Bradisgod's Sunday Plays 10.15.15

[bradyisgod]

ATL -2.5 (+2 units)
NE -7 (+2 units)
CIN -3 (+1 unit)

Betting solid teams this week. Took the hook on the ATL game because it changed my payout by a small amount compared to how close this game can be. It's an experiment I'm doing with close teams and so far it's working out for me. Small sample size but it makes a lot of sense. It has been the difference between me pushing like everyone else and cashing 3 times this year. There's a medium sized chance that the Falcons are overrated. They have barely won some close games this year. With that said, I think NO is getting a little too much credit at home with the way they are playing and people are looking for reasons to bet them. Any time I can take a team with a solid run game and passing game I will do it. This is the case with ATL. I'll update my thread with any other plays. BOL.

Typo on title: No idea who Brad is. Hopefully he's a good capper (need more coffee).

 

[bradyisgod]

Also want to talk about how much I like the Patriots at -7 here, regardless if Andrew Luck plays or not. This is not because the Patriots are my second favorite team, it's because I've watched Brady play for a long time and this is the best he's ever looked. To be honest, it's the best the team has looked in a really long time on every front. It's the absolute wrong time to look for underdog in this game, especially with Luck injured. If he plays he won't be at 100%. I expect this game to end in a double digit score (80%) and a small chance that the Colts make it close if Luck is in and has a break out game. I'm shocked this line isn't at 11 or more which is what I've got it at.

I hate betting games with a spread of a touchdown or more but this one's a no brainer after watching both teams extensively. BOL!

 

[TheComputerGroup]

Brad is Brady's twin brother, a figment of the imagination, lol!

Good luck with all your plays man!

 

[TomandJerry]

good luck Brady.

 

[indiana]

B/god..........nice looking card..........BOL with your action this week.........indy

 

[TheComputerGroup]

The Colts/Pats game scares me for some reason with the spread......there's no doubt in my.mind that the Patriots win SU.

I love the Pats in teasers.....but with everyone betting the Pats, I don't know about the spread.....the only thing I can say is the favs are covering easily this year when they're supposed to, & the Pats should cover.

 

[bradyisgod]

Thanks fellas. Best of luck with your plays!

 

[TheComputerGroup]

Patriots went from -7 to -10 in one day......

 

[bradyisgod]

Patriots went from -7 to -10 in one day......

There you go. That line didn't make sense...jumped on it fast. I have the spread around 11 factoring in home field. There was a lot of value getting it at a touchdown.

 

[United]

good luck Brady, like a couple of them

 

[WineO]

There you go. That line didn't make sense...jumped on it fast. I have the spread around 11 factoring in home field. There was a lot of value getting it at a touchdown.

This game is in Indy...

 

[bradyisgod]

This game is in Indy...

Right. In the spread I calculated I factored in that Indy has home field.

 

[WineO]

thanks for the clarification. I also like NE Sunday night

 

[NegroGrande]

Also want to talk about how much I like the Patriots at -7 here, regardless if Andrew Luck plays or not. This is not because the Patriots are my second favorite team, it's because I've watched Brady play for a long time and this is the best he's ever looked. To be honest, it's the best the team has looked in a really long time on every front. It's the absolute wrong time to look for underdog in this game, especially with Luck injured. If he plays he won't be at 100%. I expect this game to end in a double digit score (80%) and a small chance that the Colts make it close if Luck is in and has a break out game. I'm shocked this line isn't at 11 or more which is what I've got it at.

I hate betting games with a spread of a touchdown or more but this one's a no brainer after watching both teams extensively. BOL!

This year's New England team gets the 07 Pats treatment from me until they show me otherwise. The 07 Pats covered, I believe, 8 in a row before finally losing ATS at the Colts ironically enough. No other coach/qb tandem in the league want to shove it down everyone's throats that they're the best like Belichick/Brady. I will ride this train into the ground regardless of opponent or spread.

 

[United]

Patriots went from -7 to -10 in one day......

I playrd pats -7 (2). And now I played Indy +10 (1)

 

[bradyisgod]

Added the Jags PK against Houston. Not playing many teams today. BOL guys!

 

[NegroGrande]

Good luck, Brad.