Breaking news: Obama pulling out of "red states" (sinking and sinking FAST!)

[JoeContrarian]

Obama pulling out of red states

posted at 9:00 am on August 23, 2008 by Ed Morrissey
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Barack Obama bragged that he would compete for votes in all 50 states against John McCain, and his fundraising numbers certainly gave the impression that he had the resources to do it. Yesterday, though, Obama’s campaign abruptly suspended their advertising in several red states, including Georgia, which Team Obama had specifically spotlighted earlier as a possible takeaway:

Barack Obama’s presidential campaign has put the brakes on ads that were running in seven states carried by the GOP in the 2004 presidential election, FOX News has learned.

Of the seven states — including Alaska, Georgia, Montana, North Carolina, North Dakota — Florida and Virginia are considered key battlegrounds this year. Obama’s decision to stop advertising in those states is raising eyebrows.

Aides to Obama told FOX News that the changes are related to the convention next week. They wouldn’t discuss the specifics of their ad strategy, but the Obama campaign insists that it has not pulled out of those states permanently, calling this a temporary suspension.

When Obama’s campaign took over the Democratic Party earlier this year, it embraced Howard Dean’s 50-state strategy, which is aimed at courting Democrats nationwide. The strategy has generated controversy, though, because many Democrats say it wastes money in states where they have no chance of winning.
​

The timing of the convention sounds like a convenient excuse. If anything, that would be the time to push advertising in marginal states, just to keep John McCain’s team off balance. They need all the exposure they can get to achieve a decent post-convention bounce and to halt the summer-long slide in Obama’s support.

Instead, this looks like a combination of financial and polling reality. Obama had hoped to make serious gains in red states by the time the conventions started, making further investments attractive. However, Obama has lost ground in these states despite spending millions in television spots, just as he has lost ground nationwide.

Obama also has a fundraising problem, which seems counterintuitive for a campaign that had two $50 million months in a row. Unfortunately, they’re burning through their cash a lot faster than McCain, and with a lot less impact. Also, the RNC is outraising the DNC at such a rate that it’s wiped out the Team Obama advantage, and now Obama has to work fundraisers instead of focusing entirely on his campaign. He can’t afford to blow cash now on efforts with no payoff.

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Help me Joe Biden!! I'm drowning! Save me! Save me!

:missingte:missingte:missingte:missingte:missingte:missingte

 

[tocco05]

Obama pulling out of red states

posted at 9:00 am on August 23, 2008 by Ed Morrissey
<SMALL> Send to a Friend | printer-friendly </SMALL>


Barack Obama bragged that he would compete for votes in all 50 states against John McCain, and his fundraising numbers certainly gave the impression that he had the resources to do it. Yesterday, though, Obama’s campaign abruptly suspended their advertising in several red states, including Georgia, which Team Obama had specifically spotlighted earlier as a possible takeaway:

Barack Obama’s presidential campaign has put the brakes on ads that were running in seven states carried by the GOP in the 2004 presidential election, FOX News has learned.​

Of the seven states — including Alaska, Georgia, Montana, North Carolina, North Dakota — Florida and Virginia are considered key battlegrounds this year. Obama’s decision to stop advertising in those states is raising eyebrows.​

Aides to Obama told FOX News that the changes are related to the convention next week. They wouldn’t discuss the specifics of their ad strategy, but the Obama campaign insists that it has not pulled out of those states permanently, calling this a temporary suspension.​

When Obama’s campaign took over the Democratic Party earlier this year, it embraced Howard Dean’s 50-state strategy, which is aimed at courting Democrats nationwide. The strategy has generated controversy, though, because many Democrats say it wastes money in states where they have no chance of winning.​

The timing of the convention sounds like a convenient excuse. If anything, that would be the time to push advertising in marginal states, just to keep John McCain’s team off balance. They need all the exposure they can get to achieve a decent post-convention bounce and to halt the summer-long slide in Obama’s support.

Instead, this looks like a combination of financial and polling reality. Obama had hoped to make serious gains in red states by the time the conventions started, making further investments attractive. However, Obama has lost ground in these states despite spending millions in television spots, just as he has lost ground nationwide.

Obama also has a fundraising problem, which seems counterintuitive for a campaign that had two $50 million months in a row. Unfortunately, they’re burning through their cash a lot faster than McCain, and with a lot less impact. Also, the RNC is outraising the DNC at such a rate that it’s wiped out the Team Obama advantage, and now Obama has to work fundraisers instead of focusing entirely on his campaign. He can’t afford to blow cash now on efforts with no payoff.

arty:

 

[PatPatriot]

Yup.Its looks like the children have had their fill of cotton candy, soda and tangerine skies of Obama world.
Time to come home to the adults.

