BIG's Sunday Games

[bradyisgod]

DAL -3.5
MIN -3
ATL -6

Feel good about all three. I'll copy paste what I wrote about Dallas in the other thread. Best of luck RX'ers!

Bad weather makes it a good opportunity to pick the better run game and the better defense. My book has Dallas -3.5 so it looks like the books want more money on Giants. Figures since the public has been riding the Cowboys and cashing. Given that both the RB and QB both have good running potential it looks like a spot to possibly bet the cowboys. Get the better defense and better run game. I think their let down week was last week but they had a lot of things go their way to pull out a win. Maybe they let down this week, who knows. Public gets scared to take -3.5, books know that so they'll throw it out to get interest in the other side.

Also wanted to throw out that Cowboys in recent years are arguably the best road team in the NFL. So if someone's looking to bet a road favorite for a small price Cowboys are about the best you can do. I know the Giants are pretty good but I'm surprised the line isn't a little bit higher than it is.

 

[GrassHoppa4Sports]

All three plays look delicious my man. BOL
G

 

[bradyisgod]

All three plays look delicious my man. BOL
G

Thanks Mr.Grasshopper. I'm not afraid to play favorites in weeks like this one. Buying on bad news with MIN, I think they are outmatched and public perception for them has gotten worse and worse. ATL never gets any respect with the public and it's the Rams. Good luck with your plays this weekend!

Forgot to add into my original post that Dallas has the second best DVOA% in the league at 19.7% (NE first at 19.9%) facing off against the Giants who are at 4.6%. For anyone who doesn't follow DVOA it takes into account all the plays throughout the game and rates them on importance. That's a ~15% jump in DVOA which is absolutely massive for being -3.5.

 

[bradyisgod]

I had the DVOA % right but to correct my first post the Giants do have the better defensive DVOA %. I was looking at it backwards. I think Dallas defense is still respectable enough to make it a play but it seems the Giants do have the better defense.

They are respectively ranked 17th Giants and 18th Cowboys in yards allowed per game. So both defenses are performing very close.

Haven't had my coffee this morning so had that totally backwards.

 

[fballgenius]

Like all three. Good luck BIG

 

[OfficialSono]

DAL -3.5
MIN -3
ATL -6

Feel good about all three. I'll copy paste what I wrote about Dallas in the other thread. Best of luck RX'ers!

Bad weather makes it a good opportunity to pick the better run game and the better defense. My book has Dallas -3.5 so it looks like the books want more money on Giants. Figures since the public has been riding the Cowboys and cashing. Given that both the RB and QB both have good running potential it looks like a spot to possibly bet the cowboys. Get the better defense and better run game. I think their let down week was last week but they had a lot of things go their way to pull out a win. Maybe they let down this week, who knows. Public gets scared to take -3.5, books know that so they'll throw it out to get interest in the other side.

Also wanted to throw out that Cowboys in recent years are arguably the best road team in the NFL. So if someone's looking to bet a road favorite for a small price Cowboys are about the best you can do. I know the Giants are pretty good but I'm surprised the line isn't a little bit higher than it is.

I am going to go big on the Vikings and Cowboys (even though the Cowboys have cost me £1000 over the past two games with pathetic defense on both Washington and the Vikings last drives resulting in losing the spread on both occasions) BUT I am going to swerv the Rams game. I know Geoff doesn't have an offense but he's capable of a touchdown or two and the Rams actually have a solid defense contrary to belief. I am also hearing Julio Jones maybe out with a toe injury.