Please dude. You just HAVE TO Raise your game. It doesn't make sense at all. Pollsters poll, and they have past performance ratings. This particular poll is A- by the top, unbiased, data based poll rater in the Business. Don't fall into the Conspiracy Theory rat hole like the Drumpf Idiots, and he himself does. http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal | 25 | 4.2 | 74% | -0.6 | -0.5 | A- | D+0.5 |
And that's also why we look at the compilation of polls: To ensure that outliers are not given excessive weight, in the event any, like Rasmussen has proven, are innaccurate and biased. Polling Data
| Poll | Date | Sample | MoE | Clinton (D) | Trump (R) | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCP Average | 10/6 - 10/17 | -- | -- | 48.9 | 42.0 | Clinton +6.9 |
| FOX News | 10/15 - 10/17 | 912 LV | 3.0 | 49 | 42 | Clinton +7 |
| LA Times/USC Tracking | 10/11 - 10/17 | 2983 LV | 4.5 | 43 | 45 | Trump +2 |
| CBS News | 10/12 - 10/16 | 1189 LV | 3.0 | 51 | 40 | Clinton +11 |
| Monmouth | 10/14 - 10/16 | 726 LV | 3.6 | 53 | 41 | Clinton +12 |
| NBC News/SM | 10/10 - 10/16 | 24804 LV | 1.0 | 51 | 43 | Clinton +8 |
| ABC News/Wash Post | 10/10 - 10/13 | 740 LV | 4.0 | 50 | 46 | Clinton +4 |
| NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl | 10/10 - 10/13 | 905 LV | 3.3 | 51 | 41 | Clinton +10 |
| Economist/YouGov | 10/7 - 10/8 | 971 RV | 4.2 | 48 | 43 | Clinton +5 |
| Reuters/Ipsos | 10/6 - 10/10 | 2363 LV | 2.2 | 44 | 37 | Clinton +7 |
here is the proof the election is rigged.
DEMOCRATIC TRICKS': WHAT STRATEGISTS DISCUSSED ON THE TAPES
DEMOCRATIC TRICKS': WHAT STRATEGISTS DISCUSSED ON THE TAPES
- In one video, a contractor seems to brag about sending homeless and mentally-ill people to harass Republicans.
- Another staffer, identified as someone involved with the Democratic National Committee, appears to take credit for a violent protest in Chicago on March 11, that forced the Secret Service to cancel a Trump rally.
- In another, consultants look like they are describing a plan to bus voters across state lines and registering immigrants in the country illegally to vote.
- In the video, Creamer and other strategists appear to discuss ways of disrupting the Republican campaign.
- Strategists say they advised the protesters to get into situations where they would be captured on camera, producing footage that could be used at later stages of the campaign.
OCT 11, 2016 AT 6:26 PM
Election Update: Women Are Defeating Donald Trump
By Nate Silver
Filed under 2016 Election
BETHANY HECK / GETTY IMAGES
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A series of national polls released on Tuesday showed Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump by margins ranging from 5 to 11 percentage points — except for the USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times tracking poll, which defiantly continues to show Trump up by 2 points. There isn’t yet enough data from after Sunday night’s debate to really gauge its impact, however. For that matter, the polls may not yet have fully caught up to the effects of the release on Friday of a 2005 videotape, which showed Trump making vulgar comments about women and condoning unwanted sexual conduct toward women. For the time being, Clinton’s lead is holding at about 6 percentage points in our polls-only model, which gives her an 84 percent chance of winning the White House. Clinton’s chances are 80 percent in ourpolls-plus forecast.
But while we’re in something of a wait-and-see mode, one demographic split caught my eye. That was from a Public Religion Research Institute pollconducted on behalf of The Atlantic. It showed a massive gender split, with Clinton trailing Trump by 11 percentage points among men but leading him by 33 points among women. To put those numbers in perspective, that’s saying Trump would defeat Clinton among men by a margin similar to Dwight D. Eisenhower’s landslide victory over Adlai Stevenson in 1952, while Clinton would defeat Trump among women by a margin similar to … actually, there’s no good comparison, since no candidate has won a presidential election by more than 26 percentage points since the popular vote became a widespread means of voting in 1824. To get to 33 points, you’d have to take the Eisenhower-Stevenson margin and add Lyndon B. Johnson’s 23-point win over Barry Goldwater in 1964 on top of it.
