAM, IS THE WORM'S PREDICTED SCORE OF EACH GAME.
47 NEW YORK GIANTS 23
-3.5 DALLAS COWBOYS 27
WITH JULIS JONES STATUS FOR DALLAS FOR SUNDAY IS QUESTIONABLE, MOST OF THE PUBLIC IS JUMPING ON THE NY GIANT BANDWAGON. THE WORM BEGS TO DIFFER. WHEN JONES WAS HURT LAST WEEK AND COULD'NT PLAY THE SECOND HALF RB TYSON THOMPSON JUMPED IN HIS SPOT A RAN FOR 75 YDS. IN ADDITION, THE GIANTS SECONDARY IS ONE OF THE WORST IN THE NFL. THEY RANK 31 OUT OF 32 TEAMS VS THE PASS. BLEDSOE IS HAVING A GOOD YEAR THROWING THE BALL, AND WILL EXPLOIT THE GIANTS SECONDARY. DALLAS'S SECONDARY IS THE WORST, BUT IT IS A CONCERN OF THE COWBOY DEFENSE. THE GIANTS HAVE BEEN PUTTING UP HUGE NUMBERS ON THE SCOREBOARD THIS SEASON, AND THE GIANTS WILL BE THROWING OFTEN , AND SCORING POINTS.DALLAS MUST BE ABLE TO USE UP MOST OF THE CLOCK BY RUNNING THE BALL, AND KEEPING THE GIANT OFFENSE OFF THE FIELD. HOWEVER, THE FINAL SCORE OF THIS GAME MIGHT EVEN GO HIGHER THEN THE WORM PREDICTED. WORM STATS TO KEEP IN MIND. IN 2005, ANY TEAM COMING OFF A BYE WEEK AND PLAYING ON THE ROAD IS 1-4, AND LOSE THE GAME WITH AN AVERAGE SCORE OF 4 TO 9 PTS. NYG HEADCOACH COUGHLIN IS 5-16 AWAY OFF SU WIN AT HOME.
STRAIGHT UP WINNER: DALLAS
AGAINST THE SPREAD WINNER: DALLAS
OVER/UNDER TOTAL47: TAKE THE OVER.
WORM RECOMMENDS: THE BEST PLAY HERE IS OVER THE TOTAL.
42 CAROLINA 20
-1.5 DETROIT 19
LAST WEEK THE LIONS DESTROYED THE RAVENS . BALTIMORE WAS THEIR WORST ENEMY WITH PENALTIES, AND POOR PLAY. SO DONT LET THAT HIGH SCORING WIN BY THE LIONS FOOL YOU. DETROIT IS A GOOD TEAM TO TAKE AT HOME, BUT THEY ARE THE FAVORITES HERE , AND THAT ALONE GIVES ME THE WILLIES. THE LIONS HAVE NO OFFENSE , HARRINGTON IS NOT AN NFL QB, THEY HAVE NO CONSISTENT RUNNING GAME, AND THEIR WIDE RECEIVERS ARE HURTING.THE LIONS FIELD A GOOD DEFENSE VS A SUSPECT CAROLINA OFFENSE. THE PANTHERS IN THE WORM'S OPINION, IS THAT THEY HAVE BEEN AN OVERRATTED TEAM IN 2005. QB DELHOMME ISN'T THE SAME QB THAT WE SEEN IN 2004, AND MAKES ALOT OF MISTAKES. THE DEFENSE IS GOOD, BUT NOT OUTSTANDING. A WORM STAT, IN 2005 ANY TEAM THAT WINS THE FIRST OF THEIR BACK TO BACK ROAD GAMES, LOSES THE 2ND GAME OF THE TRIP.(ADVANTAGE LIONS) . CAROLINA IS 8-1 AS AN UNDERDOG.
STRAIGHT UP WINNER: CAROLINA
AGAINST THE SPREAD WINNER: CAROLINA
OVER/UNDER TOTAL 42: TAKE THE UNDER
WORM RECOMMENDS: BEST BET PLAY HERE IS THE UNDER 42.
44 ATLANTA 23
+5.5 NEW ORLEANS 17
AFTER LAST WEEK'S SLAUGHTER TO THE GREEN BAY PACKERS, THE SAINTS NOW HAVE REACHED NEW LOWS, AND WITHOUT A TRUE HOME FIELD THIS SEASON, THIS TEAM IS UNPREDICTABLE. GIVEN, THIS WAS A POOR TEAM WITH MCCALLISTER, AND NOW A POOR TEAM WITHOUT A RUNNING GAME. THEY HAVE NO CHOICE BUT TO THROW THE BALL OFTEN, WITH A SLUMPING QB AND OFFENSE THAT TURNS OVER THE FOOTBALL FREQUENTLY.THE ATLANTA FALCONS RANK 2ND SACKING THE OPPONENT. IF THE SAINTS CAN'T RUN THE BALL, THE FALCONS WILL BE SWARMING QB BROOKS, AND EXPECT MANY SACKS, FUMBLES, AND TURNOVERS BY THE SAINTS (WORM PREDICTS 5 TURNOVERS). ATLANTA RANKS 1ST IN RUSH YDS PER CARRY, AND THE SAINTS RANK 22ND ON DEFENSE . MICHAEL VICK SHOULD BE ABLE TO OPEN UP THE RUNNING GAME, AND ONCE HE ESTABLISHES THE RUN, IT WILL OPEN UP THE PASSING GAME. WORM STATS, ATLANTA IS 33-17 ATS OFF A NON CONFERENCE GAME, NEW ORLEANS IS 2-11 ATS AT HOME VS ATLANTA.
STRAIGHT UP WINNER: ATLANTA
AGAINST THE SPREAD WINNER: ATLANTA
OVER/UNDER TOTAL 44: TAKE THE UNDER
WORM RECOMMENDS: ATLANTA SHOULD WIN THIS GAME STRAIGHT UP.
LAYING 5.5 POINTS MAY BE A STRETCH, AS WELL AS THE OVER/UNDER.
37.5 MINNESOTA 13
-3 CHICAGO BEARS 17
AFTER THE LATEST LOVE BOAT INCIDENT, COMBINED WITH THE FACT THAT QB CULPEPPER WHO HAS AN INJURED RIGHT KNEE, AND CANNOT SCRAMBLE EFFECTIVELY, AND WITH THE INJURY TO THEIR TOP WIDE RECEIVER NATE BURLESON SAYS IT ALL. CHICAGO'S STRENGTH IS THEIR DEFENSE, AND THEY PLAY AT HOME. AFTER LOSING TO CLEVELAND, THIS TEAM WILL BE READY TO PLAY ON SUNDAY, EVEN WITHOUT RB THOMAS JONES. THE VIKES ON DEFENSE IN TWO GAMES ON THE ROAD THIS SEASON HAVE BEEN OUTSCORED 67-18. THE VIKES ALSO ALLOW 178 YARDS PER GAME TO THE RUNNING GAME. A POOR MINNY DEFENSE, WITH A INJURY RIDDLED OFFENSE, VS A TOP NFL DEFENSE SPELLS TROUBLE. WORM STAT: THE VIKES ARE ONE OF THOSE TEAMS COMING OFF A BYE WEEK, AND PLAYING ON THE ROAD. THE RECORD FOR TEAMS IN 2005 IS 1-4. THE VIKES ARE 13-27 IN ROAD GAMES WHEN PLAYING A TEAM WITH A LOSING RECORD. CHICAGO IS 3-1 VS THE VIKES AGAINST THE SPREAD LAST 3 SEASONS.