 

[D2bets]

What blue states is McCain competing in?

It's no secret that it will come down to the usual suspect of swing states -- Ohio, Wisconsin, Iowa, New Mexico, Nevada, Penn, Colorado, Missouri.

 

[tocco05]

What blue states is McCain competing in?

It's no secret that it will come down to the usual suspect of swing states -- Ohio, Wisconsin, Iowa, New Mexico, Nevada, Penn, Colorado, Missouri.

But the messiah said he was competing in all 50.

From Rasmussen
The biggest changes came in Ohio, North Carolina, Wisconsin, Colorado and Oregon.
Ohio—with 20 Electoral College votes--moved from Toss-up to Leans Republican following the second straight Rasmussen Reports telephone survey that showed McCain with a modest lead over Obama.
North Carolina—with 15 Electoral College votes—moved from Leans Republican to Likely Republican. This change was based on the latest Rasmussen Reports polling and changes in the RasmussenMarkets.comdata.
Wisconsin—with 10 Electoral College votes—moved from Likely Democratic to Leans Democratic. That move was prompted by the latest Rasmussen Reports polling which shows McCain closing to within four percentage points of Obama.
Colorado—with 9 Electoral College votes--moved from Leans Democratic to Toss-Up, based primarily upon the latest Rasmussen Reports poll in which McCain holds a statistically insignificant two-point lead over Obama.
Oregon—with 7 Electoral College votes—moved from Likely Democratic to Leans Democratic. While the latest Rasmussen Reports polling shows Obama with a 10-point lead, the average of other polls and a national trends adjustment places the state in the leaner category.
South Dakota—with 3 Electoral College votes--shifted from Leans Republican to Likely Republican based upon Rasmussen Markets data and a national trends adjustment.
Other states had more minor changes: Connecticut from Safely Democratic to Likely Democratic, Louisiana from Likely Republican to Safely Republican, Maine from Safely Democratic to Likely Democratic, and Tennesseefrom Likely Republican to Safely Republican.
This Balance of Power Calculator aggregates data from a variety of sources to provide a comprehensive assessment of the state-by-state race for the White House. Data inputs include the latest Rasmussen Reports poll in a state, an average of the latest polling from other firms (the “538 Average”), Rasmussen Markets data, Intrade market data, the aggregated rankings of selected analysts, the state’s voting history and national trends.
As a practical matter, all of the state-by-state changes are driven by the changes seen nationally in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll. In early and mid-June, Obama consistently enjoyed a lead in the five-percentage point range. That has disappeared, with the two contenders now generally within a point or two of each other. The state polls are not conducted as frequently but typically follow the national trend.
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/pub...ection/election_2008_electoral_college_update

 

[JoeContrarian]

The Obama campaign calling this a "temporary suspension" is the typical transparent spin all campaigns say when they realize they are being outplayed on every level and are being forced to contract to minimize the damage. Rudy's campaign said the same during the primaries.

Enjoy the euphoria while it lasts, libs. Denver will be Obama's final opportunity to speak with his beloved teleprompter. After that he's on his own.

The final nail in the coffin will be during the RNC when Obama will race off to Switzerland to do a fundraiser with his pal George Clooney and other anti-American Hollywood limo liberals.

Heartland America will not forgive him for that, I can assure you.

Remember, the biggest highs are almost always followed by the painful lows...

 

[gtc08]

d2 it comes down to michigan. if obama wins michigan its over for mccain.

obama 259 with michigan which is safe.

ohio who knows, the average is a tossup. virginia id go with mccain even though polls show hes not even a point ahead, new mexico is solid obama, indiana/missouri/north carolina mccain. florida id probably say mccain. colorado/nevada tossup.

its simple. carry the kerry states in 04 which there's a high probability he will and win ohio or virginia. or win new mexico and colorado. i already have new mexico going to obama and i believe colorado will go obama so that would get over 270.

 

[D2bets]

d2 it comes down to michigan. if obama wins michigan its over for mccain.

obama 259 with michigan which is safe.

ohio who knows, the average is a tossup. virginia id go with mccain even though polls show hes not even a point ahead, new mexico is solid obama, indiana/missouri/north carolina mccain. florida id probably say mccain. colorado/nevada tossup.

its simple. carry the kerry states in 04 which there's a high probability he will and win ohio or virginia. or win new mexico and colorado. i already have new mexico going to obama and i believe colorado will go obama so that would get over 270.

If McCain thinks this too then he has to take Romney even if it's tough at this point with house-gate and the Biden pick.

 

[JoeContrarian]

What blue states is McCain competing in?

