Back from vacation and a week off.
2* Atlanta Falcons +11 -110
Been betting on the Falcons all year, and will do so again here.
I am keeping this play small, as the Falcons have injuries all over the place. But the fact remains that this is a good football team, getting a ton of points as a result of some blowouts across the NFL.
You see, this league has lost a lot of it's parity. It has become a league of haves and have nots. And the haves, have been blowing out the have nots, resuting in double digit spreads very early in this season. And sooner or later, you are going to get a good football team getting too many points and I think this is the first time we see that. The points are enough for me to ignore the Falcons injuries and take the 11 points.
The Saints showed last week that they can struggle against a physical team. Miami is a physical team. But even more physical than MIami - is Atlanta - who manhandled the Phins in week 1.
Falcons are not the same team on the road that they are at home, but I think Monday Night Football and the fact that they are playing in a dome will alleviate some of those issues.
Atlanta is off a big loss last week to the Cowboys, so if they can't keep it close against the Boys, how will they against the Saints? This is typical public thinking, and the double digit spread has subconsciously gotten people thinking that MAYBE these Saints are THIS good after all?
The Saints are off the big win last week against Miami, and they landed themselves on the cover of Sports Illustrated. The Saints are talking about an undefeated season and they are feeling invincible.
The point remains, that ALL of the Saints wins have come out of their division. This is their first division game this year. A division game on MNF laying 11 points vs. a winning team with a good QB? When was the last time this happened?
This is a must win for the Falcons. These lose this game and they fall 3 games back in the division and it may be tough to catch the Saints. But a big win here makes them 5-2, and gives them confidence moving forward.
Falcons are 8-1 ATS after losing their previous game. This team bounces back very well. Last time they lost big was to New England, they came back next week went out to San Fran and destroyed the Niners.
The Saints DEFENSE has begun to show serious cracks, and the injuries to DT DEsdrick Ellis and LB Scott Fujita don't help. This should create some running room for Michael Turner, who is due for a coming out party.
Expect a big game for Tony Gonzalez vs. a depleted Saints LB core.
And because this is a division game where the Falcons know the Saints well and have played them well, I expect the Saints offense to be slowed some on this game. Atlanta beat the Saints last year and lost by just 4 points. They can hang with New Orleans.
New Orleans 31
Atlanta 27
2* Atlanta Falcons +11 -110
Been betting on the Falcons all year, and will do so again here.
I am keeping this play small, as the Falcons have injuries all over the place. But the fact remains that this is a good football team, getting a ton of points as a result of some blowouts across the NFL.
You see, this league has lost a lot of it's parity. It has become a league of haves and have nots. And the haves, have been blowing out the have nots, resuting in double digit spreads very early in this season. And sooner or later, you are going to get a good football team getting too many points and I think this is the first time we see that. The points are enough for me to ignore the Falcons injuries and take the 11 points.
The Saints showed last week that they can struggle against a physical team. Miami is a physical team. But even more physical than MIami - is Atlanta - who manhandled the Phins in week 1.
Falcons are not the same team on the road that they are at home, but I think Monday Night Football and the fact that they are playing in a dome will alleviate some of those issues.
Atlanta is off a big loss last week to the Cowboys, so if they can't keep it close against the Boys, how will they against the Saints? This is typical public thinking, and the double digit spread has subconsciously gotten people thinking that MAYBE these Saints are THIS good after all?
The Saints are off the big win last week against Miami, and they landed themselves on the cover of Sports Illustrated. The Saints are talking about an undefeated season and they are feeling invincible.
The point remains, that ALL of the Saints wins have come out of their division. This is their first division game this year. A division game on MNF laying 11 points vs. a winning team with a good QB? When was the last time this happened?
This is a must win for the Falcons. These lose this game and they fall 3 games back in the division and it may be tough to catch the Saints. But a big win here makes them 5-2, and gives them confidence moving forward.
Falcons are 8-1 ATS after losing their previous game. This team bounces back very well. Last time they lost big was to New England, they came back next week went out to San Fran and destroyed the Niners.
The Saints DEFENSE has begun to show serious cracks, and the injuries to DT DEsdrick Ellis and LB Scott Fujita don't help. This should create some running room for Michael Turner, who is due for a coming out party.
Expect a big game for Tony Gonzalez vs. a depleted Saints LB core.
And because this is a division game where the Falcons know the Saints well and have played them well, I expect the Saints offense to be slowed some on this game. Atlanta beat the Saints last year and lost by just 4 points. They can hang with New Orleans.
New Orleans 31
Atlanta 27