STRAIGHT UP WINNER: CHICAGO
AGAINST THE SPREAD WINNER: CHICAGO
OVER/UNDER 37.5 TOTAL: TAKE THE UNDER
WORM RECOMMENDS: BEST PLAY TAKE THE UNDER, AND THE BEARS TO
WIN AND COVER THE -3 POINT SPREAD.
43 WASHINGTON 20
-5.5 KANSAS CITY 24
THE CHIEFS COME OFF A BYE WEEK AT HOME. THE WORM STAT THAT IMMEDIATELY SHOULD HIT YOU IS THAT NFL TEAMS IN 2005 ARE 3-0 AT HOME OFF A BYE WEEK. THE CHIEFS ALSO GET BACK THEIR MOST IMPORTANT PRODUCTIVE OFFENSIVE LINEMAN WILLIE ROAF. WHILE ROAF WAS OUT OF THE LINEUP THOSE PAST FEW GAMES, HURT KC ON OFFENSE. EXPECT TONY GONZALEZ, PREIST HOLMES, AND LARRY JOHNSON TO BENEFIT FROM THIS. THE GREAT REDSKIN DEFENSE WILL BE TESTED SUNDAY. THEY HAVE YET TO PLAY AN EXPOLSIVE OFFENSE THIS SEASON LIKE THE CHIEFS. THE WORM THINKS THAT THE WASHINGTON DEFENSE IS OVERRATTED. THE ONLY PROBLEM HERE IS THE KC DEFENSE, AND ONLY GETTING 7 SACKS ON THE OPPOSSING QB?.BUT LAST I LOOKED, WASHINGTON RANKED 32ND , AND KC 26TH ON SACKING THE QB. KC DEFENSE IS NEEDS TO PLAY BETTER, AND THE OFFENSE WILL CARRY THEM THIS GAME, LIKE IN YEARS PAST.
STRAIGHT UP PICK: KANSAS CITY
AGAINST THE SPREAD PICK: KANSAS CITY
OVER/UNDER TOTAL 43: TAKE THE OVER
WORM RECOMMENDS: LIKES KC TO WIN THIS GAME STRAIGHT UP, AND POSSIBLY THE SPREAD, BUT LAYING -5.5 PTS MAY BE TOO MUCH?. STAY AWAY FROM THE UNDER/OVER PLAY HERE. IF YOU PLAY THE SPREAD, PLAY TEASERS, OR PARLAYS.
45 CINCINNATI 27
+3 TENNESSEE 16
THE WORM'S QUESTION IS...HOW GOOD ARE THE BENGALS?. THEY COMMIT A TON OF PENALTIES, CHAD JOHNSON HAS A BIG MOUTH, AND PLAY ON THE ROAD FOR A 2ND CONSECUTIVE WEEK. WITH ALL THAT SAID, THE THE JAGS LAST WEEK RUSHED FOR 181 YARDS VS A 30TH RANKED BENGAL DEFENSIVE LINE, AND ONLY LOST BY 3. IF CINNCY WANTS TO WIN THEY CANNOT COMMIT TURNOVERS, OR MENTAL MISTAKES WITH PENALTIES. TENNESSE ON THE OTHER HAND VS A CINCINNATI DEFENSIVE LINE THAT RANKS 30 TH VS THE RUSH IN YDS PER GAIN. THE TITANS NEED TO TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THE BENGAL WEAKNESS TO WIN. IF WR HOUSHMANDZADEH RETURNS TO THE BENGAL LINEUP, TAKING DOUBLE COVERAGE AWAY FROM JOHNSON, THEY SHOULD WIN THIS GAME. WILL THE BENGALS BE LOOKING AHEAD TO THE PITTSBURGH GAME?. WORM STAT, THE TITANS ARE 3-10 AGAINST THE SPREAD AFTER LOSING 3 OF THEIR LAST 4 GAMES.
STRAIGHT UP PICK: CINCINNATI
AGAINST THE SPREAD PICK: CINCINNATI
OVER/UNDER TOTAL 45: TAKE THE UNDER
WORM RECOMMENDS: WORM ISN'T SOLD ON THE BENGALS, BUT WILL PLAY THE TRENDS, AND BANKS ON THE FACT THAT THEY WILL REBOUND FROM LAST WEEK'S LOSS. TENNESSEE NOT NEARLY AS GOOD ON DEFENSE AS THE JAGS DEFENSE LAST WEEK, AND THIS SHOULD BENEFIT THE BENGALS.
34.5 JACKSONVILLE 19
-3 PITTSBURGH STEELERS 29
THE JAGS COME OFF A BIG SUNDAY NITE VICTORY VS THE BENGALS, TO FACE A HEALTHY PITTSBURGH STEELER OFFENSIVE BACKFIELD WITH BETTIS RETURNING.THE JAGS RAN FOR 181 YARDS VS CINN LAST WEEK MAINLY DUE TO THE CREDIT OF RB FRED TAYLOR. TAYLOR RAN FOR BIG YARDAGE AGAINST A POOR DEFENSIVE LINE THAT HAS TROUBLE VS THE RUN. NOW THAY FACE A STEELER DEFENSE THAT RANKS TENTH IN THE NFL VS RUSHING YDS ALLOWED PER CARRY. IN ADDITION, FRED TAYLOR IS HOBBLED WITH A LEG INURY, AND HE IS THE KEY TO THE JAGS OFFENSE. ALTHOUGH STARTING QB ROETHLISBERGER IS OUT, BETTIS AND COMPANY WILL RUSH FOR BIG YARDAGE VS THE JAGS WHO RANK ONLY 24TH ON DEFENSE VS THE RUSH PER CARRY, OPPOSSED TO SAN DIEGO'S 9TH RANK ON DEFENSE VS THE RUN WHOM THE STEELERS BEAT ON MONDAY NITE DUE TO THE BETTIS FACTOR. PITTSBURGH WILL RUN, RUN, AND RUN THE FOOTBALL.ON DEFENSE, THE STEELERS WILL EXPLOIT TO SUSPECT JACKSONVILE OFFENSIVE LINE , AND WILL FORCE MANY JAG MISTAKES ON LEFTWICH RESULTING IN SACKS ,AND TURNOVERS, ESPECIALLY IF FRED TAYLOR CANNOT GO, OR PLAY EFFECTIVELY WITH HIS INJURY.WORM STAT, JAX IS 6-0 UNDER THE TOTAL OFF WIN BY 3 PTS OR LESS, STEELERS ARE 33-14 ATS AT HOME COACH COWHER.
STRAIGHT UP PICK: PITTSBURGH
AGAINST THE SPREAD PICK: PITTSBURGH
OVER/UNDER 34.5 TOTAL: TAKE THE UNDER.
WORM RECOMMENDS: PITTSBURGH IS A STRONG PLAY ACROSS THE BOARD. MAY WANT TO TEASE THE OVER/UNDER TO YOUR ADVANTAGE. IF YOU TAKE LET'S SAY A 10PT TEASER UNDER WOULD GET YOU 44.5 TOTAL, OR AN OVER WOULD BE A 24.5 TOTAL. WORM LIKES THE UNDER 44.5, DUE TO INJURIES TO BOTH TEAMS AT KEY POSITIONS, WITH THE STEELERS RUNNING THE BALL, AND THE JAGS LACK OF OFFENSE IN THIS GAME.
