BoSox04 2022-2023 Season Long NBA Thread

[BoSox04]

Yesterday: 5-6/YTD: 87-87, -19

November 17th

Kevin Durant under 30.5 points (-105), 1*
Nets/Blazers under 221.5 (-110), 2*
DeAaron Fox over 6.5 assists (-130), 1*

Durant called out his teammates after their last game in Sacramento. I expect them to play better tonight and cut into Durant’s point total. This total seems a little too high as well. I think people are overreacting to how bad things went on Tuesday for Brooklyn.

 

[BoSox04]

Yesterday: 2-1/YTD: 89-88, -17.05

November 18th

Magic/Bulls under 221 (-110), 2*

 

[BoSox04]

Wizards/Heat under 217 (-110), 2*

 

[BoSox04]

P.J. Washington under 13.5 points (-115), 1*
Zach Lavine over 22.5 (-110), 1*
Tyrese Haliburton over 10.5 assists (-115), 1*
Jordan Clarkson under 18.5 points (-115), 1*
Warriors -7.5 (-110), 2*

 

[BoSox04]

Today: 3-4/YTD: 92-92, -15.6

November 19th

Trail Blazers -4 (-110), 3*

This is a spot play for me. The Jazz had to empty the bucket tonight to beat the Suns. Very up-tempo, high scoring game. Now they are going to Portland which is a tough place to play. The Blazers are playing good ball this season because they have put a good supporting cast around Lilliard. Meaning the players fit well with Dame based on how he wants to play. Portland has not lost two games in a row this season. I can’t imagine this number goes down unless Lilliard doesn’t play, which I have no reason to believe will happen. This is my first 3* bet of the year. I’m not betting my house, it’s just a bigger bet then normal. Good luck!

 

[BoSox04]

Timberwolves -3 (-110), 2*

Sixers props aren’t out at the moment. This feels like a bigger Embiid usage game then normal. No Maxey or Harden and Harris could be out for the second night in a row. Once they list the Sixers props, I will update if I think Embiid’s props are worth betting.

 

[BoSox04]

Joel Embiid over 6.5 assists (+112), 1*
Joel Embiid to score 35+ points (+110), 1*

Embiid’s points prop is 33.5 and his rebound prop is 10.5 heavily juiced to the over. I feel like attacking him from a different angle. He is going to have the ball a ton and draw many double teams. If his teammates make some open shots, we have a good shot at his assists over.

If Embiid scores exactly 34 tonight, I will be kicking myself. I am taking a small risk, but any number over 33.5 other then 34 and I get paid out at +110 odds instead of -110. If he goes under 33.5, I don’t owe any juice. We’ll see what happens. GL

 

[BoSox04]

YTD: 93-95, -18.9

November 21st

Hawks +2.5 (-110), 2*
Pelicans -4.5 (-110), 2*

As far as I know, Zion will be back tomorrow night. The Warriors finally won a road game over the lowly Rockets by seven. It took ten threes from Klay and seven from Steph to get it done. I expect Klay to sit tomorrow night and he may not be the only one.

I will have at least one bet on the Knicks/Thunder game. The total isn’t listed right now, at least not on DK or FD. I am interested in the over depending on the number. I also wouldn’t mind betting the Knicks as a dog, but the over is definitely my preferred bet. I will update tomorrow.

 

[BoSox04]

Evan Mobley over 14.5 points (-120), 1*
Franz Wagner over 20.5 points (-120), 1*
Celtics -5.5 (-110), 2*
Anthony Edwards over 22.5 points (-105), 1*
Jerami Grant under 20.5 points (-120), 1*
Knicks +1.5 (-110), 2*

GL!

 

[BoSox04]

Ivica Zubac over 11.5 points (-105), 1*

 

[BoSox04]

Yesterday: 4-5/YTD: 97-100, -20.75

November 22nd

Ben Simmons under 10.5 points (+120), 1*
Nuggets -9 (-110), 2*

 

[BoSox04]

Yesterday: 0-2/YTD: 97-102, -22.95

November 23rd

Hornets -4 (-110), 2*
Nets -2 (-110), 2*
Hawks -4.5 (-110), 2*
Jazz -12 (-105), 2*

 

[BoSox04]

Buddy Hield over 16.5 points (-120), 1*
Tyrese Haliburton over 18.5 points (-130), 1*
DeAaron Fox under 25.5 points (-115), 1*
Dejounte Murray over 20.5 points (-125), 1*
Luka Doncic under 7.5 assists (-120), 1*

 

[BoSox04]

YTD: 101-107, -23

November 26th

Spurs/Lakers over 232 (-110), 2*

I have a couple sides I’m looking at. I want to know if Paul is back tonight for the Suns and make sure LeBron and AD are both playing for the Lakers.

 

[BoSox04]

Spurs +2 (-110), 2*
Jazz +6 (-110), 2*

 

[BoSox04]

Today: 2-1/YTD: 103-108, -21.2

November 27th

Warriors -1.5 (-110), 2*
Wizards/Celtics over 224.5 (-110), 2*
Cavaliers -7 (-110), 2*

 

[BoSox04]

Yesterday: 3-0/YTD: 106-108, -15.2

November 28th

Raptors -2.5 (-110), 2*
Pacers +3 (-110), 2*
Pacers/Lakers over 237 (-110), 2*

There are a couple other sides I am looking at. Need some injury stuff to shake out first.

 

[BoSox04]

Celtics -11 (-110), 2*
Seth Curry over 11.5 points (-105), 1*
Paolo Banchero under 19.5 points (EV), 1*
Nic Claxton over 8.5 rebounds (-105), 1*
Jamal Murray over 19.5 points (-106), 1*
Jamal Murray over 5.5 assists (-122), 1*

I know Brown and Horford are resting for Boston and they played last night. Tatum is back after resting last night and Charlotte has nobody. Hayward, Ball, Rozier, Smith and Martin all out. The Celtics are really good. Their top end players are elite. They shoot well from the outside and their bench is very good. I look at Charlotte’s lineup and have no idea how they keep up with the Celtics. Boston could take the foot off the gas and let Charlotte back in like they did for the Wizards last night. But Boston still covered last night and I expect them to cover again here. Good luck!

 

[BoSox04]

Hawks +3 (-110), 2*

Forgot the Hawks. I know Embiid is back, but that doesn’t mean he is going to be great his first game. Hunter and Capela are both active for Atlanta. Hawks lost last night, think this is a decent bounce back spot here.

 

[BoSox04]

Yesterday: 5-4-1/YTD: 111-112, -12.72

November 29th

Knicks -4 (-110), 2*
Jalen Brunson over 22.5 points (-115), 1*
Sadiq Bey over 3.5 rebounds (+120), 1*

GL