Biggest surprise and biggest disappointments

[sendacash]

What are some of your biggest surprise teams that have out-performed their per-season ratings thus far and which teams have been a disappointment?

For surprise teams I'd say that UAB has improved their power rating the most. Followed by BYU, Notre Dame, USC, and Virginia Tech.

For disappointments I'd put Vandy at the top of the list, followed by UCLA, South Carolina, SMU, and Fresno St.

 

[rivercitybirdie]

hey, i like the topic.... here are the best ATS teams so far. i figure that's a good indication vs. expectations...

best ATS teams after 2 weeks (almost all have played 2 games.... i think texas state is one that's only one game.. basically cover per game)..

Texas State

Texas A&M

UAB

GA Southern

Florida

LA Tech

BYU

Pittsburgh

W Virginia

Memphis

Notre Dame

Temple

TX El Paso

Mississippi

TX-San Ant

N Mex State

W Kentucky

Baylor

Georgia

California

Virginia

 

[rivercitybirdie]

worst ATS.......

Vanderbilt

UNLV

S Methodist

Florida St

Utah State

Texas Tech

LA Lafayette

Troy

Fresno St

E Michigan

S Carolina

Kansas

Bowling Grn

Colorado

Northwestern

Houston

Indiana

New Mexico

Fla Atlantic

Syracuse

Washington

S Mississippi

 

[rivercitybirdie]

not much comment... no idea pitt has been good...

 

[sendacash]

Good call on Texas A&M, I was only looking at teams that had played 2 lined games and I ignore their game against Lamar. The offensive explosion by Florida could be something to keep an eye on as well, granted it was against E Mich, but the offense has been holding them back for so long. Pitt could be a good bet as a dog with their power running game we saw with that big back Conner the other night.

 

[GoSooners]

It's a little early for Indiana. They don't have any defense, but they'll probably end up being a pretty good cover team in a weak conference...

 

[rivercitybirdie]

georgia southern. power running team i think.... seems like new FBS teams have been very good to back. not sure if there's been a major exception. south alabama?

i see LA Tech, cal (and not on the list above south florida) all seem to have improved. 2nd year highly regarded coach.... i thought that LA Tech didn't cover game 1 (could be the case as those are simply ATS totals. like temple is 1-1 ATS - i think - but has one huge cover)

 

[msmith2179]

Old Dominion played a good game against NCST.

Seeing how bad Big Ten played this weekend.

 

[CoachCB]

Vandy is the biggest WTF team. The fall from grace wasn't supposed to take 1 game!

 

[WinOne]

Vandy is the biggest WTF team. The fall from grace wasn't supposed to take 1 game!

I know that Franklin is a good coach but i dont know if Mason is in way over his head or they just dont have the talent this year. I've seen parts of both of their games and they are not competitive at all.

 

[rivercitybirdie]

another take on best performance since start of year (not sure how much opening ranking is last year's ending or if there's alot of work put into it).....

most improved..... most of them make sense. not sure about NMState or FIU, but i'll check other sources

New Mexico State

Georgia Southern

Alabama-Birmingham

Appalachian State

Kentucky

Memphis

California

Central Michigan

Wyoming

Illinois

Texas-El Paso

Akron

Temple

Tennessee

Louisiana Tech

Maryland

Mississippi

Texas-San Antonio

Army

Louisiana-Monroe

South Alabama

Nevada

Eastern Michigan

Brigham Young

North Carolina State

Florida International

 

[rivercitybirdie]

biggest deterioration: a few don't make sense.... but some good names to work.

Central Florida

Michigan State

Houston

Texas

Clemson

Oklahoma State

Louisiana-Lafayette

Stanford

Boise State

Utah State

South Carolina

Tulane

New Mexico

Washington State

Florida Atlantic

Northwestern

Fresno State

Iowa State

Southern Methodist

Kent

Troy

Vanderbilt

Georgia State

Miami (Ohio)

Massachusetts

 

[WinOne]

Michigan St?? that's a pretty tough grading scale. They just lost on the road to a top 5 team

 

[BZ]

Michigan St?? that's a pretty tough grading scale. They just lost on the road to a top 5 team

Agreed. Stanford does not belong there either. And why isn't anyone talking about FSU? They have looked average at best after two weeks and will not run the table this year.

 

[HottyToddy]

Most improved teams-

-Memphis started getting better last year but would just shoot themselves in the foot. They almost won at UCLA this weekend.. I look for Memphis to cover a bunch of lines this year. Offense is pretty dang good.

- Ole Miss- much improved could only lead to 8 regular season wins but were much better on D. The most depth on Defense I've ever seen in Oxford. We play around 8-10 Dlinemen and the back 7 has a quality back up at every position. If the oline can keep getting better we will have a quality chance to win every game... I didn't say we would win every game but we would be in every game. I'm thinking 9-10 regular season wins.