35 CLEVELAND 10
-6 BALTIMORE RAVENS 19
CALL THE WORM CRAZY, BUT HE PREDICTS THAT THE RAVENS WILL NOT ONLY COVER THIS GAME, BUT MIGHT EVEN BLOW THE BROWNS OUT WITH A SHUTOUT, AND BEAT THEM 19-0. THE RAVENS PLAYED THEIR WORST NIGHTMARE OF A GAME LAST WEEK IN DETROIT. 21 PENALTIES, 4 UNSPORTSMANLIKE CONDUCTS. THE RAVENS ARE AT HOME, AND WILL BE FOCUSED BOTH TEAMS WILL RUN THE BALL THE MAJORITY OF THEIR PLAYS.LAST WEEK, A LOUSEY DETROIT RUNNING GAME RUSHED FOR 169 YDS VS THE RAVENS.EXPECT THE BROWNS TO DO THE SAME. THE RAVENS WILL COUNTER WITH RB JAMAL LEWIS . HE WILL FACE A MUCH EASIER DEFENSIVE LINE OF THE BROWNS, AND SHOULD RUN FOR OVER 100 YARDS. THE BROWNS DEFENSE IS NOT THAT GOOD. WORM STAT, THE BROWNS ARE 9-17 ATS VS CONFERENCE OPPONENTS.BALT IS 3-1 VS BROWNS LAST 3 SEASONS.BALT 12-4 AS A HOME FAVORITE.
STRAIGHT UP: BALTIMORE
AGAINST THE SPREAD: BALTIMORE
UNDER/OVER 35 TOTAL: TAKE THE UNDER
WORM RECOMMENDS: BEST BET, PLAY THE RAVENS ACROSS THE BOARD. LAY THE POINTS, TAKE THE RAVENS TO WIN, AND PLAY THE UNDER. BOTH TEAMS WILL BE RUNNING, AND BOTH TEAMS LACK OFFENSE.
35 MIAMI 16 (UPSET SPECIAL?*)
-4.5 TAMPA BAY 17
HERE'S WHERE THE WORM LOOKS FOR UPSETS. THERE MAY BE A DOLPHIN UPSET ON THE HORIZON. TAMPA BAYS CADILLAC WILLIAMS IS THE WHOLE KEY TO THIS OFFENSE WHEN HEALTHY. LOOKS LIKE THE CADILLAC BLEW A TIRE TUBE. DOLPHINS RETURN RICKY WILLIAMS TO THE OFFENSE. THEY NOW HAVE A ONE TWO PUNCH TO ATTACK THE BALL ON THE GROUND, AND A BACK TO THROW THE BALL TO IN OPEN SPACE. MIAMI MATCHES UP WELL IN THIS GAME. SINCE THEY ARE PLAYING THE GAME IN TAMPA, I DONT CONSIDER THIS A TRUE ROAD GAME, AND THE HEAT WILL BE NO FACTOR TO THE DOLPHINS. THE BUCS QB THE LAST FEW GAMES HAS LOOKED TERRIBLE. SEEMS LIKE HE IS FLOATING THE BALL, AND MAKING MISTAKES. THE DOLPHINS ACHILLES HEEL IS THEIR SECONDARY, BUT IS GREISE UP TO THE TASK OF RISING TO THE OCCASSION?. BOTH TEAMS HAVE SUSPECT OFFENSIVE LINES , AND WILL RUN THE MORE OFTEN, TO AVOID QB MISTAKES, AND TURNOVERS. I THINK THIS GAME WILL BE DECIDED BY THE TURNOVERS. YOU BETTER BELIEVE COACH SABAN WILL REMIND HIS TEAM OF LAST WEEK'S GAME WITH PENALTIES, AND TURNOVERS.
STRAIGHT UP: TAMPA BAY
AGAINST THE SPREAD: MIAMI
OVER/UNDER 35 TOTAL: TAKE THE UNDER
WORM RECOMMENDS: TAKE MIAMI PLUS + 4.5 POINTS , BEWARE OF POSSIBLE UPSET, SO STAY AWAY FROM ANY STRAIGHT UP BETS. SINCE BOTH TEAMS WILL RUN MORE, PLAY THE UNDER.
47 NEW ENGLAND 27
-3 DENVER 28
NEW ENGLAND FALLS INTO THAT TREND THAT AFTER WINNING THE FIRST OF TWO CONSECUTIVE ROAD GAMES, THEY LOSE THE 2ND GAME. THE BRONCOS HAVE A QUICK, MOBIL DEFENSIVE LINE, THAT STOPS THE RUN. THE BRONCOS PLAY AT HOME , AND THE ALTITUDE SHOULD WEAR ON THE PATS AS THE GAME HEADS INTO THE 4TH QUARTER. HERE IS THE KEY TO THIS GAME. IF DENVER DOESN'T ALLOW NE RB DILLON TO RUN THE BALL EFFECTIVELY, WITH THEIR QUICK SWARMING DEFENSE, HOW WILL DENVER RESPOND WITH THEIR SUSPECT SECONDARY WITH CHAMP BAILEY OUT? THE PATS ARE WALKING WOUNDED ON DEFENSE AND NOW DL RICHARD SEYMORE IS DINGED UP , AND THE PATS WILL BE SUSPECT TO THE RUN, IN ADDITION TO THE PASS. WORM STATS: NE 8-1 ATS AS A DOG, DENVER 38-21 OVER AT HOME OFF AN OVER TOTAL.NE CONTROLS THE MAJORITY OF THE TRENDS AGAINST THE SPREAD. I ONLY GIVE DENVER A 3PT ADVANTAGE BECAUSE OF THE HOME FIELD.
STRAIGHT UP : DENVER
AGAINST THE SPREAD: DENVER
OVER/UNDER 47 TOTAL: TAKE THE OVER
WORM RECOMMENDS: DONT LIKE ANY OF THE PLAYS HERE, BUT CONSIDER PLAYING THE OVER IF YOU MUST PLAY THIS GAME. I DONT TRUST DENVER, AND THIS GAME CAN STILL GO EITHER WAY.
32.5 NEW YORK JETS 15
-3 BUFFALO BILLS 21
WITH THE JET DEFENSE OUT TO LUNCH, THE DEFENSE HAS PICKED UP THE PACE. THE BILLS QB HOLCOMB IS THE BETTER CHOICE, AND IT SHOWED LAST WEEK WHEN HE MADE HIS FIRST START VS THE DOLPHINS. WITH THE IMPROVEMENT AT QB, THE BILLS ARE ABLE TO THROW THE BALL MORE, AND MAYBE OPEN UP THE RUNNING GAME TO PREVENT DEFENSES FROM PLAYING 8 MEN IN THE BOX. BUFFALO CANNOT STOP THE RUN AND RANK LAST IN THE NFL, VS A JET TEAM WITH NO RUNNING GAME. CURTIS MARTIN HURT, BACKUP BLAYLOCK ON IR. THIS GAME COMES DOWN TO BOTH QB'S WHO WILL PLAY BETTER, TESTEVERDE OR HOLCOMB? THE JETS PLAY ON THE ROAD, BUFFALO, AND THIS WILL BE ONLY TESTEVERDE'S 2ND GAME , AND CAN BE COSTLY WITHOUT THE HOME CROWD BEHIND HIM. WORM STAT, BUFFALO IS 3-1 ATS VS NYJETS PAST 3 SEASONS, BUFFALO 14-5 UNDER THE TOTAL OFF A HOME GAME, NY JETS 6-0 UNDER THE TOTAL AWAY IN OCTOBER
STRAIGHT UP: BUFFALO
AGAINST THE SPREAD: BUFFALO
OVER/UNDER 32.5 TOTAL: TAKE THE UNDER
WORM RECOMMENDS: TAKE BUFFALO ALL THE WAY, LAY THE POINTS, PLAY THE UNDER .
