2 units
Vikings PK
1 unit
Jets -1
GB ML
Pitt PK
Bullet points:
- Vikings line is a fine pick even at -2 (I never expected the line to come down). I'll take the better team here. Home field only matters when you cover the spread.
- Jets really showed me something last game. Neither team has beaten elite teams so there's no argument to be made for scheduling. Basically, the Jets have shown me more than Oakland has. I don't care if it's square or who the public is on. Ignoring both factors. I'll take the best defense in the league (statistically). I'll make the raiders prove it to me first - playing Denver close isn't going to cut it with how Manning's O is preforming this year, see below.
- Something looks off about Manning this year. He has definitely lost a step and his passes are much less accurate. I've been lucky enough to cover on Denver a few times this year and made sure to take a mental note that I never want to be in that spot again with the current Broncos offense (I was lucky). Leaving my money in A-rod's hands. Going ML because I respect Denver's defense and home field advantage.
- Pitt beat them twice last year. The Steelers have really surprised me this year even without a QB. Vick was horrible from the beginning. I'll take home field and the match-up history from last year. I could seriously get burnt on this bet if Big Ben looks 50%. It's a chance I'm willing to take for a PK (value). Steelers D looks great.
I'm leaning Indy for MNF but it's a super small lean. Everyone wants the points, I get it. I'm just not sure if I want to test the red hot panthers at home for a touch down quite yet based off of what I've seen from the Colts so far. Andrew Luck looks like he's in his head out there on top of his injury - he's just not playing well currently. Hard to say when he will break out of it and it's anyone's guess (it really is a guess at this point when the colts will play strong).
Good luck this weekend fellas. Hope everyone cashes tickets. I'll be posting plays until the playoffs and I'm most likely done, maybe a bet here or there but a lot of my edge is lost in the lines during the playoffs when bookies will generally hit it spot on, or at least that's my experience. Not a lot of plays this week. GL!
Vikings PK
1 unit
Jets -1
GB ML
Pitt PK
Bullet points:
- Vikings line is a fine pick even at -2 (I never expected the line to come down). I'll take the better team here. Home field only matters when you cover the spread.
- Jets really showed me something last game. Neither team has beaten elite teams so there's no argument to be made for scheduling. Basically, the Jets have shown me more than Oakland has. I don't care if it's square or who the public is on. Ignoring both factors. I'll take the best defense in the league (statistically). I'll make the raiders prove it to me first - playing Denver close isn't going to cut it with how Manning's O is preforming this year, see below.
- Something looks off about Manning this year. He has definitely lost a step and his passes are much less accurate. I've been lucky enough to cover on Denver a few times this year and made sure to take a mental note that I never want to be in that spot again with the current Broncos offense (I was lucky). Leaving my money in A-rod's hands. Going ML because I respect Denver's defense and home field advantage.
- Pitt beat them twice last year. The Steelers have really surprised me this year even without a QB. Vick was horrible from the beginning. I'll take home field and the match-up history from last year. I could seriously get burnt on this bet if Big Ben looks 50%. It's a chance I'm willing to take for a PK (value). Steelers D looks great.
I'm leaning Indy for MNF but it's a super small lean. Everyone wants the points, I get it. I'm just not sure if I want to test the red hot panthers at home for a touch down quite yet based off of what I've seen from the Colts so far. Andrew Luck looks like he's in his head out there on top of his injury - he's just not playing well currently. Hard to say when he will break out of it and it's anyone's guess (it really is a guess at this point when the colts will play strong).
Good luck this weekend fellas. Hope everyone cashes tickets. I'll be posting plays until the playoffs and I'm most likely done, maybe a bet here or there but a lot of my edge is lost in the lines during the playoffs when bookies will generally hit it spot on, or at least that's my experience. Not a lot of plays this week. GL!
