Rule No. 3 - Don't overreact to injuries.
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Rule No. 4 - Focus on your research and information and completely tune out the sports media.
Since the reigning Super Bowl champ began hosting the first game of the season on Thursday Night Football in 2004, there have been two teams that began the following season with a different QB then the one who started and won the Super Bowl, the 2006 Steelers (Charlie Batch instead of Ben Roethlisberger) and the 2016 Broncos (Trevor Siemian instead of Peyton Manning). Both won SU.
I was leaning towards the Cardinals based on facts and information. I just took them +3 for 1 unit.
To follow up on this point let's talk about bad beats. Waaaaaay too many posters use the "bad beat" excuse for their losses. The fact is bad beats rarely happen. Personally I define a bad beat in football as a turnover that results in points that wouldn't have otherwise been scored, usually on the last play of the game.
The best historic example of this was "The Miracle at the Meadowlands" back in 1978. The Giants were leading 17-12 against the Eagles. All they had to do was take a knee to run out the clock but back in the '70's taking a knee was not common. The defense would still cross the line and try to pummel the QB that was taking a knee. On the previous play the Giants did take a knee and the Eagles defense did just that, coming across the line and hitting the QB. So the Giants decided to call a quirky run play, with Joe Pisarcik spinning around 270 degrees and trying to hand it off to Larry Csonka. The rest is history.
Nothing to add right now. Just seeing if my post knocks out the multiple congratulatory posts that are littering this website all of a sudden.
Leaning towards no.
This line opened at Rams -1 a few months ago and right now it's sitting at +2.
In 2016 the Broncos opened as 1.5 point favorites vs. the Panthers but the line was +3 for Denver at kickoff. In 2018, the Eagles opened as 4 point favorites against the Falcons but were one point home dogs at kickoff. Both defending champs won SU.
Who is a seven win team? And when did I mention taking a side in the Raiders game??
This quote is from our delusional resident idiot Shemp/Joey/Gman.
"Why did you bet games not knowing who the QB is that is starting - and also I believe that you dont "CAP anything because you area TREND player.
No person gambling with real money a full 2 months before kickoff could ever come up with plays, not knowing who the QB is?"
Then how come I already have 5 bets on the books for week one?
"Why did you bet games not knowing who the QB is that is starting - and also I believe that you dont "CAP anything because you area TREND player.
No person gambling with real money a full 2 months before kickoff could ever come up with plays, not knowing who the QB is?"
Then how come I already have 5 bets on the books for week one?
Say what you will about Jimmy Garoppolo but the numbers when he starts are quite interesting. When Jimmy G. is the starter, the 49ers finished 13-8 SU & 8-12-1 ATS at home and 18-6 SU & 16-8 ATS on the road.
When Garoppolo did not start the game, they went 5-14 SU & 7-12 ATS at home and 3-14 SU & 8-9 ATS on the road.
That's a big disparity.
When Garoppolo did not start the game, they went 5-14 SU & 7-12 ATS at home and 3-14 SU & 8-9 ATS on the road.
That's a big disparity.
FWIW - the 49ers are currently favored by 6.5 points in Chicago in week one. The last time the 49ers covered the spread as 6 point road favs or more vs. a non-division conference opponent was week 10, 1994. Steve Young was the quarterback and that team won the Super Bowl.
This includes watching shows like Hard Knocks. Tune that shit out.
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