50.5 SAN DIEGO 32
+2 OAKLAND RAIDERS 23
ALTHOUGH THESE TEAMS ARE RIVALS, THE CHARGERS SHOULD WIN BIG HERE. SAN DIEGO IS 2-3, THEY MUST WIN TO BREAK AT .500, BEFORE THEY GO ON A VERY TOUGH ROAD SCHEDULE(LOOK IT UP). THE RAIDERS LACK DISCIPLINE, ARE ON THE BOTTOM OF ALL NFL DEFENSIVE STATS. SAN DIEGO COMES OFF A TOUGH LOSS, TO A TOUGH PITTSBURGH DEFENSE. RB TOMLINSON AND COMPANY WILL RUN THE SCORE UP ON THE RAIDERS. THE RAIDERS RANK 18TH OVERALL PTS PER GAME IN THE NFL, WHICH DOESN'T COMPENSATE FOR THEIR POOR DEFENSE . LOOK FOR THE CHARGERS TO GET TOMLINSON IN OPEN SPACES WITH SWING PASSES, AND SCREENS. THIS WILL OPEN UP THE PASSING GAME, WHERE BREES CAN EXPLOIT THE BAD RAIDER SECONDARY. WORM STAT: SD IS 10-3 ATS AT OAKLAND, OAKLAND IS 3-10 VS DIVISIONAL OPPONENTS, SD IS 4-0 ATS VS OAKLAND LAST THREE SEASONS, SAN DIEGO 3-1 STRAIGHT UP VS OAKLAND LAST 3 SEASONS. HEADCOACH NORV TURNER IS 6-0 OVER THE TOTAL VS LOSING TEAMS.
STRAIGHT UP : SAN DIEGO
AGAINST THE SPREAD: SAN DIEGO
OVER/UNDER 50.5 TOTAL-TAKE THE OVER
WORM RECOMMENDS: THIS IS ONE OF MY BEST PLAYS OF THE WEEK. DONT BE AFRAID, TAKE SAN DIEGO EVERYWAY YOU CAN, THEY ARE ONLY LAYING -2 PTS TO A SLOPPY RAIDER TEAM.
45.5 HOUSTON 19
-9 SEATLLE SEAHAWKS 28
HOUSTON NEEDS A WIN, OR A GREAT EFFORT, OR HEADS WILL ROLL IN THE GREAT STATE OF TEXAS. HOUSTON'S STATS ARE TERRIBLE ON THE OFFENSIVE SIDE OF THE BALL. TEXANS QB CARR HAS NO OFFENSIVE LINE TO PROTECT HIME, AND TAKES SACK AFTER SACK. TEXANS ONLY HOPE IS THE RUNNING GAME TO KEEP THIS CLOSE. IT MAY OPEN THE SHORT PASS ROUTES, AND BUY SOME TIME FOR THEIR QB. SEATTLE'S DEFENSE ISN'T THE BEST, AND PROBABLY ONE OF THE WORST WHEN THEY HAVE SURRENDERED 30 OR MORE POINTS 7 TIMES IN THE PAST 21 GAMES. HOWEVER, THE TEXANS DEFENSE WILL NOT BE ABLE TO STOP SHAUN ALEXANDER.WORM STAT: HOUSTON IS 10-2 ATS OFF BACK TO BACK LOSSES, SEATTLE IS 0-8 ATS OFF A DIVISIONAL GAME, COACH HOLMGREN IS 5-19 ATS IN OCTOBER GAMES, COACH DOM CAPERS IS 9-1 ATS AFTER 2 GAMES WITH A -1 OR WORSE TURNOVER MARGIN.
STRAIGHT UP PICK: SEATTLE
AGAINST THE SPREAD PICK: HOUSTON
OVER/UNDER 45.5 TOTAL: TAKE THE OVER
WORM RECOMMENDS: SEATTLE SHOULD WIN THIS GAME, BUT WILL NOT COVER THE-9 POINT SPREAD. HOUSTON'S COACHES AND TEAM ARE SEEKING SOME RESPECT FROM THE NFL, AND NEED TO GET THEIR DIGNITY BACK. SEATTLE IS KNOWN TO DOG GAMES IN THE 4TH QUARTER WITH THE LEAD, COULD BE DUE FOR LET DOWN AFTER VICTORY IN STL. I REALLY WOULD LIKE TO CALL A HOUSTON UPSET HERE, BUT!!!!!!. TAKE THE 9 POINTS, AND PLAY THE OVER.
51 ST. LOUIS 24
-13.5 INDIANAPOLIS 36
WAKE UP CALL FOR QB MANNING TO AIR OUT THE FOOTBALL. THE COLTS GO UP AGAINST A PAPER WEIGHT DEFENSE. THE RAMS HAVE GIVEN UP 889 YDS AND 81 PTS IN THE PAST TWO GAMES, AND 10 PASSING TOUCHDOWNS!. THE COLTS FINALLY FACE AN OFFENSE. COLTS HAVE PLAYED THE WOEFULL SCORING ATTACKS OF THE RAVENS, JAGS, BROWNS, TITANS, AND SF., WITH CLEVELAND PROBABLY WITH THE BEST OFFENSE THEY FACED ALL SEASON ????. IF THE ST LOUIS RAMS COULD ONLY PLAY DEFENSE, INSTEAD IMMITATE A PASTA STRAINER, I MIGHT OF CALLED THENM IN AN UPSET. BUT NO CHANCE HERE, MANNING WILL OUTGUN BULGER, AND THE DIFFERENCE MAKERS FOR THE COLTS IS THE PASS RUSH OF DWIGHT FREENY, AND ROBERT MATHIS. WORM STAT: STL 8-1 OVER THE TOTAL VS NON CONFERENCE OPPONENTS, COLTS 9-2 ATS OFF A ROAD GAME.
STRAIGHT UP PICK: INDIANAPOLIS
AGAINST THE SPREAD: ST. LOUIS
OVER/UNDER 51 TOTAL: TAKE THE OVER
WORM RECOMMENDS: DONT SEE A RAM UPSET, BUT IT IS MONDAY NITE FOOTBALL, AND USUALLY TEAMS BRING THEIR " A "GAME TO THE NATIONAL AUDIENCE. COLTS ARE LAYING -13.5 POINTS HERE, TOO RICH FOR THE WORM'S BLOOD, ESPECIALLY WHEN THE RAMS HAVE THE ABILITY TO SCORE, AND THE COLT DEFENSE HASN'T BEEN TESTED ALL SEASON.COLTS WILL WIN, BECAUSE THE RAMS CANT STOP ANYBODY.
PLAY THE OVER, THIS WILL BE A HIGH SCORER!.
GOOD LUCK
BROOKLYNWORM
"BROOKLYNWORM"
HERE IS THE WORM'S NFL SELECTIONS FOR WEEK #6.
