BoSox 2025 NFL Season Long Thread

[BoSox04]

Seattle -2.5 (-120), 1*
Seattle/Washington over 48.5 (-105), 1*
Smith-Njigba 100+ receiving yards (-110), 1*

I’m against the money on this one. For the spread to move off 3, that means respected people are betting Washington. I get betting the home dog. Daniels is the better qb. Dogs have been good today in the nfl. I’m just looking at the personnel. I think Seattle has better players on both sides of the ball taking out the qb’s.

In regards to the over, I know Seattle should be able to move the ball and I expect Daniels to be good enough to make plays. 2-0 on my player props today, let’s hit another with JSN. Lastly, MacDonald is 10-1 on the road as head coach of the Seahawks. His only loss was in week 4 of the 2024 season against the Lions. I will be throwing some pizza money on Kenneth Walker and Elijah Arroyo anytime TD and first TD. GL

 

[BoSox04]

Today: 7-4/YTD: 51-52, -4.03

Good close to the day. I think I’m going to bet Dallas tomorrow. The number is between -3 and -3.5 right now. Let’s see where it settles tomorrow.

 

[BoSox04]

November 3rd

Cowboys -3.5 (-105), 1*
Cowboys/Cardinals over 53.5 (-115), 1*
Marvin Harrison Jr. over 57.5 receiving yards (-110), 1*
Zonovan “Bam” Knight anytime TD (+130), 1*

I will have a small bet on the Cowboys backup running back Malik Davis anytime TD which is around +700. GL

 

[greenwellnesscentre168]

Good luck

 

[BoSox04]

YTD: 52-55, -6.23

November 6th

Raiders/Broncos over 42.5 (-110), 1*
Troy Franklin over 47.5 receiving yards (-110), 1*

A couple anytime touchdown leans. If you are looking for someone at the top of the board, I would take Jeanty. He’s not going to have someone else come in and take his goal line carry, like you might see with Dobbins and Harvey. If you want to go further down the odds board, I like Bo Nix and Michael Mayer at price. GL.

 

[BoSox04]

YTD: 52-57, -8.43

November 9th

Falcons +6.5 (-110), 1*

I think this line is more likely to move to +6 then +7. I don’t want to wake up and feel foolish for losing out on a half point. I think bettors are a little nervous about Daniel Jones regressing after what we saw last week. Indy just put Buckner on the IR this week. That won’t help an already lackluster pass rush and it won’t help stop Bijan and Allgaier. The reason they got Sauce was because they couldn’t come to terms on a trade for a pass rusher. If they couldn’t help the pass rush, get a good corner who will give your existing pass rushers more time to get to the qb. The problem is losing Buckner negates some of that strategy. Atlanta’s defense has been solid all year and it will need to be against the Colts. I believe the Falcons have enough to win this game, similar to last week against New England. Let’s see which Penix we get. More to come tomorrow. GL

 

[BoSox04]

Six Point Teaser: Patriots +8.5 & Bills -2.5 (-120), 1*

I am going to be on Seattle -7 today. Just waiting to see if there is any interest in Arizona. I also am strongly considering Baltimore -4. Update to come after the Germany game ends.

 

[BoSox04]

Jaguars ML (-110), 1*
Ravens -4.5 (-105), 1*

 

[BoSox04]

Seahawks -7 (-105), 1*
Six Point Teaser: Seahawks -1 & Lions -2.5 (-120), 1*

 

[BoSox04]

Chargers -3 (-115), 1*
Ladd McConkey over 63.5 receiving yards (-110), 1*

I’m going to put a few small bets on Gadsden anytime and first TD, as well as Austin anytime and first TD. We hit Jeanty on Thursday. Let’s try and get another. GL

 

[BoSox04]

Yesterday: 6-2/YTD: 58-59, -4.73

November 10th

Eagles ML (-110), 1*
AJ Brown over 56.5 receiving yards (-110), 1*

I think Dallas Goedert anytime and first TD makes a lot of sense tonight. Green Bay has not defended tight ends well. I’m also going to throw a some pizza money on three long shots to score an anytime TD. Malik Heath, John Fitzpatrick and Tank Bigsby. Once again, those are small bets, like 1/3 of a unit.

I think the Eagles are the better team. They are coming off a bye which helps. I like the Packers team, they were good enough to beat Detroit in week one. I just think the Eagles are better and I’m betting my opinion. GL

 

[pigskinpete]

I couldn’t pass on Goedert +230 myself, seems generous considering he has 7 and GB struggles with TE’s, but sometimes the obvious works!…good luck tonight!

 

[BoSox04]

Packers/Eagles over 20.5 2H (-115), 1*

 

[BoSox04]

Today: 1-2/YTD: 59-61, -5.98

 

[BoSox04]

November 13th

Jets/Patriots under 43.5 (-115), 1*
Mack Hollins over 39.5 yards (-115), 1*

I bet Breece Hall anytime TD and first TD. The Patriots for whatever reason have given up TD’s on the opponents opening drive about 50% of the time. Breece is going to be the guy for the Jets. I could see a world where he scores early, then the Patriots settle in and give up 3-7 points the rest of the game. He also can score in the passing game as we saw last week. GL

 

[BoSox04]

Today: 2-0/YTD: 61-61, -3.98

Can’t say I felt good about the under for a few minutes in the second half. I was waiting for the Jets to do something Jets-like and that dropped pass on 4th down by Mason Taylor with two min left was it. Good game from Hollins. Fortunately, we didn’t need him to haul in that beautiful deep ball that Maye threw to him in the fourth quarter.

Almost back to even on the year. Let’s make it happen on Sunday.

 

[BoSox04]

November 16th

Six Point Teaser: Commanders +8.5 & Packers -1 (-120), 1*

There are a bunch of sides I am looking at that are unsettled at the moment. Meaning there are multiple spreads available at different sportsbooks. I want to see where some of these spreads settle in and if I can get a better number in a couple cases. Steelers -5.5, Vikings -2.5 and Chiefs -4 are a few of the spreads I’m eyeing.

There are also three overs I am considering. Giants/Packers is one of them. I want to wait and see if 42’s become widely available. There are a couple out there, but most books have 42.5. With Winston starting instead of Russ, I could see this one getting a little wild. He could throw three touchdowns, including one to the other team. Jameis is a qb with high variance and I would like to attack that by betting the over. Another over is in the Dolphins game. I think Washington is going to try and limit Achane after the game he had against Buffalo last week. Both teams should have success in the passing game. I am considering over 47.5 as well as betting Waddle and/or Washington to go over their receiving prop. Last over is the Rams and Seahawks. While I have a lot of respect for both these defenses, I really like the way these offenses are playing. Stafford is a top MVP candidate and Darnold has been good all season. Both teams can run the ball and hit big plays in the passing game. I won’t bet a side in the game with the spread at 3, although I would consider the Seahawks if +3.5 (-110) is available. The over is my stronger opinion on that game.

I will have updates throughout the day. GL

 

[BoSox04]

Waddle over 79.5 yards (-112), 1*

 

[BoSox04]

Vikings -3 (-105), 1*

-2.5 is available at a juiced price. If you prefer to go that route, feel free. GL

 

[BoSox04]

Chiefs -3.5 (-115), 1*