Everyone expects them to win Game 2 so I think you wait. If they win you're probably still only looking at -250 to -275. If they lose you've saved yourself a big chalk loss.
-250 you need to win 71.4% vs. 66.7% for for -200. Not that much of a difference. But if they lose you've saved the entire bet as Boston would become a large underdog.
If you're sure they win Game 2, and I'm not really sure why you would be, then just bet them on the ML and roll that into a series bet after Game 2.
-250 you need to win 71.4% vs. 66.7% for for -200. Not that much of a difference. But if they lose you've saved the entire bet as Boston would become a large underdog.
If you're sure they win Game 2, and I'm not really sure why you would be, then just bet them on the ML and roll that into a series bet after Game 2.
I like your idea D2. I really like Boston to win tonight, Rose won't have another career night like last time, Allen won't shoot the horrid 1-12 he did, Boston will step up on D, and on top of that theyre at home.. They way I look at it, Chicago had a good game and Boston not so good and it still took overtime for the Bulls to win
If Celts win tonight, the odds will go back to -350/-400. I don't see how a split of the first two games would change the situation so drastically. Remember the pre-series line was -500, so unless Celts reallllly squeak by tonight, then you're not getting better odds than -350 after that.
I'm all over the -200. GL guys
I'm all over the -200. GL guys
Depending on where and when you looked, the pre-series line was Boston -450 to -500. Bulls have already done what they would have set out to and have taken home court. So the line is not going to approach the pre-series line. That makes no sense. At 1-1, you are looking at 3 of the next 4 games in Chicago where you can expect either a pk or a small Bulls fave. Over -300 doesn't gel. Assuming no injuries, if Boston wins this game, I would guess something like Boston -270/Chicago +250, or for the rip-off books....Boston -300/Chicago +220. In any case the median no juice line somewhere between -250 and -275. And if we're basing against -200, that really is not that big of a jump.
Gordon did get hot and it was the main reason Bulls got to OT in the first place. And as for Salmons, I'll take my chances that Ray Allen turns it around before Salmons does. Plus, Rose as good as he is, won't play that well again all series most likely (since he never has before either) and Tyrus Thomas began the game being ridiculed for his jumper and shot out of his mind. So I think its safe to say the Bulls played over their heads a little and Ray Allen killed the Celts, yet they still lost in OT. I dont look for a repeat Bulls win tonight or any other game in the Garden at least.
The Bulls have already taken the home-court advantage before tonights game yet the line is still -200 so I don't see your logic. Clearly it will be AT LEAST -300 unless the Celts have one of the luckiest wins ever tonight. Jump on it tonight if you're interested at all, waiting is foolish. If you dont like the Celts to win, then dont do it at all obviously.
Also, you will NOT be getting Bulls at a PK or small favorite in Chicago if Celts win tonight. Celts -2.5/-3
Besides, why are you trying to get -300 odds when you can get -200?? If you think the Celts have a chance anyway, you know they must win tonights game...I dont get the logic.
GL to you though.
Gordon was 6-17 overall, not really very good. I've seen Gordon get hot, and that wasn't it. Bulls were 3-17 behind the arc. What if they actually get hot from 3 land as they have a tendency to do at times? Brad Miller missed shots he usually makes. Hinrich is capable of more. Granted I would't expect better games from Rose, Thomas or Noah, but I can see better from Gordon, Salmons, Miller and Hinrich. I think both teams can shoot the ball better so I'd expect to likely see more points.
Not having Garnett not only hurts Boston for obvious reasons, but it also screws up their rotation. Boston hurts when they need to go their bench and their asking guys to play more minutes than they are accustomed to and they get hurt on the bench while Chicago can go to veterans like Hinrich and Miller.
OK, I really dont want to argue but I think you're buying into what you want to see a little too much. You're ignoring every single thing that could get worse from the Bulls in Game 1, like Celtics missing threes they usually make and some Bulls players having career games, and just assuming that the things that went wrong for the Celtics will continue.
You say you "can see better" from guys like Gordon, Hinrich, etc but you're not admitting the obvious that Ray Allen and Paul Pierce will certainly do better, which is much scarier for the Bulls. Besides, Gordon was en fuego in the 4th, carrying the Bulls through the stretch when it started to get away from them. I'm betting Ray Allen and Paul Pierce will outplay Gordon and Salmons in every other game this series, as opposed to the draw they had on Saturday. Tyrus Thomas, Noah and Rose played above themselves which I don't think you can say about anybody on the Celtics roster and many (like Eddie House) missed shots they generally make. Whether you want to admit it or not, after the Celtics roll in the first half on their way to a 104-88 win tonight, they'll be favored by 2 points in Chicago, and rightfully so.
I'm not gonna argue about it anymore because its pointless and everyone has their opinions...but I recommend just putting your -200 down on Celts now and enjoy the early victory tonight!
GL to you man
You say you "can see better" from guys like Gordon, Hinrich, etc but you're not admitting the obvious that Ray Allen and Paul Pierce will certainly do better, which is much scarier for the Bulls. Besides, Gordon was en fuego in the 4th, carrying the Bulls through the stretch when it started to get away from them. I'm betting Ray Allen and Paul Pierce will outplay Gordon and Salmons in every other game this series, as opposed to the draw they had on Saturday. Tyrus Thomas, Noah and Rose played above themselves which I don't think you can say about anybody on the Celtics roster and many (like Eddie House) missed shots they generally make. Whether you want to admit it or not, after the Celtics roll in the first half on their way to a 104-88 win tonight, they'll be favored by 2 points in Chicago, and rightfully so.
I'm not gonna argue about it anymore because its pointless and everyone has their opinions...but I recommend just putting your -200 down on Celts now and enjoy the early victory tonight!
GL to you man
I think it's Boston bettors who are betting on the reputation and expectations as opposed to what is painfully clear about the now Garnett-less Celtics. And that is that they are getting old, slow, not very deep and have come to realize that they fell back on KG on the defensive side more than they realized. They also rely on jump shots and if they are not falling it's uh-oh time. I am certainly not saying Boston cannot win and I am not saying that they cannot cover either, but I'm saying that if each team brings let's say their current B game, then it is going to be a close ballgame. The line at 8.5 is simply too high because people want to believe that the champs cannot fall down 2-0 at home.
I think the Bulls cover tonight and maybe win it outright. People forget how good James Posey was in the playoffs last year. He didn't score a ton, but was tough as nails, hit clutch shots, and defended his ass off. Also, PJ Brown was another glue guy they lost. Throw in the loss of the Big Ticket for the remainder of the playoffs and I just don't see them advancing past the second round.
Well I'll admit I was wrong here. I thought even a last gasp win would result in at least -280 or so. Personally have no problem with the new line but didn't think the books would adjust appropriately with the defending champs involved.
The line is probably still off slightly. This is almost a toss up imo.
Bulls -1.5 for g3 is a great play. They should be laying at least 3 points.
The line is probably still off slightly. This is almost a toss up imo.
Bulls -1.5 for g3 is a great play. They should be laying at least 3 points.