HOW TO READ THE WORM'S PICKS. THE UPPER LEFT NEXT TO THE VISITING OPPONENT IS THE ACTUAL VEGAS OVER/UNDER LINE. BELOW THAT NUMBER, NEXT TO THE HOME TEAM IS THE ACTUAL VEGAS POINT SPREAD OF THE GAME. TO THE RIGHT OF EACH TEAM, IS THE WORM'S PREDICTED SCORE OF EACH GAME.
47 NEW YORK GIANTS 23
-3.5 DALLAS COWBOYS 27
WITH JULIS JONES STATUS FOR DALLAS FOR SUNDAY IS QUESTIONABLE, MOST OF THE PUBLIC IS JUMPING ON THE NY GIANT BANDWAGON. THE WORM BEGS TO DIFFER. WHEN JONES WAS HURT LAST WEEK AND COULD'NT PLAY THE SECOND HALF RB TYSON THOMPSON JUMPED IN HIS SPOT A RAN FOR 75 YDS. IN ADDITION, THE GIANTS SECONDARY IS ONE OF THE WORST IN THE NFL. THEY RANK 31 OUT OF 32 TEAMS VS THE PASS. BLEDSOE IS HAVING A GOOD YEAR THROWING THE BALL, AND WILL EXPLOIT THE GIANTS SECONDARY. DALLAS'S SECONDARY IS THE WORST, BUT IT IS A CONCERN OF THE COWBOY DEFENSE. THE GIANTS HAVE BEEN PUTTING UP HUGE NUMBERS ON THE SCOREBOARD THIS SEASON, AND THE GIANTS WILL BE THROWING OFTEN , AND SCORING POINTS.DALLAS MUST BE ABLE TO USE UP MOST OF THE CLOCK BY RUNNING THE BALL, AND KEEPING THE GIANT OFFENSE OFF THE FIELD. HOWEVER, THE FINAL SCORE OF THIS GAME MIGHT EVEN GO HIGHER THEN THE WORM PREDICTED. WORM STATS TO KEEP IN MIND. IN 2005, ANY TEAM COMING OFF A BYE WEEK AND PLAYING ON THE ROAD IS 1-4, AND LOSE THE GAME WITH AN AVERAGE SCORE OF 4 TO 9 PTS. NYG HEADCOACH COUGHLIN IS 5-16 AWAY OFF SU WIN AT HOME.
STRAIGHT UP WINNER: DALLAS
AGAINST THE SPREAD WINNER: DALLAS
OVER/UNDER TOTAL47: TAKE THE OVER.
WORM RECOMMENDS: THE BEST PLAY HERE IS OVER THE TOTAL.
42 CAROLINA 20
-1.5 DETROIT 19
LAST WEEK THE LIONS DESTROYED THE RAVENS . BALTIMORE WAS THEIR WORST ENEMY WITH PENALTIES, AND POOR PLAY. SO DONT LET THAT HIGH SCORING WIN BY THE LIONS FOOL YOU. DETROIT IS A GOOD TEAM TO TAKE AT HOME, BUT THEY ARE THE FAVORITES HERE , AND THAT ALONE GIVES ME THE WILLIES. THE LIONS HAVE NO OFFENSE , HARRINGTON IS NOT AN NFL QB, THEY HAVE NO CONSISTENT RUNNING GAME, AND THEIR WIDE RECEIVERS ARE HURTING.THE LIONS FIELD A GOOD DEFENSE VS A SUSPECT CAROLINA OFFENSE. THE PANTHERS IN THE WORM'S OPINION, IS THAT THEY HAVE BEEN AN OVERRATTED TEAM IN 2005. QB DELHOMME ISN'T THE SAME QB THAT WE SEEN IN 2004, AND MAKES ALOT OF MISTAKES. THE DEFENSE IS GOOD, BUT NOT OUTSTANDING. A WORM STAT, IN 2005 ANY TEAM THAT WINS THE FIRST OF THEIR BACK TO BACK ROAD GAMES, LOSES THE 2ND GAME OF THE TRIP.(ADVANTAGE LIONS) . CAROLINA IS 8-1 AS AN UNDERDOG.
STRAIGHT UP WINNER: CAROLINA
AGAINST THE SPREAD WINNER: CAROLINA
OVER/UNDER TOTAL 42: TAKE THE UNDER
WORM RECOMMENDS: BEST BET PLAY HERE IS THE UNDER 42.
44 ATLANTA 23
+5.5 NEW ORLEANS 17
AFTER LAST WEEK'S SLAUGHTER TO THE GREEN BAY PACKERS, THE SAINTS NOW HAVE REACHED NEW LOWS, AND WITHOUT A TRUE HOME FIELD THIS SEASON, THIS TEAM IS UNPREDICTABLE. GIVEN, THIS WAS A POOR TEAM WITH MCCALLISTER, AND NOW A POOR TEAM WITHOUT A RUNNING GAME. THEY HAVE NO CHOICE BUT TO THROW THE BALL OFTEN, WITH A SLUMPING QB AND OFFENSE THAT TURNS OVER THE FOOTBALL FREQUENTLY.THE ATLANTA FALCONS RANK 2ND SACKING THE OPPONENT. IF THE SAINTS CAN'T RUN THE BALL, THE FALCONS WILL BE SWARMING QB BROOKS, AND EXPECT MANY SACKS, FUMBLES, AND TURNOVERS BY THE SAINTS (WORM PREDICTS 5 TURNOVERS). ATLANTA RANKS 1ST IN RUSH YDS PER CARRY, AND THE SAINTS RANK 22ND ON DEFENSE . MICHAEL VICK SHOULD BE ABLE TO OPEN UP THE RUNNING GAME, AND ONCE HE ESTABLISHES THE RUN, IT WILL OPEN UP THE PASSING GAME. WORM STATS, ATLANTA IS 33-17 ATS OFF A NON CONFERENCE GAME, NEW ORLEANS IS 2-11 ATS AT HOME VS ATLANTA.
STRAIGHT UP WINNER: ATLANTA
AGAINST THE SPREAD WINNER: ATLANTA
OVER/UNDER TOTAL 44: TAKE THE UNDER
WORM RECOMMENDS: ATLANTA SHOULD WIN THIS GAME STRAIGHT UP.
LAYING 5.5 POINTS MAY BE A STRETCH, AS WELL AS THE OVER/UNDER.
37.5 MINNESOTA 13
-3 CHICAGO BEARS 17
AFTER THE LATEST LOVE BOAT INCIDENT, COMBINED WITH THE FACT THAT QB CULPEPPER WHO HAS AN INJURED RIGHT KNEE, AND CANNOT SCRAMBLE EFFECTIVELY, AND WITH THE INJURY TO THEIR TOP WIDE RECEIVER NATE BURLESON SAYS IT ALL. CHICAGO'S STRENGTH IS THEIR DEFENSE, AND THEY PLAY AT HOME. AFTER LOSING TO CLEVELAND, THIS TEAM WILL BE READY TO PLAY ON SUNDAY, EVEN WITHOUT RB THOMAS JONES. THE VIKES ON DEFENSE IN TWO GAMES ON THE ROAD THIS SEASON HAVE BEEN OUTSCORED 67-18. THE VIKES ALSO ALLOW 178 YARDS PER GAME TO THE RUNNING GAME. A POOR MINNY DEFENSE, WITH A INJURY RIDDLED OFFENSE, VS A TOP NFL DEFENSE SPELLS TROUBLE. WORM STAT: THE VIKES ARE ONE OF THOSE TEAMS COMING OFF A BYE WEEK, AND PLAYING ON THE ROAD. THE RECORD FOR TEAMS IN 2005 IS 1-4. THE VIKES ARE 13-27 IN ROAD GAMES WHEN PLAYING A TEAM WITH A LOSING RECORD. CHICAGO IS 3-1 VS THE VIKES AGAINST THE SPREAD LAST 3 SEASONS.
