October 1st
Astros to win the AL Pennant (+375), 1*
Astros to win the World Series (+800), 1*
I lean the Mets in their series with Milwaukee, but the Brewers had strong success against them in the regular season. I was looking at the American League and the Astros are the team I think have the fewest questions. I don’t think anyone in the AL Central is going to make the World Series. And I’m kind of down on the Orioles. That leaves me with the Yankees and Astros. The postseason pedigree and the price led me to Houston. I might bet something later, definitely no bet in the Astros/Tigers game.
Astros to win the AL Pennant (+375), 1*
Astros to win the World Series (+800), 1*
I lean the Mets in their series with Milwaukee, but the Brewers had strong success against them in the regular season. I was looking at the American League and the Astros are the team I think have the fewest questions. I don’t think anyone in the AL Central is going to make the World Series. And I’m kind of down on the Orioles. That leaves me with the Yankees and Astros. The postseason pedigree and the price led me to Houston. I might bet something later, definitely no bet in the Astros/Tigers game.
Padres -1.5 (+120), 1*
Astros to win series v Tigers (+160), 1*
Padres to win the NL pennant (+550), 1*
Padres to win game one and the series v Braves (+105), 1*
I really like the Padres in this series and to make a run. They only lost a few games fewer then the Dodgers, yet the Dodgers are priced as more then twice as likely to win the pennant and World Series. I think the Padres offense is going to have success in the postseason, starting with tonight. Let’s hope their start goes a bit smoother then Houston’s.
Speaking of the Astros, I still believe in them. I knew there was a chance they could lose today with Skubal on the mound. Detroit has two bullpen games lined up to try and close the series out. I don’t think they will find the same success that they did today with that approach. I happily will bet Houston at +160 to win two games at home against whatever the Tigers throw at them Tuesday and Wednesday. GL
Astros to win series v Tigers (+160), 1*
Padres to win the NL pennant (+550), 1*
Padres to win game one and the series v Braves (+105), 1*
I really like the Padres in this series and to make a run. They only lost a few games fewer then the Dodgers, yet the Dodgers are priced as more then twice as likely to win the pennant and World Series. I think the Padres offense is going to have success in the postseason, starting with tonight. Let’s hope their start goes a bit smoother then Houston’s.
Speaking of the Astros, I still believe in them. I knew there was a chance they could lose today with Skubal on the mound. Detroit has two bullpen games lined up to try and close the series out. I don’t think they will find the same success that they did today with that approach. I happily will bet Houston at +160 to win two games at home against whatever the Tigers throw at them Tuesday and Wednesday. GL
Yesterday: 1-0/YTD: 292-259, +29.55
October 2nd
Royals/Orioles over 7.5 (-102), 1*
Lugo has pitched 206 innings this year, 60 more then his career high. I don’t think you can count on him being dominant today. Eflin is a mid rotation arm being asked to pitch game 2 because Baltimore doesn’t have anyone better. He’s not really a number two. I think there might be an overreaction to the 1-0 game yesterday. Both teams threw their aces and they were excellent. That doesn’t mean these teams won’t generate offense against lesser pitchers. I’m willing to take a shot here at basically even money that we get 8 runs in this game.
Big win from the Padres. Not only did I win my runline bet, but I needed them to win game one to have a chance at hitting one of my futures. If they win this series, I would have made back the money I bet on them to win the pennant and picked up a unit of profit by them winning last night. Good luck today.
October 2nd
Royals/Orioles over 7.5 (-102), 1*
Lugo has pitched 206 innings this year, 60 more then his career high. I don’t think you can count on him being dominant today. Eflin is a mid rotation arm being asked to pitch game 2 because Baltimore doesn’t have anyone better. He’s not really a number two. I think there might be an overreaction to the 1-0 game yesterday. Both teams threw their aces and they were excellent. That doesn’t mean these teams won’t generate offense against lesser pitchers. I’m willing to take a shot here at basically even money that we get 8 runs in this game.
Big win from the Padres. Not only did I win my runline bet, but I needed them to win game one to have a chance at hitting one of my futures. If they win this series, I would have made back the money I bet on them to win the pennant and picked up a unit of profit by them winning last night. Good luck today.
Today: 1-4/YTD: 293-263, +26.58
My record includes my three losing futures on the Astros and my winning future on the Padres. I was wrong about Houston. You have to take shots in the futures market when you think the price is right. I was wrong to back Houston, but I don’t regret it. At least I was able to recoup some of my losses with the Padres coming through. The only future I still have alive is my Padres bet to win the pennant. Not sure if I will have a bet on the Mets game tomorrow. Might hold off until the divisional round.
My record includes my three losing futures on the Astros and my winning future on the Padres. I was wrong about Houston. You have to take shots in the futures market when you think the price is right. I was wrong to back Houston, but I don’t regret it. At least I was able to recoup some of my losses with the Padres coming through. The only future I still have alive is my Padres bet to win the pennant. Not sure if I will have a bet on the Mets game tomorrow. Might hold off until the divisional round.
