This is shaping up in my mind to be a classic no-bet type game....but, being the degen that I am, I'll definitely have something on the line. That's just the way it is.
I can not think of a more highly anticipated regular season game in my lifetime. The talking heads haven't started on this one, but they will, and we'll all be tired of it by Friday. But right now, I'm hooked.
Seattle is 16-1 SU in Russell Wilson's 17 regular season home starts. (2-0 playoffs.) Only loss was week 16 last year. 17-10 loss to Arizona. ATS 13-4.
2012 ATS
+3 win by 20 DAL 23
+3 win by 2 GB (fail mary) 5
+4 win by 1 NE 5
-4.5 win by 10 MIN 5.5
-5.5 win by 21 NYJ 15.5
-10.5 win by 58 ARI 47.5
-2.5 win by 29 SF 26.5
-12 win by 7 STL -5
2013 ATS
-3 win by 26 SF 23
-19.5 win by 28 JAX 8.5
-12.5 win by 7 TEN -5.5
-16 win by 3 TB (overtime) -13
-13 win by 21 MIN 8
-6.5 win by 28 NO 21.5
-9 LOSS by 7 ARI -16
-12 win by 18 STL 6
2014 ATS
-5 win by 20 GB 15
Denver is 12-4 SU in Peyton Manning 16 regular season road starts. 6-2 each year.
Denver wants to avenge the Super Bowl blowout....
Seattle wants vindication after San Diego "embarrassment." While I don't agree that Seattle was "embarrassed" this past week, I do think that they will be taking it personally all week. If there is one man in the NFL that you don't want to bet against when his pride has been wounded it would be Richard Sherman.
On the other hand, how much was Seattle "exposed" in SD? Seattle is not generating quite the pressure on the QB like last year, and these smaller shiftier WRs (Cobb, Royal) are finding a little time to get open. BTW, Welker's suspension should be lifted some time today (Tuesday), and he will play on Sunday. Clady didn't play in Super Bowl.
How much does the rule emphasis affect a defense like Seattle? How much will the flags conveniently fly when Seattle DBs brush against Denver receivers. How much will Peyton look to exploit their physicality, knowing that if any secondary is to suffer from these new rules it would be Seattle's. How much does the NFL hate Richard Sherman.
How much better is Denver's Defense? DeMarcus Ware, Aqib Talib, TJ Ward, and Von Miller didn't play in Super Bowl. But are they still susceptible to the run? Is Sylvester Williams ready to prove is first round value in last years draft along side Terrance Knighton?
Both teams have a week 4 bye.
Anybody have a strong feeling on this game?
My leans are Broncos +5 and under 48.5....Stronger on Denver than the under.
Anyone have any idea what direction the line is going to go from here? It opened -4 / 49. Currently -5 / 48.5. I have a feeling the public will be leaning denver slightly, but not enough to get back to 4 pts. closer to kickoff.
I can not think of a more highly anticipated regular season game in my lifetime. The talking heads haven't started on this one, but they will, and we'll all be tired of it by Friday. But right now, I'm hooked.
Seattle is 16-1 SU in Russell Wilson's 17 regular season home starts. (2-0 playoffs.) Only loss was week 16 last year. 17-10 loss to Arizona. ATS 13-4.
2012 ATS
+3 win by 20 DAL 23
+3 win by 2 GB (fail mary) 5
+4 win by 1 NE 5
-4.5 win by 10 MIN 5.5
-5.5 win by 21 NYJ 15.5
-10.5 win by 58 ARI 47.5
-2.5 win by 29 SF 26.5
-12 win by 7 STL -5
2013 ATS
-3 win by 26 SF 23
-19.5 win by 28 JAX 8.5
-12.5 win by 7 TEN -5.5
-16 win by 3 TB (overtime) -13
-13 win by 21 MIN 8
-6.5 win by 28 NO 21.5
-9 LOSS by 7 ARI -16
-12 win by 18 STL 6
2014 ATS
-5 win by 20 GB 15
Denver is 12-4 SU in Peyton Manning 16 regular season road starts. 6-2 each year.
Denver wants to avenge the Super Bowl blowout....
Seattle wants vindication after San Diego "embarrassment." While I don't agree that Seattle was "embarrassed" this past week, I do think that they will be taking it personally all week. If there is one man in the NFL that you don't want to bet against when his pride has been wounded it would be Richard Sherman.
On the other hand, how much was Seattle "exposed" in SD? Seattle is not generating quite the pressure on the QB like last year, and these smaller shiftier WRs (Cobb, Royal) are finding a little time to get open. BTW, Welker's suspension should be lifted some time today (Tuesday), and he will play on Sunday. Clady didn't play in Super Bowl.
How much does the rule emphasis affect a defense like Seattle? How much will the flags conveniently fly when Seattle DBs brush against Denver receivers. How much will Peyton look to exploit their physicality, knowing that if any secondary is to suffer from these new rules it would be Seattle's. How much does the NFL hate Richard Sherman.
How much better is Denver's Defense? DeMarcus Ware, Aqib Talib, TJ Ward, and Von Miller didn't play in Super Bowl. But are they still susceptible to the run? Is Sylvester Williams ready to prove is first round value in last years draft along side Terrance Knighton?
Both teams have a week 4 bye.
Anybody have a strong feeling on this game?
My leans are Broncos +5 and under 48.5....Stronger on Denver than the under.
Anyone have any idea what direction the line is going to go from here? It opened -4 / 49. Currently -5 / 48.5. I have a feeling the public will be leaning denver slightly, but not enough to get back to 4 pts. closer to kickoff.