STRAIGHT UP WINNER: CHICAGO
AGAINST THE SPREAD WINNER: CHICAGO
OVER/UNDER 37.5 TOTAL: TAKE THE UNDER
WORM RECOMMENDS: BEST PLAY TAKE THE UNDER, AND THE BEARS TO
WIN AND COVER THE -3 POINT SPREAD.
43 WASHINGTON 20
-5.5 KANSAS CITY 24
THE CHIEFS COME OFF A BYE WEEK AT HOME. THE WORM STAT THAT IMMEDIATELY SHOULD HIT YOU IS THAT NFL TEAMS IN 2005 ARE 3-0 AT HOME OFF A BYE WEEK. THE CHIEFS ALSO GET BACK THEIR MOST IMPORTANT PRODUCTIVE OFFENSIVE LINEMAN WILLIE ROAF. WHILE ROAF WAS OUT OF THE LINEUP THOSE PAST FEW GAMES, HURT KC ON OFFENSE. EXPECT TONY GONZALEZ, PREIST HOLMES, AND LARRY JOHNSON TO BENEFIT FROM THIS. THE GREAT REDSKIN DEFENSE WILL BE TESTED SUNDAY. THEY HAVE YET TO PLAY AN EXPOLSIVE OFFENSE THIS SEASON LIKE THE CHIEFS. THE WORM THINKS THAT THE WASHINGTON DEFENSE IS OVERRATTED. THE ONLY PROBLEM HERE IS THE KC DEFENSE, AND ONLY GETTING 7 SACKS ON THE OPPOSSING QB?.BUT LAST I LOOKED, WASHINGTON RANKED 32ND , AND KC 26TH ON SACKING THE QB. KC DEFENSE IS NEEDS TO PLAY BETTER, AND THE OFFENSE WILL CARRY THEM THIS GAME, LIKE IN YEARS PAST.
STRAIGHT UP PICK: KANSAS CITY
AGAINST THE SPREAD PICK: KANSAS CITY
OVER/UNDER TOTAL 43: TAKE THE OVER
WORM RECOMMENDS: LIKES KC TO WIN THIS GAME STRAIGHT UP, AND POSSIBLY THE SPREAD, BUT LAYING -5.5 PTS MAY BE TOO MUCH?. STAY AWAY FROM THE UNDER/OVER PLAY HERE. IF YOU PLAY THE SPREAD, PLAY TEASERS, OR PARLAYS.
45 CINCINNATI 27
+3 TENNESSEE 16
THE WORM'S QUESTION IS...HOW GOOD ARE THE BENGALS?. THEY COMMIT A TON OF PENALTIES, CHAD JOHNSON HAS A BIG MOUTH, AND PLAY ON THE ROAD FOR A 2ND CONSECUTIVE WEEK. WITH ALL THAT SAID, THE THE JAGS LAST WEEK RUSHED FOR 181 YARDS VS A 30TH RANKED BENGAL DEFENSIVE LINE, AND ONLY LOST BY 3. IF CINNCY WANTS TO WIN THEY CANNOT COMMIT TURNOVERS, OR MENTAL MISTAKES WITH PENALTIES. TENNESSE ON THE OTHER HAND VS A CINCINNATI DEFENSIVE LINE THAT RANKS 30 TH VS THE RUSH IN YDS PER GAIN. THE TITANS NEED TO TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THE BENGAL WEAKNESS TO WIN. IF WR HOUSHMANDZADEH RETURNS TO THE BENGAL LINEUP, TAKING DOUBLE COVERAGE AWAY FROM JOHNSON, THEY SHOULD WIN THIS GAME. WILL THE BENGALS BE LOOKING AHEAD TO THE PITTSBURGH GAME?. WORM STAT, THE TITANS ARE 3-10 AGAINST THE SPREAD AFTER LOSING 3 OF THEIR LAST 4 GAMES.
STRAIGHT UP PICK: CINCINNATI
AGAINST THE SPREAD PICK: CINCINNATI
OVER/UNDER TOTAL 45: TAKE THE UNDER
WORM RECOMMENDS: WORM ISN'T SOLD ON THE BENGALS, BUT WILL PLAY THE TRENDS, AND BANKS ON THE FACT THAT THEY WILL REBOUND FROM LAST WEEK'S LOSS. TENNESSEE NOT NEARLY AS GOOD ON DEFENSE AS THE JAGS DEFENSE LAST WEEK, AND THIS SHOULD BENEFIT THE BENGALS.
34.5 JACKSONVILLE 19
-3 PITTSBURGH STEELERS 29
THE JAGS COME OFF A BIG SUNDAY NITE VICTORY VS THE BENGALS, TO FACE A HEALTHY PITTSBURGH STEELER OFFENSIVE BACKFIELD WITH BETTIS RETURNING.THE JAGS RAN FOR 181 YARDS VS CINN LAST WEEK MAINLY DUE TO THE CREDIT OF RB FRED TAYLOR. TAYLOR RAN FOR BIG YARDAGE AGAINST A POOR DEFENSIVE LINE THAT HAS TROUBLE VS THE RUN. NOW THAY FACE A STEELER DEFENSE THAT RANKS TENTH IN THE NFL VS RUSHING YDS ALLOWED PER CARRY. IN ADDITION, FRED TAYLOR IS HOBBLED WITH A LEG INURY, AND HE IS THE KEY TO THE JAGS OFFENSE. ALTHOUGH STARTING QB ROETHLISBERGER IS OUT, BETTIS AND COMPANY WILL RUSH FOR BIG YARDAGE VS THE JAGS WHO RANK ONLY 24TH ON DEFENSE VS THE RUSH PER CARRY, OPPOSSED TO SAN DIEGO'S 9TH RANK ON DEFENSE VS THE RUN WHOM THE STEELERS BEAT ON MONDAY NITE DUE TO THE BETTIS FACTOR. PITTSBURGH WILL RUN, RUN, AND RUN THE FOOTBALL.ON DEFENSE, THE STEELERS WILL EXPLOIT TO SUSPECT JACKSONVILE OFFENSIVE LINE , AND WILL FORCE MANY JAG MISTAKES ON LEFTWICH RESULTING IN SACKS ,AND TURNOVERS, ESPECIALLY IF FRED TAYLOR CANNOT GO, OR PLAY EFFECTIVELY WITH HIS INJURY.WORM STAT, JAX IS 6-0 UNDER THE TOTAL OFF WIN BY 3 PTS OR LESS, STEELERS ARE 33-14 ATS AT HOME COACH COWHER.
STRAIGHT UP PICK: PITTSBURGH
AGAINST THE SPREAD PICK: PITTSBURGH
OVER/UNDER 34.5 TOTAL: TAKE THE UNDER.
WORM RECOMMENDS: PITTSBURGH IS A STRONG PLAY ACROSS THE BOARD. MAY WANT TO TEASE THE OVER/UNDER TO YOUR ADVANTAGE. IF YOU TAKE LET'S SAY A 10PT TEASER UNDER WOULD GET YOU 44.5 TOTAL, OR AN OVER WOULD BE A 24.5 TOTAL. WORM LIKES THE UNDER 44.5, DUE TO INJURIES TO BOTH TEAMS AT KEY POSITIONS, WITH THE STEELERS RUNNING THE BALL, AND THE JAGS LACK OF OFFENSE IN THIS GAME.
