Boise State O/U 10.5 win total

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RX Boto
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I have Boise State win total at 10.5(local book)

What u guys think?

Im thinking of POUNDING the under at +135


THANKS
 

OTK

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Who do they play though? I don't know their schedule, but the WAC shouldn't be that tough this year as always so they could pull a Hawaii from last year and just beat down everyone when they really aren't a great team.

I'd have to assume they have a very weak schedule, probably getting their toughest matchup (Fresno St?) at home if they're getting a number that high with the juice shaded to tempt you with the under.
 
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interested to see if they have an OOC road game like at Washington last year?

also, do ncaafb win totals include the bowl game?

ppl should post the teams schedule when starting a thread like this
 

OTK

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interested to see if they have an OOC road game like at Washington last year?

also, do ncaafb win totals include the bowl game?

ppl should post the teams schedule when starting a thread like this

No it doesn't include the bowl game or any conference title games. Just the 12 regular season games, so they would have to go 11-1 or better for them to go over.

The fact that the line is over -155 tells me they have an easy schedule though and they are more than likely going to go over the win total.
 

OTK

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Aug 30 Idaho State 8:00pm
Sep 13 Bowling Green 8:00pm
Sep 20 @Oregon TBA
Oct 1 Louisiana Tech 8:00pm
Oct 11 @Southern Miss 8:00pm
Oct 17 Hawaii 8:00pm
Oct 24 @San Jose St. 9:00pm
Nov 1 @New Mexico St. 7:00pm
Nov 8 Utah St. 2:00pm
Nov 15 @Idaho 5:00pm
Nov 22 @Nevada 4:05pm
Nov 28 Fresno St. 6:00pm


Wow. -155 for the over when they can only lose one game and play Oregon on the road?! They will probably be at least a TD favorite in every other game, but still there isn't much room for error if they lose to the Ducks. The under might be worth a shot.
 
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and a young Nevada team took them to 4 overtimes or whatever it was in Boise last season
 

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They won't beat Oregon at Autzen. So they have to go without a loss the rest of the year for you to win. Their key conference games away are @ Nevada and @ SJ St. Neither game is a guarantee by far. Both teams nearly beat them the last time they played there and both will have good teams this year and will want it more. Furthermore, they have to finish the season playing Fresno St. at home. At least they are playing on the smurf turf in that one but Fresno could easily have the better team. Go 3-0 in all of those games and you will win.

Good luck.
 

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at Nevada should be tough, and i think Fresno brings back 16-18 starters. I think u10.5 at + is great bet.

Thegreek has o9 -280.
 

sdf

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definitely play under if it's plus money

they will be down this year and will have tough games against Fresno, Nevada, SJSU and possibly NMSU.
 

THE LEGEND
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Oregon is a definite loss, I would take the under as I think one other team will get them.
 

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only problem with that bet is that if they're 10-1 by the time Fres St comes into Boise, you can't bet out of it since the Boise ML will be too high. IMO, they'll run the table at home and lose to Oregon ... so will need either USM or Nevada to win. I'd say go for it since it's + money but 11-1 does not look too far-fetched
 

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They won't beat Oregon at Autzen. So they have to go without a loss the rest of the year for you to win. Their key conference games away are @ Nevada and @ SJ St. Neither game is a guarantee by far. Both teams nearly beat them the last time they played there and both will have good teams this year and will want it more. Furthermore, they have to finish the season playing Fresno St. at home. At least they are playing on the smurf turf in that one but Fresno could easily have the better team. Go 3-0 in all of those games and you will win.

Good luck.


And, they have to break in an all new offensive line including the Tight End. Every team that ever has to do this goes through a true rebuilding year. A new offensive line and new QB in the same season spells D-I-S-A-S-T-E-R. It will not be any different for Boise St. This is why I think Phil Steele was smoking crack whenever he published them as winning the WAC conference this season.

UNDER 10.5 is a sweet bet . . . . .
 

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Unless your USC, you cannot lose two out of the three cogs of your offense and be the same team..And even the Trojans would have a few problems getting started with this kind of lack of experience....I have to agree with SoonerBS, it may not be a total diaster, but it will be a mini train wreck watching this team struggle on that side of the ball when they go up against a halfway decent defense..It's only to their good fortune that they play in a league that hasn't ever hear the word "defense" used. But still, Boise is going to lose one or two of their conference road games when they get exposed. In this case not being able to keep up the scoring fest like they could last year against their fellow conference teams.
 

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Unless your USC, you cannot lose two out of the three cogs of your offense and be the same team..And even the Trojans would have a few problems getting started with this kind of lack of experience....I have to agree with SoonerBS, it may not be a total diaster, but it will be a mini train wreck watching this team struggle on that side of the ball when they go up against a halfway decent defense..It's only to their good fortune that they play in a league that hasn't ever hear the word "defense" used. But still, Boise is going to lose one or two of their conference road games when they get exposed. In this case not being able to keep up the scoring fest like they could last year against their fellow conference teams.


In the same lines of thinking, though, Oregon won't be nearly as dangerous as last year having lost their two biggest forces on offense with Dixon and Stewart gone. They will still be good, mostly depending on Roper, but I disagree that Oregon is still the same automatic home win that they were last season.
 

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In the same lines of thinking, though, Oregon won't be nearly as dangerous as last year having lost their two biggest forces on offense with Dixon and Stewart gone. They will still be good, mostly depending on Roper, but I disagree that Oregon is still the same automatic home win that they were last season.
Oregon could struggle a little this season..But I think it will only be from having such a difficult road schedule..They are on much more solid footing than Boise is because they'll have a very good defense..Probably the best in the PAC-10 behind USC..Plus Oregon will have some VHT skill players coming in on offense..How successful they'll be this year will depend on how long it takes these new players to get assimilated to a new offensive system..But one thing the Ducks have going for them on that side of the ball is one of the better O-Lines in the country. The reason why I think the outlook is more positive for them as opposed to Boise was by the performance I saw from them in the Sun Bowl without Dixon...This team still has plenty of juice to get the job done..It's just a matter of if Belotti can finally keep his team focused and on the right track..And if they can stay away from the injury bug.
 

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In the same lines of thinking, though, Oregon won't be nearly as dangerous as last year having lost their two biggest forces on offense with Dixon and Stewart gone. They will still be good, mostly depending on Roper, but I disagree that Oregon is still the same automatic home win that they were last season.

I respectfully disagree.
Perhaps in.years past you could make that assumption. But for this team, to make that assesment you probably haven't done your homework.

This years team boasts perhaps the top oline, rb's, secondary in the conference and maybe the second best dline. This year the ducks reload and if you have looked at their home schedule it is an easy slate. They'll hold serve at home but the road sched is a bear.
 

THE LEGEND
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I respectfully disagree.
Perhaps in.years past you could make that assumption. But for this team, to make that assesment you probably haven't done your homework.

This years team boasts perhaps the top oline, rb's, secondary in the conference and maybe the second best dline. This year the ducks reload and if you have looked at their home schedule it is an easy slate. They'll hold serve at home but the road sched is a bear.

I think Costa is going to be the QB not Roper right?
 

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Looking around at what I have offered in sportsbooks, I'd say that if you can get Boise St UNDER 10.5, you ought to slam that one now! You can't get better than O/U 9 at other sportsbooks.
 

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I went to Oregon class of 2004, but it is kind of hard to keep up with them where I am now. Costa moves good, right? Not a Dixon, but maybe comparable to Locker or Tebow's speed? I know he isn't as big as either of them but I have heard he is quick.
 

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