-Arkansas- much better than last year. The oline and RBs are as good as anyone's. they will beat Texas Tech this weekend...

- Georgia- if they can get quality QB management they will have a chance to play for a national title. Gurley is the best RB in the country.

- Miss State- in the same boat as ole miss... Only won 6 last year but wouldn't surprise me if they won 9. The D got lit up with the vertical passing game this week but I don't think that will be the normal. Around Mississippi this was the most hyped 6-6 team you've ever heard about... They got brought to earth last weekend. I look for a dominate performance this weekend... Dline and backers are legit. QB and skill players are more than solid.

A&M is better this year. The offense is being played as designed for the first time. They will be better because the defense is better. Look they're going to score on everyone.. Remind me of Auburn. Both teams defenses can take shots at turnovers and just make a few stops a game because both offenses are that good. Wouldn't surprise me if the A&M vs Auburn game winner plays in Atlanta.

 

[WinOne]

Most improved teams-

-Memphis started getting better last year but would just shoot themselves in the foot. They almost won at UCLA this weekend.. I look for Memphis to cover a bunch of lines this year. Offense is pretty dang good.

- Ole Miss- much improved could only lead to 8 regular season wins but were much better on D. The most depth on Defense I've ever seen in Oxford. We play around 8-10 Dlinemen and the back 7 has a quality back up at every position. If the oline can keep getting better we will have a quality chance to win every game... I didn't say we would win every game but we would be in every game. I'm thinking 9-10 regular season wins.

-Arkansas- much better than last year. The oline and RBs are as good as anyone's. they will beat Texas Tech this weekend...

- Georgia- if they can get quality QB management they will have a chance to play for a national title. Gurley is the best RB in the country.

- Miss State- in the same boat as ole miss... Only won 6 last year but wouldn't surprise me if they won 9. The D got lit up with the vertical passing game this week but I don't think that will be the normal. Around Mississippi this was the most hyped 6-6 team you've ever heard about... They got brought to earth last weekend. I look for a dominate performance this weekend... Dline and backers are legit. QB and skill players are more than solid.

A&M is better this year. The offense is being played as designed for the first time. They will be better because the defense is better. Look they're going to score on everyone.. Remind me of Auburn. Both teams defenses can take shots at turnovers and just make a few stops a game because both offenses are that good. Wouldn't surprise me if the A&M vs Auburn game winner plays in Atlanta.

I see my guy Devonte Kincaid is getting some snaps at QB. He's a kid I coached and a Skyline HS kid. I hope he fits in and does well.

 

[HottyToddy]

WinOne that is one impressive young man on and off the field. He is a natural leader. The ole miss faithful are high on switchblade Kincade. Have you read the letter from him to the coaches on signing day? Ill look it up and post it here...

 

[HottyToddy]

To: Coach Freeze
Coach McGriff
Coach Warner, and Coaching Staff


Dear Sir:


Today is National signing day and as the quarterback of this class, I feel like I have to lead by example. Today I commit to lead in practice, on and off the field, in the classroom and in everything I do as a Rebel. I will give my best at all times as a student and as the quarterback by studying the playbook, executing the offense, and doing all I can to get us to Atlanta and securing the National Championship. God has blessed me to be the QB for the best recruiting class in Ole Miss History. I do not take that lightly. Today February 6th is when it starts, by getting up earlier than I have to be the first one to send in my National letter of Intent! I am an Ole Miss Rebel and by the grace of God, I can do all things through him who gives me strength! Mr. Switchblade DPK let us go to work!


Sincerely,


DeVante P. Kincade

 

[HottyToddy]

Hugh does a great job of giving his second QB full series in the middle of games... That's a great way to prepare for the future and if something happens to BO he will be more prepared to take the reigns... I expect DK to get 100-150 game snaps this year... That is great development for a back up... Only so much you can do on the practice field.

 

[WinOne]

To: Coach Freeze
Coach McGriff
Coach Warner, and Coaching Staff


Dear Sir:


Today is National signing day and as the quarterback of this class, I feel like I have to lead by example. Today I commit to lead in practice, on and off the field, in the classroom and in everything I do as a Rebel. I will give my best at all times as a student and as the quarterback by studying the playbook, executing the offense, and doing all I can to get us to Atlanta and securing the National Championship. God has blessed me to be the QB for the best recruiting class in Ole Miss History. I do not take that lightly. Today February 6th is when it starts, by getting up earlier than I have to be the first one to send in my National letter of Intent! I am an Ole Miss Rebel and by the grace of God, I can do all things through him who gives me strength! Mr. Switchblade DPK let us go to work!


Sincerely,


DeVante P. Kincade

Yessir. He's a really good kid. One of my favorites. He'll do Mississippi proud on and off the field. One of my Ag buddies and I will be hosting some of his family/friends for an event when they come to College Station Oct 11.