35 CLEVELAND 10
-6 BALTIMORE RAVENS 19
CALL THE WORM CRAZY, BUT HE PREDICTS THAT THE RAVENS WILL NOT ONLY COVER THIS GAME, BUT MIGHT EVEN BLOW THE BROWNS OUT WITH A SHUTOUT, AND BEAT THEM 19-0. THE RAVENS PLAYED THEIR WORST NIGHTMARE OF A GAME LAST WEEK IN DETROIT. 21 PENALTIES, 4 UNSPORTSMANLIKE CONDUCTS. THE RAVENS ARE AT HOME, AND WILL BE FOCUSED BOTH TEAMS WILL RUN THE BALL THE MAJORITY OF THEIR PLAYS.LAST WEEK, A LOUSEY DETROIT RUNNING GAME RUSHED FOR 169 YDS VS THE RAVENS.EXPECT THE BROWNS TO DO THE SAME. THE RAVENS WILL COUNTER WITH RB JAMAL LEWIS . HE WILL FACE A MUCH EASIER DEFENSIVE LINE OF THE BROWNS, AND SHOULD RUN FOR OVER 100 YARDS. THE BROWNS DEFENSE IS NOT THAT GOOD. WORM STAT, THE BROWNS ARE 9-17 ATS VS CONFERENCE OPPONENTS.BALT IS 3-1 VS BROWNS LAST 3 SEASONS.BALT 12-4 AS A HOME FAVORITE.
STRAIGHT UP: BALTIMORE
AGAINST THE SPREAD: BALTIMORE
UNDER/OVER 35 TOTAL: TAKE THE UNDER
WORM RECOMMENDS: BEST BET, PLAY THE RAVENS ACROSS THE BOARD. LAY THE POINTS, TAKE THE RAVENS TO WIN, AND PLAY THE UNDER. BOTH TEAMS WILL BE RUNNING, AND BOTH TEAMS LACK OFFENSE.
35 MIAMI 16 (UPSET SPECIAL?*)
-4.5 TAMPA BAY 17
HERE'S WHERE THE WORM LOOKS FOR UPSETS. THERE MAY BE A DOLPHIN UPSET ON THE HORIZON. TAMPA BAYS CADILLAC WILLIAMS IS THE WHOLE KEY TO THIS OFFENSE WHEN HEALTHY. LOOKS LIKE THE CADILLAC BLEW A TIRE TUBE. DOLPHINS RETURN RICKY WILLIAMS TO THE OFFENSE. THEY NOW HAVE A ONE TWO PUNCH TO ATTACK THE BALL ON THE GROUND, AND A BACK TO THROW THE BALL TO IN OPEN SPACE. MIAMI MATCHES UP WELL IN THIS GAME. SINCE THEY ARE PLAYING THE GAME IN TAMPA, I DONT CONSIDER THIS A TRUE ROAD GAME, AND THE HEAT WILL BE NO FACTOR TO THE DOLPHINS. THE BUCS QB THE LAST FEW GAMES HAS LOOKED TERRIBLE. SEEMS LIKE HE IS FLOATING THE BALL, AND MAKING MISTAKES. THE DOLPHINS ACHILLES HEEL IS THEIR SECONDARY, BUT IS GREISE UP TO THE TASK OF RISING TO THE OCCASSION?. BOTH TEAMS HAVE SUSPECT OFFENSIVE LINES , AND WILL RUN THE MORE OFTEN, TO AVOID QB MISTAKES, AND TURNOVERS. I THINK THIS GAME WILL BE DECIDED BY THE TURNOVERS. YOU BETTER BELIEVE COACH SABAN WILL REMIND HIS TEAM OF LAST WEEK'S GAME WITH PENALTIES, AND TURNOVERS.
STRAIGHT UP: TAMPA BAY
AGAINST THE SPREAD: MIAMI
OVER/UNDER 35 TOTAL: TAKE THE UNDER
WORM RECOMMENDS: TAKE MIAMI PLUS + 4.5 POINTS , BEWARE OF POSSIBLE UPSET, SO STAY AWAY FROM ANY STRAIGHT UP BETS. SINCE BOTH TEAMS WILL RUN MORE, PLAY THE UNDER.
47 NEW ENGLAND 27
-3 DENVER 28
NEW ENGLAND FALLS INTO THAT TREND THAT AFTER WINNING THE FIRST OF TWO CONSECUTIVE ROAD GAMES, THEY LOSE THE 2ND GAME. THE BRONCOS HAVE A QUICK, MOBIL DEFENSIVE LINE, THAT STOPS THE RUN. THE BRONCOS PLAY AT HOME , AND THE ALTITUDE SHOULD WEAR ON THE PATS AS THE GAME HEADS INTO THE 4TH QUARTER. HERE IS THE KEY TO THIS GAME. IF DENVER DOESN'T ALLOW NE RB DILLON TO RUN THE BALL EFFECTIVELY, WITH THEIR QUICK SWARMING DEFENSE, HOW WILL DENVER RESPOND WITH THEIR SUSPECT SECONDARY WITH CHAMP BAILEY OUT? THE PATS ARE WALKING WOUNDED ON DEFENSE AND NOW DL RICHARD SEYMORE IS DINGED UP , AND THE PATS WILL BE SUSPECT TO THE RUN, IN ADDITION TO THE PASS. WORM STATS: NE 8-1 ATS AS A DOG, DENVER 38-21 OVER AT HOME OFF AN OVER TOTAL.NE CONTROLS THE MAJORITY OF THE TRENDS AGAINST THE SPREAD. I ONLY GIVE DENVER A 3PT ADVANTAGE BECAUSE OF THE HOME FIELD.
STRAIGHT UP : DENVER
AGAINST THE SPREAD: DENVER
OVER/UNDER 47 TOTAL: TAKE THE OVER
WORM RECOMMENDS: DONT LIKE ANY OF THE PLAYS HERE, BUT CONSIDER PLAYING THE OVER IF YOU MUST PLAY THIS GAME. I DONT TRUST DENVER, AND THIS GAME CAN STILL GO EITHER WAY.
32.5 NEW YORK JETS 15
-3 BUFFALO BILLS 21
WITH THE JET DEFENSE OUT TO LUNCH, THE DEFENSE HAS PICKED UP THE PACE. THE BILLS QB HOLCOMB IS THE BETTER CHOICE, AND IT SHOWED LAST WEEK WHEN HE MADE HIS FIRST START VS THE DOLPHINS. WITH THE IMPROVEMENT AT QB, THE BILLS ARE ABLE TO THROW THE BALL MORE, AND MAYBE OPEN UP THE RUNNING GAME TO PREVENT DEFENSES FROM PLAYING 8 MEN IN THE BOX. BUFFALO CANNOT STOP THE RUN AND RANK LAST IN THE NFL, VS A JET TEAM WITH NO RUNNING GAME. CURTIS MARTIN HURT, BACKUP BLAYLOCK ON IR. THIS GAME COMES DOWN TO BOTH QB'S WHO WILL PLAY BETTER, TESTEVERDE OR HOLCOMB? THE JETS PLAY ON THE ROAD, BUFFALO, AND THIS WILL BE ONLY TESTEVERDE'S 2ND GAME , AND CAN BE COSTLY WITHOUT THE HOME CROWD BEHIND HIM. WORM STAT, BUFFALO IS 3-1 ATS VS NYJETS PAST 3 SEASONS, BUFFALO 14-5 UNDER THE TOTAL OFF A HOME GAME, NY JETS 6-0 UNDER THE TOTAL AWAY IN OCTOBER
STRAIGHT UP: BUFFALO
AGAINST THE SPREAD: BUFFALO
OVER/UNDER 32.5 TOTAL: TAKE THE UNDER
WORM RECOMMENDS: TAKE BUFFALO ALL THE WAY, LAY THE POINTS, PLAY THE UNDER .