The PRRI poll is an outlier for showing quite so large a gender gap, however. In the table below, I’ve compiled the gender split from all national polls I could find so far in October.[SUP]1[/SUP]
| POLL | WOMEN | MEN |
|---|---|---|
| CBS News | Clinton +18 | Trump +11 |
| CNN | Clinton +14 | Trump +4 |
| Fairleigh Dickinson | Clinton +24 | Trump +7 |
| Fox News | Clinton +10 | Trump +7 |
| Google Consumer Surveys | Clinton +13 | Trump +3 |
| Ipsos/Reuters | Clinton +9 | Clinton +5 |
| Morning Consult | Clinton +6 | Clinton +4 |
| PRRI/The Atlantic | Clinton +33 | Trump +11 |
| Quinnipiac University | Clinton +20 | Trump +12 |
| Rasmussen Reports | Clinton +11 | Clinton +2 |
| USC Dornsife/LA Times | Clinton +9 | Trump +14 |
| YouGov | Clinton +15 | Trump +2 |
| Average | Clinton +15 | Trump +5 |
Here’s a quick way to estimate it. In the polls I cited above, Clinton is doing 10 points better among women than among the electorate overall.[SUP]2[/SUP] So we’ll add 10 points to her current polls-only margin in every state to forecast her performance if women were the only ones who could vote. In addition to the states where Clinton is already leading Trump, that would put her ahead in Alaska, Arizona, Georgia, Kansas, Indiana, Missouri, Montana, South Carolina, South Dakota, Texas and the 2nd congressional districts in Maine and Nebraska. Clinton would win 458 electoral votes to just 80 for Trump:
But it seems fair to say that, if Trump loses the election, it will be because women voted against him. I took a look at how men and women split their votes four years ago, according to polls conducted in November 2012. On average, Mitt Romney led President Obama by 7 percentage points among men, about the same as Trump’s 5-point lead among men now. But Romney held his own among women, losing them by 8 points, whereas they’re going against Trump by 15 points.
| POLL | WOMEN | MEN |
|---|---|---|
| ABC News/Washington Post | Obama +9 | Romney +9 |
| American Research Group | Obama +11 | Romney +12 |
| CNN | Obama +8 | Romney +9 |
| Gravis Marketing | Obama +2 | Romney +2 |
| GWU/Battleground | Obama +15 | Romney +16 |
| Monmouth University | Obama +5 | Romney +7 |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal | Obama +8 | Romney +7 |
| Pew Research | Obama +11 | Romney +10 |
| Public Policy Polling | Obama +5 | Obama +2 |
| Purple Strategies | Obama +5 | Romney +3 |
| YouGov | Obama +12 | Romney +9 |
| Average | Obama +8 | Romney +7 |
Sarah the nurse, Ohio USA, United States, 6 days ago
Interesting. I plan to vote for Trump. 90% of my female friends are voting for Trump. Hopefully this poll is another one that is incorrect, because the women I know hate Hillary with a passion
.Scarlet Ohhh, tomorrow is another day, United States, 6 days agoMy long time D mother is voting Trump. So is my Sanders supporting daughter.
Her Bearness, Trump City, United States, 6 days ago
I'm a woman voting Trump. I don't vote according to body parts. Wish more women also wouldn't.
.The Boxer Lady, Des Moines, United States, 6 days agoHillary would win on the women's vote simply because she's a woman. This is not a reason to vote for her. Her policies will lead us into WW3.
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Interesting. I plan to vote for Trump. 90% of my female friends are voting for Trump. Hopefully this poll is another one that is incorrect, because the women I know hate Hillary with a passion
.Scarlet Ohhh, tomorrow is another day, United States, 6 days agoMy long time D mother is voting Trump. So is my Sanders supporting daughter.
Her Bearness, Trump City, United States, 6 days ago
I'm a woman voting Trump. I don't vote according to body parts. Wish more women also wouldn't.
.The Boxer Lady, Des Moines, United States, 6 days agoHillary would win on the women's vote simply because she's a woman. This is not a reason to vote for her. Her policies will lead us into WW3.
.
my wife is all in for Trump, she's killing me with non stop political talk. On vacation, when watching TV she's watching cable news and getting mad. I'm like, "stop", you're never going to see any honesty or balance on those channels, stop getting angry and dragging me into it.
at least when I'm home I can put some distance between us
My daughter is voting Trump, she laughs at the fucking idiots who think Republicans are going to take away her rights or you have to vote for Hillary because she's a women. Of course successful self confident people don't swallow the libtarded idiocy like the democratic difference makers do.
married women vote Republican (I know, they don't talk about this much) and will support Trump
the single women vote is consistent with the dysfunctional family and lower income vote, although I can't imagine why
the more stable your life, the more likely you are to be a republican, it's just another unspoken truth
I like your wife, you're about my kids' ages if I recall correctly
Since you live in the Beltway, can I ask you if you have a government job?
