BIZ 2016 NCAAF Thread

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Original Title had lower case. I hate lower case. So this will be the official thread.

Back for another year of NCAA Football. Last year was a profitable one, picking up 33+ Units. Here are last year's results:

Final Record: 201-170 (+33.68 Units) 54.1%

1 UNIT: 140-122 (+10.68) 53.4%
2 UNIT: 38-25 (+20.9) 60.3%
3 UNIT: 11-16 (-17.3) 40.7%
4 UNIT: 7-4 (+11.2) 63.6%
5 UNIT: 5-2 (+14.5) 71.4%
6 UNIT: 0-1 (-6.3) 0%

I want to cut down on the number of units in play, so I trimmed down the number of systems in use this year. I'll be tracking the ones I cut out, possibly in another thread. I'm not going to make any predictions, I'm not going to predict a win percentage or units won, but over the last 6 years these systems/angles have been solid.

Last year I put 554 units in play. Too many. This year it should be around 200 fewer, roughly around 350 units. At 12 weeks that was 46 units/week last year, which is more than I want to put in play. At 350 total units that number should be around 29. Due to the volume I put 1% of bankroll on each game. With a 10K bankroll that's $100/unit. It allows you to play the high volume of games, protects your bankroll against down swings, and gives you the room to play the upswings.

My style isn't for everyone. Some like fewer plays, maybe 1-3 per week and play them larger. Nothing wrong with that. If you like action, I'll show you that you can play a lot of games and still be profitable. At least thats the plan. If you follow this year, I would suggest this:

- Set aside your bankroll
- Play 1% of bankroll per unit
- Play every game for the designated unit amount.

I'll post plays on Gameday, unless I see a line I want to lock in. Good luck to everyone this year.
 

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Thursday, September 1

Tennessee -21
New Mexico -17.5

 

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Thursday, September 1

Tennessee -21
New Mexico -17.5

Current Record: 1-1 (-.05)

 

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Friday, September 2

Temple -14 (-115)
Arkansas St -4
 

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Saturday, September 3

Northwestern -4 (-115)
West Virginia -9.5
 

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Southern Illinois +8
North Texas +10
Ohio -18.5
 

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Friday, September 2

Temple -14 (-115)
Arkansas St -4

Current Record: 1-3 (-2.3)
 

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Southern +14
Northern Iowa +10
 

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WEEK 1 Results:

Tennessee -21
New Mexico -17.5
Temple -14 (-115)
Arkansas St -4
Northwestern -4 (-115)
West Virginia -9.5
Southern Illinois +8
North Texas +10
Ohio -18.5
Southern +14
Northern Iowa +10

Current Record: 3-7 (-4.55)

Rough start. One push should have been a win, 2 losses could have won. Scoreboard is scoreboard, so we move on.
 

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Saturday, September 10

Kansas -3
South Carolina +7 (-115)
Purdue +7 (-115)
 

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Connecticut +4 (-115)
 

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Troy +35
Western Kentucky +28
Eastern Michigan +24
Cincinnati/Purdue UNDER 60 (-115)
 

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UNLV +26
Oregon -23.5
Wake Forest +7
Penn St/Pittsburgh UNDER 48
 

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Saturday, September 10: Final Card

Kansas -3
South Carolina +7 (-115)
Purdue +7 (-115) 2U
Connecticut +4 (-115)
Troy +35
Western Kentucky +28
Eastern Michigan +24
Cincinnati/Purdue UNDER 60 (-115)
UNLV +26
Oregon -23.5
Wake Forest +7
Penn St/Pittsburgh UNDER 48
East Carolina +6
BYU +4
 

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Tulane -28.5
Mississippi St -7 (-115) Buying out
 

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Virginia Tech +11
Boise St -13
 

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