Boxslayer's NBA Sat/day Play

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UF. Champion U.
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Nov 2, 2004
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14-4, +30.55, 78%

@)

3* Cleveland Cavs +2 -110

Cleveland is the type of team that thrives on confidence, thrives on playing well, and is the type of team you stick with when they start to heat up. Cavaliers are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS win. Cavaliers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. And Cavaliers are 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a S.U. win.

Most teams you see the opposite. Usually teams have a hard time staying consistent, and playing well after a good game. Not the Cavs.

With that in mind, I also think this series is beginning to remind me of Heat vs. Mavs a few years ago in the Finals. Mavs were just too good for Miami, they beat them regular season, they crushed them post season, and everything looked like Mavs in 4 games. Until Miami went home after being down 0-2 and found out that Dwyane Wade needed to take over.

Cavs went home and found out that Lebron needs to take over. Sure, let the other guys touch the ball and do their thing. But when it's crunch time, everyone get the hell out of the way, and give it to Lebron at the top of the key.

It's hard to see the Cavs getting away from that strategy down the stretch, or they may do other plays off of that look while the Magic scramble to defend against it. Either way, I like the Cavs to play pressure-free and have Lebron attack tonight and get everyone else out of the way.

Again, this Magic team lives and dies by the 3, and those 3's drop a lot easier when there isn't a lot on the line. Tonight, the Magic have the worst kind of pressure on them - not just the pressure to win, but the pressure of not choking and sending this thing back to Cleveland for a game 7.

I love that Cleveland's aura has faded off, and they are looked at as a beatable team. I love them in the underdog role, where before they were favored on the road and getting too much respect and the Magic had something to prove. But now everyone feels the Magic is the best team in the playoffs, and the Magic are planning on how to rest up for the Finals. They have slightly looked passed this Cleveland team with the 3-1 lead, and I think Cleveland is hungry. They play well with their backs up against the wall, and that Mo Williams "guarantee" is still out there. Cavs have something to prove. Don't count them out just yet. Look for great defense tonight and contested 3-pointers.

Cleveland 93
Orlando 90
 

New member
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May 15, 2005
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ya if Cleveland wins tonight they will again for game 7. that's just the way the ball bounces
 

Member
Handicapper
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Oct 31, 2004
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I have been here since 2002, longer then 99% of the poster at this forum.
I have never fallen for 1 year wonders. 1 good year here or there does not impress me so it takes years for me to form an opinion on a posters capping ability.

I can say without question that boxslayer is the best capper in this entire forum. You passed the 8 year test.

If you say cleveland, I say cleveland.

Good luck
 

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Oct 31, 2004
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do you suggest a ML play?
 

Bookie's nightmare
Joined
Feb 5, 2007
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I'm loving Cleveland play tonight
however just to be on the safer side of the night i'm doing a teaser

Cleve + over , buy'em points, get that win guys!

GL and thanks box!
 

A Separate Reality
Joined
Jan 14, 2002
Messages
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I'm loving Cleveland play tonight
however just to be on the safer side of the night i'm doing a teaser

Cleve + over , buy'em points, get that win guys!

GL and thanks box!

Teasers are more dangerous than straight up plays. Safer play is to go with just 1 bet. Having to win twice to collect once is dangerous.
 

Member
Joined
Mar 31, 2008
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All sportsbetting is dangerous; with that said, gamblers are willing to take calculated risks (it's called handicapping),

Good luck Box.
 
Joined
Aug 12, 2006
Messages
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Hey box, I don't post much, but read and surf almost daily on the forum, I just wanted to say I look for your posts and use your comments to make my own plays, and I can say, I tailed most of your playoff plays so far. Great work, you can't win every game. Keep it up box. Thanks.
 

UF. Champion U.
Joined
Nov 2, 2004
Messages
12,281
Tokens
I have been here since 2002, longer then 99% of the poster at this forum.
I have never fallen for 1 year wonders. 1 good year here or there does not impress me so it takes years for me to form an opinion on a posters capping ability.

I can say without question that boxslayer is the best capper in this entire forum. You passed the 8 year test.

If you say cleveland, I say cleveland.

Good luck


never saw this. thanks for the kind words chopper

(<)<
 

"Sit on mah lap!"
Joined
Jun 19, 2006
Messages
3,422
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Sup Box, you lookin' at any games for today? Seems like you've been quiet over the week in the hoops/bases capping forums.
 

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