Start with MI, PA, NM, NH, WI and spread our wings from there.

 

[PatPatriot]

I said McCain by 40 states 3 mos ago.this will happen if McCain runs just an adequate campaign.
Mike Dukakis was up by 14-17 points at the same time 20 years ago and got buried.
John Kerry was up huge and still lost to Alfred E. Newman at this time of the campaign 4 years ago.

 

[D2bets]

Start with MI, PA, NM, NH, WI and spread our wings from there.

Those are not blue states, those are swing states. McCain probably gets NH from that group, but that's all.

 

[gtc08]

Start with MI, PA, NM, NH, WI and spread our wings from there.

no chance in any of those states. dems have made ohio and virginia tossups, along with colorado and nevada.

 

[JoeContrarian]

Those are not blue states, those are swing states. McCain probably gets NH from that group, but that's all.

No, those are Kerry states, D2. That is what you're asking, isn't it?

If the Obama camp thinks it can easily hold onto those states and simply pick off a few choice Bush states putting them over the magic 270, they are in for a rude awakening.

 

[gtc08]

why, because big bad joe c said so?

 

[Mistermj]

d2 it comes down to michigan. if obama wins michigan its over for mccain.

obama 259 with michigan which is safe.

ohio who knows, the average is a tossup. virginia id go with mccain even though polls show hes not even a point ahead, new mexico is solid obama, indiana/missouri/north carolina mccain. florida id probably say mccain. colorado/nevada tossup.

its simple. carry the kerry states in 04 which there's a high probability he will and win ohio or virginia. or win new mexico and colorado. i already have new mexico going to obama and i believe colorado will go obama so that would get over 270.

Romney would carry Michigan for McCain...write it down.

The old mans name has a LOT of pull there yet. ope:

 

[Samhain]

Bye Bye Obama...YOUR DONE !!!!

 

[Legend-I-Aint]

why, because big bad joe c said so?

take off your blinders man and look at the trends. mccain is going to take some of those kerry states. it's not looking good for barry.:toast:

 

[D2bets]

Barry up to 62 at Intrade. Markets like the Biden pick.

 

[C-Gold]

I thought Obama was going to pick John Edwards... he seems like an honest guy

 

[roadreeler57]

Obama pulling out of red states

posted at 9:00 am on August 23, 2008 by Ed Morrissey
<SMALL> Send to a Friend | printer-friendly </SMALL>


Barack Obama bragged that he would compete for votes in all 50 states against John McCain, and his fundraising numbers certainly gave the impression that he had the resources to do it. Yesterday, though, Obama’s campaign abruptly suspended their advertising in several red states, including Georgia, which Team Obama had specifically spotlighted earlier as a possible takeaway:

Barack Obama’s presidential campaign has put the brakes on ads that were running in seven states carried by the GOP in the 2004 presidential election, FOX News has learned.​

Of the seven states — including Alaska, Georgia, Montana, North Carolina, North Dakota — Florida and Virginia are considered key battlegrounds this year. Obama’s decision to stop advertising in those states is raising eyebrows.​

Aides to Obama told FOX News that the changes are related to the convention next week. They wouldn’t discuss the specifics of their ad strategy, but the Obama campaign insists that it has not pulled out of those states permanently, calling this a temporary suspension.​

When Obama’s campaign took over the Democratic Party earlier this year, it embraced Howard Dean’s 50-state strategy, which is aimed at courting Democrats nationwide. The strategy has generated controversy, though, because many Democrats say it wastes money in states where they have no chance of winning.​

The timing of the convention sounds like a convenient excuse. If anything, that would be the time to push advertising in marginal states, just to keep John McCain’s team off balance. They need all the exposure they can get to achieve a decent post-convention bounce and to halt the summer-long slide in Obama’s support.

Instead, this looks like a combination of financial and polling reality. Obama had hoped to make serious gains in red states by the time the conventions started, making further investments attractive. However, Obama has lost ground in these states despite spending millions in television spots, just as he has lost ground nationwide.

Obama also has a fundraising problem, which seems counterintuitive for a campaign that had two $50 million months in a row. Unfortunately, they’re burning through their cash a lot faster than McCain, and with a lot less impact. Also, the RNC is outraising the DNC at such a rate that it’s wiped out the Team Obama advantage, and now Obama has to work fundraisers instead of focusing entirely on his campaign. He can’t afford to blow cash now on efforts with no payoff.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Help me Joe Biden!! I'm drowning! Save me! Save me!

:missingte:missingte:missingte:missingte:missingte:missingte

Are the other 7 States Red or Blue?... Obama claims theres 57 States.