50.5 SAN DIEGO 32
+2 OAKLAND RAIDERS 23
ALTHOUGH THESE TEAMS ARE RIVALS, THE CHARGERS SHOULD WIN BIG HERE. SAN DIEGO IS 2-3, THEY MUST WIN TO BREAK AT .500, BEFORE THEY GO ON A VERY TOUGH ROAD SCHEDULE(LOOK IT UP). THE RAIDERS LACK DISCIPLINE, ARE ON THE BOTTOM OF ALL NFL DEFENSIVE STATS. SAN DIEGO COMES OFF A TOUGH LOSS, TO A TOUGH PITTSBURGH DEFENSE. RB TOMLINSON AND COMPANY WILL RUN THE SCORE UP ON THE RAIDERS. THE RAIDERS RANK 18TH OVERALL PTS PER GAME IN THE NFL, WHICH DOESN'T COMPENSATE FOR THEIR POOR DEFENSE . LOOK FOR THE CHARGERS TO GET TOMLINSON IN OPEN SPACES WITH SWING PASSES, AND SCREENS. THIS WILL OPEN UP THE PASSING GAME, WHERE BREES CAN EXPLOIT THE BAD RAIDER SECONDARY. WORM STAT: SD IS 10-3 ATS AT OAKLAND, OAKLAND IS 3-10 VS DIVISIONAL OPPONENTS, SD IS 4-0 ATS VS OAKLAND LAST THREE SEASONS, SAN DIEGO 3-1 STRAIGHT UP VS OAKLAND LAST 3 SEASONS. HEADCOACH NORV TURNER IS 6-0 OVER THE TOTAL VS LOSING TEAMS.
STRAIGHT UP : SAN DIEGO
AGAINST THE SPREAD: SAN DIEGO
OVER/UNDER 50.5 TOTAL-TAKE THE OVER
WORM RECOMMENDS: THIS IS ONE OF MY BEST PLAYS OF THE WEEK. DONT BE AFRAID, TAKE SAN DIEGO EVERYWAY YOU CAN, THEY ARE ONLY LAYING -2 PTS TO A SLOPPY RAIDER TEAM.
45.5 HOUSTON 19
-9 SEATLLE SEAHAWKS 28
HOUSTON NEEDS A WIN, OR A GREAT EFFORT, OR HEADS WILL ROLL IN THE GREAT STATE OF TEXAS. HOUSTON'S STATS ARE TERRIBLE ON THE OFFENSIVE SIDE OF THE BALL. TEXANS QB CARR HAS NO OFFENSIVE LINE TO PROTECT HIME, AND TAKES SACK AFTER SACK. TEXANS ONLY HOPE IS THE RUNNING GAME TO KEEP THIS CLOSE. IT MAY OPEN THE SHORT PASS ROUTES, AND BUY SOME TIME FOR THEIR QB. SEATTLE'S DEFENSE ISN'T THE BEST, AND PROBABLY ONE OF THE WORST WHEN THEY HAVE SURRENDERED 30 OR MORE POINTS 7 TIMES IN THE PAST 21 GAMES. HOWEVER, THE TEXANS DEFENSE WILL NOT BE ABLE TO STOP SHAUN ALEXANDER.WORM STAT: HOUSTON IS 10-2 ATS OFF BACK TO BACK LOSSES, SEATTLE IS 0-8 ATS OFF A DIVISIONAL GAME, COACH HOLMGREN IS 5-19 ATS IN OCTOBER GAMES, COACH DOM CAPERS IS 9-1 ATS AFTER 2 GAMES WITH A -1 OR WORSE TURNOVER MARGIN.
STRAIGHT UP PICK: SEATTLE
AGAINST THE SPREAD PICK: HOUSTON
OVER/UNDER 45.5 TOTAL: TAKE THE OVER
WORM RECOMMENDS: SEATTLE SHOULD WIN THIS GAME, BUT WILL NOT COVER THE-9 POINT SPREAD. HOUSTON'S COACHES AND TEAM ARE SEEKING SOME RESPECT FROM THE NFL, AND NEED TO GET THEIR DIGNITY BACK. SEATTLE IS KNOWN TO DOG GAMES IN THE 4TH QUARTER WITH THE LEAD, COULD BE DUE FOR LET DOWN AFTER VICTORY IN STL. I REALLY WOULD LIKE TO CALL A HOUSTON UPSET HERE, BUT!!!!!!. TAKE THE 9 POINTS, AND PLAY THE OVER.
51 ST. LOUIS 24
-13.5 INDIANAPOLIS 36
WAKE UP CALL FOR QB MANNING TO AIR OUT THE FOOTBALL. THE COLTS GO UP AGAINST A PAPER WEIGHT DEFENSE. THE RAMS HAVE GIVEN UP 889 YDS AND 81 PTS IN THE PAST TWO GAMES, AND 10 PASSING TOUCHDOWNS!. THE COLTS FINALLY FACE AN OFFENSE. COLTS HAVE PLAYED THE WOEFULL SCORING ATTACKS OF THE RAVENS, JAGS, BROWNS, TITANS, AND SF., WITH CLEVELAND PROBABLY WITH THE BEST OFFENSE THEY FACED ALL SEASON ????. IF THE ST LOUIS RAMS COULD ONLY PLAY DEFENSE, INSTEAD IMMITATE A PASTA STRAINER, I MIGHT OF CALLED THENM IN AN UPSET. BUT NO CHANCE HERE, MANNING WILL OUTGUN BULGER, AND THE DIFFERENCE MAKERS FOR THE COLTS IS THE PASS RUSH OF DWIGHT FREENY, AND ROBERT MATHIS. WORM STAT: STL 8-1 OVER THE TOTAL VS NON CONFERENCE OPPONENTS, COLTS 9-2 ATS OFF A ROAD GAME.
STRAIGHT UP PICK: INDIANAPOLIS
AGAINST THE SPREAD: ST. LOUIS
OVER/UNDER 51 TOTAL: TAKE THE OVER
WORM RECOMMENDS: DONT SEE A RAM UPSET, BUT IT IS MONDAY NITE FOOTBALL, AND USUALLY TEAMS BRING THEIR " A "GAME TO THE NATIONAL AUDIENCE. COLTS ARE LAYING -13.5 POINTS HERE, TOO RICH FOR THE WORM'S BLOOD, ESPECIALLY WHEN THE RAMS HAVE THE ABILITY TO SCORE, AND THE COLT DEFENSE HASN'T BEEN TESTED ALL SEASON.COLTS WILL WIN, BECAUSE THE RAMS CANT STOP ANYBODY.
PLAY THE OVER, THIS WILL BE A HIGH SCORER!.
GOOD LUCK
BROOKLYNWORM
